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May 2012




A Day’s Worth of Shocks
By: SEI Investment Management Unit




Looking in the rear-view mirror, our first-quarter 2012         calling into question its ability to pay its debts. The end
economic outlook’s theme of “watching out for shocks”           result could be a financial crisis.
appears nearly clairvoyant. A glance at financial               Currency Markets Are Showing Heightened Volatility
headlines on just a single day reveals a long list of           Concerns about Greece and the possible breakup of the
concerns, including:                                            EMU are fostering volatility in the currency markets.

Greece Is Teetering on the Brink of Collapse                    As of May 16, 2012, the Dow Jones Industrial
The country’s election ousted the pro-austerity                 Average Had Fallen for Nine of the Previous 10
government. The new leaders are unable to form a                Trading Sessions
coalition government. Depositors are pulling their money        The markets are displaying short-term reactions to
from the banks, and the country’s departure from the            current concerns.
European Monetary Union (EMU) appears imminent.
                                                                Our View: Addressing the Shocks
The Eurozone Is Near Recession                                  The smorgasbord of negative headlines—from just a
After losing ground in the fourth quarter of 2011, the          single day—is enough to cause unrest among investors.
eurozone posted 0.1% gross domestic product (GDP)               SEI’s active investment management process takes
growth for the first quarter of 2012. Growth in Germany         issues like this into consideration every day. Our
helped the region post a gain by the slimmest of                perspectives are reflected in the ways in which we have
margins, narrowly avoiding two quarters of negative             positioned our portfolios for current market conditions. In
GDP growth.                                                     general:

The European Commercial Real Estate Market Is in                    Our Funds have little or no exposure to Greece.
Trouble                                                             We are underweight Europe in our equity Funds.
Falling occupancy rates and lower rents are causing                 We are overweight Europe in our fixed-income
defaults in Europe’s commercial real estate sector. This            Funds.
comes as a long list of European nations slips in to                We view the J.P. Morgan/regulatory issue as good
recession.                                                          news for fixed-income markets.
                                                                    Our Funds are underweight U.S. Treasurys.
J.P. Morgan Casts a Cloud on the Market                             Our Funds are underweight the euro.
The big bank made what appears to be a speculative bet              We are strategic investors. We do not believe
that blew up, costing the firm billions. While a few billion        investors should be holding stocks if short-term
dollars barely makes a dent in the company’s profit                 losses are a primary concern.
margin, the timing could not have been worse, as
regulators are focusing on exactly this type of risk in their   While there is no doubt that we are living through some
efforts to shore up the banking sector.                         challenging times, we think we see continued progress.
                                                                The U.S. economy is slowly muddling along, the U.S.
The U.S. Government Is Heading Toward Another                   election will bring clarity for the next four years, the
Debt-Ceiling Showdown                                           global banking sector is addressing its challenges,
Political squabbling highlights the ongoing dysfunction in      European elections will provide insight into what comes
Washington and undermines the nation’s credit rating by         next for EMU, and—perhaps most importantly from an
                                                                investor’s perspective—diversification may be working
                                                                in investors’ favor. While we are not raging bulls and still

© SEI / Commentary / ©2012
                                                                                                                           1
anticipate volatility ahead, we are significantly happier           should be, too.
today than we were in 2008 or 2009. We think investors




This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a
forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. This information should not be relied upon by the reader as
research or investment advice regarding the Funds or any stock in particular, nor should it be construed as a
recommendation to purchase or sell a security, including futures contracts. There is no assurance as of the date of this
material that the securities mentioned remain in or out of SEI Funds.

For those SEI Funds which employ the ‘manager of managers’ structure, SEI Investments Management Corporation
(SIMC) has ultimate responsibility for the investment performance of the Funds due to its responsibility to oversee the
sub-advisers and recommend their hiring, termination and replacement. SIMC is the adviser to the SEI Funds, which are
distributed by SEI Investments Distribution Co. (SIDCO). SIMC and SIDCO are wholly owned subsidiaries of SEI
Investments Company.

To determine if the Funds are an appropriate investment for you, carefully consider the investment objectives,
risk factors and charges and expenses before investing. This and other information can be found in the Funds’
prospectuses, which can be obtained by calling 1-800-DIAL-SEI. Read them carefully before investing.

There are risks involved with investing, including loss of principal. Current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risks
as well. International investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from
differences in generally accepted accounting principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Narrowly
focused investments and smaller companies typically exhibit higher volatility. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value
as interest rates rise.

Diversification may not protect against market risk. There is no assurance the objectives discussed will be met. Past
performance does not guarantee future results

       Not FDIC Insured
       No Bank Guarantee
       May Lose Value


 The Centennial Group
 511 South Washington Street
 Lansing, MI 48933
 information@refertcg.com
 www.centennialgroup.com
 Office (800) 999-9350




 THE CENTENNIAL GROUP & ITS AFFILIATES ARE INDEPENDENTLY OWNED & OPERATED. SECURITIES AND INVESTMENT ADVISORY SERVICES
 OFFERED THROUGH SECURIAN FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC. MEMBER FINRA/SIPC. CORPORATE OFFICE: • 511 SOUTH WASHINGTON AVENUE,
 LANSING, MI 48933 • WWW.CENTENNIALGROUP.COM• 800-999-9350

 505680 DOFU 5/12



© SEI / Commentary / ©2012
                                                                                                                              2

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A Days Worth Of Shocks

  • 1. May 2012 A Day’s Worth of Shocks By: SEI Investment Management Unit Looking in the rear-view mirror, our first-quarter 2012 calling into question its ability to pay its debts. The end economic outlook’s theme of “watching out for shocks” result could be a financial crisis. appears nearly clairvoyant. A glance at financial Currency Markets Are Showing Heightened Volatility headlines on just a single day reveals a long list of Concerns about Greece and the possible breakup of the concerns, including: EMU are fostering volatility in the currency markets. Greece Is Teetering on the Brink of Collapse As of May 16, 2012, the Dow Jones Industrial The country’s election ousted the pro-austerity Average Had Fallen for Nine of the Previous 10 government. The new leaders are unable to form a Trading Sessions coalition government. Depositors are pulling their money The markets are displaying short-term reactions to from the banks, and the country’s departure from the current concerns. European Monetary Union (EMU) appears imminent. Our View: Addressing the Shocks The Eurozone Is Near Recession The smorgasbord of negative headlines—from just a After losing ground in the fourth quarter of 2011, the single day—is enough to cause unrest among investors. eurozone posted 0.1% gross domestic product (GDP) SEI’s active investment management process takes growth for the first quarter of 2012. Growth in Germany issues like this into consideration every day. Our helped the region post a gain by the slimmest of perspectives are reflected in the ways in which we have margins, narrowly avoiding two quarters of negative positioned our portfolios for current market conditions. In GDP growth. general: The European Commercial Real Estate Market Is in Our Funds have little or no exposure to Greece. Trouble We are underweight Europe in our equity Funds. Falling occupancy rates and lower rents are causing We are overweight Europe in our fixed-income defaults in Europe’s commercial real estate sector. This Funds. comes as a long list of European nations slips in to We view the J.P. Morgan/regulatory issue as good recession. news for fixed-income markets. Our Funds are underweight U.S. Treasurys. J.P. Morgan Casts a Cloud on the Market Our Funds are underweight the euro. The big bank made what appears to be a speculative bet We are strategic investors. We do not believe that blew up, costing the firm billions. While a few billion investors should be holding stocks if short-term dollars barely makes a dent in the company’s profit losses are a primary concern. margin, the timing could not have been worse, as regulators are focusing on exactly this type of risk in their While there is no doubt that we are living through some efforts to shore up the banking sector. challenging times, we think we see continued progress. The U.S. economy is slowly muddling along, the U.S. The U.S. Government Is Heading Toward Another election will bring clarity for the next four years, the Debt-Ceiling Showdown global banking sector is addressing its challenges, Political squabbling highlights the ongoing dysfunction in European elections will provide insight into what comes Washington and undermines the nation’s credit rating by next for EMU, and—perhaps most importantly from an investor’s perspective—diversification may be working in investors’ favor. While we are not raging bulls and still © SEI / Commentary / ©2012 1
  • 2. anticipate volatility ahead, we are significantly happier should be, too. today than we were in 2008 or 2009. We think investors This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. This information should not be relied upon by the reader as research or investment advice regarding the Funds or any stock in particular, nor should it be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, including futures contracts. There is no assurance as of the date of this material that the securities mentioned remain in or out of SEI Funds. For those SEI Funds which employ the ‘manager of managers’ structure, SEI Investments Management Corporation (SIMC) has ultimate responsibility for the investment performance of the Funds due to its responsibility to oversee the sub-advisers and recommend their hiring, termination and replacement. SIMC is the adviser to the SEI Funds, which are distributed by SEI Investments Distribution Co. (SIDCO). SIMC and SIDCO are wholly owned subsidiaries of SEI Investments Company. To determine if the Funds are an appropriate investment for you, carefully consider the investment objectives, risk factors and charges and expenses before investing. This and other information can be found in the Funds’ prospectuses, which can be obtained by calling 1-800-DIAL-SEI. Read them carefully before investing. There are risks involved with investing, including loss of principal. Current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risks as well. International investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from differences in generally accepted accounting principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Narrowly focused investments and smaller companies typically exhibit higher volatility. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise. Diversification may not protect against market risk. There is no assurance the objectives discussed will be met. Past performance does not guarantee future results Not FDIC Insured No Bank Guarantee May Lose Value The Centennial Group 511 South Washington Street Lansing, MI 48933 information@refertcg.com www.centennialgroup.com Office (800) 999-9350 THE CENTENNIAL GROUP & ITS AFFILIATES ARE INDEPENDENTLY OWNED & OPERATED. SECURITIES AND INVESTMENT ADVISORY SERVICES OFFERED THROUGH SECURIAN FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC. MEMBER FINRA/SIPC. CORPORATE OFFICE: • 511 SOUTH WASHINGTON AVENUE, LANSING, MI 48933 • WWW.CENTENNIALGROUP.COM• 800-999-9350 505680 DOFU 5/12 © SEI / Commentary / ©2012 2