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Agriculture
Equipment Sector –
Analysis and
Commentary
PAUL YOUNG CPA CGA
OCTOBER 13, 2021
Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
Agenda
 North American AG Equipment Sales
 Commodity Prices
 AG Prices – Canada
 Preliminary Crop Estimates – Canada
 Oilseeds
 Energy Prices
 Carbon Tax
 Food Prices
 Farming Income
 Top Farming States
 Food Processors
 Technology and Farming
 Government and Farming
 Debt
 Summary
North American Equipment Sales
Source - https://www.aem.org/Market-Data/
Commodity
Prices
SOURCE -
HTTPS://WWW.WORLDBANK.O
RG/EN/RESEARCH/COMMODIT
Y-MARKETS
CMO-Pink-Sheet-July-
2021.pdf
Commodity
Prices
Source – Scotiabank
BNS_Commodity
Index.pdf
Carbon Tax – Canada
 Carbon Tax / Farmers – Wheat Farmers - https://wheatgrowers.ca/
 Greenhouse growers / Carbon Tax Exemptions - https://www.greenhousecanada.com/bc-greenhouse-
growers-get-permanent-carbon-tax-relief-20363/
 Grain Dryer - https://www.world-grain.com/articles/13262-canadas-grain-dryer-program-tackles-
efficiency
 Carbon Tax hike? - https://www.sherwoodparknews.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-liberals-mum-on-
hiking-carbon-taxes/wcm/a55ed40c-d289-4023-802b-4d2a1335cdc5
Food Prices
 Canada Food Prices - https://cfjctoday.com/2020/07/30/food-prices-on-the-rise-amid-covid-19-
pandemic/ or inflation is surging - https://www.fool.ca/2021/03/20/inflation-is-surging-protect-
yourself/
 USA Food Prices - https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy/us-consumer-prices-push-higher-
high-unemployment-likely-to-keep-lid-on-inflation-idUSKCN2581SA
 World Food Prices - https://www.ontariofarmer.com/business/farm-business/world-food-prices-rising
 Food Prices - https://www.thepigsite.com/news/2020/10/new-study-explores-food-prices-around-the-
world
 Global Food Prices - https://reliefweb.int/report/world/food-prices-rise-sharply-january
Blog – Food Prices
Blog - With Demand Soaring, Booming Food Sector Turns to Food Contract Manufacturing
As demand for food products increases nationwide, businesses are frequently turning to food contract
manufacturing companies to meet that increased need rather than adding additional capacity internally.
Anticipating that demand will eventually return to normal levels, food producers can work with an experienced
co-packer to enhance their operational efficiency without needing to make substantial asset or equipment
investments in-house that may sit unused later on.
Sourcing for food contract manufacturing on the Thomasnet.com platform is up 133% year over year and up
277% over last quarter averages.
Source - https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/with-demand-soaring-booming-food-sector-turns-to-food-contract-
manufacturing/?ecms_id=03a9e6f7-1a59-4bb8-88af-
2bd41a26780d&ecms_short=ART5898&doc_type=ted_video_article&parent_id=8250e2ab-aea8-49ec-ad90-
fe73f30b2122&utm_content=featuredvideo&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_industry_update&ca
mpaign_name=tiu211004&utm_campaign=tiu211004&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_industry_update&tinid
=221763045
My work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/food-and-beverage-analysis-and-commentary
Farm Income
 Farming Income in Canada has been struggling for the past few years -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/191126/dq191126b-eng.htm
 USA farm income and aid - https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/us-farm-income-expected-to-
rise-in-2019-but-only-because-of-government-aid
 AG subsidies - https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/world-farm-subsidies-hit-2-billion-a-day
 Net farm income, a broad measure of profits, is forecast to decrease $9.8 billion (8.1 percent) to $111.4
billion in 2021. In inflation-adjusted 2021 dollars, net farm income is forecast to decrease $12 billion (9.7
percent) in 2021 after increasing $37.8 billion (44.2 percent) in 2020 to its highest level since 2013. Despite
this decline, 2021 net farm income would be 21 percent above its 2000-19 average of $92.1 billion.
https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-economy/farm-sector-income-finances/highlights-from-the-farm-
income-forecast/
Canada
and Farm
Receipts
SOURCE – STATS CANADA
Farm Receipts -
Jan21 to Jun 2021 - canada.pdf
Farm Receipts
Source – Stats Canada
Top Farming States
Source - https://www.statista.com/statistics/196114/top-10-us-states-by-number-of-farms/
Food Processors
 Source - www.fao.org or https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2019/09/04/1910664/0/en/Food-Processing-Market-to-Exceed-4-Trillion-
by-2024-Key-Trends-Analysis-Opportunities-to-Succeed.html
Plastic Greenhouses / CO2
 35% of China’s vegetables come from plastic green houses -
https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2021/03/plastic-greenhouses-provide-35-of-chinas-vegetables.html
 Greenhouse farming - https://gulfnews.com/uae/environment/popularity-of-greenhouse-farming-
options-on-the-rise-1.842642
 South Korea - https://www.hortidaily.com/article/9306173/overview-vegetable-horticulture-in-south-
korea/
 Global Market - https://www.databridgemarketresearch.com/reports/global-plastic-greenhouse-
market
 Ontario/Greenhouses - https://windsor.ctvnews.ca/ontario-government-investing-3-6-million-toward-
innovation-projects-in-the-greenhouse-sector-1.5285128
 NZ and the Middle East - https://www.freshplaza.com/article/9307955/new-zealand-has-a-huge-tech-
opportunity-in-the-middle-east-s-growing-horticulture-industry/
Technology and Farming
 AI is transforming farming - https://www.forbes.com/sites/cognitiveworld/2019/07/05/how-ai-is-transforming-
agriculture/#1fa34bec4ad1
 AI and farming - https://customerthink.com/the-role-of-artificial-intelligence-in-agriculture-sector/
 IBM and farming - https://farmtario.com/news/ibm-expands-artificial-intelligence-platform-into-agriculture/
 RPA and Farming - https://blog.accubits.com/robotic-process-automation-in-agribusiness/
 IBM and Expert Farming - https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/farmplan-using-ibm-pairs-to-predict-blackgrass-
weed-before-it-damages-crops-301151067.html
 AG App - https://www.techrepublic.com/article/farming-assistant-app-agrolly-wins-ibms-call-for-code-contest/
 Smart farming - https://farmingfirst.org/2020/10/transforming-agriculture-through-smart-farming-from-data-ownership-
to-open-data/
 Telecom/Farming - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/agriculture-analytics-market-reach-2-133100885.html
 Blockchain and Food Protection - https://blog.trustbix.com/how-blockchain-can-support-food-supply-chain-management
Government / Farming
 Elimination of trade barriers - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-for-global-
trade-protectionism
 More emphasis on local supply chain management solutions -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/tranformation-of-supply-chains
 Tax fairness and regulatory reforms - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/does-the-world-need-
a-wealth-tax
 Government provides direct subsidies and/or loans to farmers
 Government needs to revisit all their programs to ensure various programs are efficient and effective -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/market-food-protein-market-analysis-and-commentary or
https://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/internet/English/parl_lpt_e_934.html or https://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2016/03/08/BC-
Carbon-Tax-Failure/
 Automation can help with automation of audits - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/internal-audit-and-
performance-base-auditing
Farm Debt
Source -
https://www.portageonline.c
om/ag/agriculture-news-
mb/fcc-economist-says-
farm-debt-under-control-
watch-for-higher-interest-
rates
USA Farm Debt
Source -
https://farmpolicynews.illinoi
s.edu/2021/06/farm-lending-
remains-strong-in-2020-
american-bankers-
association-report/
Summary
 All levels of government need to work together to better support the agriculture
and food processing sector
 The world needs to unite to fixed issues with WTO
 More balanced between environmental and economic policies.

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What is next for Agriculture Equipment and Food/Farming Sector?

  • 1. Agriculture Equipment Sector – Analysis and Commentary PAUL YOUNG CPA CGA OCTOBER 13, 2021
  • 2. Paul Young - Bio • CPA, CGA • Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2) • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Emerging Technology • SME – Business Process Change • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Macro/Micro Indicators • SME – Supply Chain Management • SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform • SME – Internal Controls and Auditing Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/ SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
  • 3. Agenda  North American AG Equipment Sales  Commodity Prices  AG Prices – Canada  Preliminary Crop Estimates – Canada  Oilseeds  Energy Prices  Carbon Tax  Food Prices  Farming Income  Top Farming States  Food Processors  Technology and Farming  Government and Farming  Debt  Summary
  • 4. North American Equipment Sales Source - https://www.aem.org/Market-Data/
  • 7. Carbon Tax – Canada  Carbon Tax / Farmers – Wheat Farmers - https://wheatgrowers.ca/  Greenhouse growers / Carbon Tax Exemptions - https://www.greenhousecanada.com/bc-greenhouse- growers-get-permanent-carbon-tax-relief-20363/  Grain Dryer - https://www.world-grain.com/articles/13262-canadas-grain-dryer-program-tackles- efficiency  Carbon Tax hike? - https://www.sherwoodparknews.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-liberals-mum-on- hiking-carbon-taxes/wcm/a55ed40c-d289-4023-802b-4d2a1335cdc5
  • 8. Food Prices  Canada Food Prices - https://cfjctoday.com/2020/07/30/food-prices-on-the-rise-amid-covid-19- pandemic/ or inflation is surging - https://www.fool.ca/2021/03/20/inflation-is-surging-protect- yourself/  USA Food Prices - https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy/us-consumer-prices-push-higher- high-unemployment-likely-to-keep-lid-on-inflation-idUSKCN2581SA  World Food Prices - https://www.ontariofarmer.com/business/farm-business/world-food-prices-rising  Food Prices - https://www.thepigsite.com/news/2020/10/new-study-explores-food-prices-around-the- world  Global Food Prices - https://reliefweb.int/report/world/food-prices-rise-sharply-january
  • 9. Blog – Food Prices Blog - With Demand Soaring, Booming Food Sector Turns to Food Contract Manufacturing As demand for food products increases nationwide, businesses are frequently turning to food contract manufacturing companies to meet that increased need rather than adding additional capacity internally. Anticipating that demand will eventually return to normal levels, food producers can work with an experienced co-packer to enhance their operational efficiency without needing to make substantial asset or equipment investments in-house that may sit unused later on. Sourcing for food contract manufacturing on the Thomasnet.com platform is up 133% year over year and up 277% over last quarter averages. Source - https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/with-demand-soaring-booming-food-sector-turns-to-food-contract- manufacturing/?ecms_id=03a9e6f7-1a59-4bb8-88af- 2bd41a26780d&ecms_short=ART5898&doc_type=ted_video_article&parent_id=8250e2ab-aea8-49ec-ad90- fe73f30b2122&utm_content=featuredvideo&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_industry_update&ca mpaign_name=tiu211004&utm_campaign=tiu211004&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_industry_update&tinid =221763045 My work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/food-and-beverage-analysis-and-commentary
  • 10. Farm Income  Farming Income in Canada has been struggling for the past few years - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/191126/dq191126b-eng.htm  USA farm income and aid - https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/us-farm-income-expected-to- rise-in-2019-but-only-because-of-government-aid  AG subsidies - https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/world-farm-subsidies-hit-2-billion-a-day  Net farm income, a broad measure of profits, is forecast to decrease $9.8 billion (8.1 percent) to $111.4 billion in 2021. In inflation-adjusted 2021 dollars, net farm income is forecast to decrease $12 billion (9.7 percent) in 2021 after increasing $37.8 billion (44.2 percent) in 2020 to its highest level since 2013. Despite this decline, 2021 net farm income would be 21 percent above its 2000-19 average of $92.1 billion. https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-economy/farm-sector-income-finances/highlights-from-the-farm- income-forecast/
  • 11. Canada and Farm Receipts SOURCE – STATS CANADA Farm Receipts - Jan21 to Jun 2021 - canada.pdf
  • 12. Farm Receipts Source – Stats Canada
  • 13. Top Farming States Source - https://www.statista.com/statistics/196114/top-10-us-states-by-number-of-farms/
  • 14. Food Processors  Source - www.fao.org or https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2019/09/04/1910664/0/en/Food-Processing-Market-to-Exceed-4-Trillion- by-2024-Key-Trends-Analysis-Opportunities-to-Succeed.html
  • 15. Plastic Greenhouses / CO2  35% of China’s vegetables come from plastic green houses - https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2021/03/plastic-greenhouses-provide-35-of-chinas-vegetables.html  Greenhouse farming - https://gulfnews.com/uae/environment/popularity-of-greenhouse-farming- options-on-the-rise-1.842642  South Korea - https://www.hortidaily.com/article/9306173/overview-vegetable-horticulture-in-south- korea/  Global Market - https://www.databridgemarketresearch.com/reports/global-plastic-greenhouse- market  Ontario/Greenhouses - https://windsor.ctvnews.ca/ontario-government-investing-3-6-million-toward- innovation-projects-in-the-greenhouse-sector-1.5285128  NZ and the Middle East - https://www.freshplaza.com/article/9307955/new-zealand-has-a-huge-tech- opportunity-in-the-middle-east-s-growing-horticulture-industry/
  • 16. Technology and Farming  AI is transforming farming - https://www.forbes.com/sites/cognitiveworld/2019/07/05/how-ai-is-transforming- agriculture/#1fa34bec4ad1  AI and farming - https://customerthink.com/the-role-of-artificial-intelligence-in-agriculture-sector/  IBM and farming - https://farmtario.com/news/ibm-expands-artificial-intelligence-platform-into-agriculture/  RPA and Farming - https://blog.accubits.com/robotic-process-automation-in-agribusiness/  IBM and Expert Farming - https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/farmplan-using-ibm-pairs-to-predict-blackgrass- weed-before-it-damages-crops-301151067.html  AG App - https://www.techrepublic.com/article/farming-assistant-app-agrolly-wins-ibms-call-for-code-contest/  Smart farming - https://farmingfirst.org/2020/10/transforming-agriculture-through-smart-farming-from-data-ownership- to-open-data/  Telecom/Farming - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/agriculture-analytics-market-reach-2-133100885.html  Blockchain and Food Protection - https://blog.trustbix.com/how-blockchain-can-support-food-supply-chain-management
  • 17. Government / Farming  Elimination of trade barriers - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-for-global- trade-protectionism  More emphasis on local supply chain management solutions - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/tranformation-of-supply-chains  Tax fairness and regulatory reforms - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/does-the-world-need- a-wealth-tax  Government provides direct subsidies and/or loans to farmers  Government needs to revisit all their programs to ensure various programs are efficient and effective - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/market-food-protein-market-analysis-and-commentary or https://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/internet/English/parl_lpt_e_934.html or https://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2016/03/08/BC- Carbon-Tax-Failure/  Automation can help with automation of audits - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/internal-audit-and- performance-base-auditing
  • 19. USA Farm Debt Source - https://farmpolicynews.illinoi s.edu/2021/06/farm-lending- remains-strong-in-2020- american-bankers- association-report/
  • 20. Summary  All levels of government need to work together to better support the agriculture and food processing sector  The world needs to unite to fixed issues with WTO  More balanced between environmental and economic policies.