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Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Social Housing
Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment Conference
Robert Gardner
27th June 2013
1
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 2
Managing the End Game
Greatest Challenges Facing Pension Funds
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
The Seven Steps to Full Funding
3
Design an efficient
investment strategy
Destination for agile
hedging strategy
Transparency to make
timely decisions
Articulate clear objectives
and constraints
Mission Statement
To help our clients achieve full-funding with the minimum level of risk
CLEAR GOALS &
OBJECTIVES
ACCESS TO LDI
HUB
LIQUID ALPHA & BETA
STRATEGIES
LIQUID & SEMI-LIQUID
CREDIT STRATEGIES
ILLIQUID CREDIT
STRATEGIES
ILLIQUID ALPHA & BETA
STRATEGIES
ONGOING
MONITORING
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 4
LDI 1.0
Liability Immunisation
LDI 2.0
The LDI “Manager”
LDI 3.0
Holistic ALM
Managing the End Game
Integrating Social Housing into your LDI Strategy
Interest rate swaps
Nominal gilts
Inflation swaps
Index-linked gilts
Gilt repo and TRS
Swaptions
Unfunded asset exposures
Corporate linkers
Sophisticated option
overlays
Flight Plan Consistent
Assets
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
Seven Steps to Traditional Asset Classes
5
Step
(2)
LDI
(3)
Liquid α & β
(4)
Semi-Liquid Credit
(5)
Illiquid Credit
(6)
Illiquid α & β
Collateral
Management
Equities Corporate Bonds Infrastructure Debt Insurance-Linked
Hedging Multi Asset
Asset Backed
Securities
Social Housing Debt Private Equity
Active LDI Sovereign Bonds High Yield Direct SME Lending Infrastructure Equity
Gilts Commodities / CTA Leveraged Loans Mezzanine Finance Unlisted Property
Currencies
Emerging Market
Debt
Distressed Debt
Hedge Funds with
Longer Lock-Ups
Liquid Hedge Funds
Commercial Real
Estate Debt
Long Leases /
Ground Rents
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
The Role of Liquid and Illiquid Credit
6
Corporate
Bonds
Direct
Lending
Corporate
Linkers
Infrastructure
Debt / Long
Leases / Social
Housing
Infrastructure Debt / Social Housing
Gilts
Cash
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 7
Secured Leases Social HousingInfrastructure Ground Rents
LDI 3.0
LDI 1.0
LDI 2.0
LDI 1.0
LDI 2.0
Managing the End Game
Integrating Social Housing into your LDI Strategy
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 8
• Access to high-quality, inflation-linked
cash flows offering attractive real yields .
• Accessing such returns in traditional ways
has become increasingly difficult in the
recent market environment.
• Pension funds will also take into account
additional considerations such as the
investment structure and the risk/return
profile of each specific investment.
Benefits for Pension Funds
• Opportunity to access a new and
potentially large source of financing
with a long-term horizon.
Benefits for Housing Associations
Win/Win Opportunity
Managing the End Game
Why Invest in Social Housing?
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
Investing in Illiquid Assets
9
Source: Red Manager Forum Survey
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Social Housing is a form of low cost, rental housing
typically provided by local councils and non-profit
organisations called housing associations.
10
• Housing associations issue inflation-linked debt
secured on a pool of housing units to finance activities
• Interest payments are matched by rental income that is
typically increased yearly at RPI + 0.5% (the legislation
indicates this may change).
• Illiquidity gives rise to a premium return over publicly
traded bonds by the same or similar issuers.
• Enjoys a large degree of government support, with
rental payments often heavily subsidised
• Combines social responsibility with returns
Social Housing investment features
Background
• Traditionally financed by state support and bank loans
• The financial crisis imposed losses and higher capital
requirements on banks, limiting their ability to lend
• The government has proclaimed an era of fiscal
austerity and is reducing spending
• This ‘funding vacuum’ has given pension funds an
opportunity to step in and provide financing
Managing the End Game
Background to Investing in Social Housing
10
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
Investing in Social Housing
11
Pension Fund
Investor
Registered Social
Landlords
Capital
Interest payments
Rent
Payments
(linked to
inflation)
Capital used
to fund and
maintain
social houses
Indicator Private Social
Proportion of household
reference persons (HRP) <
35 yrs old.
50% 20%
Size of sector (number of
households)
2.5 mm 4.0 mm
Mean weekly gross incomes
(HRP + partner)
£493 £247
Mean weekly rent £136 £72
Median length of time in
current residence
1.5yrs 7.8yrs
Proportion of tenants
receiving housing benefit
21% 62%
Proportion of HRPs working
full time
61% 22%
Benefits
Secured Lending
LDI Hedging
Implicit UK government &
regulatory support
Socially responsible investment
Source: Housing in England 2007-08 Report published in Sep-2009 by Communities and Local Government
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
Accessing Social Housing through Pooled Opportunities
12
Range of Assets:
• Social Housing
• Infrastructure
• University Assets
• Commercial Assets
• Ground Rents
Returns Enhancing and Liability Matching Assets (REaLM) Social Housing Fund
Range of Assets:
• Social Housing
Asset/Fund Features:
• Maturity: 20-50+ years
• Inflation linked
• Illiquidity premium
• Typically equity stake
• Higher public sector
exposure
Asset/Fund Features:
• Maturity: 30-40 years
• LPI linked
• Illiquidity premium
• Debt stake
• Focus on Registered
Social Landlords
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 201313
Source: Canaccord Genuity, Redington
Social Housing
Risk and Return Profile
13
Mix of Social Housing Type
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 201314
Social Housing
Regulatory Concerns
14
- Recent political discussion has been erring towards government legislation that will change the inflation linkage of
the rental income from social housing from RPI to CPI. The repercussions of this change are twofold:
• Ratings agencies may decide to downgrade social housing debt.
• Investing in social housing is no longer a direct hedge for pension fund liabilities.
- European legislation has changed the way the government pays grants and provides support in the form of housing
allowance. Instead of paying the Registered Social Landlord (RSL) directly some of the money is now paid to the
tenant. This creates a risk that the money does not reach the housing association and therefore presents a risk to the
borrower.
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y 8RD Telephone : +44 (0) 20 7250 3331 www.redington.co.uk
Contacts
Robert Gardner
Founder & Co-CEO
Telephone: +44 (0) 20 7250 3331
robert.gardner@redington.co.uk
15
THE DESTINATION FOR ASSET & LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
Disclaimer For professional investors only. Not
suitable for private customers.
The information herein was obtained from various
sources. We do not guarantee every aspect of its
accuracy. The information is for your private information
and is for discussion purposes only. A variety of market
factors and assumptions may affect this analysis, and
this analysis does not reflect all possible loss scenarios.
There is no certainty that the parameters and
assumptions used in this analysis can be duplicated with
actual trades. Any historical exchange rates, interest
rates or other reference rates or prices which appear
above are not necessarily indicative of future exchange
rates, interest rates, or other reference rates or prices.
Neither the information, recommendations or opinions
expressed herein constitutes an offer to buy or sell any
securities, futures, options, or investment products on
your behalf. Unless otherwise stated, any pricing
information in this message is indicative only, is subject
to change and is not an offer to transact. Where
relevant, the price quoted is exclusive of tax and
delivery costs. Any reference to the terms of executed
transactions should be treated as preliminary and
subject to further due diligence .
Please note, the accurate calculation of the liability
profile used as the basis for implementing any capital
markets transactions is the sole responsibility of the
Trustees' actuarial advisors. Redington Ltd will estimate
the liabilities if required but will not be held responsible
for any loss or damage howsoever sustained as a result
of inaccuracies in that estimation. Additionally, the client
recognizes that Redington Ltd does not owe any party a
duty of care in this respect.
Redington Ltd are investment consultants regulated by
the Financial Services Authority. We do not advise on
all implications of the transactions described herein.
This information is for discussion purposes and prior to
undertaking any trade, you should also discuss with
your professional tax, accounting and / or other relevant
advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. All
analysis (whether in respect of tax, accounting, law or of
any other nature), should be treated as illustrative only
and not relied upon as accurate.
©Redington Limited 2013. All rights reserved. No
reproduction, copy, transmission or translation in whole
or in part of this presentation may be made without
permission. Application for permission should be made
to Redington Limited at the address below. Redington
Limited (6660006) is registered in England and Wales.
Registered office: 13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y
8RD
http://twitter.com/robertjgardner
http://uk.linkedin.com/in/robertjgardner
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Redington
Get To Know Us Better With Our Publications
16

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Infrastructure Social Housing & Property Investment

  • 1. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 Social Housing Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment Conference Robert Gardner 27th June 2013 1
  • 2. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 2 Managing the End Game Greatest Challenges Facing Pension Funds
  • 3. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 Managing the End Game The Seven Steps to Full Funding 3 Design an efficient investment strategy Destination for agile hedging strategy Transparency to make timely decisions Articulate clear objectives and constraints Mission Statement To help our clients achieve full-funding with the minimum level of risk CLEAR GOALS & OBJECTIVES ACCESS TO LDI HUB LIQUID ALPHA & BETA STRATEGIES LIQUID & SEMI-LIQUID CREDIT STRATEGIES ILLIQUID CREDIT STRATEGIES ILLIQUID ALPHA & BETA STRATEGIES ONGOING MONITORING
  • 4. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 4 LDI 1.0 Liability Immunisation LDI 2.0 The LDI “Manager” LDI 3.0 Holistic ALM Managing the End Game Integrating Social Housing into your LDI Strategy Interest rate swaps Nominal gilts Inflation swaps Index-linked gilts Gilt repo and TRS Swaptions Unfunded asset exposures Corporate linkers Sophisticated option overlays Flight Plan Consistent Assets
  • 5. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 Managing the End Game Seven Steps to Traditional Asset Classes 5 Step (2) LDI (3) Liquid α & β (4) Semi-Liquid Credit (5) Illiquid Credit (6) Illiquid α & β Collateral Management Equities Corporate Bonds Infrastructure Debt Insurance-Linked Hedging Multi Asset Asset Backed Securities Social Housing Debt Private Equity Active LDI Sovereign Bonds High Yield Direct SME Lending Infrastructure Equity Gilts Commodities / CTA Leveraged Loans Mezzanine Finance Unlisted Property Currencies Emerging Market Debt Distressed Debt Hedge Funds with Longer Lock-Ups Liquid Hedge Funds Commercial Real Estate Debt Long Leases / Ground Rents
  • 6. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 Managing the End Game The Role of Liquid and Illiquid Credit 6 Corporate Bonds Direct Lending Corporate Linkers Infrastructure Debt / Long Leases / Social Housing Infrastructure Debt / Social Housing Gilts Cash
  • 7. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 7 Secured Leases Social HousingInfrastructure Ground Rents LDI 3.0 LDI 1.0 LDI 2.0 LDI 1.0 LDI 2.0 Managing the End Game Integrating Social Housing into your LDI Strategy
  • 8. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 8 • Access to high-quality, inflation-linked cash flows offering attractive real yields . • Accessing such returns in traditional ways has become increasingly difficult in the recent market environment. • Pension funds will also take into account additional considerations such as the investment structure and the risk/return profile of each specific investment. Benefits for Pension Funds • Opportunity to access a new and potentially large source of financing with a long-term horizon. Benefits for Housing Associations Win/Win Opportunity Managing the End Game Why Invest in Social Housing?
  • 9. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 Managing the End Game Investing in Illiquid Assets 9 Source: Red Manager Forum Survey
  • 10. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 Social Housing is a form of low cost, rental housing typically provided by local councils and non-profit organisations called housing associations. 10 • Housing associations issue inflation-linked debt secured on a pool of housing units to finance activities • Interest payments are matched by rental income that is typically increased yearly at RPI + 0.5% (the legislation indicates this may change). • Illiquidity gives rise to a premium return over publicly traded bonds by the same or similar issuers. • Enjoys a large degree of government support, with rental payments often heavily subsidised • Combines social responsibility with returns Social Housing investment features Background • Traditionally financed by state support and bank loans • The financial crisis imposed losses and higher capital requirements on banks, limiting their ability to lend • The government has proclaimed an era of fiscal austerity and is reducing spending • This ‘funding vacuum’ has given pension funds an opportunity to step in and provide financing Managing the End Game Background to Investing in Social Housing 10
  • 11. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 Managing the End Game Investing in Social Housing 11 Pension Fund Investor Registered Social Landlords Capital Interest payments Rent Payments (linked to inflation) Capital used to fund and maintain social houses Indicator Private Social Proportion of household reference persons (HRP) < 35 yrs old. 50% 20% Size of sector (number of households) 2.5 mm 4.0 mm Mean weekly gross incomes (HRP + partner) £493 £247 Mean weekly rent £136 £72 Median length of time in current residence 1.5yrs 7.8yrs Proportion of tenants receiving housing benefit 21% 62% Proportion of HRPs working full time 61% 22% Benefits Secured Lending LDI Hedging Implicit UK government & regulatory support Socially responsible investment Source: Housing in England 2007-08 Report published in Sep-2009 by Communities and Local Government
  • 12. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 Managing the End Game Accessing Social Housing through Pooled Opportunities 12 Range of Assets: • Social Housing • Infrastructure • University Assets • Commercial Assets • Ground Rents Returns Enhancing and Liability Matching Assets (REaLM) Social Housing Fund Range of Assets: • Social Housing Asset/Fund Features: • Maturity: 20-50+ years • Inflation linked • Illiquidity premium • Typically equity stake • Higher public sector exposure Asset/Fund Features: • Maturity: 30-40 years • LPI linked • Illiquidity premium • Debt stake • Focus on Registered Social Landlords
  • 13. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 201313 Source: Canaccord Genuity, Redington Social Housing Risk and Return Profile 13 Mix of Social Housing Type
  • 14. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 201314 Social Housing Regulatory Concerns 14 - Recent political discussion has been erring towards government legislation that will change the inflation linkage of the rental income from social housing from RPI to CPI. The repercussions of this change are twofold: • Ratings agencies may decide to downgrade social housing debt. • Investing in social housing is no longer a direct hedge for pension fund liabilities. - European legislation has changed the way the government pays grants and provides support in the form of housing allowance. Instead of paying the Registered Social Landlord (RSL) directly some of the money is now paid to the tenant. This creates a risk that the money does not reach the housing association and therefore presents a risk to the borrower.
  • 15. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y 8RD Telephone : +44 (0) 20 7250 3331 www.redington.co.uk Contacts Robert Gardner Founder & Co-CEO Telephone: +44 (0) 20 7250 3331 robert.gardner@redington.co.uk 15 THE DESTINATION FOR ASSET & LIABILITY MANAGEMENT Disclaimer For professional investors only. Not suitable for private customers. The information herein was obtained from various sources. We do not guarantee every aspect of its accuracy. The information is for your private information and is for discussion purposes only. A variety of market factors and assumptions may affect this analysis, and this analysis does not reflect all possible loss scenarios. There is no certainty that the parameters and assumptions used in this analysis can be duplicated with actual trades. Any historical exchange rates, interest rates or other reference rates or prices which appear above are not necessarily indicative of future exchange rates, interest rates, or other reference rates or prices. Neither the information, recommendations or opinions expressed herein constitutes an offer to buy or sell any securities, futures, options, or investment products on your behalf. Unless otherwise stated, any pricing information in this message is indicative only, is subject to change and is not an offer to transact. Where relevant, the price quoted is exclusive of tax and delivery costs. Any reference to the terms of executed transactions should be treated as preliminary and subject to further due diligence . Please note, the accurate calculation of the liability profile used as the basis for implementing any capital markets transactions is the sole responsibility of the Trustees' actuarial advisors. Redington Ltd will estimate the liabilities if required but will not be held responsible for any loss or damage howsoever sustained as a result of inaccuracies in that estimation. Additionally, the client recognizes that Redington Ltd does not owe any party a duty of care in this respect. Redington Ltd are investment consultants regulated by the Financial Services Authority. We do not advise on all implications of the transactions described herein. This information is for discussion purposes and prior to undertaking any trade, you should also discuss with your professional tax, accounting and / or other relevant advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. All analysis (whether in respect of tax, accounting, law or of any other nature), should be treated as illustrative only and not relied upon as accurate. ©Redington Limited 2013. All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy, transmission or translation in whole or in part of this presentation may be made without permission. Application for permission should be made to Redington Limited at the address below. Redington Limited (6660006) is registered in England and Wales. Registered office: 13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y 8RD http://twitter.com/robertjgardner http://uk.linkedin.com/in/robertjgardner
  • 16. Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 Redington Get To Know Us Better With Our Publications 16