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Consumer India

 The Changing Face
Scope of today’s discussion
• Consumer India shining
   – Why we’re feeling good about Consumer India.

• A closer look at the consuming class
   –   Influence of primal Indian passions
   –   Role of Family as unit of change
   –   Consumption patterns
   –   Changing role of women
   – Role of children
   – Cultural diversity as a key influencer for consumption


• Cracking the Indian consumer’s code
   – The need for India-specific strategy
        • Who’s done what
   – Minimum requirements of success
        • What it takes
Consumer India Shining!!

     A good time to be Indian
Specifically, what are we feeling so
            good about??
One of the fastest growing economies

            India                    8.4%

            China                    9.1%

            Hong Kong                4%

            Indonesia                3.9%

            Malaysia                 3.5%

            Singapore                1.7%

            Thailand                 5.8%


   GDP ranked 7th in the World in the year 2000,
                will be 3rd by 2040
Balanced Picture of Growth

Economic Growth                                 8.4%

Agricultural growth                             7.4%

Manufacturing                                   7.3%

Construction sector growth                      6.4%

Trade, Hotels, Transport                        11.9%

Services sector growth                          9.9%




                      Last two quarters of ’03: Crisil Estimates
Climate of Business Growth

• Foreign exchange reserves exceed $ 102 billion,
   – 6th largest in the world (increased 5 times in 9 years)
• 220 of the global fortune 500 companies source IT from India
Regular policy changes
              encouraging business
•   Customs duty of cell phones halved to 5%
•   Excise on computers halved to 8%
•   In-land air-travel tax of 15% abolished
•   Excise on aviation fuel dropped by half to 9%
•   Laptop as a part of personal baggage exempted from customs
    duty
     Contrastingly, a few years back, such goods invited 125%
    customs duty
Young country that is getting
                younger
• India is a young country. 40% of India’s 1 billion population is
  under the age of 20
• Number of teenagers – 160 million
• India’s young (under the age of 20 years) consumer’s annual
  pocket money is an estimated at US $6.5 billion
• By 2015 Indians under 20 will make 55 percent of the
  population
Rapidly increasing spending power

• The average Indian spent Rs. 14396 in 2001-02 compared to Rs.
  5213 in 1991-91
• This shows a CAGR OF 9.7%
• Thus several consumer markets are large in size…
The Growing Economy
         90                                       80
         80
                                            69
         70
         60
                                                                  Source
         50                                                1999
                                 36                               : IRS
                           34
         40                                                2002
                   31
         30   20
         20
         10
          0
              Telephone   Refrigerator   House Ownership
              Ownership   Ownesrship


Lowest ever housing credit costs are showing their effect
The Growing Industries

• Detergent industry: about US $ 700 million
   – Organized sector grew by 11% in volume, but only 7% in
      value terms
• Shampoo category: US $ 210 million
  - growing at 15% annually
• Biscuits: US $ 700 million
   – 1.1mn tonnes per annum
   – Value growth – 10.3
   – Volume growth –11.6

    Average prices significantly lower than developed
                         countries



                                       India Infoline 2002
Large, growing markets- but call for
      India specific strategies
• Cellphones: subscribers crossed 23 million
   – More than 1.7 million new additions in Dec ’03, against 0.5
     million in Dec ’02.
   – ARPU declined, from US $ 18 two years back to US $ 11 /
     month
• Motorbikes: US $ 3.3 billion
   – Volume: 5mn units growing at more than 10%
   – Market demands extreme fuel efficiencies, ruggedness &
     low prices and style.




                               India Infoline 2002
A closer look at Consuming class

–   Influence of primal Indian passions
–   Role of Family as unit of change
–   Consumption patterns
–   Changing role of women :Savvy Home Manager
– Role of children:Party time
– Cultural diversity as a key influencer for consumption
A closer look at the consuming class
The Consuming Class
 Usage                          Consuming Class       Others
 Internet access at home              100                0
 Personal computer                    100                0
 Ketchup / sauce usage                97                 3
 Telephone ownership                  96                4
 Motorcycles ownership                96                 4
 Refrigerator ownership               95                5
 Branded shampoos                     82                18
 Skin Cream                            81               19

The total consuming class 40 million homes
The core consuming class or “Creamy layer” is (Sec A & B1) is
about 10 million homes
What drives India??
Bollywood: Celluloid Dreams

• Most Indian's are fanatic movie watchers
• The world’s most prolific movie industry, more than 900 films
  produced / year
• Estimated to grow at 19% annually to £1.3 billion by 2007
• Several actors have turned into successful politicians
• The export of Indian films earned in excess of £ 0.16 billion in
  2003
A Cricket crazy nation..
..although officially, ‘Hockey’ is our national game!
  • Indians eat cricket, drink cricket, sleep cricket
  • Over 1bn people participate in unison
  • Cricket fans following exceeds that of even the biggest film
    stars
  • Cricket in India cuts across age, income, geographical and
    religious barriers
  • Highest single program viewer-ship was recorded (in the last 10
    years) when India defeated Pakistan in the last cricket world
    cup
Music in every soul..


• Song & dance sequences are a very important constituent of
  any Indian movie
• Indian music industry is US $ 250 million annually in size
• 5th in the world in volume, the 19th in value
• The important genres Indipop, film music, devotionals, re-
  mixes, international music & poetic ghazals
• International music: around £ 10 million, mostly rock, pop and
  world music
All these passions spawn their own
     massive media opportunities.
• Cricket matches -Live telecasts
   – Celebrity interviews
• Movies and Cinema related programming
   – Award shows
   – Film telecasts on TV
• Music based programming
   – Countdowns
   – Antaksharis


Have to participate in these ,
    for visibility
   to align ourselves with these passions
The Fourth passion : Food


• Everyday meal would include lentils ,rice, Indian bread,
  curried vegetables, curd, papad, pickle, salad, chutney:
  several courses
• Indian house wife spends several hours in the kitchen and with
  pride
• This leaves the working women in guilt, encourages ‘ready to
  cook’ & ‘ready to eat’ food industries
• Cross -regional cuisine dominates eating out
But the Indian Palette has to be
               catered to…

•   A KSA Technopak estimate that over 70 per cent Indian
    consumers prefer traditional Indian meals rather than `Western'
•   Indiginisation of toppings to suit Indian palates is a given in fast
    foods.
     – Region-specific toppings also appear.
     – Up to 35 per cent of the pizza toppings at Domino's are
        `Indian.‘
•   People carry local delicacies like 'theplas' and 'khakras' with
    them on their trips abroad
Indian middle class is proving Shaw’s definition
      of the middle-class person false…….

    “a moderately useful education, with a moderately decent job,
     with a moderately beautiful wife and leading a moderately
         honest life and whose overall numbers remained
                        moderately even.”
Family: The basic unit of culture
           & change

                 • Divorce rates less than 8%
                 • Young generation doesn’t
                   leave home till 22 – 23 years
                   of age
                 • Cohesive family, provides
                   strong cultural grounding
Culture promotes stability of the family

 •    Parents even in bigger cities don't allow their daughters to go
     out for a movie with guys
      – even if there are other girls in the group
 •   In most Indian families, daughters are not comfortable watching
     even remotely sensuous scenes in films when their father or
     other male relatives are around .
“The new-age Indian family is entrepreneurial, likes speed in all
 aspects, believes in the `nowness' of life, works hard and plays
 hard, is not averse to positive manipulation and leans towards
    religion and spirituality for physical and mental health”

                                 Business Line article on conspicuous consumption.
“Earlier conspicuous consumption was a `no-no' for most average
Indians, and thriftiness the norm in social and personal lifestyle”
            Business Line article on conspicuous consumption




                            But today….


       Affordable indulgence is the motto
Far beyond the traditional
“Roti, Kapada aur Makaan”
The major reason
    Family structure in India has shifted
•
    – Joint family to a Nuclear Urban Family.
Family Structure

                      Metro      Mini Metro Others    All Urban
Nuclear                       74         70        68        70
Nuclear with Elders           12         15        15        14




     Overwhelmingly nuclear in composition,
               change can be rapid
Shift from a strict, authoritarian structure to a
         more democratic family set-up

  •   Pocket money
  •   TV watching
  •   Entertainment
  •   Toy market
  •   Snacks
The consumer’s shopping basket in 1999
                                                      Personal Care items
                                Home Appliances
                                                              6%
                                      3%
           Home Tex tile
                1%

        Sav ings & Inv estment
                14%                                                                        Grocery
                                                                                            43%
               Clothing
                 5%

        Consumer Durables
               6%
               Vacation
                                                                                 Books & Music
                  4%
                                                                                      5%
                   Eating out         Footw ear                       Entertainment
                                                  Mov ies & Theatre
                      8%                1%                                  3%
                                                         1%



No more a food spending dominated poor economy
The role of consumer finance has
              helped here
• Retail loans have witnessed a total growth of 27% in the past
  three years
   – as compared to 13.6% growth in commercial credit.
• Interest rates are the lowest in 30 years
• Banks are flush with liquidity
The Changing Role of Women
The NUF generation has seen the woman
graduate from a house-frau to a home –
      manager (CEO + nurturer)
Women’s Education

SEC                   A     B    C     D    Avg
MHI                  206   120   83    59   100
Women iIliterate      2     8    17    31    18
Under Matric          13    29   44    53    39
Matric                34    41   35    14    29
Graduate & More       51    21   4     1     13
Very involved with their home

• Most Indian housewives get their kick out of the fact that 'the
  house would not run without me'
• Many women spend considerable time, effort and often money
  travelling to some far away place to get vegetables at
  wholesale prices.
• Many Indian women voluntarily leave their job when their child
  is born to be with him in his formative years
The new Icons..

• Even as the Indian woman matures into a savvy consumer,she
  is not rejecting basic societal values
• Tulsi, the icon for this new Indian woman ,is traditional but at
  the same time ,very capable of participating in the modern
  world




           Striking the balance
Women wanting to spend more time
       out of the kitchen

                 I love going out
                       with my
                  family…shopping
                with friends is a
                     lot of fun




       “Movies,shoppi
            ng,kitty
         parties keep
        me quite busy
           socially”
Women’s values within the
                   consuming classes
                          Seeking Luxury
         er
        p                   Outgoing
      Up ass
       cl               Fashion conscious
                        Bolder & Liberated

                  dle
               id
           M     Seeking equality
                 Quality conscious
   Disturbed by vulgarity and western influence


        ally     Prefers to work hard themselves
       c
     mi r
  ono we                 Seeking economy
Ec lo                  Social conservatism
Growing number of working women

• 22 % homes have working women
• That has reduced the family size from 5.5 in ’96 to 5 in 2001
• Late marriage, fewer children per family increases attention to
  children’ & their rearing
• There are close to 8 million working women in India and the
  number is growing
• You come across 'east meets west' combinations like girls
  matching a western outfit with a bindi on the forehead
Desire for quality time

   • With both the members of the family often working, there is a
     constraint on time.
   • gives rise to a unique need for quality time,
      translates into demand for convenience products and services
         .




                                                     Crèches
Ready to eat foods



                          Anytime money
Ready to eat foods small but
             growing rapidly
• Share of processed foods have increased over 37% in the last 7-
  8 years
• Ready-to-eat (RTE) foods market, grow by a heady 35% every
  year
• KSA Technopak adds that the RTE market in India is currently
  estimated at about Rs 50 crore (US$ 11mn)and expected to
  grow to about Rs 250 crore(US $55 MN) in the next five years
  time
• RTC segment at least 10 times bigger
• 1 US $= 45
Children: The Changing Times
Rapidly affected by the
                consumerism
• As images of colas, burgers, fancy cars, motorbikes and mobile
  phones flicker on the small screen, kids are growing up
  chanting the feel-good mantra: Yeh Dil Maange more.
Aspirations and Career choices
                                                                          34
                                                    r
                                               c to
                                           Do                        21
                                                    r
                                              nee
                                          ngi
Computer                                                        11
                                       E
                                               lic e
Engineer                                   rPo              5
                                         e
                                    ac h         an
                                 Te
                                           ssm             4
                                         e
                                    s in            t
                                             P i lo
                                 Bu
                                                           4
                                                   c es
                                               i
                                           erv            3
                                           S
                                   n s e v ic e s
                                fe
                             De               r           3
                                           Se
                                    iv i l          ts
                                                por
                                 C
                                                          2
                                            rS
                                       the         er
                                 et/ O t/ Writ
                             ck
                         C ri l/ Artis                    0          10        20   30   40
                               ode
                            /M
                         iz
                     b
                ow
             Sh




                     Academics still rules the roost, however, other
                         careers have made their appearance
Very strong Mom involvement with
           kids development
• In the average Indian household, the mother works with her
  kids' on their school homework
• If a student scores 90% in his exams, his parents start asking
  him where he lost marks
• At the same time, Indian parents want their children to learn
  as many things as possible along with excelling in studies

  Children caught between pressure to perform &
  indulgence
Pester Power:Role in Durable
                   purchase
   100
    90
    80
    70
    60
    50
    40
    30
    20
    10
     0
                                                                                         or
                                                                        C ar
                                            r                       n
                     le       ild                    stem
                                        pute                                         erat
                                                                isio
                yc        r ch
           B ic                                               v
                                                  Sy                              rig
                                    C om                  Tele
                        fo
                                                                               Ref
       en's                                   sic
                   atch                     Mu
    ldr           W
C hi         rist
            W

                                    Parents (in %) of 7-14 yr olds who say
                                    kids would accompany them
Where kids reign supreme :Role in
         FMCG purchase
80    71
70            59
60                    52      49      47
50                                            42
                                                     37      36
40                                                                    32       31
30
20
10
 0
                                      es
      its                                    e
                        e
              s                                              te                 h
                                 s                   p                 p
   scu & pizza ruit juic S hoe additiv C hees K etchu othpas      S oa e P olis
 Bi s                                                To              S ho
               F                             to
                                lk
   rger                     t Mi          oma
 Bu                       Ho             T


                         Figure indicates % of kids who
                         influence what FMCG brand
                         their family buys
Some more vignettes

• Most Indians don't believe in keeping their children away from
  them in boarding schools
• Most working women voluntarily leave their job when their
  child is born to be with him in his formative years
The cultural diversity

• Punjabi: love socially visible consumption, novelty physical
  enjoyment seekers,enjoy non –veg food
• Tamil: functional value seekers, academics is highly valued,
  taboo against conspicuous consumption, snack cnetre of
  Indiaprefer veg,but certain sections extremely carnivorous
• Bengali: progressive thinking, cultural & literary liking,famous
  for sweets and river-fish
• Gujarati: business & value for money savvy, more joint
  families, love veg food, gregarious fun loving
Region wise differences in–
          Refrigerator ownership
     80%              69%
     60%
            43%
                                               Refrigerator
                                      29%
     40%
                              23%              ownership
     20%
      0%
           Gujarat   Punjab   Tamil    West
                              Nadu    Bengal


Durables may find a very visible spots in a Punjabi home
Region wise –Washing Machine
              ownership

30             25
25
20
                                        Washing Machine
                        11
15     10                               Ownership
10                               4
 5
 0
      Gujarat Punjab   Tamil    West
                       Nadu    Bengal
Region-wise skin cream usage


     70.0    60.6
     60.0
     50.0                       38.9
     40.0                                        Skin Cream -
                       26.3
     30.0                                        Usage
                                         17.1
     20.0
     10.0
      0.0
            Bengali   Gujarati Punjabi   Tamil



Tamil women try to avoid spending money for themselves
Region wise Lipstick usage

 25.0    21.8             21.7
 20.0            16.0
 15.0                              11.1
                                           Lipstick Usage
 10.0
  5.0
  0.0
        Bengali Gujarati Punjabi   Tamil


Traditional Indian values don’t encourage visible make-up
           Tamilians have stayed close to them
Region wise noodle usage

            53.3
    60.0
    50.0
    40.0                         30.7
    30.0                                          Noodles
                                          21.3
                      17.5
    20.0
    10.0
     0.0
           Bengali   Gujarati   Punjabi   Tamil


        Indian spicy snacks are a rage in Gujarat
The Eastern parts have some population of Chinese origin
Region-wise Car Ownership


                7
8
      5
6
                                        Automobile
                        3
4
                                        ownership
                                 2
2
0
    Gujarat   Punjab   Tamil    West
                       Nadu    Bengal
Region wise attitudinal differences

                                              East
       -Religious
                                    -Discontented
      - Nostalgic
                                 -Anxious about future
     -Imressionable
                                     -Bolder,more
North -Consumerist    West             liberated

               -Quality conscious
           -Guilt about spending on
                      Oneself
                   -Optimistic
                                      South
              -Accepting society
                     as it is
Cracking the Indian Consumer’s code

• The need for India-specific strategy
• Minimum requirements of success
Need for India Specific Innovation

• Sec C & D amongst the consuming classes typically look for low
  cash ring packs
• ‘Small grocer’ dominated distribution
• Demanding consumer,wide variety of products, need for up-to-
  date quality at low pricing
• Complex culture that the consumer is unwilling to abandon
The economic divide among the
                              consuming classes ..1
                                                Internet Usage

                         20.0
Percent Using Internet




                                16.1
                         15.0

                         10.0                                              Internet Usage
                                          6.1
                          5.0                          2.7
                                                                 0.9
                          0.0
                                 A         B            C         D
                                                                 (once a month or more)
                                       Socio Economic Class
The economic divide among the
               consuming classes ..2
                                             Credit card ownerhip

                               5.6
Percent owning atleast




                         6.0
                         5.0
      one card




                         4.0
                         3.0                                        Credit card ownerhip
                         2.0             1.3
                                                    0.5
                         1.0                                  0.1
                         0.0
                               A         B           C         D
                                     Socio Economic Class
The economic divide among the
                         consuming classes ..3
                                     Instant Noodles - Packaged

                    60.0
                           50.4
Percent consuming




                    50.0
                    40.0
                                      30.4
                                                                      Instant Noodles -
                    30.0
                                                                      Packaged
                                                18.6
                    20.0
                                                            9.9
                    10.0
                     0.0                                      (once a month or more)
                            A          B         C           D
                                  Socio Economic Classes
The economic divide among the
               consuming classes ..4
                                       Chocolate - Consumed

                           28.5
                    30.0
Percent consuming




                    25.0
                                     19.4
    chocolate




                    20.0
                                              14.0
                    15.0                                           Chocolate - Consumed
                                                         8.2
                    10.0
                     5.0
                     0.0
                            A          B       C         D     (once a month or more)
                                  Socio Economic Class
Durable penetration- within
                consuming class

                  A     B     C     D      All
Satellite TV      78    65    54    40     55
Telephone         74    45    25    9      31
Refrigerators     78    52    31    13     36
2 Wheeler         64    46    27    12     32
4 Wheeler         22    5     1     0       4



 Expectedly, the durable ownership is higher
        in the core consuming classes
Lower economic classes consume
          low cash-ring packs
•   Candies boom in US c 1-2 packs
•   70% of the shampoos sell in single use sachet packs
•   Cadbury growth in last 2 years… US c 10 packs
•   Maggie has launched US c 10 pack that is most rapidly growing
•   Rapid detergent growth in US c 2 packs
Surprising pricing…

• HLL is charging 87% premium on 500 gm of Surf Excel family
  pack, compared to the same amount in sachets.
• P&G is selling 500 gm of Tide at 80% premium to sachets on a
  comparable basis.

  Economic Times 26th of Jan, ‘04
Price Comparisons


                   India                    USA
Pantene            6.6 cents(for 7.5 ml)    31 cents(for 7.5 ml)
Head & Shoulders   6.6 cents(for 7.5 ml)    28.8 cents(for 7.5 ml)
Sunscreen Lotion   $ 1.1 (for 60ml)         $5.2 (for 60 ml)

    P&G & many other multi-national invested in India
   specific innovations to offer up-to-date quality at
                  market friendly prices

                                           Net based comparison of quotes
Maggi

• Maggi is the market leader in the noodles (45% market share)
  and the ketchup (43% market share) categories
• Largest volume business of Maggi noodles in the world
• Many years of aggressive brand investments.
   – Launched in the 80's, today, close to 10% of Nestle India's
      turnover
• Strong brand extended to soups, sauces, macaroni and pickles
• Chinese noodles introduced last year, as a snack for adults, has
  evoked good response
• However, the largest selling variant is ‘masala’ or ‘Indian
  spice’
McDonald’s

•   McDonald's India opened its doors to India in October 1996
•   More than 50 outlets already
•   More than US $ 100 million in investment
•   Introduced ‘McAloo Tikki’, ‘maharaja burger’ & even have
    ‘vegetarian menu only’ outlet in Ahmedabad
The success of Hyundai

• Hyundai rolled out their half millionth car in 5 years
• World class product ,India specific pricing before
  others.(Santro at Rs 3 lakhs)
• Planning to roll-out the millionth car in just 3 more years
• Opel & Ford are struggling


•    Using international know-how, for India specific innovation &
    early to move
India specific innovations

• P&G adjusted detergent formulations for hard water, hand-
  wash & cost
• Kellogg’s launched ‘Basmati flakes with dry fruit’
• Cars have rugged suspension & ability to take occasional petrol
  adulteration
The Indian consumer does reward
  real innovators who provide -
Unexpected answers to the
              Arithmetic of
• (large size of consumer base) x (medium penetration) x (low
  price willingness to pay) x (modest per capita consumption) x
  (cultural diversity factor) x (high benefit expectations)
Peshwa Acharya
Email : peshwa.acharya@gmail.com
  Cell-9867641038/9820641038

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Indianconsumers

  • 1. Consumer India The Changing Face
  • 2. Scope of today’s discussion • Consumer India shining – Why we’re feeling good about Consumer India. • A closer look at the consuming class – Influence of primal Indian passions – Role of Family as unit of change – Consumption patterns – Changing role of women – Role of children – Cultural diversity as a key influencer for consumption • Cracking the Indian consumer’s code – The need for India-specific strategy • Who’s done what – Minimum requirements of success • What it takes
  • 3. Consumer India Shining!! A good time to be Indian
  • 4. Specifically, what are we feeling so good about??
  • 5. One of the fastest growing economies India 8.4% China 9.1% Hong Kong 4% Indonesia 3.9% Malaysia 3.5% Singapore 1.7% Thailand 5.8% GDP ranked 7th in the World in the year 2000, will be 3rd by 2040
  • 6. Balanced Picture of Growth Economic Growth 8.4% Agricultural growth 7.4% Manufacturing 7.3% Construction sector growth 6.4% Trade, Hotels, Transport 11.9% Services sector growth 9.9% Last two quarters of ’03: Crisil Estimates
  • 7. Climate of Business Growth • Foreign exchange reserves exceed $ 102 billion, – 6th largest in the world (increased 5 times in 9 years) • 220 of the global fortune 500 companies source IT from India
  • 8. Regular policy changes encouraging business • Customs duty of cell phones halved to 5% • Excise on computers halved to 8% • In-land air-travel tax of 15% abolished • Excise on aviation fuel dropped by half to 9% • Laptop as a part of personal baggage exempted from customs duty Contrastingly, a few years back, such goods invited 125% customs duty
  • 9. Young country that is getting younger • India is a young country. 40% of India’s 1 billion population is under the age of 20 • Number of teenagers – 160 million • India’s young (under the age of 20 years) consumer’s annual pocket money is an estimated at US $6.5 billion • By 2015 Indians under 20 will make 55 percent of the population
  • 10. Rapidly increasing spending power • The average Indian spent Rs. 14396 in 2001-02 compared to Rs. 5213 in 1991-91 • This shows a CAGR OF 9.7% • Thus several consumer markets are large in size…
  • 11. The Growing Economy 90 80 80 69 70 60 Source 50 1999 36 : IRS 34 40 2002 31 30 20 20 10 0 Telephone Refrigerator House Ownership Ownership Ownesrship Lowest ever housing credit costs are showing their effect
  • 12. The Growing Industries • Detergent industry: about US $ 700 million – Organized sector grew by 11% in volume, but only 7% in value terms • Shampoo category: US $ 210 million - growing at 15% annually • Biscuits: US $ 700 million – 1.1mn tonnes per annum – Value growth – 10.3 – Volume growth –11.6 Average prices significantly lower than developed countries India Infoline 2002
  • 13. Large, growing markets- but call for India specific strategies • Cellphones: subscribers crossed 23 million – More than 1.7 million new additions in Dec ’03, against 0.5 million in Dec ’02. – ARPU declined, from US $ 18 two years back to US $ 11 / month • Motorbikes: US $ 3.3 billion – Volume: 5mn units growing at more than 10% – Market demands extreme fuel efficiencies, ruggedness & low prices and style. India Infoline 2002
  • 14. A closer look at Consuming class – Influence of primal Indian passions – Role of Family as unit of change – Consumption patterns – Changing role of women :Savvy Home Manager – Role of children:Party time – Cultural diversity as a key influencer for consumption
  • 15. A closer look at the consuming class
  • 16. The Consuming Class Usage Consuming Class Others Internet access at home 100 0 Personal computer 100 0 Ketchup / sauce usage 97 3 Telephone ownership 96 4 Motorcycles ownership 96 4 Refrigerator ownership 95 5 Branded shampoos 82 18 Skin Cream 81 19 The total consuming class 40 million homes The core consuming class or “Creamy layer” is (Sec A & B1) is about 10 million homes
  • 18. Bollywood: Celluloid Dreams • Most Indian's are fanatic movie watchers • The world’s most prolific movie industry, more than 900 films produced / year • Estimated to grow at 19% annually to £1.3 billion by 2007 • Several actors have turned into successful politicians • The export of Indian films earned in excess of £ 0.16 billion in 2003
  • 19. A Cricket crazy nation.. ..although officially, ‘Hockey’ is our national game! • Indians eat cricket, drink cricket, sleep cricket • Over 1bn people participate in unison • Cricket fans following exceeds that of even the biggest film stars • Cricket in India cuts across age, income, geographical and religious barriers • Highest single program viewer-ship was recorded (in the last 10 years) when India defeated Pakistan in the last cricket world cup
  • 20. Music in every soul.. • Song & dance sequences are a very important constituent of any Indian movie • Indian music industry is US $ 250 million annually in size • 5th in the world in volume, the 19th in value • The important genres Indipop, film music, devotionals, re- mixes, international music & poetic ghazals • International music: around £ 10 million, mostly rock, pop and world music
  • 21. All these passions spawn their own massive media opportunities. • Cricket matches -Live telecasts – Celebrity interviews • Movies and Cinema related programming – Award shows – Film telecasts on TV • Music based programming – Countdowns – Antaksharis Have to participate in these , for visibility to align ourselves with these passions
  • 22. The Fourth passion : Food • Everyday meal would include lentils ,rice, Indian bread, curried vegetables, curd, papad, pickle, salad, chutney: several courses • Indian house wife spends several hours in the kitchen and with pride • This leaves the working women in guilt, encourages ‘ready to cook’ & ‘ready to eat’ food industries • Cross -regional cuisine dominates eating out
  • 23. But the Indian Palette has to be catered to… • A KSA Technopak estimate that over 70 per cent Indian consumers prefer traditional Indian meals rather than `Western' • Indiginisation of toppings to suit Indian palates is a given in fast foods. – Region-specific toppings also appear. – Up to 35 per cent of the pizza toppings at Domino's are `Indian.‘ • People carry local delicacies like 'theplas' and 'khakras' with them on their trips abroad
  • 24. Indian middle class is proving Shaw’s definition of the middle-class person false……. “a moderately useful education, with a moderately decent job, with a moderately beautiful wife and leading a moderately honest life and whose overall numbers remained moderately even.”
  • 25. Family: The basic unit of culture & change • Divorce rates less than 8% • Young generation doesn’t leave home till 22 – 23 years of age • Cohesive family, provides strong cultural grounding
  • 26. Culture promotes stability of the family • Parents even in bigger cities don't allow their daughters to go out for a movie with guys – even if there are other girls in the group • In most Indian families, daughters are not comfortable watching even remotely sensuous scenes in films when their father or other male relatives are around .
  • 27. “The new-age Indian family is entrepreneurial, likes speed in all aspects, believes in the `nowness' of life, works hard and plays hard, is not averse to positive manipulation and leans towards religion and spirituality for physical and mental health” Business Line article on conspicuous consumption.
  • 28. “Earlier conspicuous consumption was a `no-no' for most average Indians, and thriftiness the norm in social and personal lifestyle” Business Line article on conspicuous consumption But today…. Affordable indulgence is the motto
  • 29. Far beyond the traditional “Roti, Kapada aur Makaan”
  • 30. The major reason Family structure in India has shifted • – Joint family to a Nuclear Urban Family.
  • 31. Family Structure Metro Mini Metro Others All Urban Nuclear 74 70 68 70 Nuclear with Elders 12 15 15 14 Overwhelmingly nuclear in composition, change can be rapid
  • 32. Shift from a strict, authoritarian structure to a more democratic family set-up • Pocket money • TV watching • Entertainment • Toy market • Snacks
  • 33. The consumer’s shopping basket in 1999 Personal Care items Home Appliances 6% 3% Home Tex tile 1% Sav ings & Inv estment 14% Grocery 43% Clothing 5% Consumer Durables 6% Vacation Books & Music 4% 5% Eating out Footw ear Entertainment Mov ies & Theatre 8% 1% 3% 1% No more a food spending dominated poor economy
  • 34. The role of consumer finance has helped here • Retail loans have witnessed a total growth of 27% in the past three years – as compared to 13.6% growth in commercial credit. • Interest rates are the lowest in 30 years • Banks are flush with liquidity
  • 35. The Changing Role of Women
  • 36. The NUF generation has seen the woman graduate from a house-frau to a home – manager (CEO + nurturer)
  • 37. Women’s Education SEC A B C D Avg MHI 206 120 83 59 100 Women iIliterate 2 8 17 31 18 Under Matric 13 29 44 53 39 Matric 34 41 35 14 29 Graduate & More 51 21 4 1 13
  • 38. Very involved with their home • Most Indian housewives get their kick out of the fact that 'the house would not run without me' • Many women spend considerable time, effort and often money travelling to some far away place to get vegetables at wholesale prices. • Many Indian women voluntarily leave their job when their child is born to be with him in his formative years
  • 39. The new Icons.. • Even as the Indian woman matures into a savvy consumer,she is not rejecting basic societal values • Tulsi, the icon for this new Indian woman ,is traditional but at the same time ,very capable of participating in the modern world Striking the balance
  • 40. Women wanting to spend more time out of the kitchen I love going out with my family…shopping with friends is a lot of fun “Movies,shoppi ng,kitty parties keep me quite busy socially”
  • 41. Women’s values within the consuming classes Seeking Luxury er p Outgoing Up ass cl Fashion conscious Bolder & Liberated dle id M Seeking equality Quality conscious Disturbed by vulgarity and western influence ally Prefers to work hard themselves c mi r ono we Seeking economy Ec lo Social conservatism
  • 42. Growing number of working women • 22 % homes have working women • That has reduced the family size from 5.5 in ’96 to 5 in 2001 • Late marriage, fewer children per family increases attention to children’ & their rearing • There are close to 8 million working women in India and the number is growing • You come across 'east meets west' combinations like girls matching a western outfit with a bindi on the forehead
  • 43. Desire for quality time • With both the members of the family often working, there is a constraint on time. • gives rise to a unique need for quality time, translates into demand for convenience products and services . Crèches Ready to eat foods Anytime money
  • 44. Ready to eat foods small but growing rapidly • Share of processed foods have increased over 37% in the last 7- 8 years • Ready-to-eat (RTE) foods market, grow by a heady 35% every year • KSA Technopak adds that the RTE market in India is currently estimated at about Rs 50 crore (US$ 11mn)and expected to grow to about Rs 250 crore(US $55 MN) in the next five years time • RTC segment at least 10 times bigger • 1 US $= 45
  • 46. Rapidly affected by the consumerism • As images of colas, burgers, fancy cars, motorbikes and mobile phones flicker on the small screen, kids are growing up chanting the feel-good mantra: Yeh Dil Maange more.
  • 47. Aspirations and Career choices 34 r c to Do 21 r nee ngi Computer 11 E lic e Engineer rPo 5 e ac h an Te ssm 4 e s in t P i lo Bu 4 c es i erv 3 S n s e v ic e s fe De r 3 Se iv i l ts por C 2 rS the er et/ O t/ Writ ck C ri l/ Artis 0 10 20 30 40 ode /M iz b ow Sh Academics still rules the roost, however, other careers have made their appearance
  • 48. Very strong Mom involvement with kids development • In the average Indian household, the mother works with her kids' on their school homework • If a student scores 90% in his exams, his parents start asking him where he lost marks • At the same time, Indian parents want their children to learn as many things as possible along with excelling in studies Children caught between pressure to perform & indulgence
  • 49. Pester Power:Role in Durable purchase 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 or C ar r n le ild stem pute erat isio yc r ch B ic v Sy rig C om Tele fo Ref en's sic atch Mu ldr W C hi rist W Parents (in %) of 7-14 yr olds who say kids would accompany them
  • 50. Where kids reign supreme :Role in FMCG purchase 80 71 70 59 60 52 49 47 50 42 37 36 40 32 31 30 20 10 0 es its e e s te h s p p scu & pizza ruit juic S hoe additiv C hees K etchu othpas S oa e P olis Bi s To S ho F to lk rger t Mi oma Bu Ho T Figure indicates % of kids who influence what FMCG brand their family buys
  • 51. Some more vignettes • Most Indians don't believe in keeping their children away from them in boarding schools • Most working women voluntarily leave their job when their child is born to be with him in his formative years
  • 52. The cultural diversity • Punjabi: love socially visible consumption, novelty physical enjoyment seekers,enjoy non –veg food • Tamil: functional value seekers, academics is highly valued, taboo against conspicuous consumption, snack cnetre of Indiaprefer veg,but certain sections extremely carnivorous • Bengali: progressive thinking, cultural & literary liking,famous for sweets and river-fish • Gujarati: business & value for money savvy, more joint families, love veg food, gregarious fun loving
  • 53. Region wise differences in– Refrigerator ownership 80% 69% 60% 43% Refrigerator 29% 40% 23% ownership 20% 0% Gujarat Punjab Tamil West Nadu Bengal Durables may find a very visible spots in a Punjabi home
  • 54. Region wise –Washing Machine ownership 30 25 25 20 Washing Machine 11 15 10 Ownership 10 4 5 0 Gujarat Punjab Tamil West Nadu Bengal
  • 55. Region-wise skin cream usage 70.0 60.6 60.0 50.0 38.9 40.0 Skin Cream - 26.3 30.0 Usage 17.1 20.0 10.0 0.0 Bengali Gujarati Punjabi Tamil Tamil women try to avoid spending money for themselves
  • 56. Region wise Lipstick usage 25.0 21.8 21.7 20.0 16.0 15.0 11.1 Lipstick Usage 10.0 5.0 0.0 Bengali Gujarati Punjabi Tamil Traditional Indian values don’t encourage visible make-up Tamilians have stayed close to them
  • 57. Region wise noodle usage 53.3 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.7 30.0 Noodles 21.3 17.5 20.0 10.0 0.0 Bengali Gujarati Punjabi Tamil Indian spicy snacks are a rage in Gujarat The Eastern parts have some population of Chinese origin
  • 58. Region-wise Car Ownership 7 8 5 6 Automobile 3 4 ownership 2 2 0 Gujarat Punjab Tamil West Nadu Bengal
  • 59. Region wise attitudinal differences East -Religious -Discontented - Nostalgic -Anxious about future -Imressionable -Bolder,more North -Consumerist West liberated -Quality conscious -Guilt about spending on Oneself -Optimistic South -Accepting society as it is
  • 60. Cracking the Indian Consumer’s code • The need for India-specific strategy • Minimum requirements of success
  • 61. Need for India Specific Innovation • Sec C & D amongst the consuming classes typically look for low cash ring packs • ‘Small grocer’ dominated distribution • Demanding consumer,wide variety of products, need for up-to- date quality at low pricing • Complex culture that the consumer is unwilling to abandon
  • 62. The economic divide among the consuming classes ..1 Internet Usage 20.0 Percent Using Internet 16.1 15.0 10.0 Internet Usage 6.1 5.0 2.7 0.9 0.0 A B C D (once a month or more) Socio Economic Class
  • 63. The economic divide among the consuming classes ..2 Credit card ownerhip 5.6 Percent owning atleast 6.0 5.0 one card 4.0 3.0 Credit card ownerhip 2.0 1.3 0.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 A B C D Socio Economic Class
  • 64. The economic divide among the consuming classes ..3 Instant Noodles - Packaged 60.0 50.4 Percent consuming 50.0 40.0 30.4 Instant Noodles - 30.0 Packaged 18.6 20.0 9.9 10.0 0.0 (once a month or more) A B C D Socio Economic Classes
  • 65. The economic divide among the consuming classes ..4 Chocolate - Consumed 28.5 30.0 Percent consuming 25.0 19.4 chocolate 20.0 14.0 15.0 Chocolate - Consumed 8.2 10.0 5.0 0.0 A B C D (once a month or more) Socio Economic Class
  • 66. Durable penetration- within consuming class A B C D All Satellite TV 78 65 54 40 55 Telephone 74 45 25 9 31 Refrigerators 78 52 31 13 36 2 Wheeler 64 46 27 12 32 4 Wheeler 22 5 1 0 4 Expectedly, the durable ownership is higher in the core consuming classes
  • 67. Lower economic classes consume low cash-ring packs • Candies boom in US c 1-2 packs • 70% of the shampoos sell in single use sachet packs • Cadbury growth in last 2 years… US c 10 packs • Maggie has launched US c 10 pack that is most rapidly growing • Rapid detergent growth in US c 2 packs
  • 68. Surprising pricing… • HLL is charging 87% premium on 500 gm of Surf Excel family pack, compared to the same amount in sachets. • P&G is selling 500 gm of Tide at 80% premium to sachets on a comparable basis. Economic Times 26th of Jan, ‘04
  • 69. Price Comparisons India USA Pantene 6.6 cents(for 7.5 ml) 31 cents(for 7.5 ml) Head & Shoulders 6.6 cents(for 7.5 ml) 28.8 cents(for 7.5 ml) Sunscreen Lotion $ 1.1 (for 60ml) $5.2 (for 60 ml) P&G & many other multi-national invested in India specific innovations to offer up-to-date quality at market friendly prices Net based comparison of quotes
  • 70. Maggi • Maggi is the market leader in the noodles (45% market share) and the ketchup (43% market share) categories • Largest volume business of Maggi noodles in the world • Many years of aggressive brand investments. – Launched in the 80's, today, close to 10% of Nestle India's turnover • Strong brand extended to soups, sauces, macaroni and pickles • Chinese noodles introduced last year, as a snack for adults, has evoked good response • However, the largest selling variant is ‘masala’ or ‘Indian spice’
  • 71. McDonald’s • McDonald's India opened its doors to India in October 1996 • More than 50 outlets already • More than US $ 100 million in investment • Introduced ‘McAloo Tikki’, ‘maharaja burger’ & even have ‘vegetarian menu only’ outlet in Ahmedabad
  • 72. The success of Hyundai • Hyundai rolled out their half millionth car in 5 years • World class product ,India specific pricing before others.(Santro at Rs 3 lakhs) • Planning to roll-out the millionth car in just 3 more years • Opel & Ford are struggling • Using international know-how, for India specific innovation & early to move
  • 73. India specific innovations • P&G adjusted detergent formulations for hard water, hand- wash & cost • Kellogg’s launched ‘Basmati flakes with dry fruit’ • Cars have rugged suspension & ability to take occasional petrol adulteration
  • 74. The Indian consumer does reward real innovators who provide -
  • 75. Unexpected answers to the Arithmetic of • (large size of consumer base) x (medium penetration) x (low price willingness to pay) x (modest per capita consumption) x (cultural diversity factor) x (high benefit expectations)
  • 76. Peshwa Acharya Email : peshwa.acharya@gmail.com Cell-9867641038/9820641038