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Search for Extra­Terrestrial Intelligence

O.R.Senthil Kumaran
M. P. Birla Insitute of Fundamental Research.
Bangalore

 

 
Life elsewhere in the Universe
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If we accept that life arose out of certain physical and chemical 
laws then it can be supposed that life can occur elsewhere in 
the universe too.
What are the possibilities of life elsewhere in the universe?
What is the probability of an intelligent civilization, similar or 
superior to us?
 Can we establish contact with them? 

These are questions in the mind of a person who is involved with 
Search for Extra­Terrestrial Intelligence.

 

 
Sample Space, Probability and our Knowledge
Age and Experience
Age of the Universe

136000000000  (13.6 billion years)

Age of the Earth

45000000000 ( 4.5 billion years)

Age of Chimpanzee

23000000 (23 million years)

Age of First human

1000000 (1 million years)

Time when early man started
moving out of Africa

60000 (60 thousand years)

Age of Modern Scientific
Development

300 ( Roughly around 1700 BC)

Universe
Total number of stars that is estimated in
the universe 

10 billion trillion 

No of stars in the milky way 

200 billion stars 

 

 
What can we say from those?
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We can derive a mathematical probability of existence 
of life and intelligent life elsewhere in the universe. 
The age of our scientific model and technological 
advances that is searching for intelligent life elsewhere 
in the vast universe.

Before we gained observational capabilities it was a 
common belief that life existed on Moon and other 
planets. That should be hardly 200 years ago.
 

 
Star­ Systems and Planets
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If all stars developed in the same way like our 
sun, then its very likely that other stars will 
have a system, a set of non self­luminous 
bodies revolving around it.
There has been evidences and observations 
surrounding extra solar planets, and of stars 
capable of having their own solar system. 
VEGA Observed by Infrared Astronomy 
Satellite.
 
Habitable Planets
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American Space scientist, Stephan.H.Dole made a particular study of 
this problem in his book "Habitable Planets for Man" (1956) and 
derived certain conclusions that are speculative but nevertheless 
reasonable.
Stars of appropriate size (neither too large or too small) and of 
spectral classes F2 to K1 are suitable for nurturing planets are 
comfortably habitable by human beings.

 
Doles Analysis
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Dole estimated that there are 17 billion such stars in our own galaxy, 
which are habitable. 
Given the probability of a star of suitable size with an appropriate 
period of rotation and appropriately regular orbit, Dole concluded that 
it is probable that there may be 640 million habitable planets in our 
galaxy alone, each of them containing some form of life or the other.
If those habitable planets are spread through out, then there is one 
habitable planet in per 80, 000 cubic light­years.  So, the nearest 
possible habitable planet, will be (cubic_root(80,000)) roughly 27 
light years away from us. 
Dole listed 14 stars within 22 light years that might possess habitable 
planets. He concluded that habitable planets are most likely to be 
found in the stars closest to us, Alpha Centuari, Alpha Centauri A, 
 
Alpha Centauri B.
Intelligent Life
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Of course, life may exists but we may not be sure of intelligent life. 
And we have no intelligent way of guessing the possibility of 
intelligent life on another planet and Dole was careful as not make 
one.
Earth has existed for more than 3 billion years with abundant life in 
sea and only a million years since a creature more intelligent than ape 
has appeared. 
And this means that earth has possessed intelligent life for 1/3500 of 
the time the it has possessed life of any kind.  
We can say that of all life bearing planets, 1/3500 may possess 
intelligent life considering the scenario of earth.  Then out of 640 
million  habitable planets in our own galaxy, there may 180,000 
intelligences.
 
Dole's Conclusions and Other Views
No of Habitable planets in our galaxy. (Which we can
go and colonize once we achieve that capability)

17000000000 (17 billion)

Number of Habitable planets in our galaxy already
containing some form of life

640000000 ( 640 million)

Number of Intelligent Civilizations possible in our
galaxy

180, 000

●

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This view of Universe, rich in intelligence life forms, which Dole, Sagan and Asimov favored, is not held
unanimously by astronomers.  
Since Venus and Mars have been studied extensively and found to be hostile to life, there is a pessimistic
view that conditions in which life may harbor in billions of years
is very narrow and earth is extremely fortunate for life to exist.

 
Fermi's Paradox and Drakes Equation
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The size and age of the universe incline us to believe that many 
technologically advanced civilizations must exist. 
However, this belief seems logically inconsistent with our lack of 
observational evidence to support it. 
Either the initial assumption is incorrect and technologically 
advanced intelligent life is much rarer than we believe, our 
current observations are incomplete and we simply have not 
detected them yet, or our search methodologies are flawed and 
we are not searching for the correct indicators.
Drakes Equation:       N = R * f(p) * n(e) * f(l) * f(i) * f(c) * L
 
Looking out for Observational 
Evidences
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Can evidence of Life be obtained is the central 
question of SETI?
A technologically advanced civilization might 
have developed Radio Capablity.
So, lets get down to hunt the Radio Signals 
from them.

 
Project Ozma
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1960, Cornell University astronomer, Frank 
Drake. 
26 meter diameter radio telescope to examine 
the stars Tau Ceti and Epsilon.
A 400 kilohertz band was scanned around the 
marker frequency, using a single channel 
receiver with a bandwidth of 100 hertz

 
Related Advances
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First SETI Conference took place in the year 1961 
and Soviets took great interest and scanned using 
omi­directional antennas. 
"Intelligent Life in the Universe" was published by 
Carl Sagan and Russian astronomer, Iosif Shklovskii 
in the year 1966.

 
Project Big Ear
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Radio telescope located at Ohio for SETI from 
1963 to 1998. 
360 feet (110 m) wide, 500 feet (150 m) long, 
and 70 feet (21 m) Kraus­style high radio 
telescope 
The radio telescope was disassembled in 1998 
when developers purchased the site from the 
university, and used the land to expand a 
nearby golf course.
 
Project Cyclops
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1971, NASA funded SETI study, involved Drake, 
Bernard Oliver and others. 
Suggested a 10 billion USD worth earth based 
radio telescope that would detect inadvertent 
radio signals from planets about 1000 light 
years away. 
It never got built, but the report formed the 
basis of much SETI work to follow.
 
Aceribo telescope:
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1974, Arecibo observatory made attempts to 
send a message to outside world.
It sent towards the globular star cluster M13 
which is 25,000 light years away from earth.

 
Wow Signal

 

 
Other Projects
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Project SERENDIP – UCB
Sentinel, META and BETA – US Planetary 
Society
Microwave Observational Program (MOP) – 
(1992) NASA. Government Ridiculed and 
Project shutdown.

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Project Phoenix – SETI Institute (1995)
SETI League, Project Argus (Dish Antennas)
 
Project Phoenix
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Search program, studying roughly 1,000 nearby 
Sun­like stars. 
From 1995 through March 2004, Phoenix 
conducted observing campaigns at the 64­
meter Parkes radio telescope in Australia, the 
140­foot (43 m) Telescope  of the National 
Radio Astronomy Observatory in West Virginia, 
USA, and the  Arecibo Observatory in Puerto 
Rico.
 
Allen Telescope Array
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SETI Institute, UCB to develop specialized radio 
telescope array for SETI studies, something like 
mini­cyclops. 
The full array is planned to consist of 350 or 
more Gregorian radio dishes, each 6.1 meters 
(20 ft) in diameter 
First portion of the array became operational in 
October 2007 with 42 antennas.
 
Allen Telescope Array

 

 
Critical Analysis
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Why make the attempt when there are little chance 
of succeeding? Is there a possibility that we can 
understand the message?
The mere attempt will advance the state of radio 
astronomy to the great advantage of humanity in 
understanding the universe.

 
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Volunteer run distributed computing project out 
of UCB.
It analyzes the Radio Telescope data from the 
SERENDIP IV instrument and uses the participants 
computer for computation.
Distributed Computing Concept as well as SETI.

 
SETI @ Home
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The Computation power achieved by this distributed 
computing project makes it equivalent to a the 
worlds second largest super­computer.
SETI Involves searching only Narrow Bandwidth 
Signals.
The process of searching SETI is somewhat like 
tuning the radio to receive the signal. If there is any 
pattern found, more concentration and tuning is 
done in that frequency.
 
 

 
Why has not ET discovered us?
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●

May be it is is not Advanced enough?
May be it discovered but decided to wait for us 
to develop further before it attempts to make 
contact.

Both are weak arguments!

 

 
Self Appraisal for Earth
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Stronger and frightening argument claims that 
Intelligence is a self­limiting property. Perhaps, as 
soon as a species develops a sufficiently high 
technology, it destroys itself. 
In that case, if we receive one message ­ one 
message ­ the one fact it may reveal to us is that 
somewhere a civilization has reached a high level of
technology and has not destroyed itself.
 
First Contact
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●

 

Irrespective of these arguments, a 
communication with an ET will put to test many 
of the fundamental theories of science.
It will help us understand the system better and 
it is a scientific approach in our understanding 
of the universe as we try to establish the first 
contact.

 

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