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Pecha Kucha Night Louisville #3
              g
           3/8/11


         Patrick Smith
         Patrick Smith
           @CityResearch
Louisville & Lexington
Thoughts on Kentucky’s Potential Super Region
KENTUCKY S SUPER REGION?
                           KENTUCKY’S SUPER REGION?
   “It would be better for Louisville and Lexington be 
   thought of — and marketed — as a single region, 
    h     h f       d     k d             i l     i
       even while maintaining separate strengths”




                                                                                                BUT
                                                                                                WHY?
Louisville Mayor Greg Fischer & Margaret Handmaker, Interim Director for Economic Development
COURIER JOURNAL PHOTO
Louisville MSA is Losing Jobs
             Nonagricultural wage and salary jobs, 2000-2009


            620,400
            620 400    595,800
                                             ‐24,600 jobs 
                                                       b
                                               Down 4%
                                               Down 4%
                                               Source: Coomes, 2010, Recovery and
              2000       2009                  Expansion from the 2008-09 Recession,
                                               and its Impact on Tax Revenues.




         The theory of the Super Region is that by creating
              a larger, cooperative regional economy
                l              ti      i   l
– the new whole will produce more than the sum of it’s old parts –

                 Translating into more jobs 
How can Louisville and Lexington 
  How can Louisville and Lexington
become stronger economic partners?

    What are some differences?


  What are some shared strengths?
  What are some shared strengths?


What can happen in the short term to 
        get things moving?
CINCINNATI




LOUISVILLE
                LEXINGTON
Combing these two regions would create an 
      g             g
 economy with a GDP larger than Nashville

 34   Milwaukee‐Waukesha‐West Allis, WI ‐ $ 82,692,000,000
 35   Virginia Beach‐Norfolk‐Newport News, VA‐NC ‐ $ 79,600,000,000
 36   Hartford‐West Hartford‐East Hartford, CT ‐ $ 79,424,000,000
      H tf d W t H tf d E t H tf d CT $ 79 424 000 000
 37   Bridgeport‐Stamford‐Norwalk, CT ‐ $ 78,805,000,000
 38   Austin‐Round Rock‐San Marcos, TX ‐ $ 78,426,000,000


        Louisville‐Lexington Super Region 
                         $ ,
                         $77,964,000,000   
                                 ,   ,
 39   San Antonio‐New Braunfels, TX ‐ $ 77,712,000,000
 40   Nashville‐Davidson‐Murfreesboro‐Franklin, TN ‐ $ 75,764,000,000
 41   New Orleans‐Metairie‐Kenner, LA  ‐ $68,008,000,000
What are some of our individual regional 
             strengths?


 Louisville has elder care and a growing 
            health care sector

Lexington has the thoroughbred industry
Employment Trends, Manufacturing & Health Services
Louisville KY-IN MSA 2001 - 2008



    92,240
    92 240



                       Manufacturing Jobs

                                                                     78,003


                                                                   75,517

                          Health Care and Social
                          Assistance Jobs
     64,563



                                                   Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Farm income, livestock vs. crops, 2008
Farm income, livestock vs. crops, 2008




                            Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Industry Sectors
           Industry Sectors
     for Complimentary Growth


  Our regions both build high quality 
  Our regions both build high quality
 vehicles and contain many important 
  links in vehicle parts supply chains
  links in vehicle parts supply chains

The combined region contains the Napa 
The combined region contains the Napa
         Valley of Bourbon
LOU‐LEX SUPER REGION: THE NAPA VALLEY OF BOURBON 




                                                                      2010 Kentucky Distillers' Association

“They’re [KY Distillers] priming for continued growth — not just in consumption as more and more people around
 They re [KY Distillers] priming for continued growth — not just in consumption, as more and more people around 
the world appreciate a fine, aged American whiskey, but also in tourism, as more and more people around the 
world start to view the triangle between Louisville, Frankfort and Bardstown like Napa Valley.” ‐‐
DrinkBoston.com, 2010
Criticism of the Super Region?
Criticism of the Super Region?
 “while it’s possible to have similar businesses along a
 vast corridor — like Silicon Valley in California…

 …there s
 …there’s so much undeveloped countryside between
 Louisville and Lexington that it’s hard to consider it a
 single region”


    This criticism presupposes that the Super Region
    would be have to be a fully built-out, uninterrupted
     urban corridor between Lexington & Louisville
The Lou/Lex Super Region could protect our rich natural landscapes by focusing 
 development in Louisville, Lexington,  and the town centers across the region. 
The Thoroughbred Express?




Greatest  short term way to connect 
these two economies is through rail
Improve Connectivity
Across the Super Region
A      th S      R i
THANK YOU !

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Thoughts on the Lou-Lex Super Region