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Ending Poverty In Our Generation:  Still Time if We Try  Prof. Jeffrey D. Sachs Director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University Rockefeller Center for  Public Policy and Civic Leadership Dartmouth College October 13, 2010
 
 
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A Parable of a Millennium Village Subsistence is $300 per person Initial Income (Output) is $200 per person (“sub-subsistence”) Saving is zero when income is below subsistence ($300) Saving is 50% of net income above subsistence ($300) Improved inputs (fertilizer-seed) raise net income by $2.50 for  each $1 of input up to a maximum of $250 of inputs All saving is devoted to agriculture inputs up to $250 All saving beyond $250 is devoted to capital improvements with marginal productivity of 0.3
Three Scenarios: No Official Development Assistance (ODA): Poverty Trap Two-Year ODA for inputs: Temporary boost to income, not sustainable Four-Year ODA for inputs: Boost to income is sustainable After four years, the household has built up income sufficiently to  self-finance inputs on an ongoing basis
ODA Levels in Three Scenarios
Income Levels in Three Scenarios
Household Saving in the Three Scenarios
Input Use: Sustainable Input Use with Four-Year Input Subsidies
 
Africa is a big and  diverse continent!
Five Core Interventions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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FUNDING STRUCTURE Source: Earth Institute, Millennium Promise Donors Partner organizations (e.g. NGOs, corporate) Local and National Governments Village members $60 $20 $30 $10 Village costs per person per yr US dollars
Outcomes in  Sauri, Kenya Comparison of 2005 and 2009
Harvests of Development, 2010, www.millenniumvillages.org
 
 
 
 
Mwandama, Malawi
Sauri, Kenya
Sauri, Kenya
Mayange, Rwanda
Bonsaaso, Ghana
 
THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Note that  7 million of the 8.8 million deaths occurred in  Sub-Saharan  Africa and South Asia
The Lift-Off Since 2000 in Global Financing for Health (yet still only one-third of recommended levels) Source: OECD Development Assistance Committee
 
Some Choices for America
 
 
 
Towards a Global Ethic
 
“ So let us not be blind to our differences, but let us also direct attention  to our common interests and the means by which those differences can  be resolved. And if we cannot end now our differences, at least we can  help make the world safe for diversity. For in the final analysis, our most  basic common link is that we all inhabit this small planet. We all breathe  the same air. We all cherish our children's futures. And we are all mortal.”  John F. Kennedy American University June 10, 1963

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Jeffrey Sachs: Ending Poverty in Our Generation

  • 1. Ending Poverty In Our Generation: Still Time if We Try Prof. Jeffrey D. Sachs Director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University Rockefeller Center for Public Policy and Civic Leadership Dartmouth College October 13, 2010
  • 2.  
  • 3.  
  • 4.
  • 5. A Parable of a Millennium Village Subsistence is $300 per person Initial Income (Output) is $200 per person (“sub-subsistence”) Saving is zero when income is below subsistence ($300) Saving is 50% of net income above subsistence ($300) Improved inputs (fertilizer-seed) raise net income by $2.50 for each $1 of input up to a maximum of $250 of inputs All saving is devoted to agriculture inputs up to $250 All saving beyond $250 is devoted to capital improvements with marginal productivity of 0.3
  • 6. Three Scenarios: No Official Development Assistance (ODA): Poverty Trap Two-Year ODA for inputs: Temporary boost to income, not sustainable Four-Year ODA for inputs: Boost to income is sustainable After four years, the household has built up income sufficiently to self-finance inputs on an ongoing basis
  • 7. ODA Levels in Three Scenarios
  • 8. Income Levels in Three Scenarios
  • 9. Household Saving in the Three Scenarios
  • 10. Input Use: Sustainable Input Use with Four-Year Input Subsidies
  • 11.  
  • 12. Africa is a big and diverse continent!
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.  
  • 16.  
  • 17. FUNDING STRUCTURE Source: Earth Institute, Millennium Promise Donors Partner organizations (e.g. NGOs, corporate) Local and National Governments Village members $60 $20 $30 $10 Village costs per person per yr US dollars
  • 18. Outcomes in Sauri, Kenya Comparison of 2005 and 2009
  • 19. Harvests of Development, 2010, www.millenniumvillages.org
  • 20.  
  • 21.  
  • 22.  
  • 23.  
  • 29.  
  • 30.
  • 31. Note that 7 million of the 8.8 million deaths occurred in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia
  • 32. The Lift-Off Since 2000 in Global Financing for Health (yet still only one-third of recommended levels) Source: OECD Development Assistance Committee
  • 33.  
  • 34. Some Choices for America
  • 35.  
  • 36.  
  • 37.  
  • 39.  
  • 40. “ So let us not be blind to our differences, but let us also direct attention to our common interests and the means by which those differences can be resolved. And if we cannot end now our differences, at least we can help make the world safe for diversity. For in the final analysis, our most basic common link is that we all inhabit this small planet. We all breathe the same air. We all cherish our children's futures. And we are all mortal.” John F. Kennedy American University June 10, 1963

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. 15 countries 19 sites 30 000 people half a million Epicenter of hunger Govts MDG based policies, invited Agro eco Management team – no expats Costing model surveys
  2. Note that utilization rates in for example Kabarole district in Western Uganda in 2005 was 0.3