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CRISIS Online Game and
  Economic Simulator

 Tamás Máhr, Richard Legendi
tmahr@aitia.ai, rlegendi@aitia.ai
    AITIA International, Inc.

       Complexity Models for Systemic
          Instabilities and Crises

           Lorentz Center, Leiden
              April 8-12, 2013
Activities
Contracted             In addition
●   CRISIS Game (WP5) ● MEME
●   Economic Simulator  improvements
    (WP6)               ●   Software for first
●   Integration             lab experiment
                        ●   Authoring tool for
                            lab experiments
CRISIS Game – Current Focus
●   Local version of the Game (Policy Makers)
       ●   Discovery module
       ●   Easy install
●   Game improvements (feedback)
       ●   New outlook
       ●   Bugfixes
●   Mark1 encapsulation
       ●   Replaced the 'null' model
Game Types
●   Mark1 (Commercial Loan Market)
●   Multibank Mark1 (+Deposit Market)
●   +StockMarket
●   +InterbankMarket
Integration
●   Integration of “Mark1”
       ●   Not identical
       ●   Slight modifications to fit architecture
             Close coooperation with Jakob Grazzini
             (loans, deposits cannot go negative, etc.)
●   Running under the CRISIS Game
Integration – MEME
               improvements
●   Updated MEME builds for CRISIS

          Multicolumn recording
       ●

            (collections, agent lists)
            Published last week @ integration list

      ●   Workspace concept
            W.I.P.
Integration – Current Focus
●   Tutorials, documentation?
●   Reconsider scheduling after feedback
       ●   Make parametrizable
       ●   Fixing ScheduleOrder
●   Reconsider strategy framework
       ●   Make them composable
Economic Simulator
●   Expert mode
       ●   Support for parameter sweep experiments
       ●   Web based or local tool (?)
●   Scenario analysis
       ●   Observe a single run
       ●   Predefined simulation, predefined charts,
            adjustable parameters
Economic Simulator – Current Focus
●   Designing the interface
       ●   How should it look like?
       ●   Allows us to rethink the MEME interface
               –   Complicated, how can it be simplified?
●   Scenario Analysis
       ●   To be done later
PET4Experiments
●   Software for Lab Experiments
●   Idea came from AITIA's PET Software
       ●   Participatory Extension
●   Modern, scalable IT
       ●   Previous version is 5+ years old
●   Same engine as the game
PET4Experiments
    Proof of Concept Application
●   According to specifications by UvA
       ●   Based on the new general engine
       ●   UI Screens coded by AITIA
●   Experiment software is in use
PET4Experiments – TBD
●   A user friendly editor is to be developed
       ●   Editor for UI screens (flexible, easy to use)
       ●   Editors for intro texts and questionnaire
●   Docs and examples to be developed
PET4Experiments
●   The software is already available for
    any experiment
●   Provided that one dares to
       ●   Implement the core model in MASON
       ●   Code the GUI in JavaScript against our
            simple API
       ●   We offer hands-on tutorials on demand at
            Hungary
Advertising Toolset – Publications
●   "A New Set of Tools Supporting Agent-Based
    Economic Modeling".
        ●   Accepted oral presentation, WEHIA 2013
        ●   Full paper, EPIA 2013 (submitted)
●   Statistical and Behavioral Model Analysis Tools.
        ●   Accepted workshop proposal, ESSA 2013
Acknowledgement
This work was partially supported by the
      EC FP7-ICT supported project
Complexity Research Initiative for Systemic
        InstabilitieS (no: 288501)

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CRISIS Online Game and Economic Simulator

  • 1. CRISIS Online Game and Economic Simulator Tamás Máhr, Richard Legendi tmahr@aitia.ai, rlegendi@aitia.ai AITIA International, Inc. Complexity Models for Systemic Instabilities and Crises Lorentz Center, Leiden April 8-12, 2013
  • 2. Activities Contracted In addition ● CRISIS Game (WP5) ● MEME ● Economic Simulator improvements (WP6) ● Software for first ● Integration lab experiment ● Authoring tool for lab experiments
  • 3. CRISIS Game – Current Focus ● Local version of the Game (Policy Makers) ● Discovery module ● Easy install ● Game improvements (feedback) ● New outlook ● Bugfixes ● Mark1 encapsulation ● Replaced the 'null' model
  • 4. Game Types ● Mark1 (Commercial Loan Market) ● Multibank Mark1 (+Deposit Market) ● +StockMarket ● +InterbankMarket
  • 5.
  • 6. Integration ● Integration of “Mark1” ● Not identical ● Slight modifications to fit architecture Close coooperation with Jakob Grazzini (loans, deposits cannot go negative, etc.) ● Running under the CRISIS Game
  • 7. Integration – MEME improvements ● Updated MEME builds for CRISIS  Multicolumn recording ● (collections, agent lists) Published last week @ integration list  ● Workspace concept W.I.P.
  • 8. Integration – Current Focus ● Tutorials, documentation? ● Reconsider scheduling after feedback ● Make parametrizable ● Fixing ScheduleOrder ● Reconsider strategy framework ● Make them composable
  • 9. Economic Simulator ● Expert mode ● Support for parameter sweep experiments ● Web based or local tool (?) ● Scenario analysis ● Observe a single run ● Predefined simulation, predefined charts, adjustable parameters
  • 10. Economic Simulator – Current Focus ● Designing the interface ● How should it look like? ● Allows us to rethink the MEME interface – Complicated, how can it be simplified? ● Scenario Analysis ● To be done later
  • 11. PET4Experiments ● Software for Lab Experiments ● Idea came from AITIA's PET Software ● Participatory Extension ● Modern, scalable IT ● Previous version is 5+ years old ● Same engine as the game
  • 12. PET4Experiments Proof of Concept Application ● According to specifications by UvA ● Based on the new general engine ● UI Screens coded by AITIA ● Experiment software is in use
  • 13.
  • 14. PET4Experiments – TBD ● A user friendly editor is to be developed ● Editor for UI screens (flexible, easy to use) ● Editors for intro texts and questionnaire ● Docs and examples to be developed
  • 15. PET4Experiments ● The software is already available for any experiment ● Provided that one dares to ● Implement the core model in MASON ● Code the GUI in JavaScript against our simple API ● We offer hands-on tutorials on demand at Hungary
  • 16. Advertising Toolset – Publications ● "A New Set of Tools Supporting Agent-Based Economic Modeling". ● Accepted oral presentation, WEHIA 2013 ● Full paper, EPIA 2013 (submitted) ● Statistical and Behavioral Model Analysis Tools. ● Accepted workshop proposal, ESSA 2013
  • 17. Acknowledgement This work was partially supported by the EC FP7-ICT supported project Complexity Research Initiative for Systemic InstabilitieS (no: 288501)