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GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE
A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E
Denver, CO / June 26, 2013
@bruce_katz
#globalcities
10 millionjobs needed
More Jobs
81 millionpoor or near poor in 2000
More Jobs & Better Jobs
107 millionpoor or near poor in 2011
More Jobs & Better Jobs
A vision for the next
American economy
1 2 3
1
2 3
The next economy will be
largely metropolitan
1 2 31
2
3
1 2 31 2
3
Metropolitan areas
are driving innovation
METRO
INNOVATION
A vision for the next
American economy
1 2 3
1
2 3
2009
Global GDP
19.9%
US
21.0%
BIC Countries
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
2018
Global GDP
28.2%
BIC Countries
17.6%
US
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
Global Metro Population
2009
50%
Global Metro Population
2030
60%
Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
Economic Performance
2011 - 2012
Highest Performing Metros
Lowest Performing Metros
Source: Brookings, Global MetroMonitor, November 2012
Exports Share of GDP
2010
13%
United States
29% 22%
15%
30%
Japan
China Canada India
European Union
15%
Source: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011
Transport Networks are Clogged and Congested
Can we get back into the
export game?
billionUS manufactured exports
2010
$944
Japan
$680
$944
United States GermanyFrance
$409
China
$1477
$1091
Top Manufacturing Exporting Countries
2010, Billions
Source: World Trade Organization, 2011
$358
Service
Imports
Service
Exports
$518
US Service Trade
Billions, 2010
$160 billion
trade surplus
Source: World Trade Organization, 2011 (Data reflect Commercial Services)
Can the U.S. play in the
low carbon revolution?
Sources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011)
2.7 millionclean economy jobs
1.4 millionbiosciences jobs
4.8 millionIT jobs
2.4 millionfossil fuel jobs
2.7 millionclean economy jobs
Sources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011), Brookings Analysis of Battelle, BLS, Moody’s Analytics data
$53.9 billionclean economy exports
Source: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) and Moody’s Economy.com
$53.9 billionclean economy exports
National
Economy
$10,392
Export Intensity
Yearly Export Earnings per Job
$20,124
Clean
Economy
Source: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) and Moody’s Economy.com
Can the U.S. be an
Innovation Nation?
US Names China On
Intellectual-Property
Watchlist
China's insufficient protection of
intellectual property rights remains a top
priority for U.S. trade policy, given the
"troubling" direction of recent government
measures aimed at supporting domestic
innovation, the U.S. Trade Representative's
office said Monday.
China Begins to Lose
Edge as World’s Factory
Floor
January 16, 2013
BEIJING - China is losing its competitive
edge as a low-cost manufacturing base, new
data suggest, with makers of everything
from handbags to shirts to basic electronic
components relocating to cheaper locales.
The shift - illustrated in weakened foreign
investment in China - has pluses and
minuses for an economy key to global
growth.
Shale Gas Fuels U.S.
Manufacturing
Renaissance
January 10, 2013
Abundant, affordable domestic natural gas
is helping to revitalize energy-intensive
industries like petrochemical
manufacturing.
“Looking back 20 years, chemicals were
out nation’s top export product. But as
recently as five years ago, we were on the
verge of becoming an importer. Now the
industry is back.
January 19, 2013
The number of firms known tohave “reshored” manufacturing to
America is well under 100.Doubtless many more are doing so
quietly. Examples range from the
tiny, such as ET Water Systems, to
the enormous, such as General
Electric, which last year moved
manufacturing of washingmachines. fridges, and heaters
back from China.
Reshoring Manufacturing:Coming Home
11%wage premium
in exporting firms
Source: Istrate, Rothwell & Katz, Export Nation (2010)
Greater likelihood
of health and
retirement benefits
in export-intense
industries
The U.S. must get smart...
fast
Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey
Hispanics
19%
African
Americans
Non-Hispanic
Whites
Asians
25%
39%
56%
Educational Attainment
Associate’s Degree or Higher
United
States
36%
Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey
Hispanics
19%
African
Americans
25%
Educational Attainment
Associate’s Degree or Higher
The next economy will be
largely metropolitan
1 2 31
2
3
Source: Brookings analysis of US Bureau of Economic Analysis data
Colorado
Denver, Colorado Springs
Population GDP
64% 64%
Colorado
Denver, Colorado Springs
Population GDP
Boulder, Fort Collins/Loveland, Grand Junction, Greeley, Pueblo
86% 85%
Service
Exports
75%
63%
Manufacturing
Exports
Population
66%
Top 100 Metro Exports
Share of U.S. Totals
Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
Top 100 Metro Exports
Chemical
Products
68%
76%
Business/
Professional
Services
Computer/
Electronic
Products
78%
Population
66%
Share of U.S. Totals
Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
Top 100 Metro Trade Logistics
U.S. Air
Cargo
Weight
82%
88%
Foreign
Waterborne
Cargo Weight
Airline
Boardings
92%
Population
66%
Share of U.S. Totals
Source: Brookings analysis of US Census Bureau, FAA, and PIERS data (2009)
Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.com
Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.com
61,102
US
Denver
Metro
Manufacturing
Intensity
8.5%
5.1%
Manufacturing Jobs
Top Manufacturing Sectors
Denver, CO Metro Manufacturing Dashboard
Food 12.5%
Fabricated Metal Products 11.1%
Computers & Electronics 10.3%
Aerospace 10.0%
Misc Manufacturing 9.9%
US
Denver
Metro
Manufacturing
Growth
2010 Q1 - 2011 Q4
2.7%
0.1%
Source: Brookings, Locating American Manufacturing 2012
$10.2 B
Top 100
Metros
Denver
Metro
Export Intensity
9.8%
7.2%
Export Volume
Goods & Services Exports
46.7%
goods share of
exports
Denver, CO Metro Export Dashboard
72,800
Export Jobs
56.3%
services share
of exports
Top Services SectorsTop Services Sectors
Travel & Tourism 17.2%
Business Services 13.9%
Royalties 8.4%
Top Goods SectorsTop Goods Sectors
Transportation
Equipment
6.2%
Petroleum and Coal
Products
5.5%
Computers and
Electronics
5.2%
Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
Denver, CO Metro Export Dashboard
Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
Denver’s Top Export Destinations
By 2010 Volume (in millions)
Canada
Mexico
Japan
United
Kingdom
China
$1,422.7
$773.0
$719.9
$716.5
$474.7
Germany
Brazil
Netherlands
South
Korea
France
$428.8
$358.0
$294.4
$284.1
$268.1
Denver, CO Metro Global Aviation Dashboard
Source: Brookings “Global Gateways: International Aviation in Metropolitan America” (2012)
Share of Denver Passenger Air
Travel to Major Global Regions
By 2011 Total Passengers
Denver’s Top Air Travel Connections
By 2011 Total Passengers
Latin America/
Caribbean
Western Europe
North
America
36.7%
Rest of
World
27.5%
16.4%
19.4%
Cancun 141,540
London
Toronto
Puerto
Vallarta
Mexico City
121,891
92,456
71,175
72,945
1 2 31 2
3
Metropolitan areas
are driving innovation
METRO
INNOVATION
Innovate Locally
T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f
G L O B A L LY F L U E N T
M E T R O A R E A S
Globally Aware
Globally Fluent
Globally Oriented
Global Fluency
The level of understanding,
competence, practice and reach
that a metro area exhibits in an
increasingly interconnected world
economy.T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f
G L O B A L LY F L U E N T
M E T R O A R E A S
1. Leadership with a Worldview
2. Legacy of Global Orientation
3. Specializations with a Global Reach
4. Adaptability to Global Dynamics
5. Culture of Knowledge and Innovation
6. Opportunity and Appeal to the World
7. International Connectivity
9. Government as Global Enabler
10. Compelling Global Identity
8. Investment for Strategic Priorities
T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f
G L O B A L LY F L U E N T
M E T R O A R E A S
Governments
Philanthropy
Firms
Universities
Collaborate to Compete
1. Leadership with a Worldview
T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f
G L O B A L LY F L U E N T
M E T R O A R E A S
STEM Jobs Requiring B.A.
Wage Premium
$42,967
$74,135
STEM Jobs261,210
22.4%
59.7%
STEM Job Share 2011
5. Culture of Knowledge and Innovation
Denver’s STEM Economy
T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f
G L O B A L LY F L U E N T
M E T R O A R E A S
T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f
G L O B A L LY F L U E N T
M E T R O A R E A S
Innovate Locally
Innovate Locally Advocate Nationally
State Governments Colorado
Space Cluster
4 states joining Colorado to advocate for
and promote space cluster initiatives
$20m competitive matching grants for
early-stage tech development in CO
Ohio
Third Frontier & Edison Tech Centers
7 regional centers providing innovation &
commercialization services
to foster innovation
ecosystem in Ohio
2010-2016
$700 m
State Governments Florida
12 international
offices
$3 b
state GDP added from export
assistance & business
development in 2011
Office of Freight, Logistics &
Passenger Operations
Coordinates multimodal freight statewide by
aligning with regional freight strategies
Enterprise Florida
Reform
Immigration for
Competitiveness
Open New
Markets
Free Trade
AgreementFree Trade
AgreementFree Trade
Agreement
Federal Government
Modernize &
Prioritize Trade
Corridors
National Freight
Strategy
Trans-Pacific
Partnership
Europe
Export
Financing
International
Market
Intelligence
International Trade
Administration
Export-Import Bank
Innovate Locally Advocate Nationally
Innovate Locally Network GloballyAdvocate Nationally
Play video on Youtube
GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE
A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E
Denver, CO / June 26, 2013
@bruce_katz
#globalcities

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Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Denver

  • 1. GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E Denver, CO / June 26, 2013 @bruce_katz #globalcities
  • 3. 81 millionpoor or near poor in 2000 More Jobs & Better Jobs
  • 4. 107 millionpoor or near poor in 2011 More Jobs & Better Jobs
  • 5. A vision for the next American economy 1 2 3 1 2 3
  • 6. The next economy will be largely metropolitan 1 2 31 2 3
  • 7. 1 2 31 2 3 Metropolitan areas are driving innovation METRO INNOVATION
  • 8. A vision for the next American economy 1 2 3 1 2 3
  • 9.
  • 10. 2009 Global GDP 19.9% US 21.0% BIC Countries Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
  • 11. 2018 Global GDP 28.2% BIC Countries 17.6% US Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
  • 13. Global Metro Population 2030 60% Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
  • 14. Economic Performance 2011 - 2012 Highest Performing Metros Lowest Performing Metros Source: Brookings, Global MetroMonitor, November 2012
  • 15. Exports Share of GDP 2010 13% United States 29% 22% 15% 30% Japan China Canada India European Union 15% Source: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011
  • 16. Transport Networks are Clogged and Congested
  • 17.
  • 18. Can we get back into the export game?
  • 19.
  • 21. Japan $680 $944 United States GermanyFrance $409 China $1477 $1091 Top Manufacturing Exporting Countries 2010, Billions Source: World Trade Organization, 2011
  • 22. $358 Service Imports Service Exports $518 US Service Trade Billions, 2010 $160 billion trade surplus Source: World Trade Organization, 2011 (Data reflect Commercial Services)
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. Can the U.S. play in the low carbon revolution?
  • 27. Sources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) 2.7 millionclean economy jobs
  • 28. 1.4 millionbiosciences jobs 4.8 millionIT jobs 2.4 millionfossil fuel jobs 2.7 millionclean economy jobs Sources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011), Brookings Analysis of Battelle, BLS, Moody’s Analytics data
  • 29. $53.9 billionclean economy exports Source: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) and Moody’s Economy.com
  • 30. $53.9 billionclean economy exports National Economy $10,392 Export Intensity Yearly Export Earnings per Job $20,124 Clean Economy Source: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) and Moody’s Economy.com
  • 31.
  • 32. Can the U.S. be an Innovation Nation?
  • 33. US Names China On Intellectual-Property Watchlist China's insufficient protection of intellectual property rights remains a top priority for U.S. trade policy, given the "troubling" direction of recent government measures aimed at supporting domestic innovation, the U.S. Trade Representative's office said Monday. China Begins to Lose Edge as World’s Factory Floor January 16, 2013 BEIJING - China is losing its competitive edge as a low-cost manufacturing base, new data suggest, with makers of everything from handbags to shirts to basic electronic components relocating to cheaper locales. The shift - illustrated in weakened foreign investment in China - has pluses and minuses for an economy key to global growth. Shale Gas Fuels U.S. Manufacturing Renaissance January 10, 2013 Abundant, affordable domestic natural gas is helping to revitalize energy-intensive industries like petrochemical manufacturing. “Looking back 20 years, chemicals were out nation’s top export product. But as recently as five years ago, we were on the verge of becoming an importer. Now the industry is back. January 19, 2013 The number of firms known tohave “reshored” manufacturing to America is well under 100.Doubtless many more are doing so quietly. Examples range from the tiny, such as ET Water Systems, to the enormous, such as General Electric, which last year moved manufacturing of washingmachines. fridges, and heaters back from China. Reshoring Manufacturing:Coming Home
  • 34.
  • 35. 11%wage premium in exporting firms Source: Istrate, Rothwell & Katz, Export Nation (2010) Greater likelihood of health and retirement benefits in export-intense industries
  • 36. The U.S. must get smart... fast
  • 37.
  • 38. Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey Hispanics 19% African Americans Non-Hispanic Whites Asians 25% 39% 56% Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher United States 36%
  • 39. Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey Hispanics 19% African Americans 25% Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher
  • 40. The next economy will be largely metropolitan 1 2 31 2 3
  • 41.
  • 42. Source: Brookings analysis of US Bureau of Economic Analysis data
  • 44. Colorado Denver, Colorado Springs Population GDP Boulder, Fort Collins/Loveland, Grand Junction, Greeley, Pueblo 86% 85%
  • 45. Service Exports 75% 63% Manufacturing Exports Population 66% Top 100 Metro Exports Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
  • 46. Top 100 Metro Exports Chemical Products 68% 76% Business/ Professional Services Computer/ Electronic Products 78% Population 66% Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
  • 47. Top 100 Metro Trade Logistics U.S. Air Cargo Weight 82% 88% Foreign Waterborne Cargo Weight Airline Boardings 92% Population 66% Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings analysis of US Census Bureau, FAA, and PIERS data (2009)
  • 48. Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.com
  • 49. Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.com
  • 50. 61,102 US Denver Metro Manufacturing Intensity 8.5% 5.1% Manufacturing Jobs Top Manufacturing Sectors Denver, CO Metro Manufacturing Dashboard Food 12.5% Fabricated Metal Products 11.1% Computers & Electronics 10.3% Aerospace 10.0% Misc Manufacturing 9.9% US Denver Metro Manufacturing Growth 2010 Q1 - 2011 Q4 2.7% 0.1% Source: Brookings, Locating American Manufacturing 2012
  • 51. $10.2 B Top 100 Metros Denver Metro Export Intensity 9.8% 7.2% Export Volume Goods & Services Exports 46.7% goods share of exports Denver, CO Metro Export Dashboard 72,800 Export Jobs 56.3% services share of exports Top Services SectorsTop Services Sectors Travel & Tourism 17.2% Business Services 13.9% Royalties 8.4% Top Goods SectorsTop Goods Sectors Transportation Equipment 6.2% Petroleum and Coal Products 5.5% Computers and Electronics 5.2% Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
  • 52. Denver, CO Metro Export Dashboard Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012 Denver’s Top Export Destinations By 2010 Volume (in millions) Canada Mexico Japan United Kingdom China $1,422.7 $773.0 $719.9 $716.5 $474.7 Germany Brazil Netherlands South Korea France $428.8 $358.0 $294.4 $284.1 $268.1
  • 53. Denver, CO Metro Global Aviation Dashboard Source: Brookings “Global Gateways: International Aviation in Metropolitan America” (2012) Share of Denver Passenger Air Travel to Major Global Regions By 2011 Total Passengers Denver’s Top Air Travel Connections By 2011 Total Passengers Latin America/ Caribbean Western Europe North America 36.7% Rest of World 27.5% 16.4% 19.4% Cancun 141,540 London Toronto Puerto Vallarta Mexico City 121,891 92,456 71,175 72,945
  • 54. 1 2 31 2 3 Metropolitan areas are driving innovation METRO INNOVATION
  • 56. T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
  • 57. Globally Aware Globally Fluent Globally Oriented Global Fluency The level of understanding, competence, practice and reach that a metro area exhibits in an increasingly interconnected world economy.T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
  • 58. 1. Leadership with a Worldview 2. Legacy of Global Orientation 3. Specializations with a Global Reach 4. Adaptability to Global Dynamics 5. Culture of Knowledge and Innovation 6. Opportunity and Appeal to the World 7. International Connectivity 9. Government as Global Enabler 10. Compelling Global Identity 8. Investment for Strategic Priorities T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
  • 59. Governments Philanthropy Firms Universities Collaborate to Compete 1. Leadership with a Worldview T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
  • 60. STEM Jobs Requiring B.A. Wage Premium $42,967 $74,135 STEM Jobs261,210 22.4% 59.7% STEM Job Share 2011 5. Culture of Knowledge and Innovation Denver’s STEM Economy T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
  • 61. T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
  • 64. State Governments Colorado Space Cluster 4 states joining Colorado to advocate for and promote space cluster initiatives $20m competitive matching grants for early-stage tech development in CO Ohio Third Frontier & Edison Tech Centers 7 regional centers providing innovation & commercialization services to foster innovation ecosystem in Ohio 2010-2016 $700 m
  • 65. State Governments Florida 12 international offices $3 b state GDP added from export assistance & business development in 2011 Office of Freight, Logistics & Passenger Operations Coordinates multimodal freight statewide by aligning with regional freight strategies Enterprise Florida
  • 66. Reform Immigration for Competitiveness Open New Markets Free Trade AgreementFree Trade AgreementFree Trade Agreement Federal Government Modernize & Prioritize Trade Corridors National Freight Strategy Trans-Pacific Partnership Europe Export Financing International Market Intelligence International Trade Administration Export-Import Bank
  • 68. Innovate Locally Network GloballyAdvocate Nationally
  • 69. Play video on Youtube
  • 70. GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E Denver, CO / June 26, 2013 @bruce_katz #globalcities