"CAADP M&E Framework", presentation by Sam Benin at the USAID, IFPRI Financial Gap Analysis Workshop held at the World Bank, January 7, 2010.

1. IFPRI
CAADP M&E Framework
Sam Benin
International Food Policy Research Institute
USAID/World Bank Workshop on
“Agricultural investment priorities and financing gaps for achieving growth and
poverty reduction targets: Review of evidence and methodology”
January 7, 2010
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE

2. Why a CAADP M&E framework?
 Demand
» At 2nd CAADP Partnership Platform (PP) meeting in 2007
(Addis Ababa): need common M&E Framework capable
of measuring progress towards achieving CAADP goals
and targets at all (national, regional and continental)
levels
 Rationale
» More than sum of pillar M&Es to consider how activities
associated with specific pillars interact with each other to
affect overall CAADP goals and objectives
» Need indicators standardized and consistent across
different countries and regions (and measurable at all
levels) for comparisons and cross-country learning
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3. Idea behind CAADP M&E
Greater
poverty reduction t a r
r n e
Other factors a a p
Accelerated agricultural c l o
k y r
growth i s t
Other factors n i i
g s n
Increased & more efficient allocation of g
agricultural investments
Other factors
National level More effective
Roundtable
1
Processes
8
P4 2
P3
7 P2 Africa-wide level
Global level Regional level 3
P1
Declarations
Commitments Early actions 6
4 Decisions
5
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4. Key activities and achievements to date
 CAADP M&E working group established, beginning with a
workshop at the AU (Addis Ababa, Dec 3-4, 2007)
 M&E framework developed and presented at CAADP PP
meeting in Seychelles, March 2008
(www.resakss.org/publications/DiscussionP6.pdf)
 Based on recommended indicators, developed formats
(mostly one-page surveys); ReSAKSS nodes to work with
network partners to collect data on:
» CAADP implementation process
» Agricultural policies, strategies and institutions
» Total and agricultural expenditures and investments
» Agricultural performance indicators
» Macro- and socio-economic performance indicators
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5. M&E Framework: indicators
 Input indicators. What is the overall level of effort invested?
» Processes, policies, strategies, institutions, expenditures, etc.
 Output indicators. What is the level of provision, utilization and
coverage of investment programs?
» Access to infrastructure/services, adoption of technologies, etc.
 Outcome indicators. What is the effect on assets and activities
that affect goals?
» Yields, production, trade, prices/wages, etc.
 Impact indicators. What was the ultimate impact on higher-level
goals?
» Growth, income, poverty, food security, hunger, etc.
 Conditioning factors. How confident are we that any observed
effect is due to the intervention?
» Resources, rainfall, prices/wages, employment, policies, etc.
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6. Level of M&E analyses
 Trends and situation analyses to monitor annually at
country, regional and continental levels (no attribution)
» Progress towards achieving main CCADP targets:
 10 percent government agricultural expenditure
 6 percent agricultural growth
 Halving poverty
» Progress in other agricultural and macro- and socio-
economic performance indicators
 Impact assessment using case study approach (e.g. for
select countries and/or programs)
(www.resakss.org/publications/DiscussionP7.pdf)
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7. Key questions for impact analysis
 How effective have different types of CAADP-related policies and
investments been in the achievements realized so far?
 What factors have shaped the level of impact that has been achieved?
 What are the trade-offs and complementarities, if any, among different
types of policies and investments?
 What are the projected impacts if policies and investments proceed as
currently planned?
 Are these projected impacts compatible with the CAADP growth and
poverty- and hunger-reduction targets?
 Could greater or better distributed outcomes and impacts be obtained by
reconfiguring the policies and investment portfolio?
 What are the different policies and types of investments that can lead to
greater and more sustainable growth as well as greater and better
distributed outcomes and impacts?
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8. Dissemination and reporting
 ReSAKSS Annual Trends Report and situation analysis of
the agricultural sector. Full report and briefs to be
completed by end of September of each year―timely for
CAADP PP meeting
 ReSAKSS website (www.resakss.org) to view and
download trends, data, charts, supporting research
publications, etc.
 Various other media and presentations to review
information and results of analyses:
» CAADP PP (Africa wide)
» CAADP advisory councils at REC level
» ReSAKSS steering committee meetings (REC level)
» Other regional and country level policy dialogue gatherings
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9. General Trends
» Progress at CAADP process at country level
(path to compact signing)
» Progress towards achieving main CCADP
targets:
 10 percent government agricultural
expenditure
 6 percent agricultural growth
 Halving poverty
IFPRI

10. CAADP roundtable process
2 countries
13 countries ERI, LBY
BEN, BRD, ETH, National Focal
Point appointed
GMB, GHA, LIB, Donor conference 4 countries
MAL, NIG, NGR, & Implementation DRC, EGY,
CAADP
Pillar 4
RWD, SIL, TOG Research &
process MAUS, ZIM
Technology launched
Roundtable Pillar 3
conference Food security
held &
compact Pillar 2 Steering &
signed Markets & trade Technical
Pillar 1 Committees
Land & water appointed
National management
8 countries compact
developed &
BFS, GUB, GUI, discussed Cabinet memo
discussed &
KEN, MWI, SEN, Stock taking
approved
and gap
UGA, ZAM analysis 3 countries
5 countries COM, MAD, SUD
CPV, CID, DJI, SEY, Source: Omilola and Page 10
Lambert, 2009
IFPRI SWZ

11. 0
10
15
20
25
0
5
10
15
20
25
5
BEN BEN
BOT BOT
BUK BUK
BUR BUR
IFPRI
CAM CAM
CAR CAR
CHD CHD
CID CID
DJI DJI
DRC DRC
EGY EGY
ETH ETH
GAB GAB
GAM GAM
GHA GHA
GUB Sources: IMF, AU/NEPAD, Countries’ GFS, etc. GUB
GUI GUI
KEN KEN
LES LES
MAD MAD
MAL MAL
MAU MAU
MOR MOR
MOZ MOZ
MUS MUS
MWI MWI
NAM NAM
NGR NGR
NIG NIG
RWA RWA
2002 Number of countries allocating: ≥10% = 6,
2007 Number of countries allocating: ≥10% = 9,
SEN SEN
SEY SEY
SIL SIL
STP STP
SUD SUD
SWZ SWZ
Government spending on agriculture
TNZ TNZ
TOG TOG
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TUN TUN
5%-10% = 19
5%-10% = 17
UGA UGA
ZAM ZAM
ZIM ZIM

12. -6
-36
-30
-24
-18
-12
0
6
12
18
24
Eritrea
Gambia, The
Zimbabwe
Source: WDI
Senegal
IFPRI
Tunisia
Mauritania
2008:
Malawi
Lesotho
2002:
Cape Verde 6% CAADP target
6% CAADP target
Gabon
Mali
Kenya
Cote d'Ivoire
Ethiopia
Zambia
Madagascar
Algeria
CAR
Chad
Guinea-Bissau
Botswana
DRC
Seychelles
Swaziland
Niger
Burkina Faso
Djibouti
Sudan
Egypt
Cameroon
Uganda
Ghana
Burundi
Nigeria
Comoros
Mauritius
Morocco
Agricultural GDP growth
Tanzania
Guinea
South Africa
Togo
Benin
Namibia
Only 9 countries achieved 6% or more annual growth
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At least 20 countries achieved 6% or more annual growth
Mozambique
Sao Tome &…
Angola
Rwanda
Equatorial…

13. 0
30
60
90
0
30
60
90
1989 1986
BOT
1994 1994
MAL
2001 1994
2006 1998
BFS
1987 2003
IFPRI
1993 1992
MAU
1996 1998
BRD
2000 2006
1985 1996
1991
CAM
2001
1999 1985
MOR
2001 1986
2007 1987
1997 1988
MOZ
2003
CID
1993
1992 1995
1994
NIG
1998
2005 2002
1986 1996
1993
DJI
2002
NGR
1996
1982
2004
1995
1985
ETH
2000
RWD
2000
2005
0
30
60
90
0
60
90
30
1991 1988
1995 1989
SEN
2001 1992
GHA
2005 1998
2006
Source: PovCal database
1990
SIL 1991
2003
1993
GUB
1993
2002
Changes in poverty
1995
SA
1991
2000 1994
GUI
1995 2003
2001 1992
1992 1994
% population in households below $1.25/day
SWZ TNZ
KEN
2000 1997
1989 2005
1992 1987
1996 1993
LES
1995
UGA
1999
2002 2003
1980
2005
1993
1991
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1997
1993 1999
MAD
1996 2001
ZAM
1998 2005
2003 1998
2004 2004
MWI

14. Next steps for M&E
 ReSAKSS conference in November 2009
 Validation of M&E framework in February 2010 in
time for CAADP Partnership Platform meeting in
March 2010
» Action plan for implementation including peer review at
regional and country level
 ReSAKSS planning meeting in Dakar next week
(January 12-14, 2010)
 …
IFPRI

15. Thank you
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16. ODA Commitments and share to agriculture
• ODA to SSA has grown at 5%/year
• Share to agriculture declined
dramatically; although it has risen in
recent times
Aid to agriculture (selected countries)
70 BOT BF CAM CID
Million (2007 constant USD)
Source: OECD CRS, 2009 60
ETH GHA KEN MLW
MAL MOR NGR TOG
50
Largest amounts: Mali, Burkina Faso, 40
Uganda, Kenya, Ghana, Ethiopia 30
20
Lowest amounts: Botswana, Nigeria, 10
Cote d’Ivoire, Togo 0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
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