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Prescriptive Analytics & CPLEX Decision
Optimization and TM1 Dashboard:
Combined Planning Power at JLG
Industries
Megan L. Lillicrap – BI Analytics Manager
JLG Industries
Allie Barnes – BI Analyst
JLG Industries
Bruna Garcia – Consultant
QueBIT Consulting
Introductions and Company Overviews
JLG Master Scheduling Solution Overview
 Problem Overview
 What is CPLEX?
 CPLEX & TM1 Integration
 Solution and Implementation
Q&A
Agenda
2 5/19/2017
QueBIT Overview
Bruna Garcia – Consultant
3 5/19/2017
About QueBIT
 Trusted Experts in Analytics
 15+ years in business with managers on the team who
have been working in area of Analytics for 20+ years
 Full Offerings - Advisory & Implementation Services,
Reseller of IBM Software and Developer of Solutions
 900+ successful Analytics Projects
 450+ analytics customers in all types of industries
 100+ employees with HQ in New York
 Building an experienced team from the ground up
 Deep Expertise in Financial Analytics, Advanced
Analytics, Business Intelligence, and DHW
 Strong focus in Financial Services sector
 Multi-Year Award Winner
QueBIT: Trusted Experts in Analytics
We’re driven to help organizations
improve their agility to make
intelligent decisions that create
value.
This is why we’re committed to
excellence in analytics strategy and
implementation.
JLG Industries Company Overview
Megan Lillicrap – BI Analytics Manager
Allie Barnes – BI Analyst
6 5/19/2017
Oshkosh Corporation Company Overview
7 5/19/2017
JLG Industries Company Overview
8 5/19/2017
JLG Master Schedule Case Study
Megan Lillicrap – BI Analytics Manager
9 5/19/2017
• Partnered for initial Sales, Inventory
and Operation Planning (SIOP) model -
implemented in late 2016
• Continued relationship on the SIOP to
Master Schedule project in 2017
• Core focus on:
• Improving forecast accuracy
• Streamlining and automating
processes/manual work
• Future scalability
• Knowledge transfer
10 5/19/2017
JLG Industries and QueBIT Partnership
• SIOP
• Sales, Inventory and Operation Planning
• Top level planning technique to Balance:
• Demand = Sales Forecast
• Supply = Capacity Planning
• Across all regions, products up to 24 months
• Master Production Schedule
• Manufacturing plan by:
• Model
• Production Facility
• Assembly Line
• Forecast Group (region)
• Day
• Process of aligning the master schedule to meet the demand of the SIOP
forecast
JLG Industries – Case Study Overview
11 5/19/2017
Planning takes place across:
• 37 Active Assembly Lines
• 225 Active Products
• Committed Sales Orders
• Exclusions
• 9 Forecast Groups
• Priority Ordering
• Default Forecast Group
• Periods
• Up to 24 months
* Each month it takes 10 days to complete process – considered ‘admin’ work.*
JLG Industries – Case Study Overview
12 5/19/2017
Variable # of Data
Points
Assembly Lines 37
Active Models x 225
Forecast Groups x 9
Periods (months) x 24
TOTAL INTERSECTIONS 1.8M
Objectives/Constraints for CPLEX Optimization Logic:
1. Cannot modify production slot that has a committed sales orders
2. Ignore/exclude products, production lines and months based on user input
3. Must meet production plan targets defined in the SIOP process
4. Priority weighting based on forecast groups (sales regions)
5. Level Loading by forecast group within a production line
JLG Industries – Case Study Overview
13 5/19/2017
What is CPLEX?
Bruna Garcia - Consultant
14 5/19/2017
• Definition:
• The action of making the best or most effective use of a situation or resource
• Parts of an Optimization Problem
• Decision Variables
• Objective Function
• Bounds
• Constraints
• Examples of Optimization in Industry
• Scheduling
• Logistics
• Pricing
Optimization
15 5/19/2017
• Optimization Software Owned by IBM
• Capabilities
• ETL
• Data cleansing
• Optimization
• Integer programming
• Linear programming
• Quadratic programming
• Programming Language
• Optimization Programming Language (OPL)
• Proprietary language suited for optimization
• Functions specific to types of optimization problems
What is CPLEX?
16 5/19/2017
• Why TM1 + CPLEX?
• TM1:
• Is a perfect home for optimization constraints
• Provides a user interface for CPLEX
• Can load results of CPLEX solution back into the models
• Can be used to version data
CPLEX – TM1 Integration
17 5/19/2017
• Why TM1 + CPLEX?
• CPLEX
• Offers engine for optimization that TM1 can leverage
• Reads from csv files, which are easily output by TM1
• Data structures needed for solutions are similarly formatted to the way TM1 already holds
data
CPLEX – TM1 Integration
18 5/19/2017
• Why TM1 + CPLEX?
• Together
• Input constraints into TM1
• Press button to run solution
• See updated results in TM1
CPLEX – TM1 Integration
19 5/19/2017
• Issues:
• IBM Connector
• Cannot connect if TM1 and CPLEX on different servers
• Both memory intensive
• Licensed based on PVU
• IBM is working on adding cross-server functionality in the future
• Robust solution if working properly
• Integration of CPLEX on the cloud
• TM1 Command Function
• CPLEX is unable read from excel files if called from TM1 directly or through a batch file
called by TM1
CPLEX – TM1 Integration
20 5/19/2017
TM1 & CPLEX Integration
21 5/19/2017
Data Extracts
• TM1 –
generates
data
extracts to
push to
CPLEX
Batch File
• TM1 –
Calls
CPLEX
through a
batch file;
executed
through
Task
Scheduler
CPLEX
Optimizes
• Based on
data &
constraints
fed to the
model from
TM1
Flag Files
• Optimized
results are
produced,
flag file is
created
Load
Processes
• TM1
detects flag
file –
initiates
load
processes
to create
separate
versions
CPLEX & TM1 Demo
Allie Barnes – BI Analyst
22 5/19/2017
Objectives/Constraints Master Schedule Logic:
1. Cannot modify production slot that has a committed sales orders (2nd)
2. Ignore/exclude products, production lines and months based on user input
3. Must meet production plan targets defined in the SIOP process (1st)
4. Priority weighting based on forecast groups (sales regions) (1st, 2nd)
5. Level Loading by forecast group within a production line
JLG Industries – Master Schedule Case Study Overview
23 5/19/2017
• CPLEX constraints are directly fed from TM1
• Collecting user input in TM1 to control the process
24 5/19/2017
Setting the Stage in CPLEX with TM1
• Set the starting date for optimization by manufacturing line
25 5/19/2017
Forecast Allocation Start Month Input Template
• Set number of workdays by manufacturing lines
• CPLEX uses number of workdays to determine the number of manufacturing
slots available for allocation
26 5/19/2017
Number of Workdays Input Template
Example: Line shut
down for maintenance
purposes. Working days
reduced. CPLEX will
reduce amount of slots
to reallocate.
• Set order by which sales regions (forecast groups) will absorb any schedule
discrepancies by manufacturing line.
Forecast Group Assumptions Input Templates
27 5/19/2017
• Users can control the sales regions
priority to influence who receives
shortages or excess of products.
28 5/19/2017
CPLEX Optimization – Scenario 1
29 5/19/2017
CPLEX Optimization – Scenario 1
Must meet
production plan
targets defined in
the SIOP
process
Priority weighting
based on
forecast groups
30 5/19/2017
CPLEX Optimization – Scenario 2
31 5/19/2017
CPLEX Optimization – Scenario 2
Cannot modify
production slots
that have
committed sales
orders
Priority weighting
based on
forecast groups
Must meet
production plan
targets defined in
the SIOP
process
JLG Master Schedule Solution Implementation
Megan Lillicrap – BI Analytics Manager
32 5/19/2017
• General TM1 Governance
• Followed up with a project to target TM1 Governance
• CPLEX – TM1 Connector
• Not useful in a practical environment
• Batch Files
• Multiple issues caused by background processes between the two products
• Can be worked around
Lessons Learned – Improvement Opportunities
33 5/19/2017
• Testing
• Proof of Concept for CPLEX
• Unit, Functional and User Acceptance Testing
• Multiple Weekly Touchpoints
• Technical meetings (IT team)
• Business review meetings (Core team)
• Knowledge Transfer
• Built in time for shadowing development w/ QueBIT
• Peer reviews
• CPLEX – TM1 Partnership
Lessons Learned – What Went Right
34 5/19/2017
• Successful implementation at JLG
• Reduced manual effort: 10 days to 1 day / month
• Estimated $70K saved annually
• Allows time for more strategic work versus admin work
• Future Measures of Savings
• More timely and accurate supplier forecast
• Estimated $250K savings annually
• Less expediting and shortages associated with inaccurate forecasts
• More timely and accurate financial analysis for projected spend and budgets
• Estimated $20K savings annually
Solution Results
35 5/19/2017
“12 minutes from the time I opened TM1 for production line 22 (Electric
Booms) until I got the e-mail confirmation that updates were made to the
master schedule.
This process just allocated 1,004 production slots to the appropriate forecast
group from June 2017 through September 2018 in 12 minutes, which included
time to review data to make sure there were no issues.
Thank you to everyone for their help. This is what I call a win!”
- Bruce DeMaster, Value Stream Manager
User Response
36 5/19/2017
Q&A
Megan Lillicrap mllillicrap@jlg.com
Allie Barnes ambarnes@jlg.com
Bruna Garcia bgarcia@quebit.com
38 5/19/2017
Notices and disclaimers
Copyright © 2017 by International Business Machines Corporation (IBM).
No part of this document may be reproduced or transmitted in any form
without written permission from IBM.
U.S. Government Users Restricted Rights — use, duplication or
disclosure restricted by GSA ADP Schedule Contract with IBM.
Information in these presentations (including information relating to
products that have not yet been announced by IBM) has been reviewed
for accuracy as of the date of initial publication and could include
unintentional technical or typographical errors. IBM shall have no
responsibility to update this information. This document is distributed
“as is” without any warranty, either express or implied. In no event
shall IBM be liable for any damage arising from the use of this
information, including but not limited to, loss of data, business
interruption, loss of profit or loss of opportunity. IBM products and
services are warranted according to the terms and conditions of the
agreements under which they are provided.
IBM products are manufactured from new parts or new and used parts.
In some cases, a product may not be new and may have been previously
installed. Regardless, our warranty terms apply.”
Any statements regarding IBM's future direction, intent or product
plans are subject to change or withdrawal without notice.
Performance data contained herein was generally obtained in a
controlled, isolated environments. Customer examples are presented
as illustrations of how those customers have used IBM products and
the results they may have achieved. Actual performance, cost, savings or
other results in other operating environments may vary.
References in this document to IBM products, programs, or services
does not imply that IBM intends to make such products, programs or
services available in all countries in which IBM operates or does
business.
Workshops, sessions and associated materials may have been prepared
by independent session speakers, and do not necessarily reflect the
views of IBM. All materials and discussions are provided for informational
purposes only, and are neither intended to, nor shall constitute legal or
other guidance or advice to any individual participant or their specific
situation.
It is the customer’s responsibility to insure its own compliance with legal
requirements and to obtain advice of competent legal counsel as to
the identification and interpretation of any relevant laws and regulatory
requirements that may affect the customer’s business and any actions
the customer may need to take to comply with such laws. IBM does not
provide legal advice or represent or warrant that its services or products
will ensure that the customer is in compliance with any law.
39 5/19/2017
Notices and disclaimers
continued
Information concerning non-IBM products was obtained from the
suppliers of those products, their published announcements or other
publicly available sources. IBM has not tested those products in
connection with this publication and cannot confirm the accuracy of
performance, compatibility or any other claims related to non-IBM
products. Questions on the capabilities of non-IBM products should be
addressed to the suppliers of those products. IBM does not warrant the
quality of any third-party products, or the ability of any such third-party
products to interoperate with IBM’s products. IBM expressly
disclaims all warranties, expressed or implied, including but not
limited to, the implied warranties of merchantability and fitness
for a particular, purpose.
The provision of the information contained herein is not intended to,
and does not, grant any right or license under any IBM patents,
copyrights, trademarks or other intellectual property right.
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IBM Vision 2017 Conference Session #1095 - Prescriptive Analytics & CPLEX Decision Optimization and TM1 Dashboard: Combined Planning Power at JLG Industries - QueBIT Consulting

  • 1. Prescriptive Analytics & CPLEX Decision Optimization and TM1 Dashboard: Combined Planning Power at JLG Industries Megan L. Lillicrap – BI Analytics Manager JLG Industries Allie Barnes – BI Analyst JLG Industries Bruna Garcia – Consultant QueBIT Consulting
  • 2. Introductions and Company Overviews JLG Master Scheduling Solution Overview  Problem Overview  What is CPLEX?  CPLEX & TM1 Integration  Solution and Implementation Q&A Agenda 2 5/19/2017
  • 3. QueBIT Overview Bruna Garcia – Consultant 3 5/19/2017
  • 4. About QueBIT  Trusted Experts in Analytics  15+ years in business with managers on the team who have been working in area of Analytics for 20+ years  Full Offerings - Advisory & Implementation Services, Reseller of IBM Software and Developer of Solutions  900+ successful Analytics Projects  450+ analytics customers in all types of industries  100+ employees with HQ in New York  Building an experienced team from the ground up  Deep Expertise in Financial Analytics, Advanced Analytics, Business Intelligence, and DHW  Strong focus in Financial Services sector  Multi-Year Award Winner
  • 5. QueBIT: Trusted Experts in Analytics We’re driven to help organizations improve their agility to make intelligent decisions that create value. This is why we’re committed to excellence in analytics strategy and implementation.
  • 6. JLG Industries Company Overview Megan Lillicrap – BI Analytics Manager Allie Barnes – BI Analyst 6 5/19/2017
  • 7. Oshkosh Corporation Company Overview 7 5/19/2017
  • 8. JLG Industries Company Overview 8 5/19/2017
  • 9. JLG Master Schedule Case Study Megan Lillicrap – BI Analytics Manager 9 5/19/2017
  • 10. • Partnered for initial Sales, Inventory and Operation Planning (SIOP) model - implemented in late 2016 • Continued relationship on the SIOP to Master Schedule project in 2017 • Core focus on: • Improving forecast accuracy • Streamlining and automating processes/manual work • Future scalability • Knowledge transfer 10 5/19/2017 JLG Industries and QueBIT Partnership
  • 11. • SIOP • Sales, Inventory and Operation Planning • Top level planning technique to Balance: • Demand = Sales Forecast • Supply = Capacity Planning • Across all regions, products up to 24 months • Master Production Schedule • Manufacturing plan by: • Model • Production Facility • Assembly Line • Forecast Group (region) • Day • Process of aligning the master schedule to meet the demand of the SIOP forecast JLG Industries – Case Study Overview 11 5/19/2017
  • 12. Planning takes place across: • 37 Active Assembly Lines • 225 Active Products • Committed Sales Orders • Exclusions • 9 Forecast Groups • Priority Ordering • Default Forecast Group • Periods • Up to 24 months * Each month it takes 10 days to complete process – considered ‘admin’ work.* JLG Industries – Case Study Overview 12 5/19/2017 Variable # of Data Points Assembly Lines 37 Active Models x 225 Forecast Groups x 9 Periods (months) x 24 TOTAL INTERSECTIONS 1.8M
  • 13. Objectives/Constraints for CPLEX Optimization Logic: 1. Cannot modify production slot that has a committed sales orders 2. Ignore/exclude products, production lines and months based on user input 3. Must meet production plan targets defined in the SIOP process 4. Priority weighting based on forecast groups (sales regions) 5. Level Loading by forecast group within a production line JLG Industries – Case Study Overview 13 5/19/2017
  • 14. What is CPLEX? Bruna Garcia - Consultant 14 5/19/2017
  • 15. • Definition: • The action of making the best or most effective use of a situation or resource • Parts of an Optimization Problem • Decision Variables • Objective Function • Bounds • Constraints • Examples of Optimization in Industry • Scheduling • Logistics • Pricing Optimization 15 5/19/2017
  • 16. • Optimization Software Owned by IBM • Capabilities • ETL • Data cleansing • Optimization • Integer programming • Linear programming • Quadratic programming • Programming Language • Optimization Programming Language (OPL) • Proprietary language suited for optimization • Functions specific to types of optimization problems What is CPLEX? 16 5/19/2017
  • 17. • Why TM1 + CPLEX? • TM1: • Is a perfect home for optimization constraints • Provides a user interface for CPLEX • Can load results of CPLEX solution back into the models • Can be used to version data CPLEX – TM1 Integration 17 5/19/2017
  • 18. • Why TM1 + CPLEX? • CPLEX • Offers engine for optimization that TM1 can leverage • Reads from csv files, which are easily output by TM1 • Data structures needed for solutions are similarly formatted to the way TM1 already holds data CPLEX – TM1 Integration 18 5/19/2017
  • 19. • Why TM1 + CPLEX? • Together • Input constraints into TM1 • Press button to run solution • See updated results in TM1 CPLEX – TM1 Integration 19 5/19/2017
  • 20. • Issues: • IBM Connector • Cannot connect if TM1 and CPLEX on different servers • Both memory intensive • Licensed based on PVU • IBM is working on adding cross-server functionality in the future • Robust solution if working properly • Integration of CPLEX on the cloud • TM1 Command Function • CPLEX is unable read from excel files if called from TM1 directly or through a batch file called by TM1 CPLEX – TM1 Integration 20 5/19/2017
  • 21. TM1 & CPLEX Integration 21 5/19/2017 Data Extracts • TM1 – generates data extracts to push to CPLEX Batch File • TM1 – Calls CPLEX through a batch file; executed through Task Scheduler CPLEX Optimizes • Based on data & constraints fed to the model from TM1 Flag Files • Optimized results are produced, flag file is created Load Processes • TM1 detects flag file – initiates load processes to create separate versions
  • 22. CPLEX & TM1 Demo Allie Barnes – BI Analyst 22 5/19/2017
  • 23. Objectives/Constraints Master Schedule Logic: 1. Cannot modify production slot that has a committed sales orders (2nd) 2. Ignore/exclude products, production lines and months based on user input 3. Must meet production plan targets defined in the SIOP process (1st) 4. Priority weighting based on forecast groups (sales regions) (1st, 2nd) 5. Level Loading by forecast group within a production line JLG Industries – Master Schedule Case Study Overview 23 5/19/2017
  • 24. • CPLEX constraints are directly fed from TM1 • Collecting user input in TM1 to control the process 24 5/19/2017 Setting the Stage in CPLEX with TM1
  • 25. • Set the starting date for optimization by manufacturing line 25 5/19/2017 Forecast Allocation Start Month Input Template
  • 26. • Set number of workdays by manufacturing lines • CPLEX uses number of workdays to determine the number of manufacturing slots available for allocation 26 5/19/2017 Number of Workdays Input Template Example: Line shut down for maintenance purposes. Working days reduced. CPLEX will reduce amount of slots to reallocate.
  • 27. • Set order by which sales regions (forecast groups) will absorb any schedule discrepancies by manufacturing line. Forecast Group Assumptions Input Templates 27 5/19/2017 • Users can control the sales regions priority to influence who receives shortages or excess of products.
  • 29. 29 5/19/2017 CPLEX Optimization – Scenario 1 Must meet production plan targets defined in the SIOP process Priority weighting based on forecast groups
  • 31. 31 5/19/2017 CPLEX Optimization – Scenario 2 Cannot modify production slots that have committed sales orders Priority weighting based on forecast groups Must meet production plan targets defined in the SIOP process
  • 32. JLG Master Schedule Solution Implementation Megan Lillicrap – BI Analytics Manager 32 5/19/2017
  • 33. • General TM1 Governance • Followed up with a project to target TM1 Governance • CPLEX – TM1 Connector • Not useful in a practical environment • Batch Files • Multiple issues caused by background processes between the two products • Can be worked around Lessons Learned – Improvement Opportunities 33 5/19/2017
  • 34. • Testing • Proof of Concept for CPLEX • Unit, Functional and User Acceptance Testing • Multiple Weekly Touchpoints • Technical meetings (IT team) • Business review meetings (Core team) • Knowledge Transfer • Built in time for shadowing development w/ QueBIT • Peer reviews • CPLEX – TM1 Partnership Lessons Learned – What Went Right 34 5/19/2017
  • 35. • Successful implementation at JLG • Reduced manual effort: 10 days to 1 day / month • Estimated $70K saved annually • Allows time for more strategic work versus admin work • Future Measures of Savings • More timely and accurate supplier forecast • Estimated $250K savings annually • Less expediting and shortages associated with inaccurate forecasts • More timely and accurate financial analysis for projected spend and budgets • Estimated $20K savings annually Solution Results 35 5/19/2017
  • 36. “12 minutes from the time I opened TM1 for production line 22 (Electric Booms) until I got the e-mail confirmation that updates were made to the master schedule. This process just allocated 1,004 production slots to the appropriate forecast group from June 2017 through September 2018 in 12 minutes, which included time to review data to make sure there were no issues. Thank you to everyone for their help. This is what I call a win!” - Bruce DeMaster, Value Stream Manager User Response 36 5/19/2017
  • 37. Q&A Megan Lillicrap mllillicrap@jlg.com Allie Barnes ambarnes@jlg.com Bruna Garcia bgarcia@quebit.com
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