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G. Pourmand MD.  Tehran University of Medical Sciences May- June 2008 Point counterpoint: Prostate cancer in the elderly man: Should we screen men after age 65 years?
Yes   No Is prostate cancer a health care problem?
Is cancer prevalence important?    Health planning     Benefits and Harms     Most are small, confined
Cancer Incidence Rates * for Men US, 1973-1999
When Does Screening Detect Cancer? 9 years before clinical presentation
What about the prognosis? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
To Screen or Not !  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
   Cost- effectiveness     Avoid detecting biologically unimportant cancers     Detect and treat tumors  Progress, Produce Symptoms and  Reduce Life Expectancy
American Cancer Society Modification  (Men who eligible for Pca Screening) PSA and DRE  Annually Should or Offer?
American Academy of Family     Physician And US Preventive Services  Task Force     Do not Recommend Routine Screening in Low- Risk Patients
National Screening  1996 Counseling  Potential  Harms    Benefits  Scientific Uncertainties
Patient- Clinician Process ( Joint Decision Making) and  (Agree on a Course of Action)
PSA and DRE from 50 years  Life expectancy of at least 10 years  Discussion
PSA < 2 mg/ml  Biannually  PSA ≥ 2 mg/ml  Annually
PSA  (1980) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PSA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BPH  Prostatitis Prostatic Infarction  Is PSA Ideal Tumor Marker?
PSA thershold = 4 ng/mL: 65% F. Positive rate  20% F. Negative rate PSA: 3 ng/mL  Sensitivity  Positive Predictive Value
PSA Density  PSA Velocity  Age Specific Reference  May Increase Sensitivity and specificity
Age Specific PSA,  Reference Range Age, yr Reference Range, ng/ml 40-49 …………………….. 0.0-2.5 50-59 …………………….. 0.0-3.5 60-69 …………………….. 0.0-4.5 70-79 …………………….. 0.0-6.5
Use of PSA and PSA density to detect prostate cancer in men with normal DRE   PSA density (Threshold) Sensitivity % Specificity % Positive Predictive Value % 0.10 …………… 95 24 29 0.15 …………… 79 50 34 0.30 ……………. 45 85 50 0.50 ……………. 29 95 65
Correlation Between PSA and Prostate Cancer
Total PSA (ng/mL) PSA Density= Total prostate volume (mL)
PSA Velocity  PSA ≥ 0.75 ng/mL
Digital Rectal Examination • Detect missed Pca by PSA Screening  •  Able to detect asymptomatic patient  •  Abnormal DRE (3.2%-10%) •  Pca (0.2%-1.7%) in original group
ACS    DRE + Occult Blood >40 yrs     The (+ve) Predictive Value 17.8%    Sensitivity of DRE: 53.2%    Specificity of DRE: 83.6%
Trans Rectal UltraSonography   Expensive     Not available for family physicians     Suffers from lack of specificity
Biopsy 1- Elevated PSA + Benign DRE  TRUS  Visible abnormal lesions 2- Abnormal DRE + TRUS  Regardless of PSA
Charecteristics of Screening Tests   Test Sensitivity % Specificity % Positive Predictive Value % DRE 45-58 96-97 24-58 TRUS 71-91 89-94 15-43 PSA > 4 ng/ml 67-89 59-97 33-47
 
1 Andorra 83.53 2 Macau 82.35 … . 47 United States 78.14 … 130 Iran 70.86 … 222 Angola 37.92 223 Swaziland 31.99 World’s Life expectancy report
Population Pyramid for USA
Population Pyramid for Iran
1384: 2722
Points Age-specific Incidence Rate of Prostate cancer  per 100,000 Population in Iran (2005-2006)
[object Object],[object Object],Counterpoints
Table shavad ,[object Object],Counterpoints (Cont.)
Counterpoints (Cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Counterpoints (Cont.)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Shall we screen elderly?
 

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Prostate cancer (screening)

  • 1.  
  • 2. G. Pourmand MD. Tehran University of Medical Sciences May- June 2008 Point counterpoint: Prostate cancer in the elderly man: Should we screen men after age 65 years?
  • 3. Yes No Is prostate cancer a health care problem?
  • 4. Is cancer prevalence important?  Health planning  Benefits and Harms  Most are small, confined
  • 5. Cancer Incidence Rates * for Men US, 1973-1999
  • 6. When Does Screening Detect Cancer? 9 years before clinical presentation
  • 7.
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  • 9. Cost- effectiveness  Avoid detecting biologically unimportant cancers  Detect and treat tumors Progress, Produce Symptoms and Reduce Life Expectancy
  • 10. American Cancer Society Modification (Men who eligible for Pca Screening) PSA and DRE Annually Should or Offer?
  • 11. American Academy of Family  Physician And US Preventive Services Task Force  Do not Recommend Routine Screening in Low- Risk Patients
  • 12. National Screening 1996 Counseling Potential Harms  Benefits Scientific Uncertainties
  • 13. Patient- Clinician Process ( Joint Decision Making) and (Agree on a Course of Action)
  • 14. PSA and DRE from 50 years Life expectancy of at least 10 years Discussion
  • 15. PSA < 2 mg/ml Biannually PSA ≥ 2 mg/ml Annually
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. BPH Prostatitis Prostatic Infarction Is PSA Ideal Tumor Marker?
  • 19. PSA thershold = 4 ng/mL: 65% F. Positive rate 20% F. Negative rate PSA: 3 ng/mL Sensitivity Positive Predictive Value
  • 20. PSA Density PSA Velocity Age Specific Reference May Increase Sensitivity and specificity
  • 21. Age Specific PSA, Reference Range Age, yr Reference Range, ng/ml 40-49 …………………….. 0.0-2.5 50-59 …………………….. 0.0-3.5 60-69 …………………….. 0.0-4.5 70-79 …………………….. 0.0-6.5
  • 22. Use of PSA and PSA density to detect prostate cancer in men with normal DRE PSA density (Threshold) Sensitivity % Specificity % Positive Predictive Value % 0.10 …………… 95 24 29 0.15 …………… 79 50 34 0.30 ……………. 45 85 50 0.50 ……………. 29 95 65
  • 23. Correlation Between PSA and Prostate Cancer
  • 24. Total PSA (ng/mL) PSA Density= Total prostate volume (mL)
  • 25. PSA Velocity PSA ≥ 0.75 ng/mL
  • 26. Digital Rectal Examination • Detect missed Pca by PSA Screening • Able to detect asymptomatic patient • Abnormal DRE (3.2%-10%) • Pca (0.2%-1.7%) in original group
  • 27. ACS  DRE + Occult Blood >40 yrs  The (+ve) Predictive Value 17.8%  Sensitivity of DRE: 53.2%  Specificity of DRE: 83.6%
  • 28. Trans Rectal UltraSonography  Expensive  Not available for family physicians  Suffers from lack of specificity
  • 29. Biopsy 1- Elevated PSA + Benign DRE TRUS Visible abnormal lesions 2- Abnormal DRE + TRUS Regardless of PSA
  • 30. Charecteristics of Screening Tests Test Sensitivity % Specificity % Positive Predictive Value % DRE 45-58 96-97 24-58 TRUS 71-91 89-94 15-43 PSA > 4 ng/ml 67-89 59-97 33-47
  • 31.  
  • 32. 1 Andorra 83.53 2 Macau 82.35 … . 47 United States 78.14 … 130 Iran 70.86 … 222 Angola 37.92 223 Swaziland 31.99 World’s Life expectancy report
  • 36. Points Age-specific Incidence Rate of Prostate cancer per 100,000 Population in Iran (2005-2006)
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