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The BIG Call
                   March 2012
          PA M E L A G O O D F E L L O W
CONSUMER INSIGHTS DIRECTOR, BIGINSIGHT™

                  MARIANNE BICKLE, PH.D.
          D I R E C T O R , C E N T E R F O R R E TA I L I N G
           UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA



400 W. Wilson Bridge Road, Suite 200, Worthington, OH, 43085   614-846-0146   info@BIGinsight.com
Marianne Bickle, Ph.D.

     Chair and Director for the Center for Retailing, University of South Carolina
     Author:
      • Fashion Marketing (published by Fairchild Books)
      • The Changing American Consumer (in cooperation with the Prosper Foundation)
     Regular contributor on the Forbes Prosper Now Blog
     Has published and presented in excess of 90 peer referred
      papers in relation to cross-channel shopping, e-commerce,
      and student learning paradigms of retailing.
     On the Board of Directors on a privately owned fashion
      company and is a regular retail contributing expert for
      news corporations.
     Fostered international relationships in France, Italy, Korea, and
      the United Kingdom.
     Earned a Ph.D. in Family Ecology, a master’s degree in clothing
      and textiles and holds a B.S. in retailing of clothing and textiles.



© 2012, Prosper®
March 2012 Consumer Survey

  March 2012 Results
   • Consumer Confidence
   • Practical Purchasing
   • Financial Forecast
   • Gas Price Impact
   • 90 Day Outlook: Future Purchase Plans
  The Changing American Consumer
   • A Special Look at Fast Food Trends
                   This report is derived from the following studies:
                   • BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, March 2012 (N = 9242, respondents surveyed 3/6 – 3/13/12)
                   • BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey Trends, March 2007 – March 2012

                   Disclaimer: BIGinsight™ is a trademark of Prosper Business Development Corp. Services are delivered by Prosper and/or a Prosper affiliated company (“Prosper”).
                   Prosper makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or obtained from any source; the present or future methodology employed in
                   producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk.

© 2012, Prosper®
Consumer Confidence

Confident/Very Confident in Chances for a Strong Economy
Adults 18+

 40%
                                                 Highlights:
                                        34.8%     • Confidence rises for fifth
 35%
                                                    consecutive month
 30%
           29.1%                                  • Up nearly 20% from Mar-11
                                                  • Highest reading since the very
 25%                                                beginning of the recession
                                                        Dec-07 = 37.0%
 20%
                   20.6%


 15%




© 2012, Prosper®                                           Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 11-12
Consumer Confidence

Confident/Very Confident in Chances for a Strong Economy
                                                                                                      25%
Adults 18+
                                                                                                     decline
 40%                                            50%                                                   from
                                                45%
                                                                                                     Mar-07
                                        34.8%
 35%                                            40%
                                                35%
           29.1%
 30%                                            30%
                                                25%
 25%                                            20%
                                                15%
 20%                                            10%
                   20.6%




                                                      46.9%




                                                                                                         34.8%
                                                5%
 15%                                            0%




© 2012, Prosper®                                              Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 07-12
Practical Purchasing

In the last 6 months, have you made any of the following changes?
Adults 18+

  60%
                                                                               Highlights:
  58%                                                                             •    Spending fizzles as Spring
  56%                                                                                  heats up
  54%
  52%
                                                                                  •    Practicality increases 10
  50%                                                                                  points from February
  48%                                                                                     Highest March reading since
  46%                                                                                      the heart of the recession
  44%                                                                                      (Mar-09 = 52.7%)
  42%
                                                                                  •    Focus on necessities
  40%
                                                                                       increases six points from
                                                                                       February
                                                                                          Also trending slightly ahead
               I have become more practical and realistic in my purchases                  of March readings for the
               I focus more on what I NEED rather than what I WANT                         past two years




© 2012, Prosper®                                                            Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 11-12
Financial Forecast

Which of the following financial steps are you planning to take in the next 3 months?
Adults 18+
                             Mar-11     Feb-12   Mar-12                Highlights:
                                                                         •    “Save-not-Squander”
                   Pay down debt
                                                                                  Financial plans become more
                                                                                   conservative compared to Mar-
                                                                                   11 and Feb-12.

             Increase savings
                                                                         •    Increasing Savings on the rise
                                                                                  Typically see spikes in savings
                                                                                   in January (“Holiday Hangover”)
 Pay with cash more often
                                                                                  Highest non-January reading
                                                                                   since Feb-07 (31.1%)
                                                                                  Record number of taxpayers
                                                                                   saving their refunds this year
Decrease overall spending
                                                                         •    Are consumers bracing for
                                                                              higher gas prices?
                                   0%     10%      20%    30%   40%




© 2012, Prosper®                                                       Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 11-12
Pain at the Pump

Do you believe the price of gas will be more, the same or less at the end of the month?
Adults 18+
                                                      Highlights:
                        Less, 3.4%
                                                        •   The answer to this question was
          Same, 19.7%                                       obvious
                                                                Vast majority of consumers predict
                                                                 that gas prices will pump up by the
                                                                 end of the month.
                                                        •   End of March Forecast = $4.08/gal
                                                                End of February prediction
                                                                 ($3.69/gal) didn’t veer far from reality
                                                                 ($3.78/gal*) * Source: U.S. Energy Administration
                                     More, 76.9%




                                                             NEW Blog Series!
                                                             Pain at the Pump: Are $4/Gal Fuel
                                                             Prices Becoming Part of the New Normal?

© 2012, Prosper®                                                Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR-12
Pain at the Pump

How have fluctuating gas prices impacted your spending?
by Yearly Household Income

                     Less than $50K       $50K or More           Highlights:
                                                                  •   Under $50K wage earners are more
      Delayed major purchase                                          affected by prices at the pump, but
                                                                      $50K+ consumers aren’t immune to
            Reduced dining out                                        impact.
                                                                          <$50K: 81%
   Decreased vacation/travel                                              $50K+: 73%
                                                                          Adults 18+: 77%
            I will be driving less
                                                                  •   Driving less is most popular way to
                                                                      defray fuel expenses
 Spending less on groceries
                                                                          Dining Out, Vacation Travel also
                                                                           prime cutbacks
   Spending less on clothing

                                     0%    20%      40%   60%          NEW Blog Series!
                                                                       Pain at the Pump: Are $4/Gal Fuel
                                                                       Prices Becoming Part of the New Normal?

© 2012, Prosper®                                                          Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR-12
BIG Forward Look: 90 Day Spending

Over the next 90 days (March, April and May), do you plan on spending more, the same or less
on the following items than you would normally spend at this time of the year?
Adults 18+
                                              Retail Merchandise Categories - 90 Day Outlook
                                                   (Mar-12 compared to Feb-12, Mar-11, and Mar-10)

                   Category:                      Feb-12       Mar-11       Mar-10      Category:                              Feb-12       Mar-11       Mar-10
                   Children’s                        up           up           up       Toys/Games                                up           up           up

                   Women’s Dress                     up           up           up       CDs/DVDs/Videos/Books                    down          up           up

                   Women’s Casual                    up           up           up       Electronics                               up           up           up

                   Men’s Dress                       up           up           up       Groceries                                 up           up           up

                   Men’s Casual                      up           up           up       Home Improvement                         down          up           up

                   Shoes                             up           up           up       Lawn & Garden                             up           up           up

                   HBC                               flat         up           up       Home Furniture                           down          up           up

                   Dining Out                       down          up           up       Home Décor                                flat         up           up

                   Sporting Goods                    up           up           up       Linens/Bedding/Draperies                 down          up           up

                     Note: “Up,” Down,” “Flat” refers to the direction of the Diffusion Index compared to the previous month (Feb-12) or years (Mar-11, Mar-10). Diffusion Index = %
                     Spending More - % Spending Less.

© 2012, Prosper®                                                                                                 Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 10-12
BIG Forward Look: 90 Day Spending

Over the next 90 days (March, April and May), do you plan on spending more, the same or less
on the following items than you would normally spend at this time of the year?
Adults 18+
                                              Retail Merchandise Categories - 90 Day Outlook
                                                   (Mar-12 compared to Feb-12, Mar-11, and Mar-10)

                   Category:                      Feb-12       Mar-11        All categories
                                                                            Mar-10Category:                                    Feb-12       Mar-11       Mar-10
                   Children’s                        up           up          up remain
                                                                                  Toys/Games                                      up           up           up

                   Women’s Dress                     up           up          up DOWN
                                                                                  CDs/DVDs/Videos/Books                          down          up           up

                   Women’s Casual                    up           up          up  from
                                                                                  Electronics                                     up           up           up

                   Men’s Dress                       up           up
                                                                             pre-downturn
                                                                              up  Groceries                                       up           up           up
                                                                               March 2007
                   Men’s Casual                      up           up           up       Home Improvement                         down          up           up

                   Shoes                             up           up           up       Lawn & Garden                             up           up           up

                   HBC                               flat         up           up       Home Furniture                           down          up           up

                   Dining Out                       down          up           up       Home Décor                                flat         up           up

                   Sporting Goods                    up           up           up       Linens/Bedding/Draperies                 down          up           up

                     Note: “Up,” Down,” “Flat” refers to the direction of the Diffusion Index compared to the previous month (Feb-12) or years (Mar-11, Mar-10). Diffusion Index = %
                     Spending More - % Spending Less.

© 2012, Prosper®                                                                                                 Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 10-12
National Trend


      Increase in consumers’ weight


      Centers for Disease Control and Prevention:
       • 34% of adults 20 years+ are obese
       • 68% of consumers are classified as overweight




© 2012, Prosper®
Battle of the sexes: Who is the fast food junky?


                                               Feb 2012 survey of consumers
             Frequent Fast Food Restaurants    who frequently eat fast food
              Four or More Times per Month
                                               • 52.7% men
  55.0%
                                               • 47.3% women

  50.0%                                        These consumers patronized
                                               fast food restaurants four or
                                               more times per week
  45.0%


                                               New insights reveal consumers
  40.0%                                        patterns are changing since
                   Male          Female
                                               2005 (Source: The Changing
                                               American Consumer)
© 2012, Prosper®                                       Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB-12
Fast Food Frequency

      Percentage of Adults 18+ who eat fast food four or
           more times a month is up from Feb-11, but
           trending downward from 2005
                                       Frequent Fast Food Restaurants
                                        Four or More Times per Month
                   50.0%

                   45.0%

                   40.0%
                                                                                        Adults18+
                   35.0%

                   30.0%
                           Feb-05 Feb-06 Feb-07 Feb-08 Feb-09 Feb-10 Feb-11 Feb-12


© 2012, Prosper®                                                  Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB 05-12
The troubled economy equalizes fast food patrons


      Fast food restaurants are feeling the pinch
       • Average number of visits in Feb 2012 was 3.5, compared to
         4.1 in Feb 2005


      Regardless of income, consumers patronize fast
           food restaurants
              • The frequency differs only slightly based on income
                            In an average month, how many times do
                              you eat at a FAST FOOD restaurant?
                                       <$35,000     $35-74,999         $75,000+
                       Average # of
                   visits per month          3.0             3.7                  4.0

© 2012, Prosper®                                            Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB-12
Fast Food Frequency by Census Region


    In an average month, how many times do      Regional preferences
      you eat at a FAST FOOD restaurant?
                                                 remain constant
                               Average Times
                                   Per Month    The South continues to
                    Midwest              3.6     dominate in fast food
                   Northeast             2.8     (i.e. unhealthy) eating
                      South              3.8
                                                Still, the amount per
                       West              3.6
                                                 month patronized is
                                                 less than desired by
                                                 the industry

© 2012, Prosper®                                     Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB-12
Preferred Fast Food Restaurant


       At what FAST FOOD Restaurant do you
                 eat at most often?
                                               McDonald’s continues
                              Men    Women      to dominate the market
        McDonald’s           24.2%    28.1%    However:
              Wendy’s        7.6%      8.1%    • Changing frequency of
       Burger King           7.9%      5.1%      patronage will place
                   Subway    7.8%      7.2%      challenges on McDonald’s
             Taco Bell       5.7%      4.9%      and its competitors
                    Arby’s   1.8%      1.9%    • New strategies and brand
                                                 images may be required
                                                 for the long term


© 2012, Prosper®                                    Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB-12
Top Reasons for Patronizing Fast Food Restaurants



        Issues traditionally thought of with a restaurant
           (i.e. healthy food, cleanliness) are not as important

      Regardless of income, consumers eat at fast food
           restaurants because of:
           • Price
           • Convenience




© 2012, Prosper®
Top Reasons for Patronizing Fast Food Restaurants


                      Which of the following are reasons why you eat there most often?
                                            (Check all that apply)
                                                                   $35,000-
                                                 <$35,000            74,999               $75,000+
                                   Price            50.6%              48.7%                   40.1%
                               Location             43.5%              43.9%                   43.3%
                         Menu Selection             32.3%              34.2%                   33.8%
                            Fast Service            37.0%              38.3%                   36.6%
                         Quality of Food            31.7%              33.9%                   34.7%
                            Value Menu              24.8%              22.6%                   16.0%
                             Cleanliness            15.5%              14.7%                   15.2%
                           Portion Sizes            12.4%              11.8%                   10.2%
                   Healthy Menu Options             11.9%              13.2%                   15.8%


© 2012, Prosper®                                                    Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB-12
Snapshot

      Fast food industry is experiencing changes in sales
           volume

      Attributes desired are not typical of “eat in”
           restaurants

      Consumers’ income does not play as big of a role
           as it may originally have



© 2012, Prosper®
For More About Americans and Their Fast Food


      McDonald’s, Taco Bell and Wendy’s Customers
           Most Unhappy with Their Health view
               Fast food frequenters’ wellbeing tied to personal behavior
                   rather than drive-thru of choice


      The Changing American Consumer
         Identifies consumer trends regarding the Fast Food
          Industry (Chapter 6: Make Mine Large)




© 2012, Prosper®
The Changing American Consumer


      Some of the consumer trends identified in The
           Changing American Consumer include:
                  Personal Finance | Chapter 1: America, Land of Plenty?
                  Home Ownership | Chapter 3: Building the American Castle
                  Auto Market |Chapter 4: Consumers’ Love Affair with Autos
                  Online Shopping | Chapter 8: Shopping in Your Boxers, Briefs
                   or Bathrobe



      Every chapter includes top five lessons learned



© 2012, Prosper®
The Changing American Consumer

            Vital Insights for      American consumers’ real beliefs, attitudes and
          American Businesses!       behavior revealed by unique methods and
                                     analytical software from BIGinsight™
                                    Consumer confidence and purchasing intentions
                                     based on focus, in-depth analysis
                                    A comparison of high-earners and regular
                                     consumers – with surprising results!
                                    Trends to help businesses target their markets
                                     better in the coming decade
                                    Consumers’ attitudes towards: credit, debt
                                     mortgages, buying cars and houses, choosing cell
                                     phones, fast food and store brand goods, big box
                                     retailers, online and TV shopping, social
                                     networking, and politics.
                                    American consumers’ long-term economic hopes
                                     and fears


© 2012, Prosper®
The Changing American Consumer

            Vital Insights for         American consumers’ real beliefs, attitudes and
                                        
          American Businesses!         behavior revealed by unique methods and
                              For moreanalytical software from BIGinsight™
                                         information
                                     Consumer confidence and purchasing intentions
                          or to purchase, please visit: analysis
                                       based on focus, in-depth
                                     A comparison of high-earners and regular
                                       consumers – with surprising results!
                      www.ChangingConsumer.com/info
                                     Trends to help businesses target their markets
                                       better in the coming decade
                          Kindle edition comingattitudes towards: credit, debt
                                     Consumers’ soon!
                                       mortgages, buying cars and houses, choosing cell
                                       phones, fast food and store brand goods, big box
                                       retailers, online and TV shopping, social
                                       networking, and politics.
                                     American consumers’ long-term economic hopes
                                       and fears


© 2012, Prosper®
BIG Consumer
                           “Fair is Fair” but is Square…well…Square?     view


                           FYU: Shoes view
                Blog
                           Generation Gap: Confidence Defined view

                           Is Pinterest Your New Obsession? view

                           It’s Me and Jamie Oliver Against the World view
                           State Superlatives: Dreamiest Destination, Finest Fare,
                           Best Bet for a “Rerun” + more view
                           Generation Gap: Yuck, It’s Tax Season view


                           UPCOMING:           The Award for Best Portrayal of an Ideal
                                               Model Family Goes to… view

© 2012, Prosper®
Contact   400 W. Wilson Bridge Road
                             Suite 200
                             Worthington, OH 43085
                             Ph: 614-846-0146
                             info@BIGinsight.com



                             Dr. Marianne Bickle
                             Center for Retailing,
                             University of South Carolina
                             bickle@hrsm.sc.edu
                             Forbes Prosper Now Blog

                             for complimentary insights, visit:
                             www.BIGinsight.com

© 2012, Prosper®

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BIG Call - March 2012

  • 1. The BIG Call March 2012 PA M E L A G O O D F E L L O W CONSUMER INSIGHTS DIRECTOR, BIGINSIGHT™ MARIANNE BICKLE, PH.D. D I R E C T O R , C E N T E R F O R R E TA I L I N G UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA 400 W. Wilson Bridge Road, Suite 200, Worthington, OH, 43085 614-846-0146 info@BIGinsight.com
  • 2. Marianne Bickle, Ph.D.  Chair and Director for the Center for Retailing, University of South Carolina  Author: • Fashion Marketing (published by Fairchild Books) • The Changing American Consumer (in cooperation with the Prosper Foundation)  Regular contributor on the Forbes Prosper Now Blog  Has published and presented in excess of 90 peer referred papers in relation to cross-channel shopping, e-commerce, and student learning paradigms of retailing.  On the Board of Directors on a privately owned fashion company and is a regular retail contributing expert for news corporations.  Fostered international relationships in France, Italy, Korea, and the United Kingdom.  Earned a Ph.D. in Family Ecology, a master’s degree in clothing and textiles and holds a B.S. in retailing of clothing and textiles. © 2012, Prosper®
  • 3. March 2012 Consumer Survey  March 2012 Results • Consumer Confidence • Practical Purchasing • Financial Forecast • Gas Price Impact • 90 Day Outlook: Future Purchase Plans  The Changing American Consumer • A Special Look at Fast Food Trends This report is derived from the following studies: • BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, March 2012 (N = 9242, respondents surveyed 3/6 – 3/13/12) • BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey Trends, March 2007 – March 2012 Disclaimer: BIGinsight™ is a trademark of Prosper Business Development Corp. Services are delivered by Prosper and/or a Prosper affiliated company (“Prosper”). Prosper makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or obtained from any source; the present or future methodology employed in producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk. © 2012, Prosper®
  • 4. Consumer Confidence Confident/Very Confident in Chances for a Strong Economy Adults 18+ 40%  Highlights: 34.8% • Confidence rises for fifth 35% consecutive month 30% 29.1% • Up nearly 20% from Mar-11 • Highest reading since the very 25% beginning of the recession  Dec-07 = 37.0% 20% 20.6% 15% © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 11-12
  • 5. Consumer Confidence Confident/Very Confident in Chances for a Strong Economy 25% Adults 18+ decline 40% 50% from 45% Mar-07 34.8% 35% 40% 35% 29.1% 30% 30% 25% 25% 20% 15% 20% 10% 20.6% 46.9% 34.8% 5% 15% 0% © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 07-12
  • 6. Practical Purchasing In the last 6 months, have you made any of the following changes? Adults 18+ 60%  Highlights: 58% • Spending fizzles as Spring 56% heats up 54% 52% • Practicality increases 10 50% points from February 48%  Highest March reading since 46% the heart of the recession 44% (Mar-09 = 52.7%) 42% • Focus on necessities 40% increases six points from February  Also trending slightly ahead I have become more practical and realistic in my purchases of March readings for the I focus more on what I NEED rather than what I WANT past two years © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 11-12
  • 7. Financial Forecast Which of the following financial steps are you planning to take in the next 3 months? Adults 18+ Mar-11 Feb-12 Mar-12  Highlights: • “Save-not-Squander” Pay down debt  Financial plans become more conservative compared to Mar- 11 and Feb-12. Increase savings • Increasing Savings on the rise  Typically see spikes in savings in January (“Holiday Hangover”) Pay with cash more often  Highest non-January reading since Feb-07 (31.1%)  Record number of taxpayers saving their refunds this year Decrease overall spending • Are consumers bracing for higher gas prices? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 11-12
  • 8. Pain at the Pump Do you believe the price of gas will be more, the same or less at the end of the month? Adults 18+  Highlights: Less, 3.4% • The answer to this question was Same, 19.7% obvious  Vast majority of consumers predict that gas prices will pump up by the end of the month. • End of March Forecast = $4.08/gal  End of February prediction ($3.69/gal) didn’t veer far from reality ($3.78/gal*) * Source: U.S. Energy Administration More, 76.9% NEW Blog Series! Pain at the Pump: Are $4/Gal Fuel Prices Becoming Part of the New Normal? © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR-12
  • 9. Pain at the Pump How have fluctuating gas prices impacted your spending? by Yearly Household Income Less than $50K $50K or More  Highlights: • Under $50K wage earners are more Delayed major purchase affected by prices at the pump, but $50K+ consumers aren’t immune to Reduced dining out impact.  <$50K: 81% Decreased vacation/travel  $50K+: 73%  Adults 18+: 77% I will be driving less • Driving less is most popular way to defray fuel expenses Spending less on groceries  Dining Out, Vacation Travel also prime cutbacks Spending less on clothing 0% 20% 40% 60% NEW Blog Series! Pain at the Pump: Are $4/Gal Fuel Prices Becoming Part of the New Normal? © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR-12
  • 10. BIG Forward Look: 90 Day Spending Over the next 90 days (March, April and May), do you plan on spending more, the same or less on the following items than you would normally spend at this time of the year? Adults 18+ Retail Merchandise Categories - 90 Day Outlook (Mar-12 compared to Feb-12, Mar-11, and Mar-10) Category: Feb-12 Mar-11 Mar-10 Category: Feb-12 Mar-11 Mar-10 Children’s up up up Toys/Games up up up Women’s Dress up up up CDs/DVDs/Videos/Books down up up Women’s Casual up up up Electronics up up up Men’s Dress up up up Groceries up up up Men’s Casual up up up Home Improvement down up up Shoes up up up Lawn & Garden up up up HBC flat up up Home Furniture down up up Dining Out down up up Home Décor flat up up Sporting Goods up up up Linens/Bedding/Draperies down up up Note: “Up,” Down,” “Flat” refers to the direction of the Diffusion Index compared to the previous month (Feb-12) or years (Mar-11, Mar-10). Diffusion Index = % Spending More - % Spending Less. © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 10-12
  • 11. BIG Forward Look: 90 Day Spending Over the next 90 days (March, April and May), do you plan on spending more, the same or less on the following items than you would normally spend at this time of the year? Adults 18+ Retail Merchandise Categories - 90 Day Outlook (Mar-12 compared to Feb-12, Mar-11, and Mar-10) Category: Feb-12 Mar-11 All categories Mar-10Category: Feb-12 Mar-11 Mar-10 Children’s up up up remain Toys/Games up up up Women’s Dress up up up DOWN CDs/DVDs/Videos/Books down up up Women’s Casual up up up from Electronics up up up Men’s Dress up up pre-downturn up Groceries up up up March 2007 Men’s Casual up up up Home Improvement down up up Shoes up up up Lawn & Garden up up up HBC flat up up Home Furniture down up up Dining Out down up up Home Décor flat up up Sporting Goods up up up Linens/Bedding/Draperies down up up Note: “Up,” Down,” “Flat” refers to the direction of the Diffusion Index compared to the previous month (Feb-12) or years (Mar-11, Mar-10). Diffusion Index = % Spending More - % Spending Less. © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, MAR 10-12
  • 12. National Trend  Increase in consumers’ weight  Centers for Disease Control and Prevention: • 34% of adults 20 years+ are obese • 68% of consumers are classified as overweight © 2012, Prosper®
  • 13. Battle of the sexes: Who is the fast food junky?  Feb 2012 survey of consumers Frequent Fast Food Restaurants who frequently eat fast food Four or More Times per Month • 52.7% men 55.0% • 47.3% women 50.0%  These consumers patronized fast food restaurants four or more times per week 45.0%  New insights reveal consumers 40.0% patterns are changing since Male Female 2005 (Source: The Changing American Consumer) © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB-12
  • 14. Fast Food Frequency  Percentage of Adults 18+ who eat fast food four or more times a month is up from Feb-11, but trending downward from 2005 Frequent Fast Food Restaurants Four or More Times per Month 50.0% 45.0% 40.0% Adults18+ 35.0% 30.0% Feb-05 Feb-06 Feb-07 Feb-08 Feb-09 Feb-10 Feb-11 Feb-12 © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB 05-12
  • 15. The troubled economy equalizes fast food patrons  Fast food restaurants are feeling the pinch • Average number of visits in Feb 2012 was 3.5, compared to 4.1 in Feb 2005  Regardless of income, consumers patronize fast food restaurants • The frequency differs only slightly based on income In an average month, how many times do you eat at a FAST FOOD restaurant? <$35,000 $35-74,999 $75,000+ Average # of visits per month 3.0 3.7 4.0 © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB-12
  • 16. Fast Food Frequency by Census Region In an average month, how many times do  Regional preferences you eat at a FAST FOOD restaurant? remain constant Average Times Per Month  The South continues to Midwest 3.6 dominate in fast food Northeast 2.8 (i.e. unhealthy) eating South 3.8  Still, the amount per West 3.6 month patronized is less than desired by the industry © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB-12
  • 17. Preferred Fast Food Restaurant At what FAST FOOD Restaurant do you eat at most often?  McDonald’s continues Men Women to dominate the market McDonald’s 24.2% 28.1%  However: Wendy’s 7.6% 8.1% • Changing frequency of Burger King 7.9% 5.1% patronage will place Subway 7.8% 7.2% challenges on McDonald’s Taco Bell 5.7% 4.9% and its competitors Arby’s 1.8% 1.9% • New strategies and brand images may be required for the long term © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB-12
  • 18. Top Reasons for Patronizing Fast Food Restaurants  Issues traditionally thought of with a restaurant (i.e. healthy food, cleanliness) are not as important  Regardless of income, consumers eat at fast food restaurants because of: • Price • Convenience © 2012, Prosper®
  • 19. Top Reasons for Patronizing Fast Food Restaurants Which of the following are reasons why you eat there most often? (Check all that apply) $35,000- <$35,000 74,999 $75,000+ Price 50.6% 48.7% 40.1% Location 43.5% 43.9% 43.3% Menu Selection 32.3% 34.2% 33.8% Fast Service 37.0% 38.3% 36.6% Quality of Food 31.7% 33.9% 34.7% Value Menu 24.8% 22.6% 16.0% Cleanliness 15.5% 14.7% 15.2% Portion Sizes 12.4% 11.8% 10.2% Healthy Menu Options 11.9% 13.2% 15.8% © 2012, Prosper® Source: BIGinsight™ Monthly Consumer Survey, FEB-12
  • 20. Snapshot  Fast food industry is experiencing changes in sales volume  Attributes desired are not typical of “eat in” restaurants  Consumers’ income does not play as big of a role as it may originally have © 2012, Prosper®
  • 21. For More About Americans and Their Fast Food  McDonald’s, Taco Bell and Wendy’s Customers Most Unhappy with Their Health view  Fast food frequenters’ wellbeing tied to personal behavior rather than drive-thru of choice  The Changing American Consumer  Identifies consumer trends regarding the Fast Food Industry (Chapter 6: Make Mine Large) © 2012, Prosper®
  • 22. The Changing American Consumer  Some of the consumer trends identified in The Changing American Consumer include:  Personal Finance | Chapter 1: America, Land of Plenty?  Home Ownership | Chapter 3: Building the American Castle  Auto Market |Chapter 4: Consumers’ Love Affair with Autos  Online Shopping | Chapter 8: Shopping in Your Boxers, Briefs or Bathrobe  Every chapter includes top five lessons learned © 2012, Prosper®
  • 23. The Changing American Consumer Vital Insights for  American consumers’ real beliefs, attitudes and American Businesses! behavior revealed by unique methods and analytical software from BIGinsight™  Consumer confidence and purchasing intentions based on focus, in-depth analysis  A comparison of high-earners and regular consumers – with surprising results!  Trends to help businesses target their markets better in the coming decade  Consumers’ attitudes towards: credit, debt mortgages, buying cars and houses, choosing cell phones, fast food and store brand goods, big box retailers, online and TV shopping, social networking, and politics.  American consumers’ long-term economic hopes and fears © 2012, Prosper®
  • 24. The Changing American Consumer Vital Insights for American consumers’ real beliefs, attitudes and  American Businesses! behavior revealed by unique methods and For moreanalytical software from BIGinsight™ information  Consumer confidence and purchasing intentions or to purchase, please visit: analysis based on focus, in-depth  A comparison of high-earners and regular consumers – with surprising results! www.ChangingConsumer.com/info  Trends to help businesses target their markets better in the coming decade Kindle edition comingattitudes towards: credit, debt  Consumers’ soon! mortgages, buying cars and houses, choosing cell phones, fast food and store brand goods, big box retailers, online and TV shopping, social networking, and politics.  American consumers’ long-term economic hopes and fears © 2012, Prosper®
  • 25. BIG Consumer “Fair is Fair” but is Square…well…Square? view FYU: Shoes view Blog Generation Gap: Confidence Defined view Is Pinterest Your New Obsession? view It’s Me and Jamie Oliver Against the World view State Superlatives: Dreamiest Destination, Finest Fare, Best Bet for a “Rerun” + more view Generation Gap: Yuck, It’s Tax Season view UPCOMING: The Award for Best Portrayal of an Ideal Model Family Goes to… view © 2012, Prosper®
  • 26. Contact 400 W. Wilson Bridge Road Suite 200 Worthington, OH 43085 Ph: 614-846-0146 info@BIGinsight.com Dr. Marianne Bickle Center for Retailing, University of South Carolina bickle@hrsm.sc.edu Forbes Prosper Now Blog for complimentary insights, visit: www.BIGinsight.com © 2012, Prosper®