Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Louisville and Lexington
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Presentation by Bruce Katz, Vice President of the Brookings Institution and Director of the Metropolitan Policy Program. Global Cities Initiative forum in Louisville, KY on June 26, 2014. The Global Cities Initiative is a Joint Project of Brookings and JPMorgan Chase. For more information: http://www.brookings.edu/projects/global-cities.aspx
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Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Louisville and Lexington
- 1. Louisville, KY / June 26, 2014 @bruce_katz #globalcities
- 2. 7.0 millionjobs needed More Jobs
- 3. More Jobs & Better Jobs 81 millionpoor or near poor in 2000 107 millionpoor or near poor in 2011
- 4. HUMAN CAPITAL INNOVATION MANUFACTURING INFRASTRUCTURE STEM ADVANCED ENERGY EXPORTS R&D OPPORTUNITY CONSUMPTION DEBT CONSUMPTION DEBT DEBT CONSUMPTION CONSUMPTION DEBTDEBT CONSUMPTION DEBT Pre-Recession Economy Next Economy
- 5. The imperative for global engagement 1 2 3 1 2 3
- 6. Metros are centers of global trade and investment 1 2 31 2 3
- 7. 1 2 31 2 3 Metros are engaging globally in new ways METRO INNOVATION
- 8. The imperative for global engagement 1 2 3 1 2 3
- 9. 2013 Global GDP 22.8% US 17.5% BIC Countries Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
- 10. 2018 Global GDP 25.9% BIC Countries 20.6% US Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
- 12. Global Metro Population 2030 60% Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
- 14. Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2011 31% China Africa 49% 39% India Urban Share of Total Population 2010
- 15. Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2011 China Africa India +297 million by 2030 +227 million by 2030 +343 million by 2030 40%69% 48% Urban Share of Total Population 2030
- 16. Global Middle Class - 2009 | Share of Global Totals 18%North America 36%Europe 28%Asia Pacific Source: Kharas and Gertz, “The New Global Middle Class,” 2010
- 17. Global Middle Class - 2030 | Share of Global Totals 7%North America 14%Europe 66%Asia Pacific Source: Kharas and Gertz, “The New Global Middle Class,” 2010
- 20. 5,600 $1 billion increase in exports supports jobs 11%wage premium in exporting firms Greater likelihood of health and retirement benefits in export-intense industries Sources: ITA, Jobs Supported by Exports 2013; Brookings, ExportNation (2010)
- 21. Exports Share of GDP 2010 13% United States 29% 22% 15% 30% Japan China Canada India European Union 15% Source: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011
- 22. Can we get back into the export game?
- 24. Japan $680 $944 United States GermanyFrance $409 China $1477 $1091 Top Manufacturing Exporting Countries Billions, 2010 Source: World Trade Organization, 2011
- 25. $358 Service Imports Service Exports $518 US Service Trade Billions, 2010 $160 billion trade surplus Source: World Trade Organization, 2011 (Data reflect Commercial Services)
- 26. U.S. Value Added in U.S. Imports 2009 2% 25% 40% 4% European Union Canada MexicoChina Source: Brookings, Metro North America (2013)
- 27. Can we realize the potential of global markets?
- 28. Advanced Industries Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 29. Software Computer Systems Design Telecommunications R&D Consulting Services Services Pharmaceuticals Advanced Machinery Medical EquipmentMotor Vehicles & Parts Computer & Electronic Devices Aerospace Manufacturing Advanced Industries
- 30. 85%advanced industry share of private sector R&D 67%advanced industry share of patents 30%advanced industry share of engineers Sources: Brookings analysis of BRDIS, Strumsky-Lobo Patent Database, and OES data Advanced Industries
- 31. Drive Productivity in Other Industries Stimulate Local Economies Support Long Supply Chains Develop Technology that Transforms Lives Advanced Industries
- 32. Advanced Industries Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 33. Japan 3.5% 4.4% France United States United Kingdom 3.1% European Union 5.0%3.8% Germany South Korea China 5.5% 10.9% 20.7% Growth of Domestic R&D Expenditures Average Annual Growth, 2001-2011 Source: National Science Foundation, SEI 2014 Innovation
- 34. Advanced Industries Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 35. Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey Hispanics 19% African Americans Non-Hispanic Whites Asians 25% 39% 56% Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher United States 36% Human Capital
- 36. Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey Hispanics 19% African Americans 25% Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher Human Capital
- 37. Advanced Industries Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 38. Infrastructure Transport Networks are Clogged and Congested
- 40. Metros are centers of global trade and investment 1 2 31 2 3
- 42. Source: Brookings analysis of US Bureau of Economic Analysis data
- 43. Louisville/Jefferson County Metropolitan Area Lexington-Fayette Metropolitan Area Source: Brookings, Metropolitan Areas and the Next Economy (2011) Population 43% GDP 34% Kentucky
- 44. Louisville/Jefferson County Metropolitan Area Lexington-Fayette Metropolitan Area Source: Brookings, Metropolitan Areas and the Next Economy (2011) Population 68% GDP 57% Kentucky
- 45. Service Exports 75% 62% Manufacturing Exports Population 66% Top 100 Metro Exports Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2013
- 46. Top 100 Metro Exports Chemical Products 68% 76% Business/ Professional Services Computer/ Electronic Products 78% Population 66% Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
- 47. Top 100 Metro International Connectivity Air Cargo 83% 83% Water Cargo Air Passengers 96% Population 66% Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, Global Gateways (2012) and Metro Freight (2013)
- 48. Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.comPhotos: Freescale Semiconductor, Honeywell Aerospace, Arizona State University
- 49. Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.comPhotos: Freescale Semiconductor, Honeywell Aerospace, Arizona State University
- 50. Louisville and Lexington, KY - Human Capital & Innovation Dashboard STEM Jobs Louisville Metro 19.5% Share of Jobs in STEM 58th of Top 100 Metros 57.5% STEM Jobs Not Requiring BA 25th of Top 100 Metros Source: Brookings, State of Metropolitan America (2010), Hidden STEM Economy (2013) and Patenting Prosperity (2013) Education Top 100 Metros Louisville Metro Bachelor’s Degree Attainment 32% 25% Lexington Metro 34% Patents 162 Average Annual Patents, 2007-2011 Louisville, 87th of 358 Metros 0.3 Patents per 1k Workers Louisville, 210th of 358 Metros Top Patenting Entities Lexmark International General Electric University of Kentucky University of Louisville Sud-Chemie Lexington, 75th of 358 Metros 209 Lexington, 80th of 358 Metros 0.8
- 51. $8.75 b Top 100 Metros Louisville Metro Export Intensity 12.7% 15.0% Export Value Goods & Services Exports 19.3% services share of exports 80.7% goods share of exports Top Sectors - LouisvilleTop Sectors - Louisville Motor Vehicles 19% Motor Vehicle Parts 10% Household Appliances 5.1% Top Sectors - LexingtonTop Sectors - Lexington Motor Vehicles 25% Motor Vehicle Parts 15% Petroleum and Coal Products 4.8% Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2013 Louisville and Lexington KY - Export Dashboard 44th of 366 Metros Lexington Metro 18.8% $4.38 b79th of 366 Metros Louisville, KY Lexington, KY
- 52. Louisville and Lexington, KY - North America Supply Chain Source: Brookings, Metro North America (2013) Motor Vehicles Goods Trade Between Louisville and North American neighbor metros Puebla Mexico City Toronto Kitchener London Monterrey Louisville/Lexington
- 53. $123.8 b Top 100 Metros Louisville Metro International Trade Share 15.8% 12.7% Total Goods Trade Goods Trade Air Travel International Passengers 51st of Top 90 Metros34th of Top 100 Metros 220,954 Top Metros of Origin/DestinationTop Metros of Origin/DestinationTop Metros of Origin/Destination 1 Cancun, Mexico 7.7% 2 London, United Kingdom 4.6% 3 Toronto, Canada 4.0% 4 Montego Bay, Jamaica 3.9% 5 Frankfurt, Germany 2.5% 6 Nassau, Bahamas 2.1% 7 Montreal, Canada 2.0% 8 Freeport, Bahamas 1.9% Top Global Country/Region Trading Partners Top Global Country/Region Trading Partners Top Global Country/Region Trading Partners 1 Canada $3.3 b 2 China $2.3 b 3 Mexico $2.1 b 4 Japan $1.4 b 5 Germany $.8 b 6 Korea $.5 b 7 United Kingdom $.4 b 8 Rest of S.E. Asia $.4 b Louisville, KY - Freight & Air Dashboard Source: Brookings, Metro Freight (2013) & Global Gateways (2012)
- 54. 1 2 31 2 3 Metros are engaging globally in new ways METRO INNOVATION
- 56. Market Assessment Target Sectors 8% 9% 12% Economic Profile 15% 12% 13% 9% Establish Goals & Strategies Boost SME exports Increase global fluency Double exports Support key sectors Government Philanthropy Firms Universities Collaborate to Compete
- 58. Organize for Trade Invest in What Matters
- 59. Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure SUNY Albany Nanotech Campus Columbus
- 60. Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 61. Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 62. Organize for Trade Invest in What Matters Network Globally
- 63. Chicago Mexico City2nd largest Mexican immigrant population resides in Chicago metro area 130 Chicago-based firms with operations in Mexico City $1.7 billion total bilateral trade of locally produced products 290,000 tourists and business travelers between Chicago and Mexico City per year
- 64. GLOBAL CITIES ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
- 65. Watch onYouTube
- 66. Louisville, KY / June 26, 2014 @bruce_katz #globalcities