"Informing African Agricultural Development Planning and Implementation in the context of CAADP in West Africa" by Mbaye Yade, Coordinator ReSAKSS WA at IITA Contract Review, April 25, Dakar, Senegal

1. CONTRACT REVIEW
26 April 2012
Informing African Agricultural Development
Planning and Implementation in the context of
CAADP in West Africa
By
Mbaye Yade
Coordinator ReSAKSS WA
www.iita.org

2. OUTLINE
• SOME BASIS TARGETS AND
PRINCIPLES OF CAADP
• RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP
IMPLEMENTATION
• STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
•MONITORING AND EVALUATION
•COUNTRY SAKSS ESTABLISHMENT
•PROSPECTS
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3. SOME BASIS TARGETS AND PRINCIPLES OF CAADP
• CAADP as a strategic framework by which to guide
country development efforts and partnerships in the
agricultural sector:
• agriculture led growth for poverty
reduction;
• increased funding of agriculture
(10%) and
• at least 6% agriculture growth – all
targeted at achieving MGD1 and
other welfare targets
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4. Some basic Targets and Principles of CAADP
– (1) mobilize existing expertise ,
capacities and knowledge and provide
first-rate analytical and advisory
services to countries and Regional
Economic Communities in the design,
implementation, and evaluation of
CAADP programs.
– (2) provide assistance to countries in
the establishment of national
knowledge system nodes to support
CAADP implementation
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5. Some basic Targets and Principles of CAADP
Work with the national nodes to provide
relevant and timely information to guide:
– Mutual review at the continental level to
review overall progress in the
implementation of CAADP
– Peer review at the regional level to
promote dialogue and mutual learning
around the review of progress and
performance
– Progress review at the national level to
ensure that country level policies and
programs are aligned with CAADP
principles and on track to meet the
country-specific targets and objectives
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6. rategic Analysis and Monitoring of CAADP
• 4 nodes: managed by IFPRI,
and Agricultural Performance in Africa IITA, ILRI and IWMI
• Key partners: AUC/NPCA and
RECs
Knowledge Management, Capacity
Strengthening, and Policy Communications
support
review and
dialogue
evidence- and outcome-based planning
and implementation of agricultural-
sector policies and strategies in Africa
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7. RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP
IMPLEMENTATION
Regional ReSAKSS nodes to:
– Facilitate access by the RECs and their
member states to policy-relevant
analyses of the highest quality 
improve policymaking,
– Track progress, document success, and
derive lessons that can feed into the
review and learning processes associated
with the implementation of the CAADP
agenda
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8. RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP
IMPLEMENTATION
National Nodes:
– pursuing the same objectives at national level
– ensuring the mobilization and coordination of
knowledge generating and dissemination
networks
– Comprising of:
• An analytical node bringing together National
Agricultural Research Institutes, universities,
statistics offices, the technical arms of
professional organizations, etc.
• A framework for review, dialogue and advocacy
coordinated at high level (Permanent Secretary
of Director) including all stakeholders:
government institutions, Professional
associations, TFP, etc.
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9. RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP IMPLEMENTATION
• Generate, compile, and share analyses and data relevant to
agricultural and rural development in line with the national
objectives;
• Perform strategic investment analyses for the agricultural
sector, especially for the different sub sectors, providing
practical policy and investment options;
• Undertake monitoring and evaluation of the Agriculture Sector
Plan programmes to facilitate evidence-based planning and
implementation;
• Produce knowledge products for dissemination and outreach
through a combination of real (stakeholder forums) and virtual
(interactive multimedia services) mechanisms;
• Contribute to fostering constructive, cross-sectoral policy
debates and encourage dialogue and the exchange of data and
knowledge among the different stakeholders at national,
regional, and international levels;
• Etc.
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10. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND
RAIP DESIGN
– STOCK TAKING EXERCICE
– MODELING WORK
– Review of the consistency of the
NAIP’s vis a vis their growth,
poverty and funding targets
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11. CAADP COUNTRY
PROCESS
DONOR AND GOV
IMPLEMENT
GOV APPOINT
FOCAL POINTS
ROUND TABLE REC&GOV
SIGNING OF LAUNCH
COMPACT START PROCESS
COUNTRY
STEERING &
TECHNICAL
DRAFTING COMMITTEE
OF COUNTRY
CAADP COMPACT
STOCK TAKE CABINET
GROWTH MEMO AND
INVESTMENT ENDORSMENT
ANALYSIS
Page 11
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12. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND
RAIP DESIGN
• TREND SCENARIO FOR GROWTH
AND POVERTY REDUCTION;
• COMPARE TRENDS WITH CAADP
AND MDG-1 TARGETS
• ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS TO MEET
CAADP AND MDG-1 TARGETS ;
• ASSESS FUNDING REQUIREMENTS
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13. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
Contribution of agricultural growth to poverty
reduction at the national and rural levels (%)
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
BENIN BURKINA CAPE GAMBIE GHANA GUINEE LIBERIA MALI NIGER NIGERIA SENEGAL TOGO
FASO VERT CONAKRY
Agriculture Non Agriculture sectors
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14. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
Long term contributions of agricultural growth to increases of
Agricultural GDP (millions of $US) and Poverty reduction (%)
450 35
Growth in Agricultural GDP
400 Reduction in national poverty rate 30
350
25
300
250 20
200 15
150
10
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15. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
Strategic agricultural subsectors for agricultural growth and poverty reduction
Benin Food crops (Roots and Tuber)*
Burkina Faso Cattle and Sorghum/millet
Cape Verde Food crops
The Gambia Cereals (millet/Sorghum)* and livestock
Ghana Root crops and fisheries
Guinea Rice
Liberia Food crops
Mali Food crops (Rice; Millet/Sorghum)*
Niger Livestock
Nigeria Cassava, Rice
Senegal Livestock and food crops (millet/sorghum; Rice)*
Sierra Leone Cassava
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16. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
EXPECTED AG GROWTH IN 2015 UNDER DIFFERENT SCENARIOS
16.0 16.0
14.0 14.0
12.0 12.0
10.0 10.0
8.0 8.0
6.0 6.0
4.0 4.0
2.0 2.0
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bau national strategies CAADP
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17. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
EXPECTED POVERTY REDUCTION BY 2015 UNDER DIFFERENT SCENARIOS
bau national strategies CAADP MDG1
40.0
20.0
0.0
-20.0
-40.0
-60.0
-80.0
-100.0
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www.iita.org S

18. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
CURRENT AG EXPENDITURE RATIOS REQUIRED AG EXPENDITURE
TO TOTAL EXPENDITURES (%) GROWTH TO MEET 6%
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
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19. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
CURRENT FUNDING EFFICIENCY: ELASTICITY VIS-À-VIS AG GROWTH
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20. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
MONITORING MDG1
POVERTY INCIDENCE IN WEST AFRICA IN THE 1990’S (%)
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21. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
MONITORING MDG1
POVERTY TRENDS DURING THE 1990s AND THE 2000s
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22. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
MONITORING MDG1
Poverty reduction rate required for reaching the
MDG1 by 2015 compared to current trends
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23. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
MONITORING MDG1
REQUIRED POVERTY REDUCTION RATES TO HALVE 1990
POVERTY LEVEL IN 2020 OR 2025
4.0% Current 2020 2025
-1.0%
d'Ivoire
Senegal
Benin
Niger
Gambia
Nigeria
Mali
Burkina
-6.0%
Côte
Faso
-11.0%
-16.0%
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24. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION DYNAMICS
IN WEST AFRICA
• STUDY ON THE DYNAMICS OF FOOD CONSUMPTION IN WEST
AFRICA CONDUCTED JOINTLY WITH MICHIGAN STATE
UNIVERSITY IN 7 COUNTRIES: BENIN, BURKINA FASO, COTE
D’IVOIRE, MALI, NIGER, SENEGAL, AND TOGO:
- ANALYSIS OF HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE SURVEYS
- ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL FOOD BALANCES
- REGRESSION ANALYSIS => MARGINAL BUDGET SHARES/DEMAND
ELASTICITIES
– REGIONAL SYNTHESIS REPORT
• IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS UNDER FAO CONTRACT INCLUDING
GHANA:
- REVENU TRENDS
- DYNAMICS AND DETERMINANTS OF FOOD CONSUMPTION
- FOOD DEMAND PROSPECTS
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25. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION DYNAMICS
IN WEST AFRICA
INCOME TRENDS DISAGREGATED BY QUINTILES
Country Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 National
Burkina Faso 4.1% 4.2% 4.1% 3.7% 2.9% 3.4%
Côte d'Ivoire -3.1% -2.5% -2.4% -2.5% -2.7% -2.6%
Ghana 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2%
Mali -2.5% -2.2% -2.2% -1.9% -0.6% -1.4%
Sénégal 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.9%
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26. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION DYNAMICS
IN WEST AFRICA
CALORIFIC CONSUMPTION SHARES IN % (2004-2008)
Food product Burkina Faso Senegal Niger Togo Côte
d'Ivoire
Cereals 65.1 63.4 62.9 48.4 31.3
Roots and tubers 0.3 1.9 1.7 24.9 32.6
Legumes 10.1 0.8 14.1 3.7 0.7
Oil and Fats 11.9 17.0 8.8 14.2 13.0
Fruits and vegetables 2.1 2,5 2.9 1.2 8.0
Sugar and sweeteners 2.4 4.6 2.9 3.8
Alcoholic drinks 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.0
Animal products 4.1 8.2 9.5 3.5 4.6
Others 0.8 1.5 0.0 0.4 4.2
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
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27. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION
DYNAMICS IN WEST AFRICA
Calorific contribution of macro nutrients in % (2004-2008)
Country Carbohydrate Proteins Lipids
Burkina Faso 68.0 12.0 20.0
Côte d‘Ivoire 73.2 8.3 18.6
Niger 68.2 13.1 18.7
Senegal 65.1 10.4 24.5
Togo 71.2 9.1 19.7
Recommended Ratios
Minimum 50 11 30
Maximum 55 15 35
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28. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION
DYNAMICS IN WEST AFRICA
Absolute budget share by food product group
Food Product group Benin Burkina Cote Ghan Mali Niger Senegal Togo
Faso d’Ivoire a
2007 2009 2008 2006 2006 2005 2002 2006
Cereals 22.5 55.1 25.7 22.8 44.5 60.9 28.9 20.8
Roots, Tubers and Plantain 10.2 0.6 16.8 15.0 1.9 0.8 2.3 8.0
Légumineuses 3.7 3.6 1.6 1.8 2.7
Fats and vegetal oils and fats 8.6 4.9 6.9 5.1 6.5 3.3 8.6 6.4
Fruits and vegetables 11.6 6.1 15.7 13.9 9.9 4.8 11.9 14.9
Animal products and fish 30.1 10.0 22.6 29.2 22.2 12.1 26.8 17.8
Beverage and Stimulants 6.7 8.1 2.4 6.6 6.9 4.2 6.2
Other food products 6.7 11.5 10.0 7.4 6.4 12.0 21.5 23.2
Ratio of food expenditures to 61.7 53.6 38.6 51.0 43.4 60.1 50.8 51.6
total expenditures
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29. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION DYNAMICS
IN WEST AFRICA
Food expenditures concentration ratio
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30. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION
DYNAMICS IN WEST AFRICA
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31. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION
DYNAMICS IN WEST AFRICA
Marginal budget shares of selected food products
in rural areas
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32. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION DYNAMICS
IN WEST AFRICA
Marginal budget shares of selected food products in
urban areas
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33. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
• Request from AU/NEPAD addressed to
ReSAKSS
• Validation of the Framework March 2010
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34. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
CONDITIONING
FACTORS
Hunger Goal Level
• Household assets and
endowments
Poverty • Natural disasters
• Conflict
Intermediate-Goal Level
• Non-agricultural
Income production
• Employment
Prices • Rural wages
• Inflation
Outcome Level
Sustainable Land Agricultural • Resources
Management Production & Food Agricultural Trade
• Rainfall
Supply • Natural disasters
• Trade policies
• Exchange rate
Output Level
Physical Capital • Prices
• Initial conditions of
Irrigation systems Human Capital
capital
Rural roads • Social services
Marketing infrastructure Information, Knowledge, (education, health, social
Food reserve facilities and Technologies security)
Input Level
1 2 3 4 • Political economy
Land Rural Infras. and Agricultural
Food Security and • Governance
Management and Trade-Related Research and
Safety Nets • Institutions
Water Control Market Access Technology Dev’t
• Total government revenue
Systems
• Private-sector
investments/FDI
Institutional Capacity Strengthening • ODA (and harmonization)
Investments
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35. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
MAIN QUESTIONS ADDRESSED:
1. ENABLING ENVIRONMENT
What policies, institutions and mechanisms are in place to
enhance economic management e.g. political and
economic governance, private sector development, and
equity?
How credible and relevant has the evidence used in the
process of designing the investment programs been?
Have the processes been inclusive of all stakeholders, and
are investment programs aligned with the CAADP
principles and targets?
Are mechanisms in place for implementing the investment
and monitoring and evaluating its impacts?
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36. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
2. DELIVERING ON COMMITMENTS AND
ACHIEVING STATED TARGETS
• Are development partners making good on their
financial commitments to support CAADP?
• Are governments allocating 10 percent (or other
share as stated in their investment plans) of their
total budgetary resources to the agricultural
sector?
• Have expectations in terms of being on track to
achieving the CAADP growth and reducing
poverty, hunger, and food and nutrition insecurity
been met so far?
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37. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
3. EFFECTIVENESS OF INTERVENTIONS
(PROCESSES, POLICIES, INVESTMENTS)
• How effective have different types of
interventions been in the achievements
realized so far?
• What factors have shaped the level of impact
that has been achieved?
• What are the trade-offs and
complementarities, if any, among different
types of interventions?
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38. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
4. CONSISTENCY OF PLANNED
INTERVENTIONS WITH INITIAL TARGETS
• What are the projected impacts if
interventions proceed as currently
planned?
• Are these projected impacts
compatible with the CAADP growth and
goals on reducing poverty, hunger, and
food and nutrition insecurity?
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39. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
5. EXPLORING INTERVENTIONS WITH
GREATER OR BETTER DISTRIBUTED
IMPACTS
• Could greater or better distributed impacts be
obtained by reconfiguring the interventions?
• What are the different or new interventions that can
lead to greater and more sustainable growth as well
as greater and better distributed impacts?
• What are the new targets that can be set for
implementing these new types of interventions?
• What are the resources needed for implementing
these new interventions to achieve the desired
impacts?
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40. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
INDICATORS
SMART: Specific, Measurable, Achievable,
Realistic and Timely:
• 13 Process indicators (M&E of CAADP Design)
• 4 Input Indicators (Agricultural Funding: Maputo
Declaration)
• 22 Output and Outcome Indicators (Agricultural
Performance)
• 8 Impact Indicators (CAADP Goals: poverty, hunger,
malnutrition, etc.)
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41. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
PROCESSES AND PRINCIPLES
FRAMEWORK
– (POLICY/PRIMARY FACTOR ENDOWMENT)
– FUNDING
– AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE
– TRADE PERFORMANCE
– POVERTY, HUNGER, CHILD MALNUTRITION
– LINKAGES BETWEEN FUNDING, PERFORMANCE, AND LIVELIHOODS
NO OR LIMITED PRIMARY DATA COLLECTION
CHALLENGES
– DATA QUALITY
– CONTINUITY
– DATA FORMAT COMPATIBILITY
– SUSTAINABILITY
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42. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
PROCESSES AND PRINCIPLES
TEAM: CORE COUNTRY ACTORS
– Planning and statistics unit of MINAGRI (PSU) as
coordinator
– National Institute of Statistics (poverty unit, national
accounting unit)
– Budget unit in Ministries of Finance
– Professional think tanks
– Market information systems
– M&E units in other relevant ministries such as
livestock, environment, fisheries, trade, etc
– NARS including Universities
– Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRSP) unit
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43. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
PROCESSES AND PRINCIPLES
ACTIVITIES: REGIONAL
– Drafting of terms of reference: list and
specification of indicators, rationale,
definitions, computation, sources and links
to policy targets; profile of collaborators
– Methodology workshops , quality review,
technical backstopping
– Regional synthesis of each component by
ReSAKSS in collaboration with lead experts
– Regional validation and dissemination
workshop
– Finalization of regional trends and outlook
report www.iita.org

44. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
PROCESSES AND PRINCIPLES
ACTIVITIES AT NATIONAL LEVEL
– PSU as coordinator develops operational plan and
monitors execution
– Data collection and analysis by different subgroups
following the components
– Subgroup reports submitted to the planning unit with
data sheets as annexes
– Planning unit consolidates subgroup reports and
submits to ReSAKSS with all data sheets for review
– Technical meetings and national validation
workshops
– Finalization of national trends and outlook report
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45. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – SELECTED MACRO ECONOMIC INDICATORS
annual GDP growth Current account balance (% of GDP) Inflation rate
Country 20102007/08-2009/10 20102008-2010 20102008-2010
Benin 2.60% 3.40% -4.20% -14.80% 1.90% 3.70%
Burkina Faso 8.70% 5.70% -3.30% -6.50% -0.60% 4.20%
Cape Verde 5.40% 5.10% -11.20% -13.20% 2.10% 3.30%
Cote d'Ivoire 1.10% 2.60% 43.00% 26.40% 1.80% 3.00%
Gambia 6.10% 6.00% -17.10% -12.10% 5.80% 5.10%
Ghana 6.60% 6.60% -8.60% -9.10% 10.70% 15.50%
Guinea 1.90% 2.20% -7.20% -9.50% 15.50% 12.80%
Guinea Bissau 3.50% 3.20% 0.00% -4.50% 2.50% 3.80%
Liberia (1) 5.50% 5.70% -42.20% -38.60% 7.40% 12.50%
Mali 5.80% 5.10% -7.80% -9.10% 1.20% 4.20%
Niger (1) 8.50% 5.60% -20.70% -18.60% 0.90% 4.90%
Nigeria 7.90% 6.90% 1.30% 7.60% 13.70% 12.60%
Senegal 4.10% 3.30% -7.00% -10.20% 1.20% 2.00%
Sierra Leone 4.90% 4.60% -16.80% -12.90% 16.60% 13.60%
Togo (2) 3.70% 3.20% -5.60% -6.30% 2.10% 4.20%
median ECOWAS 5.40% 5.10% -7.20% -9.50% 2.10% 4.20%
Median WAEMU 3.90% 3.40% -4.90% -7.80% 1.50% 4.00%
median non WAEMU 5.50% 5.70% -11.20% -12.10% 10.70% 12.60%
diff. WAEMU 1.60% 2.40% -6.30% -4.30% 9.20% 8.60%
Sahelian countries 5.80% 5.10% -7.80% -10.20% 1.20% 4.20%
Coastal Countries 4.30% 4.00% -6.40% -9.30% 9.10% 12.50%
ECOWAS without www.iita.org
Nigeria 5.20% 4.80% -7.50% -9.90% 2.10% 4.20%

46. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – Agricultural Funding
Agricultural expenditures ratio Agricultural expenditures trends
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47. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – Agricultural Funding
Sectoral distribution of agricultural expenditure over the period 2008-2010
Country Crop production Livestock Fisheries Forestry
% ag. % ag. % ag. % ag.
Expenditur Expenditur Expenditur Expenditur
e % ag GDP e % ag GDP e % ag GDP e % ag GDP
Benin 70.80% 72.60% 4.00% 15.40% 9.90% 6.80% 15.30% 5.20%
Burkina
Faso 71.20% 52.90% 20.50% 35.40% 8.30% 11.70%
Côte
d'Ivoire 82.20% 89.90% 12.00% 7.70% 1.30% 0.40% 4.50% 2.00%
Mali 65.30% 61.80% 24.80% 27.90% 10.00% 10.30%
Senegal 71.80% 57.20% 7.80% 29.30% 8.60% 8.90% 11.80% 4.50%
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48. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – Agricultural Funding
Breakdown of agricultural expenditure by function for 2008-2010
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49. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE
Agricultural Growth in 2008-2010
Country 2008 2009 2010 AAGR
Benin 3.60% 2.50% 1.40% 2.50%
Burkina Faso 8.10% -4.10% 9.00% 3.30%
Cape Verde 16.10% 0.40% 4.50% 6.20%
Côte d'Ivoire -1.00% 5.40% 4.90% 3.30%
The Gambia 28.60% 13.50% 12.10% 17.40%
Ghana 7.40% 7.20% 5.30% 6.70%
Guinea 3.60% 3.20% 3.20% 3.30%
Bissau-Guinea 5.60% 9.60% 3.30% 6.50%
Liberia 7.20% 6.50% 5.20% 6.30%
Mali 13.20% 5.60% 7.70% 8.50%
Niger 16.20% -9.50% 16.30% 5.20%
Nigeria 6.30% 5.90% 5.70% 5.90%
Senegal 19.70% 11.40% 4.90% 11.80%
Sierra Leone 4.50% 4.00% 4.10% 4.20%
Togo 4.00% 8.30% 3.10% 5.40%
ECOWAS 6.60% 5.50% 5.80% 5.90%
coastal countries 6.10% 6.00% 5.50% 5.90%
Sahelian countries 13.00% -0.60% 9.70% 6.40%
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50. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE
RECENT TRENDS IN CEREAL PRODUCTION IN WEST AFRICA
Country 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Benin 5.10% 5.70% 9.40% 19.00% 1.40%
Burkina Faso 0.90% -16.10% 41.10% -16.60% 25.50%
Cap Vert 12.80% -25.50% 277.60% -36.30% -4.60%
Côte d'Ivoire 1.40% -15.00% 15.20% 1.30% 1.80%
Gambia 4.70% -30.20% 60.50% 29.00% 16.90%
Ghana 1.10% -17.50% 45.10% 13.80% 11.30%
Guinea 6.70% 6.30% 1.20% 4.20% 6.60%
Guinea Bissau 6.00% -18.50% 18.20% -4.40% 14.40%
Liberia 5.90% 41.30% 20.40% 5.00% 1.10%
Mali 8.70% 5.20% 6.00% 53.80% 1.30%
Niger 10.80% -4.90% 27.00% -27.90% 45.90%
Nigeria 6.60% 6.60% 6.60% 5.50% 4.80%
Senegal -28.40% -22.60% 99.30% 7.40% -5.40%
Sierra Leone 4.50% 15.60% 29.70% 17.60% 15.20%
Togo 6.90% -1.30% 6.60% 13.40% -1.50%
West Africa 5.20%www.iita.org
2.00% 12.80% 5.30% 7.80%

51. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE
RECENT TRENDS IN ROOTS AND TUBERS PRODUCTION IN WEST AFRICA
Country 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Benin -11.20% -9.40% 54.20% 3.50% 11.80%
Burkina Faso 16.20% -21.20% 42.80% 39.40% 17.10%
Cap Vert 14.30% 6.30% 0.00% 53.50% 3.50%
Côte d'Ivoire 6.40% 0.20% 8.00% -10.60% 1.70%
Gambia 0.00% 4.00% 0.00% -5.50% 3.10%
Ghana 2.70% 4.50% 5.80% 13.30% 6.70%
Guinea 4.90% 2.50% 2.40% 1.40% 2.80%
Guinea Bissau 5.30% 8.50% 10.00% 138.80% 10.30%
Liberia 2.00% 8.60% -7.50% -12.80% -0.50%
Mali 39.30% 52.60% 2.50% -12.90% -13.40%
Niger 35.60% 16.80% -33.30% -9.40% -63.50%
Nigeria 8.70% 6.60% 7.70% 6.40% 6.00%
Senegal -57.10% 155.10% 211.70% -66.10% -22.80%
Sierra Leone 28.30% 4.90% 42.30% 15.40% 15.50%
Togo 9.90% 0.20% 5.30% 10.80% 1.30%
West Africa 6.80%www.iita.org
5.30% 10.00% 5.60% 6.10%

52. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL TRADE
AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS VALUE BY PRODUCT
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53. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL TRADE
•AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS VALUE BY COUNTRY
www.iita.org

54. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL TRADE
FOOD AND AGRICULTURAL TRADE BALANCE (RATIO EXPORTS/IMPORTS)
www.iita.org

55. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL TRADE
FOOD TRADE BALANCE (RATIO EXPORTS/IMPORTS)
www.iita.org

56. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR - POVERTY
NATIONAL POVERTY LINE BASED POVERTY
INCIDENCE
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
1990s
40.0
2000s
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
Benin Burkina Cape Cote Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea- Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal Sierra Togo
Faso Verde d'Ivoire Bissau Leone
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57. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR - POVERTY
POVERTY GAP RATIO
60.0
50.0
40.0
1990s
30.0
2000s
20.0
10.0
0.0
Benin Burkina Cape Cote Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea- Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal Sierra Togo
Faso Verde d'Ivoire Bissau Leone
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58. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR - POVERTY
SHARE OF POOREST QUINTILE IN NATIONAL
CONSUMPTION
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
1990s
4.0
2000s
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
B e nin B u rk ina C ap e C o te G am b ia G h ana G u ine a G u ine a- Lib e ria M ali N ige r N ige ria S e n e gal S ie rra T o go
F as o Ve rd e d 'Ivo ire B is s au Le o ne
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59. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – CHILD MALNUTRITION
STUNTING
60.0
50.0
1990s
40.0
2000s
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
Benin Burkina Cote Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea- Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal Sierra Togo
Faso d'Ivoire Bissau Leone
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60. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR - HUNGER
PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION UNDERNOURISHED
60
1990s 2000s
50
40
30
20
10
0
B e nin B u rk ina C ap e C ô te G am b ia G h ana G u ine a G u ine a- Libe ria M ali N ige r N ige ria S e ne gal S ie rra T o go
F as o Ve rd e d 'Ivo ire B is s au Le o ne
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61. MONITORING AND EVALUATION
ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR -HUNGER
GLOBAL HUNGER INDEX
40
35
1990 2 009
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
B enin B urkina C o te G am b ia G hana G uinea G uinea- Lib eria M ali N ig er N ig eria S eneg al S ierra To go
F as o d 'Ivo ire B is s au Leo ne
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62. ESTABLISHMENT OF COUNTRY SAKSS
• Guidelines for the establishment of CAADP
Country Team, including the SAKSS node
• Support to Ghana, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, and
Togo to implement the guidelines and set up
the national SAKSS node
• Support to the agricultural statistics unit of
Togo to :
– harmonize CAADP M&E framework with M&E
needs for NAIP
– conduct the baseline study for the
implementation of Togo NAIP.
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63. PROSPECTS
• SUPPORT TO NATIONAL ATOR AND PRODUCTION
OF REGIONAL ATOR
•TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE TO SET UP/STRENGTHEN
COUNTRY SAKSS NODES IN “SAKSS READY
COUNTRIES”
•CAPACITY STRENGTHENING OF ECOWAS AND
OTHER REGIONAL INSTITUTIONS
•STRATEGIC ANALYSIS: ATOR FEATURE THEMES:
2012: FLOWS AND IMPACT OF AGRICULTURAL
INVESTMENTS (PUBLIC AND PRIVATE; FDI IN LAND)
2013: AGRICULTURE AND VULNERABILITY AND SOCIAL
PROTECTION STRATEGIES IN AFRICA
2014: MDG ACHIEVEMENT STATUS IN AFRICA
2015: POST MDG GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION
STRATEGIES IN AFRICA
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64. THANK YOU
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