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Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 1




                                                                                                         The Future of...
                      www.penrose.co.uk
                      www.kapronasia.com



        Penrose Financial Limited                                     Kapronasia
                                                                                                             ...Transaction Banking
                                                                                                                                in Asia
        2nd Floor, 30/34 Moorgate, London EC2R 6DN                    172 Jinxian Lu, Shanghai, 200020
        Telephone +44 (0)207 786 4888                                 People’s Republic of China
        Fax +44 (0)207 786 4889                                       Telephone +86 21 6171 1605
        Email PR@penrose.co.uk                                        Email info@kapronasia.com
Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 3



                                                                                                                               about penrose
        Our services     > Broadcast                                  > e-PR strategy                        > Media relations
                         > Communications audits                      > Event management                     > Media training
                         > Copywriting                                > International programme              > Monitoring industry issues
                         > Creative campaigns                           implementation                       > Speaker programmes
                         > Crisis management                          > Media and competitor intelligence    > Strategic counsel



        Penrose is an award-winning PR consultancy dedicated to financial services
        About us
                                                                                                                                               The Future of Transaction Banking in Asia
        We promise expertise, results and an exceptional level of service, making a measurable difference to your business.

        We specialise in PR for financial services and are one of the UK's fastest growing financial consultancies. Founded in 1998,
        our reputation has been built on the quality of our strategic advice and implementation for clients, combined
        with the strength of our contacts and understanding of the media.
                                                                                                                                                    Index
        We act as communications catalysts: raising a client's profile, managing the perception of its brand and helping to influence
        the behaviour of its target audiences. We are a highly motivated team of financial PR experts working in a young, focused
        and proactive environment.
                                                                                                                                                    1       Introduction
                                                                                                                            about kapronasia
        Our services                    > Market Research                       > Partnership Strategy/implementation
                                                                                                                                                    2       A resilient market with smarter customers

                                        > Business Strategy                     > Lead Generation
                                        > Marketing implementation              > Direct Sales
                                                                                                                                                    3       Evolving trends


                                                                                                                                                    4       The future of transaction banking


        Kapronasia is an Asian financial industry consultancy                                                                                       5       The role of China


        About us
                                                                                                                                                    6       Conclusion


        From our offices in Shanghai and Hong Kong, Kapronasia works with financial industry companies around the world to
        help them understand and capitalize on opportunities in the Asian Financial Services Market.

        > Through research, we help clients find hidden opportunities in the market
        > Through consulting, we help clients define strategies to take advantage of those opportunities
        > Through sales enablement, we help clients execute those strategies and get to sales

        Our clients include large financial institutions, consultancies, and financial technology providers of all sizes.
Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 5




        1                   Introduction                                                                                                         Penrose Financial and Kapronasia have spoken with the major players in the Asian transaction banking
                                                                                                                                                 landscape to analyse the challenges for banks and corporations in the region, as well as opportunities for
                                                                                                                                                 standing ground in a competitive market environment and challenging new world order.

                                                                                                                                                 The research identifies the increasing sophistication and promiscuity of the client base in the region, and

                            A rare commodity
                                                                                                                                                 how the key challenge for transaction bankers remains finding an effective linkage of the financial to the
                                                                                                                                                 physical supply chain. Whilst there has been a flight to quality, strong competition and commoditised
                                                                                                                                                 services within the region have also made it difficult for even Asia’s best banks to differentiate themselves
                                                                                                                                                 in order to attract and retain corporate customers.

                                                                                                                                                 The findings shed light on the industry's plans to diversify its business, provide insight into what the future
                            Asia’s leading banks have maintained strong balance sheets amidst the tempest of the financial crisis.               holds and raises further questions on the role of Asia in the global economy.
                            Many have embraced transaction banking as a source of predictable and balance sheet-friendly revenue.
                            At the same time, many corporations are using the global slowdown as an opportunity to revaluate their               September 2009
                            banking relationships.

                            As one of the few areas to have benefitted from the global credit crunch, transaction banking is a rare
                            breed in financial services. The value of managing working capital grew inordinately as markets ceased to
                            function last year, and even today, liquidity remains a scarce commodity.

                            Cash management has become a vital function for companies globally. Corporate treasurers are looking
                            for new ways to fund their businesses amidst a liquidity drought and CEOs recognise the need to generate
                            cash in a market where lines of credit have disappeared. Although the Asian region faces challenges that
                            are very different to those in North America or Europe, using lessons learnt from the West, Asian banks will
                            continue to develop their transaction banking businesses even as credit loosens and the global economy
                            looks towards recovery.

                            Risk management is key for corporations as they look to hedge exposures. In Europe, increased
                            regulation brings with it an added burden in the form of SEPA, Faster Payments and the Payments
                            Services Directive. As a growing band of global corporations emerge in Asia, the region is still grappling
                            with an export slump exacerbated by the lending difficulties of commercial banks. The Asian Development
                            Bank is actively rolling out financing agreements under its trade finance programme, which is committed to
                            generate up to $15bn in support through until 2013, and funds have now been committed under the World
                            Bank's $50bn trade liquidity rescue programme to help things along in the face of export difficulties.

                            Asia faces significant challenges. Should disappearing finance for large corporations in the region be of
                            greatest concern, or will the lack of finance for small producers to buy seed, pesticides and fertiliser cause
                            another food crisis by year-end?
                                                                                                                                             1                                                                                                                     2
Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 7




        2                   A resilient market with smarter customers                                                                          2.2   Opportunities in a crisis

                                                                                                                                                     The rise of transaction banking in the US is acknowledged by market participants who are seeing
                                                                                                                                                     increased investment across the board, and notably in technology. There is a similar trend in the Asian
                                                                                                                                                     market where most institutions interviewed agree

                            Global demand                                                                                                            that transaction banking is becoming a more critical
                                                                                                                                                     part of their businesses. Indeed, most believe the
                                                                                                                                                                                                             "Do you take an external
                                                                                                                                                     cream is starting to rise to the top and customers      solution or build it yourself?"
                                                                                                                                                     are following with a clear flight to quality. Key for
                                                                                                                                                     Asian banks, amidst strong competition, affordable technology and commoditised services within the
                                                                                                                                                     region, is to differentiate themselves in unique ways in order to attract and retain corporate customers.

                            Over the years, payments businesses globally have proved themselves to be reliable generators of revenue
                                                                                                                                                     One of key points of differentiation for large and regional banks alike is a deeper understanding of their
                            for banks and never has this been truer than during the current financial crisis. According to Boston
                                                                                                                                                     customer’s needs. Many Asian banks have created specific industry teams which often consist of
                            Consulting Group (March 2009), global payments revenues surpassed $805billion in 2008, up from $654
                            billion in 2006. Forecasts are that they will reach $1.4 trillion by 2016.

                            One of the key sources of growth in payment
                            revenue is Asia, a fragmented, multi-currency     “Technology is more affordable so
                            and export-heavy region. Due to the crisis,
                            however, smaller Asian exporters have been        anyone can have it. How can you
                            faced with lower global demand from a             differentiate when everyone has
                            revenue base that has already shrunk over the
                            past decade due to technology enhancements        access to the same thing?”
                            and regulatory changes such as SEPA in the
                            Eurozone.


        2.1                 Volumes

                            A natural outcome of the global crisis was a sudden decrease in trade volume as credit dried up and
                            consumers around the world put their wallets away. Yet, even in the face of declining volume, trade finance
                            revenue actually grew as risk aversion and scare liquidity drove pricing up. As credit has loosened, pricing
                            has started to come down and trade volumes increased across Asia, but the biggest spender of all, the US
                            consumer, has yet to rebound and trade volumes in Asia are still down from their peaks.




                                                                                                                                           3                                                                                                                      4
Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 9




                            participants from the industry itself, to get a clearer insight into typical challenges. Other banks use their
                            previous experience with other similarly sized or regionally focused clients to help their clients navigate the
                            challenges of developing a similar business.                                                                          3     Evolving trends

                            Hand-in-hand with customer service is risk management. There is no pan-Asian regulator similar to that in

                                                                                                                                                        Cash builds the business
                            the EU, so many risk requirements are set on a country-by-country basis and tend not to be as
                            comprehensive as those in the West. Despite this, banks are proactively implementing solutions to better
                            understand their real-time risk profile to be in a position to offer better products to their top clients.

                            Overall, Asian banks have become increasingly aware that their customers have become much smarter
                                                                                                                                                        Historically, transaction banking has never been viewed as a fashionable part of a bank’s business, but this
                            and promiscuous; there is no ”loyalty for loans", as customers search for the best rate each time they buy
                                                                                                                                                        is changing. All the banks surveyed agree that cash management is virtually risk free, and growth so far in
                            a new product. Just as the retail market across Asia is awakening and changing the ways it interacts with
                                                                                                                                                        2009 has been very strong. As transaction banking does not revolve around "big sexy deals" in the short
                            financial institutions, increased customer competition and transparency is driving change in the transaction
                                                                                                                                                        term, it is often regarded as an insurance style of business that generates annuities. These annuities create
                            banking market.
                                                                                                                                                        recurring revenues which are very balance sheet-friendly and therefore especially attractive in a difficult
                                                                                                                                                        environment where banks are trying to lower risk profiles.
                            In the long-term, cash management in the region will be key, however, low interest rates and compressed
                            spreads are a challenge for banks and economies alike. Not only are banks focusing on what would
                                                                                                                                                        Cash management is also "one of the stickiest parts of the
                            happen if inflation returns, some institutions have shifted their attention to growing their deposit bases to
                                                                                                                                                        business", meaning that despite a new-found promiscuity for the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                "How are cash and
                            insulate themselves should we face another downturn; the hope being that a strong deposit base plus
                            steady revenue from low-risk fee based products will see them through.
                                                                                                                                                        best deals, overall bank relationships tend not to be switched on a     trade growing
                                                                                                                                                        regular basis, which has been described by one bank as a "lock-in
                                                                                                                                                        with the customer". Relationships, therefore, are still important in    together?"
                                                                                                                                                        building on this core revenue stream.

                                                                                                                                                        With working capital a scarce commodity, cash management is especially crucial for larger businesses with
                                                                                                                                                        greater liquidity requirements. According to one bank, the basic techniques of liquidity management have
                                                                                                                                                        not changed, with processes such as sweeping and pooling still common practice and almost considered
                                                                                                                                                        ‘must haves’. What has evolved, however, is the implementation of these processes in a more
                                                                                                                                                        sophisticated and global manner. For example, many large multinationals are using daily cross-border cash
                                                                                                                                                        pooling for locations where this is legally possible to better manage their capital. It is not just the large
                                                                                                                                                        multinationals either, smaller companies with multinational businesses are realising greater efficiencies and
                                                                                                                                                        the benefits of implementing increasingly sophisticated liquidity management processes.


                                                                                                                                                  3.1   Transparency and compliance

                                                                                                                                                        Equally important for corporations, and notably so in the post-credit crunch world order, is having
                                                                                                                                                        complete cash transparency. A CFO needs to be able to know where their money is and what it is doing at
                                                                                                                                                        any time to be able to make better informed decisions. Companies need to have systems that can gather
                                                                                                                                              5                                                                                                                         6
Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 11




                            this real-time financial information from a myriad of different internal systems. Further complicating matters             Fraud and fake documentation is also becoming a bigger issue in Asia, with banks reporting a significant
                            is the fact that most companies have relationships with several banks across multiple jurisdictions.                       increase in fraudulent activity now versus 12 months ago. Many customers, who would normally be honest
                            Although e-banking usually provides substantial information on a particular banking relationship, systems                  and trustworthy, have found themselves in positions where there is little downside left and have resorted to
                            also need to be able to provide a comprehensive view                                                                       fraud. This is similar to experiences in the US and is a key focus for banks in Asia as they implement even
                            across all the banking relationships to achieve a                                                                          stricter compliance and risk management standards.
                            consolidated, transparent, and up-to-date view of the          "The downturn is a good
                            company’s financial situation.
                                                                                           opportunity to rationalise                            3.2   Quality and innovation
                            In Asia, traditional lending and credit models previously      banking relationships"                                      For customers, the current economic downturn has served as an opportune moment to rationalise their
                            allowed for a risk adjusted return of around 15%.
                                                                                                                                                       banking relationships. Banks are witnessing a flight to quality and, as one interviewee said, "banks with
                            Transactional models are now much more attractive from
                                                                                                                                                       good names are doing well". These quality banks are typically considered to be those that either
                            a balance sheet perspective, as they generate high returns with little involvement of credit and risk. Some
                                                                                                                                                       completely avoided credit issues (as many Asian banks have done), or that have been supported by
                            banks believe risk adjusted returns will shift up to between 30-70%. More and more trade had been
                                                                                                                                                       government bailouts and have been deemed ‘too big to fail’.
                            moving into open accounts, but the trend since the beginning of the economic crisis is that trade is now
                            moving back to letters of credit.
                                                                                                                                                       New technology is also helping banks innovate.
                                                                                                                                                       Systems today have the ability to process a startlingly     "Transaction banking is an
                                                                                                                                                       large number of payments, and industry accepted
                                                                                                                                                       payment standards and formats mean that procedures
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   annuity business and
                                                                                                                                                       and system interfaces can be streamlined to enable          granular in nature"
                                                                                                                                                       further innovation. However, as one bank pointed out,
                                                                                                                                                       innovation is likely to be around ‘bread and butter’
                                                                                                                                                       product and service or operational process adoption, and not individual technologies, with some banks
                                                                                                                                                       concentrating on providing better customer-centric services rather than trying to develop new product
                                                                                                                                                       technologies.




                                                                                                                                             7                                                                                                                        8
Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 13




        4                   The future of transaction banking                                                                                     ERP providers and consultants, which creates a myriad of connectivity issues and a time-consuming
                                                                                                                                                  integration headache for the bank.


                                                                                                                                                  Settlement processes are increasingly being connected into part of the ERP system, and in many cases
                                                                                                                                                  the whole trade finance supply chain is embedded in a Straight Through Processing (STP)

                            Technology matters                                                                                                    infrastructure, whereas it was previously very dependent on
                                                                                                                                                  manual based settlements. Yet, constantly changing regulations,      "Technology is never
                                                                                                                                                  including those governing Anti-Money Laundering (AML), are
                                                                                                                                                  making it difficult for banks to effectively leverage technology to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       the problem"
                            A large percentage of the population in Asia does not have a bank account, and over a billion                         keep pace. The cost of entry for setting up the compliance systems required by today’s market is high,
                            customers are still considered ‘unbanked’. In many cases, it is just not economically viable for banks to             and the danger is this will eventually lead to a thinning of the market where only the super-regionals and
                            serve these customers through a traditional branch network. A large percentage live in rural areas and                large multinational corporations can compete.
                            the cost to maintain these networks is simply too high in relation to the revenue potentials. This is why
                            mobile and online banking plays a much more important role in Asia than in other parts of the world.                  Even though there is no pan-Asian banking regulator, it has also been mooted that a similar US ‘stress
                            India is a technology leader in the region and banks are moving more and more customers away from                     test’ approach may eventually be required in Asia. Although it likely won’t happen in the short-term,
                            branches. One Indian interviewee mentioned that over 40% of their corporate customers are using                       many banks are implementing global risk and reporting standards in Asia regardless to increase their
                            internet banking.                                                                                                     insight into the business and continue to build their ‘quality’ image.


        4.1                 The technology is there, but unused
                                                                                                                                            4.2   Better customer understanding
                            The actual technology available in the market tends to be way ahead of what is actually possible in a
                            bank due to legacy systems and standards. Typically banks have very fragmented legacy systems that                    All banks surveyed agree that their businesses have suffered in the past by being very product driven.
                            are very loosely tied together. Technology                                                                            Many are now attempting to correct this by taking a more customer-centric view through better
                            ‘advances’ are often addressed by adding           "Because it's a volume game,                                       customer understanding. This runs hand-in-hand with a trend towards tailoring solutions for clients, and
                                                                                                                                                  banks are going even further by
                            another layer of technology on top, but without
                                                                               you need to have the technology                                    incorporating their needs into future         "With volumes decreasing, now is a
                            changing the core infrastructure. Smaller and
                                                                               to make it as STP as possible"                                     product development.
                            younger banks actually have a distinct
                                                                                                                                                                                                good time to take a look at internal
                            advantage as they often aren’t tied to legacy
                            systems and are more agile in a constantly changing market. Indeed, many of the larger banks cite IT
                                                                                                                                                  One leading Asian bank has segmented its
                                                                                                                                                                                                products and processes to
                                                                                                                                                  customers into "knowledge banking
                            complexity as a significant inhibitor to transaction revenue growth.
                                                                                                                                                  sectors" and has hired staff with direct      streamline the value proposition"
                                                                                                                                                  working experience in each of these
                            More and more, banks are providing integrated solutions and connecting their banking systems directly                 sectors. With this critical industry experience on board, they then move to identify specific working
                            in to a corporation's Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system to more efficiently effect payments and               capital requirements, critical components in the supply chain and MIS needs for each counterparty. This
                            manage working capital. Standard interfaces for XML or ISO2022 are becoming widely accepted, but                      enables the bank to increase turnover with improved payment lifecycles, and move beyond just simple
                            still many companies have their own customised ERP. There are an astonishing number of different                      pricing discussions with clients.

                                                                                                                                        9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         10
Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 15




                            In addition to specific industry knowledge, banks are also looking at how they can differentiate                banks believe that this becomes difficult to handle with a centralised clearing platform, and their belief is
                            themselves through the actual servicing of clients. Typically a bank will have a relationship manager           that customers receive an enhanced service from using the banks, who help them manage their cash flow
                            within the bank that owns several customer relationships.                                                       at the same time.
                            Yet, on a day to day basis, the client rarely speaks with the "We're investing more in
                            relationship manager, rather with a service desk. One bank                                                      Those polled agree that a similar level of risk management to Europe and the US is unlikely to happen in
                            polled was focused on getting the most out of this service    providing better services"                        Asia for the foreseeable future, largely due to the huge variation in issues faced across many of the
                            desk by enabling them to not only help the customer with                                                        countries. Some have more fundamental issues to address. A survey conducted by the State of Singapore
                            basic needs, but to address complex operational issues, and actively cross-sell to customers. The               in July 2009 showed that trade finance was an area of concern for most Asia-Pacific Economic Co-
                            relationship manager still owns a portfolio of accounts, but the service desk then becomes another              operation (APEC) economies, with 16 saying that they faced problems in trade financing. The most
                            channel to increase customer satisfaction, retention and revenue.
                                                                                                                                            commonly cited reasons for tightness in trade financing were the increased risk aversion of financial
                                                                                                                                            institutions towards companies, higher perceived counterparty risks, and general liquidity shortage in the
                            A number of Asian banks are also differentiating via coverage, quality and cost. Cross-selling and
                                                                                                                                            wider economy. However, more than half APEC economies expect that the trade financing situation will
                            bundling of products (such as packaging with FX products) is also seen as a significant differentiator.
                                                                                                                                            ease by the end of 2009.
                            However, to provide value it must be supported by having the appropriate technology in place. One
                            bank noted that there is a need for the "consultative seller" who sells solutions, not products. The aim
                            here is to partner with customers and to help them structure their businesses in Asia.


        4.3                 Centralisation in Asia

                            Corporations and banks have expressed the need for greater intra-region efficiency across Asia.
                            However, political decisions combined with a fragmented and culturally diverse market have, to-date,
                            hindered any attempts at centralisation. Likewise, most banks in the region agree that a regional
                            currency will not emerge in the next 10 years. This is not only due to cultural differences in each
                            market, but also due to diverse technology infrastructures and lack of homogeneous technology
                            standards and infrastructure.


                            In Asia, the arguments against shifting to a central clearing platform are similar to the arguments
                            brought forward against SWIFT. It was noted that a clearing house is only as good as the efficiency of
                            its members. Examples in other markets such as CLS, the
                            global settlement system in the foreign exchange market,         "Nothing will be unified
                            works well as it is based on an extremely efficient workflow.
                                                                                             within the next 10 years"
                            Even if transaction costs in Europe are much lower through
                            SWIFT, banks doubt this will convince Asian economies to
                            make the switch. Their priorities lie with customer service and managing cash flow, and being able to
                            predict and influence payment flows (via prioritisation for example) is essential. A large proportion of


                                                                                                                                       11                                                                                                                   12
Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 17




        5                   The role of China


                            Riding the dragon

                            Banks across Asia broadly agree that China is doing all the right things, and doing them in a controlled
                            manner. In addition to domestic growth, other countries within the Asia Pacific region also feel the positive
                            effects associated with riding on the coat-tails of China's successes.
                            However, most banks participating in the study believed that the         "China alone cannot
                            dollar will not lose its importance in Asia in the foreseeable future,
                            and the Chinese Yuan will grow in stature, but not achieve truly         do everything"
                            global currency status in the next five years. The idea is that China is
                            not trying to break away from the US Dollar, but rather looking to internationalise the Yuan.

                            One of the criticisms of the Yuan is that it is not a fully convertible currency like the USD or Euro. One
                            respondent actually pointed out that that didn’t really matter as long as currency swap agreements were in
                            place to allow central banks to hold Yuan reserves and the clearing systems were in place on the back-
                            end to facilitate the transaction. China recognises this and Malaysia, for example, now has Yuan reserves
                            as well as a system allowing for Yuan settlement. China already has similar relationships with other
                            countries and has been pursuing this strategy for years. In fact, unlike European or Japanese banks who
                            entered the US to get access to deals, Chinese banks entered the US market to access settlement fund
                            transfer systems.

                            Respondents saw competition in China itself to be a very difficult challenge. Domestic Chinese banks still
                            have access to a larger portfolio of potential products than their foreign counterparts and often domestic
                            banks are favoured for deals and capital allocations. Yet things are changing and most banks were very
                            positive in their outlook for the future on the mainland.




                                                                                                                                            13   14
Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 19



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       contact details


        6                   Conclusion



                            Developments to watch                                                                                              Contact

                            As a snapshot of the transaction banking landscape in Asia this research document serves to outline some           Should you wish to find out more about transaction banking in Asia please contact Andrew Nicolls, Senior
                            of the lasting themes that will shape the future of the market over the coming years. What is clear is that        Partner at Penrose Financial, or Zennon Kapron, Managing Director at Kapronasia.
                            those involved in the transaction banking and cash management market face a period of unprecedented
                            change – but change for the better.
                                                                                                                                               Andrew Nicolls
                            The global economic downturn has undoubtedly had an effect on corporate clients in the region.                     Penrose Financial
                            Transaction bankers have seen their stock rise, however, as investment banks take advantage of the                 Senior Partner
                            opportunities that building, growing and investing in their transaction banking services brings.                   Email: andrewn@penrose.co.uk.
                                                                                                                                               T +44 (0) 20 7786 4881
                            Players in the market have a huge opportunity to take advantage of either the scale of their offerings in a
                            geographically and culturally diverse market, or their skill in developing and managing relationships and          Zennon Kapron
                            reacting nimbly to client needs. Those who succeed will undoubtedly be the ones to combine both                    Managing Director
                            elements to bring the ultimate customer service and technologically enhanced model to their clients.               Kapronasia
                                                                                                                                               Email: zennon.kapron@kapronasia.com
                            The challenges and opportunities in the Asian market remain diverse and varied. Internally, the perennial          T +86 21 617 1605
                            issues of long-term technology planning and technology development continue to hinder development.
                            Whilst externally, the challenge of linking banking systems to a myriad of client systems and standards is
                            made even more difficult given the extreme differences in maturity of technology across the Asia Pacific
                            region.

                            Corporate clients and their CFO controllers are increasingly savvy regarding their bank relationships, and
                            are undoubtedly more promiscuous in their outlook as they seek to achieve efficiencies. At the same time           Penrose Financial Limited                                             Kapronasia
                            they are operating in a brave new world where financing their business is a more complex process.                  2nd Floor, 30/34 Moorgate, London EC2R 6DN                            172 Jinxian Lu, Shanghai, 200020
                            Although the regional challenges are very different from those of North America or Europe, the support and         Telephone +44 (0)207 786 4888                                         People’s Republic of China
                                                                                                                                               Fax +44 (0)207 786 4889                                               Telephone +86 21 6171 1605
                            guidance of transaction bankers in the region presents significant opportunities for those willing to adapt
                                                                                                                                               Email PR@penrose.co.uk                                                Email info@kapronasia.com
                            and grow with this increasingly sophisticated client base.


                                                                                                                                          15

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Report: Transaction Banking in Asia. 2009.

  • 1. Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 1 The Future of... www.penrose.co.uk www.kapronasia.com Penrose Financial Limited Kapronasia ...Transaction Banking in Asia 2nd Floor, 30/34 Moorgate, London EC2R 6DN 172 Jinxian Lu, Shanghai, 200020 Telephone +44 (0)207 786 4888 People’s Republic of China Fax +44 (0)207 786 4889 Telephone +86 21 6171 1605 Email PR@penrose.co.uk Email info@kapronasia.com
  • 2. Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 3 about penrose Our services > Broadcast > e-PR strategy > Media relations > Communications audits > Event management > Media training > Copywriting > International programme > Monitoring industry issues > Creative campaigns implementation > Speaker programmes > Crisis management > Media and competitor intelligence > Strategic counsel Penrose is an award-winning PR consultancy dedicated to financial services About us The Future of Transaction Banking in Asia We promise expertise, results and an exceptional level of service, making a measurable difference to your business. We specialise in PR for financial services and are one of the UK's fastest growing financial consultancies. Founded in 1998, our reputation has been built on the quality of our strategic advice and implementation for clients, combined with the strength of our contacts and understanding of the media. Index We act as communications catalysts: raising a client's profile, managing the perception of its brand and helping to influence the behaviour of its target audiences. We are a highly motivated team of financial PR experts working in a young, focused and proactive environment. 1 Introduction about kapronasia Our services > Market Research > Partnership Strategy/implementation 2 A resilient market with smarter customers > Business Strategy > Lead Generation > Marketing implementation > Direct Sales 3 Evolving trends 4 The future of transaction banking Kapronasia is an Asian financial industry consultancy 5 The role of China About us 6 Conclusion From our offices in Shanghai and Hong Kong, Kapronasia works with financial industry companies around the world to help them understand and capitalize on opportunities in the Asian Financial Services Market. > Through research, we help clients find hidden opportunities in the market > Through consulting, we help clients define strategies to take advantage of those opportunities > Through sales enablement, we help clients execute those strategies and get to sales Our clients include large financial institutions, consultancies, and financial technology providers of all sizes.
  • 3. Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 5 1 Introduction Penrose Financial and Kapronasia have spoken with the major players in the Asian transaction banking landscape to analyse the challenges for banks and corporations in the region, as well as opportunities for standing ground in a competitive market environment and challenging new world order. The research identifies the increasing sophistication and promiscuity of the client base in the region, and A rare commodity how the key challenge for transaction bankers remains finding an effective linkage of the financial to the physical supply chain. Whilst there has been a flight to quality, strong competition and commoditised services within the region have also made it difficult for even Asia’s best banks to differentiate themselves in order to attract and retain corporate customers. The findings shed light on the industry's plans to diversify its business, provide insight into what the future Asia’s leading banks have maintained strong balance sheets amidst the tempest of the financial crisis. holds and raises further questions on the role of Asia in the global economy. Many have embraced transaction banking as a source of predictable and balance sheet-friendly revenue. At the same time, many corporations are using the global slowdown as an opportunity to revaluate their September 2009 banking relationships. As one of the few areas to have benefitted from the global credit crunch, transaction banking is a rare breed in financial services. The value of managing working capital grew inordinately as markets ceased to function last year, and even today, liquidity remains a scarce commodity. Cash management has become a vital function for companies globally. Corporate treasurers are looking for new ways to fund their businesses amidst a liquidity drought and CEOs recognise the need to generate cash in a market where lines of credit have disappeared. Although the Asian region faces challenges that are very different to those in North America or Europe, using lessons learnt from the West, Asian banks will continue to develop their transaction banking businesses even as credit loosens and the global economy looks towards recovery. Risk management is key for corporations as they look to hedge exposures. In Europe, increased regulation brings with it an added burden in the form of SEPA, Faster Payments and the Payments Services Directive. As a growing band of global corporations emerge in Asia, the region is still grappling with an export slump exacerbated by the lending difficulties of commercial banks. The Asian Development Bank is actively rolling out financing agreements under its trade finance programme, which is committed to generate up to $15bn in support through until 2013, and funds have now been committed under the World Bank's $50bn trade liquidity rescue programme to help things along in the face of export difficulties. Asia faces significant challenges. Should disappearing finance for large corporations in the region be of greatest concern, or will the lack of finance for small producers to buy seed, pesticides and fertiliser cause another food crisis by year-end? 1 2
  • 4. Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 7 2 A resilient market with smarter customers 2.2 Opportunities in a crisis The rise of transaction banking in the US is acknowledged by market participants who are seeing increased investment across the board, and notably in technology. There is a similar trend in the Asian market where most institutions interviewed agree Global demand that transaction banking is becoming a more critical part of their businesses. Indeed, most believe the "Do you take an external cream is starting to rise to the top and customers solution or build it yourself?" are following with a clear flight to quality. Key for Asian banks, amidst strong competition, affordable technology and commoditised services within the region, is to differentiate themselves in unique ways in order to attract and retain corporate customers. Over the years, payments businesses globally have proved themselves to be reliable generators of revenue One of key points of differentiation for large and regional banks alike is a deeper understanding of their for banks and never has this been truer than during the current financial crisis. According to Boston customer’s needs. Many Asian banks have created specific industry teams which often consist of Consulting Group (March 2009), global payments revenues surpassed $805billion in 2008, up from $654 billion in 2006. Forecasts are that they will reach $1.4 trillion by 2016. One of the key sources of growth in payment revenue is Asia, a fragmented, multi-currency “Technology is more affordable so and export-heavy region. Due to the crisis, however, smaller Asian exporters have been anyone can have it. How can you faced with lower global demand from a differentiate when everyone has revenue base that has already shrunk over the past decade due to technology enhancements access to the same thing?” and regulatory changes such as SEPA in the Eurozone. 2.1 Volumes A natural outcome of the global crisis was a sudden decrease in trade volume as credit dried up and consumers around the world put their wallets away. Yet, even in the face of declining volume, trade finance revenue actually grew as risk aversion and scare liquidity drove pricing up. As credit has loosened, pricing has started to come down and trade volumes increased across Asia, but the biggest spender of all, the US consumer, has yet to rebound and trade volumes in Asia are still down from their peaks. 3 4
  • 5. Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 9 participants from the industry itself, to get a clearer insight into typical challenges. Other banks use their previous experience with other similarly sized or regionally focused clients to help their clients navigate the challenges of developing a similar business. 3 Evolving trends Hand-in-hand with customer service is risk management. There is no pan-Asian regulator similar to that in Cash builds the business the EU, so many risk requirements are set on a country-by-country basis and tend not to be as comprehensive as those in the West. Despite this, banks are proactively implementing solutions to better understand their real-time risk profile to be in a position to offer better products to their top clients. Overall, Asian banks have become increasingly aware that their customers have become much smarter Historically, transaction banking has never been viewed as a fashionable part of a bank’s business, but this and promiscuous; there is no ”loyalty for loans", as customers search for the best rate each time they buy is changing. All the banks surveyed agree that cash management is virtually risk free, and growth so far in a new product. Just as the retail market across Asia is awakening and changing the ways it interacts with 2009 has been very strong. As transaction banking does not revolve around "big sexy deals" in the short financial institutions, increased customer competition and transparency is driving change in the transaction term, it is often regarded as an insurance style of business that generates annuities. These annuities create banking market. recurring revenues which are very balance sheet-friendly and therefore especially attractive in a difficult environment where banks are trying to lower risk profiles. In the long-term, cash management in the region will be key, however, low interest rates and compressed spreads are a challenge for banks and economies alike. Not only are banks focusing on what would Cash management is also "one of the stickiest parts of the happen if inflation returns, some institutions have shifted their attention to growing their deposit bases to business", meaning that despite a new-found promiscuity for the "How are cash and insulate themselves should we face another downturn; the hope being that a strong deposit base plus steady revenue from low-risk fee based products will see them through. best deals, overall bank relationships tend not to be switched on a trade growing regular basis, which has been described by one bank as a "lock-in with the customer". Relationships, therefore, are still important in together?" building on this core revenue stream. With working capital a scarce commodity, cash management is especially crucial for larger businesses with greater liquidity requirements. According to one bank, the basic techniques of liquidity management have not changed, with processes such as sweeping and pooling still common practice and almost considered ‘must haves’. What has evolved, however, is the implementation of these processes in a more sophisticated and global manner. For example, many large multinationals are using daily cross-border cash pooling for locations where this is legally possible to better manage their capital. It is not just the large multinationals either, smaller companies with multinational businesses are realising greater efficiencies and the benefits of implementing increasingly sophisticated liquidity management processes. 3.1 Transparency and compliance Equally important for corporations, and notably so in the post-credit crunch world order, is having complete cash transparency. A CFO needs to be able to know where their money is and what it is doing at any time to be able to make better informed decisions. Companies need to have systems that can gather 5 6
  • 6. Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 11 this real-time financial information from a myriad of different internal systems. Further complicating matters Fraud and fake documentation is also becoming a bigger issue in Asia, with banks reporting a significant is the fact that most companies have relationships with several banks across multiple jurisdictions. increase in fraudulent activity now versus 12 months ago. Many customers, who would normally be honest Although e-banking usually provides substantial information on a particular banking relationship, systems and trustworthy, have found themselves in positions where there is little downside left and have resorted to also need to be able to provide a comprehensive view fraud. This is similar to experiences in the US and is a key focus for banks in Asia as they implement even across all the banking relationships to achieve a stricter compliance and risk management standards. consolidated, transparent, and up-to-date view of the "The downturn is a good company’s financial situation. opportunity to rationalise 3.2 Quality and innovation In Asia, traditional lending and credit models previously banking relationships" For customers, the current economic downturn has served as an opportune moment to rationalise their allowed for a risk adjusted return of around 15%. banking relationships. Banks are witnessing a flight to quality and, as one interviewee said, "banks with Transactional models are now much more attractive from good names are doing well". These quality banks are typically considered to be those that either a balance sheet perspective, as they generate high returns with little involvement of credit and risk. Some completely avoided credit issues (as many Asian banks have done), or that have been supported by banks believe risk adjusted returns will shift up to between 30-70%. More and more trade had been government bailouts and have been deemed ‘too big to fail’. moving into open accounts, but the trend since the beginning of the economic crisis is that trade is now moving back to letters of credit. New technology is also helping banks innovate. Systems today have the ability to process a startlingly "Transaction banking is an large number of payments, and industry accepted payment standards and formats mean that procedures annuity business and and system interfaces can be streamlined to enable granular in nature" further innovation. However, as one bank pointed out, innovation is likely to be around ‘bread and butter’ product and service or operational process adoption, and not individual technologies, with some banks concentrating on providing better customer-centric services rather than trying to develop new product technologies. 7 8
  • 7. Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 13 4 The future of transaction banking ERP providers and consultants, which creates a myriad of connectivity issues and a time-consuming integration headache for the bank. Settlement processes are increasingly being connected into part of the ERP system, and in many cases the whole trade finance supply chain is embedded in a Straight Through Processing (STP) Technology matters infrastructure, whereas it was previously very dependent on manual based settlements. Yet, constantly changing regulations, "Technology is never including those governing Anti-Money Laundering (AML), are making it difficult for banks to effectively leverage technology to the problem" A large percentage of the population in Asia does not have a bank account, and over a billion keep pace. The cost of entry for setting up the compliance systems required by today’s market is high, customers are still considered ‘unbanked’. In many cases, it is just not economically viable for banks to and the danger is this will eventually lead to a thinning of the market where only the super-regionals and serve these customers through a traditional branch network. A large percentage live in rural areas and large multinational corporations can compete. the cost to maintain these networks is simply too high in relation to the revenue potentials. This is why mobile and online banking plays a much more important role in Asia than in other parts of the world. Even though there is no pan-Asian banking regulator, it has also been mooted that a similar US ‘stress India is a technology leader in the region and banks are moving more and more customers away from test’ approach may eventually be required in Asia. Although it likely won’t happen in the short-term, branches. One Indian interviewee mentioned that over 40% of their corporate customers are using many banks are implementing global risk and reporting standards in Asia regardless to increase their internet banking. insight into the business and continue to build their ‘quality’ image. 4.1 The technology is there, but unused 4.2 Better customer understanding The actual technology available in the market tends to be way ahead of what is actually possible in a bank due to legacy systems and standards. Typically banks have very fragmented legacy systems that All banks surveyed agree that their businesses have suffered in the past by being very product driven. are very loosely tied together. Technology Many are now attempting to correct this by taking a more customer-centric view through better ‘advances’ are often addressed by adding "Because it's a volume game, customer understanding. This runs hand-in-hand with a trend towards tailoring solutions for clients, and banks are going even further by another layer of technology on top, but without you need to have the technology incorporating their needs into future "With volumes decreasing, now is a changing the core infrastructure. Smaller and to make it as STP as possible" product development. younger banks actually have a distinct good time to take a look at internal advantage as they often aren’t tied to legacy systems and are more agile in a constantly changing market. Indeed, many of the larger banks cite IT One leading Asian bank has segmented its products and processes to customers into "knowledge banking complexity as a significant inhibitor to transaction revenue growth. sectors" and has hired staff with direct streamline the value proposition" working experience in each of these More and more, banks are providing integrated solutions and connecting their banking systems directly sectors. With this critical industry experience on board, they then move to identify specific working in to a corporation's Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system to more efficiently effect payments and capital requirements, critical components in the supply chain and MIS needs for each counterparty. This manage working capital. Standard interfaces for XML or ISO2022 are becoming widely accepted, but enables the bank to increase turnover with improved payment lifecycles, and move beyond just simple still many companies have their own customised ERP. There are an astonishing number of different pricing discussions with clients. 9 10
  • 8. Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 15 In addition to specific industry knowledge, banks are also looking at how they can differentiate banks believe that this becomes difficult to handle with a centralised clearing platform, and their belief is themselves through the actual servicing of clients. Typically a bank will have a relationship manager that customers receive an enhanced service from using the banks, who help them manage their cash flow within the bank that owns several customer relationships. at the same time. Yet, on a day to day basis, the client rarely speaks with the "We're investing more in relationship manager, rather with a service desk. One bank Those polled agree that a similar level of risk management to Europe and the US is unlikely to happen in polled was focused on getting the most out of this service providing better services" Asia for the foreseeable future, largely due to the huge variation in issues faced across many of the desk by enabling them to not only help the customer with countries. Some have more fundamental issues to address. A survey conducted by the State of Singapore basic needs, but to address complex operational issues, and actively cross-sell to customers. The in July 2009 showed that trade finance was an area of concern for most Asia-Pacific Economic Co- relationship manager still owns a portfolio of accounts, but the service desk then becomes another operation (APEC) economies, with 16 saying that they faced problems in trade financing. The most channel to increase customer satisfaction, retention and revenue. commonly cited reasons for tightness in trade financing were the increased risk aversion of financial institutions towards companies, higher perceived counterparty risks, and general liquidity shortage in the A number of Asian banks are also differentiating via coverage, quality and cost. Cross-selling and wider economy. However, more than half APEC economies expect that the trade financing situation will bundling of products (such as packaging with FX products) is also seen as a significant differentiator. ease by the end of 2009. However, to provide value it must be supported by having the appropriate technology in place. One bank noted that there is a need for the "consultative seller" who sells solutions, not products. The aim here is to partner with customers and to help them structure their businesses in Asia. 4.3 Centralisation in Asia Corporations and banks have expressed the need for greater intra-region efficiency across Asia. However, political decisions combined with a fragmented and culturally diverse market have, to-date, hindered any attempts at centralisation. Likewise, most banks in the region agree that a regional currency will not emerge in the next 10 years. This is not only due to cultural differences in each market, but also due to diverse technology infrastructures and lack of homogeneous technology standards and infrastructure. In Asia, the arguments against shifting to a central clearing platform are similar to the arguments brought forward against SWIFT. It was noted that a clearing house is only as good as the efficiency of its members. Examples in other markets such as CLS, the global settlement system in the foreign exchange market, "Nothing will be unified works well as it is based on an extremely efficient workflow. within the next 10 years" Even if transaction costs in Europe are much lower through SWIFT, banks doubt this will convince Asian economies to make the switch. Their priorities lie with customer service and managing cash flow, and being able to predict and influence payment flows (via prioritisation for example) is essential. A large proportion of 11 12
  • 9. Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 17 5 The role of China Riding the dragon Banks across Asia broadly agree that China is doing all the right things, and doing them in a controlled manner. In addition to domestic growth, other countries within the Asia Pacific region also feel the positive effects associated with riding on the coat-tails of China's successes. However, most banks participating in the study believed that the "China alone cannot dollar will not lose its importance in Asia in the foreseeable future, and the Chinese Yuan will grow in stature, but not achieve truly do everything" global currency status in the next five years. The idea is that China is not trying to break away from the US Dollar, but rather looking to internationalise the Yuan. One of the criticisms of the Yuan is that it is not a fully convertible currency like the USD or Euro. One respondent actually pointed out that that didn’t really matter as long as currency swap agreements were in place to allow central banks to hold Yuan reserves and the clearing systems were in place on the back- end to facilitate the transaction. China recognises this and Malaysia, for example, now has Yuan reserves as well as a system allowing for Yuan settlement. China already has similar relationships with other countries and has been pursuing this strategy for years. In fact, unlike European or Japanese banks who entered the US to get access to deals, Chinese banks entered the US market to access settlement fund transfer systems. Respondents saw competition in China itself to be a very difficult challenge. Domestic Chinese banks still have access to a larger portfolio of potential products than their foreign counterparts and often domestic banks are favoured for deals and capital allocations. Yet things are changing and most banks were very positive in their outlook for the future on the mainland. 13 14
  • 10. Asian banking research:middle east brochure 08/09/2009 09:00 Page 19 contact details 6 Conclusion Developments to watch Contact As a snapshot of the transaction banking landscape in Asia this research document serves to outline some Should you wish to find out more about transaction banking in Asia please contact Andrew Nicolls, Senior of the lasting themes that will shape the future of the market over the coming years. What is clear is that Partner at Penrose Financial, or Zennon Kapron, Managing Director at Kapronasia. those involved in the transaction banking and cash management market face a period of unprecedented change – but change for the better. Andrew Nicolls The global economic downturn has undoubtedly had an effect on corporate clients in the region. Penrose Financial Transaction bankers have seen their stock rise, however, as investment banks take advantage of the Senior Partner opportunities that building, growing and investing in their transaction banking services brings. Email: andrewn@penrose.co.uk. T +44 (0) 20 7786 4881 Players in the market have a huge opportunity to take advantage of either the scale of their offerings in a geographically and culturally diverse market, or their skill in developing and managing relationships and Zennon Kapron reacting nimbly to client needs. Those who succeed will undoubtedly be the ones to combine both Managing Director elements to bring the ultimate customer service and technologically enhanced model to their clients. Kapronasia Email: zennon.kapron@kapronasia.com The challenges and opportunities in the Asian market remain diverse and varied. Internally, the perennial T +86 21 617 1605 issues of long-term technology planning and technology development continue to hinder development. Whilst externally, the challenge of linking banking systems to a myriad of client systems and standards is made even more difficult given the extreme differences in maturity of technology across the Asia Pacific region. Corporate clients and their CFO controllers are increasingly savvy regarding their bank relationships, and are undoubtedly more promiscuous in their outlook as they seek to achieve efficiencies. At the same time Penrose Financial Limited Kapronasia they are operating in a brave new world where financing their business is a more complex process. 2nd Floor, 30/34 Moorgate, London EC2R 6DN 172 Jinxian Lu, Shanghai, 200020 Although the regional challenges are very different from those of North America or Europe, the support and Telephone +44 (0)207 786 4888 People’s Republic of China Fax +44 (0)207 786 4889 Telephone +86 21 6171 1605 guidance of transaction bankers in the region presents significant opportunities for those willing to adapt Email PR@penrose.co.uk Email info@kapronasia.com and grow with this increasingly sophisticated client base. 15