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Punjab Technical University 
World over distance Education is fast growing mode of education because of the unique benefits 
it provides to the learners. Universities are now able to reach the community which has for so 
long been deprived or higher education due to various reasons including social, economic and 
geographical considerations. Distance Education provides them a second chance to upgrade their 
technical skills and qualifications. 
Some of the important considerations in initiating distance education in a country like India, has 
been the concern of the government in increasing access and reach of higher education to a larger 
student community. As such, only 6-8% of students in India take up higher education and more 
than 92% drop out before reaching 10+2 level. Further, avenues for upgrading qualifications, 
while at work, is limited and also modular programs for gaining latest skills through continuing 
education programs is extremely poor. In such a system, distance education programs provide 
the much needed avenue for: 
z Increasing access and reach of higher education; 
z Equity and affordability of higher education to weaker and disadvantaged sections of the 
society; 
z Increased opportunity for upgrading, retraining and personal enrichment of latest 
knowledge and know-how; 
z Capacity building for national interests. 
One of use important aspects of any distance education program is the learning resources. 
Learning material provided to the learner must be innovative, thought provoking, 
comprehensive and must be tailor-made for self-learning. It has been a continuous process for the 
University in improving the quality of the learning material through well designed course 
materials in the SIM format (self-instructional material). While designing the material, the 
university has researched the methods and process of some of the best institutions in the world 
imparting distance education. 
About the University 
Punjab Technical University (PTU) was set up by the Government of Punjab in 1997 through a 
state Legislative ACT. PTU started with a modest beginning in 1997, when University had only 
nine Engineering and thirteen Management colleges affiliated to it. PTU now has affiliated
43 Engineering colleges, 56 colleges imparting Management and Computer Application courses, 
20 institutions imparting pharmacy education, 6 Architecture institutions, 2 Hotel Management 
and 12 Regional Centres for imparting M. Tech and Ph. D Programs in different branches of 
Engineering and Management. During a short span of nine years, the University has undertaken 
many innovative programs. The major development during this period is that University has 
restructured its degree program and upgraded syllabi of the course in such a way as to increase 
the employability of the student and also to make them self-reliant by imparting Higher 
Technical Education. We at Punjab Technical University are propelled by the vision and wisdom 
of our leaders and are striving hard to discharge our duties for the overall improvement of 
quality of education that we provide. 
During a short span of nine years, the University has faced various challenges but has always 
kept the interest of students as the paramount concern. During the past couple of years, the 
University has undertaken many new initiatives to revitalize the educational programs imparted 
with the colleges and Regional centers. 
Though knowledge and skills are the key factors in increasing the employability and competitive 
edge of students in the emerging global environment, an environment of economic growth and 
opportunity is necessary to promote the demand for such trained and professional manpower. 
The University is participating in the process of technological growth and development in 
shaping the human resource for economic development of the nation. 
Keeping the above facts in mind Punjab Technical University, initiated the distance education 
program and started offering various job oriented technical courses in disciplines like information 
technology, management, Hotel Management, paramedical, Media Technologies and Fashion 
Technology since July 2001. The program was initiated with the aim of fulfilling the mandate of 
the ACT for providing continuing education to the disadvantaged economically backward 
sections of society as well as working professionals for skill up-gradation. 
The University has over the years initiated various quality improvement initiatives in running its 
distance education program to deliver quality education with a flexible approach of education 
delivery. This program also takes care of the overall personality development of the students. 
Presently, PTU has more than 60 courses under distance education stream in more than 
700 learning centers across the country.
About Distance Education Program of PTU 
Over the past few years, the distance education program of PTU has gained wide publicity and 
acceptance due to certain quality features which were introduced to increase the effectiveness of 
learning methodologies. The last comprehensive syllabus review was carried out in the year 
2004-05 and the new revised syllabus was implemented from September 2005. The syllabus once 
reviewed is frozen for a period of 3 years and changes, if any, shall be taken up in the year 2008. 
Various innovative initiatives have been taken, which has increased the popularity of the 
program. Some of these initiatives are enumerated below: 
1. Making a pyramid system for almost all courses, in which a student gets flexibility of 
continuing higher education in his own pace and per his convenience. Suitable credits are 
imparted for courses taken during re-entry into the pyramid as a lateral entry student. 
2. Relaxed entry qualifications ensure that students get enough freedom to choose their 
course and the basics necessary for completing the course is taught at the first semester 
level. 
3. A comprehensive course on „Communications and Soft Skills‰ is compulsory for all 
students, which ensures that students learn some basic skills for increasing their 
employability and competing in the globalized environment. 
4. Learning materials and books have been remodeled in the self-Instructional Material 
format, which ensures easy dissemination of skills and self-learning. These SIMs are given 
in addition to the class notes, work modules and weekly quizzes. 
5. Students are allowed to take a minimum of 240 hours of instruction during the semester, 
which includes small group interaction with faculty and teaching practical skills in a 
personalized manner. 
6. Minimum standards have been laid out for the learning centers, and a full time counselor 
and core faculty is available to help the student anytime. 
7. There is a wide network of Regional Learning and Facilitation Centers (RLFC) catering to 
each zone, which is available for student queries, placement support, examination related 
queries and day-to-day logistic support. Students need not visit the University for any of 
their problems and they can approach the RLFC for taking care of their needs. 
8. Various facilities like Free Waiver for physically challenged students, Scholarship scheme 
by the government for SC/ST candidates, free bus passes for PRTC buses are available to 
students of the University. 
The university continuously aims for higher objectives to achieve and the success always gears us 
for achieving the improbable. The PTU distance education fraternity has grown more than 200% 
during the past two years and the students have now started moving all across the country and 
abroad after completing their skill training with us. 
We wish you a marvelous learning experience in the next few years of association with us! 
DR. R. P. SINGH 
Dean 
Distance Education
Dr. S. K. Salwan 
Vice Chancellor 
Dr. S. K. Salwan is an eminent scientist, visionary and an experienced administrator. He is a 
doctorate in mechanical engineering from the IIT, Mumbai. Dr. Salwan brings with him 14 years 
of teaching and research experience. He is credited with establishing the Department of Design 
Engineering at the institute of Armament Technology, Pune. He was the founder-member of the 
integrated guided missile programme of defence research under His Excellency Honorable 
Dr. A.P.J. Abdul Kalam. He also established the high technology missile center, RCI at 
Hyderabad. He has been instrumental in implementing the Rs 1000-crore National Range for 
Testing Missiles and Weapon Systems at Chandipore, Balance in a record time of three years. He 
was director of the Armament Research and Development Establishment, Pune. Dr. Salwan has 
been part of many high level defence delegations to various countries. He was Advisor (Strategic 
project) and Emeritus Scientist at the DRDO. Dr. Salwan has won various awards, including the 
Scientist of the Year 1994; the Rajiv Ratan Award, 1995, and a Vashisht Sewa Medal 1996, the 
Technology Assimilation and Transfer Trophy, 1997 and the Punj Pani Award in Punjab for 2006. 
Dr. R.P. Singh 
Dean, Distance Education 
Dr. R.P. Singh is a doctorate in physics from Canada and has been a gold medallist of Banaras 
Hindu University in M.Sc. Dr. Singh took over the Department of Distance Education in 
November 2004 and since then the University has embarked on various innovations in Distance 
Education. 
Due to combined efforts of the department, the RLFCÊs and Centers, and with active support of 
the Distance Education Council headed by Dr. O.P. Bajpai, Director University College of 
Engineering Kurukshetra University the distance education program of PTU is now a structured 
system which empowers the learner with requisite skills and knowledge which can enhance their 
employability in the global market. Dr. R. P. Singh is promoting distance education at the 
national level also and is a founder member of Education Promotion Society of India and is 
member of various committees which explores innovative ways of learning for the disadvantages 
sections of society. The basic aim of the distance education programs has been to assimilate all 
sections of society including women by increasing the access. Reach, equity and affordability of 
higher education in the country.
CAPITAL BUDGETING 
MBA-517 
This SIM has been prepared exclusively under the guidance of Punjab Technical University (PTU) 
and reviewed by experts and approved by the concerned statutory Board of Studies (BOS). It 
conforms to the syllabi and contents as approved by the BOS of PTU.
Copyright © Prof. Aruna and Prof. B. Murali Krishna, 2008 
No part of this publication which is material protected by this copyright notice may be 
reproduced or transmitted or utilized or stored in any form or by any means now known or 
hereinafter invented, electronic, digital or mechanical, including photocopying, scanning, 
recording or by any information storage or retrieval system, without prior written permission 
from the publisher. 
Information contained in this book has been published by Excel Books Pvt. Ltd. and has been 
obtained by its authors from sources believed to be reliable and are correct to the best of their 
knowledge. However, the publisher and its author shall in no event be liable for any errors, 
omissions or damages arising out of use of this information and specifically disclaim any implied 
warranties or merchantability or fitness for any particular use. 
Published by Anurag Jain for Excel Books Pvt. Ltd., A-45, Naraina, Phase-I, New Delhi-110 028 
Tel: 25795793, 25795794 email: eb@excelbooks.com
PTU DEP SYLLABI-BOOK MAPPING TABLE 
MBA-517 CAPITAL BUDGETING 
Syllabi Mapping in Book 
Section I 
Capital Budgeting: An Introduction, Types of Investment 
Decisions, Objectives of Capital Budgeting, Estimating Project 
Characteristics. 
Cost of Capital. 
Section II 
Method of Capital Budgeting: Payback method. Average Return 
Average Investment, Net Present Value, Internet Rate of Return, 
Capital Rationing, Reinvestment Rate, Assumptions of NPV and 
IRR & Conflicting Rankings. Multiple Internal Rate of Return, 
Inflation & Capital Budgeting. 
Risk Analysis: Return & Opportunity Cost of Capital, Single 
Product Analysis Under Risk. 
Section III 
A Project Is Not A Black Box: Simulation, Sensitivity Analysis & 
Decision Free Analysis, CAPM Model, Arbitrage Pricing Theory, 
Comparison Between CAPM & APT. 
Leasing: Leveraged Leases, Alternative Investment, Measures, 
Project Abandonment Analysis, Multiple Project Capital 
Budgeting. 
Unit 1: Capital Budgeting 
(Page 3-12) 
Unit 2: Cost of Capital 
(Page 13-21) 
Unit 3: Methods of 
Capital Budgeting 
(Page 25-57) 
Unit 4: Risk Analysis 
(Page 59-79) 
Unit 5: A Project is Not 
a Black Box 
(Page 83-99) 
Unit 6: Leasing 
(Page 101-111)
Contents 
Section-I 
UNIT 1 CAPITAL BUDGETING 3 
Introduction 
Definition 
Process of Capital Budgeting 
Capital is a Limited Resource 
Types of Investment Decisions 
Objectives of Capital Budgeting 
Estimating Project Characteristics 
Summary 
Keywords 
Review Questions 
Further Readings 
UNIT 2 COST OF CAPITAL 13 
Introduction 
Cost of Different Sources of Finance 
The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) 
Marginal Cost of Capital 
Summary 
Keywords 
Review Questions 
Further Readings 
Section-II 
UNIT 3 METHODS OF CAPITAL BUDGETING 25 
Introduction 
Payback Period Method 
Accounting Rate of Return 
Discounted Cash Flow Methods 
Capital Rationing 
Reinvestment Rate 
NPV vs. IRR 
Multiple Internal Rate of Return 
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 
Summary 
Keywords 
Review Questions 
Further Readings
UNIT 4 RISK ANALYSIS 59 
Introduction 
What is Risk? 
Return 
Opportunity Cost of Capital 
Yield 
Single Product Analysis under Risk 
Summary 
Keywords 
Review Questions 
Further Readings 
Section-III 
UNIT 5 A PROJECT IS NOT A BLACK BOX 83 
Introduction 
Simulation 
Sensitivity Analysis 
Decision Tree Analysis 
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) 
Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) 
Comparison between CAPM and APT 
Summary 
Keywords 
Review Questions 
Further Readings 
UNIT 6 LEASING 101 
Introduction 
Leasing 
Leveraged Lease 
Alternative Investment Measures 
Project Abandonment Analysis 
Multiple Project Capital Budgeting 
Summary 
Keywords 
Review Questions 
Further Readings
SECTION-I 
Unit 1 
Capital Budgeting 
Unit 2 
Cost of Capital
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 3 
Unit 1 Capital 
Budgeting 
Unit Structure 
• Introduction 
• Definition 
• Process of Capital Budgeting 
• Capital is a Limited Resource 
• Types of Investment Decisions 
• Objectives of Capital Budgeting 
• Estimating Project Characteristics 
• Summary 
• Keywords 
• Review Questions 
• Further Readings 
Learning Objectives 
At the conclusion of this unit you should be able to understand: 
• Understand the importance of capital budgeting in marketing decision making 
• Explain the different types of investment project 
• Discuss the economic evaluation of investment proposals 
• Understand the concept and calculation of net present value and internal rate of return in 
decision making 
• Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of the payback method as a technique for 
initial screening of two or more competing projects. 
Introduction 
Capital budgeting is a required managerial tool. One duty of a financial manager is to 
choose investments with satisfactory cash flows and rates of return. Therefore, a 
financial manager must be able to decide whether an investment is worth 
undertaking and be able to choose intelligently between two or more alternatives. To 
do this, a sound procedure to evaluate, compare, and select projects is needed. This 
procedure is called capital budgeting. 
Definition 
Capital budgeting relates to the investment in assets or an organization that is 
relatively large. That is, a new asset or project will amount in value to a significant 
proportion of the total assets of the organization. 
The International Federation of Accountants, IFAC, defines capital expenditures 
as „Investments to acquire fixed or long-lived assets from which a stream of benefits 
is expected. Such expenditures represent an organization's commitment to produce 
and sell future products and engage in other activities. Capital expenditure decisions, 
therefore, form a foundation for the future profitability of a company‰.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
4 Self-Instructional Material 
Process of Capital Budgeting 
In line with our definition of capital budgeting, the term project refers to all 
investments (resource allocation) of significant size decided and implemented by an 
enterprise in order to shape its future. All projects are considered to be the result of a 
capital budgeting decision. Let's look at each step in turn. 
1. Have a Good Idea 
Projects don't just fall out of thin air: someone has to have them. The main point here 
is that successful, dynamic and growing companies are constantly on the lookout for 
new projects to consider. In the largest organisations there are entire departments 
looking for alternatives and opportunities. 
2. Look for Suitable Projects 
Once someone has had the idea to invest, the next step is to look at suitable projects: 
projects that complement current business, projects that are completely different to 
current business and so on. Initially, all possibilities will be considered: along the lines 
of a brainstorming exercise. 
As time goes by, and as corporate objectives allow, the initial list of potential projects 
will be whittled down to a more manageable number. 
3. Identify and Consider Alternatives 
Having found a few projects to consider, the organization will investigate any number 
of different ways of carrying them out. After all, the first idea probably won't either be 
the last or the best. Creativity is the order of the day here, as organizations attempt to 
start off on the best footing. 
As the diagram suggests, at each of these first three stages, we need to consider 
whether what we are proposing fits in with corporate objectives. There is no point in 
thinking of a project that conflicts with, say, the growth objective or the profitability 
objective or even an environmental objective. 
A lot of data will be generated in this stage and this data will be fed into stage four: 
Capital Investment Appraisal. 
4. Capital Investment Appraisal 
This is the number crunching stage in which we use some or all of the following 
methods: 
z Payback (PB) 
z Accounting rate of return (ARR) 
z Net present value (NPV) 
z Internal rate of return (IRR) 
z Profitability Index (PI) 
There are other techniques of course; but the technique to be used will depend on a 
range of things, including the knowledge and sophistication of the management of the 
organisation, the availability of computers and the size and complexity of the project 
under review.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 5 
5. Analysis of Feasibility 
Stage four is the number crunching stage. This stage is where the decision is made as 
to which project is to be assessed as acceptable. That is, which project is feasible? 
In order to choose the project, management needs some hurdles: 
z What must the payback be? 
z What rate of ARR is acceptable? 
z What is the NPV cut off? 
z What IRR is the least that we can accept? 
z What PI is the least that we can accept? 
and so on. 
Some projects will be discarded as a result of this stage. For example, if the PB cut off 
is, say, 2 years, and a project has a PB of 3 years, it will be rejected. The same is true of 
the ARR, NPV, IRR and PI. 
Capital rationing might be a problem here, too, if the organization has general cash 
flow problems. 
Capital Budgeting Policy Manual 
Let's pause at this point to make the point that what we have just said about cut off 
rates and so on, come from formal procedures and documents. One such formal 
document is the Capital Budgeting Policy Manual, in which formal procedures and 
rules are established to assure that all proposals are reviewed fairly and consistently. 
The manual helps to ensure that managers and supervisors who make proposals need 
to know what the organization expects the proposals to contain, and on what basis 
their proposed projects will be judged. 
The managers who have the authority to approve specific projects need to exercise 
that responsibility in the context of an overall organizational capital expenditure 
policy. 
In outline, the policy manual should include specifications for: 
1. An annually updated forecast of capital expenditures 
2. The appropriation steps 
3. The appraisal method(s) to be used to evaluate proposals 
4. The minimum acceptable rate(s) of return on projects of various risks 
5. The limits of authority 
6. The control of capital expenditures 
7. The procedure to be followed when accepted projects will be subject to an 
actual performance review after implementation. 
6. Choose the Project 
Once we have determined the feasible/acceptable projects, we then have to make a 
decision of which to accept. 
If we have capital rationing problems, we might be restricted to one project only. If 
we have no cash problems, we might choose two or more. 
Whatever the cash position, we would like to invest in all projects that have a positive 
NPV, whose IRR is greater than our cut off rate and so on.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
6 Self-Instructional Material 
7. Monitor the Project 
As with any part of the organization, the project must be monitored as it progresses. If 
the project can be kept as a separate part of the business, it might be classed as its own 
department or division and it might have its own performance reports prepared for it. 
If it's to be absorbed within one or more parts of the organization then it could be 
difficult to monitor it separately: this is something that management has to decide as 
they implement their new projects. 
8. Post Completion Audit 
The final stage: once the project has been up and running for six months or a year or 
so, there must be a post completion audit or a post audit. A post audit looks at the 
project from start to finish: stages 1 - 7 and looks at how it was thought of, analysed, 
chosen, implemented, monitored and so on. 
The purpose of the post audit is to test whether capital budgeting procedures have 
been fully and fairly applied to the project under review. 
Of course, any weaknesses that might be found during the post audit might be 
specific to one project or they might relate to capital budgeting systems for the 
organization as a whole. In the latter case, the auditor will report back to his superiors 
and to management that systems need to be overhauled as a result of what has been 
found. 
Capital is a Limited Resource 
In the form of either debt or equity, capital is a very limited resource. There is a limit 
to the volume of credit that the banking system can create in the economy. 
Commercial banks and other lending institutions have limited deposits from which 
they can lend money to individuals, corporations, and governments. In addition, the 
Federal Reserve System requires each bank to maintain part of its deposits as reserves. 
Having limited resources to lend, lending institutions are selective in extending loans 
to their customers. But even if a bank were to extend unlimited loans to a company, 
the management of that company would need to consider the impact that increasing 
loans would have on the overall cost of financing. 
In reality, any firm has limited borrowing resources that should be allocated among 
the best investment alternatives. One might argue that a company can issue an almost 
unlimited amount of common stock to raise capital. Increasing the number of shares 
of company stock, however, will serve only to distribute the same amount of equity 
among a greater number of shareholders. In other words, as the number of shares of a 
company increases, the company ownership of the individual stockholder may 
proportionally decrease. 
The argument that capital is a limited resource is true of any form of capital, whether 
debt or equity (short-term or long-term, common stock) or retained earnings, accounts 
payable or notes payable, and so on. Even the best-known firm in an industry or a 
community can increase its borrowing up to a certain limit. Once this point has been 
reached, the firm will either be denied more credit or be charged a higher interest rate, 
making borrowing a less desirable way to raise capital. 
Faced with limited sources of capital, management should carefully decide whether a 
particular project is economically acceptable. In the case of more than one project, 
management must identify the projects that will contribute most to profits and, 
consequently, to the value (or wealth) of the firm. This, in essence, is the basis of 
capital budgeting.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 7 
An efficient allocation of Capital is the most important finance function in modern 
times. It involves decisions to commit the firmÊs funds to the long-term assets. Capital 
budgeting or investment decisions are of considerable importance to the firm since 
they tend to determine its value by influencing its growth, profitability and risk. 
The investment decisions of a firm are generally known as the capital budgeting or 
capital expenditure decisions. A capital budgeting decision may be defined as the 
firmÊs decision to invest its current funds most efficiently in the long-term assets in 
anticipation of an expected flow of benefits over a service of years. The long-term 
assets are those that affect the firmÊs operations beyond the one year period. The 
firmÊs investment decisions would generally include expansion, acquisition, 
modernization and replacement of the long-term assets. Decisions like the change in 
the methods of sales distribution, or an advertisement campaign or a research and 
development programme have long-term implications for the firmÊs expenditures and 
benefits and therefore, they should also be evaluated as investment decisions. 
Capital Budgeting versus Current Expenditures 
A capital investment project can be distinguished from current expenditures by two 
features: 
a) Such projects are relatively large 
b) A significant period of time (more than one year) elapses between the 
investment outlay and the receipt of the benefits. 
As a result, most medium-sized and large organisations have developed special 
procedures and methods for dealing with these decisions. A systematic approach to 
capital budgeting implies: 
a) The formulation of long-term goals. 
b) The creative search for and identification of new investment opportunities. 
c) Classification of projects and recognition of economically and/or statistically 
dependent proposals. 
d) The estimation and forecasting of current and future cash flows. 
e) A suitable administrative framework capable of transferring the required 
information to the decision level. 
f) The controlling of expenditures and careful monitoring of crucial aspects of 
project execution. 
g) A set of decision rules which can differentiate acceptable from unacceptable 
alternatives is required. 
Types of Investment Decisions 
Every Investment decision is a specific decision in the given situation, for a given firm 
and with given parameters and therefore, an almost infinite number of types or forms 
of capital budgeting decisions may occur. In general, the capital budgeting decisions 
or investment decisions are categorized as follows. 
1. From the Point of View of Firm’s Existence 
The capital budgeting decisions may be taken by a newly incorporated firm or by an 
already existing firm. 
1. New Firm: Capital Budgeting decision relating to new firms are normally 
concerned with selection of a particular project, initial capacity utilization etc.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
8 Self-Instructional Material 
2. Existing Firm: Capital budgeting decisions relating to existing firms may be 
concerned with replacement and modernization of assets, expanding the 
existing capacity, diversifying into new products/markets, investment in 
Research and Development etc. 
(a) Decisions concerned with Replacement and Modernization: In case of an 
existing plant whose economic life is over, the decision to be made is 
concerned with replacement of the existing plant. In case the existing 
firmÊs plant / assets become obsolete (even before its economic life), 
the decisions to be made is concerned with modernization of its plant. 
In the former situation, the objective is to restore at least the same 
(existing) capacity while in the later situation the objective is to 
increase efficiency or reduce cost. As both of them aim at attaining 
greater levels of efficiency, these decisions are also called as „Cost 
reduction decisions‰. 
(b) Decisions Concerned with Expansion: Here the decisions are with 
evaluation of marginal costs and marginal benefit where the 
management aims at expanding existing production capacity to 
increase its market share. 
(c) Decisions Concerned with Diversification: When the management aims 
at reducing risk by entering (Diversifying) into new product lines, 
new markets, the capital budgeting decisions would be concerned 
with evaluation of marginal costs and margin/benefits associated 
with new products/markets. Further, the impact of diversification on 
existing products/markets should be considered. As capital 
budgeting decisions concerned with expansion and diversification 
aim at increasing revenue, these capital budgeting decisions are also 
known as „Revenue increasing Decisions‰. 
(d) Decisions concerned with Investments in Research and development: When 
firms are plagued by technological obsolescence, investments in R&D 
are important to avoid huge capital expenditures. Hence, a proper 
evaluation of investments in R&D would be beneficial. 
(e) Decisions concerned with Miscellaneous investments: Certain investment 
decisions like investments in pollution control equipment may not 
directly concern with either reduction of costs or increase of profits, 
but are essential due to legal requirements. Evaluation of these 
proposals/equipment is a specific capital budgeting decision. 
2. From the Point of View of Decision Situation 
The capital budgeting decisions may also be classified from the point of view of the 
decision situation as follows: 
(a) Independent Investments: Independent investments serve different purposes 
and do not compete with each other. For examples, a heavy engineering 
company may be considering expansion of its plant capacity to manufacture 
addition/excavators and addition of new production facilities to manufacture 
a new product – light commercial vehicles depending on their profitability 
and availability of funds, the company can undertake both investments. 
(b) Contingent or Dependent Investments: Contingent investments are those 
investments where the choice of one investment necessitates undertaking one 
or more other investments. For examples, if a company decides to build a 
factory in a remove, backward area, it may have to invest in houses, roads, 
hospitals, schools etc for employees to attract the work force. Thus, building
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 9 
of factory also requires investment in facilities for employees. The total 
expenditure will be treated as one single investment. 
(c) Mutually Exclusive Investments: Mutually exclusive investments serve the 
same purpose and compete with each other. If one investment is undertaken, 
others will have to be excluded. A company may, for example, either use a 
more labour-intensive, semi-automatic machine, or employ a more capital – 
intensive, highly automatic machine for production. Choosing the semi-automatic 
machine preludes the acceptance of the highly automatic machine. 
Objectives of Capital Budgeting 
Capital Budgeting decisions are the most important part of financial management. 
The decisions concerning the allocations of scarce resources, decide the fate of the 
company. Any mistake in this stage creeps into other aspect of the firm and impacts 
the prospects of the firm for a long future period of time. One practical example in 
this regard is, Ponds Indian Limited have launched Ponds toothpaste, which left bitter 
memories to the company. This decision not only resulted in financial losses, but also 
its reputation had taken a beating. 
Capital budgeting decisions have the following objectives: 
1. Capital budgeting decisions involve commitment of huge amount funds. 
These funds if not allocated to projects with sufficient rate of return, it would 
result in the erosion of capital. 
2. Capital budgeting decisions have long-term effects on the risk-return 
composition of the firm. Any discrepancy in this aspect would result in 
accepting unprofitable projects whose impact would be felt for a long future 
period of time. 
3. Capital budgeting decisions are irreversible. Once funds are committed to 
projects it is not possible to revert back, unless the management is ready to 
absorb heavy losses. Hence, it is of almost importance to carry out a 
meticulous evaluation of the project. 
4. Capital budgeting decisions affect a companyÊs ability to compete. Right 
decision to expand or modernize can work wonders for the company. All the 
same time, wrong decisions can till the company. 
5. Capital budgeting decisions are complex in nature. This complexity arises due 
to the difficulty in estimating the cash inflows that arise in distant uncertain 
future. 
Estimating Project Characteristics 
Business firms have scarce resources that must be allocated among competitive uses. 
The available capital must be used in a manner which is consistent with the over all 
socio-economic objectives. This becomes more difficult when there are several 
competing projects, each giving a rate of return higher than the minimum cut-off rate. 
For a detailed evaluation of the project, the following project characteristics have to be 
estimated. 
1. Technical feasibility 
2. Economic feasibility 
3. Financial feasibility 
4. Managerial competence 
5. Market feasibility
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
10 Self-Instructional Material 
1. Technical Feasibility 
A project must be technically feasible. This can be judged by a detailed assessment of 
the following factors: 
i) Location of the project: The project must be located at a place where saw 
materials, transport facilities, manpower, market for the products will be 
readily available. 
ii) Technology used: The technology used has been tested and suits the local 
conditions. The technical know how is available and technical collaborators 
are persons of good reputation. 
iii) Plant and equipment: The supplier of plant and equipment needed for the 
projects are of experience and reputation. Plant layout is in accordance with 
the production flow diagram. 
iv) Construction and installation: These schedules have been drawn out and 
they will be adhered to as scheduled. Technical feasibility seeks to determine 
whether prerequisites for the successful commissioning of the project have 
been considered and reasonably good choices have been made with respect to 
location size process etc. 
2. Economic Feasibility 
Economic feasibility analysis is also referred to as a social cost benefit analysis which 
is considered with judging a project from the larger social point of view but mot in 
monetary terms. In such an evaluation, the focus is the social costs and benefits of a 
project which may often be different from the monetary costs and benefits of the firm. 
The economic necessity aspect may be taken care of by taking into account the 
following factors. The extent to which 
a) The market will absorb the additional production of the new project. 
b) The project is expected to contribute to the natural government department. 
c) The project can bring about development in the area. 
d) The project will create more employment etc. 
3. Financial Feasibility 
Financial appraisal is done to ascertain whether the proposed project will be 
financially viable in the sense of being able to meet the burden of servicing debt and 
whether the proposed project will satisfy the return expectations of those who 
provide capital. While appraising a project financially, the following aspects should 
be kept in mind. 
1. Cost of the Project: The estimates of the cost of the project should cover all 
items of expenditure and should be realistic. 
2. Sources of Finance: Sources of finance contemplated by the promoters should 
be adequate and necessary finance should be available during installation. 
Financial institutions give special emphasis to the following aspects which 
have to be kept in mind while evaluating a project on financial criteria. 
1. Investment outlay and Cost of Project 
2. Means of Financing 
3. Cost of Capital 
4. Projected Profitability
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 11 
5. Break Even Point 
6. Cash flows of the Project 
7. Investment worthiness judged in terms of various criteria of merit 
8. Projected financial position and flows 
9. Level of risk 
4. Managerial Competence 
The technical competence, administrative ability, integrity and resourcefulness of 
borrowing concernÊs to p managerial personnel determines to a great extent the 
willingness of a financial institution to accept a term loan proposal. 
The loan application from firms having competent and honest management finds 
favorable considerations. It can therefore be stated that the appraisal of the 
managerial competence is of primary importance in the overall appraisal of the 
project. 
5. Market Feasibility 
Market feasibility is concerned with two questions: 
i) What would be the aggregate demand of the proposed product / service in 
future? 
ii) What would be the market share of the project under appraisal? 
In order to answer these two questions, a market analyst requires a wide 
variety of information and suitable forecasting methods. 
The information required includes: 
a) Consumption trends in the past and present level. 
b) Past and present supply position. 
c) Production possibilities and constraints. 
d) Imports and exports. 
e) Structure of competition. 
f) Cost structure. 
g) Elasticity of demand. 
h) Consumer behavior, intentions, motivations, preferences etc. 
i) Distribution channels and marketing policies in use. 
j) Administrative, technical and legal constraint. 
Student Activity 
Fill up the blanks: 
1. Capital budgeting is also known as __________ 
2. Estimating the return period on investment is known as ___________ 
3. Capital budgeting techniques is classified into ________ methods.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
12 Self-Instructional Material 
Summary 
In brief, this unit has demonstrated that capital budgeting involves a lot more than 
just carrying out a few calculations for payback, ARR and so on. 
The capital budgeting process involves expenditures and investments that are 
relatively large and that must then be undertaken and controlled in a serious, 
professional way. 
Keywords 
Capital Budgeting: The firmÊs decision to invest its current funds most efficiently in 
the long-term assets in anticipation of an expected flow of benefits over a service of 
years. 
Independent Investments: Independent investments serve different purposes and do 
not compete with each other. 
Contingent Investments: Contingent investments are those investments where the 
choice of one investment necessitates undertaking one or more other investments. 
Review Questions 
1. Define the concept of capital budgeting and explain its objectives. 
2. Briefly explain the process of capital budgeting. 
3. What are the different types of capital budgeting? 
4. Explain the differences between the capital budgeting and current 
expenditure. 
Further Readings 
I M Pandey, Financial Management 
Dr. S.N. Maheswari, Financial Management (Principles & Practices) 
Khan and Jain, Financial Management (Text, Problems and Cases) 
Prasanna Chandra, Financial Management (Text, Problems and Cases)
Cost of Capital 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 13 
Unit 2 Cost of Capital 
Unit Structure 
• Introduction 
• Cost of Different Sources of Finance 
• The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) 
• Marginal Cost of Capital 
• Summary 
• Keywords 
• Review Questions 
• Further Readings 
Learning Objectives 
At the conclusion of this unit you should be able to: 
• Know the concept of cost of capital 
• Understand the various types of cost of capital 
• Know the concept of marginal cost of capital 
Introduction 
The term „cost of capital‰ refers to the minimum rate of return a firm must earn on its 
investment so that the market value of the companyÊs equity shares does not fall. This 
is possible only when the firm earns a return of the projects financed by equity share 
holderÊs funds at a rate which is at least equal to the rate of return expected by them. 
More specifically, "cost of capital" is defined as "the opportunity cost of all capital 
invested in an enterprise." 
Let's dissect this definition: 
1. "Opportunity cost" is what you give up as a consequence of your decision to 
use a scarce resource in a particular way. 
2. "All capital invested" is the total amount of cash invested into a business. 
3. "In an enterprise" refers to the fact that we are measuring the opportunity 
cost of all sources of capital which include debt and equity. 
The cost of capital has two aspects to it: 
1. The cost of funds that a company raises and uses, and the return that 
investors expect to be paid for putting funds into the company. 
2. It is therefore the minimum return that a company should make on its own 
investments, to earn the cash flow out of which investors can be paid their 
return. 
The cost of capital is an opportunity cost of finance, because it is the minimum return 
which an investor requires. For shareholders it is the dividend they expect to receive 
plus a capital gain on the value of their shares, while for loan holders it is the rate of 
interest which is quoted on the loan. Failure to pay such required return will result in
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
14 Self-Instructional Material 
the providers of finance transferring their holdings to other opportunities with a 
better rate of return. The cost of capital has three elements: 
1. Risk free rate of return: Return required from a completely risk free 
investment. E.g. yield on government securities. 
2. Business risk premium: Increase in required rate of return due to uncertainty 
about future and business prospects. 
3. Financial risk premium: Dangers of high debt levels, variability in equity 
earnings after payments to debt capital holders. 
The above three components of cost of capital may be put in the form of following 
equation. 
K = ro + b + f 
Where k = cost of capital 
ro = return at zero risk level 
b = premium for business risk 
f = premium for financial risk 
In capital budget decisions, the cost of capital is often used as a discount rate (or) 
hurdle rate on the basis of which the firmÊs future cash flows are discounted to find 
out their present values. Thus, the cost of capital is the very basis for financial 
appraisal of new capital expenditure proposals. The decision of the finance manager 
will be irrational and wrong in case of capital is not correctly determined. This is 
because the business must earn at least at a rate which equals to cost of capital in 
order to make at least a break-even. 
Cost of Different Sources of Finance 
Where a company uses a mix of equity and debt capital its overall cost of capital 
might be taken to be the weighted average cost of each type of capital. Thus 
Cost of Ordinary Shares 
Cost of Equity 
In finance, the cost of equity is the minimum rate of return a firm must offer 
shareholders to compensate for waiting for their returns, and for bearing some risk. 
The cost of equity capital for a particular company is the rate of return on investment 
that is required by the company's ordinary shareholders. The return consists both of 
dividend and capital gains, e.g. increases in the share price. The returns are expected 
future returns, not historical returns, and so the returns on equity can be expressed as 
the anticipated dividends on the shares every year in perpetuity. The cost of equity is 
then the cost of capital which will equate the current market price of the share with 
the discounted value of all future dividends in perpetuity. 
The cost of equity reflects the opportunity cost of investment for individual 
shareholders. It will vary from company to company because of the differences in the 
business risk and financial or gearing risk of different companies. 
The cost of equity is calculated by the following formula: 
Ke = Earning per share/Market Price per share 
Ke = Cost of Equity 
EPS = Earning Per Share 
MPS = Market Price Per Share
Cost of Capital 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 15 
The formula above calculates the cost of equity based on a firm's current rate of 
return. If one assumes a perfect market, industry-specific costs of equity reflect the 
riskiness of particular industries. A high cost of equity would then indicate a higher-risk 
industry that should command a higher return to compensate for the higher risk. 
However, there are also a variety of other ways to estimate the cost of equity. For 
example, using the CAPM model, the cost of equity is the product of the Market Risk 
Premium and the equity's Beta_(finance) plus the Risk-free_interest_rate. 
New fund for equity shareholders are obtaining from: 
z New issuance of shares. 
z Cash derived from retained earnings. 
Shareholders can not subscribe for new shares unless they are promised a better 
return on those shares. Retained earnings also have a cost, the dividend forgone by 
shareholders. The dividend payable to ordinary shareholders represents the cost of 
shares. 
Dividend Valuation Model 
Ignoring share issue costs, the cost of equity for both new issue and retained earnings, 
could be estimated by means of a dividend valuation model. The assumption that the 
market of shares is directly related to expected future dividends on the shares. 
1. Constant dividend: Where is it assumed that dividend will remain constant 
through out the years the cost of equity is calculated as follows: 
Ke = D 
MP 
Ke is the shareholdersÊ cost of capital. 
D1 is the annual dividend per share, starting at year 1 and then continuing 
annually in perpetuity. 
MP = Market price per share 
From the formula above the market value of shares can be calculated as: 
2. The dividend growth model: 
(a) Capital Asset Pricing Model: The required return on ordinary 
shares can also be calculated by an alternative approach called the 
capital asset pricing model. This topic is covered much in next 
chapter. It is a model based on the proposition that the return on 
any shares equals to the risk – free rate of return plus a risk 
premium on risk which cannot be diversified. 
Systematic risk - the risk that can be minimized through 
diversification. 
Unsystematic risk - the risk, which remains even after diversification 
(or market risk) 
Under the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), the required rate of 
return for ordinary shares can be described by the formula: 
Ke = 10% + 0.6 (15% - 10%) 
= 10% +0.6(5%) 
= 10% + 3% 
= 13%
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
16 Self-Instructional Material 
(b) If the risk of the shares was a little bit high say 1.6 then the cost of shares will 
also be high to compensate for the increased risk levels. 
Ke = 10% + 1.6 (15% - 10%) 
= 10% +1.6(5%) 
= 10% + 8% 
= 18% 
Cost of Preference Shares 
The preference shareholder is entitled to a fixed rate of dividend which is quoted 
together with the shares. i.e. 12% K4 Preference shares means the shares have a 
nominal value of 12% and are entitled to an annual dividend of 12% per the nominal 
value. 
So the cost of preferred shares is the rate which is given. 
Cost of Debt 
The cost of debt capital, which has already been issued, is the rate of interest (the 
internal rate of return), which equates the current market price with the discounted 
future cash flow from the security. 
z Irredeemable debt: For redeemable debt the cost is calculated as the interest 
payable over the market value of debt. 
The tax is included because interest on loan is allowable for tax purposes so if 
a company use borrowed capital there is always a saving due to tax relief on 
interest paid. 
z Cost of redeemable debt: These are debts with a defined period or date of 
repayment. The cost of these debts will be found by using the internal rate 
of return. 
Example: 
Peet Ltd. has 7% debentures in issue. The market price is K95.75 ex interest. 
Ignoring taxation, calculate the cost of this capital if the debenture is: 
(a) Irredeemable. 
(b) Redeemable at par after 5 years. 
Solution 
(a) The cost of debt capital is 7.3% if irredeemable. The capital profit 
that will be made from now to the date of redemption is K4.25 
(K100 – K95.75). This profit will be made over five years which 
gives an annualised profit of K0.85.(4.25/5) which is about 0.9% of 
current market value. The best trial and error figure to try first is, 
therefore, 7.3% + 0.9% = 8.2% say 8% to the nearest. 
Year Cash flow Discount PV Discount PV 
8% K 10% K 
0 Mkt value (95.75) 1.000 (95.75) 1.000 (95.75) 
1 – 5 Interest 7 3.993 27.95 3.791 26.54 
5 Repayment 100.00 0.681 68.10 0.621 62.10 
0.30 (7.11)
Cost of Capital 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 17 
The approximate cost of debt capital is therefore: 
The cost of debt capital estimated above represents the cost of continuing to use the 
finance rather than redeeming the debt securities at their current market price. It 
would also represent the cost of raising additional finance if we assume that the cost 
of additional capital would be equal to the cost of that already issued. A company 
with no debt capital can make the calculations using the information of another 
company which is judged to be similar as regards to risk. 
The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) 
As stated above the structure of a company consists of equity capital and various 
forms of debt capital, and each capital item has its own cost. The weighted average 
cost of capital is the average cost of a companyÊs different sources of finance. 
The WACC is calculated on the assumption that the company will maintain the same 
level of debt equity ratio. The WACC calculated is used as the discount rate for capital 
project appraisals. This is will be ideal where: 
z In projects of a standard level of business risk, and 
z By raising funds in the same equity/ debt proportions as its existing capital 
structure. 
The general formula for WACC is: 
if you need to calculate the WACC where debt is redeemable, you should calculate 
the after-tax cost of debt using the techniques set out earlier and substitute this into 
the formula in place of Kd ( 1 – t). 
We calculate a company's weighted average cost of capital using a 3 step process: 
1. Cost of capital components. First, we calculate or infer the cost of each kind 
of capital that the enterprise uses, namely debt and equity. 
A. Debt capital. The cost of debt capital is equivalent to actual or 
imputed interest rate on the company's debt, adjusted for the tax-deductibility 
of interest expenses. Specifically: 
The after-tax cost of debt-capital = The Yield-to-Maturity on long-term 
debt x (1 minus the marginal tax rate in %) 
B. Equity capital. Equity shareholders, unlike debt holders, do not 
demand an explicit return on their capital. However, equity 
shareholders do face an implicit opportunity cost for investing in a 
specific company, because they could invest in an alternative 
company with a similar risk profile. Thus, we infer the opportunity 
cost of equity capital. 
We can do this by using the "Capital Asset Pricing Model" (CAPM). This 
model says that equity shareholders demand a minimum rate of return equal 
to the return from a risk-free investment plus a return for bearing extra risk. 
This extra risk is often called the "equity risk premium", and is equivalent to 
the risk premium of the market as a whole time a multiplier·called "beta"· 
that measures how risky a specific security is relative to the total market. 
Thus, the cost of equity capital = Risk-Free Rate + (Beta times Market Risk 
Premium). 
2. Capital structure. Next, we calculate the proportion that debt and equity 
capital contribute to the entire enterprise, using the market values of total debt 
and equity to reflect the investments on which those investors expect to earn a 
minimum return.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
18 Self-Instructional Material 
3. Weighting the components. Finally, we weight the cost of each kind of capital 
by the proportion that each contributes to the entire capital structure. This 
gives us the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), the average cost of 
each Rs. of cash employed in the business. 
Illustration 1: 
Kwacha transport LTD is financed partly by bonds. The equity proportion is always 
kept at two-thirds of the total. The cost of equity 14% and that of debt is 8%. A new 
project is under consideration that will cost K200,000 and yield a return before interest 
of K75,000 a year for four years. Should the project be accepted? Ignore taxation. 
Solution: 
The WACC is the best rate to be used in appraising the project. 
Proportional Cost Cost x Proportion 
Equity 2/3 14% 9.33% 
Debt 1/3 8% 2.67% 
WACC 12.00% 
Year Cash flow Discount factor P.V. 
12% 
0 (200,000) 1.000 (200,000) 
1 75,000 0.893 66,975 
2 75,000 0.797 59,775 
3 75,000 0.712 53,400 
4 75,000 0.636 47,700 
Net present value 27,850 
The NPV of the investment is K27,850 and the project appears financial viable. 
Illustration 2: 
A firm has the following capital structure and after tax costs for the different sources 
of funds used: 
Source of funds Amount Proportion After tax cost 
(Rs.) (%) (%) 
Debt 1500000 25 5 
Preference shares 1200000 20 10 
Equity Shares 1800000 30 12 
Retained Earning 1500000 25 11 
Total 6000000 100 
You are required to compute the weighted average cost of capital 
Solution: 
Source of Funds Amount Proportion After tax cost 
(Rs.) % % 
Debt 25 5 1.25 
Preference shares 20 10 2.00 
Equity Shares 30 12 3.6 
Retained Earning 25 11 2.75 
Weighted Average Cost of capital 9.60%
Cost of Capital 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 19 
Illustration 3: 
Continuing the above illustration 2, if the firm has 18000 equity shares of Rs. 100 each 
outstanding and the current price is Rs. 300 per share, calculate the market value 
weighted average cost of capital assuming that the market values and book values of 
the debt and preference capital are same. 
Solution: 
Source of funds Amount Proportion Cost Weighted Cost 
Rs. % (W) % (X) W.X % 
Debt 1500000 18.52 5 0.93 
Preference shares 1200000 14.81 10 1.48 
Equity Shares 5400000 66.67 12 8.00 
(18000@300) 
Weighted Average 
Cost of capital 10.41% 
1. Weighting: In the example the weighting for debt and equity was simplified, 
but in real environment the can be determined by using 
(a) Weights could be based on the market values of debt and equity. 
(b) Weights could be based on balance sheet values( book value) 
2. Arguments for using the WACC as a discounting rate are relevant if the 
following assumptions hold: 
(a) The project is small relative to the overall size of the company. 
(b) The weighted average cost of capital reflects the companyÊs long-term 
future capital structure and capital costs. 
(c) The project has the same degree of business risk as the company has 
now. When the new project has a different business risk the WACC 
cannot be used. 
(d) New investments must be financed by new sources of funds, 
retained earnings, share issue, new loans and so on. 
(e) The cost of capital to be applied to project evaluation reflects the 
marginal cost of new capital. 
Marginal Cost of Capital 
Definition 
The cost associated with raising one additional Rs. of capital. The marginal cost will 
vary according to the type of capital used. For example, raising funds through the use 
of unsecured or subordinated debt, or through debt that requires higher interest rates 
to offset risk, will be more expensive than debt that is backed by collateral, such as a 
secured bond. 
Some times, we may be required to calculate the cost of additional funds to be raised, 
called the marginal cost of capital. The marginal cost of capital is the weighted 
average cost of new capital calculated by suing the marginal weights. The marginal 
weights represent the proportions of various sources of funds to be employed in 
raising additional funds. In case, a firm employs the existing proportion of capita; 
structure and the component cost remain the same the marginal cost of capital; shall 
be equal to the weighted average cost of capital. but in pract6ice, the proportion and/ 
or the component costs may change for additional funds to be raised. Under the
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
20 Self-Instructional Material 
situation the marginal cost of capital shall not be equal to the weighted average cost of 
capital. However the marginal cost of capital ignores the long term implications of the 
new financing plans, and thus weighted average cost of capital should be preferred 
for maximization of shareholders wealth in the long run 
Illustration 4: 
A firm has the following capital structure and after tax costs for the different sources 
of funds used: 
Source of Funds Amount Proportion After tax cost 
Rs. % % 
Debt 450000 30.0 07 
Preference shares 375000 25.0 10 
Equity Shares 675000 45.0 15 
1500000 100 
(a) Calculate the weighted cost of capital using book-value weights. 
(b) The firms wish to raise further Rs. 600000 for the expansion of the project as 
below: 
Rs. 
Debt 300000 
Preference capital 150000 
Equity Capital 150000 
Assuming these specific costs do not change, compute the weighted marginal cost of 
capital 
Solution: 
Computation of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) 
Source of funds Proportion after Tax Cost Weighted Cost 
% (W) % % 
Debt 30.0 07 2.10 
Preference shares 25.0 10 2.50 
Equity Shares 45.0 15 6.75 
Weighted Average Cost of Capital 11.35% 
Computation of Weighted Marginal Cost of Capital (WMCC) 
Marginal Weight 
Source of funds Proportion after Tax Cost Weighted Cost 
% (W) % % 
Debt 50.0 07 3.50 
Preference shares 25.0 10 2.50 
Equity Shares 25.0 15 3.75 
Weighted Marginal Cost of Capital 9.75%
Cost of Capital 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 21 
Student Activity 
Fill up the blanks: 
1. The most appropriate rate is the firmÊs ________________. 
2. A project can be accepted only when its rate of return is excess of the 
firms _________________. 
3. The term „cost of capital‰ refers to the ___________ a firm must earn on 
its investment so that the market value of the companyÊs equity shares 
does not fall. 
4. A firm has the following capital structure and after tax costs for the 
different sources of funds used: 
Source of funds Amount Proportion After tax cost 
Rs % % 
Debt 1500000 25 5 
Preference shares 1500000 25 10 
Equity Shares 1500000 25 12 
Retained Earning 1500000 25 11 
Total 6000000 100 
You are required to compute the weighted average cost of capital 
Summary 
The cost of capital is the very basis for financial appraisal of new capital expenditure 
proposals. The decision of the finance manager will be irrational and wrong in case of 
capital is not correctly determined. This is because the business must earn at least at a 
rate which equals to cost of capital in order to make at least a break-even. 
Keywords 
Mutually Exclusive Investments: Mutually exclusive investments serve the same 
purpose and compete with each other. If one investment is undertaken, others will 
have to be excluded. 
Cost of Capital: IT refers to the minimum rate of return a firm must earn on its 
investment so that the market value of the companyÊs equity shares does not fall. 
Review Questions 
1. Define the concept of cost of capital and explain its components. 
2. What are the different types of cost of capital? 
Further Readings 
IM Pandey, Financial Management 
Dr. S.N. Maheswari, Financial Management (Principles & Practices) 
Khan & Jain, Financial Management (Text, Problems and cases)
SECTION-II 
Unit 3 
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Unit 4 
Risk Analysis
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 25 
Unit 3 Methods of 
Capital 
Budgeting 
Unit Structure 
• Introduction 
• Payback Period Method 
• Accounting Rate of Return 
• Discounted Cash Flow Methods 
• Capital Rationing 
• Reinvestment Rate 
• NPV vs. IRR 
• Multiple Internal Rate of Return 
• Inflation and Capital Budgeting 
• Summary 
• Keywords 
• Review Questions 
• Further Readings 
Learning Objectives 
At the conclusion of this unit you should be able to: 
• Know the various tools of capital budgeting 
• Understand the methods under the capital budgeting 
• Study the advantages and disadvantages of various methods used in Capital Budgeting 
• Review its purpose 
Introduction 
The attractiveness of any investment proposal depends on the following elements: 
1. The amount expended i.e. the net investment 
2. The potential benefits i.e. the operating cash Inflows 
3. The time period over which these benefits will accrue i.e., economic life of the 
project. 
A proper investment analysis must relate these three elements to provide an 
indication of whether the investment is worthy of being taken up or not. How do 
these three basic elements i.e. the net investment, the operating cash flows and the 
economic life can be related to determine the proposalÊs worthiness?
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
26 Self-Instructional Material 
There are different techniques available for evaluation and selection of a proposal. 
These techniques can be grouped into two categories as shown below: 
Capital Budgeting Techniques 
Traditional (or) 
Non-discounting Methods 
Time adjusted (or) Discounted 
cash flow method 
Payback period Accounting rate of return 
Net present value Internal rate of returns Profitability Index 
Payback Period Method 
The payback period method is the simplest method of evaluating investment 
proposals. Payback period represents the number of years required to recover the 
original investment. The payback period is also called payout or payoff period. 
The CIMA defines payback as 'the time it takes the cash inflows from a capital 
investment project to equal the cash outflows, usually expressed in years'. When 
deciding between two or more competing projects, the usual decision is to accept the 
one with the shortest payback. 
Payback is often used as a "first screening method". By this, we mean that when a 
capital investment project is being considered, the first question to ask is: 'How long 
will it take to pay back its cost?' The company might have a target payback, and so it 
would reject a capital project unless its payback period were less than a certain 
number of years. 
a. When annual cash inflow is constant 
Payback period = 
Original Cost of the Project 
Annual Cash inflow 
Note: Annual cash inflow is the annual earnings (profit before depreciation 
but after taxes) 
b. When annual cash inflow is not constant 
PBP = E + B/C 
Where 
PBP = pay back period 
E = immediate preceding year before the year of final recovery 
B = Balance amount yet to be recovered 
C = cash flow during the year of final recovery.
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 27 
Example 1: 
A project costs Rs.50, 000 and yields annual cash inflow of Rs 10,000 for 7 years. 
Calculate its payback period? 
Solution: 
Payback period = 
Original Cost of the Project 
Annual Cash inflow 
= 
50, 000 
10, 000 
= 5 years 
Example 2: 
Determine the payback period for a project which requires a cash outlay of Rs. 12,000 
Rs. 4,000, Rs. 4,000 and Rs. 50,000 in the first, second, third and fourth years 
respectively. 
Solution: 
Year Annual Cash inflow Accumulated Cash inflow 
1 2000 20,000 
2 4000 6,000 
3 4000 10,000 
4 5000 15,000 
(Hint: The total investment i.e. 12,000 can be recovered in 4th year only. But the 
preceding year of 4th year is 3rd year. Therefore, E=3. In the 3rd year, the 
accumulated cash inflow is only Rs.10, 000, which implies a balance of Rs.2000 has to 
be recovered. Therefore B= 2000. The annual cash inflow in the recovery year is 
Rs. 5000 therefore C = 5000) 
PBP = E + 
B 
C 
= 3 + 
2, 000 
5, 000 
= 3 + 0.4 = 3.4 years. 
Example 3: 
Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 
Project A 1,000,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 
For a project with equal annual receipts: 
PP = 
Io 
Ct 
= 
$1, 000, 000 
$250, 000 
= 4 Years 
Example 4: 
Years 0 1 2 3 4 
Project B - 10,000 5,000 2,500 4,000 1,000
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
28 Self-Instructional Material 
Payback period lies between year 2 and year 3. Sum of money recovered by the end of 
the second year 
= Rs. 7,500, i.e. (Rs 5,000 + Rs 2,500) 
Sum of money to be recovered by end of 3rd year 
= Rs 10,000 - Rs 7,500 
= Rs 2,500 
Payback period = 
$2, 500 
2 + 
$4, 000 
years 
= 2.625 years 
Advantages of Payback Period Method 
1. Simple to understand and easy to calculated. 
2. It reduces the chance of loss through obsolescence. As the project with a short 
payback period is preferred, the chance of obsolescence is reduced. 
3. A firm which has shortage of funds finds this method very useful. Project that 
makes a quick return is preferred. 
Disadvantages 
1. This method does not take into consideration the cash inflows beyond the 
payback period. 
2. It does not take into consideration the time value of money. It considers the 
same amount received in the second year and third year as equal. 
Acceptance Criteria 
1. The shorter the payback period, the less risky the investment is i.e. The 
shorter the payback period, the better is the project. 
2. In case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with less pack back period 
is preferred. 
Accounting Rate of Return 
The ARR method (also called the return on capital employed (ROCE) or the return on 
investment (ROI) method) of appraising a capital project is to estimate the accounting 
rate of return that the project should yield. If it exceeds a target rate of return, the 
project will be undertaken. 
Average rate of return is found out by dividing the average income after depreciation 
and taxes i.e. the accounting profit by the average investment. 
Thus, ARR= 
Annual Earning 
Average Investment 
×100 
Where average annual earnings is the total of anticipated annual earnings after 
depreciation and tax (accounting profit) divided by the number of years. 
Average investment is calculated in three ways: 
1. When there is no salvage value (scrap value) ,then 
Average investment = 
Total Investment 
2
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 29 
2. If there is scrap value, then average investment is calculated as 
Average investment = 
Total Investment + Scrap Value 
2 
3. If there is additional working capital, then average investment is calculated as 
Average investment = 
Total Investment + Scrap Value 
2 
+ Additional Working Capital 
Acceptance Criteria 
1. The higher the ARR, the better is the project. 
2. In the case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with high ARR is 
Preferred. 
Example 5: 
Calculate the average rate of return for projects A and B from the following: 
Particulars Project A Project B 
Investment Rs. 20,000 Rs. 30,000 
Expected life 4 years 5 years 
Projected Net Income (After depreciation and taxed) 
Years Project A Project B 
1 2000 3000 
2 1500 3000 
3 1500 2000 
4 1000 1000 
5 ----- 1000 
Total 6000 10,000 
Solution: 
ARR = 
Average Earnings 
Average Investment 
× 100 
Project A 
Average Earnings = 
6, 000 
4 
= 1,500 
Average investment = 
20, 000 
2 
= 10,000 
ARR = 
1, 500 
10,000 
× 100 = 15% 
Project B 
Average Earnings = 
10, 000 
5 
= 2,000 
Average Investment = 
30,000 
2 
= 15,000
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
30 Self-Instructional Material 
ARR = 
2,000 
15,000 
× 100 = 13.33% 
Project A is accepted as the ARR for project A is higher than Project B. 
Example 6: 
Project x required an investment of Rs. 50,000 and has a scrap value of Rs 2000 after 
five years. It is expected to yield profits after depreciation and taxed during the five 
years amounting to Rs. 4,000, Rs. 6,000, Rs. 7,000, Rs.5, 000 and Rs 2,000. Calculated 
the average rate of return. 
Solution: 
ARR = 
Average Earning 
Average Investment 
× 100 
Average Earnings = 
Total Earnings 
No. of years 
= 
4,000 +6,000 + 7,000 + 5,000 + 2,000 
5 
= 
24,000 
5 
= 4,800 
Average Investment = 
Total Investment + Scrap Value 
2 
= 
50, 000 2,000 
2 
= 26,000 
ARR = 
4,800 
26, 000 
× 100 = 18.46% 
Example 7: 
A project has an initial outlay of $1 million and generates net receipts of $250,000 for 
10 years. 
Assuming straight-line depreciation of $100,000 per year: 
$250,000 $100,000 
The RR on total investment = 
1, 000,000 
= 15% 
ARR on Total Investment = 
Net Annual Profit 
Investment Outlay/2 
or a 
C–D 
o 
R 
I /2 
= 
$250,000 $100,000 
$1, 000,000 2 
= 
$150, 000 
$500, 000 
= 30% 
Advantages 
1. It is easy to understand and calculate. 
2. It can be compared with the cut off point of return and hence the decision to 
accept or reject is made easier. 
3. It considers all the cash inflows during the life of the project, not like payback 
method.
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 31 
4. It is a reliable measure because it considers net earnings that is, earnings after 
depreciation, interest and taxes. 
Disadvantages 
1. The concept of time value of money is ignored. 
2. Unless we have a cut off point of return, accounting rate of return cannot be 
meaningful and effective. 
3. The average concept is not reliable, particularly in time of high or wild 
fluctuations in the returns. 
Discounted Cash Flow Methods 
Discounted cash flow methods are the improved methods over the traditional 
methods. They consider the time value of money. They consider the whole earnings of 
the proposal and the cost of the cost of the project. Because of these reasons, these 
methods are also called modern methods of investment appraisal. Discounted cash 
flow methods are: 
1. Net present value 
2. Internal rate of return 
3. Profitability Index 
1. Net Present Value Method 
This is generally considered to be the best method for evaluating the capital 
investment proposals. The Net present valued (NPV) is the difference between the 
total present value of future cashing flows and total p[resent value of the future cash 
outflows. 
Each potential project's value should be estimated using a discounted cash flow (DCF) 
valuation, to find its net present value (NPV) - (see Fisher separation theorem). This 
valuation requires estimating the size and timing of all of the incremental cash flows 
from the project. These future cash flows are then discounted to determine their 
present value. These present values are then summed, to get the NPV. See also Time 
value of money. The NPV decision rule is to accept all positive NPV projects in an 
unconstrained environment, or if projects are mutually exclusive, accept the one with 
the highest NPV. 
The NPV is greatly affected by the discount rate, so selecting the proper rate - 
sometimes called the hurdle rate - is critical to making the right decision. The hurdle 
rate is the minimum acceptable return on an investment. It should reflect the riskiness 
of the investment, typically measured by the volatility of cash flows, and must take 
into account the financing mix. Managers may use models such as the CAPM or the 
APT to estimate a discount rate appropriate for each particular project, and use the 
weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to reflect the financing mix selected. A 
common practice in choosing a discount rate for a project is to apply a WACC that 
applies to the entire firm, but a higher discount rate may be more appropriate when a 
project's risk is higher than the risk of the firm as a whole. 
NPV = CFAT C PV – PV 
Where CFAT PV refers to the present value of future cash inflows after taxes. 
C PV Refers to the present value of original investment or capital.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
32 Self-Instructional Material 
The equation for calculating NPV in case of conventional cash flows can be put as 
follows: 
R R R R 
(1 K) (1 K) (1 K) (1 K) 
NPV = 1 2 3 n 
1 2 3 n 
– I 
In case of non-conventional cash inflows (i.e. when there are a series of cash inflows 
as well as cash out flows) the equation for calculating NPV is as follows: 
R R R R 
(1 K) (1 K) (1 K) (1 K) 
NPV = 1 2 3 n 
1 2 3 n 
– 
I I I I 
1 2 3 n 
o 1 2 3 n 
I 
(1 K) (1 K) (1 K) (1 K) 
Where NPV = Net Present Value, R = cash inflows at different time periods, K = cost 
of capital or cut off rate, I = cash out flows at different time periods. 
Acceptance Criteria 
1. If NPV is positive or zero, the project is accepted and if NPV is negative, the 
project is rejected. 
2. In case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with more NPV is selected 
or preferred. 
Example 8: 
Calculate the net present value of the two projects and suggest which of the two 
projects should be accepted assuming a discount rate of 10%. 
Particulars Project A Project B 
Initial Investment Rs 40,000 Rs 60,000 
Estimated Life 5 years 5 years 
Scrap Value Rs 2,000 Rs 4,000 
The project before depreciation but after taxes is as follows: 
Year Project A Project B 
1 12,000 35,000 
2 18,000 25,000 
3 7,000 12,000 
4 5,000 4,000 
5 4,000 4,000 
Solution: 
Project A 
Year Cash inflows *Present value of Re 1 at 10% Present value of cash inflows 
1 2 3 4 = 2 * 3 
1 12,000 0.909 10,908 
2 18,000 0.826 14,868 
3 7,000 0.751 5,257 
4 5,000 0.683 3,415 
5 4,000 0.621 2,484 
5(scrap) 2,000 0.621 1,242 
Total 38,174
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 33 
*Observe present value of Re 1 table 
Present value of cash inflows = 38,174 
Less: Present value of investment = 40,000 
Net present value = -1,826 
Project B 
Year Cash Inflows *Present value of Re 1 at 10% Present value of cash inflows 
1 2 3 4 = 2 * 3 
1 35,000 0.909 31,815 
2 25,000 0.826 20,650 
3 12,000 0.751 9,012 
4 4,000 0.683 2,732 
5 4,000 0.621 2,484 
5(scrap) 4,000 0.621 2,484 
Total 69,177 
Present value of cash inflows = 69,177 
Less: Present value of investment = 60,000 
Net present value = 9,177 
Since project B gives positive NPV, it is to be selected. 
Note: The scrap value is considered as a cash inflow at the end of the 5th year 
Example 9: 
The cash inflow and cash out flow of a certain project are given below: 
Year Cash out flow (Rs.) Cash in flow (Rs.) 
0 2, 00,000 — 
1 50,000 30,000 
2 50,000 
3 70,000 
4 1, 20,000 
5 80,000 
The net salvage value at the end of 5th year is 30,000. The cost of capital is 12%. 
Calculate the net present value. 
Solution: 
NPV = CFAT C PV – PV 
Year Cash Inflow Discount Factor at 12% Present Value of Cash Inflows 
1 30,000 0.893 26,790 
2 50,000 0.797 39,850 
3 70,000 0.712 49,840 
4 1, 20,000 0.635 76,200 
5 80,000 0.567 45,360 
5(scrap) 30,000 0.567 17,010 
Total 2, 55,050
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
34 Self-Instructional Material 
Present Value of Initial Investment = Rs 2, 00,000 
Present Value of Additional Investment made at the end of the 1st year = Rs. 44,650 
Present Value of the Total Investment = Rs 2, 44,650 (2, 00,000 + 44,650) 
NPV= CFAT C PV – PV 
= 2, 55,050 – 2, 44,650 
= Rs 10,400 
Example 10: 
Rank of following investment project is order of the profitability according to NPV 
assuming cost of capital to be 10%. 
Project Initial Cash Outflow Annual Cash Outflow Life (in years) 
X 20,000 4,000 8 
Y 10,000 4,000 5 
Solution: 
Project X 
Present value of Rs 4,000 is received annually for 8 years 
4,000 × 5.335 = Rs 21,340 
NPV = 21,340 – 20,000 = 1,340 
Project Y 
Present value of Rs 4,000 is received annually for 5 years 
4,000 × 3.791 = Rs 15,164 
NPV = 15,164 – 10,000 = 5,164 
According to NPV method, Project Y is ranked first and Project X is ranked second. 
Note: When the cash flows are uniform or equal then annuity discount factor is to be 
considered. 
In the above example, 5.335 is the annuity discount faction for 8 years at 10% 
Where as 3.791 is the annuity discount factor for 5 years at 10%. 
Advantages 
1. It considers the time value of money 
2. It considers the earnings over the entire life of the project 
3. It is helpful in comparing two projects requiring same amount of cash 
outflows. 
Disadvantages 
1. Not helpful in comparing two projects with different cash outflows. 
2. This method may be misleading in comparing the projects of unequal lives. 
2. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 
The internal rate of return (IRR) is defined as the discount rate that gives a net present 
value (NPV) of zero. It is a commonly used measure of investment efficiency. 
The IRR method will result in the same decision as the NPV method for independent 
(non-mutually exclusive) projects in an unconstrained environment, in the usual cases
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 35 
where a negative cash flow occurs at the start of the project, followed by all positive 
cash flows. In most realistic cases, all independent projects that have an IRR higher 
than the hurdle rate should be accepted. Nevertheless, for mutually exclusive projects, 
the decision rule of taking the project with the highest IRR - which is often used - may 
select a project with a lower NPV. 
In some cases, several zero NPV discount rates may exist, so there is no unique IRR. 
The IRR exists and is unique if one or more years of net investment (negative cash 
flow) are followed by years of net revenues. But if the signs of the cash flows change 
more than once, there may be several IRRs. The IRR equation generally cannot be 
solved analytically but only via iterations. 
One shortcoming of the IRR method is that it is commonly misunderstood to convey 
the actual annual profitability of an investment. However, this is not the case because 
intermediate cash flows are almost never reinvested at the project's IRR; and, 
therefore, the actual rate of return is almost certainly going to be lower. Accordingly, 
a measure called Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR) is often used. 
Despite a strong academic preference for NPV, surveys indicate that executives prefer 
IRR over NPV, although they should be used in concert. In a budget-constrained 
environment, efficiency measures should be used to maximize the overall NPV of the 
firm. Some managers find it intuitively more appealing to evaluate investments in 
terms of percentage rates of return than dollars of NPV. 
Internal Rate of Return is that rate at which the sum of discounted cash outflows. In 
other words, it is the rate which discounts the cash flows to zero. 
Cash in flows/Cash outflows = 1 
In this method, the discount rate is not known but the cash outflows and cash inflows 
are known. For example, if a sum of 800 invested in a project becomes Rs. 1,000 at the 
end of a year, the rate of return comes to 25 %, calculated as follows: 
I = 
R 
1 R 
Where I = Cash outflow i.e. initial investment 
R = Cash inflow 
r = Rate of return yielded by the investment (or IRR) 
Thus, 
800 = 
1, 000 
1 r 
800 + 800r = 1000 
800r = 200 
r = 200/800 
= .25 or 25%. 
Acceptance Criteria 
1. If internal rate of return (r) is more than required rate of return (k) then the 
project is selected. 
2. In case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with more IRR is preferred. 
The required rate of return (k) is also known as cut off rate or hurdle rate of cost of 
capital. The internal rate of return is not a predetermined rate; rather it is to be found 
out by trial and error method. It implies that one has to start with a discounting rate
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
36 Self-Instructional Material 
to calculate the present value of cash inflows. If the obtained present value is higher 
than the initial cost of the investment one has to try with a higher rate. Likewise if the 
present value of the expected cash inflows obtained is lower than the present value of 
cash outflow, a lower rate is to be taken up. 
Example 11: 
A firm has an investment opportunity involving Rs. 50,000. The cost of capital is 10% 
from the details given below find out the internal rate of return and see whether the 
project is acceptable. 
Cash flow of 1st year Æ Rs 5,000 
Cash flow of 2nd year Æ Rs 10,000 
Cash flow 3rd year Æ Rs 15,000 
Cash flow 4th year Æ Rs 25,000 
Cash flow 5th year Æ Rs 30,000 
Solution: 
As it is a trial and error method we can start with any rate. Let us try 15% and 20% 
Year Cash inflows PV at 15% Discounted cash 
inflows 
PV at 20% DiscountedCash 
inflows 
1 2 3 4=2*3 5 6=2*5 
1 5,000 0.870 4,350 0.833 4,165 
2 10,000 0.756 7,560 0.694 6,940 
3 15,000 0.658 9,870 0.571 8,685 
4 25,000 0.572 14,300 0.482 12,050 
5 30,000 0.497 14,910 0.402 12,060 
Total 50,990 43,900 
The present value of cash inflows at 15% is Rs 50,990 which is more than initial 
investment of Rs. 50,000 and at 20% Rs. 43,900 which is less than the required one. 
Hence, the actual IRR lies in between 15% and 20% and can be computed by way of 
interpolation as follows: 
PV – PV 
IRR = CFAT C 
r r 
1 
PV 
C 
Where r1= lower discount rate 15% 
CFAT PV = Present value of earnings at lower rate Rs 50,990 
C PV = Actual investment Rs 50,000 
PV = difference in present value of earnings at lower rate and higher rate 
= (50,990- 43,990) = 7,090 
r = difference in rate of return = 5% (20 – 15) 
PV – PV 
IRR = CFAT C 
r r 
1 
PV 
C 
= 
50, 990 – 50,000 
15 5 
50, 990 – 43, 990
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 37 
= 
990 
15 5 
7090 
= 15 + 0.7 = 15.7% 
As the internal rate of return (15.7%) is above the cost of capital (10%) the project is 
acceptable. 
Example 12: 
Find out the IRR of the following, investment proposal: 
Initial investment Rs. 70,000 
Expected annual cash inflow Rs 24,000 
Economic life of the project 4 years 
Solution: 
As the annual cash inflows are uniform the present value can be calculated with the 
help of annuity table. 
Present value of total cash inflows. 
At 12% discount factor = 24,000 x 3.037 =Rs.72,888 
At 14% discount factor = 24,000 x 2.917 =Rs. 69,936 
Note: You can use or take any discount factor. It is not mandatory that you should 
take only 12% and 14% but it is to be noted that one should be positive NPV and one 
should be negative NPV. 
IRR can be computed as follows: 
PV – PV 
IRR = CFAT C 
r r 
1 
PV 
C 
r1 = 12% 
CFAT PV = 72,888 
C PV = 70,000 
PV = 72,888 – 69,936 = 2952 
r = 14 – 12 = 2% 
PV – PV 
IRR = CFAT C 
r r 
1 
PV 
C 
= 
72,888 – 70, 000 
12 2 
72, 888 – 69, 936 
= 
2, 888 
12 2 
2, 952 
= 12 + 1.96 = 13.96% 
Advantages 
1. It considers the time value of money. 
2. The earnings over the entire life of the project are considered. 
3. Effective for comparing projects of different life periods with different timings 
of cash inflows.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
38 Self-Instructional Material 
Disadvantages 
1. This method is tedious and difficult to calculate. 
2. This method is on the assumption that the earnings are reinvested at the IRR 
which is not always true. 
Modified IRR (MIRR) 
The MIRR is similar to the IRR, but is theoretically superior in that it overcomes two 
weaknesses of the IRR. The MIRR correctly assumes reinvestment at the projectÊs cost 
of capital and avoids the problem of multiple IRRs. However, please note that the 
MIRR is not used as widely as the IRR in practice. 
There are three basic steps of the MIRR: 
(1) Estimate all cash flows as in IRR. 
(2) Calculate the future value of all cash inflows at the last year of the projectÊs 
life. 
(3) Determine the discount rate that causes the future value of all cash inflows 
determined in step 2, to be equal to the firmÊs investment at time zero. This 
discount rate is know as the MIRR. 
Project L 
0 1 2 3 
-100.00 10 60 80.00 
PV Costs = 
TV 
n 
1+MIRR 
66.00 
12.10 
$158.10 = TV of 
MIRR is better than IRR because 
1. MIRR correctly assumes reinvestment at projectÊs cost of capital. 
2. MIRR avoids the problem of multiple IRRs. 
inflows 
100.00 
$ 0.00 = NPV 
PV outflows = $100 
TV inflows = $158.10. 
MIRR = 16.5% 
MIRRS = 16.9%. 
10%
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 39 
3. Profitability Index Method 
This method is also called benefit cost ratio. Profitability index is the ratio of present 
value of cash inflow to present value of cash outflow. 
Profitability Index = 
Present Value of Cash inflow 
Present Value of Cash outflow 
While NPV is an absolute measure, the PI is a relative measure. 
The Profitability Index, or PI, method compares the present value of future cash 
inflows with the initial investment on a relative basis. Therefore, the PI is the ratio of 
the present value of cash flows (PVCF) to the initial investment of the project. 
In this method, a project with a PI greater than 1 is accepted, but a project is rejected 
when its PI is less than 1. Note that the PI method is closely related to the NPV 
approach. In fact, if the net present value of a project is positive, the PI will be greater 
than 1. On the other hand, if the net present value is negative, the project will have a 
PI of less than 1. The same conclusion is reached, therefore, whether the net present 
value or the PI is used. In other words, if the present value of cash flows exceeds the 
initial investment, there is a positive net present value and a PI greater than 1, 
indicating that the project is acceptable. 
PI is also know as a benefit/cash ratio. 
Project L 
10% 
-100.00 10 60 80 
PV1 9.09 
PV2 49.59 
PV3 60.11 
118.79 
PI = 
0 1 2 3 
PV of cash flows 
initial cost 
= 
118.79 
100 
= 1.10 
Accept project if PI > 1. 
Reject if PI < 1.0 
Acceptance Criteria 
1. If the profitability index is greater than or equal to 1, the proposal is accepted 
else rejected. 
2. In case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with more PI should be 
selected.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
40 Self-Instructional Material 
Example 13: 
The initial cash outlay of project is Rs. 50,000 and it generates cash inflows of 
Rs. 16,000, Rs. 19,000,Rs.22,000 and Rs.13,000 in four years. Ascertain the profitability 
index of the proposed investment assuming 10% rate of discount. 
Solution: 
Year Cash Inflow Discount Factor at 10% Present Value of Cash Inflows 
1 16,000 0.909 14,544 
2 19,000 0.826 15,694 
3 22,000 0.751 16,522 
4 13,000 0.683 8,879 
Total 55,639 
Profitability Index = 
Present Value of Cash inflow 
Present Value of Cash outflow 
= 
55,639 
50,000 
= 1.11 
Since the profitability index is greater than one, the proposal may be accepted. 
Advantages 
1. It is easy to calculate, given the present value of cash inflows. 
2. Projects of different magnitude in terms of duration and cash flows can be 
short-listed on their basis of their profitability. 
3. It is recommended for use particularly when there is shortage of funds, 
because it correctly ranks the proposals. 
Capital Rationing 
Capital rationing is a situation where a firm has more investment proposals than it 
can finance. It may be defined as  a situation where a constraint is placed on the total 
size of capital investment during a particular period. In such an event the firm has to 
select combination of investment proposals that provided the highest net present 
valued subject to the budget constraint for the period. 
z Exists whenever enterprises cannot, or choose not to, accept all value-creating 
investment projects. Possible causes: 
™ Banks and investors say „NO‰ 
™ Managerial conservatism 
z Analysis is required. One must consider sets of projects, or „bundles‰, rather 
than individual projects. The goal should be to identify the value-maximizing 
bundle of projects. 
z The danger is that the capital-rationing constraint heightens the influence of 
nonfinancial considerations, such as the following: 
™ Competition among alternative strategies 
™ Corporate politics 
™ Bargaining games and psychology 
The outcome could be a sub-optimal capital budget, or, worse, one that 
destroys value!
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 41 
z Some remedies are the following: 
™ Relax and eliminate the budget constraint. 
™ Manage the process rather than the outcomes. 
™ Develop a corporate culture committed to value creation. 
Example 14: 
ABC Company is considering the following six proposals: 
Project Cost (Rs.) NPV (Rs.) 
1 1,000 210 
2 6,000 1,560 
3 5,000 850 
4 2,000 260 
5 2,500 500 
6 500 95 
You are required to calculate the profitability index for each project and rank them. 
Which projects would you choose if the total funds are Rs 8,000? 
Solution: 
Project Cost NPV NPV PI 
1 2 3 4=2+3 5=4/2 
1 1000 210 1210 1.21 
2 6000 1,560 7,560 1.26 
3 5000 850 5,850 1.17 
4 2000 260 2260 1.13 
5 2500 500 3000 1.20 
6 500 95 595 1.19 
Ranking of the projects as per PI method is project 2, 1, 5,6,3,4. 
If the total funds are restricted to Rs 8,000 the best combination of projects may be 
found with the help of feasibility set approach as follows: 
Combination Outlay NPV 
1, 2, 6 7500 1865 
2, 4 8000 1820 
1, 3, 4 8000 1320 
3, 4, 6 7500 1205 
3, 5, 6 8000 1445 
1, 4, 5, 6 6000 1065 
The best combination of projects is 1, 2 and 6 and it gives the highest NPV of Rs. 1,865.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
42 Self-Instructional Material 
Reinvestment Rate 
Example 15: 
XYZ Ltd. is having required rate of return of 8% is evaluating two mutually exclusive 
proposals A and B for which the relevant data is as follows: 
Year Cash flows (A) Cash flows (B) 
0 -2500 -3000 
1 2000 500 
2 1000 1000 
3 500 3000 
Evaluate and rank these proposals. 
Solution: 
NPV and IRR of both the proposals are as follows: 
Projects NPV at 8% (Rs.) IRR 
Proposal A 606 24.8% 
Proposal B 702 17.5% 
In the above case, the NPV and IRR techniques are giving contradictory results. 
According to NPV, proposal B is preferred and according to IRR, proposal A is 
preferred. The difference in ranking is due to the fact that the timing of cash inflows 
of the two proposals is different. Proposal A is producing higher inflows in early 
years while proposal B is producing higher cash inflows in later years. But why then 
the different rankings? The answer to this question is found in the implied 
assumption of the NPV and the IRR techniques, known as the Reinvestment rate 
Assumption. 
It is assumed that when the cash inflows are received, they are immediately 
reinvested in another project or asset. This implied reinvestment rate assumption 
allows us to consider any proposal independently of 
1. Where the cash inflows are going after they are received? 
2. How they are being used? 
3. At what rate they are being reinvested by firm. 
The NPV technique assumes that all the intermediate cash inflows are reinvested at a 
rate equal to the discount rate. So, in case of mutually exclusive proposals, all the 
intermediate cash inflows are assumed to be reinvested at the same rate i.e. the 
discount rate regardless of which proposal is accepted. 
The IRR technique on the other band, assumes that the intermediate cash inflows are 
reinvested at a rate equal to the proposals IRR itself thus, different alternative 
proposals will have different reinvestment rates. 
Thus, in the above problem, NPV technique assumes that the cash inflows of both the 
proposals A and B are being reinvested at 8% for the rest of the economic life of the 
proposal. On the other hand, the IRR technique assumes that the cash inflows of 
proposal A will be reinvested at 24.8% while the cash inflows of proposal B will be 
reinvested at 17.5%. 
In practice, however it may not be realistic to assume that the reinvestment rate of 
firm will depend upon the proposal being accepted. The reinvestment rate is fixed 
and being an external variable it has nothing to do with the proposal being accepted 
or rejected.
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 43 
NPV vs IRR 
Though NPV and IRR are discounted cash flow methods, they are different from each 
other in several respects. The chief points of difference between the two are as 
follows: 
1. The net present values method takes the interest rate as a known factor while 
internal rate of return method takes it as unknown factors. 
2. The net present values method seeks to find out the amount that can be 
invested in a given project so that its anticipated earnings will exactly suffice 
to repay this amount with interest at market rate. On the other hand, internal 
rate of return method seeks to find the maximum rate of interest at which the 
funds invested in the project could be repaid out the cash inflows arising out 
of that project. 
3. Both the net present value method and internal rate of return method proceed 
on this presumption that each inflow can be reinvested at the discounting rate 
in the new projects. However, reinvestment of funds at the cut off rate is more 
possible than at the internal rate of return. Hence, NPV method is more 
reliable than the IRR method for ranking two or more capital investment 
projects. 
Similarities in Results under NPV and IRR 
Both NPV and IRR will give the same result (i.e. acceptance or rejection) regarding 
the investment proposal in following cases: 
1. Projects involving conventional cash flows i.e. when and initial outflow is 
followed by a series of inflows. 
2. Independent investment proposals i.e. proposals where the acceptance of one 
does not preclude the acceptance of others. 
Conflict in Results under NPV and IRR 
NPV and IRR methods may give conflicting results in case of mutually exclusive 
projects i.e. projects where acceptance of one would result in non acceptance of the 
other. Such conflict of result may be due to any one or more of the following reasons: 
1. The project require different cash outlays. 
2. The projects have unequal lives. 
3. The projects have different patterns of cash flows. 
In such a situation, the result given by the NPV method should be relied upon. This is 
because the objective of company is to maximize its share holderÊs wealth.IRR method 
is concerned with the rate of return on investment rather than total yield on 
investment. Hence it is not compatible with the goal of wealth maximization.NPV 
method considers the total yield on investment.Hence,incase of mutually exclusive 
projects, each having a positive NPV,the one with the largest NPV will have the most 
beneficial effect of shareholders wealth. 
Independent vs Dependent Projects 
NPV and IRR methods are closely related because: 
i) Both are time-adjusted measures of profitability, and 
ii) Their mathematical formulas are almost identical. 
So, which method leads to an optimal decision: IRR or NPV?
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
44 Self-Instructional Material 
a) NPV vs IRR: Independent Projects 
Independent Project: Selecting one project does not preclude the choosing of the other. 
With conventional cash flows (-|+|+) no conflict in decision arises; in this case both 
NPV and IRR lead to the same accept/reject decisions. 
Figure 3.1: NPV vs IRR Independent Projects 
If cash flows are discounted at k1, NPV is positive and IRR > k1: accept project. 
If cash flows are discounted at k2, NPV is negative and IRR < k2: reject the project. 
Mathematical proof: for a project to be acceptable, the NPV must be positive, i.e. 
n n 
C C 
t t 
– I > 0 or – I > I 
t o t o o 
(I+k) (I+k) 
t–1 t–1 
Similarly for the same project to be acceptable: 
n 
t 
t o 
t–1 
C 
= I 
(I+R) 
where R is the IRR. 
Since the numerators t C are identical and positive in both instances: 
z Implicitly/intuitively R must be greater than k (R > k); 
z If NPV = 0 then R = k: the company is indifferent to such a project; 
z Hence, IRR and NPV lead to the same decision in this case. 
b) NPV vs IRR: Dependent Projects 
NPV clashes with IRR where mutually exclusive projects exist.
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 45 
Example 16: 
Agritex is considering building either a one-storey (Project A) or five-storey (Project 
B) block of offices on a prime site. The following information is available: 
Initial Investment Outlay Net Inflow at the Year End 
Project A -9,500 11,500 
Project B -15,000 18,000 
Assume k = 10%, which project should Agritex undertake? 
A 
$11, 500 
NPV – $9, 500 
1.1 
= $954.55 
B 
$18, 000 
NPV – $15,000 
1.1 
= $1,363.64 
Both projects are of one-year duration: 
IRRA: 
$11,500 
A 
$9, 500 
1+R 
$11,500 = $9,500 (1 +RA) 
$11,500 
= 1+ RA 
$9,500 
RA= 
$11,500 
$9,500 
– 1 
= 1.21 – 1 
therefore IRRA = 21% 
IRRB: 
$18,000 
B 
$15, 000 
1+R 
$18,000 = $15,000(1 + RB) 
= 1.2-1 
therefore IRRB = 20% 
Decision: 
Assuming that k = 10%, both projects are acceptable because: 
NPVA and NPVB are both positive 
IRRA > k And IRRB > k 
Which project is a "better option" for Agritex? 
If we use the NPV method: 
NPVB ($1,363.64) > NPVA ($954.55): Agritex should choose Project B. 
If we use the IRR method: 
IRRA (21%) > IRRB (20%): Agritex should choose Project A.
Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
46 Self-Instructional Material 
Figure 3.2: NPV vs IRR: Dependent Projects 
Up to a discount rate of ko: project B is superior to project A, therefore project B is 
preferred to project A. 
Beyond the point ko: project A is superior to project B, therefore project A is preferred 
to project B. 
The two methods do not rank the projects the same. 
Differences in the Scale of Investment 
NPV and IRR may give conflicting decisions where projects differ in their scale of 
investment. 
Example 17: 
Years 0 1 2 3 
Project A -2,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 
Project B -14,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 
Assume k= 10%. 
NPVA = $1,500 x PVFA at 10% for 3 years 
= $1,500 × 2.487 
= $3,730.50 – $2,500.00 
= $1,230.50. 
NPVB = $7,000 x PVFA at 10% for 3 years 
= $7,000 x 2.487 
= $17,409 - $14,000 
= $3,409.00. 
IRRA = o 
t 
I 
C 
= 
$2,500 
$1,500 
= 1.67.
Methods of Capital Budgeting 
Notes 
Punjab Technical University 47 
Therefore IRRA = 36% (from the tables) 
IRRB = o 
t 
I 
C 
= 
$14,000 
$7,000 
= 2.0 
Therefore IRRB = 21% 
Decision: 
Conflicting, as: 
z NPV prefers B to A 
z IRR prefers A to B 
NPV IRR 
Project A $ 3,730.50 36% 
Project B $17,400.00 21% 
See figure 3.3. 
Figure 3.3: Scale of Investments 
To show why: 
i) The NPV prefers B, the larger project, for a discount rate below 20% 
ii) The NPV is superior to the IRR 
a) Use the incremental cash flow approach, "B minus A" approach. 
b) Choosing project B is tantamount to choosing a hypothetical project 
"B minus A". 
0 1 2 3 
Project B - 14,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 
Project A - 2,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 
"B minus A" - 11,500 5,500 5,500 5,500
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Mba 517

  • 1. Punjab Technical University World over distance Education is fast growing mode of education because of the unique benefits it provides to the learners. Universities are now able to reach the community which has for so long been deprived or higher education due to various reasons including social, economic and geographical considerations. Distance Education provides them a second chance to upgrade their technical skills and qualifications. Some of the important considerations in initiating distance education in a country like India, has been the concern of the government in increasing access and reach of higher education to a larger student community. As such, only 6-8% of students in India take up higher education and more than 92% drop out before reaching 10+2 level. Further, avenues for upgrading qualifications, while at work, is limited and also modular programs for gaining latest skills through continuing education programs is extremely poor. In such a system, distance education programs provide the much needed avenue for: z Increasing access and reach of higher education; z Equity and affordability of higher education to weaker and disadvantaged sections of the society; z Increased opportunity for upgrading, retraining and personal enrichment of latest knowledge and know-how; z Capacity building for national interests. One of use important aspects of any distance education program is the learning resources. Learning material provided to the learner must be innovative, thought provoking, comprehensive and must be tailor-made for self-learning. It has been a continuous process for the University in improving the quality of the learning material through well designed course materials in the SIM format (self-instructional material). While designing the material, the university has researched the methods and process of some of the best institutions in the world imparting distance education. About the University Punjab Technical University (PTU) was set up by the Government of Punjab in 1997 through a state Legislative ACT. PTU started with a modest beginning in 1997, when University had only nine Engineering and thirteen Management colleges affiliated to it. PTU now has affiliated
  • 2. 43 Engineering colleges, 56 colleges imparting Management and Computer Application courses, 20 institutions imparting pharmacy education, 6 Architecture institutions, 2 Hotel Management and 12 Regional Centres for imparting M. Tech and Ph. D Programs in different branches of Engineering and Management. During a short span of nine years, the University has undertaken many innovative programs. The major development during this period is that University has restructured its degree program and upgraded syllabi of the course in such a way as to increase the employability of the student and also to make them self-reliant by imparting Higher Technical Education. We at Punjab Technical University are propelled by the vision and wisdom of our leaders and are striving hard to discharge our duties for the overall improvement of quality of education that we provide. During a short span of nine years, the University has faced various challenges but has always kept the interest of students as the paramount concern. During the past couple of years, the University has undertaken many new initiatives to revitalize the educational programs imparted with the colleges and Regional centers. Though knowledge and skills are the key factors in increasing the employability and competitive edge of students in the emerging global environment, an environment of economic growth and opportunity is necessary to promote the demand for such trained and professional manpower. The University is participating in the process of technological growth and development in shaping the human resource for economic development of the nation. Keeping the above facts in mind Punjab Technical University, initiated the distance education program and started offering various job oriented technical courses in disciplines like information technology, management, Hotel Management, paramedical, Media Technologies and Fashion Technology since July 2001. The program was initiated with the aim of fulfilling the mandate of the ACT for providing continuing education to the disadvantaged economically backward sections of society as well as working professionals for skill up-gradation. The University has over the years initiated various quality improvement initiatives in running its distance education program to deliver quality education with a flexible approach of education delivery. This program also takes care of the overall personality development of the students. Presently, PTU has more than 60 courses under distance education stream in more than 700 learning centers across the country.
  • 3. About Distance Education Program of PTU Over the past few years, the distance education program of PTU has gained wide publicity and acceptance due to certain quality features which were introduced to increase the effectiveness of learning methodologies. The last comprehensive syllabus review was carried out in the year 2004-05 and the new revised syllabus was implemented from September 2005. The syllabus once reviewed is frozen for a period of 3 years and changes, if any, shall be taken up in the year 2008. Various innovative initiatives have been taken, which has increased the popularity of the program. Some of these initiatives are enumerated below: 1. Making a pyramid system for almost all courses, in which a student gets flexibility of continuing higher education in his own pace and per his convenience. Suitable credits are imparted for courses taken during re-entry into the pyramid as a lateral entry student. 2. Relaxed entry qualifications ensure that students get enough freedom to choose their course and the basics necessary for completing the course is taught at the first semester level. 3. A comprehensive course on „Communications and Soft Skills‰ is compulsory for all students, which ensures that students learn some basic skills for increasing their employability and competing in the globalized environment. 4. Learning materials and books have been remodeled in the self-Instructional Material format, which ensures easy dissemination of skills and self-learning. These SIMs are given in addition to the class notes, work modules and weekly quizzes. 5. Students are allowed to take a minimum of 240 hours of instruction during the semester, which includes small group interaction with faculty and teaching practical skills in a personalized manner. 6. Minimum standards have been laid out for the learning centers, and a full time counselor and core faculty is available to help the student anytime. 7. There is a wide network of Regional Learning and Facilitation Centers (RLFC) catering to each zone, which is available for student queries, placement support, examination related queries and day-to-day logistic support. Students need not visit the University for any of their problems and they can approach the RLFC for taking care of their needs. 8. Various facilities like Free Waiver for physically challenged students, Scholarship scheme by the government for SC/ST candidates, free bus passes for PRTC buses are available to students of the University. The university continuously aims for higher objectives to achieve and the success always gears us for achieving the improbable. The PTU distance education fraternity has grown more than 200% during the past two years and the students have now started moving all across the country and abroad after completing their skill training with us. We wish you a marvelous learning experience in the next few years of association with us! DR. R. P. SINGH Dean Distance Education
  • 4. Dr. S. K. Salwan Vice Chancellor Dr. S. K. Salwan is an eminent scientist, visionary and an experienced administrator. He is a doctorate in mechanical engineering from the IIT, Mumbai. Dr. Salwan brings with him 14 years of teaching and research experience. He is credited with establishing the Department of Design Engineering at the institute of Armament Technology, Pune. He was the founder-member of the integrated guided missile programme of defence research under His Excellency Honorable Dr. A.P.J. Abdul Kalam. He also established the high technology missile center, RCI at Hyderabad. He has been instrumental in implementing the Rs 1000-crore National Range for Testing Missiles and Weapon Systems at Chandipore, Balance in a record time of three years. He was director of the Armament Research and Development Establishment, Pune. Dr. Salwan has been part of many high level defence delegations to various countries. He was Advisor (Strategic project) and Emeritus Scientist at the DRDO. Dr. Salwan has won various awards, including the Scientist of the Year 1994; the Rajiv Ratan Award, 1995, and a Vashisht Sewa Medal 1996, the Technology Assimilation and Transfer Trophy, 1997 and the Punj Pani Award in Punjab for 2006. Dr. R.P. Singh Dean, Distance Education Dr. R.P. Singh is a doctorate in physics from Canada and has been a gold medallist of Banaras Hindu University in M.Sc. Dr. Singh took over the Department of Distance Education in November 2004 and since then the University has embarked on various innovations in Distance Education. Due to combined efforts of the department, the RLFCÊs and Centers, and with active support of the Distance Education Council headed by Dr. O.P. Bajpai, Director University College of Engineering Kurukshetra University the distance education program of PTU is now a structured system which empowers the learner with requisite skills and knowledge which can enhance their employability in the global market. Dr. R. P. Singh is promoting distance education at the national level also and is a founder member of Education Promotion Society of India and is member of various committees which explores innovative ways of learning for the disadvantages sections of society. The basic aim of the distance education programs has been to assimilate all sections of society including women by increasing the access. Reach, equity and affordability of higher education in the country.
  • 5. CAPITAL BUDGETING MBA-517 This SIM has been prepared exclusively under the guidance of Punjab Technical University (PTU) and reviewed by experts and approved by the concerned statutory Board of Studies (BOS). It conforms to the syllabi and contents as approved by the BOS of PTU.
  • 6. Copyright © Prof. Aruna and Prof. B. Murali Krishna, 2008 No part of this publication which is material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or transmitted or utilized or stored in any form or by any means now known or hereinafter invented, electronic, digital or mechanical, including photocopying, scanning, recording or by any information storage or retrieval system, without prior written permission from the publisher. Information contained in this book has been published by Excel Books Pvt. Ltd. and has been obtained by its authors from sources believed to be reliable and are correct to the best of their knowledge. However, the publisher and its author shall in no event be liable for any errors, omissions or damages arising out of use of this information and specifically disclaim any implied warranties or merchantability or fitness for any particular use. Published by Anurag Jain for Excel Books Pvt. Ltd., A-45, Naraina, Phase-I, New Delhi-110 028 Tel: 25795793, 25795794 email: eb@excelbooks.com
  • 7. PTU DEP SYLLABI-BOOK MAPPING TABLE MBA-517 CAPITAL BUDGETING Syllabi Mapping in Book Section I Capital Budgeting: An Introduction, Types of Investment Decisions, Objectives of Capital Budgeting, Estimating Project Characteristics. Cost of Capital. Section II Method of Capital Budgeting: Payback method. Average Return Average Investment, Net Present Value, Internet Rate of Return, Capital Rationing, Reinvestment Rate, Assumptions of NPV and IRR & Conflicting Rankings. Multiple Internal Rate of Return, Inflation & Capital Budgeting. Risk Analysis: Return & Opportunity Cost of Capital, Single Product Analysis Under Risk. Section III A Project Is Not A Black Box: Simulation, Sensitivity Analysis & Decision Free Analysis, CAPM Model, Arbitrage Pricing Theory, Comparison Between CAPM & APT. Leasing: Leveraged Leases, Alternative Investment, Measures, Project Abandonment Analysis, Multiple Project Capital Budgeting. Unit 1: Capital Budgeting (Page 3-12) Unit 2: Cost of Capital (Page 13-21) Unit 3: Methods of Capital Budgeting (Page 25-57) Unit 4: Risk Analysis (Page 59-79) Unit 5: A Project is Not a Black Box (Page 83-99) Unit 6: Leasing (Page 101-111)
  • 8.
  • 9. Contents Section-I UNIT 1 CAPITAL BUDGETING 3 Introduction Definition Process of Capital Budgeting Capital is a Limited Resource Types of Investment Decisions Objectives of Capital Budgeting Estimating Project Characteristics Summary Keywords Review Questions Further Readings UNIT 2 COST OF CAPITAL 13 Introduction Cost of Different Sources of Finance The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Marginal Cost of Capital Summary Keywords Review Questions Further Readings Section-II UNIT 3 METHODS OF CAPITAL BUDGETING 25 Introduction Payback Period Method Accounting Rate of Return Discounted Cash Flow Methods Capital Rationing Reinvestment Rate NPV vs. IRR Multiple Internal Rate of Return Inflation and Capital Budgeting Summary Keywords Review Questions Further Readings
  • 10. UNIT 4 RISK ANALYSIS 59 Introduction What is Risk? Return Opportunity Cost of Capital Yield Single Product Analysis under Risk Summary Keywords Review Questions Further Readings Section-III UNIT 5 A PROJECT IS NOT A BLACK BOX 83 Introduction Simulation Sensitivity Analysis Decision Tree Analysis Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) Comparison between CAPM and APT Summary Keywords Review Questions Further Readings UNIT 6 LEASING 101 Introduction Leasing Leveraged Lease Alternative Investment Measures Project Abandonment Analysis Multiple Project Capital Budgeting Summary Keywords Review Questions Further Readings
  • 11. SECTION-I Unit 1 Capital Budgeting Unit 2 Cost of Capital
  • 12. Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 3 Unit 1 Capital Budgeting Unit Structure • Introduction • Definition • Process of Capital Budgeting • Capital is a Limited Resource • Types of Investment Decisions • Objectives of Capital Budgeting • Estimating Project Characteristics • Summary • Keywords • Review Questions • Further Readings Learning Objectives At the conclusion of this unit you should be able to understand: • Understand the importance of capital budgeting in marketing decision making • Explain the different types of investment project • Discuss the economic evaluation of investment proposals • Understand the concept and calculation of net present value and internal rate of return in decision making • Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of the payback method as a technique for initial screening of two or more competing projects. Introduction Capital budgeting is a required managerial tool. One duty of a financial manager is to choose investments with satisfactory cash flows and rates of return. Therefore, a financial manager must be able to decide whether an investment is worth undertaking and be able to choose intelligently between two or more alternatives. To do this, a sound procedure to evaluate, compare, and select projects is needed. This procedure is called capital budgeting. Definition Capital budgeting relates to the investment in assets or an organization that is relatively large. That is, a new asset or project will amount in value to a significant proportion of the total assets of the organization. The International Federation of Accountants, IFAC, defines capital expenditures as „Investments to acquire fixed or long-lived assets from which a stream of benefits is expected. Such expenditures represent an organization's commitment to produce and sell future products and engage in other activities. Capital expenditure decisions, therefore, form a foundation for the future profitability of a company‰.
  • 13. Capital Budgeting Notes 4 Self-Instructional Material Process of Capital Budgeting In line with our definition of capital budgeting, the term project refers to all investments (resource allocation) of significant size decided and implemented by an enterprise in order to shape its future. All projects are considered to be the result of a capital budgeting decision. Let's look at each step in turn. 1. Have a Good Idea Projects don't just fall out of thin air: someone has to have them. The main point here is that successful, dynamic and growing companies are constantly on the lookout for new projects to consider. In the largest organisations there are entire departments looking for alternatives and opportunities. 2. Look for Suitable Projects Once someone has had the idea to invest, the next step is to look at suitable projects: projects that complement current business, projects that are completely different to current business and so on. Initially, all possibilities will be considered: along the lines of a brainstorming exercise. As time goes by, and as corporate objectives allow, the initial list of potential projects will be whittled down to a more manageable number. 3. Identify and Consider Alternatives Having found a few projects to consider, the organization will investigate any number of different ways of carrying them out. After all, the first idea probably won't either be the last or the best. Creativity is the order of the day here, as organizations attempt to start off on the best footing. As the diagram suggests, at each of these first three stages, we need to consider whether what we are proposing fits in with corporate objectives. There is no point in thinking of a project that conflicts with, say, the growth objective or the profitability objective or even an environmental objective. A lot of data will be generated in this stage and this data will be fed into stage four: Capital Investment Appraisal. 4. Capital Investment Appraisal This is the number crunching stage in which we use some or all of the following methods: z Payback (PB) z Accounting rate of return (ARR) z Net present value (NPV) z Internal rate of return (IRR) z Profitability Index (PI) There are other techniques of course; but the technique to be used will depend on a range of things, including the knowledge and sophistication of the management of the organisation, the availability of computers and the size and complexity of the project under review.
  • 14. Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 5 5. Analysis of Feasibility Stage four is the number crunching stage. This stage is where the decision is made as to which project is to be assessed as acceptable. That is, which project is feasible? In order to choose the project, management needs some hurdles: z What must the payback be? z What rate of ARR is acceptable? z What is the NPV cut off? z What IRR is the least that we can accept? z What PI is the least that we can accept? and so on. Some projects will be discarded as a result of this stage. For example, if the PB cut off is, say, 2 years, and a project has a PB of 3 years, it will be rejected. The same is true of the ARR, NPV, IRR and PI. Capital rationing might be a problem here, too, if the organization has general cash flow problems. Capital Budgeting Policy Manual Let's pause at this point to make the point that what we have just said about cut off rates and so on, come from formal procedures and documents. One such formal document is the Capital Budgeting Policy Manual, in which formal procedures and rules are established to assure that all proposals are reviewed fairly and consistently. The manual helps to ensure that managers and supervisors who make proposals need to know what the organization expects the proposals to contain, and on what basis their proposed projects will be judged. The managers who have the authority to approve specific projects need to exercise that responsibility in the context of an overall organizational capital expenditure policy. In outline, the policy manual should include specifications for: 1. An annually updated forecast of capital expenditures 2. The appropriation steps 3. The appraisal method(s) to be used to evaluate proposals 4. The minimum acceptable rate(s) of return on projects of various risks 5. The limits of authority 6. The control of capital expenditures 7. The procedure to be followed when accepted projects will be subject to an actual performance review after implementation. 6. Choose the Project Once we have determined the feasible/acceptable projects, we then have to make a decision of which to accept. If we have capital rationing problems, we might be restricted to one project only. If we have no cash problems, we might choose two or more. Whatever the cash position, we would like to invest in all projects that have a positive NPV, whose IRR is greater than our cut off rate and so on.
  • 15. Capital Budgeting Notes 6 Self-Instructional Material 7. Monitor the Project As with any part of the organization, the project must be monitored as it progresses. If the project can be kept as a separate part of the business, it might be classed as its own department or division and it might have its own performance reports prepared for it. If it's to be absorbed within one or more parts of the organization then it could be difficult to monitor it separately: this is something that management has to decide as they implement their new projects. 8. Post Completion Audit The final stage: once the project has been up and running for six months or a year or so, there must be a post completion audit or a post audit. A post audit looks at the project from start to finish: stages 1 - 7 and looks at how it was thought of, analysed, chosen, implemented, monitored and so on. The purpose of the post audit is to test whether capital budgeting procedures have been fully and fairly applied to the project under review. Of course, any weaknesses that might be found during the post audit might be specific to one project or they might relate to capital budgeting systems for the organization as a whole. In the latter case, the auditor will report back to his superiors and to management that systems need to be overhauled as a result of what has been found. Capital is a Limited Resource In the form of either debt or equity, capital is a very limited resource. There is a limit to the volume of credit that the banking system can create in the economy. Commercial banks and other lending institutions have limited deposits from which they can lend money to individuals, corporations, and governments. In addition, the Federal Reserve System requires each bank to maintain part of its deposits as reserves. Having limited resources to lend, lending institutions are selective in extending loans to their customers. But even if a bank were to extend unlimited loans to a company, the management of that company would need to consider the impact that increasing loans would have on the overall cost of financing. In reality, any firm has limited borrowing resources that should be allocated among the best investment alternatives. One might argue that a company can issue an almost unlimited amount of common stock to raise capital. Increasing the number of shares of company stock, however, will serve only to distribute the same amount of equity among a greater number of shareholders. In other words, as the number of shares of a company increases, the company ownership of the individual stockholder may proportionally decrease. The argument that capital is a limited resource is true of any form of capital, whether debt or equity (short-term or long-term, common stock) or retained earnings, accounts payable or notes payable, and so on. Even the best-known firm in an industry or a community can increase its borrowing up to a certain limit. Once this point has been reached, the firm will either be denied more credit or be charged a higher interest rate, making borrowing a less desirable way to raise capital. Faced with limited sources of capital, management should carefully decide whether a particular project is economically acceptable. In the case of more than one project, management must identify the projects that will contribute most to profits and, consequently, to the value (or wealth) of the firm. This, in essence, is the basis of capital budgeting.
  • 16. Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 7 An efficient allocation of Capital is the most important finance function in modern times. It involves decisions to commit the firmÊs funds to the long-term assets. Capital budgeting or investment decisions are of considerable importance to the firm since they tend to determine its value by influencing its growth, profitability and risk. The investment decisions of a firm are generally known as the capital budgeting or capital expenditure decisions. A capital budgeting decision may be defined as the firmÊs decision to invest its current funds most efficiently in the long-term assets in anticipation of an expected flow of benefits over a service of years. The long-term assets are those that affect the firmÊs operations beyond the one year period. The firmÊs investment decisions would generally include expansion, acquisition, modernization and replacement of the long-term assets. Decisions like the change in the methods of sales distribution, or an advertisement campaign or a research and development programme have long-term implications for the firmÊs expenditures and benefits and therefore, they should also be evaluated as investment decisions. Capital Budgeting versus Current Expenditures A capital investment project can be distinguished from current expenditures by two features: a) Such projects are relatively large b) A significant period of time (more than one year) elapses between the investment outlay and the receipt of the benefits. As a result, most medium-sized and large organisations have developed special procedures and methods for dealing with these decisions. A systematic approach to capital budgeting implies: a) The formulation of long-term goals. b) The creative search for and identification of new investment opportunities. c) Classification of projects and recognition of economically and/or statistically dependent proposals. d) The estimation and forecasting of current and future cash flows. e) A suitable administrative framework capable of transferring the required information to the decision level. f) The controlling of expenditures and careful monitoring of crucial aspects of project execution. g) A set of decision rules which can differentiate acceptable from unacceptable alternatives is required. Types of Investment Decisions Every Investment decision is a specific decision in the given situation, for a given firm and with given parameters and therefore, an almost infinite number of types or forms of capital budgeting decisions may occur. In general, the capital budgeting decisions or investment decisions are categorized as follows. 1. From the Point of View of Firm’s Existence The capital budgeting decisions may be taken by a newly incorporated firm or by an already existing firm. 1. New Firm: Capital Budgeting decision relating to new firms are normally concerned with selection of a particular project, initial capacity utilization etc.
  • 17. Capital Budgeting Notes 8 Self-Instructional Material 2. Existing Firm: Capital budgeting decisions relating to existing firms may be concerned with replacement and modernization of assets, expanding the existing capacity, diversifying into new products/markets, investment in Research and Development etc. (a) Decisions concerned with Replacement and Modernization: In case of an existing plant whose economic life is over, the decision to be made is concerned with replacement of the existing plant. In case the existing firmÊs plant / assets become obsolete (even before its economic life), the decisions to be made is concerned with modernization of its plant. In the former situation, the objective is to restore at least the same (existing) capacity while in the later situation the objective is to increase efficiency or reduce cost. As both of them aim at attaining greater levels of efficiency, these decisions are also called as „Cost reduction decisions‰. (b) Decisions Concerned with Expansion: Here the decisions are with evaluation of marginal costs and marginal benefit where the management aims at expanding existing production capacity to increase its market share. (c) Decisions Concerned with Diversification: When the management aims at reducing risk by entering (Diversifying) into new product lines, new markets, the capital budgeting decisions would be concerned with evaluation of marginal costs and margin/benefits associated with new products/markets. Further, the impact of diversification on existing products/markets should be considered. As capital budgeting decisions concerned with expansion and diversification aim at increasing revenue, these capital budgeting decisions are also known as „Revenue increasing Decisions‰. (d) Decisions concerned with Investments in Research and development: When firms are plagued by technological obsolescence, investments in R&D are important to avoid huge capital expenditures. Hence, a proper evaluation of investments in R&D would be beneficial. (e) Decisions concerned with Miscellaneous investments: Certain investment decisions like investments in pollution control equipment may not directly concern with either reduction of costs or increase of profits, but are essential due to legal requirements. Evaluation of these proposals/equipment is a specific capital budgeting decision. 2. From the Point of View of Decision Situation The capital budgeting decisions may also be classified from the point of view of the decision situation as follows: (a) Independent Investments: Independent investments serve different purposes and do not compete with each other. For examples, a heavy engineering company may be considering expansion of its plant capacity to manufacture addition/excavators and addition of new production facilities to manufacture a new product – light commercial vehicles depending on their profitability and availability of funds, the company can undertake both investments. (b) Contingent or Dependent Investments: Contingent investments are those investments where the choice of one investment necessitates undertaking one or more other investments. For examples, if a company decides to build a factory in a remove, backward area, it may have to invest in houses, roads, hospitals, schools etc for employees to attract the work force. Thus, building
  • 18. Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 9 of factory also requires investment in facilities for employees. The total expenditure will be treated as one single investment. (c) Mutually Exclusive Investments: Mutually exclusive investments serve the same purpose and compete with each other. If one investment is undertaken, others will have to be excluded. A company may, for example, either use a more labour-intensive, semi-automatic machine, or employ a more capital – intensive, highly automatic machine for production. Choosing the semi-automatic machine preludes the acceptance of the highly automatic machine. Objectives of Capital Budgeting Capital Budgeting decisions are the most important part of financial management. The decisions concerning the allocations of scarce resources, decide the fate of the company. Any mistake in this stage creeps into other aspect of the firm and impacts the prospects of the firm for a long future period of time. One practical example in this regard is, Ponds Indian Limited have launched Ponds toothpaste, which left bitter memories to the company. This decision not only resulted in financial losses, but also its reputation had taken a beating. Capital budgeting decisions have the following objectives: 1. Capital budgeting decisions involve commitment of huge amount funds. These funds if not allocated to projects with sufficient rate of return, it would result in the erosion of capital. 2. Capital budgeting decisions have long-term effects on the risk-return composition of the firm. Any discrepancy in this aspect would result in accepting unprofitable projects whose impact would be felt for a long future period of time. 3. Capital budgeting decisions are irreversible. Once funds are committed to projects it is not possible to revert back, unless the management is ready to absorb heavy losses. Hence, it is of almost importance to carry out a meticulous evaluation of the project. 4. Capital budgeting decisions affect a companyÊs ability to compete. Right decision to expand or modernize can work wonders for the company. All the same time, wrong decisions can till the company. 5. Capital budgeting decisions are complex in nature. This complexity arises due to the difficulty in estimating the cash inflows that arise in distant uncertain future. Estimating Project Characteristics Business firms have scarce resources that must be allocated among competitive uses. The available capital must be used in a manner which is consistent with the over all socio-economic objectives. This becomes more difficult when there are several competing projects, each giving a rate of return higher than the minimum cut-off rate. For a detailed evaluation of the project, the following project characteristics have to be estimated. 1. Technical feasibility 2. Economic feasibility 3. Financial feasibility 4. Managerial competence 5. Market feasibility
  • 19. Capital Budgeting Notes 10 Self-Instructional Material 1. Technical Feasibility A project must be technically feasible. This can be judged by a detailed assessment of the following factors: i) Location of the project: The project must be located at a place where saw materials, transport facilities, manpower, market for the products will be readily available. ii) Technology used: The technology used has been tested and suits the local conditions. The technical know how is available and technical collaborators are persons of good reputation. iii) Plant and equipment: The supplier of plant and equipment needed for the projects are of experience and reputation. Plant layout is in accordance with the production flow diagram. iv) Construction and installation: These schedules have been drawn out and they will be adhered to as scheduled. Technical feasibility seeks to determine whether prerequisites for the successful commissioning of the project have been considered and reasonably good choices have been made with respect to location size process etc. 2. Economic Feasibility Economic feasibility analysis is also referred to as a social cost benefit analysis which is considered with judging a project from the larger social point of view but mot in monetary terms. In such an evaluation, the focus is the social costs and benefits of a project which may often be different from the monetary costs and benefits of the firm. The economic necessity aspect may be taken care of by taking into account the following factors. The extent to which a) The market will absorb the additional production of the new project. b) The project is expected to contribute to the natural government department. c) The project can bring about development in the area. d) The project will create more employment etc. 3. Financial Feasibility Financial appraisal is done to ascertain whether the proposed project will be financially viable in the sense of being able to meet the burden of servicing debt and whether the proposed project will satisfy the return expectations of those who provide capital. While appraising a project financially, the following aspects should be kept in mind. 1. Cost of the Project: The estimates of the cost of the project should cover all items of expenditure and should be realistic. 2. Sources of Finance: Sources of finance contemplated by the promoters should be adequate and necessary finance should be available during installation. Financial institutions give special emphasis to the following aspects which have to be kept in mind while evaluating a project on financial criteria. 1. Investment outlay and Cost of Project 2. Means of Financing 3. Cost of Capital 4. Projected Profitability
  • 20. Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 11 5. Break Even Point 6. Cash flows of the Project 7. Investment worthiness judged in terms of various criteria of merit 8. Projected financial position and flows 9. Level of risk 4. Managerial Competence The technical competence, administrative ability, integrity and resourcefulness of borrowing concernÊs to p managerial personnel determines to a great extent the willingness of a financial institution to accept a term loan proposal. The loan application from firms having competent and honest management finds favorable considerations. It can therefore be stated that the appraisal of the managerial competence is of primary importance in the overall appraisal of the project. 5. Market Feasibility Market feasibility is concerned with two questions: i) What would be the aggregate demand of the proposed product / service in future? ii) What would be the market share of the project under appraisal? In order to answer these two questions, a market analyst requires a wide variety of information and suitable forecasting methods. The information required includes: a) Consumption trends in the past and present level. b) Past and present supply position. c) Production possibilities and constraints. d) Imports and exports. e) Structure of competition. f) Cost structure. g) Elasticity of demand. h) Consumer behavior, intentions, motivations, preferences etc. i) Distribution channels and marketing policies in use. j) Administrative, technical and legal constraint. Student Activity Fill up the blanks: 1. Capital budgeting is also known as __________ 2. Estimating the return period on investment is known as ___________ 3. Capital budgeting techniques is classified into ________ methods.
  • 21. Capital Budgeting Notes 12 Self-Instructional Material Summary In brief, this unit has demonstrated that capital budgeting involves a lot more than just carrying out a few calculations for payback, ARR and so on. The capital budgeting process involves expenditures and investments that are relatively large and that must then be undertaken and controlled in a serious, professional way. Keywords Capital Budgeting: The firmÊs decision to invest its current funds most efficiently in the long-term assets in anticipation of an expected flow of benefits over a service of years. Independent Investments: Independent investments serve different purposes and do not compete with each other. Contingent Investments: Contingent investments are those investments where the choice of one investment necessitates undertaking one or more other investments. Review Questions 1. Define the concept of capital budgeting and explain its objectives. 2. Briefly explain the process of capital budgeting. 3. What are the different types of capital budgeting? 4. Explain the differences between the capital budgeting and current expenditure. Further Readings I M Pandey, Financial Management Dr. S.N. Maheswari, Financial Management (Principles & Practices) Khan and Jain, Financial Management (Text, Problems and Cases) Prasanna Chandra, Financial Management (Text, Problems and Cases)
  • 22. Cost of Capital Notes Punjab Technical University 13 Unit 2 Cost of Capital Unit Structure • Introduction • Cost of Different Sources of Finance • The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) • Marginal Cost of Capital • Summary • Keywords • Review Questions • Further Readings Learning Objectives At the conclusion of this unit you should be able to: • Know the concept of cost of capital • Understand the various types of cost of capital • Know the concept of marginal cost of capital Introduction The term „cost of capital‰ refers to the minimum rate of return a firm must earn on its investment so that the market value of the companyÊs equity shares does not fall. This is possible only when the firm earns a return of the projects financed by equity share holderÊs funds at a rate which is at least equal to the rate of return expected by them. More specifically, "cost of capital" is defined as "the opportunity cost of all capital invested in an enterprise." Let's dissect this definition: 1. "Opportunity cost" is what you give up as a consequence of your decision to use a scarce resource in a particular way. 2. "All capital invested" is the total amount of cash invested into a business. 3. "In an enterprise" refers to the fact that we are measuring the opportunity cost of all sources of capital which include debt and equity. The cost of capital has two aspects to it: 1. The cost of funds that a company raises and uses, and the return that investors expect to be paid for putting funds into the company. 2. It is therefore the minimum return that a company should make on its own investments, to earn the cash flow out of which investors can be paid their return. The cost of capital is an opportunity cost of finance, because it is the minimum return which an investor requires. For shareholders it is the dividend they expect to receive plus a capital gain on the value of their shares, while for loan holders it is the rate of interest which is quoted on the loan. Failure to pay such required return will result in
  • 23. Capital Budgeting Notes 14 Self-Instructional Material the providers of finance transferring their holdings to other opportunities with a better rate of return. The cost of capital has three elements: 1. Risk free rate of return: Return required from a completely risk free investment. E.g. yield on government securities. 2. Business risk premium: Increase in required rate of return due to uncertainty about future and business prospects. 3. Financial risk premium: Dangers of high debt levels, variability in equity earnings after payments to debt capital holders. The above three components of cost of capital may be put in the form of following equation. K = ro + b + f Where k = cost of capital ro = return at zero risk level b = premium for business risk f = premium for financial risk In capital budget decisions, the cost of capital is often used as a discount rate (or) hurdle rate on the basis of which the firmÊs future cash flows are discounted to find out their present values. Thus, the cost of capital is the very basis for financial appraisal of new capital expenditure proposals. The decision of the finance manager will be irrational and wrong in case of capital is not correctly determined. This is because the business must earn at least at a rate which equals to cost of capital in order to make at least a break-even. Cost of Different Sources of Finance Where a company uses a mix of equity and debt capital its overall cost of capital might be taken to be the weighted average cost of each type of capital. Thus Cost of Ordinary Shares Cost of Equity In finance, the cost of equity is the minimum rate of return a firm must offer shareholders to compensate for waiting for their returns, and for bearing some risk. The cost of equity capital for a particular company is the rate of return on investment that is required by the company's ordinary shareholders. The return consists both of dividend and capital gains, e.g. increases in the share price. The returns are expected future returns, not historical returns, and so the returns on equity can be expressed as the anticipated dividends on the shares every year in perpetuity. The cost of equity is then the cost of capital which will equate the current market price of the share with the discounted value of all future dividends in perpetuity. The cost of equity reflects the opportunity cost of investment for individual shareholders. It will vary from company to company because of the differences in the business risk and financial or gearing risk of different companies. The cost of equity is calculated by the following formula: Ke = Earning per share/Market Price per share Ke = Cost of Equity EPS = Earning Per Share MPS = Market Price Per Share
  • 24. Cost of Capital Notes Punjab Technical University 15 The formula above calculates the cost of equity based on a firm's current rate of return. If one assumes a perfect market, industry-specific costs of equity reflect the riskiness of particular industries. A high cost of equity would then indicate a higher-risk industry that should command a higher return to compensate for the higher risk. However, there are also a variety of other ways to estimate the cost of equity. For example, using the CAPM model, the cost of equity is the product of the Market Risk Premium and the equity's Beta_(finance) plus the Risk-free_interest_rate. New fund for equity shareholders are obtaining from: z New issuance of shares. z Cash derived from retained earnings. Shareholders can not subscribe for new shares unless they are promised a better return on those shares. Retained earnings also have a cost, the dividend forgone by shareholders. The dividend payable to ordinary shareholders represents the cost of shares. Dividend Valuation Model Ignoring share issue costs, the cost of equity for both new issue and retained earnings, could be estimated by means of a dividend valuation model. The assumption that the market of shares is directly related to expected future dividends on the shares. 1. Constant dividend: Where is it assumed that dividend will remain constant through out the years the cost of equity is calculated as follows: Ke = D MP Ke is the shareholdersÊ cost of capital. D1 is the annual dividend per share, starting at year 1 and then continuing annually in perpetuity. MP = Market price per share From the formula above the market value of shares can be calculated as: 2. The dividend growth model: (a) Capital Asset Pricing Model: The required return on ordinary shares can also be calculated by an alternative approach called the capital asset pricing model. This topic is covered much in next chapter. It is a model based on the proposition that the return on any shares equals to the risk – free rate of return plus a risk premium on risk which cannot be diversified. Systematic risk - the risk that can be minimized through diversification. Unsystematic risk - the risk, which remains even after diversification (or market risk) Under the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), the required rate of return for ordinary shares can be described by the formula: Ke = 10% + 0.6 (15% - 10%) = 10% +0.6(5%) = 10% + 3% = 13%
  • 25. Capital Budgeting Notes 16 Self-Instructional Material (b) If the risk of the shares was a little bit high say 1.6 then the cost of shares will also be high to compensate for the increased risk levels. Ke = 10% + 1.6 (15% - 10%) = 10% +1.6(5%) = 10% + 8% = 18% Cost of Preference Shares The preference shareholder is entitled to a fixed rate of dividend which is quoted together with the shares. i.e. 12% K4 Preference shares means the shares have a nominal value of 12% and are entitled to an annual dividend of 12% per the nominal value. So the cost of preferred shares is the rate which is given. Cost of Debt The cost of debt capital, which has already been issued, is the rate of interest (the internal rate of return), which equates the current market price with the discounted future cash flow from the security. z Irredeemable debt: For redeemable debt the cost is calculated as the interest payable over the market value of debt. The tax is included because interest on loan is allowable for tax purposes so if a company use borrowed capital there is always a saving due to tax relief on interest paid. z Cost of redeemable debt: These are debts with a defined period or date of repayment. The cost of these debts will be found by using the internal rate of return. Example: Peet Ltd. has 7% debentures in issue. The market price is K95.75 ex interest. Ignoring taxation, calculate the cost of this capital if the debenture is: (a) Irredeemable. (b) Redeemable at par after 5 years. Solution (a) The cost of debt capital is 7.3% if irredeemable. The capital profit that will be made from now to the date of redemption is K4.25 (K100 – K95.75). This profit will be made over five years which gives an annualised profit of K0.85.(4.25/5) which is about 0.9% of current market value. The best trial and error figure to try first is, therefore, 7.3% + 0.9% = 8.2% say 8% to the nearest. Year Cash flow Discount PV Discount PV 8% K 10% K 0 Mkt value (95.75) 1.000 (95.75) 1.000 (95.75) 1 – 5 Interest 7 3.993 27.95 3.791 26.54 5 Repayment 100.00 0.681 68.10 0.621 62.10 0.30 (7.11)
  • 26. Cost of Capital Notes Punjab Technical University 17 The approximate cost of debt capital is therefore: The cost of debt capital estimated above represents the cost of continuing to use the finance rather than redeeming the debt securities at their current market price. It would also represent the cost of raising additional finance if we assume that the cost of additional capital would be equal to the cost of that already issued. A company with no debt capital can make the calculations using the information of another company which is judged to be similar as regards to risk. The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) As stated above the structure of a company consists of equity capital and various forms of debt capital, and each capital item has its own cost. The weighted average cost of capital is the average cost of a companyÊs different sources of finance. The WACC is calculated on the assumption that the company will maintain the same level of debt equity ratio. The WACC calculated is used as the discount rate for capital project appraisals. This is will be ideal where: z In projects of a standard level of business risk, and z By raising funds in the same equity/ debt proportions as its existing capital structure. The general formula for WACC is: if you need to calculate the WACC where debt is redeemable, you should calculate the after-tax cost of debt using the techniques set out earlier and substitute this into the formula in place of Kd ( 1 – t). We calculate a company's weighted average cost of capital using a 3 step process: 1. Cost of capital components. First, we calculate or infer the cost of each kind of capital that the enterprise uses, namely debt and equity. A. Debt capital. The cost of debt capital is equivalent to actual or imputed interest rate on the company's debt, adjusted for the tax-deductibility of interest expenses. Specifically: The after-tax cost of debt-capital = The Yield-to-Maturity on long-term debt x (1 minus the marginal tax rate in %) B. Equity capital. Equity shareholders, unlike debt holders, do not demand an explicit return on their capital. However, equity shareholders do face an implicit opportunity cost for investing in a specific company, because they could invest in an alternative company with a similar risk profile. Thus, we infer the opportunity cost of equity capital. We can do this by using the "Capital Asset Pricing Model" (CAPM). This model says that equity shareholders demand a minimum rate of return equal to the return from a risk-free investment plus a return for bearing extra risk. This extra risk is often called the "equity risk premium", and is equivalent to the risk premium of the market as a whole time a multiplier·called "beta"· that measures how risky a specific security is relative to the total market. Thus, the cost of equity capital = Risk-Free Rate + (Beta times Market Risk Premium). 2. Capital structure. Next, we calculate the proportion that debt and equity capital contribute to the entire enterprise, using the market values of total debt and equity to reflect the investments on which those investors expect to earn a minimum return.
  • 27. Capital Budgeting Notes 18 Self-Instructional Material 3. Weighting the components. Finally, we weight the cost of each kind of capital by the proportion that each contributes to the entire capital structure. This gives us the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), the average cost of each Rs. of cash employed in the business. Illustration 1: Kwacha transport LTD is financed partly by bonds. The equity proportion is always kept at two-thirds of the total. The cost of equity 14% and that of debt is 8%. A new project is under consideration that will cost K200,000 and yield a return before interest of K75,000 a year for four years. Should the project be accepted? Ignore taxation. Solution: The WACC is the best rate to be used in appraising the project. Proportional Cost Cost x Proportion Equity 2/3 14% 9.33% Debt 1/3 8% 2.67% WACC 12.00% Year Cash flow Discount factor P.V. 12% 0 (200,000) 1.000 (200,000) 1 75,000 0.893 66,975 2 75,000 0.797 59,775 3 75,000 0.712 53,400 4 75,000 0.636 47,700 Net present value 27,850 The NPV of the investment is K27,850 and the project appears financial viable. Illustration 2: A firm has the following capital structure and after tax costs for the different sources of funds used: Source of funds Amount Proportion After tax cost (Rs.) (%) (%) Debt 1500000 25 5 Preference shares 1200000 20 10 Equity Shares 1800000 30 12 Retained Earning 1500000 25 11 Total 6000000 100 You are required to compute the weighted average cost of capital Solution: Source of Funds Amount Proportion After tax cost (Rs.) % % Debt 25 5 1.25 Preference shares 20 10 2.00 Equity Shares 30 12 3.6 Retained Earning 25 11 2.75 Weighted Average Cost of capital 9.60%
  • 28. Cost of Capital Notes Punjab Technical University 19 Illustration 3: Continuing the above illustration 2, if the firm has 18000 equity shares of Rs. 100 each outstanding and the current price is Rs. 300 per share, calculate the market value weighted average cost of capital assuming that the market values and book values of the debt and preference capital are same. Solution: Source of funds Amount Proportion Cost Weighted Cost Rs. % (W) % (X) W.X % Debt 1500000 18.52 5 0.93 Preference shares 1200000 14.81 10 1.48 Equity Shares 5400000 66.67 12 8.00 (18000@300) Weighted Average Cost of capital 10.41% 1. Weighting: In the example the weighting for debt and equity was simplified, but in real environment the can be determined by using (a) Weights could be based on the market values of debt and equity. (b) Weights could be based on balance sheet values( book value) 2. Arguments for using the WACC as a discounting rate are relevant if the following assumptions hold: (a) The project is small relative to the overall size of the company. (b) The weighted average cost of capital reflects the companyÊs long-term future capital structure and capital costs. (c) The project has the same degree of business risk as the company has now. When the new project has a different business risk the WACC cannot be used. (d) New investments must be financed by new sources of funds, retained earnings, share issue, new loans and so on. (e) The cost of capital to be applied to project evaluation reflects the marginal cost of new capital. Marginal Cost of Capital Definition The cost associated with raising one additional Rs. of capital. The marginal cost will vary according to the type of capital used. For example, raising funds through the use of unsecured or subordinated debt, or through debt that requires higher interest rates to offset risk, will be more expensive than debt that is backed by collateral, such as a secured bond. Some times, we may be required to calculate the cost of additional funds to be raised, called the marginal cost of capital. The marginal cost of capital is the weighted average cost of new capital calculated by suing the marginal weights. The marginal weights represent the proportions of various sources of funds to be employed in raising additional funds. In case, a firm employs the existing proportion of capita; structure and the component cost remain the same the marginal cost of capital; shall be equal to the weighted average cost of capital. but in pract6ice, the proportion and/ or the component costs may change for additional funds to be raised. Under the
  • 29. Capital Budgeting Notes 20 Self-Instructional Material situation the marginal cost of capital shall not be equal to the weighted average cost of capital. However the marginal cost of capital ignores the long term implications of the new financing plans, and thus weighted average cost of capital should be preferred for maximization of shareholders wealth in the long run Illustration 4: A firm has the following capital structure and after tax costs for the different sources of funds used: Source of Funds Amount Proportion After tax cost Rs. % % Debt 450000 30.0 07 Preference shares 375000 25.0 10 Equity Shares 675000 45.0 15 1500000 100 (a) Calculate the weighted cost of capital using book-value weights. (b) The firms wish to raise further Rs. 600000 for the expansion of the project as below: Rs. Debt 300000 Preference capital 150000 Equity Capital 150000 Assuming these specific costs do not change, compute the weighted marginal cost of capital Solution: Computation of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Source of funds Proportion after Tax Cost Weighted Cost % (W) % % Debt 30.0 07 2.10 Preference shares 25.0 10 2.50 Equity Shares 45.0 15 6.75 Weighted Average Cost of Capital 11.35% Computation of Weighted Marginal Cost of Capital (WMCC) Marginal Weight Source of funds Proportion after Tax Cost Weighted Cost % (W) % % Debt 50.0 07 3.50 Preference shares 25.0 10 2.50 Equity Shares 25.0 15 3.75 Weighted Marginal Cost of Capital 9.75%
  • 30. Cost of Capital Notes Punjab Technical University 21 Student Activity Fill up the blanks: 1. The most appropriate rate is the firmÊs ________________. 2. A project can be accepted only when its rate of return is excess of the firms _________________. 3. The term „cost of capital‰ refers to the ___________ a firm must earn on its investment so that the market value of the companyÊs equity shares does not fall. 4. A firm has the following capital structure and after tax costs for the different sources of funds used: Source of funds Amount Proportion After tax cost Rs % % Debt 1500000 25 5 Preference shares 1500000 25 10 Equity Shares 1500000 25 12 Retained Earning 1500000 25 11 Total 6000000 100 You are required to compute the weighted average cost of capital Summary The cost of capital is the very basis for financial appraisal of new capital expenditure proposals. The decision of the finance manager will be irrational and wrong in case of capital is not correctly determined. This is because the business must earn at least at a rate which equals to cost of capital in order to make at least a break-even. Keywords Mutually Exclusive Investments: Mutually exclusive investments serve the same purpose and compete with each other. If one investment is undertaken, others will have to be excluded. Cost of Capital: IT refers to the minimum rate of return a firm must earn on its investment so that the market value of the companyÊs equity shares does not fall. Review Questions 1. Define the concept of cost of capital and explain its components. 2. What are the different types of cost of capital? Further Readings IM Pandey, Financial Management Dr. S.N. Maheswari, Financial Management (Principles & Practices) Khan & Jain, Financial Management (Text, Problems and cases)
  • 31. SECTION-II Unit 3 Methods of Capital Budgeting Unit 4 Risk Analysis
  • 32. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 25 Unit 3 Methods of Capital Budgeting Unit Structure • Introduction • Payback Period Method • Accounting Rate of Return • Discounted Cash Flow Methods • Capital Rationing • Reinvestment Rate • NPV vs. IRR • Multiple Internal Rate of Return • Inflation and Capital Budgeting • Summary • Keywords • Review Questions • Further Readings Learning Objectives At the conclusion of this unit you should be able to: • Know the various tools of capital budgeting • Understand the methods under the capital budgeting • Study the advantages and disadvantages of various methods used in Capital Budgeting • Review its purpose Introduction The attractiveness of any investment proposal depends on the following elements: 1. The amount expended i.e. the net investment 2. The potential benefits i.e. the operating cash Inflows 3. The time period over which these benefits will accrue i.e., economic life of the project. A proper investment analysis must relate these three elements to provide an indication of whether the investment is worthy of being taken up or not. How do these three basic elements i.e. the net investment, the operating cash flows and the economic life can be related to determine the proposalÊs worthiness?
  • 33. Capital Budgeting Notes 26 Self-Instructional Material There are different techniques available for evaluation and selection of a proposal. These techniques can be grouped into two categories as shown below: Capital Budgeting Techniques Traditional (or) Non-discounting Methods Time adjusted (or) Discounted cash flow method Payback period Accounting rate of return Net present value Internal rate of returns Profitability Index Payback Period Method The payback period method is the simplest method of evaluating investment proposals. Payback period represents the number of years required to recover the original investment. The payback period is also called payout or payoff period. The CIMA defines payback as 'the time it takes the cash inflows from a capital investment project to equal the cash outflows, usually expressed in years'. When deciding between two or more competing projects, the usual decision is to accept the one with the shortest payback. Payback is often used as a "first screening method". By this, we mean that when a capital investment project is being considered, the first question to ask is: 'How long will it take to pay back its cost?' The company might have a target payback, and so it would reject a capital project unless its payback period were less than a certain number of years. a. When annual cash inflow is constant Payback period = Original Cost of the Project Annual Cash inflow Note: Annual cash inflow is the annual earnings (profit before depreciation but after taxes) b. When annual cash inflow is not constant PBP = E + B/C Where PBP = pay back period E = immediate preceding year before the year of final recovery B = Balance amount yet to be recovered C = cash flow during the year of final recovery.
  • 34. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 27 Example 1: A project costs Rs.50, 000 and yields annual cash inflow of Rs 10,000 for 7 years. Calculate its payback period? Solution: Payback period = Original Cost of the Project Annual Cash inflow = 50, 000 10, 000 = 5 years Example 2: Determine the payback period for a project which requires a cash outlay of Rs. 12,000 Rs. 4,000, Rs. 4,000 and Rs. 50,000 in the first, second, third and fourth years respectively. Solution: Year Annual Cash inflow Accumulated Cash inflow 1 2000 20,000 2 4000 6,000 3 4000 10,000 4 5000 15,000 (Hint: The total investment i.e. 12,000 can be recovered in 4th year only. But the preceding year of 4th year is 3rd year. Therefore, E=3. In the 3rd year, the accumulated cash inflow is only Rs.10, 000, which implies a balance of Rs.2000 has to be recovered. Therefore B= 2000. The annual cash inflow in the recovery year is Rs. 5000 therefore C = 5000) PBP = E + B C = 3 + 2, 000 5, 000 = 3 + 0.4 = 3.4 years. Example 3: Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 Project A 1,000,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 For a project with equal annual receipts: PP = Io Ct = $1, 000, 000 $250, 000 = 4 Years Example 4: Years 0 1 2 3 4 Project B - 10,000 5,000 2,500 4,000 1,000
  • 35. Capital Budgeting Notes 28 Self-Instructional Material Payback period lies between year 2 and year 3. Sum of money recovered by the end of the second year = Rs. 7,500, i.e. (Rs 5,000 + Rs 2,500) Sum of money to be recovered by end of 3rd year = Rs 10,000 - Rs 7,500 = Rs 2,500 Payback period = $2, 500 2 + $4, 000 years = 2.625 years Advantages of Payback Period Method 1. Simple to understand and easy to calculated. 2. It reduces the chance of loss through obsolescence. As the project with a short payback period is preferred, the chance of obsolescence is reduced. 3. A firm which has shortage of funds finds this method very useful. Project that makes a quick return is preferred. Disadvantages 1. This method does not take into consideration the cash inflows beyond the payback period. 2. It does not take into consideration the time value of money. It considers the same amount received in the second year and third year as equal. Acceptance Criteria 1. The shorter the payback period, the less risky the investment is i.e. The shorter the payback period, the better is the project. 2. In case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with less pack back period is preferred. Accounting Rate of Return The ARR method (also called the return on capital employed (ROCE) or the return on investment (ROI) method) of appraising a capital project is to estimate the accounting rate of return that the project should yield. If it exceeds a target rate of return, the project will be undertaken. Average rate of return is found out by dividing the average income after depreciation and taxes i.e. the accounting profit by the average investment. Thus, ARR= Annual Earning Average Investment ×100 Where average annual earnings is the total of anticipated annual earnings after depreciation and tax (accounting profit) divided by the number of years. Average investment is calculated in three ways: 1. When there is no salvage value (scrap value) ,then Average investment = Total Investment 2
  • 36. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 29 2. If there is scrap value, then average investment is calculated as Average investment = Total Investment + Scrap Value 2 3. If there is additional working capital, then average investment is calculated as Average investment = Total Investment + Scrap Value 2 + Additional Working Capital Acceptance Criteria 1. The higher the ARR, the better is the project. 2. In the case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with high ARR is Preferred. Example 5: Calculate the average rate of return for projects A and B from the following: Particulars Project A Project B Investment Rs. 20,000 Rs. 30,000 Expected life 4 years 5 years Projected Net Income (After depreciation and taxed) Years Project A Project B 1 2000 3000 2 1500 3000 3 1500 2000 4 1000 1000 5 ----- 1000 Total 6000 10,000 Solution: ARR = Average Earnings Average Investment × 100 Project A Average Earnings = 6, 000 4 = 1,500 Average investment = 20, 000 2 = 10,000 ARR = 1, 500 10,000 × 100 = 15% Project B Average Earnings = 10, 000 5 = 2,000 Average Investment = 30,000 2 = 15,000
  • 37. Capital Budgeting Notes 30 Self-Instructional Material ARR = 2,000 15,000 × 100 = 13.33% Project A is accepted as the ARR for project A is higher than Project B. Example 6: Project x required an investment of Rs. 50,000 and has a scrap value of Rs 2000 after five years. It is expected to yield profits after depreciation and taxed during the five years amounting to Rs. 4,000, Rs. 6,000, Rs. 7,000, Rs.5, 000 and Rs 2,000. Calculated the average rate of return. Solution: ARR = Average Earning Average Investment × 100 Average Earnings = Total Earnings No. of years = 4,000 +6,000 + 7,000 + 5,000 + 2,000 5 = 24,000 5 = 4,800 Average Investment = Total Investment + Scrap Value 2 = 50, 000 2,000 2 = 26,000 ARR = 4,800 26, 000 × 100 = 18.46% Example 7: A project has an initial outlay of $1 million and generates net receipts of $250,000 for 10 years. Assuming straight-line depreciation of $100,000 per year: $250,000 $100,000 The RR on total investment = 1, 000,000 = 15% ARR on Total Investment = Net Annual Profit Investment Outlay/2 or a C–D o R I /2 = $250,000 $100,000 $1, 000,000 2 = $150, 000 $500, 000 = 30% Advantages 1. It is easy to understand and calculate. 2. It can be compared with the cut off point of return and hence the decision to accept or reject is made easier. 3. It considers all the cash inflows during the life of the project, not like payback method.
  • 38. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 31 4. It is a reliable measure because it considers net earnings that is, earnings after depreciation, interest and taxes. Disadvantages 1. The concept of time value of money is ignored. 2. Unless we have a cut off point of return, accounting rate of return cannot be meaningful and effective. 3. The average concept is not reliable, particularly in time of high or wild fluctuations in the returns. Discounted Cash Flow Methods Discounted cash flow methods are the improved methods over the traditional methods. They consider the time value of money. They consider the whole earnings of the proposal and the cost of the cost of the project. Because of these reasons, these methods are also called modern methods of investment appraisal. Discounted cash flow methods are: 1. Net present value 2. Internal rate of return 3. Profitability Index 1. Net Present Value Method This is generally considered to be the best method for evaluating the capital investment proposals. The Net present valued (NPV) is the difference between the total present value of future cashing flows and total p[resent value of the future cash outflows. Each potential project's value should be estimated using a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, to find its net present value (NPV) - (see Fisher separation theorem). This valuation requires estimating the size and timing of all of the incremental cash flows from the project. These future cash flows are then discounted to determine their present value. These present values are then summed, to get the NPV. See also Time value of money. The NPV decision rule is to accept all positive NPV projects in an unconstrained environment, or if projects are mutually exclusive, accept the one with the highest NPV. The NPV is greatly affected by the discount rate, so selecting the proper rate - sometimes called the hurdle rate - is critical to making the right decision. The hurdle rate is the minimum acceptable return on an investment. It should reflect the riskiness of the investment, typically measured by the volatility of cash flows, and must take into account the financing mix. Managers may use models such as the CAPM or the APT to estimate a discount rate appropriate for each particular project, and use the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to reflect the financing mix selected. A common practice in choosing a discount rate for a project is to apply a WACC that applies to the entire firm, but a higher discount rate may be more appropriate when a project's risk is higher than the risk of the firm as a whole. NPV = CFAT C PV – PV Where CFAT PV refers to the present value of future cash inflows after taxes. C PV Refers to the present value of original investment or capital.
  • 39. Capital Budgeting Notes 32 Self-Instructional Material The equation for calculating NPV in case of conventional cash flows can be put as follows: R R R R (1 K) (1 K) (1 K) (1 K) NPV = 1 2 3 n 1 2 3 n – I In case of non-conventional cash inflows (i.e. when there are a series of cash inflows as well as cash out flows) the equation for calculating NPV is as follows: R R R R (1 K) (1 K) (1 K) (1 K) NPV = 1 2 3 n 1 2 3 n – I I I I 1 2 3 n o 1 2 3 n I (1 K) (1 K) (1 K) (1 K) Where NPV = Net Present Value, R = cash inflows at different time periods, K = cost of capital or cut off rate, I = cash out flows at different time periods. Acceptance Criteria 1. If NPV is positive or zero, the project is accepted and if NPV is negative, the project is rejected. 2. In case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with more NPV is selected or preferred. Example 8: Calculate the net present value of the two projects and suggest which of the two projects should be accepted assuming a discount rate of 10%. Particulars Project A Project B Initial Investment Rs 40,000 Rs 60,000 Estimated Life 5 years 5 years Scrap Value Rs 2,000 Rs 4,000 The project before depreciation but after taxes is as follows: Year Project A Project B 1 12,000 35,000 2 18,000 25,000 3 7,000 12,000 4 5,000 4,000 5 4,000 4,000 Solution: Project A Year Cash inflows *Present value of Re 1 at 10% Present value of cash inflows 1 2 3 4 = 2 * 3 1 12,000 0.909 10,908 2 18,000 0.826 14,868 3 7,000 0.751 5,257 4 5,000 0.683 3,415 5 4,000 0.621 2,484 5(scrap) 2,000 0.621 1,242 Total 38,174
  • 40. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 33 *Observe present value of Re 1 table Present value of cash inflows = 38,174 Less: Present value of investment = 40,000 Net present value = -1,826 Project B Year Cash Inflows *Present value of Re 1 at 10% Present value of cash inflows 1 2 3 4 = 2 * 3 1 35,000 0.909 31,815 2 25,000 0.826 20,650 3 12,000 0.751 9,012 4 4,000 0.683 2,732 5 4,000 0.621 2,484 5(scrap) 4,000 0.621 2,484 Total 69,177 Present value of cash inflows = 69,177 Less: Present value of investment = 60,000 Net present value = 9,177 Since project B gives positive NPV, it is to be selected. Note: The scrap value is considered as a cash inflow at the end of the 5th year Example 9: The cash inflow and cash out flow of a certain project are given below: Year Cash out flow (Rs.) Cash in flow (Rs.) 0 2, 00,000 — 1 50,000 30,000 2 50,000 3 70,000 4 1, 20,000 5 80,000 The net salvage value at the end of 5th year is 30,000. The cost of capital is 12%. Calculate the net present value. Solution: NPV = CFAT C PV – PV Year Cash Inflow Discount Factor at 12% Present Value of Cash Inflows 1 30,000 0.893 26,790 2 50,000 0.797 39,850 3 70,000 0.712 49,840 4 1, 20,000 0.635 76,200 5 80,000 0.567 45,360 5(scrap) 30,000 0.567 17,010 Total 2, 55,050
  • 41. Capital Budgeting Notes 34 Self-Instructional Material Present Value of Initial Investment = Rs 2, 00,000 Present Value of Additional Investment made at the end of the 1st year = Rs. 44,650 Present Value of the Total Investment = Rs 2, 44,650 (2, 00,000 + 44,650) NPV= CFAT C PV – PV = 2, 55,050 – 2, 44,650 = Rs 10,400 Example 10: Rank of following investment project is order of the profitability according to NPV assuming cost of capital to be 10%. Project Initial Cash Outflow Annual Cash Outflow Life (in years) X 20,000 4,000 8 Y 10,000 4,000 5 Solution: Project X Present value of Rs 4,000 is received annually for 8 years 4,000 × 5.335 = Rs 21,340 NPV = 21,340 – 20,000 = 1,340 Project Y Present value of Rs 4,000 is received annually for 5 years 4,000 × 3.791 = Rs 15,164 NPV = 15,164 – 10,000 = 5,164 According to NPV method, Project Y is ranked first and Project X is ranked second. Note: When the cash flows are uniform or equal then annuity discount factor is to be considered. In the above example, 5.335 is the annuity discount faction for 8 years at 10% Where as 3.791 is the annuity discount factor for 5 years at 10%. Advantages 1. It considers the time value of money 2. It considers the earnings over the entire life of the project 3. It is helpful in comparing two projects requiring same amount of cash outflows. Disadvantages 1. Not helpful in comparing two projects with different cash outflows. 2. This method may be misleading in comparing the projects of unequal lives. 2. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) The internal rate of return (IRR) is defined as the discount rate that gives a net present value (NPV) of zero. It is a commonly used measure of investment efficiency. The IRR method will result in the same decision as the NPV method for independent (non-mutually exclusive) projects in an unconstrained environment, in the usual cases
  • 42. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 35 where a negative cash flow occurs at the start of the project, followed by all positive cash flows. In most realistic cases, all independent projects that have an IRR higher than the hurdle rate should be accepted. Nevertheless, for mutually exclusive projects, the decision rule of taking the project with the highest IRR - which is often used - may select a project with a lower NPV. In some cases, several zero NPV discount rates may exist, so there is no unique IRR. The IRR exists and is unique if one or more years of net investment (negative cash flow) are followed by years of net revenues. But if the signs of the cash flows change more than once, there may be several IRRs. The IRR equation generally cannot be solved analytically but only via iterations. One shortcoming of the IRR method is that it is commonly misunderstood to convey the actual annual profitability of an investment. However, this is not the case because intermediate cash flows are almost never reinvested at the project's IRR; and, therefore, the actual rate of return is almost certainly going to be lower. Accordingly, a measure called Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR) is often used. Despite a strong academic preference for NPV, surveys indicate that executives prefer IRR over NPV, although they should be used in concert. In a budget-constrained environment, efficiency measures should be used to maximize the overall NPV of the firm. Some managers find it intuitively more appealing to evaluate investments in terms of percentage rates of return than dollars of NPV. Internal Rate of Return is that rate at which the sum of discounted cash outflows. In other words, it is the rate which discounts the cash flows to zero. Cash in flows/Cash outflows = 1 In this method, the discount rate is not known but the cash outflows and cash inflows are known. For example, if a sum of 800 invested in a project becomes Rs. 1,000 at the end of a year, the rate of return comes to 25 %, calculated as follows: I = R 1 R Where I = Cash outflow i.e. initial investment R = Cash inflow r = Rate of return yielded by the investment (or IRR) Thus, 800 = 1, 000 1 r 800 + 800r = 1000 800r = 200 r = 200/800 = .25 or 25%. Acceptance Criteria 1. If internal rate of return (r) is more than required rate of return (k) then the project is selected. 2. In case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with more IRR is preferred. The required rate of return (k) is also known as cut off rate or hurdle rate of cost of capital. The internal rate of return is not a predetermined rate; rather it is to be found out by trial and error method. It implies that one has to start with a discounting rate
  • 43. Capital Budgeting Notes 36 Self-Instructional Material to calculate the present value of cash inflows. If the obtained present value is higher than the initial cost of the investment one has to try with a higher rate. Likewise if the present value of the expected cash inflows obtained is lower than the present value of cash outflow, a lower rate is to be taken up. Example 11: A firm has an investment opportunity involving Rs. 50,000. The cost of capital is 10% from the details given below find out the internal rate of return and see whether the project is acceptable. Cash flow of 1st year Æ Rs 5,000 Cash flow of 2nd year Æ Rs 10,000 Cash flow 3rd year Æ Rs 15,000 Cash flow 4th year Æ Rs 25,000 Cash flow 5th year Æ Rs 30,000 Solution: As it is a trial and error method we can start with any rate. Let us try 15% and 20% Year Cash inflows PV at 15% Discounted cash inflows PV at 20% DiscountedCash inflows 1 2 3 4=2*3 5 6=2*5 1 5,000 0.870 4,350 0.833 4,165 2 10,000 0.756 7,560 0.694 6,940 3 15,000 0.658 9,870 0.571 8,685 4 25,000 0.572 14,300 0.482 12,050 5 30,000 0.497 14,910 0.402 12,060 Total 50,990 43,900 The present value of cash inflows at 15% is Rs 50,990 which is more than initial investment of Rs. 50,000 and at 20% Rs. 43,900 which is less than the required one. Hence, the actual IRR lies in between 15% and 20% and can be computed by way of interpolation as follows: PV – PV IRR = CFAT C r r 1 PV C Where r1= lower discount rate 15% CFAT PV = Present value of earnings at lower rate Rs 50,990 C PV = Actual investment Rs 50,000 PV = difference in present value of earnings at lower rate and higher rate = (50,990- 43,990) = 7,090 r = difference in rate of return = 5% (20 – 15) PV – PV IRR = CFAT C r r 1 PV C = 50, 990 – 50,000 15 5 50, 990 – 43, 990
  • 44. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 37 = 990 15 5 7090 = 15 + 0.7 = 15.7% As the internal rate of return (15.7%) is above the cost of capital (10%) the project is acceptable. Example 12: Find out the IRR of the following, investment proposal: Initial investment Rs. 70,000 Expected annual cash inflow Rs 24,000 Economic life of the project 4 years Solution: As the annual cash inflows are uniform the present value can be calculated with the help of annuity table. Present value of total cash inflows. At 12% discount factor = 24,000 x 3.037 =Rs.72,888 At 14% discount factor = 24,000 x 2.917 =Rs. 69,936 Note: You can use or take any discount factor. It is not mandatory that you should take only 12% and 14% but it is to be noted that one should be positive NPV and one should be negative NPV. IRR can be computed as follows: PV – PV IRR = CFAT C r r 1 PV C r1 = 12% CFAT PV = 72,888 C PV = 70,000 PV = 72,888 – 69,936 = 2952 r = 14 – 12 = 2% PV – PV IRR = CFAT C r r 1 PV C = 72,888 – 70, 000 12 2 72, 888 – 69, 936 = 2, 888 12 2 2, 952 = 12 + 1.96 = 13.96% Advantages 1. It considers the time value of money. 2. The earnings over the entire life of the project are considered. 3. Effective for comparing projects of different life periods with different timings of cash inflows.
  • 45. Capital Budgeting Notes 38 Self-Instructional Material Disadvantages 1. This method is tedious and difficult to calculate. 2. This method is on the assumption that the earnings are reinvested at the IRR which is not always true. Modified IRR (MIRR) The MIRR is similar to the IRR, but is theoretically superior in that it overcomes two weaknesses of the IRR. The MIRR correctly assumes reinvestment at the projectÊs cost of capital and avoids the problem of multiple IRRs. However, please note that the MIRR is not used as widely as the IRR in practice. There are three basic steps of the MIRR: (1) Estimate all cash flows as in IRR. (2) Calculate the future value of all cash inflows at the last year of the projectÊs life. (3) Determine the discount rate that causes the future value of all cash inflows determined in step 2, to be equal to the firmÊs investment at time zero. This discount rate is know as the MIRR. Project L 0 1 2 3 -100.00 10 60 80.00 PV Costs = TV n 1+MIRR 66.00 12.10 $158.10 = TV of MIRR is better than IRR because 1. MIRR correctly assumes reinvestment at projectÊs cost of capital. 2. MIRR avoids the problem of multiple IRRs. inflows 100.00 $ 0.00 = NPV PV outflows = $100 TV inflows = $158.10. MIRR = 16.5% MIRRS = 16.9%. 10%
  • 46. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 39 3. Profitability Index Method This method is also called benefit cost ratio. Profitability index is the ratio of present value of cash inflow to present value of cash outflow. Profitability Index = Present Value of Cash inflow Present Value of Cash outflow While NPV is an absolute measure, the PI is a relative measure. The Profitability Index, or PI, method compares the present value of future cash inflows with the initial investment on a relative basis. Therefore, the PI is the ratio of the present value of cash flows (PVCF) to the initial investment of the project. In this method, a project with a PI greater than 1 is accepted, but a project is rejected when its PI is less than 1. Note that the PI method is closely related to the NPV approach. In fact, if the net present value of a project is positive, the PI will be greater than 1. On the other hand, if the net present value is negative, the project will have a PI of less than 1. The same conclusion is reached, therefore, whether the net present value or the PI is used. In other words, if the present value of cash flows exceeds the initial investment, there is a positive net present value and a PI greater than 1, indicating that the project is acceptable. PI is also know as a benefit/cash ratio. Project L 10% -100.00 10 60 80 PV1 9.09 PV2 49.59 PV3 60.11 118.79 PI = 0 1 2 3 PV of cash flows initial cost = 118.79 100 = 1.10 Accept project if PI > 1. Reject if PI < 1.0 Acceptance Criteria 1. If the profitability index is greater than or equal to 1, the proposal is accepted else rejected. 2. In case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with more PI should be selected.
  • 47. Capital Budgeting Notes 40 Self-Instructional Material Example 13: The initial cash outlay of project is Rs. 50,000 and it generates cash inflows of Rs. 16,000, Rs. 19,000,Rs.22,000 and Rs.13,000 in four years. Ascertain the profitability index of the proposed investment assuming 10% rate of discount. Solution: Year Cash Inflow Discount Factor at 10% Present Value of Cash Inflows 1 16,000 0.909 14,544 2 19,000 0.826 15,694 3 22,000 0.751 16,522 4 13,000 0.683 8,879 Total 55,639 Profitability Index = Present Value of Cash inflow Present Value of Cash outflow = 55,639 50,000 = 1.11 Since the profitability index is greater than one, the proposal may be accepted. Advantages 1. It is easy to calculate, given the present value of cash inflows. 2. Projects of different magnitude in terms of duration and cash flows can be short-listed on their basis of their profitability. 3. It is recommended for use particularly when there is shortage of funds, because it correctly ranks the proposals. Capital Rationing Capital rationing is a situation where a firm has more investment proposals than it can finance. It may be defined as  a situation where a constraint is placed on the total size of capital investment during a particular period. In such an event the firm has to select combination of investment proposals that provided the highest net present valued subject to the budget constraint for the period. z Exists whenever enterprises cannot, or choose not to, accept all value-creating investment projects. Possible causes: ™ Banks and investors say „NO‰ ™ Managerial conservatism z Analysis is required. One must consider sets of projects, or „bundles‰, rather than individual projects. The goal should be to identify the value-maximizing bundle of projects. z The danger is that the capital-rationing constraint heightens the influence of nonfinancial considerations, such as the following: ™ Competition among alternative strategies ™ Corporate politics ™ Bargaining games and psychology The outcome could be a sub-optimal capital budget, or, worse, one that destroys value!
  • 48. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 41 z Some remedies are the following: ™ Relax and eliminate the budget constraint. ™ Manage the process rather than the outcomes. ™ Develop a corporate culture committed to value creation. Example 14: ABC Company is considering the following six proposals: Project Cost (Rs.) NPV (Rs.) 1 1,000 210 2 6,000 1,560 3 5,000 850 4 2,000 260 5 2,500 500 6 500 95 You are required to calculate the profitability index for each project and rank them. Which projects would you choose if the total funds are Rs 8,000? Solution: Project Cost NPV NPV PI 1 2 3 4=2+3 5=4/2 1 1000 210 1210 1.21 2 6000 1,560 7,560 1.26 3 5000 850 5,850 1.17 4 2000 260 2260 1.13 5 2500 500 3000 1.20 6 500 95 595 1.19 Ranking of the projects as per PI method is project 2, 1, 5,6,3,4. If the total funds are restricted to Rs 8,000 the best combination of projects may be found with the help of feasibility set approach as follows: Combination Outlay NPV 1, 2, 6 7500 1865 2, 4 8000 1820 1, 3, 4 8000 1320 3, 4, 6 7500 1205 3, 5, 6 8000 1445 1, 4, 5, 6 6000 1065 The best combination of projects is 1, 2 and 6 and it gives the highest NPV of Rs. 1,865.
  • 49. Capital Budgeting Notes 42 Self-Instructional Material Reinvestment Rate Example 15: XYZ Ltd. is having required rate of return of 8% is evaluating two mutually exclusive proposals A and B for which the relevant data is as follows: Year Cash flows (A) Cash flows (B) 0 -2500 -3000 1 2000 500 2 1000 1000 3 500 3000 Evaluate and rank these proposals. Solution: NPV and IRR of both the proposals are as follows: Projects NPV at 8% (Rs.) IRR Proposal A 606 24.8% Proposal B 702 17.5% In the above case, the NPV and IRR techniques are giving contradictory results. According to NPV, proposal B is preferred and according to IRR, proposal A is preferred. The difference in ranking is due to the fact that the timing of cash inflows of the two proposals is different. Proposal A is producing higher inflows in early years while proposal B is producing higher cash inflows in later years. But why then the different rankings? The answer to this question is found in the implied assumption of the NPV and the IRR techniques, known as the Reinvestment rate Assumption. It is assumed that when the cash inflows are received, they are immediately reinvested in another project or asset. This implied reinvestment rate assumption allows us to consider any proposal independently of 1. Where the cash inflows are going after they are received? 2. How they are being used? 3. At what rate they are being reinvested by firm. The NPV technique assumes that all the intermediate cash inflows are reinvested at a rate equal to the discount rate. So, in case of mutually exclusive proposals, all the intermediate cash inflows are assumed to be reinvested at the same rate i.e. the discount rate regardless of which proposal is accepted. The IRR technique on the other band, assumes that the intermediate cash inflows are reinvested at a rate equal to the proposals IRR itself thus, different alternative proposals will have different reinvestment rates. Thus, in the above problem, NPV technique assumes that the cash inflows of both the proposals A and B are being reinvested at 8% for the rest of the economic life of the proposal. On the other hand, the IRR technique assumes that the cash inflows of proposal A will be reinvested at 24.8% while the cash inflows of proposal B will be reinvested at 17.5%. In practice, however it may not be realistic to assume that the reinvestment rate of firm will depend upon the proposal being accepted. The reinvestment rate is fixed and being an external variable it has nothing to do with the proposal being accepted or rejected.
  • 50. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 43 NPV vs IRR Though NPV and IRR are discounted cash flow methods, they are different from each other in several respects. The chief points of difference between the two are as follows: 1. The net present values method takes the interest rate as a known factor while internal rate of return method takes it as unknown factors. 2. The net present values method seeks to find out the amount that can be invested in a given project so that its anticipated earnings will exactly suffice to repay this amount with interest at market rate. On the other hand, internal rate of return method seeks to find the maximum rate of interest at which the funds invested in the project could be repaid out the cash inflows arising out of that project. 3. Both the net present value method and internal rate of return method proceed on this presumption that each inflow can be reinvested at the discounting rate in the new projects. However, reinvestment of funds at the cut off rate is more possible than at the internal rate of return. Hence, NPV method is more reliable than the IRR method for ranking two or more capital investment projects. Similarities in Results under NPV and IRR Both NPV and IRR will give the same result (i.e. acceptance or rejection) regarding the investment proposal in following cases: 1. Projects involving conventional cash flows i.e. when and initial outflow is followed by a series of inflows. 2. Independent investment proposals i.e. proposals where the acceptance of one does not preclude the acceptance of others. Conflict in Results under NPV and IRR NPV and IRR methods may give conflicting results in case of mutually exclusive projects i.e. projects where acceptance of one would result in non acceptance of the other. Such conflict of result may be due to any one or more of the following reasons: 1. The project require different cash outlays. 2. The projects have unequal lives. 3. The projects have different patterns of cash flows. In such a situation, the result given by the NPV method should be relied upon. This is because the objective of company is to maximize its share holderÊs wealth.IRR method is concerned with the rate of return on investment rather than total yield on investment. Hence it is not compatible with the goal of wealth maximization.NPV method considers the total yield on investment.Hence,incase of mutually exclusive projects, each having a positive NPV,the one with the largest NPV will have the most beneficial effect of shareholders wealth. Independent vs Dependent Projects NPV and IRR methods are closely related because: i) Both are time-adjusted measures of profitability, and ii) Their mathematical formulas are almost identical. So, which method leads to an optimal decision: IRR or NPV?
  • 51. Capital Budgeting Notes 44 Self-Instructional Material a) NPV vs IRR: Independent Projects Independent Project: Selecting one project does not preclude the choosing of the other. With conventional cash flows (-|+|+) no conflict in decision arises; in this case both NPV and IRR lead to the same accept/reject decisions. Figure 3.1: NPV vs IRR Independent Projects If cash flows are discounted at k1, NPV is positive and IRR > k1: accept project. If cash flows are discounted at k2, NPV is negative and IRR < k2: reject the project. Mathematical proof: for a project to be acceptable, the NPV must be positive, i.e. n n C C t t – I > 0 or – I > I t o t o o (I+k) (I+k) t–1 t–1 Similarly for the same project to be acceptable: n t t o t–1 C = I (I+R) where R is the IRR. Since the numerators t C are identical and positive in both instances: z Implicitly/intuitively R must be greater than k (R > k); z If NPV = 0 then R = k: the company is indifferent to such a project; z Hence, IRR and NPV lead to the same decision in this case. b) NPV vs IRR: Dependent Projects NPV clashes with IRR where mutually exclusive projects exist.
  • 52. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 45 Example 16: Agritex is considering building either a one-storey (Project A) or five-storey (Project B) block of offices on a prime site. The following information is available: Initial Investment Outlay Net Inflow at the Year End Project A -9,500 11,500 Project B -15,000 18,000 Assume k = 10%, which project should Agritex undertake? A $11, 500 NPV – $9, 500 1.1 = $954.55 B $18, 000 NPV – $15,000 1.1 = $1,363.64 Both projects are of one-year duration: IRRA: $11,500 A $9, 500 1+R $11,500 = $9,500 (1 +RA) $11,500 = 1+ RA $9,500 RA= $11,500 $9,500 – 1 = 1.21 – 1 therefore IRRA = 21% IRRB: $18,000 B $15, 000 1+R $18,000 = $15,000(1 + RB) = 1.2-1 therefore IRRB = 20% Decision: Assuming that k = 10%, both projects are acceptable because: NPVA and NPVB are both positive IRRA > k And IRRB > k Which project is a "better option" for Agritex? If we use the NPV method: NPVB ($1,363.64) > NPVA ($954.55): Agritex should choose Project B. If we use the IRR method: IRRA (21%) > IRRB (20%): Agritex should choose Project A.
  • 53. Capital Budgeting Notes 46 Self-Instructional Material Figure 3.2: NPV vs IRR: Dependent Projects Up to a discount rate of ko: project B is superior to project A, therefore project B is preferred to project A. Beyond the point ko: project A is superior to project B, therefore project A is preferred to project B. The two methods do not rank the projects the same. Differences in the Scale of Investment NPV and IRR may give conflicting decisions where projects differ in their scale of investment. Example 17: Years 0 1 2 3 Project A -2,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 Project B -14,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 Assume k= 10%. NPVA = $1,500 x PVFA at 10% for 3 years = $1,500 × 2.487 = $3,730.50 – $2,500.00 = $1,230.50. NPVB = $7,000 x PVFA at 10% for 3 years = $7,000 x 2.487 = $17,409 - $14,000 = $3,409.00. IRRA = o t I C = $2,500 $1,500 = 1.67.
  • 54. Methods of Capital Budgeting Notes Punjab Technical University 47 Therefore IRRA = 36% (from the tables) IRRB = o t I C = $14,000 $7,000 = 2.0 Therefore IRRB = 21% Decision: Conflicting, as: z NPV prefers B to A z IRR prefers A to B NPV IRR Project A $ 3,730.50 36% Project B $17,400.00 21% See figure 3.3. Figure 3.3: Scale of Investments To show why: i) The NPV prefers B, the larger project, for a discount rate below 20% ii) The NPV is superior to the IRR a) Use the incremental cash flow approach, "B minus A" approach. b) Choosing project B is tantamount to choosing a hypothetical project "B minus A". 0 1 2 3 Project B - 14,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 Project A - 2,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 "B minus A" - 11,500 5,500 5,500 5,500