Global Cities Initiative Report Highlights Opportunities for Trade, Investment
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Presentation by Bruce Katz, Vice President of the Brookings Institution and Director of the Metropolitan Policy Program. Global Cities Initiative forum in Seattle, WA on April 10, 2014. The Global Cities Initiative is a Joint Project of Brookings and JPMorgan Chase. For more information: http://www.brookings.edu/projects/global-cities.aspx
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Global Cities Initiative Report Highlights Opportunities for Trade, Investment
- 1. GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E Seattle, WA / April 10, 2014 @bruce_katz #globalcities
- 2. 7.4 millionjobs needed More Jobs
- 3. 81 millionpoor or near poor in 2000 More Jobs & Better Jobs
- 4. 107 millionpoor or near poor in 2011 More Jobs & Better Jobs
- 5. HUMAN CAPITAL INNOVATION MANUFACTURING INFRASTRUCTURE STEM ADVANCED ENERGY EXPORTS R&D OPPORTUNITY CONSUMPTION DEBT CONSUMPTION DEBT DEBT CONSUMPTION CONSUMPTION DEBTDEBT CONSUMPTION DEBT Pre-Recession Economy Next Economy
- 6. The imperative for global engagement 1 2 3 1 2 3
- 7. Metros are centers of global trade and investment 1 2 31 2 3
- 8. 1 2 31 2 3 Metros are engaging globally in new ways METRO INNOVATION
- 9. The imperative for global engagement 1 2 3 1 2 3
- 10. 2009 Global GDP 19.9% US 21.0% BIC Countries Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
- 11. 2018 Global GDP 28.2% BIC Countries 17.6% US Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
- 13. Global Metro Population 2030 60% Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
- 14. Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2011 31% China Africa 49% 39% India Urban Share of Total Population 2010
- 15. Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2011 China Africa India +297 million by 2030 +227 million by 2030 +343 million by 2030 40%69% 48% Urban Share of Total Population 2030
- 16. Source: Boston Consulting Group, “Winning in Emerging Market Cities,” (2010) Photos: Wikipedia/Jonathan Olsson, Jeet221990, Flickr/United Nations Photos, Francisco Anzota $30-$40 trilliontotal infrastructure investment required in emerging market cities, 2010 - 2030
- 17. Source: Boston Consulting Group, “Winning in Emerging Market Cities,” (2010) Photos: Wikipedia/Jonathan Olsson, Jeet221990, Flickr/United Nations Photos, Francisco Anzota $13.8 trilliontotal housing investment required in emerging market cities, 2010 - 2030
- 18. Source: McKinsey Global Institute, “Urban World: Cities and the Rise of the Consuming Class,” (2012) $200 billiontotal investment in increasing global port capacity by 2025
- 20. 5,000 $1 billion increase in exports supports jobs 11%wage premium in exporting firms Greater likelihood of health and retirement benefits in export-intense industries
- 21. 22%wage premium in foreign-owned firms 14%US productivity growth contributed by foreign-owned firms 5.0% foreign-owned firms employ US workers
- 22. How are we doing on trade and investment?
- 24. Japan $680 $944 United States GermanyFrance $409 China $1477 $1091 Top Manufacturing Exporting Countries 2010, Billions Source: World Trade Organization, 2011
- 25. $358 Service Imports Service Exports $518 US Service Trade Billions, 2010 $160 billion trade surplus Source: World Trade Organization, 2011 (Data reflect Commercial Services)
- 26. Exports Share of GDP 2010 13% United States 29% 22% 15% 30% Japan China Canada India European Union 15% Source: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011
- 27. France $1.09 $3.93 United StatesChinaBelgium $1.01 United Kingdom $1.32 $2.26 Top Foreign Direct Investment Stock 2012, Trillions Source: Brookings analysis of NETS, D&B, Moody’s and BEA data
- 28. US Share of Global FDI Flows 24.7% 1998 10.9% 2013 Source: Brookings analysis of NETS, D&B, Moody’s and BEA data
- 29. Can we realize the potential of global markets?
- 30. Advanced Industries Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 31. Software Computer Systems Design Telecommunications R&D Consulting Services Services Pharmaceuticals Advanced Machinery Medical EquipmentMotor Vehicles & Parts Computer & Electronic Devices Aerospace Manufacturing Advanced Industries
- 32. 85%advanced industry share of private sector R&D 67%advanced industry share of patents 30%advanced industry share of engineers Sources: Brookings analysis of BRDIS, Strumsky-Lobo Patent Database, and OES data Advanced Industries
- 33. Drive Productivity in Other Industries Stimulate Local Economies Support Long Supply Chains Develop Technology that Transforms Lives Advanced Industries
- 34. Advanced Industries Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 35. Japan 3.5% 4.4% France United States United Kingdom 3.1% European Union 5.0%3.8% Germany South Korea China 5.5% 10.9% 20.7% Growth of Domestic R&D Expenditures Average Annual Growth, 2001-2011 Source: National Science Foundation, SEI 2014 Innovation
- 36. Advanced Industries Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 37. Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey Hispanics 19% African Americans Non-Hispanic Whites Asians 25% 39% 56% Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher United States 36% Human Capital
- 38. Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey Hispanics 19% African Americans 25% Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher Human Capital
- 39. Advanced Industries Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 40. Infrastructure Transport Networks are Clogged and Congested
- 42. Metros are centers of global trade and investment 1 2 31 2 3
- 44. Source: Brookings analysis of US Bureau of Economic Analysis data
- 45. Seattle Metropolitan Area Source: Brookings, Metropolitan Areas and the Next Economy (2011) Population 63% GDP 51% Washington
- 46. Seattle, Portland, Spokane, Olympia, Kennewick-Pasco-Richland, Bremerton-Silverdale, Yakima, Bellingham, Mount Vernon-Anacortes, Wenatchee, Longview and Lewiston Metropolitan Areas Source: Brookings, Metropolitan Areas and the Next Economy (2011) Population 92% GDP 88% Washington
- 47. Service Exports 75% 63% Manufacturing Exports Population 66% Top 100 Metro Exports Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
- 48. Top 100 Metro Exports Chemical Products 68% 76% Business/ Professional Services Computer/ Electronic Products 78% Population 66% Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
- 49. Top 100 Metro International Connectivity Air Cargo 83% 83% Water Cargo Air Passengers 96% Population 66% Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, Global Gateways (2012) and Metro Freight (2013)
- 50. Population 66% Advanced Industry Employment 74% FDI Employment 74% Employment in Advanced Industries and Foreign-Owned Firms Top 100 Metro Share of U.S. Totals
- 51. Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.com
- 52. Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.com
- 53. Seattle, WA - Human Capital & Innovation Dashboard Education Top 100 Metros Seattle Metro Bachelor’s Degree Attainment 31.8% 37.0% STEM Jobs 25.9% Share of Jobs in STEM 4th of Top 100 Metros 38.5% STEM Jobs Not Requiring BA 97th of Top 100 Metros Patents 3,968 Total Patents, 2007-2011 5th of 358 Metros 2.3 Patents per 1k Workers 15th of 358 Metros Top Patenting Firms Microsoft Boeing Invention Science Fund Intel University of Washington Source: Brookings, State of Metropolitan America (2012), The Hidden STEM Economy (2013) and Patenting Prosperity (2013)
- 54. Source: Brookings, ExportNation (2013) $47.1 b Top 100 Metros Seattle Metro Export Intensity 12.7% 20.3% Export Value Goods & Services Exports 25.1% goods share of exports 74.9% goods share of exports Top Goods SectorsTop Goods Sectors Aircraft Products and Parts 57.4% Petroleum and Coal Products 2.3% General Purpose Machinery 1.6% Top Services SectorsTop Services Sectors IT Royalties 8.3% Freight and Port Services 1.7% Air Transportation Services 1.5% Seattle, WA - Export Dashboard
- 55. Source: Forthcoming Brookings research on metropolitan FDI Foreign Direct Investment Jobs 65,045 FDI Employment 14th of Top 100 Metros Top Foreign Employers Metro-to-Metro Investment Wireless Telecommunications T-Mobile Suncom Triton Powertel Aerospace C&D Zodiac IDD Aerospace Jamco Compass- Aerospace NW Computer Systems Design NCSoft Atos IT Solutions Avande Areva T&D Top Investor Metros by JobsTop Investor Metros by JobsTop Investor Metros by Jobs 1 Dusseldorf, Germany 13.4% 2 Tokyo, Japan 12.7% 3 Paris, France 7.8% 4 Montreal, Canada 6.1% 5 Toronto, Canada 4.6% 6 Vancouver, Canada 4.6% 7 Sydney, Australia 3.9% 8 Oxford, England 3.5% Seattle, WA - Foreign Investment Dashboard 4.6% FDI Employment Intensity 57th of Top 100 Metros
- 56. Source: Brookings, Global Gateways (2012) and Metro Freight (2013) $185.3 b Top 100 Metros Seattle Metro International Trade Share 15.8% 20.8% Total Goods Trade Goods Trade Air Travel International Passengers 13th of Top 90 Metros15th of Top 100 Metros 2,748,861 Top Metros of Origin/DestinationTop Metros of Origin/DestinationTop Metros of Origin/Destination 1 Seoul-Incheon, South Korea 5.0% 2 London, United Kingdom 4.6% 3 Tokyo, Japan 3.9% 4 Victoria, Canada 3.9% 5 Vancouver, Canada 3.8% 6 Puerto Vallarta, Mexico 3.2% 7 San Jose Del Cabo, Mexico 3.1% 8 Beijing, China 2.6% Top Global Country/ Region Trading Partners Top Global Country/ Region Trading Partners Top Global Country/ Region Trading Partners 1 China 5.6% 2 Japan 2.4% 3 Canada 2.2% 4 Mexico 1.7% 5 Other South-Eastern Asia 1.2% 6 Other Western Asia 1.0% 7 South Korea 0.9% 8 Other Northern Europe 0.7% Seattle, WA - Freight & Air Dashboard
- 57. 1 2 31 2 3 Metros are engaging globally in new ways METRO INNOVATION
- 59. Legacy of Global Orientation Seattle as aGloballyCompetitiveRegion
- 60. Market Assessment Target Sectors 8% 9% 12% Economic Profile 15% 12% 13% 9% Establish Goals & Strategies Boost SME exports Increase global fluency Double exports Support key sectors Government Philanthropy Firms Universities Collaborate to Compete Global Cities Exchange
- 62. Catalyze Trade & Investment Invest in What Matters
- 63. CHICAGO $70 million Digital Manufacturing & Design Innovation Institute Lightweight & Modern Metals Manufacturing Innovation Institute DETROIT $70 million National Additive Manufacturing Innovation Institute YOUNGSTOWN $30 million Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure National Network for Manufacturing Innovation Next Generation Power Electronics Manufacturing Innovation Institute RALEIGH $70 million
- 64. Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
- 65. Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure PORTMIAMI Expansion and improvements
- 66. PORTMIAMI Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure Deep Dredge Project $220 million project, funded solely through state & local resources Port of Miami Tunnel Innovative public-private partnership Intermodal Rail Reconstruction Project Financed with competitively-awarded federal funds to a partnership of the port, county & railway
- 67. Catalyze Trade & Investment Invest in What Matters Network Globally
- 69. Chicago Mexico City2nd largest Mexican immigrant population resides in Chicago metro area 130 Chicago-based firms with operations in Mexico City $1.7 billion total bilateral trade of locally produced products 290,000 tourists and business travelers between Chicago and Mexico City per year
- 70. GLOBAL CITIES ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
- 71. Play video on YouTube
- 72. GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E Seattle, WA / April 10, 2014 @bruce_katz #globalcities