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Open Innovation
 The cultural requirements for
 Web 2.0 powered innovation,
 networking, and collaboration




        Dr. Sam Inkinen
         Senior Researcher
  Finland Futures Research Centre

 www.inkinen.org – www.cid-lab.org
Artist: Lotta Viitaniemi, Story: Kim Forsman & Teemu Arina   Dicole Ltd.
Changes on the web




WEB X.O
Web as a platform




                    Photo: Christopher Chan
Software above a
     single device




Photo: *One*
Data as the new
  Intel inside




           Photo: _fabrizio_
Harnessing collective
    intelligence




                   Photo: Donna Cymek
Rich Internet
Applications
(RIA, AJAX)
Lightweight business
  models, e.g. SaaS
    (Software as a Service)




                              Photo: ulterior epicure
Long Tail
    Head (20%)
                                                                        r
                                                                     we
                                                                   po
                                                               g
                                                           erin
                 Sign                                   lt
                                                      dfi
                     al v
                                                 uire
                         s. n
                                              eq
                                ois         R
                                   e
Sales




                                       Tail (80%)




                                 Products


                                                                   Ref: Chris Anderson
“The project would
have been a success
if everything had
gone as we planned.”
“Everything would
                        Myth
work out if we had
the right information
at the right time at
the right place.”
Culture
The integrated pattern of human
knowledge, belief, and behavior that
depends upon the capacity for
learning and transmitting knowledge
to succeeding generations.
– Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary




                                          Photo: Shapeshift
Connecting
     Anonymous voting
1)
     Open conversation
2)
     Prediction markets
3)

                              Many Minds
     Internet crowdsourcing
4)




                                 Ref: Cass R. Sunstein, Infotopia
Examples
                                Anonymous
• Kasparov vs. Internet team
• Estimating temperature
                                Voting
• “Ask audience” in Who
    Wants to be a Millionaire
•   Movie ratings in IMDB
•   Youtube video ratings
Why groups can be wise?




Condorcet Jury Theorem
Marquis de Condorcet, 1743 - 1794
Wise
     Diversity of opinion
1)
     Independence
2)
     Decentralization
3)

                                         Crowds
     Aggregation
4)




                            Ref: James Surowiecki, Wisdom of the Crowds
Conversation
Each of them by himself
may not be of good
quality; but when they all
come together it is
possible that they may
surpass – collectively
and as a body, although
not individually – the
quality of the few best.
– Aristotle on Collective Intelligence,
Politics, circa 334-23 BC.
• Groupthink and unthinking
                                Traps
• Amplification of falsehoods
• Strategic behavior
• Use of heuristics
• From confidence to extremism
• Focus on personal prospects
• Design by committee




                                  Photo: Mike9Alive
Design by Committee
Filters
                          Weak
• Surveillance filter
• Mentality filter
                          Signals
• Power filter
– Dr. Igor Ansoff, 1984




                              Photo: .supernova.
• Group polarization
• Reputational cascades
• Informational cascades
                                   Biases
• Hidden profiles
• Social pressures
• Common knowledge effects
• Algorithmic bias (e.g. Google)
Diversity of Thought is
 Accuracy of Thought
What doesn’t fit in?
                   3
          2
1


Cow     Chicken   Grass

                  Ref: Richard Nisbett
1) Economic incentives

                               Prediction
   motivate participation
2) Disclosing information is
   crucial for winning
                               Markets
3) Those who do not know,
   will step aside
Ecosystem way:
   Internet
Crowdsourcing


                 Photo: Hugo*
What is Innovation?
           An idea becomes an innovation
       ■
           only through wide adoption,
           either through:
            ■ centralized     resources
              (traditional innovation)
            ■ decentralized      resources
              (open innovation)
              commons-based peer-production
How’s your innovation pipeline?




                           Photo: Pavlos Pavlidis
Traditional Innovation
Open & Organic
Innovation




                 Photo: ippei + janine
What kind of innovation?


                                         Challenge:                    Challenge:
Business model
                                         new ways                     ecosystem
innovation
                                      to capture value                innovation
                 What you innovate




                                            Changing
                                            the what




                                                                        Challenge:
                                        Traditional
Product &
                                                                    be an innovation
                                                         Changing
service innovation
                                         product         the how

                                                                    partner of choice
                                       development


                                            Closed                        Open
                                                       How you innovate          Source: Henry Chesbrough, 2007
Future Challenge
                             In the future, organizations will
                             compete on:

                             Who is able to create a rich
                             user community improving
                             their products where users
                             want to belong




Image: Felippe Torres
“There’s something fundamental about
   organizations and leadership that
 makes it almost impossible for people
 inside a business to change their own
   industry. Industries are based on
 formats that are basically legacies of
          military hierarchies”


                             Ricardo Semler
                                 Semco




                                       Kuva: GustavoG
“Virtually everything new seems to
 come from the 20 percent of their time
engineers here are expected to spend on
side projects. They certainly don't come
     out of the management team”



                              Eric Schmidt
                              Google CEO




                                       Kuva: GustavoG
Participation Inequality
                  1% creators

                  10% synthesizers

                  100% consumers




                  Ref: Bradley Horowitz, Jacob Nielsen
Participation Power Law
                                                    Ownership
                                                                          High
                                                  Moderating
                                                                       Engagement
                                              Collaborating
                                               Reflecting
                                      Recommending
                                         Linking
                                Commenting
                              Tagging
                        Rating
      Subscribing                                                          Low
Reading
                                                                         Threshold

    Collective                                 Collaborative
   Intelligence                                 Intelligence
  (implicit creation)                           (explicit creation)


                                                                      Ref: Teemu Arina, based
                                                                         on Ross Mayfield
Winner of World
Summit Award
Finland 2009
in e-business &
category




     CASE
portrait                                                      details

                                      + Add contact                                           Itämerenkatu 30 A 10
                                                                            jaiku             FI-00180 Helsinki, Finland
                                                                                              teemu@dicole.com
                                       Teemu Arina                      facebook              Blog: tarina.blogging.fi
                                       “All progress depends
                                                                                              Skype: infe00
                                       on the unreasonable man”
                                                                                              Phone: +358 - 50 -555 7636


                                     ‣ Edit details

                                                                            employer
‣ Upload photo
                                                                                       Professional description
                                                      CEO, founder                     “ I seek to understand the changing
               friends                                Dicole Oy                        nature of organizations as they shift
                                                                                       from the industrial era to the knowledge
                                                      Kansakoulukuja 3, 2 krs.
‣ See all                                                                              intensive era. What new methods,
                                                      FI-00100 Helsinki, Finland
                                                                                       structures, skills and tools will they
                                                      +358 - 50 - 555 7636
                                                                                       need? As an entrepreneur, programmer,

                                                            +10                        teacher and designer I design, build and
                                       Digitalization
                                                                                       deliver web-based interaction
                                       grade                                           technology (or social software) that
                                                                                       enables people to co-create together in
        community stats                                                                a distributed knowledge intensive
                                     ‣ Edit employer                                   environment.”
Last online         6 minutes ago
Submitted ideas     32
Comments            40                                                      education
Points received     54201
Ranking position    4.
                                     School             HSE                               Skill profile
                                     Degree             Bachelor
                                                                                           “Technology is my sixth sense.”
                                     Other degree       Knowledge kung-fu
        tags of interest
                                     Target degree      Evil priest
  case Challenge Digitalization
                                     ‣ Edit education
     e-banking e-invoicing eu idea
Dicole
Innovation
Work
Environment




  CASE
Blogs           Networking
        Wikis




        Tags




Seeds   Media     Feeds
Organic Enterprise
    Nervous system                      Brain
Feeds, Search, APIs -            Wikis, tagging -
 Sharing, discovering and      Connecting and remixing
  tapping into reflections            reflectons


                                    Blood system
         Senses
                                Social networking,
   Blogs, Media -
                                     Real-time
Reflection in and on action
                                 communications,
                               Network analysis -
                               Optimizing interaction flow
         Skeleton
 Automation, Real-
   time processes,
       Operative
 technologies - Back-
bone for business processes
                              Ref: Teemu Arina, Illustration: Lotta Viitaniemi
Command & Control

        should become

Collaboration and Communication




                                  Photo: tashland
Contact
    Dr. Sam Inkinen
    Senior Researcher

    sam.inkinen@cid-lab.org
    www.cid-lab.org
    www.inkinen.org
                                                  Photo: Markus Koljonen




“Imagination is more important than knowledge.”
– Albert Einstein

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Sam Inkinen Open Innovation and Web 2.0

  • 1. Open Innovation The cultural requirements for Web 2.0 powered innovation, networking, and collaboration Dr. Sam Inkinen Senior Researcher Finland Futures Research Centre www.inkinen.org – www.cid-lab.org
  • 2. Artist: Lotta Viitaniemi, Story: Kim Forsman & Teemu Arina Dicole Ltd.
  • 3. Changes on the web WEB X.O
  • 4. Web as a platform Photo: Christopher Chan
  • 5. Software above a single device Photo: *One*
  • 6. Data as the new Intel inside Photo: _fabrizio_
  • 7. Harnessing collective intelligence Photo: Donna Cymek
  • 9. Lightweight business models, e.g. SaaS (Software as a Service) Photo: ulterior epicure
  • 10. Long Tail Head (20%) r we po g erin Sign lt dfi al v uire s. n eq ois R e Sales Tail (80%) Products Ref: Chris Anderson
  • 11. “The project would have been a success if everything had gone as we planned.”
  • 12. “Everything would Myth work out if we had the right information at the right time at the right place.”
  • 13. Culture The integrated pattern of human knowledge, belief, and behavior that depends upon the capacity for learning and transmitting knowledge to succeeding generations. – Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary Photo: Shapeshift
  • 14. Connecting Anonymous voting 1) Open conversation 2) Prediction markets 3) Many Minds Internet crowdsourcing 4) Ref: Cass R. Sunstein, Infotopia
  • 15. Examples Anonymous • Kasparov vs. Internet team • Estimating temperature Voting • “Ask audience” in Who Wants to be a Millionaire • Movie ratings in IMDB • Youtube video ratings
  • 16. Why groups can be wise? Condorcet Jury Theorem Marquis de Condorcet, 1743 - 1794
  • 17. Wise Diversity of opinion 1) Independence 2) Decentralization 3) Crowds Aggregation 4) Ref: James Surowiecki, Wisdom of the Crowds
  • 18. Conversation Each of them by himself may not be of good quality; but when they all come together it is possible that they may surpass – collectively and as a body, although not individually – the quality of the few best. – Aristotle on Collective Intelligence, Politics, circa 334-23 BC.
  • 19. • Groupthink and unthinking Traps • Amplification of falsehoods • Strategic behavior • Use of heuristics • From confidence to extremism • Focus on personal prospects • Design by committee Photo: Mike9Alive
  • 21. Filters Weak • Surveillance filter • Mentality filter Signals • Power filter – Dr. Igor Ansoff, 1984 Photo: .supernova.
  • 22. • Group polarization • Reputational cascades • Informational cascades Biases • Hidden profiles • Social pressures • Common knowledge effects • Algorithmic bias (e.g. Google)
  • 23. Diversity of Thought is Accuracy of Thought
  • 24. What doesn’t fit in? 3 2 1 Cow Chicken Grass Ref: Richard Nisbett
  • 25. 1) Economic incentives Prediction motivate participation 2) Disclosing information is crucial for winning Markets 3) Those who do not know, will step aside
  • 26. Ecosystem way: Internet Crowdsourcing Photo: Hugo*
  • 27. What is Innovation? An idea becomes an innovation ■ only through wide adoption, either through: ■ centralized resources (traditional innovation) ■ decentralized resources (open innovation) commons-based peer-production
  • 28. How’s your innovation pipeline? Photo: Pavlos Pavlidis
  • 30. Open & Organic Innovation Photo: ippei + janine
  • 31. What kind of innovation? Challenge: Challenge: Business model new ways ecosystem innovation to capture value innovation What you innovate Changing the what Challenge: Traditional Product & be an innovation Changing service innovation product the how partner of choice development Closed Open How you innovate Source: Henry Chesbrough, 2007
  • 32. Future Challenge In the future, organizations will compete on: Who is able to create a rich user community improving their products where users want to belong Image: Felippe Torres
  • 33. “There’s something fundamental about organizations and leadership that makes it almost impossible for people inside a business to change their own industry. Industries are based on formats that are basically legacies of military hierarchies” Ricardo Semler Semco Kuva: GustavoG
  • 34. “Virtually everything new seems to come from the 20 percent of their time engineers here are expected to spend on side projects. They certainly don't come out of the management team” Eric Schmidt Google CEO Kuva: GustavoG
  • 35. Participation Inequality 1% creators 10% synthesizers 100% consumers Ref: Bradley Horowitz, Jacob Nielsen
  • 36. Participation Power Law Ownership High Moderating Engagement Collaborating Reflecting Recommending Linking Commenting Tagging Rating Subscribing Low Reading Threshold Collective Collaborative Intelligence Intelligence (implicit creation) (explicit creation) Ref: Teemu Arina, based on Ross Mayfield
  • 37. Winner of World Summit Award Finland 2009 in e-business & category CASE
  • 38. portrait details + Add contact Itämerenkatu 30 A 10 jaiku FI-00180 Helsinki, Finland teemu@dicole.com Teemu Arina facebook Blog: tarina.blogging.fi “All progress depends Skype: infe00 on the unreasonable man” Phone: +358 - 50 -555 7636 ‣ Edit details employer ‣ Upload photo Professional description CEO, founder “ I seek to understand the changing friends Dicole Oy nature of organizations as they shift from the industrial era to the knowledge Kansakoulukuja 3, 2 krs. ‣ See all intensive era. What new methods, FI-00100 Helsinki, Finland structures, skills and tools will they +358 - 50 - 555 7636 need? As an entrepreneur, programmer, +10 teacher and designer I design, build and Digitalization deliver web-based interaction grade technology (or social software) that enables people to co-create together in community stats a distributed knowledge intensive ‣ Edit employer environment.” Last online 6 minutes ago Submitted ideas 32 Comments 40 education Points received 54201 Ranking position 4. School HSE Skill profile Degree Bachelor “Technology is my sixth sense.” Other degree Knowledge kung-fu tags of interest Target degree Evil priest case Challenge Digitalization ‣ Edit education e-banking e-invoicing eu idea
  • 39.
  • 41. Blogs Networking Wikis Tags Seeds Media Feeds
  • 42. Organic Enterprise Nervous system Brain Feeds, Search, APIs - Wikis, tagging - Sharing, discovering and Connecting and remixing tapping into reflections reflectons Blood system Senses Social networking, Blogs, Media - Real-time Reflection in and on action communications, Network analysis - Optimizing interaction flow Skeleton Automation, Real- time processes, Operative technologies - Back- bone for business processes Ref: Teemu Arina, Illustration: Lotta Viitaniemi
  • 43. Command & Control should become Collaboration and Communication Photo: tashland
  • 44. Contact Dr. Sam Inkinen Senior Researcher sam.inkinen@cid-lab.org www.cid-lab.org www.inkinen.org Photo: Markus Koljonen “Imagination is more important than knowledge.” – Albert Einstein