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February 7, 2006
                                    Equity Volatility Snapshot
      Ryan Renicker, CFA            •     Implied and realized volatility on the SMH have increased steadily in comparison with SWH
        1.212.526.9425                    implied and realized volatility.
ryan.renicker@lehman.com

      Devapriya Mallick
                                    •     Within the SWH, MSFT implied volatility is trading cheap relative to realized, as well as versus
       1.212.526.5429
     dmallik@lehman.com                   S&P 500 implied volatility.


                                    •     We believe demand for downside protection on MSFT has recently decreased, as its put skew
                                          has declined. In addition, volume in MSFT calls has been relatively high versus its puts (YTD),
                                          possibly signaling greater demand for upside participation in MSFT.


                                    •     Investors bullish on MSFT on a longer term basis should consider expressing their view by
                                          purchasing the January 2007 calls, as the term structure of MSFT implied volatility is relatively flat.


                                    •     We update our Volatility Screen to identify stocks possibly having rich or cheap options. We also
                                          update our Earnings Watch to estimate the expected stock price reaction the options market is
                                          pricing in for upcoming earnings releases.




Lehman Brothers does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of
interest that could affect the objectivity of this report.

Customers of Lehman Brothers in the United States can receive independent, third-party research on the company or companies covered in this report, at no cost to them,
where such research is available. Customers can access this independent research at www.lehmanlive.com or can call 1-800-2LEHMAN to request a copy of this research.

Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.


PLEASE SEE ANALYST(S) CERTIFICATION AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES BEGINNING ON PAGE 7.
Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot




                                           Market Weakens as Volatility Inches Higher
                                           Equity markets remained under pressure during the past week, on concerns that the lower than
                                           anticipated unemployment rate and rising wage inflation would prompt the Federal Reserve to continue
                                           hiking interest rates. In addition, other factors such as disappointing earnings releases/forecasts (e.g.
                                           TYC, AMZN) weighed on the market, offsetting the positive impact of declining crude oil prices. S&P
                                           500 implied volatility (VIX) increased throughout the week, peaking above 13 last Thursday.


                                           Semiconductor Vols Increasing Relative to Software Vols
                                           During the past couple of months, implied and realized volatility on the Semiconductor HOLDRs Trust
                                           (SMH) have steadily increased relative to the Software HOLDRs Trust (SWH), due to several factors
                                           such as weaker than expected earnings announcements/2006 outlooks by some key constituents in
                                           the SMH (Figure 1).

                                           This is not surprising, since the correlation1 between SMH and SWH returns have steadily declined
                                           during the past couple of years (Figure 2).


Figure 1: SMH Implied Vol Rises, SWH Vols Relatively Stable                                                  Figure 2: SWH vs. SMH Returns Have Become Less Correlated
   30%                                                                                                                                        160                                                           90%
   28%                                                            SMH 3-month Implied Vol
                                                                  SWH 3-month Implied Vol                                                     140                                                           85%
                                                                                                                                                                                        Correlation
                                                                                                               SWH and SMH Prices (Scaled)
   26%
                                                                                                                                                                                    Decreasing Steadily
                                                                                                                                                                                                            80%
   24%                                                                                                                                        120




                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Rolling Correlation
                                                                                                                                                                                                            75%
   22%                                                                                                                                        100
                                                                                                                                                                                                            70%
   20%
                                                                                                                                                  80
   18%                                                                                                                                                                                                      65%
                                                                                                                                                  60
   16%                                                                                                                                                                                                      60%
                                                                                                                                                                               SMH
   14%                                                                                                                                            40                           SWH                          55%
                                                                                                                                                                               SMH-SWH Correlation
   12%
                                                                                                                                                  20                                                        50%
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Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics                                                                       Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics




                                           1
                                               We calculate rolling 252 trading-day (1 year) correlations using the daily log returns for the SMH and SWH.




                                                                                                                                                                               February 7, 2006                                         2
Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot




                                    MSFT Options Trading Cheap
                                    We believe one factor that has contributed to SWH’s relatively stable (and low) implied volatility is the
                                    low level of risk expectations that have recently been priced into MSFT options. For example, after the
                                    company released strong Q2 results and raised the lower end of revenue guidance, MSFT shares
                                    rallied nearly 5%, its 3-month at-the-money (ATM) implied volatility continued to decline and -- despite
                                    increasing yesterday to slightly below16% - remains near its lowest level in at least 10 years. In
                                    addition, MSFT 3-month ATM implied – 66-trading day realized volatility spread remains near its 1-
                                    year low and is close to zero (Figure 3), compared to its average implied-realized volatility spread of
                                    above 2% since January 2005. Moreover, MSFT ATM 3-month implied volatility has recently traded at
                                    the lower end of its range relative to S&P 500 3-month implied volatility (volatility information based on
                                    yesterday’s close).

                                    In addition, a recent decline in MSFT’s 3-month put skew leads us to believe that investors are
                                    beginning to decrease their downside protection against their holdings in MSFT shares (Figure 4). This
                                    inference might also be supported by the relatively high volume of MSFT calls traded (average daily
                                    volume of ~ 70,000 contracts YTD) versus the number of puts traded (average daily volume of ~
                                    27,000 contracts YTD).


Figure 3: MSFT Implied Cheap vs. Realized & SPX Implied                                     Figure 4: Decreasing Downside Protection Against MSFT?

   12%                                                                                           7%
                                                    MSFT Implied - Realized Spread                                                                                             MSFT Put Skew
   10%
                                                                                                 6%
                                                    MSFT Implied - S&P 500 Implied                                                                                             MSFT Call Skew
                                                                                                 5%
    8%
                                                                                                 4%
    6%
                                                                                                 3%

    4%                                                                                           2%

    2%                                                                                           1%

                                                                                                 0%
    0%
                                                                                                -1%
    -2%
                                                                                                -2%
    -4%                                                                                         -3%
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Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics                                                      Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics




                                    Option Strategy
                                    Moreover, the term structure of MSFT implied volatility is relatively flat, since its longer-dated implied
                                    volatility (January 2007 expiration) is trading less than one vol point above it’s at-the-money March
                                    2006 contract (based on last night’s close). We believe investors bullish on MSFT on a longer term
                                    basis should consider expressing their view by purchasing the January 2007 calls.




                                                                                                                                                        February 7, 2006                        3
Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot




                                     Lehman Brothers Volatility Screen
                                     We update the list of stocks identified by the Lehman Brothers Volatility Screen as possibly having rich
                                     or cheap options. This screen allows investors to identify potentially rich or cheap one or three month
                                     options to efficiently express directional views on the underlying stock or identify attractive long or short
                                     volatility trading candidates. In Figure 5, we present the current list of stocks having relatively rich
                                     options according to the Lehman Brothers Volatility Screen.


Figure 5: Stocks Displaying “Rich” Volatility Characteristics
                                                                                                                                        Std Devs from   Std Devs from    Std Devs from
                                                                     Lehman                                 Expected     3-Month
                                                                                     Lehman                                             Mean (3-Month   Mean (3-Month   Mean (3-Month
 Ticker               Name                    GICS Sector           Company                        Price    Earnings     Implied                                                         Rich/Cheap
                                                                                    Sector View                                           Implied vs      Implied vs    Implied vs S&P
                                                                      Rating                                  Date       Volatility
                                                                                                                                           Realized)        Sector)           500)
AAPL      APPLE COMPUTER INC          Information Technology 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral              67.30    4/13/2006      48%               1.7              1.2              1.6          Rich
AG        AGCO CORP                   Industrials             3-Underweight 2-Neutral              19.00     2/9/2006      37%               1.6              2.0              2.4          Rich
ALEX      ALEXANDER & BALDWIN INC     Industrials             0-Unrated      0-Unrated             49.30    4/27/2006      29%               1.5              1.5              1.7          Rich
AT        ALLTEL CORP                 Telecommunication Servic1-Overweight   1-Positive            59.74    4/21/2006      20%               1.3              1.2              1.7          Rich
BCR       BARD (C.R.) INC             Health Care             0-Unrated      0-Unrated             61.00    4/19/2006      25%               1.7              1.3              2.1          Rich
BEC       BECKMAN COULTER INC         Health Care             0-Unrated      0-Unrated             58.23    2/17/2006      30%               1.1              2.0              2.3          Rich
BEN       FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC      Financials              1-Overweight   1-Positive            96.90    4/28/2006      23%               1.1              1.1              1.8          Rich
BER       WR BERKLEY CORP             Financials              0-Unrated      0-Unrated             48.36    2/13/2006      24%               1.1              1.4              1.9          Rich
BHI       BAKER HUGHES INC            Energy                  2-Equal weight 1-Positive            75.92    2/16/2006      37%               1.5              1.6              4.3          Rich
BKH       BLACK HILLS CORP            Utilities               RS-Rating Suspe2-Neutral             35.40     2/7/2006      23%               2.2              2.0              1.7          Rich
BLI       BIG LOTS INC                Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated       0-Unrated             13.33    2/23/2006      40%               1.9              1.7              1.7          Rich
BMY       BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB CO     Health Care             3-Underweight 1-Positive             22.37    4/28/2006      27%               1.6              2.6              3.0          Rich
BSX       BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORP      Health Care             1-Overweight   1-Positive            21.62     2/7/2006      45%               2.3              3.3              3.6          Rich
CAT       CATERPILLAR INC             Industrials             2-Equal weight 2-Neutral             68.70    4/24/2006      28%               1.8              2.2              2.3          Rich
DLX       DELUXE CORP                 Industrials             0-Unrated      0-Unrated             26.27    4/28/2006      26%               1.1              2.6              2.6          Rich
EAS       ENERGY EAST CORPORATION     Utilities               0-Unrated      0-Unrated             24.44    2/10/2006      21%               1.2              1.4              1.6          Rich
ESRX      EXPRESS SCRIPTS INC         Health Care             2-Equal weight 2-Neutral             89.76    2/22/2006      35%               1.1              1.4              1.7          Rich
EXC       EXELON CORP                 Utilities               1-Overweight   3-Negative            56.05    4/25/2006      24%               2.2              1.4              1.3          Rich
FITB      FIFTH THIRD BANCORP         Financials              2-Equal weight 1-Positive            36.53    4/13/2006      23%               1.1              1.3              1.5          Rich
FLR       FLUOR CORP                  Industrials             2-Equal weight 2-Neutral             87.55     3/1/2006      29%               1.7              1.2              1.4          Rich
FPL       FPL GROUP INC               Utilities               RS-Rating Suspe3-Negative            40.91    4/26/2006      20%               1.4              1.7              1.4          Rich
GPC       GENUINE PARTS CO            Consumer Discretionary 2-Equal weight 3-Negative             42.24    2/21/2006      20%               2.1              1.5              1.9          Rich
GRMN      GARMIN LTD                  Consumer Discretionary 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral              62.68    2/22/2006      47%               1.2              1.7              2.2          Rich
HNZ       HJ HEINZ CO                 Consumer Staples        2-Equal weight 3-Negative            33.70    2/28/2006      19%               3.7              2.5              2.3          Rich
HP        HELMERICH & PAYNE           Energy                  0-Unrated      0-Unrated             78.70    4/27/2006      37%               1.0              1.2              2.1          Rich
HPQ       HEWLETT-PACKARD CO          Information Technology 1-Overweight    2-Neutral             30.27    2/15/2006      31%               1.9              1.6              1.9          Rich
HSY       HERSHEY CO/THE              Consumer Staples        2-Equal weight 3-Negative            51.06    4/21/2006      21%               1.6              2.3              2.1          Rich
ISRG      INTUITIVE SURGICAL INC      Health Care             0-Unrated      0-Unrated            106.69    4/21/2006      59%               1.4              2.1              2.2          Rich
JKHY      JACK HENRY & ASSOCIATES INC Information Technology 0-Unrated       0-Unrated             21.89    4/20/2006      30%               2.3              1.8              2.0          Rich
JP        JEFFERSON-PILOT CORP        Financials              RS-Rating Suspe2-Neutral             56.89    4/27/2006      25%               4.0              3.5              3.7          Rich
LEA       LEAR CORP                   Consumer Discretionary 3-Underweight 3-Negative              24.65    4/21/2006      49%               1.2              2.3              2.2          Rich
LRY       LIBERTY PROPERTY TRUST      Financials              2-Equal weight 2-Neutral             44.40    4/25/2006      34%               4.5              4.0              4.1          Rich
MI        MARSHALL & ILSLEY CORP      Financials              2-Equal weight 2-Neutral             41.76    4/12/2006      21%               3.8              3.0              2.9          Rich
MRBK      MERCANTILE BANKSHARES CORPFinancials                1-Overweight   2-Neutral             37.44    4/26/2006      21%               2.4              2.0              2.3          Rich
MYG       MAYTAG CORP                 Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated       0-Unrated             17.46    4/21/2006      60%               1.9              2.6              2.7          Rich
NAV       NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL      Industrials             0-Unrated      0-Unrated             27.06    2/28/2006      39%               1.2              1.6              1.8          Rich
NEM       NEWMONT MINING CORP         Materials               3-Underweight 1-Positive             60.48    2/27/2006      38%               1.5              1.8              2.8          Rich
OKE       ONEOK INC                   Utilities               1-Overweight   2-Neutral             26.89    2/22/2006      23%               1.4              1.1              1.3          Rich
PGL       PEOPLES ENERGY CORP         Utilities               2-Equal weight 2-Neutral             36.81    4/28/2006      20%               2.2              1.1              1.3          Rich
RDN       RADIAN GROUP INC            Financials              1-Overweight   1-Positive            55.55    4/20/2006      27%               1.4              1.6              2.2          Rich
RE        EVEREST RE GROUP LTD        Financials              1-Overweight   1-Positive            97.45    4/18/2006      25%               1.1              2.3              2.5          Rich
RL        POLO RALPH LAUREN CORP      Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated       0-Unrated             57.47     2/7/2006      30%               1.4              1.5              1.8          Rich
RYN       RAYONIER INC                Financials              0-Unrated      0-Unrated             42.21    4/26/2006      22%               1.4              1.2              1.8          Rich
SAFC      SAFECO CORP                 Financials              1-Overweight   1-Positive            50.67    4/19/2006      23%               2.2              2.3              2.5          Rich
SFG       STANCORP FINANCIAL GROUP    Financials              3-Underweight 2-Neutral              51.01    4/26/2006      39%               4.2              5.6              5.3          Rich
SHW       SHERWIN-WILLIAMS CO/THE     Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated       0-Unrated             52.57    4/21/2006      25%               2.0              2.8              2.5          Rich
SNA       SNAP-ON INC                 Consumer Discretionary 3-Underweight 3-Negative              38.40    4/21/2006      24%               1.7              1.9              2.6          Rich
TBL       TIMBERLAND CO-CL A          Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated       0-Unrated             35.08     2/9/2006      30%               2.4              1.2              1.9          Rich
UVN       UNIVISION COMMUNICATIONS-A Consumer Discretionary 1-Overweight     3-Negative            31.23     3/2/2006      34%               1.7              1.1              2.1          Rich
VRX       VALEANT PHARMACEUTICALS INTHealth Care              0-Unrated      0-Unrated             17.26    2/24/2006      77%               2.7              3.1              3.2          Rich
WDR       WADDELL & REED FINANCIAL-A Financials               2-Equal weight 1-Positive            22.28    4/26/2006      38%               3.0              3.6              4.2          Rich
WFMI      WHOLE FOODS MARKET INC      Consumer Staples        2-Equal weight 2-Neutral             71.95     2/8/2006      33%               1.6              1.6              1.6          Rich
X         UNITED STATES STEEL CORP    Materials               2-Equal weight 1-Positive            61.57    4/26/2006      49%               1.9              1.5              2.5          Rich


Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics, Bloomberg, FAME
Note: This screen does not exclude stocks with illiquid options. Investors should consider liquidity before entering into an options position. Stocks that appear as unrated are either
not covered by Lehman Brothers fundamental analysts or are currently subject to research restrictions. Our universe includes stocks included in either the S&P 500 or the NDX.

                                     In Figure 6, we provide the current list of stocks having relatively cheap options according to the
                                     Lehman Brothers Volatility Screen.


Figure 6: Stocks Displaying “Cheap” Volatility Characteristics
                                                                                                                                          Std Devs from   Std Devs from    Std Devs from
                                                                     Lehman                                  Expected      3-Month
                                                                                      Lehman                                              Mean (3-Month   Mean (3-Month   Mean (3-Month
 Ticker                Name                    GICS Sector           Company                        Price    Earnings      Implied                                                          Rich/Cheap
                                                                                     Sector View                                            Implied vs      Implied vs    Implied vs S&P
                                                                      Rating                                   Date        Volatility
                                                                                                                                             Realized)        Sector)           500)
ACS       AFFILIATED COMPUTER SVCS-A      Information Technology   1-Overweight      2-Neutral       62.72   4/21/2006        23%              -2.5            -1.9             -1.0          Cheap
CBE       COOPER INDUSTRIES LTD-CL A      Industrials              1-Overweight      1-Positive      82.76   4/20/2006        18%              -1.3            -1.7             -1.1          Cheap
CMS       CMS ENERGY CORP                 Utilities                2-Equal weight    3-Negative      14.17   2/23/2006        22%              -1.2            -1.6             -1.4          Cheap
COL       ROCKWELL COLLINS INC.           Industrials              1-Overweight      1-Positive      50.00   4/27/2006        19%              -3.5            -2.1             -1.6          Cheap
MCRL      MICREL INC                      Information Technology   3-Underweight     1-Positive      14.30   4/28/2006        40%              -2.1            -1.6             -1.2          Cheap
MNST      MONSTER WORLDWIDE INC           Industrials              0-Unrated         0-Unrated       46.77   4/26/2006        37%              -1.2            -1.2             -1.1          Cheap
PLCM      POLYCOM INC                     Information Technology   1-Overweight      2-Neutral       19.30   4/20/2006        34%              -2.5            -2.2             -1.3          Cheap
POS       CATALINA MARKETING CORP         Consumer Discretionary   0-Unrated         0-Unrated       22.40   5/18/2006        19%              -5.3            -3.9             -4.0          Cheap
RSAS      RSA SECURITY INC                Information Technology   2-Equal weight    1-Positive      14.68   4/27/2006        36%              -1.1            -2.0             -1.8          Cheap
SBL       SYMBOL TECHNOLOGIES INC         Information Technology   1-Overweight      2-Neutral       12.62   3/1/2006         35%              -1.7            -1.7             -1.8          Cheap
SMTC      SEMTECH CORP                    Information Technology   2-Equal weight    1-Positive      19.54   3/1/2006         34%              -2.6            -2.1             -1.4          Cheap


Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics, Bloomberg, FAME
Note: Acquisition targets with very low volatility have been removed from this list. Stocks that appear as unrated are either not covered by Lehman Brothers fundamental analysts or
are currently subject to research restrictions. Our universe includes stocks included in either the S&P 500 or the NDX.




                                                                                                                                                                          February 7, 2006               4
Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot




                                   Earnings Watch: Companies Reporting 1/24 – 1/30
                                   We incorporate implied volatility information to ascertain the expected stock price reaction priced in
                                   by the options market for upcoming earnings announcements. Please see Options Strategy Monthly:
                                                          th
                                   Low Volatility in the 7 Inning? (January 10, 2006) for further details.

                                   In Figure 7, we present this week’s edition of the Earnings Watch.


Figure 7: Expected Absolute Stock Price Reactions to Upcoming Earnings Announcements
                                                                                                               Average Absolute Stock Price         Average Stock Price Move
                                                           Expected                      Implied 1-day Stock
    Ticker                       Name                                  Price (1/23/06)                           Move Following Earnings               Following Earnings
                                                         Earnings Date                       Price Move
                                                                                                                     Announcements                      Announcements
BMC           BMC SOFTWARE INC                             07-Feb-06            21.39           6.1%                      5.9%                                -5.0%
CD            CENDANT CORP                                 07-Feb-06            16.00           3.4%                      1.7%                                -1.3%
CSC           COMPUTER SCIENCES CORP                       07-Feb-06            50.14           5.1%                      4.7%                                -0.2%
CSCO          CISCO SYSTEMS INC                            07-Feb-06            17.83           4.6%                      5.4%                                -4.9%
WWY           WRIGLEY WM JR CO                             07-Feb-06            64.70           0.7%                      1.8%                                0.6%
CI            CIGNA CORP                                   08-Feb-06           119.27           3.1%                      4.0%                                -0.6%
CINF          CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORP                    08-Feb-06            44.23           0.0%                      1.3%                                0.7%
EDS           ELECTRONIC DATA SYSTEMS CORP                 08-Feb-06            24.99           3.1%                      4.0%                                0.5%
PEP           PEPSICO INC                                  08-Feb-06            56.77           1.8%                      1.7%                                0.9%
PRU           PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC                     08-Feb-06            75.25           1.8%                      2.2%                                1.0%
RAI           REYNOLDS AMERICAN INC                        08-Feb-06           101.78           2.9%                      2.3%                                0.1%
TMK           TORCHMARK CORP                               08-Feb-06            55.34           0.3%                      2.2%                                -1.1%
VFC           VF CORP                                      08-Feb-06            55.17           0.8%                      2.1%                                1.0%
ADI           ANALOG DEVICES                               09-Feb-06            40.18           3.5%                      1.9%                                0.4%
AET           AETNA INC                                    09-Feb-06            97.60           2.1%                      4.1%                                2.6%
AIV           APARTMENT INVT & MGMT CO -A                  09-Feb-06            42.70           0.9%                      2.1%                                -1.1%
AN            AUTONATION INC                               09-Feb-06            22.35           2.4%                      2.1%                                1.6%
AOC           AON CORP                                     09-Feb-06            33.54           4.3%                      6.8%                                4.1%
AW            ALLIED WASTE INDUSTRIES INC                  09-Feb-06             9.49           1.6%                      7.2%                                -1.3%
AYE           ALLEGHENY ENERGY INC                         09-Feb-06            34.60           1.0%                      3.8%                                1.2%
CCE           COCA-COLA ENTERPRISES                        09-Feb-06            19.34           1.1%                      5.9%                                -0.2%
MAR           MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL-CL A                  09-Feb-06            66.80           1.2%                      2.4%                                0.2%
MBI           MBIA INC                                     09-Feb-06            60.17           2.5%                      1.9%                                0.7%
MET           METLIFE INC                                  09-Feb-06            49.11           0.1%                      3.2%                                1.6%
TAP           MOLSON COORS BREWING CO -B                   09-Feb-06            62.57           3.1%                      5.3%                                -1.2%
XL            XL CAPITAL LTD -CLASS A                      09-Feb-06            67.20           1.5%                      1.9%                                0.3%
ECL           ECOLAB INC                                   10-Feb-06            35.30           1.0%                      2.1%                                1.2%
ODP           OFFICE DEPOT INC                             10-Feb-06            33.11           2.9%                      3.4%                                1.2%
WPI           WATSON PHARMACEUTICALS INC                   10-Feb-06            31.75           3.9%                      5.7%                                0.4%
A             AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES INC                     13-Feb-06            34.74           3.8%                      5.8%                                1.7%
LNC           LINCOLN NATIONAL CORP                        13-Feb-06            52.67           1.5%                      3.0%                                1.7%
OMX           OFFICEMAX INC                                13-Feb-06            28.02           1.2%                      3.2%                                -1.4%

Source: Source: Lehman Brothers, Bloomberg
Note: This list does not exclude illiquid options. Investors should consider liquidity of options before entering a trade. For details on the methodology we use to calculate the implied
stock price move, please see “Earnings Impact on Implied and Realized Volatility”, included in the Options Strategy Monthly, January 10, 2006.




                                                                                                                                                   February 7, 2006                    5
Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot


                              Volatility Screen User Interface

                                                                                                        Obtain Implied Volatility
                                                                                                           Analytics for an
                                                                                                           Individual Stock




                                                                                                                         Screen Universe for
                                                                                                                       Rich/Cheap Volatility, By
                                                                                                                        Sector, Analyst Rating,
                                                                                                                           Earnings Period




                      Implied and Realized Volatility                                             Implied and Realized Rich/Cheap Indicators for
                       for Individual Stock Screened                                                        Individual Stock Screened

Note: Stocks that appear as unrated are either not covered by Lehman Brothers fundamental analysts or are currently subject to research restrictions.

                              Volatility Screen Summary Output
                                                                                              Number of Standard Deviations Above or Below
                                                                                                         Spreads’ 2-Year Average
                                                        Current 1-Month                          If > 1 then “Rich”. If < -1 then “Cheap”
                                                        Implied Volatility




                                                                                              Rich/Cheap Metrics:              Rich/Cheap Metrics:
                              Company Details                                                       1-Month                          3-Month
                                                                                                Implied Volatility               Implied Volatility




                                                                                                                              February 7, 2006          6
Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot


Analyst Certification:
The respective research analysts responsible for the fundamental ratings hereby certify (1) that the views expressed in this research email accurately reflect our
personal views about any or all of the subject securities or issuers referred to in this email and (2) no part of our compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly
related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this email.

I, Ryan Renicker, hereby certify (1) that the views expressed in this research email accurately reflect my personal views about any or all of the subject securities or
issuers referred to in this email and (2) no part of my compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed
in this email.

To the extent that any of the conclusions are based on a quantitative model, Lehman Brothers hereby certifies (1) that the views expressed in this research email
accurately reflect the firm's quantitative research model (2) no part of the firm's compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific
recommendations or views expressed in this research report.

Important Disclosures
Lehman Brothers does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a
conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this email communication.


Customers of Lehman Brothers in the United States can receive independent, third-party research on the company or companies covered in this report, at no cost to
them, where such research is available. Customers can access this independent research at www.lehmanlive.com or can call 1-800-2-LEHMAN to request a copy of
this research.

Investors should consider this communication as only a single factor in making their investment decision.


The analysts responsible for preparing this report have received compensation based upon various factors including the Firm’s total revenues, a portion of which is
generated by investment banking activities.


Stock price and ratings history charts along with other important disclosures are available on our disclosure website at www.lehman.com/disclosures


And may also be obtained by sending a written request to: LEHMAN BROTHERS CONTROL ROOM , 745 SEVENTH AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR NEW YORK, NY
10019


Options are not suitable for all investors and the risks of option trading should be weighed against the potential rewards.
Supporting documents that form the basis of the recommendations are available on request. Please note that the trade ideas within
this report in no way relate to the fundamental ratings applied to European stocks by Lehman Brothers' Equity Research.

Guide to Lehman Brothers Equity Research Rating System

Our coverage analysts use a relative rating system in which they rate stocks as 1-Overweight, 2- Equal weight or 3-Underweight (see definitions below) relative to other
companies covered by the analyst or a team of analysts that are deemed to be in the same industry sector (“the sector coverage universe”). To see a list of companies that
comprise a particular sector coverage universe, please go to www.lehman.com/disclosures.

In addition to the stock rating, we provide sector views which rate the outlook for the sector coverage universe as 1-Positive, 2-Neutral or 3-Negative (see definitions below).
A rating system using terms such as buy, hold and sell is not the equivalent of our rating system. Investors should carefully read the entire research report including the
definitions of all ratings and not infer its contents from ratings alone.




Stock Rating

1-Overweight - The stock is expected to outperform the unweighted expected total return of the sector coverage universe over a 12-month investment horizon.

2-Equal weight - The stock is expected to perform in line with the unweighted expected total return of the sector coverage universe over a 12-month investment horizon.

3-Underweight - The stock is expected to underperform the unweighted expected total return of the sector coverage universe over a 12-month investment horizon.

RS-Rating Suspended - The rating and target price have been suspended temporarily to comply with applicable regulations and/or firm policies in certain circumstances
including when Lehman Brothers is acting in an advisory capacity on a merger or strategic transaction involving the company.Sector View

1-Positive - sector coverage universe fundamentals are improving.

2-Neutral - sector coverage universe fundamentals are steady, neither improving nor deteriorating.

3-Negative - sector coverage universe fundamentals are deteriorating.




                                                                                                                                                February 7, 2006                   7
Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot




Distribution of Ratings:

Lehman Brothers Equity Research has 1845 companies under coverage.

42% have been assigned a 1-Overweight rating which, for purposes of mandatory disclosures, is classified as a Buy rating, 35% of companies with this rating are investment
banking clients of the Firm.

41% have been assigned a 2-Equal weight rating which, for purposes of mandatory disclosures, is classified as a Hold rating, 6% of companies with this rating are
investment banking clients of the Firm.

17% have been assigned a 3-Underweight rating which, for purposes of mandatory disclosures, is classified as a Sell rating, 75% of companies with this rating are
investment banking clients of the Firm.




This material has been prepared and/or issued by Lehman Brothers Inc., member SIPC, and/or one of its affiliates (“Lehman Brothers”) and has been approved by
Lehman Brothers International (Europe), authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority, in connection with its distribution in the European Economic
Area. This material is distributed in Japan by Lehman Brothers Japan Inc., and in Hong Kong by Lehman Brothers Asia Limited. This material is distributed in Australia
by Lehman Brothers Australia Pty Limited, and in Singapore by Lehman Brothers Inc., Singapore Branch. (“LBIS”). Where this material is distributed by LBIS, please
note that it is intended for general circulation only and the recommendations contained herein does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial
situation or particular needs of any particular person. An investor should consult his Lehman Brothers’ representative regarding the suitability of the product and take
into account his specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before he makes a commitment to purchase the investment product. This material
is distributed in Korea by Lehman Brothers International (Europe) Seoul Branch. This document is for information purposes only and it should not be regarded as an
offer to sell or as a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities or other instruments mentioned in it. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner
without the written permission of Lehman Brothers. With the exception of disclosures relating to Lehman Brothers, this research report is based on current public
information that Lehman Brothers considers reliable, but we make no representation that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. In the case
of any disclosure to the effect that Lehman Brothers Inc. or its affiliates beneficially own 1% or more of any class of common equity securities of the subject company,
the computation of beneficial ownership of securities is based upon the methodology used to compute ownership under Section 13(d) of the United States' Securities
Exchange Act of 1934. In the case of any disclosure to the effect that Lehman Brothers Inc. and/or its affiliates hold a short position of at least 1% of the outstanding
share capital of a particular company, such disclosure relates solely to the ordinary share capital of the company. Accordingly, while such calculation represents
Lehman Brothers’ holdings net of any long position in the ordinary share capital of the company, such calculation excludes any rights or obligations that Lehman
Brothers may otherwise have, or which may accrue in the future, with respect to such ordinary share capital. Similarly such calculation does not include any shares
held or owned by Lehman Brothers where such shares are held under a wider agreement or arrangement (be it with a client or a counterparty) concerning the shares
of such company (e.g. prime broking and/or stock lending activity). Any such disclosure represents the position of Lehman Brothers as of the last business day of the
calendar month preceding the date of this report.



This material is provided with the understanding that Lehman Brothers is not acting in a fiduciary capacity. Opinions expressed herein reflect the opinion of Lehman
Brothers and are subject to change without notice. The products mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in some states or countries, and they may not
be suitable for all types of investors. If an investor has any doubts about product suitability, he should consult his Lehman Brothers representative. The value of and the
income produced by products may fluctuate, so that an investor may get back less than he invested. Value and income may be adversely affected by exchange rates,
interest rates, or other factors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. If a product is income producing, part of the capital invested may be
used to pay that income. © 2006 Lehman Brothers. All rights reserved. Additional information is available on request. Please contact a Lehman Brothers entity in your
home jurisdiction.



Lehman Brothers policy for managing conflicts of interest in connection with investment research is available at www.lehman.com/researchconflictspolicy. Ratings,
earnings per share forecasts and price targets contained in the Firm's equity research reports covering U.S. companies are available at
www.lehman.com/disclosures.

Complete disclosure information on companies covered by Lehman Brothers Equity Research is available at www.lehman.com/disclosures.




                                                                                                                                            February 7, 2006                  8

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Microsoft Volatility Cheap vs. Semiconductor Stocks

  • 1. February 7, 2006 Equity Volatility Snapshot Ryan Renicker, CFA • Implied and realized volatility on the SMH have increased steadily in comparison with SWH 1.212.526.9425 implied and realized volatility. ryan.renicker@lehman.com Devapriya Mallick • Within the SWH, MSFT implied volatility is trading cheap relative to realized, as well as versus 1.212.526.5429 dmallik@lehman.com S&P 500 implied volatility. • We believe demand for downside protection on MSFT has recently decreased, as its put skew has declined. In addition, volume in MSFT calls has been relatively high versus its puts (YTD), possibly signaling greater demand for upside participation in MSFT. • Investors bullish on MSFT on a longer term basis should consider expressing their view by purchasing the January 2007 calls, as the term structure of MSFT implied volatility is relatively flat. • We update our Volatility Screen to identify stocks possibly having rich or cheap options. We also update our Earnings Watch to estimate the expected stock price reaction the options market is pricing in for upcoming earnings releases. Lehman Brothers does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Customers of Lehman Brothers in the United States can receive independent, third-party research on the company or companies covered in this report, at no cost to them, where such research is available. Customers can access this independent research at www.lehmanlive.com or can call 1-800-2LEHMAN to request a copy of this research. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. PLEASE SEE ANALYST(S) CERTIFICATION AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES BEGINNING ON PAGE 7.
  • 2. Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot Market Weakens as Volatility Inches Higher Equity markets remained under pressure during the past week, on concerns that the lower than anticipated unemployment rate and rising wage inflation would prompt the Federal Reserve to continue hiking interest rates. In addition, other factors such as disappointing earnings releases/forecasts (e.g. TYC, AMZN) weighed on the market, offsetting the positive impact of declining crude oil prices. S&P 500 implied volatility (VIX) increased throughout the week, peaking above 13 last Thursday. Semiconductor Vols Increasing Relative to Software Vols During the past couple of months, implied and realized volatility on the Semiconductor HOLDRs Trust (SMH) have steadily increased relative to the Software HOLDRs Trust (SWH), due to several factors such as weaker than expected earnings announcements/2006 outlooks by some key constituents in the SMH (Figure 1). This is not surprising, since the correlation1 between SMH and SWH returns have steadily declined during the past couple of years (Figure 2). Figure 1: SMH Implied Vol Rises, SWH Vols Relatively Stable Figure 2: SWH vs. SMH Returns Have Become Less Correlated 30% 160 90% 28% SMH 3-month Implied Vol SWH 3-month Implied Vol 140 85% Correlation SWH and SMH Prices (Scaled) 26% Decreasing Steadily 80% 24% 120 Rolling Correlation 75% 22% 100 70% 20% 80 18% 65% 60 16% 60% SMH 14% 40 SWH 55% SMH-SWH Correlation 12% 20 50% 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 05 5 -0 -0 r-0 -0 0 -0 -0 l-0 0 0 -0 01 02 03 04 05 06 g- n- n- p- ay ar ct ov b ec Ju Ap Au n- n- n- n- n- n- Ju Ja Fe Se O M M N D Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics 1 We calculate rolling 252 trading-day (1 year) correlations using the daily log returns for the SMH and SWH. February 7, 2006 2
  • 3. Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot MSFT Options Trading Cheap We believe one factor that has contributed to SWH’s relatively stable (and low) implied volatility is the low level of risk expectations that have recently been priced into MSFT options. For example, after the company released strong Q2 results and raised the lower end of revenue guidance, MSFT shares rallied nearly 5%, its 3-month at-the-money (ATM) implied volatility continued to decline and -- despite increasing yesterday to slightly below16% - remains near its lowest level in at least 10 years. In addition, MSFT 3-month ATM implied – 66-trading day realized volatility spread remains near its 1- year low and is close to zero (Figure 3), compared to its average implied-realized volatility spread of above 2% since January 2005. Moreover, MSFT ATM 3-month implied volatility has recently traded at the lower end of its range relative to S&P 500 3-month implied volatility (volatility information based on yesterday’s close). In addition, a recent decline in MSFT’s 3-month put skew leads us to believe that investors are beginning to decrease their downside protection against their holdings in MSFT shares (Figure 4). This inference might also be supported by the relatively high volume of MSFT calls traded (average daily volume of ~ 70,000 contracts YTD) versus the number of puts traded (average daily volume of ~ 27,000 contracts YTD). Figure 3: MSFT Implied Cheap vs. Realized & SPX Implied Figure 4: Decreasing Downside Protection Against MSFT? 12% 7% MSFT Implied - Realized Spread MSFT Put Skew 10% 6% MSFT Implied - S&P 500 Implied MSFT Call Skew 5% 8% 4% 6% 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% -1% -2% -2% -4% -3% 05 5 05 05 06 05 5 05 5 5 06 5 05 05 l-0 -0 -0 -0 -0 5 5 05 5 5 5 5 5 5 06 5 5 5 p- - n- n- n- b- b- -0 g- -0 -0 -0 r- -0 -0 l-0 0 0 ov ec ay 0 -0 ar ct Ju g- Ja Ju Ja n- n- n- Fe Ap Se Fe p- ay Au ar r ct ov O b M ec N D M Ju Ap Au Ja Ju Ja Fe Se O M M N D Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics Option Strategy Moreover, the term structure of MSFT implied volatility is relatively flat, since its longer-dated implied volatility (January 2007 expiration) is trading less than one vol point above it’s at-the-money March 2006 contract (based on last night’s close). We believe investors bullish on MSFT on a longer term basis should consider expressing their view by purchasing the January 2007 calls. February 7, 2006 3
  • 4. Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot Lehman Brothers Volatility Screen We update the list of stocks identified by the Lehman Brothers Volatility Screen as possibly having rich or cheap options. This screen allows investors to identify potentially rich or cheap one or three month options to efficiently express directional views on the underlying stock or identify attractive long or short volatility trading candidates. In Figure 5, we present the current list of stocks having relatively rich options according to the Lehman Brothers Volatility Screen. Figure 5: Stocks Displaying “Rich” Volatility Characteristics Std Devs from Std Devs from Std Devs from Lehman Expected 3-Month Lehman Mean (3-Month Mean (3-Month Mean (3-Month Ticker Name GICS Sector Company Price Earnings Implied Rich/Cheap Sector View Implied vs Implied vs Implied vs S&P Rating Date Volatility Realized) Sector) 500) AAPL APPLE COMPUTER INC Information Technology 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral 67.30 4/13/2006 48% 1.7 1.2 1.6 Rich AG AGCO CORP Industrials 3-Underweight 2-Neutral 19.00 2/9/2006 37% 1.6 2.0 2.4 Rich ALEX ALEXANDER & BALDWIN INC Industrials 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 49.30 4/27/2006 29% 1.5 1.5 1.7 Rich AT ALLTEL CORP Telecommunication Servic1-Overweight 1-Positive 59.74 4/21/2006 20% 1.3 1.2 1.7 Rich BCR BARD (C.R.) INC Health Care 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 61.00 4/19/2006 25% 1.7 1.3 2.1 Rich BEC BECKMAN COULTER INC Health Care 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 58.23 2/17/2006 30% 1.1 2.0 2.3 Rich BEN FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC Financials 1-Overweight 1-Positive 96.90 4/28/2006 23% 1.1 1.1 1.8 Rich BER WR BERKLEY CORP Financials 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 48.36 2/13/2006 24% 1.1 1.4 1.9 Rich BHI BAKER HUGHES INC Energy 2-Equal weight 1-Positive 75.92 2/16/2006 37% 1.5 1.6 4.3 Rich BKH BLACK HILLS CORP Utilities RS-Rating Suspe2-Neutral 35.40 2/7/2006 23% 2.2 2.0 1.7 Rich BLI BIG LOTS INC Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 13.33 2/23/2006 40% 1.9 1.7 1.7 Rich BMY BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB CO Health Care 3-Underweight 1-Positive 22.37 4/28/2006 27% 1.6 2.6 3.0 Rich BSX BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORP Health Care 1-Overweight 1-Positive 21.62 2/7/2006 45% 2.3 3.3 3.6 Rich CAT CATERPILLAR INC Industrials 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral 68.70 4/24/2006 28% 1.8 2.2 2.3 Rich DLX DELUXE CORP Industrials 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 26.27 4/28/2006 26% 1.1 2.6 2.6 Rich EAS ENERGY EAST CORPORATION Utilities 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 24.44 2/10/2006 21% 1.2 1.4 1.6 Rich ESRX EXPRESS SCRIPTS INC Health Care 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral 89.76 2/22/2006 35% 1.1 1.4 1.7 Rich EXC EXELON CORP Utilities 1-Overweight 3-Negative 56.05 4/25/2006 24% 2.2 1.4 1.3 Rich FITB FIFTH THIRD BANCORP Financials 2-Equal weight 1-Positive 36.53 4/13/2006 23% 1.1 1.3 1.5 Rich FLR FLUOR CORP Industrials 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral 87.55 3/1/2006 29% 1.7 1.2 1.4 Rich FPL FPL GROUP INC Utilities RS-Rating Suspe3-Negative 40.91 4/26/2006 20% 1.4 1.7 1.4 Rich GPC GENUINE PARTS CO Consumer Discretionary 2-Equal weight 3-Negative 42.24 2/21/2006 20% 2.1 1.5 1.9 Rich GRMN GARMIN LTD Consumer Discretionary 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral 62.68 2/22/2006 47% 1.2 1.7 2.2 Rich HNZ HJ HEINZ CO Consumer Staples 2-Equal weight 3-Negative 33.70 2/28/2006 19% 3.7 2.5 2.3 Rich HP HELMERICH & PAYNE Energy 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 78.70 4/27/2006 37% 1.0 1.2 2.1 Rich HPQ HEWLETT-PACKARD CO Information Technology 1-Overweight 2-Neutral 30.27 2/15/2006 31% 1.9 1.6 1.9 Rich HSY HERSHEY CO/THE Consumer Staples 2-Equal weight 3-Negative 51.06 4/21/2006 21% 1.6 2.3 2.1 Rich ISRG INTUITIVE SURGICAL INC Health Care 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 106.69 4/21/2006 59% 1.4 2.1 2.2 Rich JKHY JACK HENRY & ASSOCIATES INC Information Technology 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 21.89 4/20/2006 30% 2.3 1.8 2.0 Rich JP JEFFERSON-PILOT CORP Financials RS-Rating Suspe2-Neutral 56.89 4/27/2006 25% 4.0 3.5 3.7 Rich LEA LEAR CORP Consumer Discretionary 3-Underweight 3-Negative 24.65 4/21/2006 49% 1.2 2.3 2.2 Rich LRY LIBERTY PROPERTY TRUST Financials 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral 44.40 4/25/2006 34% 4.5 4.0 4.1 Rich MI MARSHALL & ILSLEY CORP Financials 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral 41.76 4/12/2006 21% 3.8 3.0 2.9 Rich MRBK MERCANTILE BANKSHARES CORPFinancials 1-Overweight 2-Neutral 37.44 4/26/2006 21% 2.4 2.0 2.3 Rich MYG MAYTAG CORP Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 17.46 4/21/2006 60% 1.9 2.6 2.7 Rich NAV NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL Industrials 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 27.06 2/28/2006 39% 1.2 1.6 1.8 Rich NEM NEWMONT MINING CORP Materials 3-Underweight 1-Positive 60.48 2/27/2006 38% 1.5 1.8 2.8 Rich OKE ONEOK INC Utilities 1-Overweight 2-Neutral 26.89 2/22/2006 23% 1.4 1.1 1.3 Rich PGL PEOPLES ENERGY CORP Utilities 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral 36.81 4/28/2006 20% 2.2 1.1 1.3 Rich RDN RADIAN GROUP INC Financials 1-Overweight 1-Positive 55.55 4/20/2006 27% 1.4 1.6 2.2 Rich RE EVEREST RE GROUP LTD Financials 1-Overweight 1-Positive 97.45 4/18/2006 25% 1.1 2.3 2.5 Rich RL POLO RALPH LAUREN CORP Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 57.47 2/7/2006 30% 1.4 1.5 1.8 Rich RYN RAYONIER INC Financials 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 42.21 4/26/2006 22% 1.4 1.2 1.8 Rich SAFC SAFECO CORP Financials 1-Overweight 1-Positive 50.67 4/19/2006 23% 2.2 2.3 2.5 Rich SFG STANCORP FINANCIAL GROUP Financials 3-Underweight 2-Neutral 51.01 4/26/2006 39% 4.2 5.6 5.3 Rich SHW SHERWIN-WILLIAMS CO/THE Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 52.57 4/21/2006 25% 2.0 2.8 2.5 Rich SNA SNAP-ON INC Consumer Discretionary 3-Underweight 3-Negative 38.40 4/21/2006 24% 1.7 1.9 2.6 Rich TBL TIMBERLAND CO-CL A Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 35.08 2/9/2006 30% 2.4 1.2 1.9 Rich UVN UNIVISION COMMUNICATIONS-A Consumer Discretionary 1-Overweight 3-Negative 31.23 3/2/2006 34% 1.7 1.1 2.1 Rich VRX VALEANT PHARMACEUTICALS INTHealth Care 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 17.26 2/24/2006 77% 2.7 3.1 3.2 Rich WDR WADDELL & REED FINANCIAL-A Financials 2-Equal weight 1-Positive 22.28 4/26/2006 38% 3.0 3.6 4.2 Rich WFMI WHOLE FOODS MARKET INC Consumer Staples 2-Equal weight 2-Neutral 71.95 2/8/2006 33% 1.6 1.6 1.6 Rich X UNITED STATES STEEL CORP Materials 2-Equal weight 1-Positive 61.57 4/26/2006 49% 1.9 1.5 2.5 Rich Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics, Bloomberg, FAME Note: This screen does not exclude stocks with illiquid options. Investors should consider liquidity before entering into an options position. Stocks that appear as unrated are either not covered by Lehman Brothers fundamental analysts or are currently subject to research restrictions. Our universe includes stocks included in either the S&P 500 or the NDX. In Figure 6, we provide the current list of stocks having relatively cheap options according to the Lehman Brothers Volatility Screen. Figure 6: Stocks Displaying “Cheap” Volatility Characteristics Std Devs from Std Devs from Std Devs from Lehman Expected 3-Month Lehman Mean (3-Month Mean (3-Month Mean (3-Month Ticker Name GICS Sector Company Price Earnings Implied Rich/Cheap Sector View Implied vs Implied vs Implied vs S&P Rating Date Volatility Realized) Sector) 500) ACS AFFILIATED COMPUTER SVCS-A Information Technology 1-Overweight 2-Neutral 62.72 4/21/2006 23% -2.5 -1.9 -1.0 Cheap CBE COOPER INDUSTRIES LTD-CL A Industrials 1-Overweight 1-Positive 82.76 4/20/2006 18% -1.3 -1.7 -1.1 Cheap CMS CMS ENERGY CORP Utilities 2-Equal weight 3-Negative 14.17 2/23/2006 22% -1.2 -1.6 -1.4 Cheap COL ROCKWELL COLLINS INC. Industrials 1-Overweight 1-Positive 50.00 4/27/2006 19% -3.5 -2.1 -1.6 Cheap MCRL MICREL INC Information Technology 3-Underweight 1-Positive 14.30 4/28/2006 40% -2.1 -1.6 -1.2 Cheap MNST MONSTER WORLDWIDE INC Industrials 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 46.77 4/26/2006 37% -1.2 -1.2 -1.1 Cheap PLCM POLYCOM INC Information Technology 1-Overweight 2-Neutral 19.30 4/20/2006 34% -2.5 -2.2 -1.3 Cheap POS CATALINA MARKETING CORP Consumer Discretionary 0-Unrated 0-Unrated 22.40 5/18/2006 19% -5.3 -3.9 -4.0 Cheap RSAS RSA SECURITY INC Information Technology 2-Equal weight 1-Positive 14.68 4/27/2006 36% -1.1 -2.0 -1.8 Cheap SBL SYMBOL TECHNOLOGIES INC Information Technology 1-Overweight 2-Neutral 12.62 3/1/2006 35% -1.7 -1.7 -1.8 Cheap SMTC SEMTECH CORP Information Technology 2-Equal weight 1-Positive 19.54 3/1/2006 34% -2.6 -2.1 -1.4 Cheap Source: Lehman Brothers, OptionMetrics, Bloomberg, FAME Note: Acquisition targets with very low volatility have been removed from this list. Stocks that appear as unrated are either not covered by Lehman Brothers fundamental analysts or are currently subject to research restrictions. Our universe includes stocks included in either the S&P 500 or the NDX. February 7, 2006 4
  • 5. Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot Earnings Watch: Companies Reporting 1/24 – 1/30 We incorporate implied volatility information to ascertain the expected stock price reaction priced in by the options market for upcoming earnings announcements. Please see Options Strategy Monthly: th Low Volatility in the 7 Inning? (January 10, 2006) for further details. In Figure 7, we present this week’s edition of the Earnings Watch. Figure 7: Expected Absolute Stock Price Reactions to Upcoming Earnings Announcements Average Absolute Stock Price Average Stock Price Move Expected Implied 1-day Stock Ticker Name Price (1/23/06) Move Following Earnings Following Earnings Earnings Date Price Move Announcements Announcements BMC BMC SOFTWARE INC 07-Feb-06 21.39 6.1% 5.9% -5.0% CD CENDANT CORP 07-Feb-06 16.00 3.4% 1.7% -1.3% CSC COMPUTER SCIENCES CORP 07-Feb-06 50.14 5.1% 4.7% -0.2% CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS INC 07-Feb-06 17.83 4.6% 5.4% -4.9% WWY WRIGLEY WM JR CO 07-Feb-06 64.70 0.7% 1.8% 0.6% CI CIGNA CORP 08-Feb-06 119.27 3.1% 4.0% -0.6% CINF CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORP 08-Feb-06 44.23 0.0% 1.3% 0.7% EDS ELECTRONIC DATA SYSTEMS CORP 08-Feb-06 24.99 3.1% 4.0% 0.5% PEP PEPSICO INC 08-Feb-06 56.77 1.8% 1.7% 0.9% PRU PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC 08-Feb-06 75.25 1.8% 2.2% 1.0% RAI REYNOLDS AMERICAN INC 08-Feb-06 101.78 2.9% 2.3% 0.1% TMK TORCHMARK CORP 08-Feb-06 55.34 0.3% 2.2% -1.1% VFC VF CORP 08-Feb-06 55.17 0.8% 2.1% 1.0% ADI ANALOG DEVICES 09-Feb-06 40.18 3.5% 1.9% 0.4% AET AETNA INC 09-Feb-06 97.60 2.1% 4.1% 2.6% AIV APARTMENT INVT & MGMT CO -A 09-Feb-06 42.70 0.9% 2.1% -1.1% AN AUTONATION INC 09-Feb-06 22.35 2.4% 2.1% 1.6% AOC AON CORP 09-Feb-06 33.54 4.3% 6.8% 4.1% AW ALLIED WASTE INDUSTRIES INC 09-Feb-06 9.49 1.6% 7.2% -1.3% AYE ALLEGHENY ENERGY INC 09-Feb-06 34.60 1.0% 3.8% 1.2% CCE COCA-COLA ENTERPRISES 09-Feb-06 19.34 1.1% 5.9% -0.2% MAR MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL-CL A 09-Feb-06 66.80 1.2% 2.4% 0.2% MBI MBIA INC 09-Feb-06 60.17 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% MET METLIFE INC 09-Feb-06 49.11 0.1% 3.2% 1.6% TAP MOLSON COORS BREWING CO -B 09-Feb-06 62.57 3.1% 5.3% -1.2% XL XL CAPITAL LTD -CLASS A 09-Feb-06 67.20 1.5% 1.9% 0.3% ECL ECOLAB INC 10-Feb-06 35.30 1.0% 2.1% 1.2% ODP OFFICE DEPOT INC 10-Feb-06 33.11 2.9% 3.4% 1.2% WPI WATSON PHARMACEUTICALS INC 10-Feb-06 31.75 3.9% 5.7% 0.4% A AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES INC 13-Feb-06 34.74 3.8% 5.8% 1.7% LNC LINCOLN NATIONAL CORP 13-Feb-06 52.67 1.5% 3.0% 1.7% OMX OFFICEMAX INC 13-Feb-06 28.02 1.2% 3.2% -1.4% Source: Source: Lehman Brothers, Bloomberg Note: This list does not exclude illiquid options. Investors should consider liquidity of options before entering a trade. For details on the methodology we use to calculate the implied stock price move, please see “Earnings Impact on Implied and Realized Volatility”, included in the Options Strategy Monthly, January 10, 2006. February 7, 2006 5
  • 6. Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot Volatility Screen User Interface Obtain Implied Volatility Analytics for an Individual Stock Screen Universe for Rich/Cheap Volatility, By Sector, Analyst Rating, Earnings Period Implied and Realized Volatility Implied and Realized Rich/Cheap Indicators for for Individual Stock Screened Individual Stock Screened Note: Stocks that appear as unrated are either not covered by Lehman Brothers fundamental analysts or are currently subject to research restrictions. Volatility Screen Summary Output Number of Standard Deviations Above or Below Spreads’ 2-Year Average Current 1-Month If > 1 then “Rich”. If < -1 then “Cheap” Implied Volatility Rich/Cheap Metrics: Rich/Cheap Metrics: Company Details 1-Month 3-Month Implied Volatility Implied Volatility February 7, 2006 6
  • 7. Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot Analyst Certification: The respective research analysts responsible for the fundamental ratings hereby certify (1) that the views expressed in this research email accurately reflect our personal views about any or all of the subject securities or issuers referred to in this email and (2) no part of our compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this email. I, Ryan Renicker, hereby certify (1) that the views expressed in this research email accurately reflect my personal views about any or all of the subject securities or issuers referred to in this email and (2) no part of my compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this email. To the extent that any of the conclusions are based on a quantitative model, Lehman Brothers hereby certifies (1) that the views expressed in this research email accurately reflect the firm's quantitative research model (2) no part of the firm's compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report. Important Disclosures Lehman Brothers does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this email communication. Customers of Lehman Brothers in the United States can receive independent, third-party research on the company or companies covered in this report, at no cost to them, where such research is available. Customers can access this independent research at www.lehmanlive.com or can call 1-800-2-LEHMAN to request a copy of this research. Investors should consider this communication as only a single factor in making their investment decision. The analysts responsible for preparing this report have received compensation based upon various factors including the Firm’s total revenues, a portion of which is generated by investment banking activities. Stock price and ratings history charts along with other important disclosures are available on our disclosure website at www.lehman.com/disclosures And may also be obtained by sending a written request to: LEHMAN BROTHERS CONTROL ROOM , 745 SEVENTH AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR NEW YORK, NY 10019 Options are not suitable for all investors and the risks of option trading should be weighed against the potential rewards. Supporting documents that form the basis of the recommendations are available on request. Please note that the trade ideas within this report in no way relate to the fundamental ratings applied to European stocks by Lehman Brothers' Equity Research. Guide to Lehman Brothers Equity Research Rating System Our coverage analysts use a relative rating system in which they rate stocks as 1-Overweight, 2- Equal weight or 3-Underweight (see definitions below) relative to other companies covered by the analyst or a team of analysts that are deemed to be in the same industry sector (“the sector coverage universe”). To see a list of companies that comprise a particular sector coverage universe, please go to www.lehman.com/disclosures. In addition to the stock rating, we provide sector views which rate the outlook for the sector coverage universe as 1-Positive, 2-Neutral or 3-Negative (see definitions below). A rating system using terms such as buy, hold and sell is not the equivalent of our rating system. Investors should carefully read the entire research report including the definitions of all ratings and not infer its contents from ratings alone. Stock Rating 1-Overweight - The stock is expected to outperform the unweighted expected total return of the sector coverage universe over a 12-month investment horizon. 2-Equal weight - The stock is expected to perform in line with the unweighted expected total return of the sector coverage universe over a 12-month investment horizon. 3-Underweight - The stock is expected to underperform the unweighted expected total return of the sector coverage universe over a 12-month investment horizon. RS-Rating Suspended - The rating and target price have been suspended temporarily to comply with applicable regulations and/or firm policies in certain circumstances including when Lehman Brothers is acting in an advisory capacity on a merger or strategic transaction involving the company.Sector View 1-Positive - sector coverage universe fundamentals are improving. 2-Neutral - sector coverage universe fundamentals are steady, neither improving nor deteriorating. 3-Negative - sector coverage universe fundamentals are deteriorating. February 7, 2006 7
  • 8. Equity Derivatives Strategy | Equity Volatility Snapshot Distribution of Ratings: Lehman Brothers Equity Research has 1845 companies under coverage. 42% have been assigned a 1-Overweight rating which, for purposes of mandatory disclosures, is classified as a Buy rating, 35% of companies with this rating are investment banking clients of the Firm. 41% have been assigned a 2-Equal weight rating which, for purposes of mandatory disclosures, is classified as a Hold rating, 6% of companies with this rating are investment banking clients of the Firm. 17% have been assigned a 3-Underweight rating which, for purposes of mandatory disclosures, is classified as a Sell rating, 75% of companies with this rating are investment banking clients of the Firm. This material has been prepared and/or issued by Lehman Brothers Inc., member SIPC, and/or one of its affiliates (“Lehman Brothers”) and has been approved by Lehman Brothers International (Europe), authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority, in connection with its distribution in the European Economic Area. This material is distributed in Japan by Lehman Brothers Japan Inc., and in Hong Kong by Lehman Brothers Asia Limited. This material is distributed in Australia by Lehman Brothers Australia Pty Limited, and in Singapore by Lehman Brothers Inc., Singapore Branch. (“LBIS”). Where this material is distributed by LBIS, please note that it is intended for general circulation only and the recommendations contained herein does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. 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