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Build Measure Learn & Key Metrics
Today 
• About tomorrow and next week 
• Statusmeeting 
• Intro to Build Meaure Learn & Metrics 
• YouPic and data driven product development 
• Workshop
Tomorrow 
• Feedback session @ 3 PM 
– You will meet 2 persons giving you feedback and help 
– No “pitch” but a conversation, however explaining 
your business clear is crucial to get relevant feedback 
• So, we are here if anyone wants to try the pitch 
etc again – not mandatory
Next week 
• Team development on 
Wednesday 9-12 AM 
• Professional 
Facilitator of CEO- & 
Management groups. 
Authentic questions 
both professional and 
private are shared in a 
reflective space.
Build Measure Learn 
There is a due date 
 Time to no cash 
 Execution momentum 
 Motivation span 
The one who iterates the fastest wins 
1. You don’t perish 
2. You own more of your company 
3. You outperform competitors
It’s a company culture!
Quickly move towards data 
Quantitative 
Qualitative 
Time
The process 
• Form a very clear hypothesis (idea) 
– Mid size companies with knowledge base have a problem with finding artists 
for parties? 
– Artists (type X) want more small corp gigs? 
• Construct the test (build) 
– I will call 20 companies like above, ask them about the process today 
– I will meet 20 artists type Z to understand how they get gigs today 
• Define how to validate (measure) 
– I will measure how many of the companies have the problem, how often and 
how many that actually have searched for a solution 
– I will measure how many artists are doing live gigs for companies today, 
how many that wants to have more gigs, how many that want to invest time 
in finding them?
2nd iteration 
• Only 1/20 in the target groups arrange the parties by themselves 
(Learn). New: 
– Small companies companies with knowledge base have a problem with 
finding artists for parties? 
• All artists wanted more gigs, but only 1/5 marketed themselves 
today and they were often students and 1-3 ppl in the band 
– Small student bands want more gigs to finance their studies? 
• Construct the test 
– We will call 20 small companies, 10-50 employees… 
– We will talk to 20 student bands at the University…. 
• Measure….
5th? iteration 
• The real problem booking artists for gigs are quality 
assurance (Learn) 
– We can create trust by displaying artist with “live graph” from 
facebook, youtube, etc 
– Artist like X have “live graph” today 
• We will build an MVP, enter 50 artists manually scrape 
the web for “live graph” and attract companies… (build) 
– Acquire users “ find the best livebands for your party” through 
ads 
• We want 20 companies register and do a first search
How do you increase speed? 
• Be specific 
• Document (don’t do 
twice) 
• Set goals/dates 
• Take shortcuts 
• Be a fool (if you ask 
questions you might be a 
fool for 5 mins, if you 
don’t you will be a fool for 
the rest of your life) 
• Go online…..
Solution vs Optimization 
1. Does your startup have hypothesis or leaps of faith in it? 
We think people people have a need for a crowdfund solar platform 
We think people need translation service for… 
We think people need an easy way to book artists 
We think service companies need a productivity service 
We think production companies need a translation tool 
2. Do you have discussions about how to re-design the 
product so that people will use it more? 
 Are users engaging with the product? 
 How many users are dropping off? 
 Which features are used / unused? 
 How many referrals are we getting? 
 Which A/B test was getting higher usage 
Separate the big idea questions from 
customer driven product development!
You will “never” stop iterating
Workshop 
• Look at your Lean Canvas, what have you 
validated or disqualified? – Check! 
• What are your next steps, how do you construct 
the test?
METRICS (WHY?)
The ultimate goal 
If (CAC < LTV(*2+)) then (SCALE) 
But we have a lot to do before that….
So why metrics 
• Facts instead of opinions (B2C vs B2B) 
• Faster build measure learn loop - Prioritize 
• A data driven culture 
• Good investors
Go offline
MILESTONES
Milestones? 
• It’s about proof to validate the business (proof of concept) 
• Better communication tool than plans (you need them too, 
internally) 
• ”All” investors require them (team (vision), traction, terms) 
• Reflects the maturity - problem/solution fit -> product/market 
fit 
• When fulfilled risk is significantly reduced (market, product, 
organisation or financial)
Type of milestones? 
• Qualitative 
– Signed partner 
agreement 
– Working MVP 
– Proven technology 
– LOI 
– Problem validated 
– … 
• Quantitative 
– 1000 sign-ups 
– 1000 active users 
– 10 paying customers 
– 10% churn 
– CAC < LTV
What is not a good milestone 
or proof of concept? 
• An article in Techcrunch (it can be a user acquisition strategy) 
• Winning startup prizes 
• Investor interest 
• Tweets 
• Market analysis made 
• Segments defined 
• Product plan defined 
• Sold to a few customer (not necessarily, it’s about the business 
model) 
• …
How to define milestones? 
Areas: 
• Market (customer) 
• Product 
• Financial 
• Human resources 
To think about: 
• B2C or B2B 
• Segment 
• Revenue model type 
• Dependencies in the 
business model 
• Phase 
• Tempo
Examples 
• Proof that you can work together as a team, usually historical evidence 
• Proof that you can build something, i.e. working prototype 
• Proof that it’s useful to someone – first users and clients 
• Proof that you can talk to investors – every financing round, even small ones 
• Proof that you can talk to audiences – 100k users or 1M users or 10M users… 
• Proof that the initial team is able to attract talent 
• Proof that ecosystem agrees with your ideas – bringing respected industry advisors or 
partnerships on board 
• Proof that there is market – $1M annually 
• Proof that you can manage your finances – cash-flow positive operation 
• Proof that you can scale – $10M annually 
• Proof that the market is big! – $25M annually and beyond
Workshop 
• Define your key proofs needed (you think) that 
when fulfilled CLEARLY have reduced the 
market and product risk at this stage 
– Is it 10 interested customers, a MVP that can… 
– Is it 1000 sign-ups and… 
– Is it 2 paying customers and an indication that there 
are 10000 ”look a likes”? 
• 20 mins
Part 2 – Key metrics
So what about key metrics 
• Key metrics are something you continuously 
follow 
• Can be used to prove that a milestone is fulfilled 
• Will help you create focus (limited resources) 
• A proper defined metric will help you understand 
your business 
• If you are online, start measure before MVP 
launched
Example: AARRR – Startup metrics for 
pirates 
• Acquisition: users come to site from various channels 
• Activation: users enjoy 1st visit: "happy” experience 
• Retention: users come back, visit site multiple times 
• Referral: users like product enough to refer others 
• Revenue: users conduct some monetization behavior
Campaigns, 
Contests 
ACQUISITION 
Homepage / Landing 
Page 
Product 
Features 
Ads, Lead Gen, Biz Dev 
Subscriptions, 
ECommerce 
Website.com 
SEO 
SEM 
Apps & 
Widgets 
Affiliates 
Email 
PR Biz Dev 
Direct, Tel, 
TV 
Social 
Networks 
Blogs 
Domains 
Emails & Alerts 
Blogs, RSS, 
News Feeds 
System Events & 
Time-based Features 
Emails & 
widgets 
Viral 
Loops 
Affiliates, 
Contests
BE CAREFUL WITH VANITY METRICS 
31
When you know 
• CAC (Customer Acquisition Cost) 
• and 
• LTV (Lifetime Value) 
• = How much to spend to grow X times 
It’s the best time to get Venture Capital…
Workshop 
• How does your funnel look like? 
• What are the key metrics in that funnel? 
• How can you measure them? 
• 20 min
Fund raising options 
1. Be scrappy and boostrap – get to MVP and first validation without funding 
– Shows that you understand how to build initial value in your company 
– MVP with early proof points are worth significantly more than just an idea 
– This is how repeat entrepreneurs do, although may not be possible for everyone 
– Some contributions from Almi etc is possible 
2. Customers 
– Will pay you for a product even if it’s not completely ready, if it’s a must have 
3. Family, Friends & Fools 
– Severe risk of misunderstandings and backlash in relationships 
4. Crowdfunding 
– Depending on the idea type 
– Fundedby.me, Kickstarter, InvestedIn, GoFundMe, Sponsume, Crowdcube… 
5. Join an incubator or accelerator 
– Easier access to soft funding (VGR/Almi/Innovationsbron) 
– In some cases also seed capital. 
6. Business Angels 
– Local angels in western Sweden are few, but they exist 
– There are a few networks of angels who co-invest 
– Angellist ? 
7. Venture Capitalists 
– You will need major proof points for Swedish/European VCs 
– In the US, network and track-record more important
What drives value? 
1. Team – Completeness and track record 
2. Product – Is it a Must Have or does it offer sustainable user delight? 
3. Market – Proof Points, Traction, PMF and size of market 
4. If you need the money or not – 
If you’re cash flow positive and you don’t have to raise capital, youre strong! 
5. Number of investors interested in your company in this round – 
Always try to attract several investors in a round to play out terms & valuation 
6. Lead investor & other syndicate partners – 
A strong lead will attract other investors for you
Differerent types of investors 
- Business Angels 
- Invest 50K - 5 MSEK 
- Either hands-off or very hands-on 
- Piggybacking on others or Front seat investors 
- Seed Funds 
- 500K – 5 MSEK 
- Hands-on involvement 
- Less proof points needed (at a cost) 
- VC Funds 
- 5 MSEK – 100 MSEK 
- Proof points mandatory 
- Manages investments against clock 
- Will wipe your ownership out if you don’t succeed 
- The good ones have a strong syndication and exit networks
Two Journeys - #1 
• Less experiences entrepreneur, no own cash and a team with 
recruiting need from day 1 
Seed A-Round 
Owners % SEK 
Founders 80 2M 
Investors 20 0.5M 
Owners % SEK 
Founders 70 6.5M 
Investors 30 1.5M 
Owners % SEK 
Founders 55 7M 
Investors 45 3M 
Owners % SEK 
Founders 40 8M 
Investors 60 12M 
Team 
MVP 
Timeline 
MVP 
Validation 
24-48 Months 
2nd Seed 
MVP 
Validation 
Users 
growing 
3rd Seed 
Proven 
Traction 
Working 
Bus Model
Two Journeys - #2 
• Seasoned entrepreneur, bootstrap with own cash and a team with a 
mix of business experience, product development and coding 
Owners % SEK 
Founders 100 0 
Investors 0 0 
Owners % SEK 
Founders 85 17M 
Investors 15 3M 
Owners % SEK 
Founders 70 28M 
Investors 30 12M 
Owners % SEK 
Founders 55 55M 
Investors 45 45M 
Bootstrap 
MVP 
Validation 
Users 
growing 
Timeline 
Proven 
Traction 
Working 
Bus Model 
Category 
“Leader” 
Revenue 
Growth 
Scaling 
Model 
Proven 
Angel/Seed A-Round B-Round 
18-36 Months 
VC clock starts
Q? 
39
Understand the different requirements and 
consequences 
P/S-fit 
P/M-fit 
MVP 
Growth 
Verifieringsbidrag 
Customer 
”Utlysningar” 
A-rounds 
Big VC’s 
Pre-seed 
Incubators 
Family office 
Angels 
Almi 
Seed 
Angels 
Small VC’s

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Session 5 fall 2014

  • 1. Build Measure Learn & Key Metrics
  • 2. Today • About tomorrow and next week • Statusmeeting • Intro to Build Meaure Learn & Metrics • YouPic and data driven product development • Workshop
  • 3. Tomorrow • Feedback session @ 3 PM – You will meet 2 persons giving you feedback and help – No “pitch” but a conversation, however explaining your business clear is crucial to get relevant feedback • So, we are here if anyone wants to try the pitch etc again – not mandatory
  • 4. Next week • Team development on Wednesday 9-12 AM • Professional Facilitator of CEO- & Management groups. Authentic questions both professional and private are shared in a reflective space.
  • 5. Build Measure Learn There is a due date  Time to no cash  Execution momentum  Motivation span The one who iterates the fastest wins 1. You don’t perish 2. You own more of your company 3. You outperform competitors
  • 6. It’s a company culture!
  • 7. Quickly move towards data Quantitative Qualitative Time
  • 8. The process • Form a very clear hypothesis (idea) – Mid size companies with knowledge base have a problem with finding artists for parties? – Artists (type X) want more small corp gigs? • Construct the test (build) – I will call 20 companies like above, ask them about the process today – I will meet 20 artists type Z to understand how they get gigs today • Define how to validate (measure) – I will measure how many of the companies have the problem, how often and how many that actually have searched for a solution – I will measure how many artists are doing live gigs for companies today, how many that wants to have more gigs, how many that want to invest time in finding them?
  • 9. 2nd iteration • Only 1/20 in the target groups arrange the parties by themselves (Learn). New: – Small companies companies with knowledge base have a problem with finding artists for parties? • All artists wanted more gigs, but only 1/5 marketed themselves today and they were often students and 1-3 ppl in the band – Small student bands want more gigs to finance their studies? • Construct the test – We will call 20 small companies, 10-50 employees… – We will talk to 20 student bands at the University…. • Measure….
  • 10. 5th? iteration • The real problem booking artists for gigs are quality assurance (Learn) – We can create trust by displaying artist with “live graph” from facebook, youtube, etc – Artist like X have “live graph” today • We will build an MVP, enter 50 artists manually scrape the web for “live graph” and attract companies… (build) – Acquire users “ find the best livebands for your party” through ads • We want 20 companies register and do a first search
  • 11. How do you increase speed? • Be specific • Document (don’t do twice) • Set goals/dates • Take shortcuts • Be a fool (if you ask questions you might be a fool for 5 mins, if you don’t you will be a fool for the rest of your life) • Go online…..
  • 12. Solution vs Optimization 1. Does your startup have hypothesis or leaps of faith in it? We think people people have a need for a crowdfund solar platform We think people need translation service for… We think people need an easy way to book artists We think service companies need a productivity service We think production companies need a translation tool 2. Do you have discussions about how to re-design the product so that people will use it more?  Are users engaging with the product?  How many users are dropping off?  Which features are used / unused?  How many referrals are we getting?  Which A/B test was getting higher usage Separate the big idea questions from customer driven product development!
  • 13. You will “never” stop iterating
  • 14. Workshop • Look at your Lean Canvas, what have you validated or disqualified? – Check! • What are your next steps, how do you construct the test?
  • 16.
  • 17. The ultimate goal If (CAC < LTV(*2+)) then (SCALE) But we have a lot to do before that….
  • 18. So why metrics • Facts instead of opinions (B2C vs B2B) • Faster build measure learn loop - Prioritize • A data driven culture • Good investors
  • 21. Milestones? • It’s about proof to validate the business (proof of concept) • Better communication tool than plans (you need them too, internally) • ”All” investors require them (team (vision), traction, terms) • Reflects the maturity - problem/solution fit -> product/market fit • When fulfilled risk is significantly reduced (market, product, organisation or financial)
  • 22. Type of milestones? • Qualitative – Signed partner agreement – Working MVP – Proven technology – LOI – Problem validated – … • Quantitative – 1000 sign-ups – 1000 active users – 10 paying customers – 10% churn – CAC < LTV
  • 23. What is not a good milestone or proof of concept? • An article in Techcrunch (it can be a user acquisition strategy) • Winning startup prizes • Investor interest • Tweets • Market analysis made • Segments defined • Product plan defined • Sold to a few customer (not necessarily, it’s about the business model) • …
  • 24. How to define milestones? Areas: • Market (customer) • Product • Financial • Human resources To think about: • B2C or B2B • Segment • Revenue model type • Dependencies in the business model • Phase • Tempo
  • 25. Examples • Proof that you can work together as a team, usually historical evidence • Proof that you can build something, i.e. working prototype • Proof that it’s useful to someone – first users and clients • Proof that you can talk to investors – every financing round, even small ones • Proof that you can talk to audiences – 100k users or 1M users or 10M users… • Proof that the initial team is able to attract talent • Proof that ecosystem agrees with your ideas – bringing respected industry advisors or partnerships on board • Proof that there is market – $1M annually • Proof that you can manage your finances – cash-flow positive operation • Proof that you can scale – $10M annually • Proof that the market is big! – $25M annually and beyond
  • 26. Workshop • Define your key proofs needed (you think) that when fulfilled CLEARLY have reduced the market and product risk at this stage – Is it 10 interested customers, a MVP that can… – Is it 1000 sign-ups and… – Is it 2 paying customers and an indication that there are 10000 ”look a likes”? • 20 mins
  • 27. Part 2 – Key metrics
  • 28. So what about key metrics • Key metrics are something you continuously follow • Can be used to prove that a milestone is fulfilled • Will help you create focus (limited resources) • A proper defined metric will help you understand your business • If you are online, start measure before MVP launched
  • 29. Example: AARRR – Startup metrics for pirates • Acquisition: users come to site from various channels • Activation: users enjoy 1st visit: "happy” experience • Retention: users come back, visit site multiple times • Referral: users like product enough to refer others • Revenue: users conduct some monetization behavior
  • 30. Campaigns, Contests ACQUISITION Homepage / Landing Page Product Features Ads, Lead Gen, Biz Dev Subscriptions, ECommerce Website.com SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains Emails & Alerts Blogs, RSS, News Feeds System Events & Time-based Features Emails & widgets Viral Loops Affiliates, Contests
  • 31. BE CAREFUL WITH VANITY METRICS 31
  • 32. When you know • CAC (Customer Acquisition Cost) • and • LTV (Lifetime Value) • = How much to spend to grow X times It’s the best time to get Venture Capital…
  • 33. Workshop • How does your funnel look like? • What are the key metrics in that funnel? • How can you measure them? • 20 min
  • 34. Fund raising options 1. Be scrappy and boostrap – get to MVP and first validation without funding – Shows that you understand how to build initial value in your company – MVP with early proof points are worth significantly more than just an idea – This is how repeat entrepreneurs do, although may not be possible for everyone – Some contributions from Almi etc is possible 2. Customers – Will pay you for a product even if it’s not completely ready, if it’s a must have 3. Family, Friends & Fools – Severe risk of misunderstandings and backlash in relationships 4. Crowdfunding – Depending on the idea type – Fundedby.me, Kickstarter, InvestedIn, GoFundMe, Sponsume, Crowdcube… 5. Join an incubator or accelerator – Easier access to soft funding (VGR/Almi/Innovationsbron) – In some cases also seed capital. 6. Business Angels – Local angels in western Sweden are few, but they exist – There are a few networks of angels who co-invest – Angellist ? 7. Venture Capitalists – You will need major proof points for Swedish/European VCs – In the US, network and track-record more important
  • 35. What drives value? 1. Team – Completeness and track record 2. Product – Is it a Must Have or does it offer sustainable user delight? 3. Market – Proof Points, Traction, PMF and size of market 4. If you need the money or not – If you’re cash flow positive and you don’t have to raise capital, youre strong! 5. Number of investors interested in your company in this round – Always try to attract several investors in a round to play out terms & valuation 6. Lead investor & other syndicate partners – A strong lead will attract other investors for you
  • 36. Differerent types of investors - Business Angels - Invest 50K - 5 MSEK - Either hands-off or very hands-on - Piggybacking on others or Front seat investors - Seed Funds - 500K – 5 MSEK - Hands-on involvement - Less proof points needed (at a cost) - VC Funds - 5 MSEK – 100 MSEK - Proof points mandatory - Manages investments against clock - Will wipe your ownership out if you don’t succeed - The good ones have a strong syndication and exit networks
  • 37. Two Journeys - #1 • Less experiences entrepreneur, no own cash and a team with recruiting need from day 1 Seed A-Round Owners % SEK Founders 80 2M Investors 20 0.5M Owners % SEK Founders 70 6.5M Investors 30 1.5M Owners % SEK Founders 55 7M Investors 45 3M Owners % SEK Founders 40 8M Investors 60 12M Team MVP Timeline MVP Validation 24-48 Months 2nd Seed MVP Validation Users growing 3rd Seed Proven Traction Working Bus Model
  • 38. Two Journeys - #2 • Seasoned entrepreneur, bootstrap with own cash and a team with a mix of business experience, product development and coding Owners % SEK Founders 100 0 Investors 0 0 Owners % SEK Founders 85 17M Investors 15 3M Owners % SEK Founders 70 28M Investors 30 12M Owners % SEK Founders 55 55M Investors 45 45M Bootstrap MVP Validation Users growing Timeline Proven Traction Working Bus Model Category “Leader” Revenue Growth Scaling Model Proven Angel/Seed A-Round B-Round 18-36 Months VC clock starts
  • 39. Q? 39
  • 40. Understand the different requirements and consequences P/S-fit P/M-fit MVP Growth Verifieringsbidrag Customer ”Utlysningar” A-rounds Big VC’s Pre-seed Incubators Family office Angels Almi Seed Angels Small VC’s