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Designing a Futures
for Flourishing
Peter Jones, PhD
OCAD University, Toronto
Dialogic Design International
2015 International Society for the Systems Sciences, Berlin
Reframing the
long crisis
of the
Anthropocene
Pope Francis, June 17, 2015
INTEGRAL ECOLOGY
“Since everything is closely interrelated, and today’s problems call for a vision
capable of taking into account every aspect of the global crisis, I suggest that we
now consider some elements of an integral ecology, one which clearly respects its
human and social dimensions.”
“We urgently need a humanism capable of bringing together the different fields of
knowledge, including economics, in the service of a more integral and integrating
vision. Today, the analysis of environmental problems cannot be separated from
the analysis of human, family, work related and urban contexts, nor from how
individuals relate to themselves, which leads in turn to how they relate to others
and to the environment”
4
Training new Systems Thinkers & Designers.
MDes STRATEGIC FORESIGHT & INNOVATION
• Business & Design Thinking
• Human Factors
• Systemic Design / Systems Thinking
• Innovation Research Methods
• Strategic Foresight
• Innovation Strategy
• Business Model Innovation
• Strategic research with faculty & students
Kelly Kornet (2015) Causing an Effect. Major Research Project, OCAD University.
William Georg (2015) From the Bottom of the Pyramid to the Bottom Line. Major Research Project, OCAD University.
If we are all entailed within a long crisis
(or “emergency”)
Then, the creation of hope …
(as Andy Stirling said) becomes critical.
Harness fearlessness & novel experience of
students & new stakeholders.
Hasan Ozbekhan, Toward a General Theory of Planning, 1967
“Matters of Concern”
Modes of Existence
The Bad Anthropocene
Kelly Kornet (2015) Causing an Effect. Major Research Project, OCAD University.
Shearing layers
Multiple sources: Stewart Brand (1994),
All connected – But different timescales
18
Communications & Coordination
Community Projects & Arts
Policy & Social Services
Ecological Stewardship
Community Stewardship
Resources Stewardship
Socio-ecological Stewardship
Rich Picture Modeling
CHANGE
PREDICTION &
FORESIGHT
UNDERSTANDING
DESIGN
Team
Syntegration
Simulation
Systemigrams
Boundary
Critique / CSH
GIGAmap
Scenario
planning
Soft Systems
Methodology
Dialogic Design
Appreciative
Inquiry
SYSTEMS THINKING METHODS BY DESIGN INTENT
Novel – Future or unknown
Reform of the known system
System
Dynamics
Developmental
Evaluation
Design or Visual
Cybernetic
Evaluative
Social, Participatory
Systemic Design adapts methods to problem
20
Strongly Sustainable Business
Model adapted to future design
of “Flourishing Cities”
5-10 year foresight (2nd Horizon)
Canvas + Generative workshop
- Ontological Design
- Convergent & redirective
- Foresight (Anticipatory)
- Boundary Critique
- Rich Picture Models
Tetrad (foresight) method to (futures) problem
22
Tetrad cycle adapted to civic
engagement for “transition to
resilience”
5-10 year foresight (2nd Horizon)
Tetrad + Panel + dialogic workshop
- Stakeholder discovery
- Redirective practice
- Foresight (Anticipatory)
- Boundary Critique
- Transition design models
Collaborative foresight method adapted to
strategic policy
23
Dialogic Design adapted for
stakeholder inquiry for SSHRC
Imagining Canada’s Future
20 year foresight (3rd Horizon)
SDD (Dialogic workshop +
Influence map + strategic research)
- Structured Dialogic Design
- Stakeholder discovery
- Collaborative Foresight
- Boundary critique
- Strategic advisory
OCAD University
University of Windsor
York University
Ryerson University
UOIT
"In the face of intensified urbanization worldwide, what are
the highest impact social & human challenges for Southern
Ontario, now through 2030?”
13 Challenges by Leverage + Vote
Top Ten social challenges for social sciences policy funding
(what SSHRC wanted) represented from influence map:
1. Advancing a diverse and inclusive society
2. Enabling equitable access to ICT
3. Governing ourselves responsively
4. Designing sustainable cities
5. Overcoming fear of change
6. Including indigenous rights in planning
7. Transitioning to a digital economy
8. Upgrading transportation systems
9. Stewarding regional ecosystems
10. Supporting our aging population
Systemic design methods for strategic policy
27
Stakeholder workshop series for SSHRC
3rd Horizon policy finding:
Canadian Governance in the Digital Era
Stakeholder workshops + Gigamapping
- Foresight (3 Horizons)
- GIGAmap visual model design
- Open Space + Small group work
- Transition design
- Strategic advisory
Governance in the Digital Era
Reinventing Democracy in the Digital Era
29
reinventdemocracy.info
• Future Worlds Center (Yiannis Laouris) and UNDEF
• SDD workshops held in 5 different cities across 4
continents
• 1000 young people design action plans and lay the
foundations for coordinated actions
• Plans & media co-production
• 5 awards will be offered for participating groups
Bears striking consonance with SSHRC interests in
mobilization and partnership
Stakeholder coalition formation
Stakeholder discovery
Harnessing commitment & continuity across events
Plenty of Questions for the Early Anthropocene
• If scientific institutions are at risk of the political sphere, how
might we best apply knowledge to action?
• Can an Action Design pedagogy & program result in better
policy & governance?
• Given the trends, how might we …
- Better enact long-horizon actions from creative planning?
- Envision & enact approaches to coalition formation?
- Engage systemic methods across differing cultures & “Modes
of Existence”?
• The “cathedral” layers of ecodemocracy are pure feedforward.
How will we track, guide, & facilitate bioregion design plans?

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Designing Futures to Flourish: ISSS 2015 keynote

  • 1. Designing a Futures for Flourishing Peter Jones, PhD OCAD University, Toronto Dialogic Design International 2015 International Society for the Systems Sciences, Berlin
  • 2. Reframing the long crisis of the Anthropocene
  • 3. Pope Francis, June 17, 2015 INTEGRAL ECOLOGY “Since everything is closely interrelated, and today’s problems call for a vision capable of taking into account every aspect of the global crisis, I suggest that we now consider some elements of an integral ecology, one which clearly respects its human and social dimensions.” “We urgently need a humanism capable of bringing together the different fields of knowledge, including economics, in the service of a more integral and integrating vision. Today, the analysis of environmental problems cannot be separated from the analysis of human, family, work related and urban contexts, nor from how individuals relate to themselves, which leads in turn to how they relate to others and to the environment”
  • 4. 4
  • 5. Training new Systems Thinkers & Designers. MDes STRATEGIC FORESIGHT & INNOVATION • Business & Design Thinking • Human Factors • Systemic Design / Systems Thinking • Innovation Research Methods • Strategic Foresight • Innovation Strategy • Business Model Innovation • Strategic research with faculty & students
  • 6. Kelly Kornet (2015) Causing an Effect. Major Research Project, OCAD University.
  • 7. William Georg (2015) From the Bottom of the Pyramid to the Bottom Line. Major Research Project, OCAD University.
  • 8. If we are all entailed within a long crisis (or “emergency”) Then, the creation of hope … (as Andy Stirling said) becomes critical. Harness fearlessness & novel experience of students & new stakeholders.
  • 9.
  • 10. Hasan Ozbekhan, Toward a General Theory of Planning, 1967
  • 11. “Matters of Concern” Modes of Existence The Bad Anthropocene
  • 12.
  • 13. Kelly Kornet (2015) Causing an Effect. Major Research Project, OCAD University.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Shearing layers Multiple sources: Stewart Brand (1994),
  • 17.
  • 18. All connected – But different timescales 18 Communications & Coordination Community Projects & Arts Policy & Social Services Ecological Stewardship Community Stewardship Resources Stewardship Socio-ecological Stewardship
  • 19. Rich Picture Modeling CHANGE PREDICTION & FORESIGHT UNDERSTANDING DESIGN Team Syntegration Simulation Systemigrams Boundary Critique / CSH GIGAmap Scenario planning Soft Systems Methodology Dialogic Design Appreciative Inquiry SYSTEMS THINKING METHODS BY DESIGN INTENT Novel – Future or unknown Reform of the known system System Dynamics Developmental Evaluation Design or Visual Cybernetic Evaluative Social, Participatory
  • 20. Systemic Design adapts methods to problem 20 Strongly Sustainable Business Model adapted to future design of “Flourishing Cities” 5-10 year foresight (2nd Horizon) Canvas + Generative workshop - Ontological Design - Convergent & redirective - Foresight (Anticipatory) - Boundary Critique - Rich Picture Models
  • 21.
  • 22. Tetrad (foresight) method to (futures) problem 22 Tetrad cycle adapted to civic engagement for “transition to resilience” 5-10 year foresight (2nd Horizon) Tetrad + Panel + dialogic workshop - Stakeholder discovery - Redirective practice - Foresight (Anticipatory) - Boundary Critique - Transition design models
  • 23. Collaborative foresight method adapted to strategic policy 23 Dialogic Design adapted for stakeholder inquiry for SSHRC Imagining Canada’s Future 20 year foresight (3rd Horizon) SDD (Dialogic workshop + Influence map + strategic research) - Structured Dialogic Design - Stakeholder discovery - Collaborative Foresight - Boundary critique - Strategic advisory OCAD University University of Windsor York University Ryerson University UOIT
  • 24. "In the face of intensified urbanization worldwide, what are the highest impact social & human challenges for Southern Ontario, now through 2030?”
  • 25. 13 Challenges by Leverage + Vote
  • 26. Top Ten social challenges for social sciences policy funding (what SSHRC wanted) represented from influence map: 1. Advancing a diverse and inclusive society 2. Enabling equitable access to ICT 3. Governing ourselves responsively 4. Designing sustainable cities 5. Overcoming fear of change 6. Including indigenous rights in planning 7. Transitioning to a digital economy 8. Upgrading transportation systems 9. Stewarding regional ecosystems 10. Supporting our aging population
  • 27. Systemic design methods for strategic policy 27 Stakeholder workshop series for SSHRC 3rd Horizon policy finding: Canadian Governance in the Digital Era Stakeholder workshops + Gigamapping - Foresight (3 Horizons) - GIGAmap visual model design - Open Space + Small group work - Transition design - Strategic advisory
  • 28. Governance in the Digital Era
  • 29. Reinventing Democracy in the Digital Era 29 reinventdemocracy.info • Future Worlds Center (Yiannis Laouris) and UNDEF • SDD workshops held in 5 different cities across 4 continents • 1000 young people design action plans and lay the foundations for coordinated actions • Plans & media co-production • 5 awards will be offered for participating groups Bears striking consonance with SSHRC interests in mobilization and partnership
  • 30. Stakeholder coalition formation Stakeholder discovery Harnessing commitment & continuity across events
  • 31. Plenty of Questions for the Early Anthropocene • If scientific institutions are at risk of the political sphere, how might we best apply knowledge to action? • Can an Action Design pedagogy & program result in better policy & governance? • Given the trends, how might we … - Better enact long-horizon actions from creative planning? - Envision & enact approaches to coalition formation? - Engage systemic methods across differing cultures & “Modes of Existence”? • The “cathedral” layers of ecodemocracy are pure feedforward. How will we track, guide, & facilitate bioregion design plans?