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ENERGY FOR INDIA & IT’S VILLAGES : MYTHS, REALITIES & POSSIBILITIES WHY HAVE TO LOOK BEYOND & AWAY FROM  COAL & NUCLEAR, OIL TO DISTRIBUTED, COMMUNITY CONTROLLED  RENEWABLE ENERGIES --SOUMYA DUTTA SEPT. 19/20, WASHINGOTN DC
HOW  MUCH  DO  WE  GET  -- FROM  WHAT INDIA WORLD SOUMYA DUTTA TOTAL COMML  ENRGY IT’S  FOSSIL-CARBONS THAT DOMINATES ~90% fossil-carbon >80% fossil-carbon
ONE MAJOR  CONSEQUENCE  OF  OUR ENERGY CHOICES AS WE ALL KNOW, THIS IS CAUSING  WORLD-WIDE DEVASTATIONS  SOUMYA DUTTA GLOBAL  C-ENERGY USE  AND  ATMOSPHERIC CO2 BUILD-UP
WHY  FOSSIL-CARBONS  CANNOT  ANY MORE REMAIN  OUR PRIMARY ENERGY  SOURCES  TODAY, THEY ARE  THE  PRIMARY  SOURCE (~80%) SCIENCE -> THE ‘SAFE ATMOSPHERIC LIMIT’ OF CO2 IS <350 ppmv, IF WE CONTINUE TO BURN FOSSIL-CARBONS? REACH >800 ppmv ?  WHAT HAPPENS TO LIFE ?  ATMOSPHERE CONTAINS ‘ONLY’ ~780 GT  SOUMYA DUTTA
WHO IN INDIA CONSUMES WHAT AS ENERGY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ALL  THESE  ARE  AVERAGES ,  HIDING  HUGE DISPARITIES  BETWEEN  CLASSES &  AREAS SOUMYA DUTTA
PETROLEUM – INDIA & THE WORLD INDIA  PETROLEUM –  PRODUCTION & CONSUMPTION WORLD PETROLEUM – PRODUCTION  SOUMYA DUTTA 2.7 Mn BARRELS/DAY  (~3%)  -vs-  85+ Mn BARELS/DAY 1.2 BILLION  PEOPLE  (~17%)  ~  7 BILLION PEOPLE
NATURAL GAS – INDIA & THE WORLD SOUMYA DUTTA PRODUCTION-CONSUMPTION OF NATURAL GAS STARTED PEAKING UP IN 2000’s
COAL  – INDIA  AND  THE WORLD ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Soumya Dutta WORLD  COAL
ELECTRICITY GENERATION : 1990-2006 WITH ~17% OF WORLD POPULATION,  INDIA GENERATES  < 4% OF ITS TOTAL ELECTRICITY -  AND MOST OF IT FROM COAL, LARGE HYDRO, GAS.  INDIA WORLD SOUMYA DUTTA
Energy Is far more than Electricity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
INDIA – PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION 2007-08 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],SOUMYA DUTTA SOURCE : PLANNING COMMISSION
LARGE NOS. STILL USE TRADITIONAL BIO-MASS DISPLACING FROM FOREST CREATES LARGE MARKET DESIGN BEHIND REDD+, KITCHEN-SOOT SCARE ? MAJOR PORTIONS OF GLOBAL TOTAL  RENEWABLE ENERGY IS STILL  BIO-MASS,  USED BY THE POOR FIRE-WOOD  LPG  DUNG  K ERSN  ,[object Object],[object Object],SOUMYA DUTTA
THE  MAJOR ENERGY SOURCES IN INDIA & THE  POLLUTING  POWER PLANTS THAT  CONVERT THIS ENERGY TO ELECTRICITY SOUMYA DUTTA BOTH  POLLUTING  COAL-PLANTS  &  DANGEROUS  NUCLEAR  PLANTS  ARE  LOCATED  CLOSE TO  HIGH  POPULATION  DENSITY  AREAS.
EQUITY & SUSTAINABILITY  ARE TO BE FOCAL POINTS – MISSING NOW ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],SOUMYA DUTTA
ENERGY & MINERAL SOURCES / PLANT LOCATIONS & WHO GETS ‘POWER’ FROM THESE SOUMYA  DUTTA PERCENTAGE OF ELECTRIFIED  RURAL HOUSE-HOLDS -> DARK RED  <10%,  DARK GREEN > 85% (‘SHIFTING GOALPOST) TPPs ARE BLACK-DOTs, COAL-FIELDS – BLUE DROPs , HYDEL PLANTS -BLUE SQRS ,  CONCENTRATIONS MATCH  - IN REVERSE !! OPERATION  POWER-HUNT ?
THERMAL POWER-PLANTS ALSO CONSUME  AND POLLUTE HUGE AMOUNTS OF WATER ~ 85% OF ALL WATER CONSUMPTION FROM MAJOR INDUSTRIES    BY TPPs (ALSO SPMs). SOUMYA DUTTA THIS AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LIVELIHOODS  & FOOD SECURITY Of wastes and wants: Water use in India Industrial Sector Annual  wastewater water  discharge  (million cubic  meters) (%) Annual consumption (million cubic meters)  Proportion of water consumed in industry Thermal power plants 27000.9  35157.4  87.87 Engineering  1551.3  2019.9 5.05 Pulp and paper  695.7  905.8 2.26 Textiles  637.3 829.8 2.07 Steel  396.8 516.6 1.29 Sugar 149.7  194.9  0.49 Fertiliser  56.4 73.5  0.18 Others  241.3 314.2 0.78 Total 30729.2  40012.0 100.0 Note:  For methodology see www.downtoearth.org.in Source: Estimated by CSE based on the wastewater discharged data published by CPCB in &quot;Water quality in India (Status and trends) 1990 - 2001&quot;.
COUNTRIES IN ASIA & AFRICA FACE WATER-STRESS DUE TO POWER/ENERGY PLANTS, INDUSTRIES, MINING  WHILE  WORLD FOOD DEMAND INCREASES FAST  FOOD  AS  ENERGY IS  THE  MOST  BASIC  NEED – MUST GET  PRECEDENCE  OVER  ALL OTHER FORMS OF ENERGY USE.  BUT  WATER DEPLETION & CONTAMINATION IS  PLAYING HAVOC  WITH THE  FOOD-SECURITY  (CONNECTED WITH WATER-SECURITY)  OF THE POOR. SO, WE WILL HAVE TO CUT OUR LUXURY ENERGY CONSUMPTION. SOUMYA DUTTA WORLD  FOOD  DEMAND  1500-2050
NOT ONLY TPPs, NOT ONLY ON WATER    MAD ECNMC GROWTH IS CLAIMING ITS TOLL EVERYWHERE
WHAT ABOUT ENV. KUZNET’S CURVE ? ‘ ECONOMIC GROWTH’ – POLLUTION RELATION CHANGE IN GDP  AND  EMISSIONS 2002-2006 SOUMYA DUTTA NOT  ONE COUNTRY  TO ACHIEVE  HIGH ‘GROWTH’  W/O  HIGH  ENERGY CONSUMPTION  & EMISSIONS !!
ANOTHER PICTURE OF HUGE DISPARITIES  THAT HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN DECADES 43% - NO ELECTRICITY,  33% - LESS  THAN 50 KwH/Month,  11% - 50-100 KwH/M, 13% ->100 KwH/M; (PRAYAS) ELECTRICITY SOUMYA DUTTA HUGE DISPARITIES  BETWEEN STATES & BETWEEN URBAN & RURAL – IN  ELECTR. CONSUMPTION ->  RICH-POOR  DIVIDE. (‘SHIFTING GOALPOSTS’)
WEST, SOUTH & LARGE PARTS OF CENTRAL INDIA – HIGH SOLAR POTENTIAL, NORTH/NE – SMALL HYDRO LARGE PARTS – 25-30 MW/SQ KM CONSIDER THOR DESERT – OVER 50,000 SQ KMs THINLY POPULATED 45,000 MW POTENTIAL – EVEN WITH LIMITED TECH CHOICE & INCOMPLETE  WIND MAPPING SOUMYA DUTTA
DISTRIBUTEDRURAL ENERGY NEEDS  MATCHED BY DISTRIBUTED  RenEnG ,[object Object],[object Object],SOUMYA DUTTA
ELECTRICITY-LOSS/WASTAGE +  QUESTION - CAN  HUGELY  COMPLEMENT  GENERATION ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],SOUMYA DUTTA
ENERGY CHOICE IS ALSO LINKED WITH EMPLOYMENT & ENVIRONMENT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],SUSTAINABILITY OF ALL PEOPLE & ECO-SYSTEMS MUST DRIVE OUR ENERGY PATH,  NOT  CORPORATE  PROFITS  AND  DAMAGING GROWTH  - THANKS

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*ENERGY FOR INDIA & IT'S VILLAGES: MYTHS, REALITIES & POSSIBILITIES - SOUMYA DUTTA*

  • 1. ENERGY FOR INDIA & IT’S VILLAGES : MYTHS, REALITIES & POSSIBILITIES WHY HAVE TO LOOK BEYOND & AWAY FROM COAL & NUCLEAR, OIL TO DISTRIBUTED, COMMUNITY CONTROLLED RENEWABLE ENERGIES --SOUMYA DUTTA SEPT. 19/20, WASHINGOTN DC
  • 2. HOW MUCH DO WE GET -- FROM WHAT INDIA WORLD SOUMYA DUTTA TOTAL COMML ENRGY IT’S FOSSIL-CARBONS THAT DOMINATES ~90% fossil-carbon >80% fossil-carbon
  • 3. ONE MAJOR CONSEQUENCE OF OUR ENERGY CHOICES AS WE ALL KNOW, THIS IS CAUSING WORLD-WIDE DEVASTATIONS SOUMYA DUTTA GLOBAL C-ENERGY USE AND ATMOSPHERIC CO2 BUILD-UP
  • 4. WHY FOSSIL-CARBONS CANNOT ANY MORE REMAIN OUR PRIMARY ENERGY SOURCES TODAY, THEY ARE THE PRIMARY SOURCE (~80%) SCIENCE -> THE ‘SAFE ATMOSPHERIC LIMIT’ OF CO2 IS <350 ppmv, IF WE CONTINUE TO BURN FOSSIL-CARBONS? REACH >800 ppmv ? WHAT HAPPENS TO LIFE ? ATMOSPHERE CONTAINS ‘ONLY’ ~780 GT SOUMYA DUTTA
  • 5.
  • 6. PETROLEUM – INDIA & THE WORLD INDIA PETROLEUM – PRODUCTION & CONSUMPTION WORLD PETROLEUM – PRODUCTION SOUMYA DUTTA 2.7 Mn BARRELS/DAY (~3%) -vs- 85+ Mn BARELS/DAY 1.2 BILLION PEOPLE (~17%) ~ 7 BILLION PEOPLE
  • 7. NATURAL GAS – INDIA & THE WORLD SOUMYA DUTTA PRODUCTION-CONSUMPTION OF NATURAL GAS STARTED PEAKING UP IN 2000’s
  • 8.
  • 9. ELECTRICITY GENERATION : 1990-2006 WITH ~17% OF WORLD POPULATION, INDIA GENERATES < 4% OF ITS TOTAL ELECTRICITY - AND MOST OF IT FROM COAL, LARGE HYDRO, GAS. INDIA WORLD SOUMYA DUTTA
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  • 13. THE MAJOR ENERGY SOURCES IN INDIA & THE POLLUTING POWER PLANTS THAT CONVERT THIS ENERGY TO ELECTRICITY SOUMYA DUTTA BOTH POLLUTING COAL-PLANTS & DANGEROUS NUCLEAR PLANTS ARE LOCATED CLOSE TO HIGH POPULATION DENSITY AREAS.
  • 14.
  • 15. ENERGY & MINERAL SOURCES / PLANT LOCATIONS & WHO GETS ‘POWER’ FROM THESE SOUMYA DUTTA PERCENTAGE OF ELECTRIFIED RURAL HOUSE-HOLDS -> DARK RED <10%, DARK GREEN > 85% (‘SHIFTING GOALPOST) TPPs ARE BLACK-DOTs, COAL-FIELDS – BLUE DROPs , HYDEL PLANTS -BLUE SQRS , CONCENTRATIONS MATCH - IN REVERSE !! OPERATION POWER-HUNT ?
  • 16. THERMAL POWER-PLANTS ALSO CONSUME AND POLLUTE HUGE AMOUNTS OF WATER ~ 85% OF ALL WATER CONSUMPTION FROM MAJOR INDUSTRIES  BY TPPs (ALSO SPMs). SOUMYA DUTTA THIS AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LIVELIHOODS & FOOD SECURITY Of wastes and wants: Water use in India Industrial Sector Annual wastewater water discharge (million cubic meters) (%) Annual consumption (million cubic meters) Proportion of water consumed in industry Thermal power plants 27000.9 35157.4 87.87 Engineering 1551.3 2019.9 5.05 Pulp and paper 695.7 905.8 2.26 Textiles 637.3 829.8 2.07 Steel 396.8 516.6 1.29 Sugar 149.7 194.9 0.49 Fertiliser 56.4 73.5 0.18 Others 241.3 314.2 0.78 Total 30729.2 40012.0 100.0 Note: For methodology see www.downtoearth.org.in Source: Estimated by CSE based on the wastewater discharged data published by CPCB in &quot;Water quality in India (Status and trends) 1990 - 2001&quot;.
  • 17. COUNTRIES IN ASIA & AFRICA FACE WATER-STRESS DUE TO POWER/ENERGY PLANTS, INDUSTRIES, MINING WHILE WORLD FOOD DEMAND INCREASES FAST FOOD AS ENERGY IS THE MOST BASIC NEED – MUST GET PRECEDENCE OVER ALL OTHER FORMS OF ENERGY USE. BUT WATER DEPLETION & CONTAMINATION IS PLAYING HAVOC WITH THE FOOD-SECURITY (CONNECTED WITH WATER-SECURITY) OF THE POOR. SO, WE WILL HAVE TO CUT OUR LUXURY ENERGY CONSUMPTION. SOUMYA DUTTA WORLD FOOD DEMAND 1500-2050
  • 18. NOT ONLY TPPs, NOT ONLY ON WATER  MAD ECNMC GROWTH IS CLAIMING ITS TOLL EVERYWHERE
  • 19. WHAT ABOUT ENV. KUZNET’S CURVE ? ‘ ECONOMIC GROWTH’ – POLLUTION RELATION CHANGE IN GDP AND EMISSIONS 2002-2006 SOUMYA DUTTA NOT ONE COUNTRY TO ACHIEVE HIGH ‘GROWTH’ W/O HIGH ENERGY CONSUMPTION & EMISSIONS !!
  • 20. ANOTHER PICTURE OF HUGE DISPARITIES THAT HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN DECADES 43% - NO ELECTRICITY, 33% - LESS THAN 50 KwH/Month, 11% - 50-100 KwH/M, 13% ->100 KwH/M; (PRAYAS) ELECTRICITY SOUMYA DUTTA HUGE DISPARITIES BETWEEN STATES & BETWEEN URBAN & RURAL – IN ELECTR. CONSUMPTION -> RICH-POOR DIVIDE. (‘SHIFTING GOALPOSTS’)
  • 21. WEST, SOUTH & LARGE PARTS OF CENTRAL INDIA – HIGH SOLAR POTENTIAL, NORTH/NE – SMALL HYDRO LARGE PARTS – 25-30 MW/SQ KM CONSIDER THOR DESERT – OVER 50,000 SQ KMs THINLY POPULATED 45,000 MW POTENTIAL – EVEN WITH LIMITED TECH CHOICE & INCOMPLETE WIND MAPPING SOUMYA DUTTA
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Notes de l'éditeur

  1. INDIA FIGURE 2006, WORLD – 2004-5, FOSSIL FUEL PERCENTAGE GONE DOWN A LITTLE NOW-2010
  2. TOTAL C-RESERVE IN FOSSIL CARBONS IS FAR ABOVE THE TOTAL ATMOSPHERIC C-CONTENT (AT 390ppm) !!
  3. ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNET’S CURVE DONOT SEEM TO BE WORKING !