1. Sandia National Laboratories is a multi-program laboratory managed and operated by Sandia Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Lockheed Martin
Corporation, for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-AC04-94AL85000. SAND2016-XXXX PE
Center for Energy, Security & Society
A Joint Center of the University of Oklahoma and Sandia National Laboratories
energy.sandia.gov
Evaristo J. (Tito) Bonano, Ph.D.
CIESESE Visit
December 12-13, 2016
Sandia National Laboratories is a multi-mission laboratory managed and operated by Sandia Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Lockheed Martin Corporation,
for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-AC04-94AL85000. SAND2016-12529 PE.
2. Purpose of CES&S
Motivating problem: the widespread incidence of technical
solutions that face daunting social and political hurdles
Vision: to enhance the nation’s security and prosperity
through sustainable, transformative solutions to our most
challenging energy, climate and security problems
Mission: to identify, understand and integrate social and
physical sciences to effectively address energy, climate, and
security needs for the nation
Tools: bridging disparate fields of study requires us to
innovate in the nature and kinds of data we employ
2
3. OU-SNL Shared Vision
26-Year collaborative effort between OU and SNL researchers
related to nuclear fuel cycle created a shared vision for
How physical scientists and engineers and social scientists should
work together toward finding and implementing sustainable solutions
to nuclear fuel cycle problems
How states and local communities need to be effective participants in
the development and implementation of national nuclear energy
policies
The education of new generations of leaders, an essential component
of the successful implementation of national nuclear energy policies
Solving the technical aspects of a nuclear energy problem is
“easy” in comparison to the policy, social and economic
aspects
3
4. Three Decades of OU-SNL
Collaborations
Initiated in 1990 with early studies of perceived risks of
chemical and nuclear materials, and perceptions of
transuranic waste transportation
22 SAND and DOE reports (at last count), over 30 peer-
reviewed articles, book chapters and a book
Early collaborations concerned the weapons stockpile, non-
proliferation, and nuclear materials transportation
Extended to terrorism, climate change, technology and
security, the nuclear fuel cycle, and renewable energy
4
5. CES&S Structure
OU and SNL Co-Directors
Prof. Hank Jenkins-Smith
Dr. Tito Bonano
Joint projects involving OU and SNL researchers
Establishment of “quick” contracting mechanisms
Collaborative projects to date:
Nuclear energy and nuclear waste management
Domestic use of unmanned aerial vehicles for law enforcement
Renewable energy options and water challenges
National security
Future projects:
Impact of man-made and natural disasters on national infrastructure
Management and analytics of “Big Data”
5
6. Addressing Wicked Problems with
Integrated Data
6
Where has the focus been?
• Natural Systems
• Technological Systems
What is missing?
• Coupled human, natural, and
technological systems
• Where are the connections?
Motivation?
• Saving lives, reducing risks
• Reducing societal friction
• Reducing costs
• Individual choice and liberties
Data from
Human
Systems
Data from
Natural
Systems
Data from
Technological
Systems
7. Multiple Data Streams
CES&S projects require integration of data across geospatial,
temporal, and institutional dimensions
The goal is to combine streams of social, engineering and physical
data to inform solutions to pressing societal problems
This requires integration of:
Survey data
Meta-coding of survey data spanning decades
Annual cross-sectional “backbone” surveys
Panel surveys integrated with dense weather monitoring
Text-based observational data (non-intrusive measures)
Government documents (e.g., hearings; laws/regulations; reports)
Social media (Twitter, Facebook)
News media (Lexis-Nexis data back to 1945)
Experimental data
Experiments administered to randomized groups used to estimate model
parameters
7
8. Social Media as a Data Source
A great deal of public expression, discussion, and attempted
persuasion takes place via social media
Voluntary, continuous, unsolicited, and posted publicly – tracking
events, new information, and changing concerns
But the program-relevant portions of these data are submerged in an
ocean of text, and if not captured in real-time they are lost
Requires a methodology for collecting, identifying, sorting and
analyzing social media
CES&S has developed a suite of tools that permit continuous
data collection of Twitter traffic for specific project purposes:
Severe weather; nuclear weapons; nuclear energy/waste;
drones/UAVs; electric grid failures (since 2012)
8
9. Analytical Uses of Twitter Data
Disaster reporting – such as NOAA’s post-tornado
assessments
Inclusive of text, graphics, video, other links
Tracking public perceptions, beliefs, and concerns
A continuous supplement to CES&S’ backbone survey series
Electrical outage reports, locations, effects
Supplement to grid sensors
Analysis of evolving social “narratives” associated with
technologies (e.g., nuclear energy) or events (e.g., Fukushima
nuclear event)
9
10. Conclusions
Major cross-section between technological solutions and
societal values and the implementation of those solutions
Physical scientists/engineers and social scientists working
together
OU-SNL shared vision over 30 years of collaboration of how to
approach this challenge led to the establishment of CES&S
Opportunities for CIESESE to collaborate with/leverage
CES&S?
10