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The Science of 

Growth
Why some
companies
scale
while others
stall
in the same
market?
Sean Ammirati @SeanAmmirati 

Partner, Birchmere Ventures

Adjunct Faculty, Carnegie Mellon University SeanAmmirati.com
Most startup
advice today
Product
Market
Fit =
“being in a good
market with a product
that can satisfy that
market”
- Marc Andreessen
Makes sense as you
can’t scale until
product market fit
http://blog.startupcompass.co/pages/startup-genome-report-extra-on-premature-scal
Prematurely
Scaling
=
Failure
However, once you
have product market fit
not as simple as:
“hire a growth hacker”
not a new
reality ...
Everything is either
Growing
Dying
or
The Best
Technology
Rarely Wins
#VCcliche
#clicheForAReason
What are the 

best practices for
growth?
Partnered with my graduate students
from Carnegie Mellon to look at …
Pairs of
Companies
Achieved product-market fit at
roughly the same time
Yet one scaled while the other
didn’t
Primarily (but intentionally not
exclusively) internet companies
Reinforced with five exemplar
examples
Only used to reinforce best
practices identified in the pairs
of companies analyzed
… Plus
There is a scientific
method to growth
Conclusion:
Combination of
Techniques
An Excellent First Interaction
Viral Growth
Catalyzing Events After Initial Launch
Complementary Team Skills
Partnerships & Platform Thinking
Financing Strategies
Being Data Informed (but not Driven)
No Single
Recipe for
Success
but ...
How customers perceive
the product the first time
they touch it has a huge
impact on it’s ultimate
scale.
Create Constraints to Ensure
a Great First Experience
Focus on Implications from
Product ArchitectureChoices
An Excellent
First Interaction
Viral Growth
Catalyzing Events After 

Initial Launch
Complementary Team Skills
Partnerships & Platform 

Thinking
Financing Strategies
Being Data Informed
Amplify growth by
leveraging customers to
recruit additional
customers.
Build recruiting additional
customers into product workflow
Look for existing social
connections to refer additional
customers
An Excellent First
Interaction
Viral Growth
Catalyzing Events After 

Initial Launch
Complementary Team Skills
Partnerships & Platform 

Thinking
Financing Strategies
Being Data Informed
An Excellent First
Interaction
Viral Growth
Catalyzing Events
After Initial
Launch
Complementary Team Skills
Partnerships & Platform 

Thinking
Financing Strategies
Being Data Informed
“we didn't actually launch Twitter at
SXSW -- SXSW just chose to blow
it up. We launched it nine months
before -- to a whimper.”
Evan Williams, Founder
An Excellent First
Interaction
Viral Growth
Catalyzing Events After
Initial Launch
Complementary
Team Skills
Partnerships & Platform 

Thinking
Financing Strategies
Being Data Informed
“No matter how brilliant your mind
or strategy, if you’re playing a solo
game, you’ll always lose out to a
team.”
Reid Hoffman,
Co-Founder & Chairman 

An Excellent First
Interaction
Viral Growth
Catalyzing Events After
Initial Launch
Complementary Team Skills
Partnership &
Platform Thinking
Financing Strategies
Being Data Informed
Where are there engaged
groups of customers
looking for a solution to
the problem your product
solves?
An Excellent First
Interaction
Viral Growth
Catalyzing Events After
Initial Launch
Complementary Team Skills
Partnership & Platform
Thinking
Financing
Strategies
Being Data Informed
While it has gotten
cheaper to test and build
a first version, it still takes
capital to scale.
$100 M
$200 M
$300 M
$400 M
Seed 

'04
Series A 

'05
Series B 

'06
Series C 

'07
$375.0
$27.5$12.7$0.5
An Excellent First
Interaction
Viral Growth
Catalyzing Events After
Initial Launch
Complementary Team Skills
Partnership & Platform
Thinking
Financing Strategies
Being Data
Informed
Vision
Driven
Data
Driven
DATA
INFORMED
Adam Mosseri, Product
“ We use data to inform certain
decisions … [but] overreacting to
data can lead to micro optimizations.”
“Data is the voice of your customer”
Riley Newman, Head Data Science
THANK YOU
@SEANAMMIRATI

SEANAMMIRATI.COM
Slide 10: https://www.flickr.com/photos/vkpatel/5685826217/
Slide 22: https://www.flickr.com/photos/zoramite/3993280685/

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The Science of Growth

  • 1. The Science of 
 Growth Why some companies scale while others stall in the same market? Sean Ammirati @SeanAmmirati 
 Partner, Birchmere Ventures
 Adjunct Faculty, Carnegie Mellon University SeanAmmirati.com
  • 3. Product Market Fit = “being in a good market with a product that can satisfy that market” - Marc Andreessen
  • 4. Makes sense as you can’t scale until product market fit
  • 6. However, once you have product market fit not as simple as: “hire a growth hacker”
  • 10. What are the 
 best practices for growth?
  • 11. Partnered with my graduate students from Carnegie Mellon to look at …
  • 12. Pairs of Companies Achieved product-market fit at roughly the same time Yet one scaled while the other didn’t Primarily (but intentionally not exclusively) internet companies
  • 13. Reinforced with five exemplar examples Only used to reinforce best practices identified in the pairs of companies analyzed … Plus
  • 14. There is a scientific method to growth Conclusion:
  • 15. Combination of Techniques An Excellent First Interaction Viral Growth Catalyzing Events After Initial Launch Complementary Team Skills Partnerships & Platform Thinking Financing Strategies Being Data Informed (but not Driven) No Single Recipe for Success but ...
  • 16. How customers perceive the product the first time they touch it has a huge impact on it’s ultimate scale. Create Constraints to Ensure a Great First Experience Focus on Implications from Product ArchitectureChoices An Excellent First Interaction Viral Growth Catalyzing Events After 
 Initial Launch Complementary Team Skills Partnerships & Platform 
 Thinking Financing Strategies Being Data Informed
  • 17. Amplify growth by leveraging customers to recruit additional customers. Build recruiting additional customers into product workflow Look for existing social connections to refer additional customers An Excellent First Interaction Viral Growth Catalyzing Events After 
 Initial Launch Complementary Team Skills Partnerships & Platform 
 Thinking Financing Strategies Being Data Informed
  • 18. An Excellent First Interaction Viral Growth Catalyzing Events After Initial Launch Complementary Team Skills Partnerships & Platform 
 Thinking Financing Strategies Being Data Informed “we didn't actually launch Twitter at SXSW -- SXSW just chose to blow it up. We launched it nine months before -- to a whimper.” Evan Williams, Founder
  • 19. An Excellent First Interaction Viral Growth Catalyzing Events After Initial Launch Complementary Team Skills Partnerships & Platform 
 Thinking Financing Strategies Being Data Informed “No matter how brilliant your mind or strategy, if you’re playing a solo game, you’ll always lose out to a team.” Reid Hoffman, Co-Founder & Chairman 

  • 20. An Excellent First Interaction Viral Growth Catalyzing Events After Initial Launch Complementary Team Skills Partnership & Platform Thinking Financing Strategies Being Data Informed Where are there engaged groups of customers looking for a solution to the problem your product solves?
  • 21. An Excellent First Interaction Viral Growth Catalyzing Events After Initial Launch Complementary Team Skills Partnership & Platform Thinking Financing Strategies Being Data Informed While it has gotten cheaper to test and build a first version, it still takes capital to scale. $100 M $200 M $300 M $400 M Seed 
 '04 Series A 
 '05 Series B 
 '06 Series C 
 '07 $375.0 $27.5$12.7$0.5
  • 22. An Excellent First Interaction Viral Growth Catalyzing Events After Initial Launch Complementary Team Skills Partnership & Platform Thinking Financing Strategies Being Data Informed Vision Driven Data Driven DATA INFORMED Adam Mosseri, Product “ We use data to inform certain decisions … [but] overreacting to data can lead to micro optimizations.” “Data is the voice of your customer” Riley Newman, Head Data Science
  • 24. Slide 10: https://www.flickr.com/photos/vkpatel/5685826217/ Slide 22: https://www.flickr.com/photos/zoramite/3993280685/