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Life 2008 Spring Meeting
                 June 16-18, 2008

Session 42, Building and Maintaining Effective Risk
                    Dashboards

                   Moderator
  David T. (Todd) Henderson, FSA, MAAA, CERA

                     Authors
           Karen J. DeToro, FSA,MAAA
              Michel Rochette, FSA
Building & Maintaining Effective
Risk Dashboards




                                                   Session 42
                          Society of Actuaries Spring Meeting
                                                 Quebec City
                                      Tuesday, June 17, 2008
                                           8:30am – 10:00am




Building & Maintaining Effective
Risk Dashboards


      Todd Henderson
            The Western & Southern Financial Group
      Michel Rochette
            AON Global Risk Consulting
      Karen DeToro
            Deloitte Consulting LLP




                                                                1
Risk Dashboards

 Tool providing consolidated and timely
 reporting of risk exposures across an
 enterprise
 –   All important exposures, at a glance
 –   Drilled down and sliced as necessary
 –   Early warnings of emerging exposures
 –   Allowing preemptive, remedial action




Keys To Success

 Algorithmics
 –   Integrate market risk, credit risk and asset liability
     reports in a single dashboard
 –   Easily created and configured new reports
 –   Rich set of visualization elements
 –   Interactive and responsive




                       Source: www.ermsymposium.org/2007/pdf/handouts/CI/CI5_combo.pdf




                                                                                         2
Keys To Success

 ABN Amro/LaSalle Bank
 –   Comprehensive risk assessment
 –   Integrated view of risk, reward and strategy
 –   Forward-looking, actionable, risk escalation tool
 –   Executive sponsorship




                      Source: www.ermsymposium.org/2007/pdf/handouts/CI/CI5_combo.pdf




Keys To Success

 COGNOS
 –   Data must be trustworthy
 –   The business must be involved in shaping the
     requirements
 –   Content first, then aesthetics
 –   Technology and architecture




                      Source: www.ermsymposium.org/2007/pdf/handouts/CI/CI5_combo.pdf




                                                                                        3
Comprehensive View of Risk
                  Corporate        SBU     SBU   SBU
Credit
Market
Interest Rate

Insurance
Operational
Business




Drill Downs & Diagnostics
                  Corporate          SBU   SBU   SBU
           Value At Risk = $643 Million
Credit
Market
Interest Rate

Insurance
Operational
Business




                                                       4
Forward Looking

   Credit                                 Insurance
    –    Credit spread widening            –   Underwriting errors
    –    Watchlist increases               –   Pandemic Alerts
   Market                                 Operational
    –    Value at Risk                     –   Capacity measures
    –    Volatility
   Interest Rate
    –    Volatility




Actionable
                      Corporate     SBU             SBU              SBU
Credit
Market
                  Underwriting Limit Breaches = 7
Interest Rate

Insurance
Operational
Business

                                     Chief Underwriter installs
                                     system edit prohibiting limit
                                     breaches




                                                                           5
Executive Ownership

 Each measure must be owned by a senior
 manager
  –   Ongoing monitoring
  –   Remedial action
 Business units should be intricately involved
 in developing requirements
  –   Special knowledge
  –   Buy-in




Building & Maintaining Effective
Risk Dashboards




                                                    Session 42
                           Society of Actuaries Spring Meeting
                                                  Quebec City
                                       Tuesday, June 17, 2008
                                            8:30am – 10:00am




                                                                 6
Risk Dashboards
Society of Actuaries Spring
Meeting



Date June 17th, 2008




What is a Risk Dashboard?
  As part of ERM, Decision Makers need an integrated
  view of risk across their enterprise.

  Provide an approach to see correlation/links within a
  risk category and between risks.

  Forces the organization to adopt a structured process to
  understand risk and opportunities:
   – Review outstanding risk issues

   – Prioritize management actions

   – Be forward looking in risk management.

   – Monitor compliance to existing risk policies



                                                             2




                                                                 1
Audiences: Different Needs
 Risk has to be communicated to different groups:
  – Board level:
      • To allow them to satisfy their fiduciary duties, making sure that
        management is actually managing risk.
      • To assess the level of risk in light of the company’s risk appetite.
      • To provide with a consolidated view of major threats and opportunities that
        may affect the value of the company to the different stakeholders.
  – Management level:
      • To provide them with a consolidated view of their company’s risks, a
        horizontal view instead of a silo view.
      • To allow them to assess the cost/benefit of implementing controls to reduce
        risk to the company’s desired risk tolerance/appetite.
  – Business level:
      • To allow them to assess the effectiveness of “control” the risks under their
        jurisdiction.




                                                                                       3




Case Study: Sub prime

 Sub prime credits were issued in the mortgage department of the
 retail bank.
 Treasury department securitized sub prime credits, created SPVs
 and sponsored CDOs and the like in line with the new strategic
 models of banks to issue and sell not hold to maturity as before.
 Asset management departments/pension plans of the same banks
 invested in CDOs.
 Retail banks/mutual funds, some owned by the same banks,
 created new short-term “guaranteed” investment vehicles for retail
 customers, investing in asset-back securities.
 Banks provided liquidity enhancements to SPVs.
 Pricing/Valuation models were not stressed tested.




                                                                                       4




                                                                                           2
How a Dashboard Would Have Helped
  A Dashboard should have consolidated the credit exposure for a
 single FI coming from:
  – Issuance of the subprime credit
  – Credit exposure of the SPV. Fis had to consolidate credit exposure back on
    their balance sheet after August 08 due to Reputational considerations. Ex.
    Banque Nationale/Desjardins in Quebec, c Citigroup in the US.
  – Investment by the asset management arm/pension plan.
 A Dashboard should have identified the inherent risks of the
 securitization business:
  – Operational risk exposure of models used should have been identified.
  – Liquidity reports of the FI should have taken into consideration the liquidity
    guarantees offered by banks to SPV.
  – Market risk reports should have taken into consideration the market risk of
    position held by the asset management arm/pension plan of Fis.
  – Potential liabilities/regulatory/compliance issues should have been identified.




                                                                                      5




Applications of a Dashboard
 Presents risk information consistently across the
 enterprise.
 Consolidate risks across the enterprise including
 outsourced operations.
 Allow enterprise to compare/analyze impact of
 external/emerging events on firm.
 Allow firm to monitor adherence to risk appetite using
 appropriate risk metrics: VAR, EAR, CashFlow at Risk.

 Allow firm to publish consistent information to both
 internal and external audiences.



                                                                                      6




                                                                                          3
Dashboard: In line with Risk Concerns

                                                Reputational Risk
                                                      (52)



                                                 Regulatory Risk
                                                      (40)



                                               Human Capital Risk
                                                     (40)



                                                     IT RISK
                                                       (35)



                                  Financial, Market, Credit and Insurance Risk
                                                      (30)



                      Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk
                                                          (20)




                                                                                                   Source: Economist Intelligence
                                                                                                   Unit, 2005
                                                                                                   Max Scale: 100

                                                                                                                             7




Information on Risk                                                                 Info: Vulnerability to
                                                                                      critical processes
                                                                                                Measures:
                                                Reputational Risk
                                                      (52)
                                                                                        Physical security
                                                 Regulatory Risk
                                                                                           breaches
                                                      (40)

                                                                                                Loss events
                                               Human Capital Risk
                                                     (40)
                                                                                          Fraud incidents
                                                     IT RISK
                                                       (35)
                                                                                      Environmental risk
                                Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk
                                                      (30)



       Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, Terrorism, Country Risk
                                                (20)



                                                                                                   Source: Economist Intelligence
                                                                                                   Unit, 2005
                                                                                                   Max Scale: 100

                                                                                                                             8




                                                                                                                                    4
Information on Risk                                                              Info: Assets are
                                                                              impaired/capital at risk
                                                                                              Measures:
                                             Reputational Risk
                                                   (52)                                    Default rates
                                              Regulatory Risk
                                                   (40)
                                                                                   Liquidity measures
                                            Human Capital Risk                                  Price risk
                                                  (40)


                                                                                                ALM risk
                                                  IT RISK
                                                    (35)



                     Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk
                                           (30)


          Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk
                                                     (20)




                                                                                                      Source: Economist Intelligence
                                                                                                      Unit, 2005
                                                                                                      Max Scale: 100

                                                                                                                                9




Information on Risk                                                               Info: Malfunction in
                                                                                    systems which
                                                                                   impede business
                                             Reputational Risk
                                                   (52)
                                                                                              Measures:

                                              Regulatory Risk
                                                                                   System Downtime
                                                   (40)

                                                                                 Information security
                                            Human Capital Risk
                                                  (40)                                breaches
                                                 IT RISK                          Business continuity
                                                   (35)
                                                                                      readiness
                             Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk
                                                   (30)
                                                                                    Disaster recovery
          Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk
                                                     (20)




                                                                                                      Source: Economist Intelligence
                                                                                                      Unit, 2005
                                                                                                      Max Scale: 100

                                                                                                                               10




                                                                                                                                       5
Information on Risk                                                            Info: Employees
                                                                            unavailable/unwilling to
                                                                              perform functions.
                                             Reputational Risk
                                                   (52)
                                                                                              Measures:

                                              Regulatory Risk
                                                                                         Staff Turnover
                                                   (40)

                                                                              Key personnel attrition
                                        Human Capital Risk
                                              (40)
                                                                                       Compensation
                                                  IT RISK
                                                    (35)
                                                                                       Competiveness

                             Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk
                                                                                         Accident rates
                                                   (30)



          Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk
                                                     (20)




                                                                                                      Source: Economist Intelligence
                                                                                                      Unit, 2005
                                                                                                      Max Scale: 100

                                                                                                                               11




Information on Risk                                                            Info: Compliance with
                                                                                  external/internal
                                                                                     regulations
                                             Reputational Risk
                                                   (52)
                                                                                              Measures:

                                              Regulatory Risk
                                                                                        Fines imposed
                                                   (40)

                                                                                    # of investigations
                                        Human Capital Risk
                                              (40)
                                                                                         Status of
                                                  IT RISK
                                                    (35)
                                                                                    implementation of
                                                                                     internal policies
                             Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk
                                                   (30)
                                                                                      New regulations
                                                                                       discussions
          Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk
                                                     (20)




                                                                                                      Source: Economist Intelligence
                                                                                                      Unit, 2005
                                                                                                      Max Scale: 100

                                                                                                                               12




                                                                                                                                       6
Information on Risk                                                                     Info: Impact of
                                                                                   previous risks on value
                                                                                     of the firm including
                                                                                       external factors.
                                                Reputational Risk
                                                      (52)
                                                                                                    Measures:
                                                    Regulatory Risk
                                                         (40)
                                                                                             Chain of events
                                                  Human Capital Risk
                                                                                                impacts
                                                        (40)

                                                                                  Impact of new strategic
                                                        IT RISK
                                                          (35)                          initiatives
                                   Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk
                                                         (30)
                                                                                              Business risks:
                                                                                               Price/volume
                Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk
                                                           (20)
                                                                                                  competition

                                                                                                            Source: Economist Intelligence
                                                                                                            Unit, 2005
                                                                                                            Max Scale: 100

                                                                                                                                     13




 External Requirements: Consistency
   Regulatory Standards:
   – Basel II/Solvency II Pillar III: Info on risk exposure and governance
   – SEC: information on risks in 10-K

   Accounting Standards:
   – IFRS: Provisions as related to risk events
   – Brief description of the obligation, timing and uncertainty of outflows
     and expected reimbursements;

   Risk Standards:
   – COSO ERM II
   – Standards: ISO 31000/ANZ Australian Standards




                                                                                                                                     14




                                                                                                                                             7
Building and Maintaining Effective
    Risk Dashboards
    Implementation Issues


    Karen DeToro
    Deloitte Consulting LLP
    June 17, 2008




Key Challenges in Implementation

The most common challenges in implementing effective risk dashboards
occur in the following key areas:
 Data Issues
 Integration into Decision Making
 Legal Issues
                                                                       042DeToro.ppt




                                    -2-




                                                                                       1
Data Issues

Data issues can be grouped into 3 general areas:

                     Different data is required to be aggregated in a
     Data            different way than for other reporting
   Availability      Timeliness of data is critical for supporting key
                     management decisions

                     Non-financial data may not be well controlled
                     The processes for gathering data (financial and
    Controls
                     non-financial) may not be well controlled


                     Variety of data sources may create challenges in
 Reconciliation
                     reconciling data to published internal and external
   to Other
                     sources
   Reports




                                                                               042DeToro.ppt
                                    -3-




Approaches for Addressing Data Issues

 Think broadly about universe of needed data at dashboard initiation
 Create centralized database to hold all key data to facilitate controls and
 timely automated reporting
 Build in sufficient flexibility to dashboard processes to be responsive as
 key risks change over time
 Implement controls similar to those used for SOX 404; leverage existing
 controls over data where possible
 Leverage commonalities with other data flows in organization
 Develop a strong relationship with IT and business units supplying data
 to better understand the data and build a reliable pipeline for data
                                                                               042DeToro.ppt




                                    -4-




                                                                                               2
Integration into Decision Making

In order to fully support decision making, the dashboard must be:
  Actionable
  – Data must be relevant to management
  – There must be the right level and amount of information targeted to the right
    audiences
  Integrated into a process that drives action
  – Push v. pull strategies for distributing data
  Tied in to incentives
  – Variable compensation must be partially based on performance against risk
    objectives




                                                                                    042DeToro.ppt
                                          -5-




Legal Implications

  Companies are concerned about disclosing too much risk information
  that may be subject to legal discovery
  Companies’ responses to this issue fall somewhere on a spectrum:


         Ideal State                Middle Road           Head in the Sand
        Acknowledge the risk      Acknowledge the risk    Do not acknowledge
        Collect data              Collect data            the risk
        Do the right thing        Do the “wrong” thing    Do not collect data



  Many companies (and their general counsel) presume that the middle
  road is more dangerous than burying one’s head in the sand
                                                                                    042DeToro.ppt




                                          -6-




                                                                                                    3
Ford Motor Company: The Middle Road Done Wrong

                        The situation: 1970’s Ford Pinto
                        The risk: Gas tanks would rupture easily in the
                        event of a rear-end collision
                        The data: The risk became apparent during the
                        design and crash studies of the Ford Pinto
 Cost of repairing the flaw: $11 per car ($137 million cost)1
 Value of the benefit: $200,000 saved per life lost ($49.5 million
 benefit)2
 Internal documents indicated that a cost-benefit analysis did not
 support fixing the flaw
 Outcome: Estimates put the impact at over 500 deaths3, and
 significant financial and reputational damage to Ford




                                                                          042DeToro.ppt
                                   -7-




Major Conglomerate: The Middle Road Done Right

 The situation: Income tax return for a major US conglomerate
 The risk: The company pursued a tax accounting policy, despite some
 concern that it might not be deemed acceptable by the IRS
 The data: The company documented their rationale for interpreting the
 tax law as they did, and quantified the impact of their interpretation
 versus another interpretation commonly in use. This information was
 clearly documented
 Outcome: The company was taken to court by the IRS. Although the
 company’s interpretation was ruled to be invalid, fines and penalties
 were substantially reduced because of the company’s ability to
 document its rationale
                                                                          042DeToro.ppt




                                   -8-




                                                                                          4
Taking the Middle Road – Other Lessons

Lessons can be learned from the approaches hospitals have taken in
dealing with medical errors
  1999 Institute of Medicine report: medical errors cost $17B to $29B per
  year and are the 8th leading cause of death in the US4
  Pressure on hospitals to disclose errors so patients can make informed
  choices about where to obtain care
  Hospitals have mechanisms in place to disclose adverse medical
  events as learning opportunities for doctors
   – Weekly Mortality & Morbidity (“M&M”) conferences
   – Hospital risk managers




                                                                             042DeToro.ppt
                                    -9-




Taking the Middle Road – Hospitals’ Responses
Hospitals have responded to pressures for full disclosure in several ways:
  Traditional approach was “defend and deny” – No admission of wrong-
  doing
   – Cases cited of risk managers and doctors denying knowledge of
     medical errors to protect colleagues
  Proposed legislation – IOM proposed mandatory reporting of errors to
  make health care safer; simultaneously proposed legislation to extend
  peer-review protections to reports of errors (currently extend to M&M)
  Improve processes to reduce errors – Medical community adopting
  similar checks and protocols to the airline industry
  Apologize and disclose – Discussed in next case study

        “With malpractice premiums soaring and a national patients’
       rights movement pushing for full disclosure of medical errors,
         the industry is rethinking the traditional approach known as
                              ‘defend and deny’.”5
                                                                             042DeToro.ppt




                                    - 10 -




                                                                                             5
Lexington VA: The Middle Road Refined

 The situation: Hospitals use weekly Mortality & Morbidity (“M&M”)
 conferences and other disclosures of adverse events as learning
 opportunities to teach doctors how to address complications
 The risk: Admissions of mistakes may be used against doctors in
 malpractice suits.
 The data: Lexington VA implemented a mandatory disclosure policy,
 requiring all doctors to report errors to a committee which then informed
 the family and offered compensation.
 Outcome: Instead, after implementation, the average cost of error-
 related payouts was only $15,632, which was in the lowest quarter of
 the 35 VA hospitals in the country, and Lexington VA is deemed one of
 the safest VA hospitals in the country.6

      “”Being honest defused situations that would otherwise lead to
                               litigation.”7




                                                                             042DeToro.ppt
                                     - 11 -




Legal Issues - Summary

Companies can live more comfortably with the middle road by:
 Acting responsibly, prudently and reasonably with the data they gather
 Disclosing and apologizing when things go wrong
 Utilizing lessons learned from risk events to move closer to the ideal
 state by improving processes to limit future adverse events



        Ideal State             Middle Road          Head in the Sand
       Acknowledge the risk   Acknowledge the risk   Do not acknowledge
       Collect data           Collect data           the risk
       Do the right thing     Do the “wrong” thing   Do not collect data
                                                                             042DeToro.ppt




                                     - 12 -




                                                                                             6
Bibliography
End Notes
      Mark Dowie. “Pinto Madness.” Mother Jones. Sept / Oct 1977.
      Ibid.
      Ibid.
      Stephanie Mencimer, “Casualties of Medicine.” Legal Affairs. May / June 2003.
      Rachel Zimmerman. “Doctors’ New Tool to Fight Lawsuits: Saying I’m Sorry.” Wall
      Street Journal. May 18, 2004, page A1.
      Ibid.
      Stephanie Mencimer, “Casualties of Medicine.” Legal Affairs. May / June 2003.
Other Sources
      Sara Nathan and Guillermo X. Garcia. “Ford visit led to settlement.” USA Today. Jan.
      9, 2000.
      Jane Garbutt et al. “Lost Opportunities: How Physicians Communicate About Medical
      Errors.” Health Affairs. Vol. 27, No. 1, 2008.
      Karen Lundegaard. “Study Raises Roof-Safety Questions.” Safety Issues. Vol. 4,
      Issue 41, April 2005.




                                                                                             042DeToro.ppt
                                                                   - 13 -




 Copyright © 2008 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.




                                                                                                             7

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Risk Dashboard

  • 1. Life 2008 Spring Meeting June 16-18, 2008 Session 42, Building and Maintaining Effective Risk Dashboards Moderator David T. (Todd) Henderson, FSA, MAAA, CERA Authors Karen J. DeToro, FSA,MAAA Michel Rochette, FSA
  • 2. Building & Maintaining Effective Risk Dashboards Session 42 Society of Actuaries Spring Meeting Quebec City Tuesday, June 17, 2008 8:30am – 10:00am Building & Maintaining Effective Risk Dashboards Todd Henderson The Western & Southern Financial Group Michel Rochette AON Global Risk Consulting Karen DeToro Deloitte Consulting LLP 1
  • 3. Risk Dashboards Tool providing consolidated and timely reporting of risk exposures across an enterprise – All important exposures, at a glance – Drilled down and sliced as necessary – Early warnings of emerging exposures – Allowing preemptive, remedial action Keys To Success Algorithmics – Integrate market risk, credit risk and asset liability reports in a single dashboard – Easily created and configured new reports – Rich set of visualization elements – Interactive and responsive Source: www.ermsymposium.org/2007/pdf/handouts/CI/CI5_combo.pdf 2
  • 4. Keys To Success ABN Amro/LaSalle Bank – Comprehensive risk assessment – Integrated view of risk, reward and strategy – Forward-looking, actionable, risk escalation tool – Executive sponsorship Source: www.ermsymposium.org/2007/pdf/handouts/CI/CI5_combo.pdf Keys To Success COGNOS – Data must be trustworthy – The business must be involved in shaping the requirements – Content first, then aesthetics – Technology and architecture Source: www.ermsymposium.org/2007/pdf/handouts/CI/CI5_combo.pdf 3
  • 5. Comprehensive View of Risk Corporate SBU SBU SBU Credit Market Interest Rate Insurance Operational Business Drill Downs & Diagnostics Corporate SBU SBU SBU Value At Risk = $643 Million Credit Market Interest Rate Insurance Operational Business 4
  • 6. Forward Looking Credit Insurance – Credit spread widening – Underwriting errors – Watchlist increases – Pandemic Alerts Market Operational – Value at Risk – Capacity measures – Volatility Interest Rate – Volatility Actionable Corporate SBU SBU SBU Credit Market Underwriting Limit Breaches = 7 Interest Rate Insurance Operational Business Chief Underwriter installs system edit prohibiting limit breaches 5
  • 7. Executive Ownership Each measure must be owned by a senior manager – Ongoing monitoring – Remedial action Business units should be intricately involved in developing requirements – Special knowledge – Buy-in Building & Maintaining Effective Risk Dashboards Session 42 Society of Actuaries Spring Meeting Quebec City Tuesday, June 17, 2008 8:30am – 10:00am 6
  • 8. Risk Dashboards Society of Actuaries Spring Meeting Date June 17th, 2008 What is a Risk Dashboard? As part of ERM, Decision Makers need an integrated view of risk across their enterprise. Provide an approach to see correlation/links within a risk category and between risks. Forces the organization to adopt a structured process to understand risk and opportunities: – Review outstanding risk issues – Prioritize management actions – Be forward looking in risk management. – Monitor compliance to existing risk policies 2 1
  • 9. Audiences: Different Needs Risk has to be communicated to different groups: – Board level: • To allow them to satisfy their fiduciary duties, making sure that management is actually managing risk. • To assess the level of risk in light of the company’s risk appetite. • To provide with a consolidated view of major threats and opportunities that may affect the value of the company to the different stakeholders. – Management level: • To provide them with a consolidated view of their company’s risks, a horizontal view instead of a silo view. • To allow them to assess the cost/benefit of implementing controls to reduce risk to the company’s desired risk tolerance/appetite. – Business level: • To allow them to assess the effectiveness of “control” the risks under their jurisdiction. 3 Case Study: Sub prime Sub prime credits were issued in the mortgage department of the retail bank. Treasury department securitized sub prime credits, created SPVs and sponsored CDOs and the like in line with the new strategic models of banks to issue and sell not hold to maturity as before. Asset management departments/pension plans of the same banks invested in CDOs. Retail banks/mutual funds, some owned by the same banks, created new short-term “guaranteed” investment vehicles for retail customers, investing in asset-back securities. Banks provided liquidity enhancements to SPVs. Pricing/Valuation models were not stressed tested. 4 2
  • 10. How a Dashboard Would Have Helped A Dashboard should have consolidated the credit exposure for a single FI coming from: – Issuance of the subprime credit – Credit exposure of the SPV. Fis had to consolidate credit exposure back on their balance sheet after August 08 due to Reputational considerations. Ex. Banque Nationale/Desjardins in Quebec, c Citigroup in the US. – Investment by the asset management arm/pension plan. A Dashboard should have identified the inherent risks of the securitization business: – Operational risk exposure of models used should have been identified. – Liquidity reports of the FI should have taken into consideration the liquidity guarantees offered by banks to SPV. – Market risk reports should have taken into consideration the market risk of position held by the asset management arm/pension plan of Fis. – Potential liabilities/regulatory/compliance issues should have been identified. 5 Applications of a Dashboard Presents risk information consistently across the enterprise. Consolidate risks across the enterprise including outsourced operations. Allow enterprise to compare/analyze impact of external/emerging events on firm. Allow firm to monitor adherence to risk appetite using appropriate risk metrics: VAR, EAR, CashFlow at Risk. Allow firm to publish consistent information to both internal and external audiences. 6 3
  • 11. Dashboard: In line with Risk Concerns Reputational Risk (52) Regulatory Risk (40) Human Capital Risk (40) IT RISK (35) Financial, Market, Credit and Insurance Risk (30) Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk (20) Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, 2005 Max Scale: 100 7 Information on Risk Info: Vulnerability to critical processes Measures: Reputational Risk (52) Physical security Regulatory Risk breaches (40) Loss events Human Capital Risk (40) Fraud incidents IT RISK (35) Environmental risk Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk (30) Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, Terrorism, Country Risk (20) Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, 2005 Max Scale: 100 8 4
  • 12. Information on Risk Info: Assets are impaired/capital at risk Measures: Reputational Risk (52) Default rates Regulatory Risk (40) Liquidity measures Human Capital Risk Price risk (40) ALM risk IT RISK (35) Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk (30) Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk (20) Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, 2005 Max Scale: 100 9 Information on Risk Info: Malfunction in systems which impede business Reputational Risk (52) Measures: Regulatory Risk System Downtime (40) Information security Human Capital Risk (40) breaches IT RISK Business continuity (35) readiness Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk (30) Disaster recovery Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk (20) Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, 2005 Max Scale: 100 10 5
  • 13. Information on Risk Info: Employees unavailable/unwilling to perform functions. Reputational Risk (52) Measures: Regulatory Risk Staff Turnover (40) Key personnel attrition Human Capital Risk (40) Compensation IT RISK (35) Competiveness Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk Accident rates (30) Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk (20) Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, 2005 Max Scale: 100 11 Information on Risk Info: Compliance with external/internal regulations Reputational Risk (52) Measures: Regulatory Risk Fines imposed (40) # of investigations Human Capital Risk (40) Status of IT RISK (35) implementation of internal policies Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk (30) New regulations discussions Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk (20) Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, 2005 Max Scale: 100 12 6
  • 14. Information on Risk Info: Impact of previous risks on value of the firm including external factors. Reputational Risk (52) Measures: Regulatory Risk (40) Chain of events Human Capital Risk impacts (40) Impact of new strategic IT RISK (35) initiatives Financial, Market, Credit, FX and Insurance Risk (30) Business risks: Price/volume Operational Risk: Crime, security, political, natural hazard, FX, Terrorism, Country Risk (20) competition Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, 2005 Max Scale: 100 13 External Requirements: Consistency Regulatory Standards: – Basel II/Solvency II Pillar III: Info on risk exposure and governance – SEC: information on risks in 10-K Accounting Standards: – IFRS: Provisions as related to risk events – Brief description of the obligation, timing and uncertainty of outflows and expected reimbursements; Risk Standards: – COSO ERM II – Standards: ISO 31000/ANZ Australian Standards 14 7
  • 15. Building and Maintaining Effective Risk Dashboards Implementation Issues Karen DeToro Deloitte Consulting LLP June 17, 2008 Key Challenges in Implementation The most common challenges in implementing effective risk dashboards occur in the following key areas: Data Issues Integration into Decision Making Legal Issues 042DeToro.ppt -2- 1
  • 16. Data Issues Data issues can be grouped into 3 general areas: Different data is required to be aggregated in a Data different way than for other reporting Availability Timeliness of data is critical for supporting key management decisions Non-financial data may not be well controlled The processes for gathering data (financial and Controls non-financial) may not be well controlled Variety of data sources may create challenges in Reconciliation reconciling data to published internal and external to Other sources Reports 042DeToro.ppt -3- Approaches for Addressing Data Issues Think broadly about universe of needed data at dashboard initiation Create centralized database to hold all key data to facilitate controls and timely automated reporting Build in sufficient flexibility to dashboard processes to be responsive as key risks change over time Implement controls similar to those used for SOX 404; leverage existing controls over data where possible Leverage commonalities with other data flows in organization Develop a strong relationship with IT and business units supplying data to better understand the data and build a reliable pipeline for data 042DeToro.ppt -4- 2
  • 17. Integration into Decision Making In order to fully support decision making, the dashboard must be: Actionable – Data must be relevant to management – There must be the right level and amount of information targeted to the right audiences Integrated into a process that drives action – Push v. pull strategies for distributing data Tied in to incentives – Variable compensation must be partially based on performance against risk objectives 042DeToro.ppt -5- Legal Implications Companies are concerned about disclosing too much risk information that may be subject to legal discovery Companies’ responses to this issue fall somewhere on a spectrum: Ideal State Middle Road Head in the Sand Acknowledge the risk Acknowledge the risk Do not acknowledge Collect data Collect data the risk Do the right thing Do the “wrong” thing Do not collect data Many companies (and their general counsel) presume that the middle road is more dangerous than burying one’s head in the sand 042DeToro.ppt -6- 3
  • 18. Ford Motor Company: The Middle Road Done Wrong The situation: 1970’s Ford Pinto The risk: Gas tanks would rupture easily in the event of a rear-end collision The data: The risk became apparent during the design and crash studies of the Ford Pinto Cost of repairing the flaw: $11 per car ($137 million cost)1 Value of the benefit: $200,000 saved per life lost ($49.5 million benefit)2 Internal documents indicated that a cost-benefit analysis did not support fixing the flaw Outcome: Estimates put the impact at over 500 deaths3, and significant financial and reputational damage to Ford 042DeToro.ppt -7- Major Conglomerate: The Middle Road Done Right The situation: Income tax return for a major US conglomerate The risk: The company pursued a tax accounting policy, despite some concern that it might not be deemed acceptable by the IRS The data: The company documented their rationale for interpreting the tax law as they did, and quantified the impact of their interpretation versus another interpretation commonly in use. This information was clearly documented Outcome: The company was taken to court by the IRS. Although the company’s interpretation was ruled to be invalid, fines and penalties were substantially reduced because of the company’s ability to document its rationale 042DeToro.ppt -8- 4
  • 19. Taking the Middle Road – Other Lessons Lessons can be learned from the approaches hospitals have taken in dealing with medical errors 1999 Institute of Medicine report: medical errors cost $17B to $29B per year and are the 8th leading cause of death in the US4 Pressure on hospitals to disclose errors so patients can make informed choices about where to obtain care Hospitals have mechanisms in place to disclose adverse medical events as learning opportunities for doctors – Weekly Mortality & Morbidity (“M&M”) conferences – Hospital risk managers 042DeToro.ppt -9- Taking the Middle Road – Hospitals’ Responses Hospitals have responded to pressures for full disclosure in several ways: Traditional approach was “defend and deny” – No admission of wrong- doing – Cases cited of risk managers and doctors denying knowledge of medical errors to protect colleagues Proposed legislation – IOM proposed mandatory reporting of errors to make health care safer; simultaneously proposed legislation to extend peer-review protections to reports of errors (currently extend to M&M) Improve processes to reduce errors – Medical community adopting similar checks and protocols to the airline industry Apologize and disclose – Discussed in next case study “With malpractice premiums soaring and a national patients’ rights movement pushing for full disclosure of medical errors, the industry is rethinking the traditional approach known as ‘defend and deny’.”5 042DeToro.ppt - 10 - 5
  • 20. Lexington VA: The Middle Road Refined The situation: Hospitals use weekly Mortality & Morbidity (“M&M”) conferences and other disclosures of adverse events as learning opportunities to teach doctors how to address complications The risk: Admissions of mistakes may be used against doctors in malpractice suits. The data: Lexington VA implemented a mandatory disclosure policy, requiring all doctors to report errors to a committee which then informed the family and offered compensation. Outcome: Instead, after implementation, the average cost of error- related payouts was only $15,632, which was in the lowest quarter of the 35 VA hospitals in the country, and Lexington VA is deemed one of the safest VA hospitals in the country.6 “”Being honest defused situations that would otherwise lead to litigation.”7 042DeToro.ppt - 11 - Legal Issues - Summary Companies can live more comfortably with the middle road by: Acting responsibly, prudently and reasonably with the data they gather Disclosing and apologizing when things go wrong Utilizing lessons learned from risk events to move closer to the ideal state by improving processes to limit future adverse events Ideal State Middle Road Head in the Sand Acknowledge the risk Acknowledge the risk Do not acknowledge Collect data Collect data the risk Do the right thing Do the “wrong” thing Do not collect data 042DeToro.ppt - 12 - 6
  • 21. Bibliography End Notes Mark Dowie. “Pinto Madness.” Mother Jones. Sept / Oct 1977. Ibid. Ibid. Stephanie Mencimer, “Casualties of Medicine.” Legal Affairs. May / June 2003. Rachel Zimmerman. “Doctors’ New Tool to Fight Lawsuits: Saying I’m Sorry.” Wall Street Journal. May 18, 2004, page A1. Ibid. Stephanie Mencimer, “Casualties of Medicine.” Legal Affairs. May / June 2003. Other Sources Sara Nathan and Guillermo X. Garcia. “Ford visit led to settlement.” USA Today. Jan. 9, 2000. Jane Garbutt et al. “Lost Opportunities: How Physicians Communicate About Medical Errors.” Health Affairs. Vol. 27, No. 1, 2008. Karen Lundegaard. “Study Raises Roof-Safety Questions.” Safety Issues. Vol. 4, Issue 41, April 2005. 042DeToro.ppt - 13 - Copyright © 2008 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 7