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Universalisation of OA scientific dissemination
by
Éric Archambault, D.Phil.
CEO, Science-Metrix and 1science
CC BY 1science 2018 #weare1science
2CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Definitions – you said universalisation?
https://www.thefreedictionary.com/universal
3CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Universalisation is just one of the
required norms for an improved
research system
We need to embrace the
Mertonian norms
We need to step back to jump forward
4CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
communalism: all scientists should have common ownership
of scientific goods (intellectual property) to promote
collective collaboration; secrecy is the opposite of this norm
universalism: scientific validity is independent of the
sociopolitical status/personal attributes of its participants
disinterestedness: scientific institutions act for the benefit of
a common scientific enterprise, rather than for the personal
gain of individuals within them
organized scepticism: scientific claims should be exposed to
critical scrutiny before being accepted: both in methodology
and institutional codes of conduct
Definitions – the Mertonian norms
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mertonian_norms
5CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
6CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Q: We publish a journal specialised in Indo-Malaysian philology,
is this something that you are ready to index?
A: Sure, you’re welcome
Q: Our journal does not have metadata available in English, can
you index it?
A: Sure, you’re welcome
Q: We publish a journal in our biology department, we’re doing
a good job of controlling quality and checking articles for
accuracy, would you be interested in indexing it?
A: Sure, you’re welcome
Universalism: Questions & Answers
7CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Budapest Open Access Initiative (2002)
“The literature that should be freely accessible online is that which scholars give to
the world without expectation of payment. Primarily, this category encompasses
their peer-reviewed journal articles, but it also includes any unreviewed preprints
that they might wish to put online for comment or to alert colleagues to important
research findings. There are many degrees and kinds of wider and easier access to
this literature. By "open access" to this literature, we mean its free availability on
the public internet, permitting any users to read, download, copy, distribute, print,
search, or link to the full texts of these articles, crawl them for indexing, pass them
as data to software, or use them for any other lawful purpose, without financial,
legal, or technical barriers other than those inseparable from gaining access to the
internet itself. The only constraint on reproduction and distribution, and the only
role for copyright in this domain, should be to give authors control over the
integrity of their work and the right to be properly acknowledged and cited.”
Let’s come back to open access for a moment
8CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Peter Suber: Libre vs. Gratis OA
“I’ve decided to use the term “gratis OA” for the removal of price
barriers alone and “libre OA” for the removal of price and at least
some permission barriers. The new terms allow us to speak
unambiguously about these two species of free online access.”
http://sparcopen.org/our-work/gratis-and-libre-open-access/
Libre OA - Similar to BOAI, free of rights
Gratis OA - Similar to a subscription to
scholarly journals = right to download & read
Let’s build a bridge
9CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
The main idea behind gold is that publishers make papers available
(and often retain some rights)
IMPORTANTLY: The papers can be made directly available on the
publisher’s website (direct gold OA) or through a designated
intermediator (intermediated gold OA) (e.g. NIH PubMedCentral,
SciELO, institutional repositories in the case of university presses)
There are gold journals (“born gold”, fully & instantly OA), delayed
gold OA journals and gold papers published in subscription-based
journals (a.k.a. “hybrid journals”)
Gold OA can be free or paid for (Article Processing Charge – APC)
Definitions Gold & Green OA (1 – Gold)
Gold OA
10CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
The main idea behind green is that parties other than publishers
make papers available
Often seen as synonymous with self-archiving, but [scholarly
communication] librarians & institutional technical services also
important actors in archiving papers
Green has nothing to do with the version of the paper –
a pre-print, a post-print or a version of record could all be legally
archived by parties other than the publishers, subject to licensing
rights
[And in some cases publishers can make pre-prints of articles
available, and these would still be gold]
Definitions Gold & Green OA (2 – Green)
Green OA
11CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Blue, yellow, white, platinum, bronze, diamond: there is no
end to confusing colours that conflate complex dimensions
Qualifiers should be used to represent dimensions that
should not be conflated with who provides availability:
Time: IOA – Instant OA (born gold, preprint archiving)
DOA - Delayed OA (embargoes, moving paywalls)
D6OA – 6 months delayed OA (Embargoes, moving paywalls)
D12OA – 12 months delayed OA (Embargoes, moving paywalls)
…
Preservation issues: TOA - Transient OA
RESIST THE TEMPTATION TO ADD NEW COLOURS (1)
12CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Infringing copyright, copyleft: ROA - Rogue OA, Robin Hood OA
Licensing: copyrighted; public domain; creative common
licensing (CC BY); licensed to…; other licence types…
Versioning: Pre-print [& pre-peer-review];
post-print [or post-peer-reviewed author manuscript];
version of record [or publisher’s version]
-- largely antiquated terms from the pre-digital age,
in need of updating
Refereeing & peer-review bypass: POA - Predatory OA – a
concept that needs a more neutral label –
“Allegedly questionable” is the one we propose for now
RESIST THE TEMPTATION TO ADD NEW COLOURS (2)
13CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
1findr – from universal discovery to inclusive measures
y = 3E-32e0.0434x
R² = 0.9879
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
1findr,1861-2016
(June 2018 pipeline run)
Doublingperiod:
70/4.34=16-year
14CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
1findr – suggests accelerating acceleration
y = 3E-22e0.0315x
R² = 0.9937
y = 1E-34e0.0462x
R² = 0.9918
y = 3E-46e0.0596x
R² = 0.9941
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040
1findr, 1890-2015 (September pipeline run)
Doublingperiod:
70/3.15=22-year
Doublingperiod:
70/4.62=15-year
Doublingperiod:
70/5.96=12-year
15CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Journal articles indexing in 4 databases, 1900-2018
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Millionsofrecords
Percentage of OA
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Millionsofrecords
OA-linked journal articles
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Millionsofrecords
Indexed journal articles
16CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Percentage—OA articles/indexed articles
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Numberofrecords(millions)
Year
Articles indexed from scientific journals
1findr, Dimensions, Core + ESCI WoS, and Scopus, 1975–2018
1findr
Dimensions
Core + ESCI WoS
Scopus
17CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Percentage—OA articles/indexed articles
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
PercentageofrecordsthatareOAarticles
Year
Percentage of OA articles in scientific journals
1findr, Dimensions, Core + ESCI WoS, and Scopus, 1975–2018
% OA 1findr
% OA Dimensions
% OA Core + ESCI WoS
% OA Scopus
18CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Journal articles indexing WoS, Scopus, 1findr, per domain (1)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
WoS Scopus 1findr
Millionsofrecords
Natural Sciences
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
WoS Scopus 1findr
Millionsofrecords
Applied Sciences
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
WoS Scopus 1findr
Millionsofrecords
General
19CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
% of OA in SCI-E and in 1findr (applied, natural & health sciences)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
PercentageofrecordsthatareOAarticles
Year
Percentage of OA science and technology articles in scientific journals
1findr and SCI-E, 1975–2018
% OA SciTech in 1findr
% OA SCI-E
20CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Journal articles indexing WoS, Scopus, 1findr, per domain (2)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
WoS Scopus 1findr
Millionsofrecords
Health Sciences
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
WoS Scopus 1findr
Millionsofrecords
Economic & Social Sciences
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
WoS Scopus 1findr
Millionsofrecords
Arts & Humanities
21CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Number of records – social sciences
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Numberofrecords
Year
Social sciences articles from academic journals
1findr and SSCI, 1975–2018
Social sciences 1findr
SSCI
22CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Percentage of OA – social sciences
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
PercentageofrecordsthatareOAarticles
Year
Percentage of OA social sciences articles
1findr and SSCI, 1975–2018
% of OA social sciences in 1findr
% OA SSCI
23CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Denominator—indexed articles—arts & humanities
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Numberofrecords
Year
Number of arts & humanities articles indexed from academic journals
1findr & AHCI, 1975–2018
Art & Hum 1findr AHCI
24CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Numerator—OA articles—arts & humanities
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Numberofrecords
Year
OA arts & humanities articles indexed from academic journals
1findr and AHCI, 1975–2018
OA Art & Hum in 1findr
OA in AHCI
25CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Percentage—OA articles/indexed articles—social sciences
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
PercentageofrecordsthatareOAarticles
Year
Percentage of OA arts & humanities articles in academic journals
1findr & AHCI, 1975–2018
% OA Art & Hum in 1findr
% OA AHCI
26CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Diversification of the publishing market
y = 2E-26e0.0343x
R² = 0.992
y = 1E-37e0.0473x
R² = 0.9976
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Publishers
Number of active academic journals publishers,
1findr database, 1973-2013
CC BY 1science Inc. 2018
Doubling period:
70/3.43 = 20 years
Doubling period:
70/4.73 = 15 years
27CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Diversification of the publishing market
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
%ofworldpublishedarticlesinacademicjournals
Share of scientific paperspublished worldwide
by the big five publishers,1findr database, 1990-2015
Unfinalised data – do not draw conclusions too fast
28CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Incidence of type of country on OA/Non-OA journals
Number of journals in the CABI database
United Nations classification of countries by type
Type of country Subscription journals OA journals Per cent OA
Developed 3,819 1,781 32%
Transition & Developping 755 1,685 69%
Type of country Subscription journals OA journals Per cent OA
High-income 3,879 1,751 31%
Lower-Income 695 1,717 71%
29CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
SciELO needs to embrace the Mertonian norms
324 366
2395
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
WoS (AHCI, SSCI, SCI-E, ESCI) SciELO 1findr
Numberofindexedjournals
Number of Brazilian journals indexed per database
30CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Despite what was reported earlier (e.g. Archambault,
2014), newer evidence based on 1findr data suggests
there aren’t huge differences in OA availability
between domains
▪ OA in arts and humanities reaches 42% in 1findr
▪ OA in social sciences reaches 52%
▪ OA in science & technology reaches 45%
▪ Including delayed green & gold open access
(i.e. max always 18 to 24 in the past)
Conclusion
31CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Measuring OA in traditional databases is fraught
with danger
Coverage of SSH is insufficiently deep
Focus on established journals means emerging OA journals
less likely to be indexed
Focus on Western countries, English language & established
journals means that emerging scientific powers are not
adequately covered
Over-reliance on DOI & CrossRef creates biases as not used as
much in SSH, outside West, older articles & OA articles
Why such large differences
32CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
DOIs are recent, and not universally adopted
Scientific journal articles cannot, and
should not, be reduced to
Crossref, Medline & DOAJ
Deep data cave & open sky mining of articles in
excluded countries, languages & fields is
essential
Why such large differences
33CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Long life to the
SciELOs and Érudits of this world
and to OJS – one of the key actors in the
universalisation of the
scientific publishing market
BE YE FRUITFUL & MULTIPLY
34CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
Obrigado!

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Éric Archambault - Universalisation of OA scientific dissemination

  • 1. Universalisation of OA scientific dissemination by Éric Archambault, D.Phil. CEO, Science-Metrix and 1science CC BY 1science 2018 #weare1science
  • 2. 2CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Definitions – you said universalisation? https://www.thefreedictionary.com/universal
  • 3. 3CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Universalisation is just one of the required norms for an improved research system We need to embrace the Mertonian norms We need to step back to jump forward
  • 4. 4CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. communalism: all scientists should have common ownership of scientific goods (intellectual property) to promote collective collaboration; secrecy is the opposite of this norm universalism: scientific validity is independent of the sociopolitical status/personal attributes of its participants disinterestedness: scientific institutions act for the benefit of a common scientific enterprise, rather than for the personal gain of individuals within them organized scepticism: scientific claims should be exposed to critical scrutiny before being accepted: both in methodology and institutional codes of conduct Definitions – the Mertonian norms https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mertonian_norms
  • 5. 5CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice.
  • 6. 6CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Q: We publish a journal specialised in Indo-Malaysian philology, is this something that you are ready to index? A: Sure, you’re welcome Q: Our journal does not have metadata available in English, can you index it? A: Sure, you’re welcome Q: We publish a journal in our biology department, we’re doing a good job of controlling quality and checking articles for accuracy, would you be interested in indexing it? A: Sure, you’re welcome Universalism: Questions & Answers
  • 7. 7CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Budapest Open Access Initiative (2002) “The literature that should be freely accessible online is that which scholars give to the world without expectation of payment. Primarily, this category encompasses their peer-reviewed journal articles, but it also includes any unreviewed preprints that they might wish to put online for comment or to alert colleagues to important research findings. There are many degrees and kinds of wider and easier access to this literature. By "open access" to this literature, we mean its free availability on the public internet, permitting any users to read, download, copy, distribute, print, search, or link to the full texts of these articles, crawl them for indexing, pass them as data to software, or use them for any other lawful purpose, without financial, legal, or technical barriers other than those inseparable from gaining access to the internet itself. The only constraint on reproduction and distribution, and the only role for copyright in this domain, should be to give authors control over the integrity of their work and the right to be properly acknowledged and cited.” Let’s come back to open access for a moment
  • 8. 8CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Peter Suber: Libre vs. Gratis OA “I’ve decided to use the term “gratis OA” for the removal of price barriers alone and “libre OA” for the removal of price and at least some permission barriers. The new terms allow us to speak unambiguously about these two species of free online access.” http://sparcopen.org/our-work/gratis-and-libre-open-access/ Libre OA - Similar to BOAI, free of rights Gratis OA - Similar to a subscription to scholarly journals = right to download & read Let’s build a bridge
  • 9. 9CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. The main idea behind gold is that publishers make papers available (and often retain some rights) IMPORTANTLY: The papers can be made directly available on the publisher’s website (direct gold OA) or through a designated intermediator (intermediated gold OA) (e.g. NIH PubMedCentral, SciELO, institutional repositories in the case of university presses) There are gold journals (“born gold”, fully & instantly OA), delayed gold OA journals and gold papers published in subscription-based journals (a.k.a. “hybrid journals”) Gold OA can be free or paid for (Article Processing Charge – APC) Definitions Gold & Green OA (1 – Gold) Gold OA
  • 10. 10CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. The main idea behind green is that parties other than publishers make papers available Often seen as synonymous with self-archiving, but [scholarly communication] librarians & institutional technical services also important actors in archiving papers Green has nothing to do with the version of the paper – a pre-print, a post-print or a version of record could all be legally archived by parties other than the publishers, subject to licensing rights [And in some cases publishers can make pre-prints of articles available, and these would still be gold] Definitions Gold & Green OA (2 – Green) Green OA
  • 11. 11CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Blue, yellow, white, platinum, bronze, diamond: there is no end to confusing colours that conflate complex dimensions Qualifiers should be used to represent dimensions that should not be conflated with who provides availability: Time: IOA – Instant OA (born gold, preprint archiving) DOA - Delayed OA (embargoes, moving paywalls) D6OA – 6 months delayed OA (Embargoes, moving paywalls) D12OA – 12 months delayed OA (Embargoes, moving paywalls) … Preservation issues: TOA - Transient OA RESIST THE TEMPTATION TO ADD NEW COLOURS (1)
  • 12. 12CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Infringing copyright, copyleft: ROA - Rogue OA, Robin Hood OA Licensing: copyrighted; public domain; creative common licensing (CC BY); licensed to…; other licence types… Versioning: Pre-print [& pre-peer-review]; post-print [or post-peer-reviewed author manuscript]; version of record [or publisher’s version] -- largely antiquated terms from the pre-digital age, in need of updating Refereeing & peer-review bypass: POA - Predatory OA – a concept that needs a more neutral label – “Allegedly questionable” is the one we propose for now RESIST THE TEMPTATION TO ADD NEW COLOURS (2)
  • 13. 13CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. 1findr – from universal discovery to inclusive measures y = 3E-32e0.0434x R² = 0.9879 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 1findr,1861-2016 (June 2018 pipeline run) Doublingperiod: 70/4.34=16-year
  • 14. 14CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. 1findr – suggests accelerating acceleration y = 3E-22e0.0315x R² = 0.9937 y = 1E-34e0.0462x R² = 0.9918 y = 3E-46e0.0596x R² = 0.9941 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 1findr, 1890-2015 (September pipeline run) Doublingperiod: 70/3.15=22-year Doublingperiod: 70/4.62=15-year Doublingperiod: 70/5.96=12-year
  • 15. 15CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Journal articles indexing in 4 databases, 1900-2018 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Millionsofrecords Percentage of OA 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Millionsofrecords OA-linked journal articles 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Millionsofrecords Indexed journal articles
  • 16. 16CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Percentage—OA articles/indexed articles 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Numberofrecords(millions) Year Articles indexed from scientific journals 1findr, Dimensions, Core + ESCI WoS, and Scopus, 1975–2018 1findr Dimensions Core + ESCI WoS Scopus
  • 17. 17CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Percentage—OA articles/indexed articles 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 PercentageofrecordsthatareOAarticles Year Percentage of OA articles in scientific journals 1findr, Dimensions, Core + ESCI WoS, and Scopus, 1975–2018 % OA 1findr % OA Dimensions % OA Core + ESCI WoS % OA Scopus
  • 18. 18CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Journal articles indexing WoS, Scopus, 1findr, per domain (1) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 WoS Scopus 1findr Millionsofrecords Natural Sciences 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 WoS Scopus 1findr Millionsofrecords Applied Sciences 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 WoS Scopus 1findr Millionsofrecords General
  • 19. 19CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. % of OA in SCI-E and in 1findr (applied, natural & health sciences) 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 PercentageofrecordsthatareOAarticles Year Percentage of OA science and technology articles in scientific journals 1findr and SCI-E, 1975–2018 % OA SciTech in 1findr % OA SCI-E
  • 20. 20CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Journal articles indexing WoS, Scopus, 1findr, per domain (2) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 WoS Scopus 1findr Millionsofrecords Health Sciences 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 WoS Scopus 1findr Millionsofrecords Economic & Social Sciences 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 WoS Scopus 1findr Millionsofrecords Arts & Humanities
  • 21. 21CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Number of records – social sciences 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Numberofrecords Year Social sciences articles from academic journals 1findr and SSCI, 1975–2018 Social sciences 1findr SSCI
  • 22. 22CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Percentage of OA – social sciences 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 PercentageofrecordsthatareOAarticles Year Percentage of OA social sciences articles 1findr and SSCI, 1975–2018 % of OA social sciences in 1findr % OA SSCI
  • 23. 23CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Denominator—indexed articles—arts & humanities 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Numberofrecords Year Number of arts & humanities articles indexed from academic journals 1findr & AHCI, 1975–2018 Art & Hum 1findr AHCI
  • 24. 24CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Numerator—OA articles—arts & humanities 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Numberofrecords Year OA arts & humanities articles indexed from academic journals 1findr and AHCI, 1975–2018 OA Art & Hum in 1findr OA in AHCI
  • 25. 25CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Percentage—OA articles/indexed articles—social sciences 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 PercentageofrecordsthatareOAarticles Year Percentage of OA arts & humanities articles in academic journals 1findr & AHCI, 1975–2018 % OA Art & Hum in 1findr % OA AHCI
  • 26. 26CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Diversification of the publishing market y = 2E-26e0.0343x R² = 0.992 y = 1E-37e0.0473x R² = 0.9976 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Publishers Number of active academic journals publishers, 1findr database, 1973-2013 CC BY 1science Inc. 2018 Doubling period: 70/3.43 = 20 years Doubling period: 70/4.73 = 15 years
  • 27. 27CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Diversification of the publishing market 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 %ofworldpublishedarticlesinacademicjournals Share of scientific paperspublished worldwide by the big five publishers,1findr database, 1990-2015 Unfinalised data – do not draw conclusions too fast
  • 28. 28CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Incidence of type of country on OA/Non-OA journals Number of journals in the CABI database United Nations classification of countries by type Type of country Subscription journals OA journals Per cent OA Developed 3,819 1,781 32% Transition & Developping 755 1,685 69% Type of country Subscription journals OA journals Per cent OA High-income 3,879 1,751 31% Lower-Income 695 1,717 71%
  • 29. 29CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. SciELO needs to embrace the Mertonian norms 324 366 2395 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 WoS (AHCI, SSCI, SCI-E, ESCI) SciELO 1findr Numberofindexedjournals Number of Brazilian journals indexed per database
  • 30. 30CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Despite what was reported earlier (e.g. Archambault, 2014), newer evidence based on 1findr data suggests there aren’t huge differences in OA availability between domains ▪ OA in arts and humanities reaches 42% in 1findr ▪ OA in social sciences reaches 52% ▪ OA in science & technology reaches 45% ▪ Including delayed green & gold open access (i.e. max always 18 to 24 in the past) Conclusion
  • 31. 31CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Measuring OA in traditional databases is fraught with danger Coverage of SSH is insufficiently deep Focus on established journals means emerging OA journals less likely to be indexed Focus on Western countries, English language & established journals means that emerging scientific powers are not adequately covered Over-reliance on DOI & CrossRef creates biases as not used as much in SSH, outside West, older articles & OA articles Why such large differences
  • 32. 32CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. DOIs are recent, and not universally adopted Scientific journal articles cannot, and should not, be reduced to Crossref, Medline & DOAJ Deep data cave & open sky mining of articles in excluded countries, languages & fields is essential Why such large differences
  • 33. 33CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Long life to the SciELOs and Érudits of this world and to OJS – one of the key actors in the universalisation of the scientific publishing market BE YE FRUITFUL & MULTIPLY
  • 34. 34CC BY 1science 2018. This presentation is for educational use only and it contains work-in-progress, un-finalised data. Use at your own risk; consume in moderation, preferably with a soothing beverage of your choice. Obrigado!