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What is Six Sigma?
Basics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A scientific and practical method to achieve improvements in a company ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Show me  the data” ” Show me  the money” Six Sigma
Six Sigma Methods Production Design Service Purchase HRM Administration Quality Depart. Management M & S IT Where can Six Sigma be applied?
DOE SPC Knowledge Management Benchmarking The Six Sigma Initiative integrates these efforts Improvement teams Problem  Solving teams ISO 9000 Strategic planning and more
‘ Six Sigma’ companies ,[object Object]
GE “Service company” - examples ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ the most important initiative GE has ever undertaken”. Jack Welch Chief Executive Officer General Electric ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],General Electric
“ At  Motorola we use statistical methods daily throughout all of our disciplines to synthesize an abundance of  data to derive concrete actions…. How has the use of statistical methods within Motorola Six Sigma initiative, across disciplines, contributed to our growth? Over the past decade we have reduced in-process defects by over 300 fold, which has resulted in cumulative manufacturing cost savings of over 11 billion dollars”*. Robert W. Galvin Chairman of the Executive Committee Motorola, Inc. MOTOROLA *From the forward to MODERN INDUSTRIAL STATISTICS by Kenett and Zacks, Duxbury, 1998
Positive quotations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Negative quotations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Barrier #1:  Engineers and managers are not interested in mathematical statistics Barrier #2:  Statisticians have problems communicating with managers and engineers Barrier #3:  Non-statisticians experience “statistical anxiety” which has to be minimized before learning can take place Barrier # 4:  Statistical methods need to be matched to management style and organizational culture Barriers to implementation
Technical Skills Soft Skills Statisticians Master Black Belts Black Belts Quality Improvement Facilitators BB MBB
Reality ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Six Sigma ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Focus of Six Sigma* ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],* Adapted from Zinkgraf (1999), Sigma Breakthrough  Technologies Inc., Austin, TX.
Six Sigma: Reasons for Success ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The right way! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Six Sigma metric
Consider a 99% quality level ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Not very satisfactory! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scientific method (after Box)
Improvement cycle ,[object Object],Plan Do Check Act
Prioritise (D) Measure (M) Interpret  (D/M/A) Problem (D/M/A) solve Improve (I) Hold gains (C) Alternative interpretation
  Statistical background Target =   Some Key measure
       Statistical background Target =   ‘ Control’ limits
       L S L U S L Statistical background Required Tolerance Target =  
            L S L U S L Statistical background Tolerance Target =   Six-Sigma
            L S L U S L p p m 1 3 5 0 p p m 1 3 5 0 Statistical background Tolerance Target =  
            L S L U S L p p m 0 . 0 0 1 p p m 1 3 5 0 p p m 1 3 5 0 p p m 0 . 0 0 1 Statistical background Tolerance Target =  
Statistical background ,[object Object],[object Object]
L S L 0 p p m p p m 3 . 4     U S L p p m 3 . 4 p p m 6 6 8 0 3        Statistical background Tolerance
Performance Standards 2 3 4 5 6 308537 66807 6210 233 3.4  PPM 69.1% 93.3% 99.38% 99.977% 99.9997% Yield Process performance Defects per million Long term  yield Current standard World Class
Number of processes 3 σ 4 σ 5 σ 6 σ 1 10 100 500 1000 2000 2955 93.32 50.09 0.1 0 0 0 0 99.379 93.96 53.64 4.44 0.2 0 0 99.9767 99.77 97.70 89.02 79.24 62.75 50.27 99.99966 99.9966 99.966 99.83 99.66 99.32 99.0 First Time Yield in multiple stage process Performance standards
Benefits of 6  approach w.r.t. financials Financial Aspects
Six Sigma and other Quality programmes
Comparing three recent developments in “Quality Management” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ISO 9000 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Critique of ISO 9000 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EFQM Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The “Success” of Change Programs? “ Performance improvement efforts … have as much impact on  operational and financial results as a  ceremonial rain dance has on the weather” Schaffer and Thomson, Harvard Business Review  (1992)
Change Management: Two Alternative Approaches Activity Centered  Programs Result Oriented  Programs Change Management Reference: Schaffer and Thomson, HBR, Jan-Feb. 1992
Activity Centered Programs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
No Checking with Empirical Evidence, No Learning Process ISO 9000 Data Hypothesis Deduction Induction
An Alternative:  Result-Driven Improvement Programs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Result Oriented Programs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why Transformation  Efforts Fail! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Six Sigma Demystified* ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*Adapted from Zinkgraf (1999), Sigma Breakthrough  Technologies Inc., Austin, TX.
Keys to Success* ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*Adapted from Zinkgraf (1999), Sigma Breakthrough  Technologies Inc., Austin, TX.
Key personnel in successful Six Sigma programmes
Black Belts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Black Belt required resources ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Black Belt requirements
In other words the Black Belt is ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Black Belt role!
Champions or ‘enablers’ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Further down the line -  after initial Six Sigma implementation package ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Six Sigma instructors (ISRU) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Six Sigma training package
Aim of training package ,[object Object]
DMAIC Six-Sigma - A “Roadmap” for improvement Define Select a project Measure Prepare for assimilating information Analyze Characterise the current situation Improve Optimize the process Control Assure the improvements
Define Throughput time project 4 months (full time) Example of a Classic Training strategy Training (1 week) Work on project (3 weeks) Review Measure Analyze Improve Control
ISRU program content ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Draft training schedule
Training programme delivery ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
5 weeks of training Measure Analyze Improve Control Define
Deployment (Define) phase ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Measurement phase ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example - QFD ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],QFD can reduce
Analysis phase ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Improvement phase ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example - Design of Experiments ,[object Object],Minimum  cost Maximum  output
What does it involve? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Control phase ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example - SPC (Statistical Process Control)  -  reduces variability and keeps the process stable Disturbed process Natural process Temporary upsets Natural boundary Natural boundary
Results of SPC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Project support ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Black Belt Training Application Review ISRU ISRU, Champion ISRU, Champion Project execution
Traditional Six Sigma ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Conducting projects
The  right  support + The  right  projects  + The  right  people + The  right  tools + The  right  plan =  The  right  results
Champions Role ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Champions Role ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Define ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Project selection
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Project selection
Key Quality Characteristics “CTQs” How will you measure them? How often? Who will measure? Is the outcome critical or important to results?
Outcome Examples Reduce defective parts per million Increased capacity or yield Improved quality Reduced re-work or scrap Faster throughput
Key Questions Is this a new product - process? Yes - then potential six-sigma Do you know how best to run a process? No - then potential six-sigma
Key Criteria Is the potential gain enough - e.g. - saving > $50,000 per annum? Can you do this within 3-4 months? Will results be usable? Is this the most important issue at the moment?
Why is ISRU an effective Six Sigma practitioner?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Reasons
I NDUSTRIAL  S TATISTICS R ESEARCH  U NIT We are based in the School of Mechanical and Systems Engineering, University of Newcastle upon Tyne, England
Mission statement " To promote the effective and widespread use of statistical methods throughout European industry. "
The work we do can be broken down into 3 main categories: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],All with the common goal of promoting quality improvement by implementing statistical techniques
Consultancy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Training ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
European projects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
European projects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Typical local projects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Benefits ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Examples of past successes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Examples of past successes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Distance Learning Facility
Distance Learning ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Statistical Process Control Designed Experiments Problem Solving
Distance Learning ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Case study
Roast Cool Grind Pack Coffee beans Sealed  coffee Moisture content ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Case study: project selection
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Case study:  Measure
Moisture contents of  roasted coffee 1. CTQ ,[object Object],[object Object],2. Standards Case study:  Measure
Gauge R&R study 3. Measurement reliability Measurement system too unreliable! Case study: Measure So fix it!!
Analyse 4. Establish product capability 5. Define performance objectives 6. Identify influence factors Case study: Analyse
Improvement opportunities USL USL
Diagnosis of problem
[object Object],[object Object],6. Identify factors Material Machine Man Method Measure- ment Mother Nature Amount of added water Roasting machines Batch size Reliability of Quadra Beam Weather conditions Moisture% Discovery of causes
Control chart for moisture% Discovery of causes
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Potential influence factors A case study
Improve 7. Screen potential causes 8. Discover variable relationships 9. Establish operating tolerances Case study: Improve
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],7. Screen potential causes Design of Experiments (DoE) 8. Discover variable relationships Case study: Improve
Experiments are run based on:  Intuition Knowledge Experience Power Emotions Possible settings for X 1 Possible settings for X 2 X:  Settings with which  an experiment is run. X X X X X X X ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How do we often conduct experiments? Experimentation
A systematical experiment: Organized / discipline One factor at a time Other factors kept constant Procedure: X X X X O X X X X X X:  First vary X 1 ; X 2  is kept constant O:  Optimal value for X 1 . X:  Vary X 2 ; X 1  is kept constant. :  Optimal value (???) X X X X X X X Possible settings for X 1 Possible settings for X 2 Experimentation
Design of Experiments (DoE) One factor (X) low high X 1 2 1 Two factors (X’ s ) low high high X 2 X 1 2 2 high Three factors (X’ s ) low high X 1 X 3 X 2 2 3
Advantages of multi-factor  over one-factor
Experiment: Y: moisture% X 1 : Water (liters) X 2 : Batch size (kg) A case study: Experiment
Feedback adjustments for influence of weather conditions A case study 9. Establish operating tolerances
A case study: feedback adjustments Moisture% without adjustments
A case study: feedback adjustments Moisture% with adjustments
Control 10. Validate measurement system (X’s) 11. Determine process capability 12. Implement process controls Case study: Control
 long-term  = 0.532 Before Results  long-term  < 0.280 Objective  long-term  < 0.100 Result
Benefits of this project  long-term  < 0.100 P pk  = 1.5 This enables us to increase the mean to 12.1%  Per 0.1% coffee: 100 000 Euros saving Benefits of this project: 1 100 000 Euros per year Benefits Approved by controller
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],12. Implement process controls Case study: control ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Project closure
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Six Sigma approach to this project
Re-cap I! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Re-cap II! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ENBIS All joint authors - presenters - are members of:  Pro-Enbis or ENBIS. This presentation is supported by Pro-Enbis  a Thematic Network funded under the ‘Growth’ programme of the European Commission’s 5th Framework research programme - contract number G6RT-CT-2001-05059

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Six Sigma

  • 1. What is Six Sigma?
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Six Sigma Methods Production Design Service Purchase HRM Administration Quality Depart. Management M & S IT Where can Six Sigma be applied?
  • 5. DOE SPC Knowledge Management Benchmarking The Six Sigma Initiative integrates these efforts Improvement teams Problem Solving teams ISO 9000 Strategic planning and more
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. “ At Motorola we use statistical methods daily throughout all of our disciplines to synthesize an abundance of data to derive concrete actions…. How has the use of statistical methods within Motorola Six Sigma initiative, across disciplines, contributed to our growth? Over the past decade we have reduced in-process defects by over 300 fold, which has resulted in cumulative manufacturing cost savings of over 11 billion dollars”*. Robert W. Galvin Chairman of the Executive Committee Motorola, Inc. MOTOROLA *From the forward to MODERN INDUSTRIAL STATISTICS by Kenett and Zacks, Duxbury, 1998
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Barrier #1: Engineers and managers are not interested in mathematical statistics Barrier #2: Statisticians have problems communicating with managers and engineers Barrier #3: Non-statisticians experience “statistical anxiety” which has to be minimized before learning can take place Barrier # 4: Statistical methods need to be matched to management style and organizational culture Barriers to implementation
  • 13. Technical Skills Soft Skills Statisticians Master Black Belts Black Belts Quality Improvement Facilitators BB MBB
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. The Six Sigma metric
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 23.
  • 24. Prioritise (D) Measure (M) Interpret (D/M/A) Problem (D/M/A) solve Improve (I) Hold gains (C) Alternative interpretation
  • 25.   Statistical background Target =  Some Key measure
  • 26.        Statistical background Target =  ‘ Control’ limits
  • 27.        L S L U S L Statistical background Required Tolerance Target = 
  • 28.             L S L U S L Statistical background Tolerance Target =  Six-Sigma
  • 29.             L S L U S L p p m 1 3 5 0 p p m 1 3 5 0 Statistical background Tolerance Target = 
  • 30.             L S L U S L p p m 0 . 0 0 1 p p m 1 3 5 0 p p m 1 3 5 0 p p m 0 . 0 0 1 Statistical background Tolerance Target = 
  • 31.
  • 32. L S L 0 p p m p p m 3 . 4     U S L p p m 3 . 4 p p m 6 6 8 0 3        Statistical background Tolerance
  • 33. Performance Standards 2 3 4 5 6 308537 66807 6210 233 3.4  PPM 69.1% 93.3% 99.38% 99.977% 99.9997% Yield Process performance Defects per million Long term yield Current standard World Class
  • 34. Number of processes 3 σ 4 σ 5 σ 6 σ 1 10 100 500 1000 2000 2955 93.32 50.09 0.1 0 0 0 0 99.379 93.96 53.64 4.44 0.2 0 0 99.9767 99.77 97.70 89.02 79.24 62.75 50.27 99.99966 99.9966 99.966 99.83 99.66 99.32 99.0 First Time Yield in multiple stage process Performance standards
  • 35. Benefits of 6  approach w.r.t. financials Financial Aspects
  • 36. Six Sigma and other Quality programmes
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41. The “Success” of Change Programs? “ Performance improvement efforts … have as much impact on operational and financial results as a ceremonial rain dance has on the weather” Schaffer and Thomson, Harvard Business Review (1992)
  • 42. Change Management: Two Alternative Approaches Activity Centered Programs Result Oriented Programs Change Management Reference: Schaffer and Thomson, HBR, Jan-Feb. 1992
  • 43.
  • 44. No Checking with Empirical Evidence, No Learning Process ISO 9000 Data Hypothesis Deduction Induction
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50. Key personnel in successful Six Sigma programmes
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 58.
  • 59. DMAIC Six-Sigma - A “Roadmap” for improvement Define Select a project Measure Prepare for assimilating information Analyze Characterise the current situation Improve Optimize the process Control Assure the improvements
  • 60. Define Throughput time project 4 months (full time) Example of a Classic Training strategy Training (1 week) Work on project (3 weeks) Review Measure Analyze Improve Control
  • 61.
  • 63.
  • 64. 5 weeks of training Measure Analyze Improve Control Define
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68.  
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72.
  • 73.
  • 74.
  • 75. Example - SPC (Statistical Process Control) - reduces variability and keeps the process stable Disturbed process Natural process Temporary upsets Natural boundary Natural boundary
  • 76.
  • 77.
  • 78. Black Belt Training Application Review ISRU ISRU, Champion ISRU, Champion Project execution
  • 79.
  • 80. The right support + The right projects + The right people + The right tools + The right plan = The right results
  • 81.
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85. Key Quality Characteristics “CTQs” How will you measure them? How often? Who will measure? Is the outcome critical or important to results?
  • 86. Outcome Examples Reduce defective parts per million Increased capacity or yield Improved quality Reduced re-work or scrap Faster throughput
  • 87. Key Questions Is this a new product - process? Yes - then potential six-sigma Do you know how best to run a process? No - then potential six-sigma
  • 88. Key Criteria Is the potential gain enough - e.g. - saving > $50,000 per annum? Can you do this within 3-4 months? Will results be usable? Is this the most important issue at the moment?
  • 89. Why is ISRU an effective Six Sigma practitioner?
  • 90.
  • 91. I NDUSTRIAL S TATISTICS R ESEARCH U NIT We are based in the School of Mechanical and Systems Engineering, University of Newcastle upon Tyne, England
  • 92. Mission statement &quot; To promote the effective and widespread use of statistical methods throughout European industry. &quot;
  • 93.
  • 94.
  • 95.
  • 96.
  • 97.
  • 98.
  • 99.
  • 100.
  • 101.
  • 103.
  • 104.
  • 106.
  • 107.
  • 108.
  • 109. Gauge R&R study 3. Measurement reliability Measurement system too unreliable! Case study: Measure So fix it!!
  • 110. Analyse 4. Establish product capability 5. Define performance objectives 6. Identify influence factors Case study: Analyse
  • 113.
  • 114. Control chart for moisture% Discovery of causes
  • 115.
  • 116. Improve 7. Screen potential causes 8. Discover variable relationships 9. Establish operating tolerances Case study: Improve
  • 117.
  • 118.
  • 119. A systematical experiment: Organized / discipline One factor at a time Other factors kept constant Procedure: X X X X O X X X X X X: First vary X 1 ; X 2 is kept constant O: Optimal value for X 1 . X: Vary X 2 ; X 1 is kept constant. : Optimal value (???) X X X X X X X Possible settings for X 1 Possible settings for X 2 Experimentation
  • 120. Design of Experiments (DoE) One factor (X) low high X 1 2 1 Two factors (X’ s ) low high high X 2 X 1 2 2 high Three factors (X’ s ) low high X 1 X 3 X 2 2 3
  • 121. Advantages of multi-factor over one-factor
  • 122. Experiment: Y: moisture% X 1 : Water (liters) X 2 : Batch size (kg) A case study: Experiment
  • 123. Feedback adjustments for influence of weather conditions A case study 9. Establish operating tolerances
  • 124. A case study: feedback adjustments Moisture% without adjustments
  • 125. A case study: feedback adjustments Moisture% with adjustments
  • 126. Control 10. Validate measurement system (X’s) 11. Determine process capability 12. Implement process controls Case study: Control
  • 127.  long-term = 0.532 Before Results  long-term < 0.280 Objective  long-term < 0.100 Result
  • 128. Benefits of this project  long-term < 0.100 P pk = 1.5 This enables us to increase the mean to 12.1% Per 0.1% coffee: 100 000 Euros saving Benefits of this project: 1 100 000 Euros per year Benefits Approved by controller
  • 129.
  • 130.
  • 131.
  • 132.
  • 133. ENBIS All joint authors - presenters - are members of: Pro-Enbis or ENBIS. This presentation is supported by Pro-Enbis a Thematic Network funded under the ‘Growth’ programme of the European Commission’s 5th Framework research programme - contract number G6RT-CT-2001-05059