SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  21
1
MOUNTAINS OF
THE MIND
Pension Funds’ Greatest Challenges in 2013
2
At the end of March 2013, according to the Pension Protection Fund’s 7800 index, the aggregate deficit of
the 6,316 comprising funds was £236.6 billion. Over 80% of those in the index were underfunded with the
average funding ratio at 82.6%.
The futures of these pension funds and the well being of their members rests firmly on the decisions of a
few: what trustees feel are the key challenges facing UK defined benefit pension funds in the near future
(3-5yrs) and over the longer time horizon (10-20yrs), will define the actions they take and the condition of
the pension funds they manage. Similarly, the views and opinions of those advising and working with
trustees will affect the decisions they take; sponsors, advisors, pensions managers and members of
in-house pensions teams all play a vital role in shaping the future of pensions. In March 2013, Redington
created an online survey to collect said views and opinions.
This report collates the subsequent responses of these influential individuals, as well as investment banks,
fund managers, media players, academics and other solutions providers to pension funds, to the question
of what the key challenges of the pensions industry are right now, and what factors they see becoming so in
the future. At the end of the report, challenges we feel are significant to pension funds, but were not listed
by the respondents, are also noted.
The results in this report are based on an online survey completed in March 2013, and comprise the
answers from 88 respondents covering influential pensions roles:
Each respondent was asked to list the top three challenges in each of four categories over two time
horizons. That is, 24 answers were required from each respondent in total:
•	 	 Strategic Challenges (Top 3 challenges over the medium and over the long term)
•	 	 Financial and Economic Challenges (Top 3 challenges over the medium and over the long term)
•	 	 Political and Regulatory Challenges (Top 3 challenges over the medium and over the long term)
•	 	 Operational Challenges (Top 3 challenges over the medium and over the long term)
The survey allowed open responses rather than selection of pre-set options, so similar descriptions have
been grouped into themes and described in the summary (8). There was no weighting of the answer order,
all three responses were considered similarly important. Results for each category on each time horizon
have been shown in two main graphs:
•	 	 Graph 1. Based on total respondents, challenges listed shown as a percentage of total responses
•	 	 Graph 2. Based on responses from trustees, corporate sponsor, pensions managers and advisors
only. Votes to each challenge split by relative votes of respondents within each member group.
About This Report
3
About this report ...............................................................................2
Contents ............................................................................................3
Introduction .......................................................................................4
Executive Summary ..........................................................................5
Summary............................................................................................8
Key Challenge Descriptions .............................................................8
Summary of Responses ..................................................................10
Spotlight: Where Trustees and Sponsors Diverge .........................12
Below the Radar ..............................................................................14
Contacts ...........................................................................................15
Contents
4
Introduction
Robert Gardner
Co-CEO | Co-Founder
Pensions has always been a tricky business. But perhaps never more so than in 2013. The regulation
changes of the early 2000’s rewrote the rulebook for those running pension funds, and a survey of the key
challenges of that time would have produced, it seems logical to assume, a set of concerns about
changing regulations, accounting issues that accompany them, and governance.
Today, the landscape has changed. Pension funds, on the whole, got to grips with those systemic changes
in pension infrastructure only to be faced, in 2008 onwards, with the greatest seismic economic shift of
our lifetimes. It wasn’t just that markets plummeted and equities didn’t turn out to be the knight in shining
armour pension funds had hoped and planned they would be; it was that the very foundations of modern
economic markets changed. Everything we thought we knew about risk, return and the relationship
between the two, was called into question. Now, in 2013, we are all still acclimatising to our new normal.
For those managing pension funds and guarding the well-being of their members’ retirement pots, the last
five years have been no easy ride. The actions they have taken and will continue to take will determine the
well-being of our ageing population, and the challenges they perceive as the greatest ones will shape those
actions. This report collates the answers to a survey that asks the pensions industry – those actively
running pension funds as well as those advising and providing services to them – what they consider the
greatest challenges they face today, in the medium and longer terms, in the categories of Strategic
challenges, Financial and Economic challenges, Political and Regulatory challenges and Operational ones.
Each respondent listed the top three challenges in each of these categories as they saw it, and thereby
provided a rare and candid insight into those items that occupy the tops of their agendas.
This report provides a glimpse into the minds of those influential people in the UK who hold the well-being
of the retiring population in their hands. I hope you find it interesting and informative, and that, if you are
so inclined, you will use the contact details at the back of this report to reach out to us and continue the
conversation. Above all, we hope this report acts as a conversation-starter within pensions, and that you,
the reader, will use it to engage with others in the industry to question, analyse and discuss the challenges
reported herein.
“it’s not been the strongest of the
species to survive, but the most
adaptive to change.” Darwin
5
Executive Summary
Medium-term Risk Radar (3-5yr)
This section provides a summary of all the survey’s results, shown as two Risk Radars which illustrate the
greatest challenges respondents identified in each of the four categories. The first radar displays the chal-
lenges respondents identified in the medium term (3-5 years), and the second radar displays those listed in
the longer term (10-20 years).
Each dot represents a challenge, and the size and position of the dot simultaneously signifies the total
relative votes by respondents. The larger and closer the dot to the centre, the more times the challenge was
mentioned by respondents.
STRATEGIC
CHALLENGES
RISK
FACTOR
FINANCIAL &
ECONOMIC
CHALLENGES
POLITICAL &
REGULATORY
CHALLENGES
OPERATIONAL
CHALLENGES
%
6
Long-term Risk Radar (10-20yr)
STRATEGIC
CHALLENGES
RISK
FACTOR
FINANCIAL &
ECONOMIC
CHALLENGES
POLITICAL &
REGULATORY
CHALLENGES
OPERATIONAL
CHALLENGES
%
Wherever you see these icons throughout this report
you can click on them to bring you back to our
medium and long term Risk Radars.
7
Key Challenge Descriptions
This section describes some of the key challenges mentioned
by respondents and provides a summary description of why it
is categorised as such.
INTEREST RATES / INFLATION
EUROZONE CRISIS
SPONSOR AND/OR BALANCE SHEET
For the majority of funds, exposure to real yields (falling interest rates and rising inflation) represents the
single largest source of risk. With real yields plunging relentlessly lower in recent years, funds that have
opted not to hedge this risk face the dilemma of whether to do so now and lock in at current levels or to
continue to expose their funds to further volatility. Some commentators are predicting a great rotation from
bonds back into equities and a reversion of yields back to historical “norms”. However, the prospect of
financial repression, where governments deliberately target low or negative real yields to reduce their debt
burdens, presents a particularly compelling counter argument. As one US researcher recently noted, an
average negative real yield of 2% over the next 20 years would reduce debt to GDP from 100% to a
manageable 60%. Even if rates do nothing, pension funds face the time-decay effects of rolldown and
carry, which become another strong argument for hedging interest rate risk no matter what.
http://bit.ly/Yt35HP
http://bit.ly/18hoKH8
The Eurozone debt crisis has settled into an uneasy calm since Mario Draghi’s pledge to do “whatever it
takes” to save the single currency. Nevertheless, the toxic combination of high debt burdens, low
competitiveness, non-existent growth, and the absence of a long-term political solution to the crisis means
that it remains the dominant macroeconomic tail risk for financial markets (and therefore a key driver of
pension fund asset returns in the short to medium-term). The crisis also presents more direct risks for UK
pension funds with the prospect of further safe haven demand driving down gilt yields.
New accounting and regulatory requirements have rendered pension funds an increasingly visible part
of corporate financial statements, with investors and credit rating agencies now far more attuned to the
relationship between pension funds and wider balance sheet volatility. At the same time, rising pension
fund deficits have forced sponsors to divert scarce cash into the pension fund, reducing free cash flow and
withholding potential dividends for shareholders. From the Trustee’s perspective, the ability and willingness
of the sponsor to support the fund on an ongoing basis remains key to determining the risk appetite and
setting the long-term investment strategy.
Scan this QR code with your smart phone or
click on the hyperlink below for a direct link to:
REDVIEWS
Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click on
the hyperlink below for a direct link to:
PENSION RISK TO THE
CORPORATE SPONSOR
8
http://bit.ly/182zD20
http://bit.ly/WuCZ2y
FUNDING MANAGEMENT
REGULATION / POLITICS
INVESTMENT RETURNS
In negotiating any deficit recovery plan, sponsors and trustees must strike the optimal balance between
cash contributions from the company and reliance on investment returns. Set contributions too high, and
pension funds and sponsors risk diverting cash that could have been used to grow the business into the
pension fund, ultimately weakening the company (and therefore the sponsor covenant). Set contributions
too low and expected returns too high, and the fund becomes reliant on an overly risky investment strategy,
potentially resulting in much higher deficit contributions in future years. Some sponsors and their funds
have squared this circle by agreeing innovative non-cash funding strategies whereby the company provides
the fund with secure or collateralised assets while retaining cash for investment in the business.
In January, the Consumer Price Advisory Committee (CPAC) announced, following months of speculation to the
contrary, that it would maintain the existing approach for calculating RPI inflation rather than align the measure
with CPI inflation. The move resulted in a sharp upward move in market inflation and a corresponding increase
in UK pension liabilities. Two months later, UK Chancellor George Osborne announced that the government had
rejected a proposal to allow smoothing in the valuation of pension assets and liabilities, a move that could have
allowed some companies to sharply reduce deficit contributions. These “moving goalposts” erode the trust that
the government and regulators have funds’ or members’
wellbeing at heart. Ongoing developments emphasise that political and regulatory uncertainty will remain a
key challenge for pension funds in the years ahead.
With major central banks committed to keeping interest rates low for the foreseeable future, investors have
been encouraged to “reach for yield”, driving down returns on riskier fixed income (such as high yield) to
near historic lows. Equities no longer appear the obvious solution: in a recent study, researchers at London
Business School revised down their estimate of the historical equity risk premium to a meagre 3.0%-3.5%,
reflecting poor performance over the past decade and more accurate adjustment for “survivorship bias”.
Given the bleak outlook for conventional asset classes, pension funds have shown increasing interest in a
range of illiquid alternatives that offer a rare combination of secure and attractive real returns (for example,
infrastructure debt).
Governance bandwidth is a perennial challenge for UK pension funds. In recent years, the already limited
resources of trustee boards and investment committees have been further strained by an increasingly wide
and complex array of available asset classes and strategies, as well as greater volatility in financial markets
more generally. This makes it ever more important for funds to have in place clear strategic framework to
evaluate opportunities against the fund’s objectives and to focus governance resources on the areas of
greatest potential value add to the fund. Those funds that have spent time and resource in building a robust
governance framework have been repaid handsomely.
GOVERNANCE / DECISION-MAKING
Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click
on the hyperlink below for a direct link to:
Journal #33 (The Pensions Risk Managment
Framework)
Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click
on the hyperlink below for a direct link to:
RED-BLOG
ESTIMATING THE EQUITY RISK PREMIUM
9
CONFLICTS WITH AGENTS
DEATH OF DB
MANAGING THE END GAME
RISK MANAGEMENT
EMPLOYEE BENEFIT
Good help can be hard to find. There are those who believe they are receiving “poor advice from consult-
ants” and others that feel there may be a “misalignment between the objectives of the trustees with their
agents”. However, while funds battle service costs and drive to push for lower management and advisory
fees, this begs the question: can one expect the best service from the lowest bidder? Pension funds
continue to fight this battle of needing good advice like never before, but needing the costs to be
manageable and, perhaps, linked to performance of the pension fund.
Members of Generation Y would be lucky to get into a defined benefit fund (if they are even offered a job
first). Final Salary funds are no longer widely viewed as an effective reward tool to attract and retain top
talent. While some believe the challenge lies in “making people understand pensions are affordable”, others
believe the legacy is “just a burden to be managed”. In the face of closing funds, maturing membership and
negative cashflows, the challenge lies in managing ways to meet the liabilities as funds walk the green mile.
In managing the transition to the End Game, funds face a complex marketplace of solutions ranging from
longevity swaps to synthetic “buy-ins” to full buy-out. However, some respondents ask a more fundamental
question: “what is the end game”? The finishing line lies at buy-out for some pension funds, and in self suf-
ficiency – meeting benefit payments without reliance on investment returns or sponsor contributions – for
others. The challenge rests in managing the fund’s journey to arriving at their respective destinations.
Pension funds face a myriad of risks and hurdles; first to full funding and then at full funding. Some risks
are rewarded (assets), some are unrewarded (interest rate and inflation), and pension funds are having to
devise increasingly complex strategies to address these risks. And then there are operational (governance)
risks too. Finally, risk management is not unidirectional: funds should have an effective framework to
re-risk, as necessary, in response to funding level declines.
As an employee benefit and reward tool, it is important to ensure “members appreciate the value of the
benefit” defined within defined benefits. Between “demands for higher payouts” and “integration with
non-equal benefits needed for employee recruitment”, funds face the challenge of “changing or lowering
member expectations should present promises prove unsustainable due to changed economic and demo-
graphic circumstances”.
SUMMARY OF RESPONSES
Many of the risks described above were chosen as respondents’ top three risks in each of the four
categories over the medium and longer terms. Below is a summary of responses for the greatest risks
within each of the four categories of challenges: Strategic challenges, Financial and Economic challenges,
Political and Regulatory challenges and Operational ones.
Results for each category on each time horizon have been shown in two main graphs:
•	 	 Graph 1. Based on total respondents, challenges listed shown as a percentage of total responses
•	 	 Graph 2. Based on responses from trustees, corporate sponsors, pensions managers and advisors
only. Votes to each challenge split by relative votes of respondents within each member group.
“Not my problem, I hope to have
retired or died” Respondent Quote
10
Graph 2. Top Strategic Challenges by Member Group - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
Sponsor	
  and	
  Balance	
  
Sheet	
  
Funding	
   Regula;on	
  &	
  Poli;cs	
   Investment	
  Returns	
  
and	
  the	
  Economy	
  
Interest	
  Rates	
   Risk	
  Management	
   Death	
  of	
  DB	
   Managing	
  the	
  End	
  
Game	
  
Conflicts	
  with	
  Agents	
   Governance	
  and	
  
Decision	
  Making	
  
Employee	
  Benefit	
  
Trustees	
   Sponsor	
   Advisor	
   Pensions	
  Manager	
  
18%	
  
14%	
  
11%	
   11%	
  
9%	
  
7%	
   7%	
   7%	
  
6%	
  
5%	
  
3%	
  
0%	
  
2%	
  
4%	
  
6%	
  
8%	
  
10%	
  
12%	
  
14%	
  
16%	
  
18%	
  
20%	
  
Sponsor	
  and	
  
Balance	
  
Sheet	
  
Funding	
   Governance	
  
and	
  Decision	
  
Making	
  
Investment	
  
Returns	
  and	
  
the	
  Economy	
  
Death	
  of	
  DB	
   Risk	
  
Management	
  
Interest	
  
Rates	
  
RegulaJon	
  &	
  
PoliJcs	
  
Managing	
  
the	
  End	
  
Game	
  
Employee	
  
Benefit	
  
Conflicts	
  
with	
  Agents	
  
Strategic	
  Challenges	
  (3-­‐5yr)	
  
Graph 1. Top Strategic Challenges by Total Votes - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
Respondents identified Sponsor and Balance Sheet related issues as their number one medium-term
challenge (18%) closely followed by Funding issues (14%) Governance (11%) and Investment Returns (11%).
Surprisingly, Risk Management (7%) appears relatively low on the medium-term agenda for respondents.
The majority of respondents identified the Sponsor and it’s Balance Sheet as the main concern in the
medium-term. Trustees also listed Funding as a key issue while Sponsors, Advisors and Pensions Managers
collectively listed Governance and Decision Making.
Over a longer-term horizon, Managing the End Game (29%) is unsurprisingly viewed as the dominant
concern. The Sponsor and its Balance Sheet remains a key issue (15%) while Funding follows once more in
third place (11%).
29%	
  
15%	
  
11%	
  
8%	
   8%	
   8%	
   7%	
   6%	
  
4%	
   2%	
   1%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
Managing	
  the	
  
End	
  Game	
  
Sponsor	
  and	
  
Balance	
  Sheet	
  
Funding	
   Investment	
  
Returns	
  and	
  
the	
  Economy	
  
Death	
  of	
  DB	
   Interest	
  Rates	
   RegulaHon	
  &	
  
PoliHcs	
  
Governance	
   Employee	
  
Benefit	
  
Risk	
  
Management	
  
Conflicts	
  with	
  
Agents	
  
Strategic	
  Challenges	
  (10-­‐20yr)	
  
STRATEGIC
CHALLENGES
Graph 3. Top Strategic Challenges by Total Votes - Long-Term (10-20yr)
11
Graph 4. Top Strategic Challenges by Member Group - Long-Term (10-20yr)
Similarly, the majority of the groups believe Managing the End Game is the main concern in the long-term.
While the Sponsor and it’s Balance Sheet remains a top concern for Trustees, Sponsors on the other hand
are more concerned about the Death of DB and the challenges associated with structural changes as funds
close.
Respondents identified Investment Returns (26%) and Deficit Funding (26%) as the joint top financial and
economic challenges over the next 3-5 years, followed by Interest Rates (18%). This may suggest that the
emphasis is now on strategies to close funding deficits rather than de-risking to avoid further volatility.
“Is the market big enough to cope if
all private sector DB funds try to wind
up?” Respondent Quote
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Managing	
  the	
  
End	
  Game	
  
Sponsor	
  and	
  
Balance	
  Sheet	
  
Funding	
   Interest	
  Rates	
   Investment	
  
Returns	
  and	
  the	
  
Economy	
  
RegulaCon	
  &	
  
PoliCcs	
  
Death	
  of	
  DB	
   Governance	
   Risk	
  
Management	
  
Employee	
  
Benefit	
  
Conflicts	
  with	
  
Agents	
  
Trustees	
   Sponsor	
   Advisor	
   Pensions	
  Manager	
  
FINANCIAL AND
ECONOMIC
26%	
   26%	
  
18%	
  
14%	
  
9%	
  
7%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
Deficit	
  Funding	
  /	
  
Management	
  
Returns	
   Interest	
  Rates	
  &	
  
Infla@on	
  
Eurozone	
  &	
  UK	
  
Growth	
  
Sponsor	
  
Solvency	
  
Economic	
  Policy	
  
Financial	
  and	
  Economic	
  Challenges	
  (3-­‐5yr)	
  
Graph 5. Top Financial & Economic Challenges by Total Votes - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
12
21%	
  
19%	
   19%	
  
13%	
  
12%	
  
10%	
  
4%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
Deficit	
  Funding	
  /	
  
Management	
  
Returns	
   Eurozone	
  &	
  Global	
  
Growth	
  
Interest	
  Rates	
  &	
  InflaFon	
   Longevity	
  and	
  Buy-­‐out	
   Sponsor	
  Solvency	
   Economic	
  Policy	
  
Financial	
  and	
  Economic	
  Challenges	
  (10-­‐20yr)	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
Returns	
   Eurozone	
  &	
  Global	
  
Growth	
  
Interest	
  Rates	
  &	
  Infla;on	
   Longevity	
  and	
  Buy-­‐out	
   Deficit	
  Funding	
  /	
  
Management	
  
Sponsor	
  Solvency	
   Economic	
  Policy	
  
Trustees	
   Sponsor	
   Advisor	
   Pensions	
  Manager	
  
Graph 6. Top Financial and Economic Challenges by Member Group - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
Graph 7. Top Financial and Economic Challenges by Total Votes - Long-Term (10-20yr)
Graph 8. Top Financial and Economic Challenges by Member Group - Long-Term (10-20yr)
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Deficit	
  Funding	
  /	
  
Management	
  
Returns	
   Eurozone	
  &	
  UK	
  Growth	
   Interest	
  Rates	
  &	
  
InflaFon	
  
Sponsor	
  Solvency	
   Economic	
  Policy	
  
Trustees	
   Sponsor	
   Advisor	
   Pensions	
  Manager	
  
Collectively, the group consensus on the key Financial and Economic challenge appears to be Deficit
Funding / Management. However, more specifically, advisors listed Returns as the top challenge faced by
funds.
Over the long-term, respondents were more evenly balanced in their distribution of challenges with
Deficit Funding (21%), Investment Returns (19%) and the Eurozone Crisis/Global Growth (19%) still
featuring strongly while interest rates and inflation (13%) still remain a concern.
Sponsors, Advisors and Pensions Managers maintain that Deficit Funding / Management is the top
challenge facing funds, while trustees cite Returns as the top challenge in the long-term. Trustees and advi-
sors broadly agree on the level of significance of the challenges posed by the Eurozone and Global Growth
and Economic Policy, while these did not register at all with Sponsors and Pensions Managers.
13
29%	
  
20%	
  
17%	
  
10%	
   10%	
  
6%	
   6%	
  
2%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
Valua-on	
  and	
  
Repor-ng	
  	
  
Regulatory	
  
Burden	
  
Capital	
  
Requirements	
  
Uncertain	
  /	
  
Unfair	
  Poli-cal	
  
Interferance	
  
The	
  Pension	
  
Protec-on	
  Fund	
  
Monetary	
  Policy	
   Central	
  Clearing	
   The	
  Pensions	
  
Regulator	
  
Poli,cal	
  and	
  Regulatory	
  Challenges	
  (3-­‐5yr)	
  
Graph 10. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Member Group - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
Respondents identified Valuation and Reporting (29%) as the number one medium-term political/regulatory
risk, perhaps reflecting concern about upcoming triennial valuations. Regulatory Burden (20%) and Capital
Requirements (17%) were identified as the next greatest challenges.
“Trying to prevent the TPR from
being any more painful and
unhelpful” Respondent Quote
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Valua-on	
  and	
  
Repor-ng	
  	
  
Capital	
  
Requirements	
  
Regulatory	
  Burden	
   Uncertain	
  /	
  Unfair	
  
Poli-cal	
  
Interferance	
  
The	
  Pension	
  
Protec-on	
  Fund	
  
Central	
  Clearing	
   The	
  Pensions	
  
Regulator	
  
Monetary	
  Policy	
  
Trustees	
   Sponsor	
   Advisor	
   Pensions	
  Manager	
  
Graph 9. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Total Votes - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
POLITICAL AND
REGULATORY CHALLENGES
Sponsors see the implications associated with Capital Requirements as the top Political and Regulatory
challenge to their funds in the medium-term, while Trustees, Advisors and Pensions Managers together
believe Valuation and Reporting will be the biggest challenge. Collectively, all member groups agree that
Regulatory Burden in general will be a key challenge for pension funds.
Unsurprisingly given the recent debate around smoothing of liabilities and potential changes to RPI
inflation, respondents identified Uncertain or Unfair Political Influence (37%) as the key long-term
political and regulatory challenge. Also featuring strongly was the Death of DB funds (17%), Regulatory
Burden (15%) and Capital Requirements (15%).
14
27%	
  
17%	
  
14%	
   13%	
   13%	
  
9%	
  
5%	
  
2%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
Governance	
  and	
  
decision	
  making	
  
Costs	
  &	
  Efficiency	
   Admin	
   Regulatory	
  Burden	
   Strategy	
  
ImplementaEon	
  
and	
  Monitoring	
  
Lack	
  of	
  Quality	
  
Providers	
  
Auto-­‐Enrolment	
   Member	
  
CommunicaEon	
  
Opera,onal	
  Challenges	
  (3-­‐5yr)	
  
37%	
  
17%	
  
15%	
   15%	
  
8%	
  
3%	
  
2%	
   2%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Uncertain	
  /	
  Unfair	
  
Poli7cal	
  Interference	
  
Death	
  of	
  DB	
   Capital	
  Requirements	
   Regulatory	
  Burden	
   Who	
  knows?	
   The	
  Pensions	
  
Regulator	
  
Monetary	
  Policy	
   The	
  Pension	
  
Protec7on	
  Fund	
  
Poli+cal	
  and	
  Regulatory	
  Challenges	
  (10-­‐20yr)	
  
The member groups agree that Uncertain / Unfair Political Interference poses the greatest challenge in the
long-term. In a similar response to Strategic challenges, sponsors view the implications associated with the
Death of DB funds as a key challenge. Regulatory entities in the industry also feature as a challenge:
some trustees believe The Pension Protection Fund will be a long-term issue, some advisors are looking
more pointedly at The Pensions Regulator.
Graph 11. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Total Votes - Long-Term (10-20yr)
Graph 12. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Member Group - Long-Term (10-20yr)
Graph 13. Top Operational Challenges by Total Votes - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Managing	
  the	
  
End	
  Game	
  
Sponsor	
  and	
  
Balance	
  Sheet	
  
Funding	
   Interest	
  Rates	
   Investment	
  
Returns	
  and	
  the	
  
Economy	
  
RegulaCon	
  &	
  
PoliCcs	
  
Death	
  of	
  DB	
   Governance	
   Risk	
  
Management	
  
Employee	
  
Benefit	
  
Conflicts	
  with	
  
Agents	
  
Trustees	
   Sponsor	
   Advisor	
   Pensions	
  Manager	
  
Governance (27%) is viewed as the key medium-term operational challenge facing funds as trustees grapple
with the question of how to spread scare resource across an ever more complex investment environment.
Costs and Efficiency (17%) and Administration (14%) are viewed as the next most significant challenges in
this category.
“Most overestimate their ability to
manage complexity” Respondent Quote
OPERATIONAL
CHALLENGES
15
30%	
  
16%	
  
11%	
   11%	
   11%	
   11%	
  
4%	
   4%	
  
2%	
   2%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
Governance	
  and	
  
decision	
  making	
  
Admin	
   Costs	
  &	
  Efficiency	
   Wind-­‐up	
  and	
  
declining	
  
membership	
  
Strategy	
  
ImplementaGon	
  
and	
  Monitoring	
  
Technology	
  and	
  
member	
  
engagement	
  
Regulatory	
  Burden	
   Who	
  knows?	
   Auto-­‐Enrollment	
   Lack	
  of	
  Quality	
  
Providers	
  
Opera,onal	
  Challenges	
  (10-­‐20yr)	
  
Sponsor concerns over operational challenges were fairly evenly spread across those listed. Trustees
distinctly view Governance and Decision Making as the key challenge, while pension managers discernibly
regard Costs and Efficiency as a key matter. Together, pension managers and trustees were the only groups
who listed Member Communication.
The picture is similar over the longer-term, with Governance (30%) listed as the primary burden, following
which concerns were more evenly distributed across Administration (16%), Costs and Efficiency (11%),
Strategy Implementation and Monitoring (11%),Technology and Member engagement (11%) and Wind-Up
and Declining Membership (11%), the latter of which is a new concern.
Graph 14. Top Operational Challenges by Member Group - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
Graph 15. Top Operational Challenges by Total Votes - Long-Term (10-20yr)
Graph 16. Top Operational Challenges by Member Group - Long-Term (10-20yr)
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Governance	
  and	
  
decision	
  making	
  
Admin	
   Regulatory	
  Burden	
   Lack	
  of	
  Quality	
  
Providers	
  
Strategy	
  
ImplementaEon	
  
and	
  Monitoring	
  
Costs	
  &	
  Efficiency	
   Auto-­‐Enrolment	
   Member	
  
CommunicaEon	
  
Trustees	
   Sponsor	
   Advisor	
   Pensions	
  Manager	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
45%	
  
Governance	
  and	
  
decision	
  making	
  
Admin	
   Wind-­‐up	
  and	
  
declining	
  
membership	
  
Technology	
  and	
  
member	
  
engagement	
  
Costs	
  &	
  Efficiency	
   Lack	
  of	
  Quality	
  
Providers	
  
Who	
  knows?	
   Strategy	
  
ImplementaNon	
  and	
  
Monitoring	
  
Auto-­‐Enrollment	
   Regulatory	
  Burden	
  
Trustees	
   Sponsor	
   Advisor	
   Pensions	
  Manager	
  
The concerns appear fairly similar across the listed challenges, although trustees do not appear to view
Strategy Implementation and Monitoring as a long-term concern. Collectively, the groups show similar
levels of interest in Wind-Up and Declining Membership and Technology and Member Engagement.
Some trustees and advisors pragmatically suggest, “Who Knows?”
16
25%	
  
22%	
  
11%	
  
13%	
   13%	
   13%	
   13%	
   13%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
Sponsor	
  and	
  Balance	
  
Sheet	
  
Funding	
   Regula;on	
  &	
  Poli;cs	
   Risk	
  Management	
   Governance	
  and	
  
Decision	
  Making	
  
Conflicts	
  with	
  
Agents	
  
Sponsor	
  and	
  Balance	
  
Sheet	
  
Trustee	
   Sponsor	
  
31%	
   31%	
  
12%	
   12%	
  
36%	
  
27%	
  
18%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Managing	
  the	
  End	
  
Game	
  
Sponsor	
  and	
  Balance	
  
Sheet	
  
Funding	
   Interest	
  Rates	
   Death	
  of	
  DB	
   Governance	
  
Trustee	
   Sponsor	
  
Graph 18. Top Strategic Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors – Long-Term (10-20yr)
Graph 19. Top Financial and Economic Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Medium-Term
(3-5yr)
Graph 17. Top Strategic Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
25%	
  
20%	
   20%	
  
36%	
  
14%	
   14%	
   14%	
   14%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Deficit	
  Funding	
  /	
  Management	
   Returns	
   Eurozone	
  &	
  UK	
  Growth	
   Interest	
  Rates	
  &	
  InflaGon	
   Sponsor	
  Solvency	
  
Trustee	
   Sponsor	
  
STRATEGIC
CHALLENGES
FINANCIAL AND
ECONOMIC CHALLENGES
17
41%	
  
18%	
  
12%	
   12%	
   12%	
  
30%	
  
20%	
  
40%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
45%	
  
Uncertain	
  /	
  Unfair	
  Poli7cal	
  
Interference	
  
Capital	
  Requirements	
   Death	
  of	
  DB	
   Regulatory	
  Burden	
   Who	
  knows?	
  
Trustee	
   Sponsor	
  
29%	
  
24%	
  
18%	
  
22%	
  
33%	
  
22%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
Returns	
   Eurozone	
  &	
  Global	
  Growth	
   Interest	
  Rates	
  &	
  Infla>on	
   Deficit	
  Funding	
  /	
  
Management	
  
Longevity	
  and	
  Buy-­‐out	
  
Trustee	
   Sponsor	
  
Graph 20. Top Financial and Economic Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Long-Term (10-
20yr)
Graph 21. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Medium-Term (3-
5yr)
Graph 22. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Long-Term (10-
20yr)
36%	
  
18%	
   18%	
  
36%	
  
21%	
  
14%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Valua/on	
  and	
  Repor/ng	
  	
   Capital	
  Requirements	
   Regulatory	
  Burden	
   Monetary	
  Policy	
  
Trustee	
   Sponsor	
  
POLITICAL AND REGULATORY
CHALLENGES
18
38%	
  
19%	
  
13%	
   13%	
  
40%	
  
10%	
   10%	
   10%	
  
20%	
  
10%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
45%	
  
Governance	
  and	
  decision	
  
making	
  
Admin	
   Wind-­‐up	
  and	
  declining	
  
membership	
  
Technology	
  and	
  member	
  
engagement	
  
Strategy	
  ImplementaFon	
  
and	
  Monitoring	
  
Costs	
  &	
  Efficiency	
  
Trustee	
   Sponsor	
  
Graph 23. Top Operational Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
Graph 24. Top Operational Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Long-Term (10-20yr)
38%	
  
16%	
  
13%	
  
23%	
  
15%	
   15%	
   15%	
   15%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Governance	
  and	
  
decision	
  making	
  
Admin	
   Regulatory	
  Burden	
   Lack	
  of	
  Quality	
  
Providers	
  
Costs	
  &	
  Efficiency	
   Strategy	
  
ImplementaKon	
  and	
  
Monitoring	
  
Trustee	
   Sponsor	
  
OPERATIONAL
CHALLENGES
19
The results of the survey, illustrated and discussed in the previous pages, provide a rare insight into the
key challenges that those running pension funds currently face, or perceive that they face. As investment
consultants, however, we at Redington see a slightly different perspective. Some key challenges that we
expected would feature strongly in the survey results, did not. We have identified, in the course of our work
with a range of clients representing over £270bn in assets and eleven of the largest 30 UK pension funds,
some more challenges that we stand with our clients to face and that, we believe, might be some of the
most important and serious ones on the horizon. A summary of those key challenges are described below
for consideration and debate.
STRATEGIC: ROLL DOWN AND CARRY
Roll down and carry presents a more subtle – and perhaps less appreciated - variation on the interest rate
challenge. This is the impact on pension fund liabilities assuming nothing changes except for the
passage of time. The current interest rate curve is upward sloping because the market expects rates to
rise in the future. These expectations are similarly reflected in the valuation of pension liabilities. Given the
current shape of the curve, this means that a typical pension fund liability profile can be expected to grow
by around 2.5% per year if interest rates merely remain unchanged. This presents an interesting twist for
funds unwilling to hedge because they view today’s low rates as unattractive: can they afford to the pay the
price if the expected rise in rates fails to materialise?
FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC: REINVESTMENT RISK
For well funded funds nearing the End Game, high quality credit allocations can form a key part of the
portfolio. These allocations offer a relatively secure return over Gilts while also providing predictable cash
flows to help meet benefit payments. For funds in this position, falling credit spreads (and the associated
risk that coupon payments will be reinvested at lower rates of return) can present a significant challenge to
their funding objectives.
POLITICAL AND REGULATORY: CENTRAL CLEARING
New 2013 OTC derivative regulations present complex challenges for UK pension funds. Should existing
swaps be kept out or moved to central clearing? Should funds make use of the 2015 / 2018 exemption for
new trades or move to clearing immediately? How funds respond to these questions will have important
implications for areas like counterparty credit risk, collateral efficiency, eligible collateral and, ultimately,
the strategic asset allocation. As the impact will vary depending on fund’s unique circumstances, a careful
cost/benefit assessment, soon, is crucial.
OPERATIONAL: LIQUIDITY
While pension funds have the benefit over other institutional investors of being able to take advantage
of longer investment horizons, liquidity is nevertheless a key operational challenge. Funds need to retain
enough cash both to pay benefits as they fall due and meet potential margin calls on derivative positions.
As this can have important implications for the investment strategy, careful monitoring and stress testing is
essential.
Below the Radar
http://bit.ly/16NvAHh
http://bit.ly/Yt35HP
Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click
on the hyperlink below for a direct link to:
REDVIEWS
Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click
on the hyperlink below for a direct link to:
REDVIEWS
20
Robert.Gardner@redington.co.uk
02072503416
twitter.com/robertjgardner
Alice Cheung
Investment Consulting | Associate
Alex Lindenberg
Investment Consulting | Analyst
Mackenzie Nordal
Communication
Contacts
Disclaimer
Robert Gardner
Co-CEO & Co Founder
Alice.Cheung@redington.co.uk
02033267103
http://uk.linkedin.com/pub/alice-cheung/22/a12/457
Alex.Lindenberg@redington.co.uk
02033267114
Mackenzie.Nordal@redington.co.uk
twitter.com/mackenzienordal
http://www.linkedin.com/in/mackenzienordal
This report is for investment professionals only and is for discussion purposes only. This report is based on data/information available
to Redington Limited at the date of the report and takes no account of subsequent developments after that date. It may not be copied
modified or provided by you, the Recipient, to any other party without Redington Limited’s prior written permission. It may also not be
disclosed by the Recipients to any other party without Redington Limited’s prior written permission except as may be required by law.
This report is not intended by Redington Limited to form a basis of any decision by the Recipient or by a third party to do or omit to do
anything.
Registered Office: 13-15 Mallow Street, London EC1Y 8RD. Redington Limited (reg no 6660006) is a company authorised and regu-
lated by the Financial Conduct Authority and registered in England and Wales.
© Redington Limited 2013. All rights reserved.
linkedin.com/in/robertjgardner
21
MORE REDINGTON PUBLICATIONS
CONNECT WITH REDINGTON THROUGH OUR SOCIAL MEDIA
IRIS: MONITOR RISK, MEASURE PROGRESS,
STAY ON TRACK.
Please click the icons below to link to our social media
R

Contenu connexe

Tendances

2013 Deloitte Life Insurance & Annuity Outlook
2013 Deloitte Life Insurance & Annuity Outlook2013 Deloitte Life Insurance & Annuity Outlook
2013 Deloitte Life Insurance & Annuity Outlook
Steven Reta
 
ART1197.DOC
ART1197.DOCART1197.DOC
ART1197.DOC
butest
 
CDO rating methodology
CDO rating methodologyCDO rating methodology
CDO rating methodology
financedude
 
The Economics of Structured
The Economics of StructuredThe Economics of Structured
The Economics of Structured
stockedin
 
Retirement and Assisted Living - Canada and the World
Retirement and Assisted Living - Canada and the WorldRetirement and Assisted Living - Canada and the World
Retirement and Assisted Living - Canada and the World
paul young cpa, cga
 

Tendances (18)

Breaking the feedback loop: macroprudential regulation of banks' sovereign ex...
Breaking the feedback loop: macroprudential regulation of banks' sovereign ex...Breaking the feedback loop: macroprudential regulation of banks' sovereign ex...
Breaking the feedback loop: macroprudential regulation of banks' sovereign ex...
 
Pwc 2015 Technology Sector Sec Comment Letter Trends
Pwc 2015 Technology Sector Sec Comment Letter TrendsPwc 2015 Technology Sector Sec Comment Letter Trends
Pwc 2015 Technology Sector Sec Comment Letter Trends
 
201206 Tech Decisions: Finding Profits
201206 Tech Decisions: Finding Profits201206 Tech Decisions: Finding Profits
201206 Tech Decisions: Finding Profits
 
Grant Thornton - UK Restructuring Outlook 2013
Grant Thornton - UK Restructuring Outlook 2013Grant Thornton - UK Restructuring Outlook 2013
Grant Thornton - UK Restructuring Outlook 2013
 
Intertrust private equity report USA
Intertrust private equity report USA Intertrust private equity report USA
Intertrust private equity report USA
 
2013 Deloitte Life Insurance & Annuity Outlook
2013 Deloitte Life Insurance & Annuity Outlook2013 Deloitte Life Insurance & Annuity Outlook
2013 Deloitte Life Insurance & Annuity Outlook
 
ART1197.DOC
ART1197.DOCART1197.DOC
ART1197.DOC
 
Using an Integrated Approach to Guide Your Insurance Services Transformation
Using an Integrated Approach to Guide Your Insurance Services TransformationUsing an Integrated Approach to Guide Your Insurance Services Transformation
Using an Integrated Approach to Guide Your Insurance Services Transformation
 
The Psychology and Neuroscience of Financial Decision Making
The Psychology and Neuroscience of Financial Decision MakingThe Psychology and Neuroscience of Financial Decision Making
The Psychology and Neuroscience of Financial Decision Making
 
Stepping into the cockpit- Redefining finance's role in the digital age
Stepping into the cockpit- Redefining finance's role in the digital ageStepping into the cockpit- Redefining finance's role in the digital age
Stepping into the cockpit- Redefining finance's role in the digital age
 
Six trends disrupting health insurance
Six trends disrupting health insuranceSix trends disrupting health insurance
Six trends disrupting health insurance
 
Mercer Capital's Community Bank Stress Testing: What You Need to Know
Mercer Capital's Community Bank Stress Testing: What You Need to KnowMercer Capital's Community Bank Stress Testing: What You Need to Know
Mercer Capital's Community Bank Stress Testing: What You Need to Know
 
CDO rating methodology
CDO rating methodologyCDO rating methodology
CDO rating methodology
 
Health Services Tax Conference Day Two
Health Services Tax Conference Day TwoHealth Services Tax Conference Day Two
Health Services Tax Conference Day Two
 
exploratory data analysis on german credit data
exploratory data analysis on german credit dataexploratory data analysis on german credit data
exploratory data analysis on german credit data
 
The Economics of Structured
The Economics of StructuredThe Economics of Structured
The Economics of Structured
 
Cat 2018 slot 2 proton training solutions
Cat 2018 slot 2 proton training solutionsCat 2018 slot 2 proton training solutions
Cat 2018 slot 2 proton training solutions
 
Retirement and Assisted Living - Canada and the World
Retirement and Assisted Living - Canada and the WorldRetirement and Assisted Living - Canada and the World
Retirement and Assisted Living - Canada and the World
 

En vedette

What are the Current Dynamics Driving UK Pensions Investment?
What are the Current Dynamics Driving UK Pensions Investment?What are the Current Dynamics Driving UK Pensions Investment?
What are the Current Dynamics Driving UK Pensions Investment?
Redington
 
Redington Investment Principles
Redington Investment PrinciplesRedington Investment Principles
Redington Investment Principles
Redington
 
Social housing- Opening New Doors for Liability Matching Investment
Social housing- Opening New Doors for Liability Matching InvestmentSocial housing- Opening New Doors for Liability Matching Investment
Social housing- Opening New Doors for Liability Matching Investment
Redington
 
CIO Report - Investing in a World without Credit Spreads
CIO Report - Investing in a World without Credit SpreadsCIO Report - Investing in a World without Credit Spreads
CIO Report - Investing in a World without Credit Spreads
Redington
 
Asset Class Spring Collection 2010
Asset Class Spring Collection 2010Asset Class Spring Collection 2010
Asset Class Spring Collection 2010
Redington
 

En vedette (10)

What are the Current Dynamics Driving UK Pensions Investment?
What are the Current Dynamics Driving UK Pensions Investment?What are the Current Dynamics Driving UK Pensions Investment?
What are the Current Dynamics Driving UK Pensions Investment?
 
Redington and Societe Generale CIB - Equity Hedging for UK Pension Funds - Ma...
Redington and Societe Generale CIB - Equity Hedging for UK Pension Funds - Ma...Redington and Societe Generale CIB - Equity Hedging for UK Pension Funds - Ma...
Redington and Societe Generale CIB - Equity Hedging for UK Pension Funds - Ma...
 
Outline March 2014
Outline March 2014Outline March 2014
Outline March 2014
 
Redington Investment Principles
Redington Investment PrinciplesRedington Investment Principles
Redington Investment Principles
 
Social housing- Opening New Doors for Liability Matching Investment
Social housing- Opening New Doors for Liability Matching InvestmentSocial housing- Opening New Doors for Liability Matching Investment
Social housing- Opening New Doors for Liability Matching Investment
 
CIO Report - Investing in a World without Credit Spreads
CIO Report - Investing in a World without Credit SpreadsCIO Report - Investing in a World without Credit Spreads
CIO Report - Investing in a World without Credit Spreads
 
Asset Class Spring Collection 2010
Asset Class Spring Collection 2010Asset Class Spring Collection 2010
Asset Class Spring Collection 2010
 
DNC’s wake 1997 to 2016
DNC’s wake 1997 to 2016DNC’s wake 1997 to 2016
DNC’s wake 1997 to 2016
 
Save your acorns book launch
Save your acorns   book launchSave your acorns   book launch
Save your acorns book launch
 
Maybe there is an 'I' in team?
Maybe there is an 'I' in team?Maybe there is an 'I' in team?
Maybe there is an 'I' in team?
 

Similaire à Mountains of the Mind, Pension Funds greatest challenges in 2013 - Redington Survey Report

Global Financial Wellness Study
Global Financial Wellness StudyGlobal Financial Wellness Study
Global Financial Wellness Study
Steven Reta
 
OCC Semiannual Risk Perspective-spring-2015
OCC Semiannual Risk Perspective-spring-2015OCC Semiannual Risk Perspective-spring-2015
OCC Semiannual Risk Perspective-spring-2015
Cliff Busse
 
SME Manufacturing Credit Risk Model Forecast Correctness and Result of Model
SME Manufacturing Credit Risk Model Forecast Correctness and Result of ModelSME Manufacturing Credit Risk Model Forecast Correctness and Result of Model
SME Manufacturing Credit Risk Model Forecast Correctness and Result of Model
IOSR Journals
 
Financial Risk and Financial Performance A Critical Analysis of Commercial Ba...
Financial Risk and Financial Performance A Critical Analysis of Commercial Ba...Financial Risk and Financial Performance A Critical Analysis of Commercial Ba...
Financial Risk and Financial Performance A Critical Analysis of Commercial Ba...
ijtsrd
 
Reply to DiscussionsD1 navyaA bank failure is the ending of.docx
Reply to DiscussionsD1 navyaA bank failure is the ending of.docxReply to DiscussionsD1 navyaA bank failure is the ending of.docx
Reply to DiscussionsD1 navyaA bank failure is the ending of.docx
chris293
 
Outline July 2013
Outline July 2013  Outline July 2013
Outline July 2013
Redington
 
Thesis financial sector distress
Thesis   financial sector distressThesis   financial sector distress
Thesis financial sector distress
Preety Chandel
 
White Paper_USAA Team
White Paper_USAA TeamWhite Paper_USAA Team
White Paper_USAA Team
Brian Moran
 
Report on phoenix insurance company & insurance industry analysis
Report on phoenix insurance company & insurance industry analysisReport on phoenix insurance company & insurance industry analysis
Report on phoenix insurance company & insurance industry analysis
Nizamuddin Alamgir
 

Similaire à Mountains of the Mind, Pension Funds greatest challenges in 2013 - Redington Survey Report (20)

Driving returns: global insurers reconsider fixed income and private assets
Driving returns: global insurers reconsider fixed income and private assets Driving returns: global insurers reconsider fixed income and private assets
Driving returns: global insurers reconsider fixed income and private assets
 
40 whats different in the corporate world
40 whats different in the corporate world40 whats different in the corporate world
40 whats different in the corporate world
 
Credit risk reference ECB.pdf
Credit risk reference ECB.pdfCredit risk reference ECB.pdf
Credit risk reference ECB.pdf
 
Retail banks and big data
Retail banks and big dataRetail banks and big data
Retail banks and big data
 
PwC 2016 CEO Survey Insurance report
PwC 2016 CEO Survey Insurance report PwC 2016 CEO Survey Insurance report
PwC 2016 CEO Survey Insurance report
 
201303 LOMA Resource: Five Year Outlook
201303 LOMA Resource: Five Year Outlook201303 LOMA Resource: Five Year Outlook
201303 LOMA Resource: Five Year Outlook
 
Global Financial Wellness Study
Global Financial Wellness StudyGlobal Financial Wellness Study
Global Financial Wellness Study
 
OCC Semiannual Risk Perspective-spring-2015
OCC Semiannual Risk Perspective-spring-2015OCC Semiannual Risk Perspective-spring-2015
OCC Semiannual Risk Perspective-spring-2015
 
SME Manufacturing Credit Risk Model Forecast Correctness and Result of Model
SME Manufacturing Credit Risk Model Forecast Correctness and Result of ModelSME Manufacturing Credit Risk Model Forecast Correctness and Result of Model
SME Manufacturing Credit Risk Model Forecast Correctness and Result of Model
 
Financial Risk and Financial Performance A Critical Analysis of Commercial Ba...
Financial Risk and Financial Performance A Critical Analysis of Commercial Ba...Financial Risk and Financial Performance A Critical Analysis of Commercial Ba...
Financial Risk and Financial Performance A Critical Analysis of Commercial Ba...
 
Subprime
Subprime Subprime
Subprime
 
Reputational risk
Reputational riskReputational risk
Reputational risk
 
Reply to DiscussionsD1 navyaA bank failure is the ending of.docx
Reply to DiscussionsD1 navyaA bank failure is the ending of.docxReply to DiscussionsD1 navyaA bank failure is the ending of.docx
Reply to DiscussionsD1 navyaA bank failure is the ending of.docx
 
Actuarial Science In global Context
Actuarial Science In global ContextActuarial Science In global Context
Actuarial Science In global Context
 
A4110111.pdf
A4110111.pdfA4110111.pdf
A4110111.pdf
 
Outline July 2013
Outline July 2013  Outline July 2013
Outline July 2013
 
Thesis financial sector distress
Thesis   financial sector distressThesis   financial sector distress
Thesis financial sector distress
 
White Paper_USAA Team
White Paper_USAA TeamWhite Paper_USAA Team
White Paper_USAA Team
 
Report on phoenix insurance company & insurance industry analysis
Report on phoenix insurance company & insurance industry analysisReport on phoenix insurance company & insurance industry analysis
Report on phoenix insurance company & insurance industry analysis
 
Etude PwC "18th Annual Global CEO Survey Insurance 2015"
Etude PwC "18th Annual Global CEO Survey Insurance 2015"Etude PwC "18th Annual Global CEO Survey Insurance 2015"
Etude PwC "18th Annual Global CEO Survey Insurance 2015"
 

Plus de Redington

Plus de Redington (20)

Diversity - Not Just a Gender Thing
Diversity - Not Just a Gender ThingDiversity - Not Just a Gender Thing
Diversity - Not Just a Gender Thing
 
The Six Hardest Words in Pensions
The Six Hardest Words in PensionsThe Six Hardest Words in Pensions
The Six Hardest Words in Pensions
 
25 Years at Gleneagles: Looking back & looking forward
25 Years at Gleneagles: Looking back & looking forward25 Years at Gleneagles: Looking back & looking forward
25 Years at Gleneagles: Looking back & looking forward
 
Technology and Investing - Where to from here?
Technology and Investing - Where to from here?Technology and Investing - Where to from here?
Technology and Investing - Where to from here?
 
The Impact of Technology on the Pensions Industry
The Impact of Technology on the Pensions IndustryThe Impact of Technology on the Pensions Industry
The Impact of Technology on the Pensions Industry
 
21st Century Schemes – Deciding on the right scheme design for your members
21st Century Schemes – Deciding on the right scheme design for your members21st Century Schemes – Deciding on the right scheme design for your members
21st Century Schemes – Deciding on the right scheme design for your members
 
"Hi Alexa, how should I save for my pension?"
"Hi Alexa, how should I save for my pension?""Hi Alexa, how should I save for my pension?"
"Hi Alexa, how should I save for my pension?"
 
Why we need to teach our children how to budget, save, invest and give back
Why we need to teach our children how to budget, save, invest and give backWhy we need to teach our children how to budget, save, invest and give back
Why we need to teach our children how to budget, save, invest and give back
 
Making Decisions; An Effective Trustee Board
Making Decisions; An Effective Trustee BoardMaking Decisions; An Effective Trustee Board
Making Decisions; An Effective Trustee Board
 
Critical Friends - The Need for Straight Talking
Critical Friends - The Need for Straight TalkingCritical Friends - The Need for Straight Talking
Critical Friends - The Need for Straight Talking
 
Five steps to help your employees secure their financial futures
Five steps to help your employees secure their financial futuresFive steps to help your employees secure their financial futures
Five steps to help your employees secure their financial futures
 
Is Your Property Allocation RIght for You?
Is Your Property Allocation RIght for You?Is Your Property Allocation RIght for You?
Is Your Property Allocation RIght for You?
 
Trend of overseas institutional investor asset allocation
Trend of overseas institutional investor asset allocationTrend of overseas institutional investor asset allocation
Trend of overseas institutional investor asset allocation
 
Introduction and outlook of EU pension system
Introduction and outlook of EU pension systemIntroduction and outlook of EU pension system
Introduction and outlook of EU pension system
 
Challenges and opportunities for financial market globalisation
Challenges and opportunities for financial market globalisationChallenges and opportunities for financial market globalisation
Challenges and opportunities for financial market globalisation
 
What role do consultants play in the value chain
What role do consultants play in the value chainWhat role do consultants play in the value chain
What role do consultants play in the value chain
 
Summary of the key messages from the 2016 Annual Funding Statement
Summary of the key messages from the 2016 Annual Funding StatementSummary of the key messages from the 2016 Annual Funding Statement
Summary of the key messages from the 2016 Annual Funding Statement
 
Why we need to think differently about retirement
Why we need to think differently about retirementWhy we need to think differently about retirement
Why we need to think differently about retirement
 
Redington tax consultation response - A worker's pension tax free for life
Redington tax consultation response - A worker's pension tax free for lifeRedington tax consultation response - A worker's pension tax free for life
Redington tax consultation response - A worker's pension tax free for life
 
Play to Save
Play to SavePlay to Save
Play to Save
 

Dernier

( Jasmin ) Top VIP Escorts Service Dindigul 💧 7737669865 💧 by Dindigul Call G...
( Jasmin ) Top VIP Escorts Service Dindigul 💧 7737669865 💧 by Dindigul Call G...( Jasmin ) Top VIP Escorts Service Dindigul 💧 7737669865 💧 by Dindigul Call G...
( Jasmin ) Top VIP Escorts Service Dindigul 💧 7737669865 💧 by Dindigul Call G...
dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Mumbai 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts ...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Mumbai 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts ...VIP Independent Call Girls in Mumbai 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts ...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Mumbai 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts ...
dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...
From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...
From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...
From Luxury Escort : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangements Near yOU
 

Dernier (20)

( Jasmin ) Top VIP Escorts Service Dindigul 💧 7737669865 💧 by Dindigul Call G...
( Jasmin ) Top VIP Escorts Service Dindigul 💧 7737669865 💧 by Dindigul Call G...( Jasmin ) Top VIP Escorts Service Dindigul 💧 7737669865 💧 by Dindigul Call G...
( Jasmin ) Top VIP Escorts Service Dindigul 💧 7737669865 💧 by Dindigul Call G...
 
Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...
Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...
Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...
 
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdf
 
Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.
Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.
Gurley shaw Theory of Monetary Economics.
 
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
Vip Call US 📞 7738631006 ✅Call Girls In Sakinaka ( Mumbai )
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 25.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 25.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 25.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 25.pdf
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 22.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 22.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 22.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 22.pdf
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Sinhagad Road ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine S...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Sinhagad Road ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine S...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Sinhagad Road ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine S...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Sinhagad Road ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine S...
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Mumbai 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts ...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Mumbai 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts ...VIP Independent Call Girls in Mumbai 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts ...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Mumbai 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts ...
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
 
Mira Road Awesome 100% Independent Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-Dahisar Inter...
Mira Road Awesome 100% Independent Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-Dahisar Inter...Mira Road Awesome 100% Independent Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-Dahisar Inter...
Mira Road Awesome 100% Independent Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-Dahisar Inter...
 
From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...
From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...
From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...
 
06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf
06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf
06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
 
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Dighi ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Servi...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Dighi ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Servi...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Dighi ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Servi...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Dighi ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Servi...
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
 
(INDIRA) Call Girl Mumbai Call Now 8250077686 Mumbai Escorts 24x7
(INDIRA) Call Girl Mumbai Call Now 8250077686 Mumbai Escorts 24x7(INDIRA) Call Girl Mumbai Call Now 8250077686 Mumbai Escorts 24x7
(INDIRA) Call Girl Mumbai Call Now 8250077686 Mumbai Escorts 24x7
 

Mountains of the Mind, Pension Funds greatest challenges in 2013 - Redington Survey Report

  • 1. 1 MOUNTAINS OF THE MIND Pension Funds’ Greatest Challenges in 2013
  • 2. 2 At the end of March 2013, according to the Pension Protection Fund’s 7800 index, the aggregate deficit of the 6,316 comprising funds was £236.6 billion. Over 80% of those in the index were underfunded with the average funding ratio at 82.6%. The futures of these pension funds and the well being of their members rests firmly on the decisions of a few: what trustees feel are the key challenges facing UK defined benefit pension funds in the near future (3-5yrs) and over the longer time horizon (10-20yrs), will define the actions they take and the condition of the pension funds they manage. Similarly, the views and opinions of those advising and working with trustees will affect the decisions they take; sponsors, advisors, pensions managers and members of in-house pensions teams all play a vital role in shaping the future of pensions. In March 2013, Redington created an online survey to collect said views and opinions. This report collates the subsequent responses of these influential individuals, as well as investment banks, fund managers, media players, academics and other solutions providers to pension funds, to the question of what the key challenges of the pensions industry are right now, and what factors they see becoming so in the future. At the end of the report, challenges we feel are significant to pension funds, but were not listed by the respondents, are also noted. The results in this report are based on an online survey completed in March 2013, and comprise the answers from 88 respondents covering influential pensions roles: Each respondent was asked to list the top three challenges in each of four categories over two time horizons. That is, 24 answers were required from each respondent in total: • Strategic Challenges (Top 3 challenges over the medium and over the long term) • Financial and Economic Challenges (Top 3 challenges over the medium and over the long term) • Political and Regulatory Challenges (Top 3 challenges over the medium and over the long term) • Operational Challenges (Top 3 challenges over the medium and over the long term) The survey allowed open responses rather than selection of pre-set options, so similar descriptions have been grouped into themes and described in the summary (8). There was no weighting of the answer order, all three responses were considered similarly important. Results for each category on each time horizon have been shown in two main graphs: • Graph 1. Based on total respondents, challenges listed shown as a percentage of total responses • Graph 2. Based on responses from trustees, corporate sponsor, pensions managers and advisors only. Votes to each challenge split by relative votes of respondents within each member group. About This Report
  • 3. 3 About this report ...............................................................................2 Contents ............................................................................................3 Introduction .......................................................................................4 Executive Summary ..........................................................................5 Summary............................................................................................8 Key Challenge Descriptions .............................................................8 Summary of Responses ..................................................................10 Spotlight: Where Trustees and Sponsors Diverge .........................12 Below the Radar ..............................................................................14 Contacts ...........................................................................................15 Contents
  • 4. 4 Introduction Robert Gardner Co-CEO | Co-Founder Pensions has always been a tricky business. But perhaps never more so than in 2013. The regulation changes of the early 2000’s rewrote the rulebook for those running pension funds, and a survey of the key challenges of that time would have produced, it seems logical to assume, a set of concerns about changing regulations, accounting issues that accompany them, and governance. Today, the landscape has changed. Pension funds, on the whole, got to grips with those systemic changes in pension infrastructure only to be faced, in 2008 onwards, with the greatest seismic economic shift of our lifetimes. It wasn’t just that markets plummeted and equities didn’t turn out to be the knight in shining armour pension funds had hoped and planned they would be; it was that the very foundations of modern economic markets changed. Everything we thought we knew about risk, return and the relationship between the two, was called into question. Now, in 2013, we are all still acclimatising to our new normal. For those managing pension funds and guarding the well-being of their members’ retirement pots, the last five years have been no easy ride. The actions they have taken and will continue to take will determine the well-being of our ageing population, and the challenges they perceive as the greatest ones will shape those actions. This report collates the answers to a survey that asks the pensions industry – those actively running pension funds as well as those advising and providing services to them – what they consider the greatest challenges they face today, in the medium and longer terms, in the categories of Strategic challenges, Financial and Economic challenges, Political and Regulatory challenges and Operational ones. Each respondent listed the top three challenges in each of these categories as they saw it, and thereby provided a rare and candid insight into those items that occupy the tops of their agendas. This report provides a glimpse into the minds of those influential people in the UK who hold the well-being of the retiring population in their hands. I hope you find it interesting and informative, and that, if you are so inclined, you will use the contact details at the back of this report to reach out to us and continue the conversation. Above all, we hope this report acts as a conversation-starter within pensions, and that you, the reader, will use it to engage with others in the industry to question, analyse and discuss the challenges reported herein. “it’s not been the strongest of the species to survive, but the most adaptive to change.” Darwin
  • 5. 5 Executive Summary Medium-term Risk Radar (3-5yr) This section provides a summary of all the survey’s results, shown as two Risk Radars which illustrate the greatest challenges respondents identified in each of the four categories. The first radar displays the chal- lenges respondents identified in the medium term (3-5 years), and the second radar displays those listed in the longer term (10-20 years). Each dot represents a challenge, and the size and position of the dot simultaneously signifies the total relative votes by respondents. The larger and closer the dot to the centre, the more times the challenge was mentioned by respondents. STRATEGIC CHALLENGES RISK FACTOR FINANCIAL & ECONOMIC CHALLENGES POLITICAL & REGULATORY CHALLENGES OPERATIONAL CHALLENGES %
  • 6. 6 Long-term Risk Radar (10-20yr) STRATEGIC CHALLENGES RISK FACTOR FINANCIAL & ECONOMIC CHALLENGES POLITICAL & REGULATORY CHALLENGES OPERATIONAL CHALLENGES % Wherever you see these icons throughout this report you can click on them to bring you back to our medium and long term Risk Radars.
  • 7. 7 Key Challenge Descriptions This section describes some of the key challenges mentioned by respondents and provides a summary description of why it is categorised as such. INTEREST RATES / INFLATION EUROZONE CRISIS SPONSOR AND/OR BALANCE SHEET For the majority of funds, exposure to real yields (falling interest rates and rising inflation) represents the single largest source of risk. With real yields plunging relentlessly lower in recent years, funds that have opted not to hedge this risk face the dilemma of whether to do so now and lock in at current levels or to continue to expose their funds to further volatility. Some commentators are predicting a great rotation from bonds back into equities and a reversion of yields back to historical “norms”. However, the prospect of financial repression, where governments deliberately target low or negative real yields to reduce their debt burdens, presents a particularly compelling counter argument. As one US researcher recently noted, an average negative real yield of 2% over the next 20 years would reduce debt to GDP from 100% to a manageable 60%. Even if rates do nothing, pension funds face the time-decay effects of rolldown and carry, which become another strong argument for hedging interest rate risk no matter what. http://bit.ly/Yt35HP http://bit.ly/18hoKH8 The Eurozone debt crisis has settled into an uneasy calm since Mario Draghi’s pledge to do “whatever it takes” to save the single currency. Nevertheless, the toxic combination of high debt burdens, low competitiveness, non-existent growth, and the absence of a long-term political solution to the crisis means that it remains the dominant macroeconomic tail risk for financial markets (and therefore a key driver of pension fund asset returns in the short to medium-term). The crisis also presents more direct risks for UK pension funds with the prospect of further safe haven demand driving down gilt yields. New accounting and regulatory requirements have rendered pension funds an increasingly visible part of corporate financial statements, with investors and credit rating agencies now far more attuned to the relationship between pension funds and wider balance sheet volatility. At the same time, rising pension fund deficits have forced sponsors to divert scarce cash into the pension fund, reducing free cash flow and withholding potential dividends for shareholders. From the Trustee’s perspective, the ability and willingness of the sponsor to support the fund on an ongoing basis remains key to determining the risk appetite and setting the long-term investment strategy. Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click on the hyperlink below for a direct link to: REDVIEWS Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click on the hyperlink below for a direct link to: PENSION RISK TO THE CORPORATE SPONSOR
  • 8. 8 http://bit.ly/182zD20 http://bit.ly/WuCZ2y FUNDING MANAGEMENT REGULATION / POLITICS INVESTMENT RETURNS In negotiating any deficit recovery plan, sponsors and trustees must strike the optimal balance between cash contributions from the company and reliance on investment returns. Set contributions too high, and pension funds and sponsors risk diverting cash that could have been used to grow the business into the pension fund, ultimately weakening the company (and therefore the sponsor covenant). Set contributions too low and expected returns too high, and the fund becomes reliant on an overly risky investment strategy, potentially resulting in much higher deficit contributions in future years. Some sponsors and their funds have squared this circle by agreeing innovative non-cash funding strategies whereby the company provides the fund with secure or collateralised assets while retaining cash for investment in the business. In January, the Consumer Price Advisory Committee (CPAC) announced, following months of speculation to the contrary, that it would maintain the existing approach for calculating RPI inflation rather than align the measure with CPI inflation. The move resulted in a sharp upward move in market inflation and a corresponding increase in UK pension liabilities. Two months later, UK Chancellor George Osborne announced that the government had rejected a proposal to allow smoothing in the valuation of pension assets and liabilities, a move that could have allowed some companies to sharply reduce deficit contributions. These “moving goalposts” erode the trust that the government and regulators have funds’ or members’ wellbeing at heart. Ongoing developments emphasise that political and regulatory uncertainty will remain a key challenge for pension funds in the years ahead. With major central banks committed to keeping interest rates low for the foreseeable future, investors have been encouraged to “reach for yield”, driving down returns on riskier fixed income (such as high yield) to near historic lows. Equities no longer appear the obvious solution: in a recent study, researchers at London Business School revised down their estimate of the historical equity risk premium to a meagre 3.0%-3.5%, reflecting poor performance over the past decade and more accurate adjustment for “survivorship bias”. Given the bleak outlook for conventional asset classes, pension funds have shown increasing interest in a range of illiquid alternatives that offer a rare combination of secure and attractive real returns (for example, infrastructure debt). Governance bandwidth is a perennial challenge for UK pension funds. In recent years, the already limited resources of trustee boards and investment committees have been further strained by an increasingly wide and complex array of available asset classes and strategies, as well as greater volatility in financial markets more generally. This makes it ever more important for funds to have in place clear strategic framework to evaluate opportunities against the fund’s objectives and to focus governance resources on the areas of greatest potential value add to the fund. Those funds that have spent time and resource in building a robust governance framework have been repaid handsomely. GOVERNANCE / DECISION-MAKING Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click on the hyperlink below for a direct link to: Journal #33 (The Pensions Risk Managment Framework) Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click on the hyperlink below for a direct link to: RED-BLOG ESTIMATING THE EQUITY RISK PREMIUM
  • 9. 9 CONFLICTS WITH AGENTS DEATH OF DB MANAGING THE END GAME RISK MANAGEMENT EMPLOYEE BENEFIT Good help can be hard to find. There are those who believe they are receiving “poor advice from consult- ants” and others that feel there may be a “misalignment between the objectives of the trustees with their agents”. However, while funds battle service costs and drive to push for lower management and advisory fees, this begs the question: can one expect the best service from the lowest bidder? Pension funds continue to fight this battle of needing good advice like never before, but needing the costs to be manageable and, perhaps, linked to performance of the pension fund. Members of Generation Y would be lucky to get into a defined benefit fund (if they are even offered a job first). Final Salary funds are no longer widely viewed as an effective reward tool to attract and retain top talent. While some believe the challenge lies in “making people understand pensions are affordable”, others believe the legacy is “just a burden to be managed”. In the face of closing funds, maturing membership and negative cashflows, the challenge lies in managing ways to meet the liabilities as funds walk the green mile. In managing the transition to the End Game, funds face a complex marketplace of solutions ranging from longevity swaps to synthetic “buy-ins” to full buy-out. However, some respondents ask a more fundamental question: “what is the end game”? The finishing line lies at buy-out for some pension funds, and in self suf- ficiency – meeting benefit payments without reliance on investment returns or sponsor contributions – for others. The challenge rests in managing the fund’s journey to arriving at their respective destinations. Pension funds face a myriad of risks and hurdles; first to full funding and then at full funding. Some risks are rewarded (assets), some are unrewarded (interest rate and inflation), and pension funds are having to devise increasingly complex strategies to address these risks. And then there are operational (governance) risks too. Finally, risk management is not unidirectional: funds should have an effective framework to re-risk, as necessary, in response to funding level declines. As an employee benefit and reward tool, it is important to ensure “members appreciate the value of the benefit” defined within defined benefits. Between “demands for higher payouts” and “integration with non-equal benefits needed for employee recruitment”, funds face the challenge of “changing or lowering member expectations should present promises prove unsustainable due to changed economic and demo- graphic circumstances”. SUMMARY OF RESPONSES Many of the risks described above were chosen as respondents’ top three risks in each of the four categories over the medium and longer terms. Below is a summary of responses for the greatest risks within each of the four categories of challenges: Strategic challenges, Financial and Economic challenges, Political and Regulatory challenges and Operational ones. Results for each category on each time horizon have been shown in two main graphs: • Graph 1. Based on total respondents, challenges listed shown as a percentage of total responses • Graph 2. Based on responses from trustees, corporate sponsors, pensions managers and advisors only. Votes to each challenge split by relative votes of respondents within each member group. “Not my problem, I hope to have retired or died” Respondent Quote
  • 10. 10 Graph 2. Top Strategic Challenges by Member Group - Medium-Term (3-5yr) 0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   Sponsor  and  Balance   Sheet   Funding   Regula;on  &  Poli;cs   Investment  Returns   and  the  Economy   Interest  Rates   Risk  Management   Death  of  DB   Managing  the  End   Game   Conflicts  with  Agents   Governance  and   Decision  Making   Employee  Benefit   Trustees   Sponsor   Advisor   Pensions  Manager   18%   14%   11%   11%   9%   7%   7%   7%   6%   5%   3%   0%   2%   4%   6%   8%   10%   12%   14%   16%   18%   20%   Sponsor  and   Balance   Sheet   Funding   Governance   and  Decision   Making   Investment   Returns  and   the  Economy   Death  of  DB   Risk   Management   Interest   Rates   RegulaJon  &   PoliJcs   Managing   the  End   Game   Employee   Benefit   Conflicts   with  Agents   Strategic  Challenges  (3-­‐5yr)   Graph 1. Top Strategic Challenges by Total Votes - Medium-Term (3-5yr) Respondents identified Sponsor and Balance Sheet related issues as their number one medium-term challenge (18%) closely followed by Funding issues (14%) Governance (11%) and Investment Returns (11%). Surprisingly, Risk Management (7%) appears relatively low on the medium-term agenda for respondents. The majority of respondents identified the Sponsor and it’s Balance Sheet as the main concern in the medium-term. Trustees also listed Funding as a key issue while Sponsors, Advisors and Pensions Managers collectively listed Governance and Decision Making. Over a longer-term horizon, Managing the End Game (29%) is unsurprisingly viewed as the dominant concern. The Sponsor and its Balance Sheet remains a key issue (15%) while Funding follows once more in third place (11%). 29%   15%   11%   8%   8%   8%   7%   6%   4%   2%   1%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   Managing  the   End  Game   Sponsor  and   Balance  Sheet   Funding   Investment   Returns  and   the  Economy   Death  of  DB   Interest  Rates   RegulaHon  &   PoliHcs   Governance   Employee   Benefit   Risk   Management   Conflicts  with   Agents   Strategic  Challenges  (10-­‐20yr)   STRATEGIC CHALLENGES Graph 3. Top Strategic Challenges by Total Votes - Long-Term (10-20yr)
  • 11. 11 Graph 4. Top Strategic Challenges by Member Group - Long-Term (10-20yr) Similarly, the majority of the groups believe Managing the End Game is the main concern in the long-term. While the Sponsor and it’s Balance Sheet remains a top concern for Trustees, Sponsors on the other hand are more concerned about the Death of DB and the challenges associated with structural changes as funds close. Respondents identified Investment Returns (26%) and Deficit Funding (26%) as the joint top financial and economic challenges over the next 3-5 years, followed by Interest Rates (18%). This may suggest that the emphasis is now on strategies to close funding deficits rather than de-risking to avoid further volatility. “Is the market big enough to cope if all private sector DB funds try to wind up?” Respondent Quote 0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Managing  the   End  Game   Sponsor  and   Balance  Sheet   Funding   Interest  Rates   Investment   Returns  and  the   Economy   RegulaCon  &   PoliCcs   Death  of  DB   Governance   Risk   Management   Employee   Benefit   Conflicts  with   Agents   Trustees   Sponsor   Advisor   Pensions  Manager   FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC 26%   26%   18%   14%   9%   7%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   Deficit  Funding  /   Management   Returns   Interest  Rates  &   Infla@on   Eurozone  &  UK   Growth   Sponsor   Solvency   Economic  Policy   Financial  and  Economic  Challenges  (3-­‐5yr)   Graph 5. Top Financial & Economic Challenges by Total Votes - Medium-Term (3-5yr)
  • 12. 12 21%   19%   19%   13%   12%   10%   4%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   Deficit  Funding  /   Management   Returns   Eurozone  &  Global   Growth   Interest  Rates  &  InflaFon   Longevity  and  Buy-­‐out   Sponsor  Solvency   Economic  Policy   Financial  and  Economic  Challenges  (10-­‐20yr)   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   Returns   Eurozone  &  Global   Growth   Interest  Rates  &  Infla;on   Longevity  and  Buy-­‐out   Deficit  Funding  /   Management   Sponsor  Solvency   Economic  Policy   Trustees   Sponsor   Advisor   Pensions  Manager   Graph 6. Top Financial and Economic Challenges by Member Group - Medium-Term (3-5yr) Graph 7. Top Financial and Economic Challenges by Total Votes - Long-Term (10-20yr) Graph 8. Top Financial and Economic Challenges by Member Group - Long-Term (10-20yr) 0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Deficit  Funding  /   Management   Returns   Eurozone  &  UK  Growth   Interest  Rates  &   InflaFon   Sponsor  Solvency   Economic  Policy   Trustees   Sponsor   Advisor   Pensions  Manager   Collectively, the group consensus on the key Financial and Economic challenge appears to be Deficit Funding / Management. However, more specifically, advisors listed Returns as the top challenge faced by funds. Over the long-term, respondents were more evenly balanced in their distribution of challenges with Deficit Funding (21%), Investment Returns (19%) and the Eurozone Crisis/Global Growth (19%) still featuring strongly while interest rates and inflation (13%) still remain a concern. Sponsors, Advisors and Pensions Managers maintain that Deficit Funding / Management is the top challenge facing funds, while trustees cite Returns as the top challenge in the long-term. Trustees and advi- sors broadly agree on the level of significance of the challenges posed by the Eurozone and Global Growth and Economic Policy, while these did not register at all with Sponsors and Pensions Managers.
  • 13. 13 29%   20%   17%   10%   10%   6%   6%   2%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   Valua-on  and   Repor-ng     Regulatory   Burden   Capital   Requirements   Uncertain  /   Unfair  Poli-cal   Interferance   The  Pension   Protec-on  Fund   Monetary  Policy   Central  Clearing   The  Pensions   Regulator   Poli,cal  and  Regulatory  Challenges  (3-­‐5yr)   Graph 10. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Member Group - Medium-Term (3-5yr) Respondents identified Valuation and Reporting (29%) as the number one medium-term political/regulatory risk, perhaps reflecting concern about upcoming triennial valuations. Regulatory Burden (20%) and Capital Requirements (17%) were identified as the next greatest challenges. “Trying to prevent the TPR from being any more painful and unhelpful” Respondent Quote 0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Valua-on  and   Repor-ng     Capital   Requirements   Regulatory  Burden   Uncertain  /  Unfair   Poli-cal   Interferance   The  Pension   Protec-on  Fund   Central  Clearing   The  Pensions   Regulator   Monetary  Policy   Trustees   Sponsor   Advisor   Pensions  Manager   Graph 9. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Total Votes - Medium-Term (3-5yr) POLITICAL AND REGULATORY CHALLENGES Sponsors see the implications associated with Capital Requirements as the top Political and Regulatory challenge to their funds in the medium-term, while Trustees, Advisors and Pensions Managers together believe Valuation and Reporting will be the biggest challenge. Collectively, all member groups agree that Regulatory Burden in general will be a key challenge for pension funds. Unsurprisingly given the recent debate around smoothing of liabilities and potential changes to RPI inflation, respondents identified Uncertain or Unfair Political Influence (37%) as the key long-term political and regulatory challenge. Also featuring strongly was the Death of DB funds (17%), Regulatory Burden (15%) and Capital Requirements (15%).
  • 14. 14 27%   17%   14%   13%   13%   9%   5%   2%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   Governance  and   decision  making   Costs  &  Efficiency   Admin   Regulatory  Burden   Strategy   ImplementaEon   and  Monitoring   Lack  of  Quality   Providers   Auto-­‐Enrolment   Member   CommunicaEon   Opera,onal  Challenges  (3-­‐5yr)   37%   17%   15%   15%   8%   3%   2%   2%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Uncertain  /  Unfair   Poli7cal  Interference   Death  of  DB   Capital  Requirements   Regulatory  Burden   Who  knows?   The  Pensions   Regulator   Monetary  Policy   The  Pension   Protec7on  Fund   Poli+cal  and  Regulatory  Challenges  (10-­‐20yr)   The member groups agree that Uncertain / Unfair Political Interference poses the greatest challenge in the long-term. In a similar response to Strategic challenges, sponsors view the implications associated with the Death of DB funds as a key challenge. Regulatory entities in the industry also feature as a challenge: some trustees believe The Pension Protection Fund will be a long-term issue, some advisors are looking more pointedly at The Pensions Regulator. Graph 11. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Total Votes - Long-Term (10-20yr) Graph 12. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Member Group - Long-Term (10-20yr) Graph 13. Top Operational Challenges by Total Votes - Medium-Term (3-5yr) 0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Managing  the   End  Game   Sponsor  and   Balance  Sheet   Funding   Interest  Rates   Investment   Returns  and  the   Economy   RegulaCon  &   PoliCcs   Death  of  DB   Governance   Risk   Management   Employee   Benefit   Conflicts  with   Agents   Trustees   Sponsor   Advisor   Pensions  Manager   Governance (27%) is viewed as the key medium-term operational challenge facing funds as trustees grapple with the question of how to spread scare resource across an ever more complex investment environment. Costs and Efficiency (17%) and Administration (14%) are viewed as the next most significant challenges in this category. “Most overestimate their ability to manage complexity” Respondent Quote OPERATIONAL CHALLENGES
  • 15. 15 30%   16%   11%   11%   11%   11%   4%   4%   2%   2%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   Governance  and   decision  making   Admin   Costs  &  Efficiency   Wind-­‐up  and   declining   membership   Strategy   ImplementaGon   and  Monitoring   Technology  and   member   engagement   Regulatory  Burden   Who  knows?   Auto-­‐Enrollment   Lack  of  Quality   Providers   Opera,onal  Challenges  (10-­‐20yr)   Sponsor concerns over operational challenges were fairly evenly spread across those listed. Trustees distinctly view Governance and Decision Making as the key challenge, while pension managers discernibly regard Costs and Efficiency as a key matter. Together, pension managers and trustees were the only groups who listed Member Communication. The picture is similar over the longer-term, with Governance (30%) listed as the primary burden, following which concerns were more evenly distributed across Administration (16%), Costs and Efficiency (11%), Strategy Implementation and Monitoring (11%),Technology and Member engagement (11%) and Wind-Up and Declining Membership (11%), the latter of which is a new concern. Graph 14. Top Operational Challenges by Member Group - Medium-Term (3-5yr) Graph 15. Top Operational Challenges by Total Votes - Long-Term (10-20yr) Graph 16. Top Operational Challenges by Member Group - Long-Term (10-20yr) 0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Governance  and   decision  making   Admin   Regulatory  Burden   Lack  of  Quality   Providers   Strategy   ImplementaEon   and  Monitoring   Costs  &  Efficiency   Auto-­‐Enrolment   Member   CommunicaEon   Trustees   Sponsor   Advisor   Pensions  Manager   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   45%   Governance  and   decision  making   Admin   Wind-­‐up  and   declining   membership   Technology  and   member   engagement   Costs  &  Efficiency   Lack  of  Quality   Providers   Who  knows?   Strategy   ImplementaNon  and   Monitoring   Auto-­‐Enrollment   Regulatory  Burden   Trustees   Sponsor   Advisor   Pensions  Manager   The concerns appear fairly similar across the listed challenges, although trustees do not appear to view Strategy Implementation and Monitoring as a long-term concern. Collectively, the groups show similar levels of interest in Wind-Up and Declining Membership and Technology and Member Engagement. Some trustees and advisors pragmatically suggest, “Who Knows?”
  • 16. 16 25%   22%   11%   13%   13%   13%   13%   13%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   Sponsor  and  Balance   Sheet   Funding   Regula;on  &  Poli;cs   Risk  Management   Governance  and   Decision  Making   Conflicts  with   Agents   Sponsor  and  Balance   Sheet   Trustee   Sponsor   31%   31%   12%   12%   36%   27%   18%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Managing  the  End   Game   Sponsor  and  Balance   Sheet   Funding   Interest  Rates   Death  of  DB   Governance   Trustee   Sponsor   Graph 18. Top Strategic Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors – Long-Term (10-20yr) Graph 19. Top Financial and Economic Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Medium-Term (3-5yr) Graph 17. Top Strategic Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Medium-Term (3-5yr) 25%   20%   20%   36%   14%   14%   14%   14%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Deficit  Funding  /  Management   Returns   Eurozone  &  UK  Growth   Interest  Rates  &  InflaGon   Sponsor  Solvency   Trustee   Sponsor   STRATEGIC CHALLENGES FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC CHALLENGES
  • 17. 17 41%   18%   12%   12%   12%   30%   20%   40%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   45%   Uncertain  /  Unfair  Poli7cal   Interference   Capital  Requirements   Death  of  DB   Regulatory  Burden   Who  knows?   Trustee   Sponsor   29%   24%   18%   22%   33%   22%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   Returns   Eurozone  &  Global  Growth   Interest  Rates  &  Infla>on   Deficit  Funding  /   Management   Longevity  and  Buy-­‐out   Trustee   Sponsor   Graph 20. Top Financial and Economic Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Long-Term (10- 20yr) Graph 21. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Medium-Term (3- 5yr) Graph 22. Top Political and Regulatory Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Long-Term (10- 20yr) 36%   18%   18%   36%   21%   14%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Valua/on  and  Repor/ng     Capital  Requirements   Regulatory  Burden   Monetary  Policy   Trustee   Sponsor   POLITICAL AND REGULATORY CHALLENGES
  • 18. 18 38%   19%   13%   13%   40%   10%   10%   10%   20%   10%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   45%   Governance  and  decision   making   Admin   Wind-­‐up  and  declining   membership   Technology  and  member   engagement   Strategy  ImplementaFon   and  Monitoring   Costs  &  Efficiency   Trustee   Sponsor   Graph 23. Top Operational Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Medium-Term (3-5yr) Graph 24. Top Operational Challenges by Trustees and Sponsors - Long-Term (10-20yr) 38%   16%   13%   23%   15%   15%   15%   15%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Governance  and   decision  making   Admin   Regulatory  Burden   Lack  of  Quality   Providers   Costs  &  Efficiency   Strategy   ImplementaKon  and   Monitoring   Trustee   Sponsor   OPERATIONAL CHALLENGES
  • 19. 19 The results of the survey, illustrated and discussed in the previous pages, provide a rare insight into the key challenges that those running pension funds currently face, or perceive that they face. As investment consultants, however, we at Redington see a slightly different perspective. Some key challenges that we expected would feature strongly in the survey results, did not. We have identified, in the course of our work with a range of clients representing over £270bn in assets and eleven of the largest 30 UK pension funds, some more challenges that we stand with our clients to face and that, we believe, might be some of the most important and serious ones on the horizon. A summary of those key challenges are described below for consideration and debate. STRATEGIC: ROLL DOWN AND CARRY Roll down and carry presents a more subtle – and perhaps less appreciated - variation on the interest rate challenge. This is the impact on pension fund liabilities assuming nothing changes except for the passage of time. The current interest rate curve is upward sloping because the market expects rates to rise in the future. These expectations are similarly reflected in the valuation of pension liabilities. Given the current shape of the curve, this means that a typical pension fund liability profile can be expected to grow by around 2.5% per year if interest rates merely remain unchanged. This presents an interesting twist for funds unwilling to hedge because they view today’s low rates as unattractive: can they afford to the pay the price if the expected rise in rates fails to materialise? FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC: REINVESTMENT RISK For well funded funds nearing the End Game, high quality credit allocations can form a key part of the portfolio. These allocations offer a relatively secure return over Gilts while also providing predictable cash flows to help meet benefit payments. For funds in this position, falling credit spreads (and the associated risk that coupon payments will be reinvested at lower rates of return) can present a significant challenge to their funding objectives. POLITICAL AND REGULATORY: CENTRAL CLEARING New 2013 OTC derivative regulations present complex challenges for UK pension funds. Should existing swaps be kept out or moved to central clearing? Should funds make use of the 2015 / 2018 exemption for new trades or move to clearing immediately? How funds respond to these questions will have important implications for areas like counterparty credit risk, collateral efficiency, eligible collateral and, ultimately, the strategic asset allocation. As the impact will vary depending on fund’s unique circumstances, a careful cost/benefit assessment, soon, is crucial. OPERATIONAL: LIQUIDITY While pension funds have the benefit over other institutional investors of being able to take advantage of longer investment horizons, liquidity is nevertheless a key operational challenge. Funds need to retain enough cash both to pay benefits as they fall due and meet potential margin calls on derivative positions. As this can have important implications for the investment strategy, careful monitoring and stress testing is essential. Below the Radar http://bit.ly/16NvAHh http://bit.ly/Yt35HP Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click on the hyperlink below for a direct link to: REDVIEWS Scan this QR code with your smart phone or click on the hyperlink below for a direct link to: REDVIEWS
  • 20. 20 Robert.Gardner@redington.co.uk 02072503416 twitter.com/robertjgardner Alice Cheung Investment Consulting | Associate Alex Lindenberg Investment Consulting | Analyst Mackenzie Nordal Communication Contacts Disclaimer Robert Gardner Co-CEO & Co Founder Alice.Cheung@redington.co.uk 02033267103 http://uk.linkedin.com/pub/alice-cheung/22/a12/457 Alex.Lindenberg@redington.co.uk 02033267114 Mackenzie.Nordal@redington.co.uk twitter.com/mackenzienordal http://www.linkedin.com/in/mackenzienordal This report is for investment professionals only and is for discussion purposes only. This report is based on data/information available to Redington Limited at the date of the report and takes no account of subsequent developments after that date. It may not be copied modified or provided by you, the Recipient, to any other party without Redington Limited’s prior written permission. It may also not be disclosed by the Recipients to any other party without Redington Limited’s prior written permission except as may be required by law. This report is not intended by Redington Limited to form a basis of any decision by the Recipient or by a third party to do or omit to do anything. Registered Office: 13-15 Mallow Street, London EC1Y 8RD. Redington Limited (reg no 6660006) is a company authorised and regu- lated by the Financial Conduct Authority and registered in England and Wales. © Redington Limited 2013. All rights reserved. linkedin.com/in/robertjgardner
  • 21. 21 MORE REDINGTON PUBLICATIONS CONNECT WITH REDINGTON THROUGH OUR SOCIAL MEDIA IRIS: MONITOR RISK, MEASURE PROGRESS, STAY ON TRACK. Please click the icons below to link to our social media R