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REAL-TIME (BIG) DATA IN FREIGHT TRANSPORT -
MEETING THE GLOBAL TRENDS
Per Olof Arnäs
Chalmers University of Technology
@Dr_PO
per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se
about.me/perolofarnas
Slides: slideshare.net/poar
Image: www.simonstalenhag.se
Northern LEAD 

Logistics Research Centre
Founded by:
Chalmers University of Technology
University of Gothenburg
Logistics and Transport Society LTS
Tomorrow’s logistics. We are finding the answers.
Around 70 researchers
Research centre for
sustainable logistics
solutions
Five core research
groups
Organises, facilitates,
disseminates highly relevant
logistics research
Collaboration between
Chalmers and University
of Gothenburg
Professors 10
Visiting Professors 6
Associate Professors 5
Post docs 6
Faculty 14
PhD students 32
Total 73
Five core
research groups
Physical
Distribution
Production
Logistics
Industrial marketing
& purchasing
Logistics &
Transport
Optimization
Thought
leadership
through
high quality
research
and
innovation
Challenges
and trends
Outcomes for
policy and business
Volatility and risk
Demographic
changes
Complexity and
structural
flexibility
Resource
limitations
Manufacturing
and retail
revolution
Environmental
impact
Focused areas
Urban Transport
Long Distance Transport
Purchasing of
transport
Logistics and Production Networks
Information,
planning and
control
Measurements
and measuring
Service
development in
networks
Resource
utilisation
Intermodality
Doing some Sisyphus work by Kalexanderson on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
5
GLOBAL
TRENDS
Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
Crowd by James Cridland on Flickr (CC-BY)
Megatrend #1
Demographic
and social
change
Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
Four Storms And A Twister by JD Hancock on Flickr (CC-BY)
Megatrend #2
Shift in
economic
power
Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
Boston Downtown at Night by Werner Kunz on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Megatrend #3
Rapid
urbanisation
Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
¡Rayos! by José Eugenio Gómez Rodríguez on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Megatrend #4
Climate
change and
resource
scarcity
Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
Megatrend #5
Technological
breakthroughsSource: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
Demographic
and social
change
Shift in
economic
power
Rapid
urbanisation
Technological
breakthroughsClimate
change and
resource
scarcity
5
GLOBAL
TRENDS
Things are happening outside the
freight industry
(and have been for some time)
Stage Coach Wheel by arbyreed on Flickr
Development of transportation
technology has been
fairly linear
…for the last 5500 years
We are in the middle of a gigantic
exponential development curve
beginning
A new global eco system
where new types of,
knowledge based,
industries compete with
traditional ones
http://jaysimons.deviantart.com/art/Map-of-the-Internet-1-0-427143215
Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planes
hiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
Quote: bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation
Image: Connecting the community, my Twitter strategy, and American Airlines at DFW by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Startups compete with airlines by
inventing videoconferencing.
Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planes
hiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
Quote: bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation
Image: Connecting the community, my Twitter strategy, and American Airlines at DFW by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
ICT Maturity
App
"Multi-Touch" by DaveLawler on Flickr (CC-BY)
Source: European Commission, EU Transport in Figures, Statistical Pocketbook 2012
Demand for
transport is
coupled with
economic
development
Passenger cars dominate modal split
Air transport is the fastest
growing mode (until 2007) Road and sea transport are
the fastest growing modes in
freight transport
Source: European
Commission, EU
Transport in Figures,
Statistical
Pocketbook 2012
Increasing freight transport demand
http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/freight-transport-activity-growth-for-eu-25
EU-25
Final energy consumption, EU-28, 2012
(% of total, based on tonnes of oil equivalent)
Source: Eurostat
Environm
ental
perform
ance
Social
perform
ance
Economic
performance
Sustainability
The triple bottom line
Craig R. Carter Dale S. Rogers, (2008),"A framework of sustainable supply chain management: movngtoward new theory”,
International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, Vol. 38 Iss 5 pp. 360 - 387
Environm
ental
perform
ance
Social
perform
ance
Economic
performance
Sustainability
Focus on transportation!
Focus on transportation!
RESOURCE UTILISATION LOW
Source: Kent Lumsden
RESOURCE UTILISATION
LOW
Source: Kent Lumsden
Safety imbalance
Variation in resource demand
Chain imbalance
Caused by the chain
Technological imbalance
E.g. mismatch in equipment
Operational imbalance
Goods and resource flow not compatible
Structural imbalance
Uneven transport demand
RESOURCE UTILISATION
LOW
Source: Kent Lumsden
Safety imbalance
Variation in resource demand
Chain imbalance
Caused by the chain
Technological imbalance
E.g. mismatch in equipment
Operational imbalance
Goods and resource flow not compatible
Structural imbalance
Uneven transport demand
Several of these
imbalances can be
reduced by
reducing
uncertainties
But the biggest problem in
transportation is time.
There is not enough of it.
Ever.
InSearchOfLostTimebybogenfreundonFlickr
The transport
industry does not like
real-time decisions.
At all.
Batch-handling
Zip codes Zones
Time-tables
DSC_9073.jpg by James England on Flickr (CC-BY)
Strategic Tactical Operational Predictive
Time horizons
Freight industry
Most (preferably all)
decisions in the
transportation industry are
made here. At the latest.
Uninformed,
ad-hoc, and
probably non
optimal,
decisions
Science
fiction
January February March April May June July August September October November December
10%
Nov 25
When do we start generating profit?
Profit margin =
Sales - Cost
Sales
January February March April May June July August September October November December
10%
Nov 25
2%
Dec 25
When do we start generating profit?
Profit margin =
Sales - Cost
Sales
January February March April May June July August September October November December
10%
Nov 25
1%
Dec 29
2%
Dec 25
When do we start generating profit?
Profit margin =
Sales - Cost
Sales
Basic	
  data	
  
From/To/What/When	
  
Owner:	
  the	
  customer
Resource	
  alloca9on	
  
What	
  vehicle?

Owner:	
  Traffic	
  controller
Cargo	
  informa9on	
  
Loaded	
  amount	
  
Owner:	
  Supplier
Proof	
  of	
  Delivery	
  
Time/date/signature	
  
Owner:	
  Driver
Pricing	
  
Owner:	
  Financial	
  dept.
Enough	
  informa9on	
  to	
  create	
  invoice
All	
  of	
  these	
  steps	
  cost	
  money!
From	
  order	
  to	
  invoice

(transporta9on	
  company)
An	
  increase	
  in	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  
orders	
  lead	
  to	
  increased	
  cost
Goal:	
  De-­‐couple	
  the	
  
dependecy	
  between	
  
administa9ve	
  cost	
  and	
  	
  
order	
  volume
Number	
  of	
  orders	
  per	
  year
Total	
  cost	
  for	
  
administra9on	
  of	
  all	
  orders
Handle	
  excep9ons	
  –	
  not	
  
transac9ons!
Image: Alain Delorme, alaindelorme.com
The current
model is focused
on economy of
scale and
standardization
The current paradigm
Process
improvement
Service
developm
entInfrastructure
developm
ent
Customer
controls last
mile
Faster and
better
returns
Better
delivery
experience
Secure
identification on
pickup/delivery
Distribution
of food
Home
delivery
Support
companies that
want to add E-
commerce to
their business
Collect-in-store
Local
same-day
delivery
Improved
delivery note
Delivery and
pickup during
weekends
Marketing of
the E-channel
Sustainable and
climate friendly
3PL targeted at E-
commerce
Faster, more reliable
and secure
deliveries in Europe
Better
infrastructure on
consumer side
Better
security
Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist
Areas of development
for logistics
companies in relation
to e-commerce
Process
improvement
Service
developm
entInfrastructure
developm
ent
Customer
controls
last mile
Faster and
better
returns
Better
delivery
experience
Secure
identification on
pickup/delivery
Distribution
of food
Home
delivery
Support
companies that
want to add E-
commerce to
their business
Collect-in-store
Local
same-day
delivery
Improved
delivery note
Delivery and
pickup during
weekends
Marketing of
the E-channel
Sustainable
and climate
friendly
3PL targeted at
E-commerce
Faster, more
reliable and
secure deliveries
in Europe
Better
infrastructure on
consumer side
Better
security
Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist
Areas of development
for logistics
companies in relation
to e-commerce
Digital
development
needed in
freight
transport
Customer
controls
last mile
Faster
and better
returns
Better
delivery
experience
Secure
identification
on pickup/
delivery
Collect-in-
store
Improved
delivery note
Sustainable
and climate
friendly
3PL targeted at
E-commerce
Faster, more
reliable and
secure
deliveries in
Europe
Better
security
Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist
Digital development needed in freight transport
Process improvement
Use ICT to make the system more efficient
Real-time decision making, footprinting, better digital interaction between stakeholders
Service development
Use ICT to create new services
Digital information enables new business models
Infrastructure development
Use ICT to interact with infrastructure
Location Based Intelligence etc.
Customer
controls
last mile
Faster
and better
returns
Better
delivery
experience
Secure
identification
on pickup/
delivery
Collect-in-
store
Improved
delivery note
Sustainable
and climate
friendly
3PL targeted at
E-commerce
Faster, more
reliable and
secure
deliveries in
Europe
Better
security
Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist
Digital development needed in freight transport
Process improvement
Use ICT to make the system more efficient
Real-time decision making, footprinting, better digital interaction between stakeholders
Service development
Use ICT to create new services
Digital information enables new business models
Infrastructure development
Use ICT to interact with infrastructure
Location Based Intelligence etc.
The freight industry has work to do…
So…
What are we
doing about all
this?
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
Augmenting
humans with
technology
Machines
replacing
humans
Humans and
machines
working
alongside each
other
Machines
better
understanding
humans and
the
environment
Humans better
understanding
machines
Machines and
humans
becoming
smarter
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
Source: Gartner August 2014
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
Could affect freight transport
Strategic Tactical Operational Predictive
Time horizons
We are approaching
this boundary
…and we are
starting to
move past it!
Real-time!
Opportunities
Digitization Increasinggoods volumes
New
technology
Political
interest
Quad Aces by fitzsean on Flickr
Business processes Infrastructure
Paperbased
Phone

Papers
Road
signs
A
nalogue
tools
R
D
S
M
onitorfuel
cosnum
ption
Digitization version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
E-mail
Fax
TMS-
systems
Excel
Route
planning
G
PS
fornavigation
Electronically
generated
freightdocum
ents
Barcodes
RFID-tags
Simple order handling
Advanced order
handling
Openinterface
W
eb
based
UI
Platform
based
system
s
Hardware-
oriented
Datacollection
systems
(proprietary)
Communicationwith
vehicles
E-invoice
W
eb
based
booking
Route
optimisation
Thesocialweb
Openconnectivity
Integrated
prognosis
Data collection
systems (open)
Tolling
system
s
Webservices with
traffic data
Dynamic
routing
systems
Performance
BasedaccessPerformanceBasedaccess
Mashups

Multipledata
sources
Probedata
Individual
routing
inform
ation
Platooning
Platooning
Exceptions
handling
Smartgoods
Manual
Computers
Software
Functions
Distributed
decision
making
G
oods
as
bi-
directional
hyperlink
Paperbased
CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers
Goods Vehicle
Barcodes	
  
RFID	
  
Sensors
ERP systems	
  
TMS systems	
  
E-invoices	
  
Cloudbased
services
Order handling	
  
Driver support	
  
Vehicle
economics
RDS-TMC	
  
Road taxes	
  
Active traffic
support
Predictive
m
aintenance
2014-10-14
Goods
Vehicles
Business
processes
Infrastructure
Stra-
tegic
Tac-
tical
Opera-
tional
Pre-
dictiveWhat happens
when access to
real-time data
increases?
not quite clear on the concept by woodleywonderworks on Flickr (CC-BY)
The Action of New York City by
Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Need for speed
Data collection
Dataprocessing
Data
exploitation
En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
3 mountaintops to climb…
En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
3 data types
Mountaintop #1
Collection of data in real-time
Fixed Historical Snapshot
En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
Mountaintop #1
Collection of data in real-time
5 data domains
Vehicle CargoDriver Company
Infrastructure/
facility
at least…
Length

Weight

Width

Height
Capacity

+ other PBS-criteria
Emissions

Fuel consumption

Route
Position

Speed

Direction
Weight

Origin

Destination
Accepted ETA
Temperature

+ other state variables
Temperature + other state
variables
Education/training
Speed (ISA)

Rest/break schedule

Traffic behaviour
Belt usage

Alco lock history
Schedule status (time to
next break etc.)
Contracts/
agreements
Previous interactions Backoffice support
Fixed Historical Snapshot
Vehicle
Cargo
Driver
Company
Infrastructure
/facility
Map
+ fixed data layers
Traffic history
Current traffic
Queue
Availability
DATA MATRIX
Mountaintop #2
Processing of data in real-time
En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
Movie by Waze
Mountaintop #2
Processing of data in real-time
En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
Mountaintop #3
Exploiting data in real-time
En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
Connected. 362/365 by AndYaDontStop
on Flickr (CC-BY)
Lisa for I/O Keynote by Max Braun on
Flickr (CC-BY)
Fulham-Manchester United
24-02-2007 by vuhlser on Flickr (CC-
BY)
Requirement
Transport 1
Transport 2
Requirement
Transport 1
Transport 2
No access!
Full access!
Smart access/guidance control
Smart access/guidance control
Smart access/guidance control
Smart access/guidance control
Requirements. Different.
Port area City center
Freight terminal Bridge
CASES

(MANY)
CASES

(MANY MORE)
Big data in freight
transport
Film by Foursquare. Google: checkins foursquare
”Fast Up-and-Coming
Movers Toward the Peak
Are Fueled by Digital
Business and Payments”
”…the market has settled
into a reasonable set of
approaches, and the new
technologies and practices
are additive to existing
solutions”
(regarding the decline of Big data on the curve)
Gartner, August 2014
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
So…
What is
Big data?
{ biométrique ... } by David Jubert om Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
2011 2013 2015
”Big data is an all-
encompassing term for
any collection of data sets
so large and complex that
it becomes difficult to
process using on-hand
data management tools or
traditional data
processing applications.”
- Wikipedia
2015
892 by benmschmidt on Flickr (C)19th century shipping visualized through the logs of Matthew Fontaine Maury (1806-1873), US Navy
Shipping
movements in
the 19th century
Jawbone measures sleep
interruption during earthquake
https://jawbone.com/blog/napa-earthquake-effect-on-sleep/
Not statistics
Exhausted by Adrian Sampson on Flickr (CC-BY)
just
Not
Business
Intelligence
Basingstoke Office Staff Desk "No computer" by John Sheldon on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
just
http://dashburst.com/infographic/big-data-volume-variety-velocity/
Human resources
Reduction in driver
turnover, driver
assignment, using
sentiment data
analysis
Real-time capacity
availability
Inventory
management
Examples of applications in freight
(Waller and Fawcett, 2013)
Transportation
management
Optimal routing, taking
into account weather,
traffic congestion, and
driver characteristics
Time of delivery,
factoring in weather,
driver characteristics,
time of day and date
Forecasting
Waller, M. A. and Fawcett, S. E. (2013), Data Science, Predictive Analytics, and Big Data: A Revolution That Will
Transform Supply Chain Design and Management. JOURNAL OF BUSINESS LOGISTICS, 34: 77–84
Manage complex systems
Image from: http://www.as-coa.org/watchlisten/ascoa-visits-rios-operations-center
Predict future events
Measure
real-time
system
behaviour
Emil Johansson - EJOH.SE
Avoid unpleasant surprises
http://blog.digital.telefonica.com/?press-release=telefonica-dynamic-insights-launches-smart-steps-in-the-uk
Vizualisation
Created by Oliver O'Brien (UCL Geography/UCL CASA)
Vizualisation/combination
Vizualisation/combination
7Big Data Best Practice Across Industries
Usage of data in order to:
Increase Level of
Transparency
Optimize Resource
Consumption
Improve Process Quality
and Performance
Increase customers
loyalty and retention
Performing precise
customer segmentation
and targeting
Optimize customer
interaction and service
Expanding revenue
streams from existing
products
Creating new revenue
streams from entirely
new (data) products
Exploit data for: Capitalize on data by:
New
Business Models
Customer
Experience
Operational
Efficiency
Use data to:
• Increase level of
transparency
• Optimize resource
consumption
• Improve process quality
and performance
Exploit data to:
• Increase customer
loyalty and retention
• Perform precise customer
segmentation and targeting
• Optimize customer interaction
and service
Capitalize on data by:
• Expanding revenue streams
from existing products
• Creating new revenue
streams from entirely new
(data) products
New Business ModelsCustomer ExperienceOperational Efficiency
Figure 4: Value dimensions for Big Data use cases; Source: DPDHL / Detecon
DHL 2013: ”Big Data in Logistics”
Domain
knowledge
critical!
See for instance: Waller, M. A. and Fawcett, S. E. (2013), Data
Science, Predictive Analytics, and Big Data: A Revolution
That Will Transform Supply Chain Design and Management.
JOURNAL OF BUSINESS LOGISTICS, 34: 77–84
Data scientists -
the new superstars
"Data Science Venn Diagram" by Drew Conway - Own work. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-
Share Alike 3.0 via Wikimedia Commons - http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/
File:Data_Science_Venn_Diagram.png#mediaviewer/File:Data_Science_Venn_Diagram.png
smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Speculative
shipping
http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/
14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767
http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/
14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767
Speculative
shipping Package item(s) as a package for
eventual shipment to a delivery address
Associate unique ID with package
Select destination geographic area for
package
Ship package to selected distribution
geographic area without completely
specifying delivery address
Orders
satisfied by item(s)
received?
Package
redirected?
Determine package location
Convey delivery address, package ID to
delivery location
Assign delivery address to package
Deliver package to delivery address
Convey indication of new destination
geographic area and package ID to
current location
Yes
Yes
No
No
smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Challenges
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Challenges
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Company
Challenges
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Company
Supply chain,
simple
Challenges
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Company
Supply chain,
simple
Supply chain,
complex
Challenges
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Company
Supply chain,
simple
Supply chain,
complex
Eco system
Challenges
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Cross-disciplinary
Cross-industries
Cross-borders
Private Property by Nathan O'Nions on Flickr (CC-BY)
(Freight) companies want to share
as little data as possible,
with as little friction as possible,
to get the highest utility possible
Real-time decision making not
always successful…
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Not all ideas age with grace
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Not everyone will want to
adopt new things…
Customer
controls
last mile
Faster
and better
returns
Better
delivery
experience
Secure
identification
on pickup/
delivery
Collect-in-
store
Improved
delivery note
Sustainable
and climate
friendly
3PL targeted at
E-commerce
Faster, more
reliable and
secure
deliveries in
Europe
Better
security
Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist
Digital development needed in freight transport
Process improvement
Use ICT to make the system more efficient
Real-time decision making, footprinting, better digital interaction between stakeholders
Service development
Use ICT to create new services
Digital information enables new business models
Infrastructure development
Use ICT to interact with infrastructure
Location Based Intelligence etc.
Customer
controls
last mile
Faster
and better
returns
Better
delivery
experience
Secure
identification
on pickup/
delivery
Collect-in-
store
Improved
delivery note
Sustainable
and climate
friendly
3PL targeted at
E-commerce
Faster, more
reliable and
secure
deliveries in
Europe
Better
security
Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist
Digital development needed in freight transport
Process improvement
Use ICT to make the system more efficient
Real-time decision making, footprinting, better digital interaction between stakeholders
Service development
Use ICT to create new services
Digital information enables new business models
Infrastructure development
Use ICT to interact with infrastructure
Location Based Intelligence etc.
The freight industry has work to do…
Even if it hurts.
Even if it hurts. Although…
Indiana Jones
It’s not business as usual.
This is the internet
happening to freight
transport.
There is no ’usual’
anymore.
Hello Kitty Darth Vader by JD Hancock on Flickr (CC-BY)
It’s not business as usual.
Get used to it.
This is the internet
happening to freight
transport.
There is no ’usual’
anymore.
Hello Kitty Darth Vader by JD Hancock on Flickr (CC-BY)
REAL-TIME (BIG) DATA IN FREIGHT TRANSPORT -
MEETING THE GLOBAL TRENDS
Per Olof Arnäs
Chalmers University of Technology
@Dr_PO
per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se
about.me/perolofarnas
Slides: slideshare.net/poar
Image: www.simonstalenhag.se

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Real-time (Big) Data in Freight Transport - Meeting the global trends

  • 1. REAL-TIME (BIG) DATA IN FREIGHT TRANSPORT - MEETING THE GLOBAL TRENDS Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers University of Technology @Dr_PO per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se about.me/perolofarnas Slides: slideshare.net/poar Image: www.simonstalenhag.se
  • 2. Northern LEAD 
 Logistics Research Centre Founded by: Chalmers University of Technology University of Gothenburg Logistics and Transport Society LTS
  • 3. Tomorrow’s logistics. We are finding the answers. Around 70 researchers Research centre for sustainable logistics solutions Five core research groups Organises, facilitates, disseminates highly relevant logistics research Collaboration between Chalmers and University of Gothenburg
  • 4. Professors 10 Visiting Professors 6 Associate Professors 5 Post docs 6 Faculty 14 PhD students 32 Total 73 Five core research groups Physical Distribution Production Logistics Industrial marketing & purchasing Logistics & Transport Optimization
  • 5. Thought leadership through high quality research and innovation Challenges and trends Outcomes for policy and business Volatility and risk Demographic changes Complexity and structural flexibility Resource limitations Manufacturing and retail revolution Environmental impact Focused areas Urban Transport Long Distance Transport Purchasing of transport Logistics and Production Networks Information, planning and control Measurements and measuring Service development in networks Resource utilisation Intermodality
  • 6. Doing some Sisyphus work by Kalexanderson on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA) 5 GLOBAL TRENDS Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
  • 7. Crowd by James Cridland on Flickr (CC-BY) Megatrend #1 Demographic and social change Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
  • 8. Four Storms And A Twister by JD Hancock on Flickr (CC-BY) Megatrend #2 Shift in economic power Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
  • 9. Boston Downtown at Night by Werner Kunz on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA) Megatrend #3 Rapid urbanisation Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
  • 10. ¡Rayos! by José Eugenio Gómez Rodríguez on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA) Megatrend #4 Climate change and resource scarcity Source: PWC (google: pwc megatrends 2014)
  • 13. Things are happening outside the freight industry (and have been for some time)
  • 14. Stage Coach Wheel by arbyreed on Flickr Development of transportation technology has been fairly linear …for the last 5500 years
  • 15. We are in the middle of a gigantic exponential development curve beginning
  • 16. A new global eco system where new types of, knowledge based, industries compete with traditional ones http://jaysimons.deviantart.com/art/Map-of-the-Internet-1-0-427143215
  • 17. Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports. Quote: bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation Image: Connecting the community, my Twitter strategy, and American Airlines at DFW by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
  • 18. Startups compete with airlines by inventing videoconferencing. Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports. Quote: bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation Image: Connecting the community, my Twitter strategy, and American Airlines at DFW by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
  • 19.
  • 20. ICT Maturity App "Multi-Touch" by DaveLawler on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 21. Source: European Commission, EU Transport in Figures, Statistical Pocketbook 2012 Demand for transport is coupled with economic development
  • 22. Passenger cars dominate modal split Air transport is the fastest growing mode (until 2007) Road and sea transport are the fastest growing modes in freight transport Source: European Commission, EU Transport in Figures, Statistical Pocketbook 2012
  • 23. Increasing freight transport demand http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/freight-transport-activity-growth-for-eu-25 EU-25
  • 24. Final energy consumption, EU-28, 2012 (% of total, based on tonnes of oil equivalent) Source: Eurostat
  • 25. Environm ental perform ance Social perform ance Economic performance Sustainability The triple bottom line Craig R. Carter Dale S. Rogers, (2008),"A framework of sustainable supply chain management: movngtoward new theory”, International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, Vol. 38 Iss 5 pp. 360 - 387
  • 29. RESOURCE UTILISATION LOW Source: Kent Lumsden Safety imbalance Variation in resource demand Chain imbalance Caused by the chain Technological imbalance E.g. mismatch in equipment Operational imbalance Goods and resource flow not compatible Structural imbalance Uneven transport demand
  • 30. RESOURCE UTILISATION LOW Source: Kent Lumsden Safety imbalance Variation in resource demand Chain imbalance Caused by the chain Technological imbalance E.g. mismatch in equipment Operational imbalance Goods and resource flow not compatible Structural imbalance Uneven transport demand Several of these imbalances can be reduced by reducing uncertainties
  • 31. But the biggest problem in transportation is time. There is not enough of it. Ever. InSearchOfLostTimebybogenfreundonFlickr
  • 32. The transport industry does not like real-time decisions. At all. Batch-handling Zip codes Zones Time-tables DSC_9073.jpg by James England on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 33. Strategic Tactical Operational Predictive Time horizons Freight industry Most (preferably all) decisions in the transportation industry are made here. At the latest. Uninformed, ad-hoc, and probably non optimal, decisions Science fiction
  • 34. January February March April May June July August September October November December 10% Nov 25 When do we start generating profit? Profit margin = Sales - Cost Sales
  • 35. January February March April May June July August September October November December 10% Nov 25 2% Dec 25 When do we start generating profit? Profit margin = Sales - Cost Sales
  • 36. January February March April May June July August September October November December 10% Nov 25 1% Dec 29 2% Dec 25 When do we start generating profit? Profit margin = Sales - Cost Sales
  • 37.
  • 38. Basic  data   From/To/What/When   Owner:  the  customer Resource  alloca9on   What  vehicle?
 Owner:  Traffic  controller Cargo  informa9on   Loaded  amount   Owner:  Supplier Proof  of  Delivery   Time/date/signature   Owner:  Driver Pricing   Owner:  Financial  dept. Enough  informa9on  to  create  invoice All  of  these  steps  cost  money! From  order  to  invoice
 (transporta9on  company)
  • 39. An  increase  in  the  number  of   orders  lead  to  increased  cost Goal:  De-­‐couple  the   dependecy  between   administa9ve  cost  and     order  volume Number  of  orders  per  year Total  cost  for   administra9on  of  all  orders Handle  excep9ons  –  not   transac9ons!
  • 40. Image: Alain Delorme, alaindelorme.com The current model is focused on economy of scale and standardization
  • 42. Process improvement Service developm entInfrastructure developm ent Customer controls last mile Faster and better returns Better delivery experience Secure identification on pickup/delivery Distribution of food Home delivery Support companies that want to add E- commerce to their business Collect-in-store Local same-day delivery Improved delivery note Delivery and pickup during weekends Marketing of the E-channel Sustainable and climate friendly 3PL targeted at E- commerce Faster, more reliable and secure deliveries in Europe Better infrastructure on consumer side Better security Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist Areas of development for logistics companies in relation to e-commerce
  • 43. Process improvement Service developm entInfrastructure developm ent Customer controls last mile Faster and better returns Better delivery experience Secure identification on pickup/delivery Distribution of food Home delivery Support companies that want to add E- commerce to their business Collect-in-store Local same-day delivery Improved delivery note Delivery and pickup during weekends Marketing of the E-channel Sustainable and climate friendly 3PL targeted at E-commerce Faster, more reliable and secure deliveries in Europe Better infrastructure on consumer side Better security Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist Areas of development for logistics companies in relation to e-commerce Digital development needed in freight transport
  • 44. Customer controls last mile Faster and better returns Better delivery experience Secure identification on pickup/ delivery Collect-in- store Improved delivery note Sustainable and climate friendly 3PL targeted at E-commerce Faster, more reliable and secure deliveries in Europe Better security Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist Digital development needed in freight transport Process improvement Use ICT to make the system more efficient Real-time decision making, footprinting, better digital interaction between stakeholders Service development Use ICT to create new services Digital information enables new business models Infrastructure development Use ICT to interact with infrastructure Location Based Intelligence etc.
  • 45. Customer controls last mile Faster and better returns Better delivery experience Secure identification on pickup/ delivery Collect-in- store Improved delivery note Sustainable and climate friendly 3PL targeted at E-commerce Faster, more reliable and secure deliveries in Europe Better security Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist Digital development needed in freight transport Process improvement Use ICT to make the system more efficient Real-time decision making, footprinting, better digital interaction between stakeholders Service development Use ICT to create new services Digital information enables new business models Infrastructure development Use ICT to interact with infrastructure Location Based Intelligence etc. The freight industry has work to do…
  • 46. So… What are we doing about all this?
  • 47. Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies Augmenting humans with technology Machines replacing humans Humans and machines working alongside each other Machines better understanding humans and the environment Humans better understanding machines Machines and humans becoming smarter
  • 48. Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies Source: Gartner August 2014
  • 49. Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies Could affect freight transport
  • 50. Strategic Tactical Operational Predictive Time horizons We are approaching this boundary …and we are starting to move past it! Real-time!
  • 52. Business processes Infrastructure Paperbased Phone
 Papers Road signs A nalogue tools R D S M onitorfuel cosnum ption Digitization version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 E-mail Fax TMS- systems Excel Route planning G PS fornavigation Electronically generated freightdocum ents Barcodes RFID-tags Simple order handling Advanced order handling Openinterface W eb based UI Platform based system s Hardware- oriented Datacollection systems (proprietary) Communicationwith vehicles E-invoice W eb based booking Route optimisation Thesocialweb Openconnectivity Integrated prognosis Data collection systems (open) Tolling system s Webservices with traffic data Dynamic routing systems Performance BasedaccessPerformanceBasedaccess Mashups
 Multipledata sources Probedata Individual routing inform ation Platooning Platooning Exceptions handling Smartgoods Manual Computers Software Functions Distributed decision making G oods as bi- directional hyperlink Paperbased CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers Goods Vehicle Barcodes   RFID   Sensors ERP systems   TMS systems   E-invoices   Cloudbased services Order handling   Driver support   Vehicle economics RDS-TMC   Road taxes   Active traffic support Predictive m aintenance 2014-10-14
  • 53. Goods Vehicles Business processes Infrastructure Stra- tegic Tac- tical Opera- tional Pre- dictiveWhat happens when access to real-time data increases? not quite clear on the concept by woodleywonderworks on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 54. The Action of New York City by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA) Need for speed Data collection Dataprocessing Data exploitation
  • 55. En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) 3 mountaintops to climb…
  • 56. En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) 3 data types Mountaintop #1 Collection of data in real-time Fixed Historical Snapshot
  • 57. En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) Mountaintop #1 Collection of data in real-time 5 data domains Vehicle CargoDriver Company Infrastructure/ facility at least…
  • 58. Length
 Weight
 Width
 Height Capacity
 + other PBS-criteria Emissions
 Fuel consumption
 Route Position
 Speed
 Direction Weight
 Origin
 Destination Accepted ETA Temperature
 + other state variables Temperature + other state variables Education/training Speed (ISA)
 Rest/break schedule
 Traffic behaviour Belt usage
 Alco lock history Schedule status (time to next break etc.) Contracts/ agreements Previous interactions Backoffice support Fixed Historical Snapshot Vehicle Cargo Driver Company Infrastructure /facility Map + fixed data layers Traffic history Current traffic Queue Availability DATA MATRIX
  • 59. Mountaintop #2 Processing of data in real-time En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) Movie by Waze
  • 60. Mountaintop #2 Processing of data in real-time En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 61. Mountaintop #3 Exploiting data in real-time En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) Connected. 362/365 by AndYaDontStop on Flickr (CC-BY) Lisa for I/O Keynote by Max Braun on Flickr (CC-BY) Fulham-Manchester United 24-02-2007 by vuhlser on Flickr (CC- BY)
  • 68. Requirements. Different. Port area City center Freight terminal Bridge
  • 71. Big data in freight transport Film by Foursquare. Google: checkins foursquare
  • 72. ”Fast Up-and-Coming Movers Toward the Peak Are Fueled by Digital Business and Payments” ”…the market has settled into a reasonable set of approaches, and the new technologies and practices are additive to existing solutions” (regarding the decline of Big data on the curve) Gartner, August 2014 Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
  • 73. So… What is Big data? { biométrique ... } by David Jubert om Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
  • 74. 2011 2013 2015 ”Big data is an all- encompassing term for any collection of data sets so large and complex that it becomes difficult to process using on-hand data management tools or traditional data processing applications.” - Wikipedia 2015
  • 75. 892 by benmschmidt on Flickr (C)19th century shipping visualized through the logs of Matthew Fontaine Maury (1806-1873), US Navy Shipping movements in the 19th century
  • 76. Jawbone measures sleep interruption during earthquake https://jawbone.com/blog/napa-earthquake-effect-on-sleep/
  • 77. Not statistics Exhausted by Adrian Sampson on Flickr (CC-BY) just
  • 78. Not Business Intelligence Basingstoke Office Staff Desk "No computer" by John Sheldon on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA) just
  • 80. Human resources Reduction in driver turnover, driver assignment, using sentiment data analysis Real-time capacity availability Inventory management Examples of applications in freight (Waller and Fawcett, 2013) Transportation management Optimal routing, taking into account weather, traffic congestion, and driver characteristics Time of delivery, factoring in weather, driver characteristics, time of day and date Forecasting Waller, M. A. and Fawcett, S. E. (2013), Data Science, Predictive Analytics, and Big Data: A Revolution That Will Transform Supply Chain Design and Management. JOURNAL OF BUSINESS LOGISTICS, 34: 77–84
  • 81. Manage complex systems Image from: http://www.as-coa.org/watchlisten/ascoa-visits-rios-operations-center
  • 86. Created by Oliver O'Brien (UCL Geography/UCL CASA)
  • 89. 7Big Data Best Practice Across Industries Usage of data in order to: Increase Level of Transparency Optimize Resource Consumption Improve Process Quality and Performance Increase customers loyalty and retention Performing precise customer segmentation and targeting Optimize customer interaction and service Expanding revenue streams from existing products Creating new revenue streams from entirely new (data) products Exploit data for: Capitalize on data by: New Business Models Customer Experience Operational Efficiency Use data to: • Increase level of transparency • Optimize resource consumption • Improve process quality and performance Exploit data to: • Increase customer loyalty and retention • Perform precise customer segmentation and targeting • Optimize customer interaction and service Capitalize on data by: • Expanding revenue streams from existing products • Creating new revenue streams from entirely new (data) products New Business ModelsCustomer ExperienceOperational Efficiency Figure 4: Value dimensions for Big Data use cases; Source: DPDHL / Detecon DHL 2013: ”Big Data in Logistics”
  • 90. Domain knowledge critical! See for instance: Waller, M. A. and Fawcett, S. E. (2013), Data Science, Predictive Analytics, and Big Data: A Revolution That Will Transform Supply Chain Design and Management. JOURNAL OF BUSINESS LOGISTICS, 34: 77–84 Data scientists - the new superstars "Data Science Venn Diagram" by Drew Conway - Own work. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution- Share Alike 3.0 via Wikimedia Commons - http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/ File:Data_Science_Venn_Diagram.png#mediaviewer/File:Data_Science_Venn_Diagram.png
  • 91. smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA) Speculative shipping http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/ 14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767
  • 92. http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/ 14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767 Speculative shipping Package item(s) as a package for eventual shipment to a delivery address Associate unique ID with package Select destination geographic area for package Ship package to selected distribution geographic area without completely specifying delivery address Orders satisfied by item(s) received? Package redirected? Determine package location Convey delivery address, package ID to delivery location Assign delivery address to package Deliver package to delivery address Convey indication of new destination geographic area and package ID to current location Yes Yes No No smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)
  • 93. Challenges The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 94. Challenges The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Company
  • 95. Challenges The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Company Supply chain, simple
  • 96. Challenges The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Company Supply chain, simple Supply chain, complex
  • 97. Challenges The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Company Supply chain, simple Supply chain, complex Eco system
  • 98. Challenges The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Cross-disciplinary Cross-industries Cross-borders
  • 99. Private Property by Nathan O'Nions on Flickr (CC-BY) (Freight) companies want to share as little data as possible, with as little friction as possible, to get the highest utility possible
  • 100. Real-time decision making not always successful…
  • 101. The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Not all ideas age with grace
  • 102. The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Not everyone will want to adopt new things…
  • 103. Customer controls last mile Faster and better returns Better delivery experience Secure identification on pickup/ delivery Collect-in- store Improved delivery note Sustainable and climate friendly 3PL targeted at E-commerce Faster, more reliable and secure deliveries in Europe Better security Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist Digital development needed in freight transport Process improvement Use ICT to make the system more efficient Real-time decision making, footprinting, better digital interaction between stakeholders Service development Use ICT to create new services Digital information enables new business models Infrastructure development Use ICT to interact with infrastructure Location Based Intelligence etc.
  • 104. Customer controls last mile Faster and better returns Better delivery experience Secure identification on pickup/ delivery Collect-in- store Improved delivery note Sustainable and climate friendly 3PL targeted at E-commerce Faster, more reliable and secure deliveries in Europe Better security Source: Svensk Digital Handel 2014 Bo Zetterqvist Digital development needed in freight transport Process improvement Use ICT to make the system more efficient Real-time decision making, footprinting, better digital interaction between stakeholders Service development Use ICT to create new services Digital information enables new business models Infrastructure development Use ICT to interact with infrastructure Location Based Intelligence etc. The freight industry has work to do…
  • 105. Even if it hurts.
  • 106. Even if it hurts. Although… Indiana Jones
  • 107. It’s not business as usual. This is the internet happening to freight transport. There is no ’usual’ anymore. Hello Kitty Darth Vader by JD Hancock on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 108. It’s not business as usual. Get used to it. This is the internet happening to freight transport. There is no ’usual’ anymore. Hello Kitty Darth Vader by JD Hancock on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 109.
  • 110. REAL-TIME (BIG) DATA IN FREIGHT TRANSPORT - MEETING THE GLOBAL TRENDS Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers University of Technology @Dr_PO per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se about.me/perolofarnas Slides: slideshare.net/poar Image: www.simonstalenhag.se