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Career and Job Management

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Career and Job Management

  1. 1. 2020 and Beyond Career Management- Outlook on Jobs By: Paul Young, CPA, CGA Date: September 26, 2020
  2. 2. Paul Young - Bio • CPA, CGA • Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2) • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Emerging Technology • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Business Process Change • SME – Supply Chain Management Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
  3. 3. Overview  This presentation will discuss careers in demand for 2019 and beyond.  Manpower predicts strong hiring through 2019 - http://blog.careerbeacon.com/canadian-employers-say-this- spring-will-be-a-great-time-for-finding-a-new-job/  All level government need to do a better job aligning education with current and future jobs https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/government-policies- education-skills-development-canada-november-2017  The presentation will also look at risk factors to economies, i.e. taxation, government spending, consumer demand and business investment.
  4. 4. Agenda  GDP/Outlook  Middle Class / Video  Job Vacancies  December 2017/Employment  Top Careers for 2017/United States  Top Careers for 2017/Canada  Canada 2016 Labor Market Statistics  United States 2016 Labor Market Statistics  Entry positions  Middle class  Immigration  Refugees  Grads and Open Positions  Graduates / Post-Secondary  Ontario / Post Secondary Funding
  5. 5. Global Forecast Source: http://www.gbm.scotiabank.com/English/bns_econ/forecast.pdf Risks • Slow world wide economic growth • New USA government that is focus on reducing taxes and regulations • Climate change policies (i.e. carbon taxation/emissions) • Lagging productivity • Global Protectionism Trade Policies • Immigration/Refugee policies • Fewer IPOs
  6. 6. Middle class
  7. 7. Middle Class Blog  The top 1% pay 20% of the income tax. We need to stop thinking this is about taxing rich more because it is not! = https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/wealthiest-income-analysis-and-commentary-canada-2017 or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/middle-class-and-justin-trudeau or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/middle-class-how-does-government-better-support-the-middle-class  Nowhere does this article ever deal with cost and size of govt. It is time to re-look at how services are delivery including the costing model. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/funding-and-economic-issues-ontario or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/value-for-money-and-comprehensive-auditing-all-you-need-to-know  http://www.cfo.com/the-economy/2019/04/governments-must-act-to-ease-middle-class- squeeze/?utm_campaign=CFODailyAlert&utm_nooverride=1&utm_source=CFO- email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=CFODailyAlert_Thursday_2019-4-11&utm_term=the-economy
  8. 8. Technology Jobs Source - https://www.cio.com/article/3235944/hiring-and-staffing/hiring-the-most-in-demand-tech-jobs-for- 2018.html
  9. 9. Job Vacancies / Canada  Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190109/dq190109a-eng.htm • Pandemic / COVID19 hit March 2020 as such there has been no reporting of job vacancies as there are about 1M people unemployed • Economy is slowly recovering but there are risks - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/analysis-of- wages-and-employment or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for- canada-throne-speech-september-23-2020
  10. 10. Employment Source –Stats Canada
  11. 11. Liberals / Middle Class Source - https://www.liberal.ca/trudeau-unveils-liberal-platform-for-a-strong-middle-class/ “Stephen Harper wants us to think that if it weren’t for him, our economy would fall apart. But Canada’s economy doesn’t depend on him. It depends on Canadians. It depends on the people I meet all across this country, every single day,” said Mr. Trudeau. “People want economic growth, good jobs, and more money in their pockets. They want to see their voices and values represented in Ottawa. Canadians want a better government, not just a different one. It’s time for real change, and that is exactly what the Liberal Liberal 2015 GDP by PM Wage Growth by Year
  12. 12. Top Careers for 2017/United States Occupational Category 2012 Jobs 2016 Jobs 2012 – 2016 Job Increase Hourly Wages Types of Jobs Information Technology ,926,758 4,398,862 472,104 12% $40.82 or $79.600/annum • Data Scientist • User Interface / Front End Developer • Product Manager • Mobile Software Engineer • Information Security Manager Source: - http://www.careerbuilder.com/share/aboutus/pressreleasesdetail.aspx?sd=12%2f2%2f2016&siteid=cbpr&sc_cmp1=cb_ pr979_&id=pr979&ed=12%2f31%2f2016
  13. 13. Top Careers for 2017/United States Occupational Category 2012 Jobs 2016 Jobs 2012 – 2016 Job Increase Hourly Wages Types of Jobs Financial/Operation al Analyst 7,358,038 7,938,303 585,265 (8% Growth) $35.09 or $68,400/annu m • Operations Manager • Business Process Analyst • Product Development Specialist • Financial Analyst • Office Manager Source: - http://www.careerbuilder.com/share/aboutus/pressreleasesdetail.aspx?sd=12%2f2%2f2016&siteid=cbpr&sc_cmp1=cb_ pr979_&id=pr979&ed=12%2f31%2f2016
  14. 14. Top Careers for 2017/United States Occupational Category 2012 Jobs 2016 Jobs 2012 – 2016 Job Increase Hourly Wages Types of Jobs Health Care 8,035,052 8,641,939 606,887 8% $37.77 or $$73.600/annum • Family Practitioner • Medical Director • ICU Nurse • Cardiologist • Physical Therapist • Rehabilitation Nurse Source: - http://www.careerbuilder.com/share/aboutus/pressreleasesdetail.aspx?sd=12%2f2%2f2016&siteid=cbpr&sc_cmp1=cb_ pr979_&id=pr979&ed=12%2f31%2f2016
  15. 15. Top Careers for 2017/United States Occupational Category 2012 Jobs 2016 Jobs 2012 – 2016 Job Increase Hourly Wages Types of Jobs Skill Trades 12,049,958 13,067,497 1,017,539 (8%) $21.38 or $41,600/Annum, • Electrician • Plumber • HVAC Technician Source: - http://www.careerbuilder.com/share/aboutus/pressreleasesdetail.aspx?sd=12%2f2%2f2016&siteid=cbpr&sc_cmp1=cb_ pr979_&id=pr979&ed=12%2f31%2f2016
  16. 16. 2018 Jobs / Careers Source - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-24/health-care-stem-jobs-among-fastest- growing-u-s-occupations
  17. 17. Top Careers / Canada Source - http://globalnews.ca/news/2944692/the-top-eight-careers-of-the- future-in-canada/ or https://www.trade-schools.net/ca/articles/careers-in- demand.asp Risks • Healthcare funding – Provinces are strapped for cash • Education funding – declining enrolment • Residential/non- residential investment has been sluggish 1. Registered Nurse 2. Truck Driver 3. College or Vocational Instructor 4. Business Management Consultant 5. Welder 6. Licensed Practical Nurse 7. Occupational or Physiotherapy Assistant 8. Software Engineer or Designer 9. Aerospace Engineer 10. Industrial Electrician 11. Aircraft Pilot 12. Pharmacist 13. Psychologist 14. Steamfitter or Pipefitter 15. Construction Estimator 16. Veterinary Technician or Assistant 17. Dispensing Optician
  18. 18. Top Jobs by Starting Wage Source - https://www.msn.com/en-ca/money/topstories/jobs-with-the-best-starting-salaries-in-canada/ss- AAB5TI7?ocid=spartanntp Career Low end Salary High end Salary Nursing $ 45,000 $ 88,000 IT Business analyst $ 47,000 $ 97,000 Financial Adviser $ 35,000 $ 70,000
  19. 19. Top Careers in Canada for 2019 Source - https://www.msn.com/en-ca/money/careersandeducation/the-20-highest-paying-in-demand-jobs-in-canada-for-2019/ss- BBUoDW9?ocid=spartanntp Ranking Career Salary 1 Register Nurse $38,500 to $120,000 2 Software Engineer $48,000 to $153,000 3 Account Manager $57,000 to $101,000 4 University Professor $29,000 to $215,000 5 Anesthesiologist $109,000 to $580,000 6 CPA $42,000 to 103,000 7 Business Analyst $27,000 to $134,000 8 Engineering Project Manager $58,000 to $122,000 9 IT Project Manager $53,500 to $170,000 10 Aerospace $49,000 to $110,000 11 Sales Rep $31,700 to $74,000 Ranking Career Salary 13 Register Nurse $38,500 to $120,000 14 Industrial Electrician $48,750 to $81,500 15 Welder $53,500 to $91,500 16 Airline Pilot $40,200 to $150,000 17 Optician $38.500 to $75,500 18 Pharmacist $44,600 to $144,700 19 Recruiter $20,000 to $214,000 20 Clinical Psychologist $64,500 to $160,000 21 Construction Estimator $21,000 to $152,000 22 Veterinarian $28,000 to $175,000
  20. 20. AI and Jobs Source - https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2018/04/bcg-predicts-23-of-finance-jobs-could-be-lost-to-ai-by- 2027.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+blogspot%2Fadvancednano+%28nextbigfuture%29
  21. 21. Blog – Employment – Entry-Level  Did the Liberals not run on jobs for all? https://www.liberal.ca/realchange/opportunities-for-young-canadians/  “After ten years under Stephen Harper, good-quality job opportunities for young Canadians are tougher and tougher to find. Faced with high unemployment and underemployment, many young people have stopped looking for work altogether.  This is hard for both young people and their families. Many parents are seeing their household debt rise and retirement savings dwindle as they struggle to support their grown children, who often return home. It is time to invest in young Canadians – to help them get the work experience they will need to start their careers and contribute fully to our economy.  Yet in 2016 the job quality index hit the worst level in decades. So, much for sunny ways and jobs, right? Issues with entry level jobs: -  https://globalnews.ca/news/3914000/university-graduates-entry-level-jobs-canada/ “In 2016, around one in two entry-level jobs did not require a minimum level of education (87,500 vacancies). A quarter of those gigs (48,400 vacancies) required a high school diploma and one in five (18,300 vacancies) required a college diploma. Only 14,000 entry-level jobs required a university degree. For comparison, over 250,000 Canadians graduated from university in 2010. - https://globalnews.ca/news/3914000/university-graduates- entry-level-jobs-canada/?utm_source=%40globalnews&utm_medium=Twitter  Goods producing sector continue to lag other sectors in terms of job growth - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/wages-and- employment-canada-policy-analysis - Goods producing sector would lead to engineering, quality control inspectors, supply chain management, inventory control, etc.  Retail/wholesale sector lead a good chunk of the growth. Warehousing is going through automation - https://www.xconomy.com/boston/2017/11/20/locus-robotics-gets-25m-to-help-warehouse-owners-compete-with-amazon/  Job Quality Index - http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/wages-cibc-job-quality-1.3872389 “The quality of employment in Canada is falling, according to a report from CIBC, with more low-paid jobs and those earning less than the average wage falling further behind. Both young people and Canadians over 55 are stuck in the low-wage job sector, primarily in-service jobs. But even among workers aged 25 to 54, 53 per cent had jobs that paid between 50 and 100 per cent of the average wage.  http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2017/12/03/stingy-canadian-employers-face-workforce-crisis-in-2018-report_a_23295535/ “Canada's employers face a potential "workforce crisis" next year, as employees take advantage of a strong job market to leave their jobs in search of better pay and work conditions, a new report says. And it's due to employers' own reluctance to improve wages and hire permanent workers, according to the report from recruitment agency Hays Canada.
  22. 22. Blog #1 – Middle Class  http://www.torontosun.com/2017/10/11/canucks-believe-middle-class-dream-replaced-by-nightmare-poll  Yet Trudeau said the article is wrong? https://globalnews.ca/news/3769136/taxes-middle-class-liberals/ I hate to tell PM Selfie that Trudeau is wrong. You cannot eliminate tax credits, income tax splitting, etc. and then expect taxes will go down, because they do not! https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/did-the-middle-class-cut-truly-help-canadians . FYI - The child tax benefit did not reduce poverty by 400,000.  Trudeau so called middle class tax cut did not work - https://globalnews.ca/news/3769136/taxes-middle-class-liberals/. This is before carbon tax is implemented across Canada 2019. The carbon tax will hurt low to middle class more than the wealthy. http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatoon/australian-carbon-tax-opponent-chris-berg-saskatchewan-1.3884765  Yet the PBO office said CPC cuts help low to middle class Canadians. Trudeau again got it wrong about Harper and his policies!!!! https://globalnews.ca/news/1356467/tax-cuts-since-2005-net-canadians-30b-pbo/.  Wage growth - How about the fact your government has lost 75,000 mfg. jobs? http://business.financialpost.com/opinion/75000- manufacturing-jobs-lost-thats-the-price-of-ontarios-electricity-disaster How come incomes have grown only 3.8% for 10 years? http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/statistics-canada-census-2016-income-hightlights-1.4287179  In 2014 is when Canada had the best middle class in the world - https://beta.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/top-business- stories/canadas-middle-class-now-worlds-richest-study-suggests/article18090490/?ref=http://www.theglobeandmail.com&  People complain about corporations and yet they contribute to wealth distribution –  Harper did not just focus on tax cuts including corporate tax, but also set up innovation funds and sign trade deals to expand exports. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/wealth-distribution-canada-corporate-tax-july-2017. Trudeau was elected and said he will focus on clean technology, right? https://www.liberal.ca/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/A-new-plan-for-Canadas-environment-and-economy.pdf The problem is clean technology companies are not making money, right? http://www.bnn.ca/awash-in-red-ink-canadian-clean-tech-struggling- despite-ottawa-s-green-goals-1.729679  Harper created many innovation funds, sign trade agreements, expanded ports like Montreal, Prince Rupert, etc. Harper was all about getting goods to market. More could have been done, but pipelines as well as lack of priorities by governments including Ontario on natural resource development set Harper back - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/merchandise-trade-canada-july-2017  Liberals love to fabricate the facts - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/liberal-party-of-canada-election-promises-september-2017. FYI the middle class tax cut was supposed to be revenue neutral and it was not - http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/12/07/liberals-middle- class-tax-cut-rich_n_8740118.html
  23. 23. Blog – Career Management  https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/warren-trudeau- needs-to-act-on-illegal-immigration-so-we-can-attract-best- and-brightest  “Canada desperately needs new immigrants. Our aging population and a declining birth rate — require us to be bold in attracting quality new Canadians.”   The article is leaving out many factors like slow GDP growth rate, college graduates, labour reforms, trade agreements, etc.
  24. 24. Immigration Source - http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/immigration-canada-2018-1.4371146 or http://www5.statcan.gc.ca/cansim/a26?lang=eng&id=2850001 or https://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/151130/dq151130d-eng.htm
  25. 25. Refugees Cost  Canada is forecasted to receiving 40,000 refugees through the illegal border crossing into Canada. The cost of to house, feed, cloth, medical, etc. will be between $600M to $1B. https://openparliament.ca/debates/2017/9/26/michelle-rempel-2/. The response from the government has been at best lukewarm. Here is what the immigration minister said “The member opposite must know that asylum claims fluctuate on a yearly basis and sometimes even monthly. The fact of the matter is that our agencies were nimble enough. We were able to put full capacity within IRCC to process claims.  Yet the government thinks closing the borders is not priority, but taxing small business is in terms of policies is top priority, right? https://ipolitics.ca/2017/09/28/morneaus-tax-plan-should-have-been-political- gold-what-happened/
  26. 26. Immigration Minister Hussen – June 2018 Source - https://www.cicnews.com/2018/05/growing-canadas-future-economy-an-impossibility-without-immigration- 0510696.html#gs.2CwRc3w When it comes to the future of immigration to Canada, it’s no longer a question of “why immigration” but “how much,” says federal Immigration Minister, Ahmed Hussen. “That’s where the debate is now,” he told his audience at the 2018 Canadian Immigration Summit in Ottawa. “Without immigration, our ability to grow our economy would become an impossibility,” Hussen said, referencing a recent report by the Conference Board of Canada. • No mention on how the carbon tax will shrink $10B off GDP by 2022 - https://ipolitics.ca/2018/04/23/pbo- says-carbon-tax-will-knock-10-billion- off-gdp-by-2022/ • No mentioned that govt regulations, taxation, etc. are leading to exodus of investment - http://business.financialpost.com/opini on/philip-cross-canadas-losing-jobs- when-we-should-be-booming- economically-guess-why • Uncertainty with trade deals (i.e. rise of protectionism - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungc ga/is-the-world-heading-to-more- protectionism-june-2018 • No mentioned that 80% of the middle class is paying more taxation under the Liberals - https://globalnews.ca/news/3769136/ta xes-middle-class-liberals/ • No mention that Canada graduates 500,000 new grads a year. So, why are we not taking care of our own first? • Canada is also less competitive today than it was back in 2015 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungc ga/cost-competitiveness-canada-april- 2018
  27. 27. Graduation Rates / Canada Source – Canada • Education needs to be aligned with jobs of today and the future, i.e. technology, skill trades, healthcare, etc. - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/technology-market-canada-and-the-world-march-2019 • Canada needs to be more competitive in terms of attracting FDI. Govt needs to stop focusing on job killing regulations (C69) and taxes (hikes to CPP and new taxes like carbon taxation- https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/business- competitivesness-canada-march-2019 • Canada’s various government policies need to support innovation. New business tax reforms should be reversed - https://globalnews.ca/news/3741638/canadian-tech-ottawa-trudeau-small-business-taxes/ • Canada has started to see more of a brain drain - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/technology/article-canada- facing-brain-drain-as-young-tech-talent-leaves-for-silicon/
  28. 28. Ontario – Post Secondary Funding Source - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-colleges-university-performance-funding-budget- 1.5094751?fbclid=IwAR2NxZDsOVfdrjS-iKDYoY2ixnFRpBow___JNdS1RLnitxJcOPRXdbhM8Rs • Education has to better aligned with jobs. The schools need to revamp their programs based on the needs of the economy • Ontario has chance to re-invent itself including focusing on more incubation centers via its post- secondary institution. • Degree is not worth its paper if there are no jobs and/or limited jobs • Elementary and Secondary education needs to start emphasizing more the sciences, technology, math, etc. courses • Ontario needs to focus on becoming more competitive, i.e. lower hydro rates, lower taxes, reduction of regulations, etc. - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/ontario-fiscal-and-economic-cliff
  29. 29. 2021 Employment  Top 15 IT Jobs - https://www.roberthalf.com/blog/salaries-and- skills/the-13-highest-paying-it-jobs-in-2019  Top 30 jobs - https://www.businessinsider.com/best-jobs-future- growth-2019-3#27-human-resources-specialists-4  Better training and education including government policies that support getting goods to market can help support better job quality opportunities - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-address- issues-facing-getting-goods-to-market and https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/human-capital- management-of-existing-and-future-employees  Top Careers - https://www.slice.ca/10-canadian-careers-thatll- be-in-demand-in-2020-and-after/
  30. 30. Summary  People need to focus on treating their education like an investment, i.e. ROI  People need to start treating their name like a brand, i.e. how do maximized my brand  Education needs to revamp to ensure it is better aligned with jobs of today and future  All levels of government need to get their policies under control, i.e. tax policy, hydro rates, regulations, value for money, etc.  More emphasis needs to be on incubation centers. All universities and colleges should become innovation centers  There needs to be more focus on economic policies that will drive FDI

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