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                     Finance 100

               Prof. Michael R. Roberts




                                          Copyright © Michael R. Roberts   1




                  Topic Overview

Options:
» Uses, definitions, types

Put-Call Parity

Valuation
» Black Scholes

Applications
» Portfolio Insurance
» Hedging
» Speculation and arbitrage

                                          Copyright © Michael R. Roberts   2




                                                                               1
                                                                                   1
Definitions

Call Option
A standard call option is an option giving the buyer the right to buy from
the seller an underlying asset for a fixed price (strike/exercise price) at any
time on or before a fixed date (expiration date)
Put Option
A standard put option is an option giving the buyer the right to sell to the
seller an underlying asset for a fixed price (strike/exercise price) at any
time on or before a fixed date (expiration date)
Exercise Styles:
 » European: can be exercised at maturity only.
 » American: can be exercised at any time before maturity
 » Bermudan: can be exercised only at some predefined times (e.g. employee
   stock options)
 » Atlantic: can be exercised at times dependent on underlying asset (e.g. “cap”
   and “barrier” options)



                                                                           Copyright © Michael R. Roberts   3




                            Options Markets

Exchange traded options
 »   Stock options (CBOE, Philli, AMEX, NYSE), ForEx options (Philli), Index options (CBOE), Futures
     options (CBOE)
OTC options
Specification of an Option Contract
 »   Expiration Date (typically third Friday of the month)
 »   Strike Price
 »   Class & Series
 »   OTM, ATM, ITM (Deep)
 »   Splits & Dividends
Trading
 »   No margin investing!
Options Clearing Corporation (OCC)
 »   Similar to clearinghouse for futures
Regulation
 »   OCC
 »   SEC (options on stocks, stock indices, currencies & bonds)
 »   CFTC (options on futures)
Warrants & ESOPs



                                                                           Copyright © Michael R. Roberts   4




                                                                                                                2
                                                                                                                    2
Options Quotes for Amazon.com Stock




                                                                                           Copyright © Michael R. Roberts   5




    Values of Options at Expiration
                                                   Buying a Call

                                         50

                                         40
                Net Payoff at Maturity




                                         30

                                         20

                                         10

                                          0
                                               0     20        40       60          80   100
                                         -10
                                                          Stock Price at Maturity



 This is the payoff (at maturity) to the buyer of a call option:
 » PayoffT = max(0,ST – K) - C

                                                                                           Copyright © Michael R. Roberts   6




                                                                                                                                3
                                                                                                                                    3
Values of Options at Expiration
                                                     Writing a Call

                                           10

                                            0
                                                 0    20         40       60         80   100




                  Net Payoff at Maturity
                                           -10

                                           -20


                                           -30


                                           -40

                                           -50
                                                           Stock Price at Maturity



This is the payoff (at maturity) to the seller (or writer) of a call option:
 » PayoffT = -[max(0,ST – K) – C] = min(0,K – ST) + P


                                                                                                Copyright © Michael R. Roberts   7




    Values of Options at Expiration
                                                     Buying a Put

                                           50


                                           40
                  Net Payoff at Maturity




                                           30


                                           20


                                           10


                                            0
                                                 0    20        40        60         80   100
                                           -10
                                                           Stock Price at Maturity




This is the payoff (at maturity) to the buyer of a put option:
 » PayoffT = max(0,K - ST) – P

                                                                                                Copyright © Michael R. Roberts   8




                                                                                                                                     4
                                                                                                                                         4
Values of Options at Expiration
                                                     Selling a Put

                                           10

                                            0
                                                 0   20        40        60         80   100




                  Net Payoff at Maturity
                                           -10

                                           -20

                                           -30


                                           -40


                                           -50
                                                          Stock Price at Maturity




This is the payoff (at maturity) to the seller (or writer) of a put option:
 » PayoffT = -[max(0,K - ST) – P] = min(0,ST – K) + P


                                                                                               Copyright © Michael R. Roberts   9




                                             Sample Payoffs

What are the gross payoffs (ignoring the price of the
contract) to the buyer of a call option and a put option
if the exercise price is K=$50?
       Stock        Buy                                      Write                 Buy              Write
       Price        Call                                      Call                 Put               Put
                max(0,ST - K)                             min(0,K - ST)        max(0,K - ST)     min(0,ST - K)
         20          0                                          0                   30                -30
         40          0                                          0                   10                -10
         60          10                                        -10                  0                  0
         80          30                                        -30                  0                  0




                                                                                               Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 10




                                                                                                                                    5
                                                                                                                                        5
Put-Call Parity
                    Example

What is the relationship between a put and a call
option that are otherwise identical. Consider:
» stock whose current price is $90 and pays no dividends
» a risk-free rate of 5%,
» One call and an otherwise identical put option each with
  one year to expiration and strike price of 100.
Can we replicate the call option & what does no
arbitrage imply?



                                             Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 11




                 Put-Call Parity
                 Example (Cont.)




No arbitrage implies:


                                             Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 12




                                                                                 6
                                                                                     6
Put-Call Parity Example

                       200
                                                                                            Call Price  10    Strike    100
                                                                                            Put Price 15.24 Spot Price   90          IR        5%
                                                         Combined Position
                       150                                                                   Future
                                                                                             Stock     Buy     Buy      Buy        Borrow Combined
                                     Own Put
                       100                                                                   Price     Call    Put     Asset      PV(Strike) Position
Payoff at Expiration




                                                                                                 0     -10    84.76     -90         -4.76      -10
                        50                                                                      20     -10    64.76     -70         -4.76      -10
                                                                                                40     -10    44.76     -50         -4.76      -10
                         0
                                                                                                60     -10    24.76     -30         -4.76      -10
                              0         50            100            150            200
                                                                                                80     -10     4.76     -10         -4.76      -10
                        -50
                                                                                              100      -10   -15.24     10          -4.76      -10
                       -100                                                                   120       10   -15.24     30          -4.76      10
                                  Own Asset                                                   140       30   -15.24     50          -4.76      30
                       -150                                             Borrowing             160       50   -15.24     70          -4.76      50
                                               Future Stock Price                             180       70   -15.24     90          -4.76      70
                                                                                              200       90   -15.24     110         -4.76      90



                          We see the combined position in the put, asset and
                          cash exactly replicates the payoffs to the call.

                                                                                                                    Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 13




                                                           Put-Call Parity
                                                         General Expression
                          More generally, consider:
                              » An underlying asset with current price = S0, price at expiry = ST
                              » A put and a call option with T years to maturity and identical strike price = K
                              » An annualized risk-free return and dividend yield equal to r and d, respectively.
                                                                                          Today             Expiration Date
                                                                                                          ST < K     ST > K
                                     Buy Call                                              -C                  0          ST-K
                                     Buy Put                                               -P                K-ST            0
                                                                                                  -T
                                     Buy 1 unit of Asset                              -S0(1+d)                 ST            ST
                                                                                                -T
                                     Borrow PV(Strike Price)                        K(1+r)                     -K            -K
                                                                                       -T       -T
                                     Total                                    -P-S(1+d) +K(1+r)                0          ST-K
                          No arbitrage implies:
                                                      C = P + S 0 (1 + d ) − T − K (1 + r )
                                                                                                                        −T



                                                                                                                    Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 14




                                                                                                                                                        7
                                                                                                                                                            7
Put-Call Parity General Expression
         Continuous Compounding
More generally, consider:
 » An underlying asset with current price = S0, price at expiry = ST
 » A put and a call option with T years to maturity and identical strike price = X
 » Continuously compounded risk-free return and dividend yield equal to r and d,
   respectively.
                                            Today             Expiration Date
                                                            ST < K     ST > K
         Buy Call                             -C                0           ST-K
         Buy Put                              -P              K-ST            0
                                                 -dT
         Buy 1 unit of Asset                -S0e               ST             ST
                                                -rT
         Borrow PV(Strike Price)            Ke                 -K             -K
                                             -dT -rT
         Total                          -P-Se +Ke               0           ST-K

No arbitrage implies:
                           C = P + S 0 e − dT − Ke − rT
                                                                    Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 15




        Put-Call Parity Implications

By rearranging the put-call parity relation, we find numerous
implications
 » How can we replicate borrowing with options and the underlying asset ?

                 Ke − rT = − C + P + S 0 e − dT
 » How can we replicate shorting the underlying asset with options ?

                 S 0 e − dT = C − P + Ke − rT
 » What is the implies risk-free return ?
                             ⎛ − C + P + S 0 e − dT    ⎞1
                    r = − ln ⎜
                             ⎜                         ⎟
                                                       ⎟T
                             ⎝        K                ⎠
 » Protective Put = Fiduciary Call ?

                      S 0 e − dT + P = C + Ke − rT
                                                                    Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 16




                                                                                                        8
                                                                                                            8
Put-Call Parity and Arbitrage
                   Example

A non-dividend paying stock is currently selling for $100.
» A call option with an exercise price of $90 and maturity of 3 months
  has a price of $12.
» A put option with an exercise price of $90 and maturity of 3 months
  has a price of $2.
» The one-year T-bill rate is 5.0%.
What does PCP imply?

What is the first step of your arbitrage strategy?




                                                      Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 17




        Put-Call Parity and Arbitrage
              Example (Cont.)




                                                      Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 18




                                                                                          9
                                                                                              9
Call Option Valuation
                   Black-Scholes
 Black Scholes price of a call option on a non-dividend-paying
 stock, C
        C = S × N (d1 ) − PV (K ) × N (d 2 )
 S is current price of the stock
 K is the exercise price
 N(x) is the Standard Normal CDF, Pr(X<x)
       ln[S / PV (K )]   σ T
d1 =                   +              and      d 2 = d1 − σ T
           σ T            2
 σ is the annual volatility
 T is the number of years left to expiration

                                                  Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 19




Valuing a Call Option with Black-Scholes




                                                  Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 20




                                                                                      10
                                                                                           10
Valuing a Call Option with Black-Scholes

    The BS parameters:
       »    S = (12.58+12.59)/2 = $12.585
       »    T = 45/365
       »    rf = 4.38%
       »    σ = 25%
       »    K = $12.50
PV ( K ) = 12.50 / (1.0438 )
                               45/365
                                        = $12.434
           ln[S / PV (K )]   σ T ln (12.585 / 12.434 ) 0.25 45 / 365
d1 =                       +    =                     +              = 0.181
               σ T            2     0.25 45 / 365           2
d 2 = d1 − σ T = 0.181 − 0.25 45 / 365 = 0.094

                      C = S × N (d1 ) − PV (K ) × N (d 2 )
                           = 12.585 ( 0.572 ) − 12.434 ( 0.537 ) = $0.52
                                                                               Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 21




           Black-Scholes Call Option Values
           Future Payoff



                                            Value of Call before
                                                 Maturity




                                                                         Value of Call at
                                                                            Maturity



                                                          Future Stock Price




                                                                               Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 22




                                                                                                                   11
                                                                                                                        11
Put Option Valuation
                   Black-Scholes
 Black Scholes price of a call option on a non-dividend-paying
 stock, P
       P = PV (K )[1 − N (d 2 )] − S[1 − N (d1 )]
 S is current price of the stock
 K is the exercise price
 N(x) is the Standard Normal CDF, Pr(X<x)
       ln[S / PV (K )]   σ T
d1 =                   +              and      d 2 = d1 − σ T
           σ T            2
 σ is the annual volatility
 T is the number of years left to expiration

                                                  Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 23




 Stock Option Valuation with Dividends
             Black-Scholes

 Very simple adjustment to the previous formulas:
 Define the ex-dividend stock price:
                S x = S − PV (Div)
 Substitute Sx for S in the formulas
  » A special case is when the stock will pay a dividend that is
    proportional to its stock price at the time the dividend is
    paid. If q is the stock’s (compounded) dividend yield until
    the expiration date, then:

                     S x = S / (1 + q)

                                                  Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 24




                                                                                      12
                                                                                           12
Call Option Sensitivities
The Option Pricing formula gives the following
sensitivities for a call option:

                     Effect on
        Increase in… Call Price         Intuition
              S          up     More likely to finish ITM
              σ          up       Asymmetric Payoff
              T          up       Asymmetric Payoff
              r          up        Time Value of $
              K        down     Less likely to finish ITM




                                                      Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 25




               Compaq Options:
            Using Black-Scholes (cont.)

Compaq (Ok…)
Black -Scholes prices and quoted prices:
          Calls                 Puts
   K    BS Price Quoted Price BS Price Quoted Price
   60    18.854    20.250      1.029       NA
   65    14.942    15.500      2.027      2.500
   70    11.539    12.875      3.534      3.000
   75    8.691      8.750      5.597      6.125
   80    6.394      6.000      8.211      8.250
   85    4.604      4.375      11.331      NA


                                                      Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 26




                                                                                          13
                                                                                               13
Compaq Call Options
    Market prices and Black-Scholes Prices

                  30.000

                                                 BS Price
                  25.000
                                                 Quoted Price

                  20.000
    Option valu




                  15.000


                  10.000


                   5.000


                   0.000
                           50   55   60   65   70       75      80   85      90      95
                                               Strike price



                                                                     Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 27




                  Debt and Equity as Options

Suppose a firm has debt with a face value of $1m
outstanding that matures at the end of the year. What
is the value of debt and equity at the end of the year?
                                  Payoff to             Payoff to
                   Asset Value Shareholders            Debtholders
                       0.3           0.0                   0.3
                       0.6           0.0                   0.6
                       0.9           0.0                   1.0
                       1.2           0.2                   1.0
                       1.5           0.5                   1.0
                  (Amounts are in millions of dollars)



                                                                     Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 28




                                                                                                         14
                                                                                                              14
Debt and Equity as Options
                 An Illustration

Net
Payoffs
                       Firm


           Bondholders



                                       Equityholders


                    Face Value
      0                                 Future Firm Value
                     of Debt
                                                Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 29




          Debt and Equity as Options

 Consider a firm with zero coupon debt outstanding with a face
 value of F. The debt will come due in exactly one year.
 The payoff to the equityholders of this firm one year from now
 will be the following:
    Payoff to Equity = max[0, V-F]
 where V is the total value of the firm’s assets one year from
 now.
 Similarly, the payoff to the firm’s bondholders one year from
 now will be:
  Payoff to Bondholders = V - max[0,V-F]
 Equity has a payoff like that of a call option. Risky debt has
 a payoff that is equal to the total value of the firm, less the
 payoff of a call option.

                                                Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 30




                                                                                    15
                                                                                         15
Junior vs. Senior Debt

                     150


                     125
                               Senior Debt

                     100
            Payoff




                      75                           Junior Debt


                      50


                      25
                                                                         Equity

                       0
                           0       50        100         150       200    250        300
                                                     Asset Value




                                                                                  Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 31




  Hedging with Foreign Currency Options

  Initial investment (option premium) is required
  You eliminate downside risks, while retaining upside
  potential
Example: Recall the American firm selling 20 machines
  to a German company at 50,000ECU per machine.
   » What’s our exposure ?

   » What options position should we take to hedge the risk ?

   (Assume that the puts are struck at $1.57/ECU)


                                                                                  Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 32




                                                                                                                      16
                                                                                                                           16
Hedging with Foreign Currency Options
                (Cont.)
 Scenario 1: Exchange rate falls to $1.00/ECU
  » Profits from options position = ?

  » Profits from sale of machines = ?

  » Total profit in $US = ?
 Scenario 2: Exchange rate rises to $2.00/ECU
  » Profits from futures position = ?
  » Profits from sale of machines = ?

  » Total profit in $US =?
 Punch line:



                                                     Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 33




   Hedging with Options vs. Futures

Payoffs
                               Payoff with Options




                                                     Payoff with
                                                     Futures




      0                                       Exchange Rate
                                                     Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 34




                                                                                         17
                                                                                              17
Summary

Options are derivative securities

Put-Call Parity

Valuation: use Black-Scholes

Value of option increases with volatility of underlying assets

Use options for
» Volatility bets
» Portfolio Insurance
» Hedging


                                                Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 35




                                                                                    18
                                                                                         18

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Lsh Options

  • 1. Options Finance 100 Prof. Michael R. Roberts Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 1 Topic Overview Options: » Uses, definitions, types Put-Call Parity Valuation » Black Scholes Applications » Portfolio Insurance » Hedging » Speculation and arbitrage Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 2 1 1
  • 2. Definitions Call Option A standard call option is an option giving the buyer the right to buy from the seller an underlying asset for a fixed price (strike/exercise price) at any time on or before a fixed date (expiration date) Put Option A standard put option is an option giving the buyer the right to sell to the seller an underlying asset for a fixed price (strike/exercise price) at any time on or before a fixed date (expiration date) Exercise Styles: » European: can be exercised at maturity only. » American: can be exercised at any time before maturity » Bermudan: can be exercised only at some predefined times (e.g. employee stock options) » Atlantic: can be exercised at times dependent on underlying asset (e.g. “cap” and “barrier” options) Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 3 Options Markets Exchange traded options » Stock options (CBOE, Philli, AMEX, NYSE), ForEx options (Philli), Index options (CBOE), Futures options (CBOE) OTC options Specification of an Option Contract » Expiration Date (typically third Friday of the month) » Strike Price » Class & Series » OTM, ATM, ITM (Deep) » Splits & Dividends Trading » No margin investing! Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) » Similar to clearinghouse for futures Regulation » OCC » SEC (options on stocks, stock indices, currencies & bonds) » CFTC (options on futures) Warrants & ESOPs Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 4 2 2
  • 3. Options Quotes for Amazon.com Stock Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 5 Values of Options at Expiration Buying a Call 50 40 Net Payoff at Maturity 30 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 -10 Stock Price at Maturity This is the payoff (at maturity) to the buyer of a call option: » PayoffT = max(0,ST – K) - C Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 6 3 3
  • 4. Values of Options at Expiration Writing a Call 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Net Payoff at Maturity -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 Stock Price at Maturity This is the payoff (at maturity) to the seller (or writer) of a call option: » PayoffT = -[max(0,ST – K) – C] = min(0,K – ST) + P Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 7 Values of Options at Expiration Buying a Put 50 40 Net Payoff at Maturity 30 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 -10 Stock Price at Maturity This is the payoff (at maturity) to the buyer of a put option: » PayoffT = max(0,K - ST) – P Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 8 4 4
  • 5. Values of Options at Expiration Selling a Put 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Net Payoff at Maturity -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 Stock Price at Maturity This is the payoff (at maturity) to the seller (or writer) of a put option: » PayoffT = -[max(0,K - ST) – P] = min(0,ST – K) + P Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 9 Sample Payoffs What are the gross payoffs (ignoring the price of the contract) to the buyer of a call option and a put option if the exercise price is K=$50? Stock Buy Write Buy Write Price Call Call Put Put max(0,ST - K) min(0,K - ST) max(0,K - ST) min(0,ST - K) 20 0 0 30 -30 40 0 0 10 -10 60 10 -10 0 0 80 30 -30 0 0 Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 10 5 5
  • 6. Put-Call Parity Example What is the relationship between a put and a call option that are otherwise identical. Consider: » stock whose current price is $90 and pays no dividends » a risk-free rate of 5%, » One call and an otherwise identical put option each with one year to expiration and strike price of 100. Can we replicate the call option & what does no arbitrage imply? Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 11 Put-Call Parity Example (Cont.) No arbitrage implies: Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 12 6 6
  • 7. Put-Call Parity Example 200 Call Price 10 Strike 100 Put Price 15.24 Spot Price 90 IR 5% Combined Position 150 Future Stock Buy Buy Buy Borrow Combined Own Put 100 Price Call Put Asset PV(Strike) Position Payoff at Expiration 0 -10 84.76 -90 -4.76 -10 50 20 -10 64.76 -70 -4.76 -10 40 -10 44.76 -50 -4.76 -10 0 60 -10 24.76 -30 -4.76 -10 0 50 100 150 200 80 -10 4.76 -10 -4.76 -10 -50 100 -10 -15.24 10 -4.76 -10 -100 120 10 -15.24 30 -4.76 10 Own Asset 140 30 -15.24 50 -4.76 30 -150 Borrowing 160 50 -15.24 70 -4.76 50 Future Stock Price 180 70 -15.24 90 -4.76 70 200 90 -15.24 110 -4.76 90 We see the combined position in the put, asset and cash exactly replicates the payoffs to the call. Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 13 Put-Call Parity General Expression More generally, consider: » An underlying asset with current price = S0, price at expiry = ST » A put and a call option with T years to maturity and identical strike price = K » An annualized risk-free return and dividend yield equal to r and d, respectively. Today Expiration Date ST < K ST > K Buy Call -C 0 ST-K Buy Put -P K-ST 0 -T Buy 1 unit of Asset -S0(1+d) ST ST -T Borrow PV(Strike Price) K(1+r) -K -K -T -T Total -P-S(1+d) +K(1+r) 0 ST-K No arbitrage implies: C = P + S 0 (1 + d ) − T − K (1 + r ) −T Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 14 7 7
  • 8. Put-Call Parity General Expression Continuous Compounding More generally, consider: » An underlying asset with current price = S0, price at expiry = ST » A put and a call option with T years to maturity and identical strike price = X » Continuously compounded risk-free return and dividend yield equal to r and d, respectively. Today Expiration Date ST < K ST > K Buy Call -C 0 ST-K Buy Put -P K-ST 0 -dT Buy 1 unit of Asset -S0e ST ST -rT Borrow PV(Strike Price) Ke -K -K -dT -rT Total -P-Se +Ke 0 ST-K No arbitrage implies: C = P + S 0 e − dT − Ke − rT Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 15 Put-Call Parity Implications By rearranging the put-call parity relation, we find numerous implications » How can we replicate borrowing with options and the underlying asset ? Ke − rT = − C + P + S 0 e − dT » How can we replicate shorting the underlying asset with options ? S 0 e − dT = C − P + Ke − rT » What is the implies risk-free return ? ⎛ − C + P + S 0 e − dT ⎞1 r = − ln ⎜ ⎜ ⎟ ⎟T ⎝ K ⎠ » Protective Put = Fiduciary Call ? S 0 e − dT + P = C + Ke − rT Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 16 8 8
  • 9. Put-Call Parity and Arbitrage Example A non-dividend paying stock is currently selling for $100. » A call option with an exercise price of $90 and maturity of 3 months has a price of $12. » A put option with an exercise price of $90 and maturity of 3 months has a price of $2. » The one-year T-bill rate is 5.0%. What does PCP imply? What is the first step of your arbitrage strategy? Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 17 Put-Call Parity and Arbitrage Example (Cont.) Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 18 9 9
  • 10. Call Option Valuation Black-Scholes Black Scholes price of a call option on a non-dividend-paying stock, C C = S × N (d1 ) − PV (K ) × N (d 2 ) S is current price of the stock K is the exercise price N(x) is the Standard Normal CDF, Pr(X<x) ln[S / PV (K )] σ T d1 = + and d 2 = d1 − σ T σ T 2 σ is the annual volatility T is the number of years left to expiration Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 19 Valuing a Call Option with Black-Scholes Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 20 10 10
  • 11. Valuing a Call Option with Black-Scholes The BS parameters: » S = (12.58+12.59)/2 = $12.585 » T = 45/365 » rf = 4.38% » σ = 25% » K = $12.50 PV ( K ) = 12.50 / (1.0438 ) 45/365 = $12.434 ln[S / PV (K )] σ T ln (12.585 / 12.434 ) 0.25 45 / 365 d1 = + = + = 0.181 σ T 2 0.25 45 / 365 2 d 2 = d1 − σ T = 0.181 − 0.25 45 / 365 = 0.094 C = S × N (d1 ) − PV (K ) × N (d 2 ) = 12.585 ( 0.572 ) − 12.434 ( 0.537 ) = $0.52 Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 21 Black-Scholes Call Option Values Future Payoff Value of Call before Maturity Value of Call at Maturity Future Stock Price Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 22 11 11
  • 12. Put Option Valuation Black-Scholes Black Scholes price of a call option on a non-dividend-paying stock, P P = PV (K )[1 − N (d 2 )] − S[1 − N (d1 )] S is current price of the stock K is the exercise price N(x) is the Standard Normal CDF, Pr(X<x) ln[S / PV (K )] σ T d1 = + and d 2 = d1 − σ T σ T 2 σ is the annual volatility T is the number of years left to expiration Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 23 Stock Option Valuation with Dividends Black-Scholes Very simple adjustment to the previous formulas: Define the ex-dividend stock price: S x = S − PV (Div) Substitute Sx for S in the formulas » A special case is when the stock will pay a dividend that is proportional to its stock price at the time the dividend is paid. If q is the stock’s (compounded) dividend yield until the expiration date, then: S x = S / (1 + q) Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 24 12 12
  • 13. Call Option Sensitivities The Option Pricing formula gives the following sensitivities for a call option: Effect on Increase in… Call Price Intuition S up More likely to finish ITM σ up Asymmetric Payoff T up Asymmetric Payoff r up Time Value of $ K down Less likely to finish ITM Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 25 Compaq Options: Using Black-Scholes (cont.) Compaq (Ok…) Black -Scholes prices and quoted prices: Calls Puts K BS Price Quoted Price BS Price Quoted Price 60 18.854 20.250 1.029 NA 65 14.942 15.500 2.027 2.500 70 11.539 12.875 3.534 3.000 75 8.691 8.750 5.597 6.125 80 6.394 6.000 8.211 8.250 85 4.604 4.375 11.331 NA Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 26 13 13
  • 14. Compaq Call Options Market prices and Black-Scholes Prices 30.000 BS Price 25.000 Quoted Price 20.000 Option valu 15.000 10.000 5.000 0.000 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Strike price Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 27 Debt and Equity as Options Suppose a firm has debt with a face value of $1m outstanding that matures at the end of the year. What is the value of debt and equity at the end of the year? Payoff to Payoff to Asset Value Shareholders Debtholders 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.0 1.0 1.2 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 (Amounts are in millions of dollars) Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 28 14 14
  • 15. Debt and Equity as Options An Illustration Net Payoffs Firm Bondholders Equityholders Face Value 0 Future Firm Value of Debt Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 29 Debt and Equity as Options Consider a firm with zero coupon debt outstanding with a face value of F. The debt will come due in exactly one year. The payoff to the equityholders of this firm one year from now will be the following: Payoff to Equity = max[0, V-F] where V is the total value of the firm’s assets one year from now. Similarly, the payoff to the firm’s bondholders one year from now will be: Payoff to Bondholders = V - max[0,V-F] Equity has a payoff like that of a call option. Risky debt has a payoff that is equal to the total value of the firm, less the payoff of a call option. Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 30 15 15
  • 16. Junior vs. Senior Debt 150 125 Senior Debt 100 Payoff 75 Junior Debt 50 25 Equity 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Asset Value Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 31 Hedging with Foreign Currency Options Initial investment (option premium) is required You eliminate downside risks, while retaining upside potential Example: Recall the American firm selling 20 machines to a German company at 50,000ECU per machine. » What’s our exposure ? » What options position should we take to hedge the risk ? (Assume that the puts are struck at $1.57/ECU) Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 32 16 16
  • 17. Hedging with Foreign Currency Options (Cont.) Scenario 1: Exchange rate falls to $1.00/ECU » Profits from options position = ? » Profits from sale of machines = ? » Total profit in $US = ? Scenario 2: Exchange rate rises to $2.00/ECU » Profits from futures position = ? » Profits from sale of machines = ? » Total profit in $US =? Punch line: Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 33 Hedging with Options vs. Futures Payoffs Payoff with Options Payoff with Futures 0 Exchange Rate Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 34 17 17
  • 18. Summary Options are derivative securities Put-Call Parity Valuation: use Black-Scholes Value of option increases with volatility of underlying assets Use options for » Volatility bets » Portfolio Insurance » Hedging Copyright © Michael R. Roberts 35 18 18