As one of the most traded vegetable oils, the significance of palm oil to the global economy is gaining momentum. Palm oil is extracted from the fruit of oil palm tree (Elaeis guineensis) and its main products include crude palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel oil (PKO). Palm oil is the world’s highest yielding oil crop, with an output 5–10 times greater per hectare than other leading vegetable oils. Combined with factors such as low priced, relative shelf stability, and nutritional benefits, palm oil will remain an important commodity of global diet. Palm oil is majorly used in food as cooking oil, in oleochemicals industry for manufacturing soaps, cosmetics, detergents, lubricants and glues and also as a raw material for biodiesel.
Indonesia and Malaysia are the leading producers of palm oil accounting for 87% of world production in 2011/12. Rapidly expanding population and changing consumption patterns, as well as increasing demand from the bioenergy and oleochemicals industries, have resulted in increased consumption of palm oil. In most regions like the EU, the US, and Brazil, biodiesel mandates have been tightened and has thus increased the usage of biofuels. Major importing countries of palm oil include India, China, EU-27 and Pakistan. The prices of CPO had been fluctuating over the past year due to Euro-zone debt crisis and stockpiling in Malaysia. Recently the Malaysian Government had reduced CPO export tax in order to compete with top producer, Indonesia and clear excess stock. Due to challenges such as limited land availability, labour problems and environmental issues, the focus has now shifted to yield growth and creating a sustainable and traceable value chain. Emergence of certified sustainable palm oil (CSPO) or green palm oil has attracted many multinationals and buyers.
The report analyzes the global palm oil industry, its production, consumption, imports and exports. It extensively covers the palm oil market in the two major producing regions, Malaysia and Indonesia; as well as the two major consuming regions, India and China. The report discusses the major drivers and key issues related to the palm oil industry. The four major players in the palm oil industry include Wilmar International, Sime Darby, IOI International, and PT Astra Agro. All these players have been profiled in the report, along with their financials and strategies for growth.
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Executive Summary
As one of the most traded vegetable oils, the significance of palm oil to the global economy is gaining momentum. Palm oil is extracted from the fruit
of oil palm tree (Elaeis guineensis) and its main products include crude palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel oil (PKO). Palm oil is the world’s highest
yielding oil crop, with an output 5–10 times greater per hectare than other leading vegetable oils. Combined with factors such as low priced, relative
shelf stability, and nutritional benefits, palm oil will remain an important commodity of global diet. Palm oil is majorly used in food as cooking oil, in
oleochemicals industry for manufacturing soaps, cosmetics, detergents, lubricants and glues and also as a raw material for biodiesel.
Indonesia and Malaysia are the leading producers of palm oil accounting for 87% of world production in 2011/12. Rapidly expanding population and
changing consumption patterns, as well as increasing demand from the bioenergy and oleochemicals industries, have resulted in increased
consumption of palm oil. In most regions like the EU, the US, and Brazil, biodiesel mandates have been tightened and has thus increased the usage
of biofuels. Major importing countries of palm oil include India, China, EU-27 and Pakistan. The prices of CPO had been fluctuating over the past
year due to Euro-zone debt crisis and stockpiling in Malaysia. Recently the Malaysian Government had reduced CPO export tax in order to compete
with top producer, Indonesia and clear excess stock. Due to challenges such as limited land availability, labour problems and environmental issues,
the focus has now shifted to yield growth and creating a sustainable and traceable value chain. Emergence of certified sustainable palm oil (CSPO)
or green palm oil has attracted many multinationals and buyers.
The report analyzes the global palm oil industry, its production, consumption, imports and exports. It extensively covers the palm oil market in the
two major producing regions, Malaysia and Indonesia; as well as the two major consuming regions, India and China. The report discusses the major
drivers and key issues related to the palm oil industry. The four major players in the palm oil industry include Wilmar International, Sime Darby, IOI
International, and PT Astra Agro. All these players have been profiled in the report, along with their financials and strategies for growth.
By combining SPSS Inc.’s data integration and analysis capabilities with our relevant findings, we have predicted the future growth of the industry.
We employed various significant variables that have an impact on this industry and created regression models with SPSS Base to determine the
future direction of the industry. Before deploying the regression model, the relationship between several independent or predictor variables and the
dependent variable was analyzed using standard SPSS output, including charts, tables and tests.
3. Changing Consumption Pattern and Increasing Demand From Bio-Energy Industry Have Resulted In Rise
of Palm Oil Consumption
Global Palm Oil Production (2008/09 - 2012/13E) Worldwide production of palm oil increased by ….% y-o-y and
reached ……. million MT (Metric Tonnes) in 2011/12. Palm oil
is the world’s highest yielding oil crop, with an output ……
times greater per hectare than other leading vegetable oils.
Global consumption of palm oil increased from ….. million MT
Million MT
in 2010/11 to ….. million MT in 2011/12 and is estimated to
grow to ….. million MT by 2012/13. There is a growing
demand of palm oil for its use in bio-diesel and electricity
production.
Oil palm is cultivated on approximately ….. million hectares
across the world. Around ……% of cultivated land lies in
Indonesia and Malaysia.
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13E In the year 2011/12, total yield for palm was at …….MT per
hectare.
Production Consumption
Global Palm Oil Production – Volume Share by Country (2011/12) Top Ten Palm Oil Consuming Countries (2011/12)
Million MT
Indonesia Malaysia Thailand
Colombia Nigeria Other
4. Indonesia And Malaysia are the Leading Producers of Palm Oil accounting for 87% of
World Production in 2011
Production of Other Oil Palm Products in Malaysia (2008-2012) Indonesia is the largest palm oil producer accounting for …..% of
global production in 2011. The average annual rate of plantation
area increased from ….. million hectares in 2010 to ….. million
hectares in 2011.
In Malaysia, the oil palm planted area in 2012 reached ….. million
hectares, an increase of …..% against …. million hectares
Million MT
recorded in 2011.
Production of palm kernel in Malaysia almost remained flat at …..
million MT in 2012 compared to previous year. Production of
crude palm kernel oil increased from ….. million MT in 2011 to ….
million MT in 2012. Palm kernel cake production increased by
…..% in 2012 compared to 2011.
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 The FFB yield in Malaysia increased to ….. tonnes per year in
2012 compared to …… tonnes per year in 2011.
Palm Kernel Crude Palm Kernel Oil Palm Kernel Cake
Malaysia- Export of Palm Oil by Selected Countries (2012) Indonesia- Mature Area Harvested Under Palm Oil (2008-2011)
Million Hectares
China India EU
Pakistan USA Singapore 2008 2009 2010 2011
Japan Others
5. Properties such as Nutritional Benefits, Low Priced, Rising demand from Bio-
Energy Sector will Drive Consumption of Palm Oil……
Worldwide Palm Oil Consumption Forecast by Volume (2011/12 – 2015/16F)
Million MT
2011/12 2012/13F 2013/14F 2014/15F 2015/16F
• Worldwide consumption of palm oil is forecasted to increase from ….. million MT in 2011/12 to ………million MT by 2015/16. Palm
oil is not only highly diverse in its usage, but it is also a globally-grown crop that holds much economic importance to multiple
emerging markets.
• Palm oil will significantly increase its market share in world’s oils and fats sector over the coming years, driven by population
growth, per capita income and the fact that palm oil has a ……..times greater yield per hectare than other vegetable crops, making
it a more attractive crop to cultivate.
• Increased dependence of palm oil in developing countries like India and China mainly for food consumption will certainly boost
demand for palm oil. Traditionally used in manufactured food products, it is an increasingly important ingredient in cosmetic/health
products, and is now found in >….% of packaged supermarket products. There is a growing demand for its use in bio-diesel and
electricity production.
6. View Report Details
Table of Contents List of Graphs & Tables
List of Charts
1. Global Vegetable Oil Market
Vegetable Oil Production and Consumption Trend Worldwide (2008/09-
1.1 Production and Consumption 2012/13E)
1.2 Share by Types Top Producers of Vegetable Oil by Countries (2011/12)
1.3 Import and Export Trend Top Consumers of Vegetable Oil by Countries (2011/12)
Global Vegetable Oil Production – Volume Share by Type of Oil (2011/12)
2. Palm oil Market Global Vegetable Oil Consumption – Volume Share by Type of Oil (2011/12)
Worldwide Vegetable Oil Import and Export Trend (2008/09 to 2012/13E)
2.1 Introduction Palm Oil Mill Process: Residue Utilization
2.2 Palm Oil – Supply chain Analysis Production Process of Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFB)
2.3 Production Crude Palm Oil Production Process
2.4 Consumption Global Palm Oil Production (2008/09 to 2012/13E)
2.5 Area Harvested and Yield Global Palm Oil Production – Volume Share by Country (2011/12)
2.6 Import & Export Global Palm Oil Consumption (2008/09 to 2012/13E)
Top Ten Palm Oil Consuming Countries – Volume Share (2011/12)
3. Major Palm Oil Producing Countries Worldwide Total Area Harvested for Palm (2008-2011)
Worldwide Total Yield for Palm (2008-2011)
3.1 Indonesia Indonesia- Total Mature Area Harvested Under Palm Oil (2008-2011)
-Production Growth Production and Consumption of Palm Oil in Indonesia (2008/09 to 2012/13F)
-Consumption Growth Palm Oil Yield in Indonesia (2008-2011)
-Exports Indonesian Oil Palm Plantation by Ownership (2012E)
-Area Harvested Total Export of Palm Oil from Indonesia (2008/09-2011/12)
-Plantation Ownership Oil Palm Planted Area in Malaysia (2005-2011)
Production of Crude Palm Oil in Malaysia (2005-2012)
3.2 Malaysia Production of Other Oil Palm Products in Malaysia (2008-2012)
-Production Growth Malaysia- Export of Palm Oil by Selected Countries (2012)
-Production by State Malaysian Local Delivered Palm Oil Prices (2009-2010)
-Exports India- Domestic Consumption of Palm Oil (2008/09-2011/12)
-Area Harvested India: Consumption Share of Edible Oils (2011/12)
-Plantation Ownership Import of Edible Oils to India by type (2011/12)
Import Volume of Palm Oil to India (2011/12)
7. View Report Details
Table of Contents List of Graphs & Tables
List of Charts
4. Major Palm Oil Consuming Countries
Price Movement of CPO in India (Dec 2011 to Dec 2012)
4.1 India China: Consumption of Palm Oil (2008/09-2011/12)
-Consumption Growth Import of Palm Oil to China by Volume (2008/09-2011/12)
-Imports China- Palm Import as a % of Total Oil & Fats Import (2007-2012)
-Price Trend Total Palm Oil Imports from Malaysia to China (2005-2012)
4.2 China World Biofuels Production (2005-2011)
-Consumption Growth Oil Yield (in tonnes) Oils per Hectare (2011)
-Imports Global Planted Area for Vegetable Oils – Share by Type of Oil (2011)
Global Vegetable Oil Production Share by Types of Oils (2011)
5. Market Drivers CSPO Market Uptake per Year (2008-2012)
CSPO Annual Production Capacity Worldwide (2008-2012)
5.1 Rise in Demand of Biofuels CSPO Total Production Area (2008-2012)
5.2 Highly Productive Compared to Other vegetable Oils Global Population Growth (1960-2050E)
5.3 Favorable Government Legislations Per Capita Consumption of Palm Oil in Major Countries (2011)
5.4 Demand for Certified Sustainable Palm Oil (CSPO) Comparison of Major Vegetable Oil Prices (Jan 2012- Jan 2013)
5.5 Increasing Population Monthly Closing Stock of Palm Oil in Malaysia (Jan 2012 –Jan 2013)
5.6 Cost Effective Among all Vegetable Oils Major Players in Global Palm Oil Industry by Market Capitalization (2011)
Wilmar International Revenue (FY07-FY11)
6. Challenges PT Astra Agro Lestari Revenue Break-up by Business Segments (2011)
PT Astra Agro Lestari Revenue (2007-2011)
6.1 Decreasing Land Availability IOI Corporation Berhad Business Segmentation (2012)
6.2 Oil Palm Monoculture and Environmental Risks Net Revenue of IOI Corporation Berhad (2008-2012)
6.3 Continuous Stockpiling Sime Darby- Contribution to Revenue by Business Segments (2012)
6.4 Stringent Inspection on Shipments Sime Darby Revenues from Plantation Division (2008-2012)
Worldwide Palm Oil Consumption Forecast by Volume (MY12-MY16F)
7. Competitive Landscape
8. Company Profiles
8.1 Wilmar International Limited
8.1.1 Business Description
8.1.2 Financial Overview
8.1.3 Business Strategies
-Expansion through Partnerships
-Investment in Processing Capacity
8. View Report Details
Table of Contents List of Graphs & Tables
List of Tables
8.2 PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk
Top Countries by Import and Export of Vegetable Oil (2011/12)
8.2.1 Business Description Palm Oil Imports-by Country (2008/09 to 2011/12)
8.2.2 Financial Overview Palm Oil Exports by Country (2008/09 to 2011/12)
8.2.3 Business Strategies Malaysia - Oil Palm Planted Area by States as At June 2012
-Increasing Production Capacity Malaysia - Oil Palm Planted Area by Category as at June 2012
-Intensification Programmes FFB (Fresh Fruit Bunches) Yield in Malaysia-by States (2009-2012)
Crude Palm Oil Yield in Malaysia-by States (2008-2012)
8.3 IOI Corporation Berhad Malaysia- Volume of Palm Oil Exported by Types (2007-2012)
Export Duty Rate of CPO in Malaysia (Effective from January 2013)
8.3.1 Business Description Number of Refineries Approved and Capacities – Malaysia (2012)
8.3.2 Financial Overview Import Duty on major Edible Oil in India w.e.f February 2013
8.3.3 Business Strategies Selected Biofuel Mandates by Country
-Efforts to Ensure High Yield Wilmar International Revenue Breakup by Business Segments (FY10 vs
-Sustainable Growth with New Refineries FY11)
Dependent & Independent Variables (2006/07 – 2011/12)
8.4 Sime Darby Correlation Matrix
Model Summary – Coefficient of Determination
8.4.1 Business Description Regression Coefficients Output
8.4.2 Financial Overview
8.4.3 Business Strategies
-Expansion into Related Businesses
-Expansion through Capital Investment
9. Market Outlook
9.1 Market Forecast
9.2 Forecast Methodology
9.2.1 Dependent and Independent Variables
9.2.2 Correlation Analysis
9.2.3 Regression Analysis
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