Apresentação exibida pela pesquisadora do Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE), dra. Chou Sin Chan, no dia 20 de agosto, durante a 1a reunião do Comitê Técnico Consultivo (CTC) do projeto "Brasil 2040: cenários e alternativas para adaptação à mudança do clima". As imagens trazem os cenários climáticos regionalizados de períodos do clima futuro 2011-2040; 2041-2070; e 2071-2100, com médias mensais, sazonais e anuais, tendência de indicadores de extremos climáticos e distribuição de frequência de temperatura e precipitação. Para mais informações, acesse: www.sae.gov.br

1. Eta HadGEM2-ES RCP45 Eta HadGEM2-ES RCP85 Eta MIROC5 RCP45 Eta MIROC5 RCP85 Composite MAX Composite MIN
a b c d e
Figure 2 – Difference of DJF mean 2-m temperature (oC), between future and present (1961-1990) periods. Columns from left to right: 1- RCP 4.5 Eta-
HadGEM2-ES; 2 – RCP 8.5 Eta-HadGEM2-ES; 3 – RCP 4.5 Eta-MIROC; 4 – RCP 8.5 Eta-MIROC; 5 - Composite of maximum changes; and 6 – composite of
minimum changes. Future periods are 2011-2040 (top row), 2041-2070 (middle row), and 2071-2100 (bottom row).

2. Eta HadGEM2-ES RCP45 Eta HadGEM2-ES RCP85 Eta MIROC5 RCP45 Eta MIROC5 RCP85 Composite MAX Composite MIN
Figure 3 – Difference of JJA mean 2-m temperature (oC), between future and present (1961-1990) periods. Columns from left to right: 1- RCP 4.5 Eta-
HadGEM2-ES; 2 – RCP 8.5 Eta-HadGEM2-ES; 3 – RCP 4.5 Eta-MIROC; 4 – RCP 8.5 Eta-MIROC; 5 - Composite of maximum changes; and 6 – composite of
minimum changes. Future periods are 2011-2040 (top row), 2041-2070 (middle row), and 2071-2100 (bottom row).

3. Eta HadGEM2-ES RCP45 Eta HadGEM2-ES RCP85 Eta MIROC5 RCP45 Eta MIROC5 RCP85 Composite MAX Composite MIN
Figure 4 – Difference of DJF mean precipitation (mm/day), between future and present (1961-1990) periods. Columns from left to right: 1- RCP 4.5
Eta-HadGEM2-ES; 2 – RCP 8.5 Eta-HadGEM2-ES; 3 – RCP 4.5 Eta-MIROC5; 4 – RCP 8.5 Eta-MIROC5; 5 - Composite of maximum changes; and 6 –
composite of minimum changes. Future periods are 2011-2040 (top row), 2041-2070 (middle row), and 2071-2100 (bottom row).

4. Eta HadGEM2-ES RCP45 Eta HadGEM2-ES RCP85 Eta MIROC5 RCP45 Eta MIROC5 RCP85 Composite MAX Composite MIN
Figure 5 – Difference of JJA mean precipitation (mm/day), between future and present (1961-1990) periods. Columns from left to right: 1- RCP 4.5
Eta-HadGEM2-ES; 2 – RCP 8.5 Eta-HadGEM2-ES; 3 – RCP 4.5 Eta-MIROC; 4 – RCP 8.5 Eta-MIROC; 5 - Composite of maximum changes; and 6 –
composite of minimum changes. Future periods are 2011-2040 (top row), 2041-2070 (middle row), and 2071-2100 (bottom row).

5. DJF - NO DJF – NE
DJF -
CS
JJA - NO
JJA - NE
JJA - CS
--- Eta- HadGEM2-ES --- Eta-MIROC5 --- CRU
Figure xx – Temporal evolution of change of temperature (oC) from 1961 until 2100, for RCP 4.5 (thin line) and RCP 8.5 (thick line).

6. DJF - NO
DJF - NE
DJF - CS
JJA - NO
JJA - CS
--- Eta- HadGEM2-ES --- Eta-MIROC5 --- CRU
Figure xx – Temporal evolution of change of precipitation (mm/day) from 1961 until 2100,, for RCP 4.5 (thin line) and RCP 8.5 (thick line)..

7. 2011-2040 2041-2070 2071-2100
Max total Min Total Max total Min Total Max total Min Total
PRPCTOT
R95p
Figure xx - Maximum and minimum changes of climatic indicators: total anual precipitation PRPCTOT, R95p, CDD, CWD, in three timeslices

8. 2011-2040 2041-2070 2071-2100
Max total Min Total Max total Min Total Max total Min Total
CDD
CWD
(cont.)