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Cost-Benefit Indicators to
            Assess SDI Impact


                       Roger Longhorn

    Director, Info-Dynamics Research Associates Ltd.
     co-Chair, GSDI Assoc. Legal & Economic W.G.
   CBA Work Package Leader, INSPIRE Project MOTIIVE

                         ral@alum.mit.edu

24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
Presentation


 Before you do a Cost-Benefit study.
 Cost-Benefit metrics.
 Cost-Benefit Methodologies.
 Cost-Benefit issues.
 Cost-Benefit metrics as assessment Indicators.
 Alternatives to CBA.
 The ANSWER!


24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
Before the Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA)



  Define your 'SDI'.
  Define your goal for the CBA.
  Define your target audience.
  Define your (preferred) CBA Methodology.
  Define your time frame.



24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
Before the Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA)



  Agree on value propositions to be used in
 the analysis (tangible, intangible benefits).
  Agree on assumptions made (including
 weighting factors, etc.).
  Agree on your 'experts' and level of
 stakeholder engagement.


24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
Cost-Benefit Metrics

     What type of CBA & metric?
      −   Return on Investment (ROI)
      −   Net Present Value (NPV)
      −   Economic Value (EV) - value to the economy
          in X years, in Y years ('economic value' = ?)
     Other metrics?
          Payback period to recover the investment
          We can now do 'A' (or better than before)


24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
Cost-Benefit Methodology

     What type of methodology?
      −   CBA (traditional, financial / monetary)
      −   Cost Effectiveness Analysis (CEA)
      −   Value Measuring Methodology (VMM)
      −   GeoVMM (variant of VMM – NASA ROI work)
      −   Social Cost Benefit Analysis (SCBA)
      −   Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA)
      −   Social Multi-Criteria Analysis (SMCA)
24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
CBA Issues
  CBAs are riddled with assumptions.
   −   More complexity = More assumptions.
   −   More assumptions = Less believable.
   −   Less believable = Less valuable to do.
  Depends upon quality of 'experts'.
  Depends upon resources available to conduct
  the study & analysis - and on stakeholders.
  Please separate “GI/SDI benefit” from that of
  generic “information infrastructure” benefit.
24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
Value of C-B metrics as SDI
            assessment indicators
   What is a metric such as “ROI = 112%” actually
   measuring – if the final 'metric' is presented to
   decision-makers with inadequate metadata
   (who, how, why...).

   What valuable assessment information is lost
   when the message “NPV = €1.2 billion” is
   conveyed to SDI developers - in regard to all the
   other benefits of an SDI.

24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
Alternatives to (traditional) CBAs
  Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA).
   −   Multi-objective decision making, Multi-objective decision
       support system (MODSS), and Multi-criteria decision aid
  Collection(s) of specific Case Studies.
  Business cases.
  Impact analyses & Risk assessments.
  Computational simulation models. (NB-Sim)
  Combinations of any or all of the above.
  But these don't lead to easily identified 'indicators'.

24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
INSPIRE CBA/ROI Workshop, Jan. 2006



   “It is (probably) not possible to use a
(standard) CBA methodology, with a single
success criteria/metric, to assess the cost-
      benefit for an entire information
               infrastructure.”




24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
Value of C-B metrics as Indicators


               “The answer is 42.”

                                               - Douglas Adams

                           Hitch-hiker's Guide to the Universe
                              Life, the Universe and Everything


24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen
Thank you for your attention.



                        Roger Longhorn
                          ral@alum.mit.edu




24 May 2007   Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop   Wageningen

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Longhorn cba indicators

  • 1. Cost-Benefit Indicators to Assess SDI Impact Roger Longhorn Director, Info-Dynamics Research Associates Ltd. co-Chair, GSDI Assoc. Legal & Economic W.G. CBA Work Package Leader, INSPIRE Project MOTIIVE ral@alum.mit.edu 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 2. Presentation Before you do a Cost-Benefit study. Cost-Benefit metrics. Cost-Benefit Methodologies. Cost-Benefit issues. Cost-Benefit metrics as assessment Indicators. Alternatives to CBA. The ANSWER! 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 3. Before the Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) Define your 'SDI'. Define your goal for the CBA. Define your target audience. Define your (preferred) CBA Methodology. Define your time frame. 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 4. Before the Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) Agree on value propositions to be used in the analysis (tangible, intangible benefits). Agree on assumptions made (including weighting factors, etc.). Agree on your 'experts' and level of stakeholder engagement. 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 5. Cost-Benefit Metrics What type of CBA & metric? − Return on Investment (ROI) − Net Present Value (NPV) − Economic Value (EV) - value to the economy in X years, in Y years ('economic value' = ?) Other metrics? Payback period to recover the investment We can now do 'A' (or better than before) 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 6. Cost-Benefit Methodology What type of methodology? − CBA (traditional, financial / monetary) − Cost Effectiveness Analysis (CEA) − Value Measuring Methodology (VMM) − GeoVMM (variant of VMM – NASA ROI work) − Social Cost Benefit Analysis (SCBA) − Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA) − Social Multi-Criteria Analysis (SMCA) 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 7. CBA Issues CBAs are riddled with assumptions. − More complexity = More assumptions. − More assumptions = Less believable. − Less believable = Less valuable to do. Depends upon quality of 'experts'. Depends upon resources available to conduct the study & analysis - and on stakeholders. Please separate “GI/SDI benefit” from that of generic “information infrastructure” benefit. 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 8. Value of C-B metrics as SDI assessment indicators What is a metric such as “ROI = 112%” actually measuring – if the final 'metric' is presented to decision-makers with inadequate metadata (who, how, why...). What valuable assessment information is lost when the message “NPV = €1.2 billion” is conveyed to SDI developers - in regard to all the other benefits of an SDI. 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 9. Alternatives to (traditional) CBAs Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA). − Multi-objective decision making, Multi-objective decision support system (MODSS), and Multi-criteria decision aid Collection(s) of specific Case Studies. Business cases. Impact analyses & Risk assessments. Computational simulation models. (NB-Sim) Combinations of any or all of the above. But these don't lead to easily identified 'indicators'. 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 10. INSPIRE CBA/ROI Workshop, Jan. 2006 “It is (probably) not possible to use a (standard) CBA methodology, with a single success criteria/metric, to assess the cost- benefit for an entire information infrastructure.” 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 11. Value of C-B metrics as Indicators “The answer is 42.” - Douglas Adams Hitch-hiker's Guide to the Universe Life, the Universe and Everything 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 12. 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen
  • 13. Thank you for your attention. Roger Longhorn ral@alum.mit.edu 24 May 2007 Multi-view Framework to Assess NSDIs, WUR workshop Wageningen