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Brian Luckman University of Western Ontario
Dave Meko University of Arizona
Erik Nielsen Manitoba Geological Survey
Brazil
Russia
Canada
USA
China
India
Columbia
Peru
Zaire
0 2,000 4,000 6,000
Source: Shiklomanov and Rodda, 2003
km3/y
Canada
Renewable water resources, by country
Photo: Haley Ca on
Photo: Manitoba Hydro
Tree-ring display at elementary school
Photograph:Tom Swetnam
Martin-Philippe Girardin
Canadian Forest Service
Greg Pederson
United States Geological Survey
Erik Nielsen
Manitoba Geological Survey
Emma Watson
Environment Canada
Glen MacDonald
UCLA
David Sauchyn
University of Regina
Jacques Tardif
University of Winnipeg
part one
Tree rings on the northern Plains
White pine 1714
Photo: Danny Margoles
White cedar 1452
Photo: Greg Brooks
2008
1875
Photo: Erik Nielsen
Fort Dufferin 1873
Photo: Erik Nielsen
Photo: Erik Nielsen
‘Rat River’ House 1859
29
Photo: Erik Nielsen
Photo: Erik Nielsen
31
Prairie tree-ring network
part two
Prairie trees, Prairie drought
water stress
water stress
reduced photosynthesis
water stress
less cell expansion
reduced photosynthesis
water stress
reduced cell division
less cell expansion
reduced photosynthesis
water stress
reduced cell division
less cell expansion
reduced photosynthesisnarrow ring
Palmer Drought Severity Index
40
Calgary
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Year (A.D.)
-10
-5
0
5
10
PDSI
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
PDSI Ringwidth
drought-sensitive tree-ring records Eastern Canadian Rockies
St. George et al., (2009), Journal of Climate
St. George et al., (2010), The Holocene
part three
Prairie droughts
Calgary
114o
W
108o
W 102o
W
96oW
90
o W
48o
N
50o
N
52o
N
54o
N
56o
N
58o
N
−2 −1 0 1 2
0 +2-2
Ringwidth anomaly
(deviations)
1718 - 1722
Source: St. George et al., 2009
Above average Below average
1842 to 1876
Source: St. George et al., 2009
Winnipeg
1100 1300 1500 1700 1900
Year (AD)
-4
-2
0
2
4
Pollen-inferred
effective moisture (cm)
St. Jacques et al., Quaternary Science Reviews, 2008
Lake Mina, Minnesota
Photo: Erik Nielsen
MEGADROUGHT
characteristics of Prairie tree rings
Primarily tuned to summer drought
Exhibit low spatial coherence
Have modest connections to remote
forcings
✔
✔
✔
Drought severity over the Northern Plains
during 1932 – 1939 was likely triggered
instead by random atmospheric variability.”
“
Hoerling et al., Geophysical Research Le ers, 2009
Photo: Calvin Ferris
Photo: Chris Crawford
Photo: Danny Margoles
Photo: Lane Johnson
I N T R O D U C T I O N TO D E N D R O C H R O N O LO GY
Tree rings as climate proxies on the northern Plains

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