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Texas Competitiveness:
                                State and Cluster Economic Performance




                                                               Prepared for Governor Rick Perry

                                                                     Professor Michael E. Porter
                                                  National Governors Association Winter Meeting
                                                                              February 26, 2011


NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                     1                              Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Texas Performance Snapshot
                                               Position                         Trend


                  Prosperity




                  Productivity

                  Labor Mobilization
                                                                                                       Top quintile
                  Innovation                                                                           2nd quintile

                                                                                                       3rd quintile

                                                                                                       4th quintile
                  Cluster Strength                                                                     Lowest quintile




                                        •   Business Services
                                        •   Oil and Gas Products and Services
                  Leading Clusters      •   Heavy Construction Services
                                        •   Transportation and Logistics
                                        •   Footwear

NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                        2                                  Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
State Comparative Performance




NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                3                  Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Texas Competitiveness
                                                Overall Economic Performance Indicators
                                                     Prosperity                                                                              Cluster
                  Gross State Product per capita, 2009                                                   Share of State Traded Employment in Strong Clusters, 2008
                    • In Texas:                                     $46,189               Rank: 23         • In Texas:                                   45.1%                  Rank: 14
                    • In the US:                                    $46,093                                • In the US:                                  41.8%
                    • State difference to US:                         0.2%
                                                                                                         Change in Share of National Employment in Strong Clusters, 1998-2008
                  Growth in Gross State Product per capita, real annual rate, 1999-2009                    • In Texas:                                   1.52%                  Rank: 1
                    • In Texas:                                     0.43%                 Rank: 42         • In the US:                                 -0.06%
                    • In the US:                                    0.86%
                                                                                                         Share of Employment in Traded Clusters, 1998-2008
                                                                                                           • In Texas:                                   28.0%                  Rank: 25
                                                                                                           • In the US:                                  27.4%
                                                    Productivity

                  Gross State Product per labor force participant, 2009                                  Change in Share of Employment in Traded Clusters, 1998-2008
                    • In Texas:                                     $95,024               Rank: 17         • In Texas:                                   -0.3%                  Rank: 10
                    • In the US:                                    $92,382                                • In the US:                                  -2.2%
                    • State difference to US:                         2.9%
                                                                                                                                       Labor Mobilization
                  Growth in Gross State Product per labor force participant*, 1999-2009
                    • In Texas:                                     0.80%                 Rank: 38       Population, 2009
                    • In the US:                                    1.09%                                  • In Texas:                                 24,782,604               Rank: 2
                                                                                                           • % of US:                                      8.07%
                  Average private wage, 2008
                    • In Texas:                                     $42,753               Rank: 15       Population growth, annual rate, 1999-2009
                    • In the US:                                    $42,435                                • In Texas:                                     1.89%                Rank: 6
                    • State difference to US:                         0.8%                                 • In the US:                                    0.96%

                  Private wage Growth, annual rate, 1998-2008                                            Labor Force Participation, 2009
                     • In Texas:                                     3.51%                Rank: 17         • In Texas:                                       65.8               Rank: 26
                     • In the US:                                    3.32%                                 • In the US:                                      65.4

                                                                                                         Employment, 2010 (December)
                                                                                                           • In Texas:                                 11,202,388               Rank: 2
                                                 Innovation Output
                                                                                                           • % of US:                                      8.04%
                  Patents Per 10,000 Employees, 2009
                     • In Texas:                                       6.43               Rank: 17       Employment growth, annual rate, 2000-2010 (December)
                     • In the US:                                      6.83                                • In Texas:                                  1.15%                   Rank: 3
                                                                                                           • In the US:                                 0.11%
                  Growth in total patents, annual rate, 1998-2009
                    • In Texas:                                      0.57%                Rank: 14       Unemployment, 2010 (December)
                    • In the US:                                     0.23%                                 • In Texas:                                      8.3%                Rank: 23
                                                                                                           • In the US:                                     9.4%
                  Traded establishment formation, annual growth rate, 1998-2008
                     • In Texas:                                   2.29%                  Rank: 13       Change in Unemployment, 2000-2010 (December)
                     • In the US:                                  1.79%                                   • In Texas:                                      4.1%                Rank: 22
                                                                                                           • In the US:                                     5.5%


NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                                        4                                                                    Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Long Term State Prosperity Performance
                                                                                                           1999 to 2009
                                           $70,000
                                                                                                            U.S. GDP per Capita                         Wyoming
                                                                                                 Delaware
                                                                                                            Real Growth Rate: 0.86%
                                                   High but declining                      Alaska                                                          High and rising
                                           $65,000 versus U.S.                                                            Connecticut                      prosperity versus U.S.


                                           $60,000
 Gross Domestic Product per Capita, 2009




                                                                                                                       New York
                                                                                                     New Jersey        Massachusetts
                                           $55,000
                                                                                                                     Virginia
                                                                                 Washington                   California      Hawaii
                                           $50,000                                                                             Maryland                                  North Dakota
                                                                                                    Colorado
                                                                       Nevada         Illinois               Minnesota
                                                     U.S. GDP per                                                                    Nebraska   Iowa
                                                                                                                                                       South Dakota
                                                     Capita: $46,093                            Louisiana
                                                                                      Texas           New Hampshire    Rhode Island
                                           $45,000                                                                Kansas
                                                                                                       Pennsylvania                      Oregon
                                                                   North Carolina                   Wisconsin
                                                                                        Indiana                                     Oklahoma
                                                                                Ohio           Utah                        Vermont
                                           $40,000          Georgia               Missouri         Florida
                                                                       Tennessee           Arizona         Maine

                                                           Michigan             Kentucky                                      Montana
                                                                                           New Mexico          Alabama
                                           $35,000                                         West Virginia        Arkansas      Idaho
                                                              South Carolina
                                                     Low and declining                                         Mississippi
                                                                                                                                                       Low but rising versus U.S.
                                                     versus U.S.
                                           $30,000
                                                 -1.0%       -0.5%         0.0%            0.5%             1.0%          1.5%          2.0%    2.5%      3.0%           3.5%                 4.0%
                                                                      Gross Domestic Product per Capita Real Growth Rate, 1999 to 2009
Notes: Real GDP figures in 2005 chained US dollars from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Growth rate is calculated as compound annual growth rate. D.C. excluded
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                                                         5                                               Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Near Term State Prosperity Performance
                                                                                         U.S. States, 2007 to 2009
                                           $70,000
                                                     High but declining versus U.S.                                                                                  Wyoming
                                                                                         Delaware
                                                                                                                                                           High and rising
                                                                                                                               Alaska                      prosperity versus U.S.
                                           $65,000                                                    Connecticut
                                                                          U.S. GDP per Capita
                                                                     Real Growth Rate: -1.87%
                                           $60,000
 Gross Domestic Product per Capita, 2009




                                                                                   New York     New Jersey
                                                                                                             Massachusetts
                                           $55,000

                                                                                                  Washington     Virginia
                                                                                      California             Hawaii
                                                                                                 Colorado                Maryland                                              North Dakota
                                           $50,000
                                                     Nevada                            Illinois             Minnesota        Nebraska
                                                                                                                                    Iowa            South Dakota
                                                                                    Texas                            Louisiana
                                                                                                            New Hampshire                                                  U.S. GDP per
                                           $45,000                                             Rhode Island         Kansas
                                                                                                                    Pennsylvania
                                                                                                                                                                          Capita: $46,093
                                                                                          Oregon
                                                                North Carolina                             Wisconsin
                                                                                     Indiana                                                                          Oklahoma
                                                                                                     Ohio                       Vermont
                                                                   Georgia                Utah                Missouri
                                           $40,000                       Florida
                                                              Arizona
                                                                                      Tennessee                Maine
                                                                      Michigan                           Montana
                                                                                         New Mexico
                                                                                                          Kentucky
                                           $35,000                                           Alabama                      Arkansas
                                                                        South Carolina Idaho                                            West Virginia

                                                                                                                               Mississippi
                                                     Low and declining versus U.S.                                                                      Low but rising versus U.S.
                                           $30,000
                                                 -6.0%                 -4.0%                  -2.0%                     0.0%                 2.0%                  4.0%                           6.0%
                                                                      Gross Domestic Product per Capita Real Growth Rate, 2007 to 2009
Notes: Real GDP figures in 2005 chained US dollars from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Growth rate is calculated as compound annual growth rate.
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                                                       6                                                     Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
State Private Sector Wage Performance
                                                                                   1998-2008
                     $60,000
                               High but declining versus U.S.                                                                              High and rising wages
                                                                                                                                           relative to U.S.
                                                                                                                 New York
                                                           U.S. Average Wage
                                                                Growth: 3.32%
                     $55,000
                                                               Connecticut
                                                                                                             Massachusetts

                                                               New Jersey
                     $50,000
                                                                                   Alaska
Average Wage, 2008




                                                                                                California

                                                                      Illinois
                                                  Washington
                     $45,000                                      Delaware                             Maryland
                               U.S. Average                                             Minnesota       Virginia
                               Wage: $ 42,435                                Colorado
                                                                                            Texas
                                                                      Pennsylvania                             New Hampshire
                                     Michigan                                                                 Rhode Island
                     $40,000                      Oregon Georgia                                                                                             Wyoming

                                                       Ohio        Wisconsin      Arizona
                                                              Missouri              Nevada              Louisiana
                                                              North Carolina          Kansas
                                                         Tennessee                   Florida
                                           Indiana                          Utah
                                                      Hawaii                                              Oklahoma
                                                                       Maine       Nebraska
                     $35,000                                Kentucky                            New Mexico
                                                                          Iowa      Vermont
                                              South Carolina
                                                   Idaho                                        Arkansas       North Dakota
                                                                               Alabama
                                                             West Virginia                   South Dakota
                               Low and   declining versus U.S.     Mississippi                  Montana                               Low but rising versus U.S.
                     $30,000
                           2.0%                 2.5%              3.0%                3.5%         4.0%                        4.5%             5.0%                            5.5%
                                                                                 Wage Growth (CAGR), 1998-2008
Source: Census CBP report; private, non-agricultural employment. Growth is calculated on nominal wage levels.
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                               7                                                Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Long Term State Labor Productivity Performance
                                                                                                                            1999-2009
                                                           $150,000
                                                                      High but declining versus U.S.                         U.S. GDP per Labor Force
                                                                                                                             Participant Real Growth: 1.09%           Highly productive and
                                                                                                                                           Delaware               productivity rising versus U.S.
Gross Domestic Product per Labor Force Participant, 2009




                                                           $140,000


                                                           $130,000
                                                                                                   Alaska                                                                            Wyoming

                                                                                                            Connecticut
                                                           $120,000
                                                                                                                                New York

                                                           $110,000
                                                                                                              New Jersey        Massachusetts
                                                                                                                                                         Hawaii
                                                                                                 Louisiana                                  California
                                                           $100,000                                                           Virginia
                                                                                         Washington              Illinois                                   Maryland
                                                                                                                                          Colorado                            U.S. GDP per Labor Force
                                                                                        Nevada                Texas                                                                 Participant: $92,382
                                                            $90,000                             North Carolina       Minnesota                   Nebraska                                             North
                                                                                             Pennsylvania                                              Oklahoma
                                                                                                                       Utah                                                                           Dakota
                                                                                        Georgia                                Indiana Rhode Island       Iowa                South Oregon
                                                                                                             Arizona                                  Alabama
                                                                                        Ohio         Tennessee              Wisconsin  Kansas                                 Dakota
                                                            $80,000                              Missouri
                                                                                                          Florida        West Virginia
                                                                                     New Mexico
                                                                          Michigan                                 New Hampshire Mississippi
                                                                                          Kentucky
                                                                                                                        Arkansas
                                                                                           South Carolina        Maine                 Montana        Idaho
                                                            $70,000                                                         Vermont

                                                                      Low and declining versus U.S.                                                                     Low but rising versus U.S.
                                                            $60,000
                                                                  -0.5%          0.0%              0.5%               1.0%               1.5%            2.0%          2.5%            3.0%                     3.5%
                                                                            Gross Domestic Product per Labor Force Participant Real Growth Rate, 1999-2009
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis. Notes: Growth rate calculated as compound annual growth rate (CAGR).
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                                                                       8                                                   Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Near Term State Labor Productivity Performance
                                                                                                                   2007-2009
                                                        $150,000
                                                                   High but declining versus U.S.
                                                                                                                                                                   Highly productive and
                                                        $140,000
                                                                                                                                           Delaware            productivity rising versus U.S.
                                                                                           U.S. GDP per Labor Force
Gross State Product per Labor Force Participant, 2009




                                                                                     Participant Real Growth: -0.97%

                                                        $130,000                                                                                                            Wyoming
                                                                                                                                          Alaska

                                                        $120,000                                    Connecticut


                                                                                                    New York
                                                        $110,000
                                                                                                       New Jersey Massachusetts
                                                                                                            California        Hawaii

                                                        $100,000                                                            Virginia     Louisiana
                                                                                                                  Washington                         Maryland
                                                                                                Texas              Illinois                             Colorado          U.S. GDP per Labor Force
                                                                           Nevada                                                                                               Participant: $92,382
                                                         $90,000                                                   Minnesota                            South
                                                                                                    North Carolina           Pennsylvania Nebraska Dakota Oklahoma                  North Dakota
                                                                                                                 Oregon
                                                                                                               Georgia    Indiana Utah Iowa
                                                                                                     Rhode Island                                  Alabama
                                                                                       Arizona                                       Wisconsin               West Virginia
                                                         $80,000                            Florida                Ohio
                                                                                                                                   Missouri
                                                                                                           New Mexico
                                                                                                     Michigan                    Arkansas
                                                                                           South Carolina       Kentucky                    Mississippi
                                                                                                                              Maine
                                                                                                                 Idaho                 Montana
                                                         $70,000                                                                Vermont
                                                                                                                  Kansas
                                                                                                                 Tennessee
                                                                   Low and declining versus U.S.               New Hampshire                                        Low but rising versus U.S.
                                                         $60,000
                                                               -8.0%         -6.0%         -4.0%            -2.0%                 0.0%               2.0%          4.0%           6.0%                      8.0%
                                                                              Gross State Product per Labor Force Participant Real Growth Rate, 2007-2009
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis. Notes: Growth rate calculated as compound annual growth rate (CAGR).
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                                                                 9                                                     Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Long Term State Job Growth
                                                                         2000 to 2010
                      9,000,000
                                                                California (15,945,558)          New York                            Texas (11,202,388)

                                                                                                                    Florida
                      8,000,000
                                                                                                   U.S. Average Growth Rate: 0.11%

                      7,000,000


                      6,000,000                                                  Illinois
Number of Jobs 2010




                                                                             Pennsylvania

                                                                      Ohio
                      5,000,000

                                     Michigan                                                   Georgia
                                                                             New Jersey         North Carolina
                      4,000,000                                                                                                 Virginia

                                                                        Massachusetts
                                                                                                                                  Washington
                      3,000,000                           Indiana
                                                                          Wisconsin             Maryland                                                       Arizona
                                                                               Tennessee        Minnesota
                                                                 Missouri
                                                                                                                 Colorado
                                                                                                Louisiana
                      2,000,000                            Alabama                Kentucky         South Carolina
                                                                                                           Oregon
                                                                                                       Connecticut
                                                                                               Iowa         Kansas
                                                                  Mississippi                     Oklahoma Arkansas         Nevada Utah
                      1,000,000                                                                   Nebraska
                                                                                                       New Hampshire   New Mexico
                                                West Virginia         Rhode Island        Maine     Hawaii            Idaho
                                                                Delaware                          Montana North South Dakota
                                                                                                  Vermont Dakota              Alaska
                                                                                                                   Wyoming
                             0
                             -2.0%   -1.5%         -1.0%                -0.5%       0.0%        0.5%                          1.0%         1.5%                              2.0%
                                         Losing Jobs                      Job Growth Rate (CAGR), 2000-2010                      Gaining Jobs
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                        10                                                    Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Near Term State Job Growth
                                                                                  2007 to 2010
                      9,000,000                        California (15,945,558)                                                                      Texas (11,202,388)
                                                                                                        New York

                                                                                 Florida
                      8,000,000
                                                                                                       U.S. Average Growth Rate: -1.52%

                      7,000,000


                      6,000,000                                                                         Illinois
Number of Jobs 2010




                                                                                                         Pennsylvania

                                                                                              Ohio
                      5,000,000

                                           Michigan    Georgia
                                                                    North Carolina
                                                                                      New Jersey                             Virginia
                      4,000,000

                                                                                                           Massachusetts   Washington
                      3,000,000                                                                    Wisconsin                 Arizona
                                                      Indiana                                                                           Minnesota
                                                                         Missouri                                Tennessee
                                                                                           Maryland
                                                                  Colorado

                      2,000,000                              Alabama                                     Kentucky
                                                                                      South Carolina Oregon            Louisiana
                                                                                                  Oklahoma      Connecticut
                                                                                    Utah      Arkansas       Iowa
                                             Nevada                                                                  Kansas
                                                                                                           Mississippi
                      1,000,000      West Virginia
                                                                                  New Mexico
                                                                            Idaho                      Nebraska           New
                                                                                   Hawaii       Maine
                                                     Delaware                                                             Hampshire North Dakota
                                                                         Montana Rhode Island
                                                                                                             South DakotaVermont Alaska
                                                                                                  Wyoming
                             0
                             -4.0%      -3.5%        -3.0%          -2.5%     -2.0%     -1.5%     -1.0%                        -0.5%           0.0%         0.5%                      1.0%
                                                Losing Jobs           Job Growth Rate (CAGR), 2007-2010                                                 Gaining Jobs
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                                 11                                                    Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Long Term State Unemployment Rate
                                                                                      2000 to 2010
                             %
                            3.0
                                              Below average
                                              unemployment                                                                                  North Dakota
                                                                                                                                           Nebraska
                                                                                                                                    South Dakota
                             %
                            5.0
                                                                                                                   New Hampshire
                                                                                                                      Vermont
                                                                                                                         Iowa              Wyoming
                                                                                                                  Oklahoma                 Hawaii
                                                                                                     Virginia                           Kansas
 Unemployment Rate, 2010




                             %
                            7.0                                                                                             Minnesota
                                                                                                            Maine Maryland                 Montana
                                                                                                            Wisconsin Utah
                                                                                                                                      Louisiana
                                                                                       Massachusetts          New York Arkansas                    Alaska
                                                                                                 Delaware Texas
                                                                                              New                            New Mexico
                                                                            Colorado                     Pennsylvania
                             %                                                               Jersey Alabama                                                 U.S. Average
                            9.0                                 Connecticut                                  Illinois Washington
                                                                                       Missouri                                                   Unemployment Rate: 9.4%
                                                                         Indiana     Ohio              Idaho      West Virginia
                                                                                North Carolina
                                                                 Georgia                                 Mississippi
                                                                                Kentucky
                                                                                        Oregon          Tennessee
                                                          South Carolina
                             %
                           11.0                                                                       Arizona
                                                                       Rhode Island
                                                Florida         Michigan

                                                                California
                             %
                           13.0                                                          Change in US Average
                                                                                         Employment Rate: 5.5%

                                                                                                                                              Above average
                                     Nevada                                                         Unemployment rising                       unemployment
                             %
                           15.0
                                %
                              10.0         %
                                          9.0              %
                                                          8.0             %
                                                                         7.0         %
                                                                                    6.0       %
                                                                                            5.0          %
                                                                                                        4.0                    %
                                                                                                                              3.0            %
                                                                                                                                            2.0                   %
                                                                                                                                                                 1.0                     %
                                                                                                                                                                                        0.0
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
                                                                          Change in Employment Rate, 2000 to 2010
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                                  12                                                 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Near Term State Unemployment Rate
                                                                                 2007 to 2010
                           %
                          3.0
                                            Below average                        Change in US Average
                                                                                                                                                                    North
                                            unemployment                        Employment Rate: 4.4%
                                                                                                                                                                    Dakota
                                                                                                                                                    Nebraska
                                                                                                                               South Dakota
                           %
                          5.0
                                                                                                                                   New Hampshire
                                                                                                                                                 Vermont
                                                                                                                Wyoming Hawaii           Iowa
                                                                                                                  Virginia
Unemployment Rate, 2010




                                                                                                                                    Kansas
                           %
                          7.0                                                                                        Oklahoma              Minnesota
                                                                                                                              Montana
                                                                                                                                       Maine
                                                                                                       Utah        Maryland      Wisconsin
                                                                                                         Louisiana                 Arkansas
                                                                                                                           New York             Alaska
                                                                                                  Delaware Texas
                                                                                        New Mexico
                                                                              Washington                      Pennsylvania Massachusetts
                                                                                                  Colorado                                               U.S. Average
                           %
                          9.0                                                          Alabama                    Connecticut
                                                                              Idaho       Arizona         Missouri Illinois                   Unemployment Rate: 9.4%
                                                                                              Indiana                Tennessee
                                                                             West Virginia                         Ohio
                                                                                      North Carolina
                                                                                         Georgia                  Mississippi
                                                                                     Oregon         Kentucky
                      %
                    11.0                                                                       South
                                                                                              Carolina        New Jersey
                                                                             Rhode Island
                                                          Florida                                 Michigan

                                                                California
                      %
                    13.0


                                   Nevada                                                                    Unemployment rising                 Above average
                                                                                                                                                 unemployment
                      %
                    15.0
                              %
                            10.0        %
                                       9.0           %
                                                    8.0              %
                                                                    7.0         %
                                                                               6.0       %
                                                                                        5.0         %
                                                                                                   4.0         %
                                                                                                              3.0                         %
                                                                                                                                         2.0                 %
                                                                                                                                                            1.0                     %
                                                                                                                                                                                   0.0
                                                                      Change in Employment Rate, 2007 to 2010
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                                13                                                Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Long Term State Patenting Performance
                                                                                       U.S. States, 1999 to 2009
                                     14
                                          High and declining           Idaho
                                                                                                     U.S. average Growth Rate
                                          innovation                                                       of Patenting: -0.30%                                   California


                                     12
                                                                                                                                                                                              Vermont
                                                                                                                                                   Massachusetts         Washington (+8.0%, 13.53)

                                                                                                                                                                           Oregon (+4.9%, 10.31)
Patents per 10,000 Employees, 2009




                                     10                                                                                  Minnesota



                                                                                         Connecticut                                                        High and improving
                                      8                              Delaware                       New Hampshire
                                                                                                                                                         innovation rate versus U.S.
                                                                                                                            Michigan

                                                          New Jersey                                                 Colorado
                                                                                           New York
                                      6                                                                          Texas                      Utah
                                                                                                                         Arizona                                        U.S. average Patents per
                                                                                                                            Wisconsin                                    10,000 Employees: 5.96
                                                                                         Illinois
                                                      Pennsylvania                                                           Rhode Island                     North Carolina
                                                                                Ohio    Maryland
                                                                                                                         Iowa
                                      4                                                Indiana
                                                                                New Mexico                                       Kansas            Georgia
                                                                              Florida          Missouri
                                                                                                                Virginia
                                          Montana (-5.7%, 1.58)                                                                Nevada
                                                                                                      South Carolina                                                           North Dakota
                                           Louisiana (-6.0%, 1.34)          Tennessee                                                       Nebraska     Wyoming
                                      2                                                              Kentucky
                                            Arkansas (-6.9%, 0.76)                 Oklahoma                                     Maine
                                                                                                           Alabama
                                                           West Virginia
                                                                       Mississippi                       Hawaii
                                            South Dakota Alaska

                                         Low and declining innovation                                                                                    Low and improving innovation
                                      0
                                       -5%         -4%           -3%                           -2%                  -1%                 0%                   1%                  2%                           3%
                                                                                       Growth Rate of Patenting, 1999 to 2009
                                                                                                                                                              3,000 patents issued in 2009 =
Source: USPTO, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Note: Growth rate calculated as compound annual growth rate (CAGR).
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                                                       14                                                         Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Texas Patents by Organization
                                                                       Patents                                                                                Patents
        Rank                     Organization                                               Rank                     Organization
                                                                      2005-2009                                                                              2005-2009
                International Business Machines
              1 Corporation                                                   2225            25 Stmicroelectronics, Inc.                                                102
              2 Texas Instruments, Incorporated                               2089            27 Fina Technology, Inc.                                                    99
                Hewlett-Packard Development Company,
              3 L.P.                                                           720            28   Raytheon Company                                                        98
              4 Freescale Semiconductor, Inc.                                  572            29   Micron Technology, Inc.                                                 88
              5 Dell Products, L.P.                                            555            30   Motorola, Inc.                                                          82
              6 Schlumberger Technology Corporation                            487            31   William Marsh Rice University                                           80
              7 Baker Hughes Incorporated                                      453            31   Ip First Llc                                                            80
              8 Halliburton Energy Services, Inc.                              425            33   Finisar Corporation                                                     78
              9 Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.                                   415            34   Fujitsu Limited                                                         76
             10 Exxonmobil Chemical Patents Inc.                               344            34   Texas A And M University                                                76
             11 University Of Texas                                            317            34   Sigmatel Inc.                                                           76
             12 Shell Oil Company                                              273            37   Dow Global Technologies Inc.                                            72
             13 Silicon Laboratories Inc.                                      212            38   Sun Microsystems, Inc.                                                  67
             14 Weatherford/Lamb, Inc.                                         193            39   Exxonmobil Upstream Research Company                                    66
             15 National Instruments Corporation                               192            39   Alcon, Inc.                                                             66
             16 Cisco Technology, Inc.                                         184            41   Fisher-Rosemount Systems, Inc.                                          63
             17 Cirrus Logic, Inc.                                             159            42   Sbc Technology Resources, Inc.                                          61
             18 Nokia Corporation                                              156            42   Varco I/P, Inc.                                                         61
             19 Nortel Networks Limited                                        154            44   Molecular Imprints, Inc.                                                60
             20 Intel Corporation                                              138            45   Bj Services Co                                                          58
             21 Smith International Inc.                                       120            45   Frito-Lay North America, Inc.                                           58
             22 Southwest Research Institute                                   119            47   National Semiconductor Corporation                                      53
             23 3M Innovative Properties Company                               115            48   Alcatel                                                                 52
             24 Lockheed Martin Corporation                                    104            48   Catalytic Distillation Technologies                                     52
             25 Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.                                  102            48   Alcatel Lucent                                                          52



                                                                       Universities and Research Institutions
                                                                       Government Organizations


Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director.
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                          15                                                         Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
The Impact of Cluster Mix and Cluster Strength on Wages
                                                                      U.S. States, 2008
                                  State Traded                                                                 State Traded
                                  Wage versus                          Relative                                Wage versus                           Relative
                                    National          Cluster Mix      Cluster                                   National          Cluster Mix       Cluster
                  State             Average              Effect       Wage Effect               State            Average              Effect        Wage Effect
          New York                         + 34,578           5,188          29,390        North Carolina                -10,673         -5,131                  -5,543
          Connecticut                      + 20,008           6,898          13,109        Missouri                      -10,953         -1,634                  -9,319
          Massachusetts                    + 17,308           5,191          12,117        Rhode Island                  -11,089         -1,370                  -9,719
          New Jersey                       + 12,157           4,638           7,519        Florida                       -11,780         -1,473                 -10,307
          California                        + 9,597             121           9,476        Oklahoma                      -12,225          1,533                 -13,758
          Maryland                          + 6,435           2,778           3,657        Alabama                       -12,301         -4,713                  -7,588
          Washington                        + 4,827           3,058           1,769        Tennessee                     -13,063         -3,987                  -9,076
          Virginia                          + 2,550             945           1,605        Vermont                       -13,095         -2,936                 -10,159
          Illinois                          + 2,501             -61           2,562        Indiana                       -13,309         -5,495                  -7,814
          Alaska                            + 2,386          -3,044           5,431        Nebraska                      -14,659             41                 -14,699
          Texas                             +1,400            2,796          -1,396        Utah                          -14,947            327                 -15,274
          Colorado                            + 753           2,292          -1,539        South Carolina                -15,256         -5,694                  -9,562
          Delaware                            + 612          13,346         -12,733        Nevada                        -15,429         -2,829                 -12,600
          Louisiana                          -4,172             573          -4,745        Maine                         -15,826           -726                 -15,100
          Minnesota                          -4,404              43          -4,448        North Dakota                  -16,437          2,940                 -19,378
          Wyoming                            -4,423           1,408          -5,831        Iowa                          -16,963         -2,602                 -14,361
          Michigan                           -4,981          -2,534          -2,447        New Mexico                    -16,991           -125                 -16,866
          Pennsylvania                       -5,182          -1,064          -4,118        Kentucky                      -17,303         -5,013                 -12,291
          New Hampshire                      -6,359           1,224          -7,584        West Virginia                 -17,357         -4,290                 -13,067
          Georgia                            -7,262          -1,923          -5,338        Arkansas                      -17,616         -5,171                 -12,445
          Arizona                            -8,662           1,557         -10,219        Hawaii                        -18,103        -14,124                  -3,980
          Kansas                             -8,828           1,820         -10,648        Idaho                         -18,636         -1,567                 -17,069
          Ohio                               -9,766          -1,436          -8,330        Mississippi                   -20,859         -6,165                 -14,694
          Oregon                             -9,774          -2,355          -7,420        South Dakota                  -21,211            955                 -22,166
          Wisconsin                         -10,479          -3,341          -7,138        Montana                       -22,488         -3,494                 -18,994


                     Cluster mix: a region’s particular mix of lower and higher average wage clusters
      Relative cluster wage: a region’s cluster wage relative to the average national wage in that cluster
                                  The cluster mix and the cluster wage level effects add up to the total difference between a region’s average wage and the
                                  national average wage. On average, the wage level effect is responsible for 76.3% of the total difference in state wages to the
                                  national average.
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                         16                                                   Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Effect of Urban and Rural Areas on Average State Wages
                                                                        U.S. States, 2008
                                 Average                                                                      Average
                                 Overall                                                                      Overall
                                   Wage                     Relative    Relative                                Wage                        Relative            Relative
                                Difference      Metro-       Metro       Rural                               Difference     Metro-           Metro               Rural
              State               to U.S.      Rural Mix     Wage        Wage                   State          to U.S.     Rural Mix         Wage                Wage
        New York                    + 15,412          982      14,078          353          Nevada                -4,560             815          -5,752                   377
        Connecticut                 + 10,919        1,013       9,592          315          Louisiana             -4,739            -630          -4,764                   655
        Massachusetts               + 10,197        1,674       8,333          190          Kansas                -5,371          -2,175          -2,535                  -661
        New Jersey                   + 8,488        1,631       6,765           92          North Carolina        -5,505          -1,262          -3,796                  -446
        Alaska                       + 6,538       -1,438       5,158        2,818          Tennessee             -5,992            -538          -4,973                  -481
        California                   + 5,584        1,476       3,844          265          Florida               -6,132            -128          -6,074                    70
        Illinois                     + 3,427          411       3,277         -261          Indiana               -6,225            -630          -5,665                    70
        Washington                   + 3,013          832       2,122           58          Oklahoma              -6,501          -2,030          -4,496                    25
        Delaware                     + 2,664         -191       2,895          -40          Hawaii                -6,583          -1,892          -4,871                   179
        Maryland                     + 2,201        1,159         775          267          Utah                  -7,054             169          -7,273                    50
        Virginia                     +1,182           509         709          -36          Vermont               -7,280          -6,080            -968                  -232
        Minnesota                     +1,024         -903       2,130         -202          Nebraska              -7,419          -2,652          -3,621                -1,146
        Colorado                       +539          -110         -66          714          Alabama               -7,544          -1,206          -5,701                  -636
        Texas                          +325           350        -234          209          Maine                 -7,697          -2,479          -5,243                    24
        New Hampshire                   -504       -2,856         924        1,428          Kentucky              -7,978          -2,179          -5,285                  -515
        Pennsylvania                  -1,184          262      -1,480           34          Iowa                  -8,096          -3,123          -4,509                  -464
        Michigan                      -1,785         -165      -1,576          -44          New Mexico            -8,531          -1,843          -6,548                  -140
        Rhode Island                  -2,143        1,720      -3,846          -17          South Carolina        -9,137            -609          -8,203                  -325
        Wyoming                       -2,478       -6,929      -2,304        6,755          Arkansas              -9,482          -2,207          -6,283                  -992
        Georgia                       -3,136         -120      -2,542         -475          Idaho                 -9,766          -1,928          -6,872                  -966
        Ohio                          -3,925         -224      -3,799           98          North Dakota          -9,973          -2,963          -6,607                  -403
        Arizona                       -3,962          937      -4,897           -2          West Virginia        -10,074          -3,104          -7,013                    43
        Oregon                        -4,116         -359      -3,505         -251          South Dakota         -10,976          -3,811          -5,475                -1,690
        Wisconsin                     -4,336         -910      -3,419           -7          Mississippi          -11,446          -4,569          -5,493                -1,383
        Missouri                      -4,540         -573      -3,103         -865          Montana              -11,792          -5,468          -5,495                  -829

          Metro-rural mix: average wage impact from a state’s relative proportion of metro and rural regions
      Relative metro wage: average wage impact from state relative performance in metro regions
       Relative rural wage: average wage impact from state relative performance in rural regions
                                     On average 66.3% of the average wage gap in a state is due to the metro wage effect.
Note: Data are based on private, non-agricultural employment.
Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director.
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                          17                                                         Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Composition of the Texas Economy
                                    and Cluster Performance




NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                 18                   Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Composition of Regional Economies, United States

                                                                                                      Traded Clusters
                                                                                                      • Serve markets in other
                                                                                                        regions and countries
                                                                                                      • Free to choose location
                                                                                                      • Exposed to competition
      Local Clusters                                                      27.4% of                      from other regions
                                                                          employment
      • Serve almost
                                                                          37.3% of income
        exclusively the
        local market                       71.7% of                       96.4% of patents
                                           employment
      • Not exposed to
                                           61.8% of income
        cross-regional
        competition for                    3.5% of patents
        employment                                                                                      Resource-based Clusters
                                                                                                        • Location determined by
                                                                                                        resource availability
                                                                                                        • <1% of income,
Source: Michael E. Porter, Economic Performance of Regions, Regional Studies (2003); Updated via        employment, and patents in
Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School (2008)
                                                                                                        the U.S.
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                19                                      Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Overall Composition of the Texas Economy, 2008

                     80%


                     70%
                                                                                TX    US
                                                                               71.6% 71.7%
Private Employment




                     60%


                     50%


                     40%
Percent of Total




                     30%

                                 TX    US
                     20%        28.1% 27.4%

                     10%
                                                                                                                                       TX              US
                                                                                                                                      0.4%            0.9%
                     0%
                                Traded Clusters                                Local Clusters                                  Natural Endowment
                                                                                                                                   Dependent
Note: Data throughout this section of the report are based on private, non-agricultural employment.
Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director.
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                          20                                                         Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Composition of the Texas Economy
                                            Employment by Traded Cluster, 2008
                                                 Rank in US
                           Business Services         2                                                                                    490,110
         Oil and Gas Products and Services           1                                                 240,513
                Heavy Construction Services          1                                              224,829
                 Transportation and Logistics        2                                            209,341
                         Distribution Services       2                                    162,622
                            Financial Services       3                                   160,932
                       Hospitality and Tourism       3                                  153,741
         Education and Know ledge Creation           6                            118,008
                      Information Technology         2                       89,842
                              Processed Food         3                      82,950
                          Metal Manufacturing        7                   65,989
                                        Plastics     2                53,019
                        Publishing and Printing      4                49,261
                           Chemical Products         1               45,390
                                  Entertainment      4               45,338
  Building Fixtures, Equipment and Services          2               44,075
          Aerospace Vehicles and Defense             3              42,239
                        Analytical Instruments       2              40,021
                       Production Technology         4             36,953
                                    Automotive      12            30,220
                             Heavy Machinery         5          19,552
                        Motor Driven Products        3          17,518
                         Agricultural Products       3         16,369
                        Construction Materials       1         15,354
                  Communications Equipment           2         15,105
                              Medical Devices        9         15,038
                    Prefabricated Enclosures         2         14,467
        Pow er Generation and Transmission           4         11,969
                              Forest Products       12        10,842
            Lighting and Electrical Equipment        6        10,044
                          Biopharmaceuticals         9        9,748
                                      Furniture      7        9,541
               Leather and Related Products          3       7,306
                Jew elry and Precious Metals         4       7,274
                                        Textiles     9       6,878
                                        Apparel      9       4,213
                          Aerospace Engines          9       2,941
                                     Footw ear       1      2,707                                          Texas overall employment rank = 2
Sporting, Recreational and Children's Goods          8      2,613
                Fishing and Fishing Products         7      1,573
                                      Tobacco        9      495

                                                         0              100,000             200,000           300,000            400,000            500,000                    600,000
                                                                                                  Employment, 2008
Note: Ranks are among the 50 US states plus the District of Columbia.
Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director.
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                          21                                                         Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Composition of the Texas Economy
                                                                Specialization by Traded Cluster, 1998 to 2008
                                          14.0%                                                                                   Heavy Construction Services


                                                                                                    Chemical                                          Oil and Gas
                                                                                                                                                                         Footwear
                                                                                                    Products                                Products and Services
                                                                                                                 Transportation                                   (+11.6%, 21.3%)
                                                                                                                                                 (+5.17%, 42.0%)
                                          12.0%
                                                                                                                 and Logistics
Texas’s national employment share, 2008




                                                                                                                                                                            Aerospace
                                                                                                                                        Business                            Vehicles and
                                                                                    Information                                         Services                            Defense
                                          10.0%                                     Technology
                                                                                                                   Distribution                            Construction
                                                                                                                   Services                                Materials      Jewelry and
                                                                                                   Analytical                                                          Precious Metals
                                                                                                               Plastics
                                          8.0%                                                     Instruments
                                                       Texas Overall Share of US
                                                      Traded Employment: 7.82%
                                                                                        Communication
                                                                                                                                                           Production
                                                                                           Equipment
                                          6.0%                                                                                                             Technology
                                                                                                                                                  Metal
                                                                                                                                                  Manufacturing


                                          4.0%
                                                                                    Medical
                                                                                    Devices
                                                      Apparel                                                                                                              Employment
                                                                                                                                     Overall change in                      1998-2008
                                          2.0%                                                                                       the Texas Share of
                                                                                                                                     US Traded                                Added Jobs
                                                                                                                                     Employment:
                                                                                                                                     +1.12%                                    Lost Jobs
                                          0.0%
                                              -3.5%             -2.5%           -1.5%             -0.5%             0.5%                  1.5%                     2.5%                           3.5%
                                                                        Change in Texas share of National Employment, 1998 to 2008                                 Employees 85,000 =
Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director.
NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden                                                                      22                                                              Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance
Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance

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Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance

  • 1. Texas Competitiveness: State and Cluster Economic Performance Prepared for Governor Rick Perry Professor Michael E. Porter National Governors Association Winter Meeting February 26, 2011 NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 1 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 2. Texas Performance Snapshot Position Trend Prosperity Productivity Labor Mobilization Top quintile Innovation 2nd quintile 3rd quintile 4th quintile Cluster Strength Lowest quintile • Business Services • Oil and Gas Products and Services Leading Clusters • Heavy Construction Services • Transportation and Logistics • Footwear NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 2 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 3. State Comparative Performance NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 3 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 4. Texas Competitiveness Overall Economic Performance Indicators Prosperity Cluster Gross State Product per capita, 2009 Share of State Traded Employment in Strong Clusters, 2008 • In Texas: $46,189 Rank: 23 • In Texas: 45.1% Rank: 14 • In the US: $46,093 • In the US: 41.8% • State difference to US: 0.2% Change in Share of National Employment in Strong Clusters, 1998-2008 Growth in Gross State Product per capita, real annual rate, 1999-2009 • In Texas: 1.52% Rank: 1 • In Texas: 0.43% Rank: 42 • In the US: -0.06% • In the US: 0.86% Share of Employment in Traded Clusters, 1998-2008 • In Texas: 28.0% Rank: 25 • In the US: 27.4% Productivity Gross State Product per labor force participant, 2009 Change in Share of Employment in Traded Clusters, 1998-2008 • In Texas: $95,024 Rank: 17 • In Texas: -0.3% Rank: 10 • In the US: $92,382 • In the US: -2.2% • State difference to US: 2.9% Labor Mobilization Growth in Gross State Product per labor force participant*, 1999-2009 • In Texas: 0.80% Rank: 38 Population, 2009 • In the US: 1.09% • In Texas: 24,782,604 Rank: 2 • % of US: 8.07% Average private wage, 2008 • In Texas: $42,753 Rank: 15 Population growth, annual rate, 1999-2009 • In the US: $42,435 • In Texas: 1.89% Rank: 6 • State difference to US: 0.8% • In the US: 0.96% Private wage Growth, annual rate, 1998-2008 Labor Force Participation, 2009 • In Texas: 3.51% Rank: 17 • In Texas: 65.8 Rank: 26 • In the US: 3.32% • In the US: 65.4 Employment, 2010 (December) • In Texas: 11,202,388 Rank: 2 Innovation Output • % of US: 8.04% Patents Per 10,000 Employees, 2009 • In Texas: 6.43 Rank: 17 Employment growth, annual rate, 2000-2010 (December) • In the US: 6.83 • In Texas: 1.15% Rank: 3 • In the US: 0.11% Growth in total patents, annual rate, 1998-2009 • In Texas: 0.57% Rank: 14 Unemployment, 2010 (December) • In the US: 0.23% • In Texas: 8.3% Rank: 23 • In the US: 9.4% Traded establishment formation, annual growth rate, 1998-2008 • In Texas: 2.29% Rank: 13 Change in Unemployment, 2000-2010 (December) • In the US: 1.79% • In Texas: 4.1% Rank: 22 • In the US: 5.5% NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 4 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 5. Long Term State Prosperity Performance 1999 to 2009 $70,000 U.S. GDP per Capita Wyoming Delaware Real Growth Rate: 0.86% High but declining Alaska High and rising $65,000 versus U.S. Connecticut prosperity versus U.S. $60,000 Gross Domestic Product per Capita, 2009 New York New Jersey Massachusetts $55,000 Virginia Washington California Hawaii $50,000 Maryland North Dakota Colorado Nevada Illinois Minnesota U.S. GDP per Nebraska Iowa South Dakota Capita: $46,093 Louisiana Texas New Hampshire Rhode Island $45,000 Kansas Pennsylvania Oregon North Carolina Wisconsin Indiana Oklahoma Ohio Utah Vermont $40,000 Georgia Missouri Florida Tennessee Arizona Maine Michigan Kentucky Montana New Mexico Alabama $35,000 West Virginia Arkansas Idaho South Carolina Low and declining Mississippi Low but rising versus U.S. versus U.S. $30,000 -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% Gross Domestic Product per Capita Real Growth Rate, 1999 to 2009 Notes: Real GDP figures in 2005 chained US dollars from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Growth rate is calculated as compound annual growth rate. D.C. excluded NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 5 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 6. Near Term State Prosperity Performance U.S. States, 2007 to 2009 $70,000 High but declining versus U.S. Wyoming Delaware High and rising Alaska prosperity versus U.S. $65,000 Connecticut U.S. GDP per Capita Real Growth Rate: -1.87% $60,000 Gross Domestic Product per Capita, 2009 New York New Jersey Massachusetts $55,000 Washington Virginia California Hawaii Colorado Maryland North Dakota $50,000 Nevada Illinois Minnesota Nebraska Iowa South Dakota Texas Louisiana New Hampshire U.S. GDP per $45,000 Rhode Island Kansas Pennsylvania Capita: $46,093 Oregon North Carolina Wisconsin Indiana Oklahoma Ohio Vermont Georgia Utah Missouri $40,000 Florida Arizona Tennessee Maine Michigan Montana New Mexico Kentucky $35,000 Alabama Arkansas South Carolina Idaho West Virginia Mississippi Low and declining versus U.S. Low but rising versus U.S. $30,000 -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% Gross Domestic Product per Capita Real Growth Rate, 2007 to 2009 Notes: Real GDP figures in 2005 chained US dollars from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Growth rate is calculated as compound annual growth rate. NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 6 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 7. State Private Sector Wage Performance 1998-2008 $60,000 High but declining versus U.S. High and rising wages relative to U.S. New York U.S. Average Wage Growth: 3.32% $55,000 Connecticut Massachusetts New Jersey $50,000 Alaska Average Wage, 2008 California Illinois Washington $45,000 Delaware Maryland U.S. Average Minnesota Virginia Wage: $ 42,435 Colorado Texas Pennsylvania New Hampshire Michigan Rhode Island $40,000 Oregon Georgia Wyoming Ohio Wisconsin Arizona Missouri Nevada Louisiana North Carolina Kansas Tennessee Florida Indiana Utah Hawaii Oklahoma Maine Nebraska $35,000 Kentucky New Mexico Iowa Vermont South Carolina Idaho Arkansas North Dakota Alabama West Virginia South Dakota Low and declining versus U.S. Mississippi Montana Low but rising versus U.S. $30,000 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% Wage Growth (CAGR), 1998-2008 Source: Census CBP report; private, non-agricultural employment. Growth is calculated on nominal wage levels. NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 7 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 8. Long Term State Labor Productivity Performance 1999-2009 $150,000 High but declining versus U.S. U.S. GDP per Labor Force Participant Real Growth: 1.09% Highly productive and Delaware productivity rising versus U.S. Gross Domestic Product per Labor Force Participant, 2009 $140,000 $130,000 Alaska Wyoming Connecticut $120,000 New York $110,000 New Jersey Massachusetts Hawaii Louisiana California $100,000 Virginia Washington Illinois Maryland Colorado U.S. GDP per Labor Force Nevada Texas Participant: $92,382 $90,000 North Carolina Minnesota Nebraska North Pennsylvania Oklahoma Utah Dakota Georgia Indiana Rhode Island Iowa South Oregon Arizona Alabama Ohio Tennessee Wisconsin Kansas Dakota $80,000 Missouri Florida West Virginia New Mexico Michigan New Hampshire Mississippi Kentucky Arkansas South Carolina Maine Montana Idaho $70,000 Vermont Low and declining versus U.S. Low but rising versus U.S. $60,000 -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% Gross Domestic Product per Labor Force Participant Real Growth Rate, 1999-2009 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis. Notes: Growth rate calculated as compound annual growth rate (CAGR). NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 8 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 9. Near Term State Labor Productivity Performance 2007-2009 $150,000 High but declining versus U.S. Highly productive and $140,000 Delaware productivity rising versus U.S. U.S. GDP per Labor Force Gross State Product per Labor Force Participant, 2009 Participant Real Growth: -0.97% $130,000 Wyoming Alaska $120,000 Connecticut New York $110,000 New Jersey Massachusetts California Hawaii $100,000 Virginia Louisiana Washington Maryland Texas Illinois Colorado U.S. GDP per Labor Force Nevada Participant: $92,382 $90,000 Minnesota South North Carolina Pennsylvania Nebraska Dakota Oklahoma North Dakota Oregon Georgia Indiana Utah Iowa Rhode Island Alabama Arizona Wisconsin West Virginia $80,000 Florida Ohio Missouri New Mexico Michigan Arkansas South Carolina Kentucky Mississippi Maine Idaho Montana $70,000 Vermont Kansas Tennessee Low and declining versus U.S. New Hampshire Low but rising versus U.S. $60,000 -8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% Gross State Product per Labor Force Participant Real Growth Rate, 2007-2009 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis. Notes: Growth rate calculated as compound annual growth rate (CAGR). NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 9 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 10. Long Term State Job Growth 2000 to 2010 9,000,000 California (15,945,558) New York Texas (11,202,388) Florida 8,000,000 U.S. Average Growth Rate: 0.11% 7,000,000 6,000,000 Illinois Number of Jobs 2010 Pennsylvania Ohio 5,000,000 Michigan Georgia New Jersey North Carolina 4,000,000 Virginia Massachusetts Washington 3,000,000 Indiana Wisconsin Maryland Arizona Tennessee Minnesota Missouri Colorado Louisiana 2,000,000 Alabama Kentucky South Carolina Oregon Connecticut Iowa Kansas Mississippi Oklahoma Arkansas Nevada Utah 1,000,000 Nebraska New Hampshire New Mexico West Virginia Rhode Island Maine Hawaii Idaho Delaware Montana North South Dakota Vermont Dakota Alaska Wyoming 0 -2.0% -1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% Losing Jobs Job Growth Rate (CAGR), 2000-2010 Gaining Jobs Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 10 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 11. Near Term State Job Growth 2007 to 2010 9,000,000 California (15,945,558) Texas (11,202,388) New York Florida 8,000,000 U.S. Average Growth Rate: -1.52% 7,000,000 6,000,000 Illinois Number of Jobs 2010 Pennsylvania Ohio 5,000,000 Michigan Georgia North Carolina New Jersey Virginia 4,000,000 Massachusetts Washington 3,000,000 Wisconsin Arizona Indiana Minnesota Missouri Tennessee Maryland Colorado 2,000,000 Alabama Kentucky South Carolina Oregon Louisiana Oklahoma Connecticut Utah Arkansas Iowa Nevada Kansas Mississippi 1,000,000 West Virginia New Mexico Idaho Nebraska New Hawaii Maine Delaware Hampshire North Dakota Montana Rhode Island South DakotaVermont Alaska Wyoming 0 -4.0% -3.5% -3.0% -2.5% -2.0% -1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% Losing Jobs Job Growth Rate (CAGR), 2007-2010 Gaining Jobs Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 11 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 12. Long Term State Unemployment Rate 2000 to 2010 % 3.0 Below average unemployment North Dakota Nebraska South Dakota % 5.0 New Hampshire Vermont Iowa Wyoming Oklahoma Hawaii Virginia Kansas Unemployment Rate, 2010 % 7.0 Minnesota Maine Maryland Montana Wisconsin Utah Louisiana Massachusetts New York Arkansas Alaska Delaware Texas New New Mexico Colorado Pennsylvania % Jersey Alabama U.S. Average 9.0 Connecticut Illinois Washington Missouri Unemployment Rate: 9.4% Indiana Ohio Idaho West Virginia North Carolina Georgia Mississippi Kentucky Oregon Tennessee South Carolina % 11.0 Arizona Rhode Island Florida Michigan California % 13.0 Change in US Average Employment Rate: 5.5% Above average Nevada Unemployment rising unemployment % 15.0 % 10.0 % 9.0 % 8.0 % 7.0 % 6.0 % 5.0 % 4.0 % 3.0 % 2.0 % 1.0 % 0.0 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Change in Employment Rate, 2000 to 2010 NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 12 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 13. Near Term State Unemployment Rate 2007 to 2010 % 3.0 Below average Change in US Average North unemployment Employment Rate: 4.4% Dakota Nebraska South Dakota % 5.0 New Hampshire Vermont Wyoming Hawaii Iowa Virginia Unemployment Rate, 2010 Kansas % 7.0 Oklahoma Minnesota Montana Maine Utah Maryland Wisconsin Louisiana Arkansas New York Alaska Delaware Texas New Mexico Washington Pennsylvania Massachusetts Colorado U.S. Average % 9.0 Alabama Connecticut Idaho Arizona Missouri Illinois Unemployment Rate: 9.4% Indiana Tennessee West Virginia Ohio North Carolina Georgia Mississippi Oregon Kentucky % 11.0 South Carolina New Jersey Rhode Island Florida Michigan California % 13.0 Nevada Unemployment rising Above average unemployment % 15.0 % 10.0 % 9.0 % 8.0 % 7.0 % 6.0 % 5.0 % 4.0 % 3.0 % 2.0 % 1.0 % 0.0 Change in Employment Rate, 2007 to 2010 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 13 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 14. Long Term State Patenting Performance U.S. States, 1999 to 2009 14 High and declining Idaho U.S. average Growth Rate innovation of Patenting: -0.30% California 12 Vermont Massachusetts Washington (+8.0%, 13.53) Oregon (+4.9%, 10.31) Patents per 10,000 Employees, 2009 10 Minnesota Connecticut High and improving 8 Delaware New Hampshire innovation rate versus U.S. Michigan New Jersey Colorado New York 6 Texas Utah Arizona U.S. average Patents per Wisconsin 10,000 Employees: 5.96 Illinois Pennsylvania Rhode Island North Carolina Ohio Maryland Iowa 4 Indiana New Mexico Kansas Georgia Florida Missouri Virginia Montana (-5.7%, 1.58) Nevada South Carolina North Dakota Louisiana (-6.0%, 1.34) Tennessee Nebraska Wyoming 2 Kentucky Arkansas (-6.9%, 0.76) Oklahoma Maine Alabama West Virginia Mississippi Hawaii South Dakota Alaska Low and declining innovation Low and improving innovation 0 -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% Growth Rate of Patenting, 1999 to 2009 3,000 patents issued in 2009 = Source: USPTO, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Note: Growth rate calculated as compound annual growth rate (CAGR). NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 14 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 15. Texas Patents by Organization Patents Patents Rank Organization Rank Organization 2005-2009 2005-2009 International Business Machines 1 Corporation 2225 25 Stmicroelectronics, Inc. 102 2 Texas Instruments, Incorporated 2089 27 Fina Technology, Inc. 99 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, 3 L.P. 720 28 Raytheon Company 98 4 Freescale Semiconductor, Inc. 572 29 Micron Technology, Inc. 88 5 Dell Products, L.P. 555 30 Motorola, Inc. 82 6 Schlumberger Technology Corporation 487 31 William Marsh Rice University 80 7 Baker Hughes Incorporated 453 31 Ip First Llc 80 8 Halliburton Energy Services, Inc. 425 33 Finisar Corporation 78 9 Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. 415 34 Fujitsu Limited 76 10 Exxonmobil Chemical Patents Inc. 344 34 Texas A And M University 76 11 University Of Texas 317 34 Sigmatel Inc. 76 12 Shell Oil Company 273 37 Dow Global Technologies Inc. 72 13 Silicon Laboratories Inc. 212 38 Sun Microsystems, Inc. 67 14 Weatherford/Lamb, Inc. 193 39 Exxonmobil Upstream Research Company 66 15 National Instruments Corporation 192 39 Alcon, Inc. 66 16 Cisco Technology, Inc. 184 41 Fisher-Rosemount Systems, Inc. 63 17 Cirrus Logic, Inc. 159 42 Sbc Technology Resources, Inc. 61 18 Nokia Corporation 156 42 Varco I/P, Inc. 61 19 Nortel Networks Limited 154 44 Molecular Imprints, Inc. 60 20 Intel Corporation 138 45 Bj Services Co 58 21 Smith International Inc. 120 45 Frito-Lay North America, Inc. 58 22 Southwest Research Institute 119 47 National Semiconductor Corporation 53 23 3M Innovative Properties Company 115 48 Alcatel 52 24 Lockheed Martin Corporation 104 48 Catalytic Distillation Technologies 52 25 Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. 102 48 Alcatel Lucent 52 Universities and Research Institutions Government Organizations Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director. NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 15 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 16. The Impact of Cluster Mix and Cluster Strength on Wages U.S. States, 2008 State Traded State Traded Wage versus Relative Wage versus Relative National Cluster Mix Cluster National Cluster Mix Cluster State Average Effect Wage Effect State Average Effect Wage Effect New York + 34,578 5,188 29,390 North Carolina -10,673 -5,131 -5,543 Connecticut + 20,008 6,898 13,109 Missouri -10,953 -1,634 -9,319 Massachusetts + 17,308 5,191 12,117 Rhode Island -11,089 -1,370 -9,719 New Jersey + 12,157 4,638 7,519 Florida -11,780 -1,473 -10,307 California + 9,597 121 9,476 Oklahoma -12,225 1,533 -13,758 Maryland + 6,435 2,778 3,657 Alabama -12,301 -4,713 -7,588 Washington + 4,827 3,058 1,769 Tennessee -13,063 -3,987 -9,076 Virginia + 2,550 945 1,605 Vermont -13,095 -2,936 -10,159 Illinois + 2,501 -61 2,562 Indiana -13,309 -5,495 -7,814 Alaska + 2,386 -3,044 5,431 Nebraska -14,659 41 -14,699 Texas +1,400 2,796 -1,396 Utah -14,947 327 -15,274 Colorado + 753 2,292 -1,539 South Carolina -15,256 -5,694 -9,562 Delaware + 612 13,346 -12,733 Nevada -15,429 -2,829 -12,600 Louisiana -4,172 573 -4,745 Maine -15,826 -726 -15,100 Minnesota -4,404 43 -4,448 North Dakota -16,437 2,940 -19,378 Wyoming -4,423 1,408 -5,831 Iowa -16,963 -2,602 -14,361 Michigan -4,981 -2,534 -2,447 New Mexico -16,991 -125 -16,866 Pennsylvania -5,182 -1,064 -4,118 Kentucky -17,303 -5,013 -12,291 New Hampshire -6,359 1,224 -7,584 West Virginia -17,357 -4,290 -13,067 Georgia -7,262 -1,923 -5,338 Arkansas -17,616 -5,171 -12,445 Arizona -8,662 1,557 -10,219 Hawaii -18,103 -14,124 -3,980 Kansas -8,828 1,820 -10,648 Idaho -18,636 -1,567 -17,069 Ohio -9,766 -1,436 -8,330 Mississippi -20,859 -6,165 -14,694 Oregon -9,774 -2,355 -7,420 South Dakota -21,211 955 -22,166 Wisconsin -10,479 -3,341 -7,138 Montana -22,488 -3,494 -18,994 Cluster mix: a region’s particular mix of lower and higher average wage clusters Relative cluster wage: a region’s cluster wage relative to the average national wage in that cluster The cluster mix and the cluster wage level effects add up to the total difference between a region’s average wage and the national average wage. On average, the wage level effect is responsible for 76.3% of the total difference in state wages to the national average. NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 16 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 17. Effect of Urban and Rural Areas on Average State Wages U.S. States, 2008 Average Average Overall Overall Wage Relative Relative Wage Relative Relative Difference Metro- Metro Rural Difference Metro- Metro Rural State to U.S. Rural Mix Wage Wage State to U.S. Rural Mix Wage Wage New York + 15,412 982 14,078 353 Nevada -4,560 815 -5,752 377 Connecticut + 10,919 1,013 9,592 315 Louisiana -4,739 -630 -4,764 655 Massachusetts + 10,197 1,674 8,333 190 Kansas -5,371 -2,175 -2,535 -661 New Jersey + 8,488 1,631 6,765 92 North Carolina -5,505 -1,262 -3,796 -446 Alaska + 6,538 -1,438 5,158 2,818 Tennessee -5,992 -538 -4,973 -481 California + 5,584 1,476 3,844 265 Florida -6,132 -128 -6,074 70 Illinois + 3,427 411 3,277 -261 Indiana -6,225 -630 -5,665 70 Washington + 3,013 832 2,122 58 Oklahoma -6,501 -2,030 -4,496 25 Delaware + 2,664 -191 2,895 -40 Hawaii -6,583 -1,892 -4,871 179 Maryland + 2,201 1,159 775 267 Utah -7,054 169 -7,273 50 Virginia +1,182 509 709 -36 Vermont -7,280 -6,080 -968 -232 Minnesota +1,024 -903 2,130 -202 Nebraska -7,419 -2,652 -3,621 -1,146 Colorado +539 -110 -66 714 Alabama -7,544 -1,206 -5,701 -636 Texas +325 350 -234 209 Maine -7,697 -2,479 -5,243 24 New Hampshire -504 -2,856 924 1,428 Kentucky -7,978 -2,179 -5,285 -515 Pennsylvania -1,184 262 -1,480 34 Iowa -8,096 -3,123 -4,509 -464 Michigan -1,785 -165 -1,576 -44 New Mexico -8,531 -1,843 -6,548 -140 Rhode Island -2,143 1,720 -3,846 -17 South Carolina -9,137 -609 -8,203 -325 Wyoming -2,478 -6,929 -2,304 6,755 Arkansas -9,482 -2,207 -6,283 -992 Georgia -3,136 -120 -2,542 -475 Idaho -9,766 -1,928 -6,872 -966 Ohio -3,925 -224 -3,799 98 North Dakota -9,973 -2,963 -6,607 -403 Arizona -3,962 937 -4,897 -2 West Virginia -10,074 -3,104 -7,013 43 Oregon -4,116 -359 -3,505 -251 South Dakota -10,976 -3,811 -5,475 -1,690 Wisconsin -4,336 -910 -3,419 -7 Mississippi -11,446 -4,569 -5,493 -1,383 Missouri -4,540 -573 -3,103 -865 Montana -11,792 -5,468 -5,495 -829 Metro-rural mix: average wage impact from a state’s relative proportion of metro and rural regions Relative metro wage: average wage impact from state relative performance in metro regions Relative rural wage: average wage impact from state relative performance in rural regions On average 66.3% of the average wage gap in a state is due to the metro wage effect. Note: Data are based on private, non-agricultural employment. Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director. NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 17 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 18. Composition of the Texas Economy and Cluster Performance NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 18 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 19. Composition of Regional Economies, United States Traded Clusters • Serve markets in other regions and countries • Free to choose location • Exposed to competition Local Clusters 27.4% of from other regions employment • Serve almost 37.3% of income exclusively the local market 71.7% of 96.4% of patents employment • Not exposed to 61.8% of income cross-regional competition for 3.5% of patents employment Resource-based Clusters • Location determined by resource availability • <1% of income, Source: Michael E. Porter, Economic Performance of Regions, Regional Studies (2003); Updated via employment, and patents in Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School (2008) the U.S. NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 19 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 20. Overall Composition of the Texas Economy, 2008 80% 70% TX US 71.6% 71.7% Private Employment 60% 50% 40% Percent of Total 30% TX US 20% 28.1% 27.4% 10% TX US 0.4% 0.9% 0% Traded Clusters Local Clusters Natural Endowment Dependent Note: Data throughout this section of the report are based on private, non-agricultural employment. Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director. NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 20 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 21. Composition of the Texas Economy Employment by Traded Cluster, 2008 Rank in US Business Services 2 490,110 Oil and Gas Products and Services 1 240,513 Heavy Construction Services 1 224,829 Transportation and Logistics 2 209,341 Distribution Services 2 162,622 Financial Services 3 160,932 Hospitality and Tourism 3 153,741 Education and Know ledge Creation 6 118,008 Information Technology 2 89,842 Processed Food 3 82,950 Metal Manufacturing 7 65,989 Plastics 2 53,019 Publishing and Printing 4 49,261 Chemical Products 1 45,390 Entertainment 4 45,338 Building Fixtures, Equipment and Services 2 44,075 Aerospace Vehicles and Defense 3 42,239 Analytical Instruments 2 40,021 Production Technology 4 36,953 Automotive 12 30,220 Heavy Machinery 5 19,552 Motor Driven Products 3 17,518 Agricultural Products 3 16,369 Construction Materials 1 15,354 Communications Equipment 2 15,105 Medical Devices 9 15,038 Prefabricated Enclosures 2 14,467 Pow er Generation and Transmission 4 11,969 Forest Products 12 10,842 Lighting and Electrical Equipment 6 10,044 Biopharmaceuticals 9 9,748 Furniture 7 9,541 Leather and Related Products 3 7,306 Jew elry and Precious Metals 4 7,274 Textiles 9 6,878 Apparel 9 4,213 Aerospace Engines 9 2,941 Footw ear 1 2,707 Texas overall employment rank = 2 Sporting, Recreational and Children's Goods 8 2,613 Fishing and Fishing Products 7 1,573 Tobacco 9 495 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 Employment, 2008 Note: Ranks are among the 50 US states plus the District of Columbia. Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director. NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 21 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter
  • 22. Composition of the Texas Economy Specialization by Traded Cluster, 1998 to 2008 14.0% Heavy Construction Services Chemical Oil and Gas Footwear Products Products and Services Transportation (+11.6%, 21.3%) (+5.17%, 42.0%) 12.0% and Logistics Texas’s national employment share, 2008 Aerospace Business Vehicles and Information Services Defense 10.0% Technology Distribution Construction Services Materials Jewelry and Analytical Precious Metals Plastics 8.0% Instruments Texas Overall Share of US Traded Employment: 7.82% Communication Production Equipment 6.0% Technology Metal Manufacturing 4.0% Medical Devices Apparel Employment Overall change in 1998-2008 2.0% the Texas Share of US Traded Added Jobs Employment: +1.12% Lost Jobs 0.0% -3.5% -2.5% -1.5% -0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% Change in Texas share of National Employment, 1998 to 2008 Employees 85,000 = Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director. NGA 2011 – Texas– Rich Bryden 22 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter