A presentation by Dr. Samuel Benin, Deputy Division Director, IFPRI Africa Regional Office, at the 16th Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) Partnership Platform (PP)
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Africa Agriculture Transformation Policy Drivers - 16th CAADP PP, 24 - 25 November 2020
1. Africa Agriculture Transformation Policy Drivers
5 or 6 types of agricultural transformation
taking place in Africa, based on initial
values (2003) and growth rates (2003-
2018) of:
Agriculture employment share (agEMPsh)
Agriculture GDP share (agGDPsh)
Agriculture labor productivity (agGDPwk)
Expected growth rate or change (∆tx):
∆tagEMPsh<0, ∆tagGDPsh<0,
∆tagGDPwk>0
Ag transformation policy drivers (BR indicators):
Institutions: planning & implementation (1.1, 1.3,
7.1), inclusion (1.2), food safety laws (3.6i), risk
management (6.2), mutual accountability (7.2)
Technologies and knowledge: investment in ag—
general (2.1i, 2.1ii), R&D (3.1v) & food safety (3.6i),
quality of technologies (3.1iii)
Human capital: social protection (3.4), building
resilience (6.2)
Infrastructure: food safety response (3.6i),
physical & ICT (5.2i, 6.2)
Markets and trade: food safety standards (3.6i),
cross-border & trade agreements (5.2i)
Group 2—
Initial high agEMPsh &
agGDPsh
∆tagGDPwk ≤ 0
Recent non-ag income
sources ag neglected
Upside: resources to finance
R&D, rural infrastructure,
human capital, etc.
Group 3—
Initial high agEMPsh &
agGDPsh
∆tagGDPsh ≥ 0
Ag will continue to dominate
Improve non-farm rural
economy to absorb excess ag
labor (non-farm jobs, human
capital, rural infrastructure)
Group 4—
Initial high agEMPsh & agGDPsh
∆tx in right direction
Larger ag-favorable (NGA, COD,
etc.): access to markets, jobs
Smaller ag-favorable (MWI, RWA,
etc.): R&D vs. input subsidies
More vulnerable (ETH, NER, etc.):
CSTs, social protection
Group 5—
UMI countries with initial
low agEMPsh & agGDPsh
∆tx in right direction
Lower progress in quality
of technologies
Improve inputs standards
and regulations
Group 1—
Initial high agEMPsh & low
agGDPsh
∆tagEMPsh≥0, ∆tagGDPsh≥0
Non-ag income sources
Least progress in all indicators
Diversification into ag & non-
farm jobs for excess ag labor
R&D, rural infrastructure,
human capital
Initial values
Low agEMPsh, low agGDPsh
High agEMPsh, low agGDPsh
High agEMPsh, high agGDPsh
∆t agEMPsh (%)
≥0
∆t agGDPsh (%)
≥0
∆t agGDPwk (%)
≤-3
-3< x ≤0
≥3
≥3
≥3