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ASSALAMU’ALAIKUM
     INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT

    ROI, NVP, AND PAYBACK PERIOD
Return on Investment, Net Present Value and
              Payback Period
                   Disajikan Oleh :


            RAHMAD KURNIAWAN
                     P68500
Contents

1. ROI
2. NPV
 1.   NPV on “Chapter 17, Exercises and
      Project, No.2”
3. Payback Period




                       2          RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
What is ROI?


ROI can be defined as:
     One of several approaches to building a
      financial business case (Solution Matrix).
     A performance measure used to evaluate
      the efficiency of an investment.
     A performance measure to compare the
      efficiency of different investments.
     ROI is a metric that yields some insights
      into how to improve business results in the
      future (L. Dombrowski)

                       3          RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
Cont...

 Another traditional tool for evalating capital
  investments is return on investment
  (ROI), which measures the effectiveness of
  management in generating profits with its
  available assets. (Turban)
 The ROI measure is a percentage, and the
  higher this percentage return, the better.
 It is calculated essentially by dividing net
  income attributable to a project by the
  average assets invested in the project.




                      4          RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
Simple ROI

The benefit (return) of an investment
 is divided by the cost of the
 investments. The result is expressed
 as a percentage or a ratio. This is
 referred to as “simple ROI”.

    ROI= Gains from investment – Cost of investment
                       Cost of Investment


                 $700,000 - $500,000    = 40%
                      $500,000



                        5             RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
Example of ROI

For example, a $1000 investment that
 earns $50 in interest obviously
 generates more cash than a $100
 investment that earns $20
 interest, but the $100 investment
 earns a higher return.

So...




                 6       RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
Cont...


                 $1050 $1000     $50
ROI   $50 / 1000                      5%
                    $1000       $1000

                  $120 $100    $20
ROI   $20 / 100                         20%
                     $100     $100




                      7              RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
What is NPV?

NPV can be defined as:
     NPV is one of Capital budgeting analysis uses
      standard financial models. (Turban)
     Net present value is the present value of net
      cash inflows generated by a project including
      salvage value, if any, less the initial
      investment on the project.
If NPV > 0, accept
If NPV < 0, reject



                         8           RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
Cont...

Organizations often use net present
 value (NPV) calculations for cost
 benefit analyses.
In an NPV analysis, analysts convert
 future values of benefits to their
 present-value equivalent by
 discounting them at the
 organization’s cost of funds.




                  9       RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
NPV Formula

                      C1             C2           CT
 NPV          C0                              
                    (1 r )1        (1 r ) 2     (1 r ) T

 Where,
     r is the target rate of return per period;
     C0 is the Initial investment.
     C1 is the net cash inflow during the first period;
     C2 is the net cash inflow during the second period;
     C3 is the net cash inflow during the third period, and so
      on ...



                              10              RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
Example of NPV

There is an opportunity to invest in a
 business that will pay $200,000 in
 one year, $400,000 in two
 years, $600,000 in three years and
 $800,000 in four years. It can earn
 12% per year compounded annually
 on a mutual fund that has similar risk.
 If it costs $1.2 million to start this
 business, should be invest?

So...
                  11       RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
Cont...

0                   1                2                 3                   4 years
|                   |                |                 |                   |
|                   |                |                 |                   |
CF –$1.2 mil        $200,000         $400,000          $600,000        $800,000
 Discount rate = 12%
                   C1         C2              CT
  NPV      C0                         
                 (1 r )1    (1 r ) 2        (1 r ) T
                         200,000 400,000 600,000            800,000
   NPV         1,200,000
                         (1.12)1     (1.12) 2    (1.12) 3   (1.12) 4

         = $232,932




                                     12                 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
Resources of data based on exercisesNo. 2

        Investing $     15.000.000                      Revenue         year 1         $ 4.000.000

Cost,   Year 1      $    2.000.000                      Revenue,        year 2         $ 5.000.000

Cost,   Year 2      $    2.000.000                      Revenue,        year 3         $ 5.000.000

Cost,   Year 3      $    1.500.000                      Revenue,        year 4         $ 5.000.000

Cost,   Year 4      $   1.500.000                       Revenue         year 5         $ 5.000.000
Cost,   Year 5      $   1.500.000                                       Total          $ 24.000.000
        Total       $   23.500.000
                                                        Interest rate            10%

                                                        Assumed first year include investment and
        cash flow   year 1           $     (13.000.000) cost
        cash flow   year 2           $       3.000.000
        cash flow   year 3           $       3.500.000
        cash flow   year 4           $       3.500.000
        cash flow   year 5           $       3.500.000

                    NPV=             $ (2.145.469,45)

                                          13                        RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
What is Payback Period?

Payback Period can be defined as:
     Number of years needed to recover the initial
      cash outlay of a project
Computation
     Estimate the cash flows
     Subtract the future cash flows from the initial
      cost until the initial investment has been
      recovered
Decision Rule – Accept if the payback
 period is less than some preset limit


                         14           RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
Example of Payback

Example:
 Project with an initial cash outlay of $10,000
  Free Cash Flows of $2,500 per year for 6
  years
 Year     Cash Flow        Balance
                            $10,000
  1        $2,500           $7,500
  2        $2,500           $5,000
  3        $2,500           $2,500
  4        $2,500           --------

Payback is 4 years

                     15          RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
References


 Turban, McLean, Wetherbe. Information
  Technology for Management: Transforming
  Organizations in the Digital Economy (4th
  edition)
 Turban, Volonin, Wood. (2012).
  Information Technology for Management,
  8th edition. John Wiley & Sons (Asia) Pte
  Ltd.
 http://www.cwu.edu/
 http://www.passitoncenter.org
 http://business.fullerton.edu

                    16        RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
Thank you




17   RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500

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ROI, NPV and PP

  • 1. ASSALAMU’ALAIKUM INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT ROI, NVP, AND PAYBACK PERIOD Return on Investment, Net Present Value and Payback Period Disajikan Oleh : RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 2. Contents 1. ROI 2. NPV 1. NPV on “Chapter 17, Exercises and Project, No.2” 3. Payback Period 2 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 3. What is ROI? ROI can be defined as:  One of several approaches to building a financial business case (Solution Matrix).  A performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment.  A performance measure to compare the efficiency of different investments.  ROI is a metric that yields some insights into how to improve business results in the future (L. Dombrowski) 3 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 4. Cont...  Another traditional tool for evalating capital investments is return on investment (ROI), which measures the effectiveness of management in generating profits with its available assets. (Turban)  The ROI measure is a percentage, and the higher this percentage return, the better.  It is calculated essentially by dividing net income attributable to a project by the average assets invested in the project. 4 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 5. Simple ROI The benefit (return) of an investment is divided by the cost of the investments. The result is expressed as a percentage or a ratio. This is referred to as “simple ROI”. ROI= Gains from investment – Cost of investment Cost of Investment $700,000 - $500,000 = 40% $500,000 5 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 6. Example of ROI For example, a $1000 investment that earns $50 in interest obviously generates more cash than a $100 investment that earns $20 interest, but the $100 investment earns a higher return. So... 6 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 7. Cont... $1050 $1000 $50 ROI $50 / 1000 5% $1000 $1000 $120 $100 $20 ROI $20 / 100 20% $100 $100 7 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 8. What is NPV? NPV can be defined as:  NPV is one of Capital budgeting analysis uses standard financial models. (Turban)  Net present value is the present value of net cash inflows generated by a project including salvage value, if any, less the initial investment on the project. If NPV > 0, accept If NPV < 0, reject 8 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 9. Cont... Organizations often use net present value (NPV) calculations for cost benefit analyses. In an NPV analysis, analysts convert future values of benefits to their present-value equivalent by discounting them at the organization’s cost of funds. 9 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 10. NPV Formula C1 C2 CT NPV C0  (1 r )1 (1 r ) 2 (1 r ) T  Where,  r is the target rate of return per period;  C0 is the Initial investment.  C1 is the net cash inflow during the first period;  C2 is the net cash inflow during the second period;  C3 is the net cash inflow during the third period, and so on ... 10 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 11. Example of NPV There is an opportunity to invest in a business that will pay $200,000 in one year, $400,000 in two years, $600,000 in three years and $800,000 in four years. It can earn 12% per year compounded annually on a mutual fund that has similar risk. If it costs $1.2 million to start this business, should be invest? So... 11 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 12. Cont... 0 1 2 3 4 years | | | | | | | | | | CF –$1.2 mil $200,000 $400,000 $600,000 $800,000  Discount rate = 12% C1 C2 CT NPV C0  (1 r )1 (1 r ) 2 (1 r ) T 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 NPV 1,200,000 (1.12)1 (1.12) 2 (1.12) 3 (1.12) 4 = $232,932 12 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 13. Resources of data based on exercisesNo. 2 Investing $ 15.000.000 Revenue year 1 $ 4.000.000 Cost, Year 1 $ 2.000.000 Revenue, year 2 $ 5.000.000 Cost, Year 2 $ 2.000.000 Revenue, year 3 $ 5.000.000 Cost, Year 3 $ 1.500.000 Revenue, year 4 $ 5.000.000 Cost, Year 4 $ 1.500.000 Revenue year 5 $ 5.000.000 Cost, Year 5 $ 1.500.000 Total $ 24.000.000 Total $ 23.500.000 Interest rate 10% Assumed first year include investment and cash flow year 1 $ (13.000.000) cost cash flow year 2 $ 3.000.000 cash flow year 3 $ 3.500.000 cash flow year 4 $ 3.500.000 cash flow year 5 $ 3.500.000 NPV= $ (2.145.469,45) 13 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 14. What is Payback Period? Payback Period can be defined as:  Number of years needed to recover the initial cash outlay of a project Computation  Estimate the cash flows  Subtract the future cash flows from the initial cost until the initial investment has been recovered Decision Rule – Accept if the payback period is less than some preset limit 14 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 15. Example of Payback Example:  Project with an initial cash outlay of $10,000 Free Cash Flows of $2,500 per year for 6 years  Year Cash Flow Balance $10,000 1 $2,500 $7,500 2 $2,500 $5,000 3 $2,500 $2,500 4 $2,500 -------- Payback is 4 years 15 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 16. References  Turban, McLean, Wetherbe. Information Technology for Management: Transforming Organizations in the Digital Economy (4th edition)  Turban, Volonin, Wood. (2012). Information Technology for Management, 8th edition. John Wiley & Sons (Asia) Pte Ltd.  http://www.cwu.edu/  http://www.passitoncenter.org  http://business.fullerton.edu 16 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500
  • 17. Thank you 17 RAHMAD KURNIAWAN P68500