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@BartS
 #gms17	
EVIDENCE EVERYTHING"
"
"
"
"
"
“How can Psychology assist Growth Marketing?”
@BartS
 #gms17
@BartS
 #gms17	
Grow up!: Raising kids with marshmallows
@BartS
 #gms17	
We are a Dual-Processing Brain
Unconscious,
Automatic,
Heuristic processes
Conscious, 

Controlled,
Rational processes
(always on)
 (lazy controller)
System 1
 System 2
Self control:"
health, wealth & even happiness
@BartS
 #gms17	
Feel your System 2 controlling System 1
@BartS
 #gms17	
System 1: Unconscious, automated processes
@BartS
 #gms17	
System 1: Unconscious, automated processes
System 1 
operates automatically
@BartS
 #gms17	
System 2: Lazy controller AND ‘comforter’
A couple has 2 kids. "
One of them is a boy. 

How big is the chance that
the other kid is a boy too? 
33%
boy
?System 2
jumps to conclusions
I prefer “comfortness” 
over consciousness
@BartS
 #gms17	Bart.Schutz@onlinedialogue.com
 #gms17	












“How can Psychology assist Growth Marketing?”
@BartS
 #gms17	
EARN"
instant growth
LEARN"
customer intelligence
TURN"
Innovate & disrupt
Psychology in 3 levels of Growth Marketing
1) Transactional
2) Informational
3) Transformational
1) Transactional"
Evidence-everything growth
Bart.Schutz@onlinedialogue.com
 #gms17	
EARN – EARN – EARN
@BartS
 #gms17	
We are a Dual-Processing Brain
(always on)
 (lazy controller)
System 1
 System 2
System 2 is 
not the best optimizer!
@BartS
 #gms17
@BartS
 #gms17	
What if “system 2” designed…
Stop THINK-ing
Start ACT-ting
@BartS
 #gms17	
Transactional: Test velocity!!!
Regret: 
Run as much experiments as possible
@BartS
 #gms17	
Bandwidth: What’s your max number of tests?
Bandwidth: 
Statistical maximum of experiments
Bandwidth: 
Statistical power (β)
@BartS
 #gms17	
Be aware of your data quality
	
	
	
B	
A
@BartS
 #gms17	
Be aware of your data quality


 
 
 
 
- effect"

ü  Cross device use
ü  Cookie deletion
ü  Decision cycle
ü  …
	
	
	
	
	
	
B	
A	
	
	
	
	
ABBA	
	

 
 
 
Homepage: 51,8%

 
 
 
(has seen both A & B within a week)
Either track users 100%, OR "
calculate with the pollution
@BartS
 #gms17	@BartS
 #gms17	
OMG, 

My a/b tests 
wasted all 
my growth
@BartS
 #gms17	
Transactional: Evidence-based EARNing
C!
CREATE
A!
ANALYZE
T!
TEST
Evidence everything:
Quantity over Quality
Bart.Schutz@onlinedialogue.com
 #gms17	
2) Informational"
Psychology-driven growth
LEARN – LEARN – LEARN
@BartS
 #gms17	
How to recognize the systems? 
Example	
indicators	
	
User flow
 Follow ideal paths
 Are all over the place
Time of day
 Mornings
 Afternoon
Day of week
 Mondays
 Fridays
Network
 WiFi
 3G / 4G
Conversion rate
 High base rates
 Low base rates
Source
 Direct & Long-tail search
 Social, Mail, Display,…
…
 …
 …
(always on)
(lazy controller)
System 1
System 2
1st question: "
Which system is active?
@BartS
 #gms17	
Square of Persuasion
Ability,	
Mo,va,on	
Alerts,	Triggers,	
Forced	Choices	
Distrac,on,		
Overload	
Heuris,cs,	Habits	
Emo,onal	experience	
System 1
System 2
Ac2ve	
System1
System2
Desired	
2nd question: "
Which system do we desire?
@BartS
 #gms17	
System 1
System 2
Case: Hostelworld.com
Behavioral
analysis
@BartS
 #gms17	
B
A
 A
 B
Loser
Winner
Different brain systems per device
System 1 – System 1
System 2 – System 2
@BartS
 #gms17	
A
 B
 A
 B
Winner
 Loser
Different brain systems per device
System 1 – System 1
System 2 – System 2
@BartS
 #gms17	
Winner
Loser
Different brain systems per device
System 1 – System 1
System 2 – System 2
A
 B
 A
 B
@BartS
 #gms17	
Different brain systems per device
Experimental program:
Hundres of experiments
@BartS
 #gms17	
Learn = Customer Intelligence
@BartS
 #gms17	
Square of Persuasion
Ability,	
Mo,va,on	
Alerts,	Triggers,	
Forced	Choices	
Distrac,on,		
Overload	
Heuris,cs,	Habits	
Emo,onal	experience	
System 1
System 2
Ac2ve	
System1
System2
Desired
@BartS
 #gms17	
Informational: 1st order learning
A!
ANALYZE
C!
CONCLUDE
C!
CREATE
A!
ANALYZE
T!
TEST
@BartS
 #gms17	
Informational: Local maximum
Bart.Schutz@onlinedialogue.com
 #gms17	
3) Transformational"
Evidence-Based Innovation
Turn - Turn - Turn
@BartS
 #gms17	
Decision
Fundamental Attribution Error
System 1
Marketing
Behavior
System 2
@BartS
 #gms17	
Personal factors
Fundamental Attribution Error
Marketing
Decision
System 1
System 2
Behavior
@BartS
 #gms17	
Situational Factors
Context
Environment
Emotions
Personal factors
Fundamental Attribution Error
Marketing
Decision
System 1
System 2
Behavior
Humanity is unique, 
Humans not so much
@BartS
 #gms17	
MOAR data!
Context
Emotions
Environment
Preferences/
Motivations
@BartS
 #gms17	
Situation hugely determines behavior
Winner
A
 B
Loser
3G / 4G
A
 B
WiFi
@BartS
 #gms17	
Situation hugely determines behavior
Winner
A
 B
 A
 B
Loser
3G / 4G
 WiFi
@BartS
 #gms17	
Transformational: 2nd order learning
System1
System2
@BartS
 #gms17	
B
A
Winner
Example: Implicit safety
@BartS
 #gms17	
Case: Hostelworld On–The–Go?
@BartS
 #gms17	
Evidence-based innovation: 2nd order learning
@BartS
 #gms17	
Transactional: Start with earning
C!
CREATE
A!
ANALYZE
T!
TEST
1)  Transactional"
exploit bandwidth
@BartS
 #gms17	
Intellectual: 1st order learning
C!
CREATE
A!
ANALYZE
T!
TEST
A!
ANALYZE
C!
CONCLUDE
1)  Transactional"
exploit bandwidth 

2)  Informational"
Apply System 1 & 2
@BartS
 #gms17	
Transformational: 2nd order learning
F!
FIND
T!
TRANSFORM
1)  Transactional"
exploit bandwidth 

2)  Informational"
Apply System 1 & 2 
3)  Transformational"
Build 1st party CI
C!
CREATE
A!
ANALYZE
T!
TEST
A!
ANALYZE
C!
CONCLUDE
@BartS
 #gms17	
EVIDENCE EVERYTHING"
"
"
"
"
"
“How can Psychology assist Growth Marketing?”
Bart.Schutz@onlinedialogue.com
 #gms17	
A transformational understanding "
of what drives homo sapiens
@BartS
 #gms17	
Internet is "
the BIGGEST psychological"
experiment ever
@BartS
 #gms17
@BartS
 #gms17	
With big intelligence "
comes big responsibility
Evidence everything

Evidence everything
Ethical everything
@BartS
 #gms17	
THANK YOU"
"
@BartS
 #gms17	
Interested in my SLIDES
and more on CONSUMER PSYCHOLOGY?

Find it here: http://ondi.me/GMS17

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Evidence everything - Bart Schutz - Growth Marketing Summit 2017 keynote