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INDIA Redefining progress
Did You know that India....... ,[object Object]
Has one of the most ancient civilizations, with a history of scientific enquiry.
Has never invaded another country ,yet the 3rd largest armed country, and even a nuclear weapon power.
Is world’s 4th largest economy
Has 29 states; 325 languages; 1652 dialects and many civilisations.
Has 2nd largest pool of technical manpower in the world.
Produces 50,000 doctors, 350,000 engineers and 800,000 MBAs every year.,[object Object]
Even though the world hasjust discovered it, the Indiagrowth story is not new It has been going on for 25 years
What is the India story?
28 years of  high growth Average annual GDP growth (%) (%) 10 8.9 8 6.0 6 3.5 4 1.0 2 0 1900-1950 1950-1980 1980-2002 2002-2007
Literacy is rising (%) 100 80 80 65 52 60 40 17 20 0 1950 1990 2000 2010 P Source: Census of India (2001)
(m) 0 The rise of a strong middle class makes it a consumption driven economy 32% 22% 8% 400 368 300 200 220 100 65 2010  1980 2000 Source: The Consuming Class, National Council of Applied Economic Research, 2002
India is now the 4th largest economy It will overtake Japan between 2012 and 2014 to become the 3rd largest
The India model is unique
Drivers of growth India Domestic Services Consumption High tech, capital intensive industry East and S.E. Asia  Exports  Manufacturing  Investment  Low tech, labour intensive industry
Implications of India model  ‘Domestically led’ means: Insulation from global downturns Less volatility Coming out of the global crisis      faster
33% 59% 42% 64% India India China China 41% U.S. Europe 58% 45% Brazil Implication of India model – Consumption led People Friendly:Consumption as % of GDP People Friendly, Less inequality: Gini Index Will India become the next  big consuming economy after the U.S.?
India’s success is market-led whereas China’s is state induced The entrepreneur is at thecentre of the Indian model
India has a vibrant private space  100 Indian Companies have market cap of US$ 1bn  1,000 Indian Companies have received foreign  institutional investment 125 Fortune 500 companies have R&D bases in India 390 Fortune 500 companies have outsourced software development to India 2% bad loans in Indian banks (v~20% in China) 80% credit goes to private sector (v~10% in China)
Understanding India’s economic success Mental revolution among the young “I want to be Bilgay”   “Banianisation” of society 300+ TV channels; 65 news channels The rise of Hinglish
 “By 2010 India will have world’s largest number of English speakers”“When 300 million Indians speak a word in a certain way, that will be the way to speak it.” Professor David CrystalCambridge Encyclopedia of the English Language
Key government reforms Opened economy to trade and investment Dismantled controls  Lowered tariffs Dropped tax rates Broke public sector monopolies
Where the government infrastructure fails….. ….. Innovation kicks in
Business in 21st century India Yet Another Point Of View
First …the bad news ,[object Object]
 roads
 ports and airports
 power
Labour productivity issues
Some archaic laws  -eg. Land ,labour
Socialist hangovers –or posturings
Intermittent fundamentalism issues,[object Object]
Stable and sharp economic growth
Well established banking and a judicial system
Very young population-that means hands ,and demand
Developing into a consumption economy
Changing bureaucracy
Declining trade unionism
Federal and unitary amalgam,[object Object]
A few hundred years of subjugation
And then by politicos
Erosion of self esteem
Complex governance issues,[object Object]
Abundance of knowledge resources- and creation of the arbitrage opportunity
Global acceptance of the Indian mind

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INDIA

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. -why yet another STORY-this story begins in 1947 – the brits leave-my 28 year story and the changes in india-india through my eyes-we’ve proven that god exists