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The Science of Messaging
1
Dr Yan Qu
VP Data Science, ShareThis
February 12, 2015
Outline
• ShareThis business
• Data science initiatives at ShareThis
• Case study on science of messaging
3
120 SOCIAL CHANNELS
95% OF ONLINE AUDIENCE
ShareThis Sharing Solutions
ShareThis is the largest sharing platform
reaching 211 million people over 120 social
channels on 2.8 MM sites. That’s 95% of the web!
2.8MM PUBLISHERS
YOUR AD
We power sharing on 2.8 MM websites and see over 1.4B social interactions per month like this:
AUDIENCE IDENTIFICATION DELIVERY
HOW SHARETHIS WORKS
4
Jessica reads an article
about budget bedroom
ideas & decides to share it
to her Facebook page
using the ShareThis widget!
This is Jessica!
She’s busy chatting and
browsing the web…
ShareThis observes the share
and can then target Jessica
and her friends with
advertising messages tailored
to their interests
All social actions are then cataloged and segmented to build out
custom audience profiles based on social sharing behaviors.
YOU
R AD
ShareThis Enhanced Data Capabilities
5
ShareThis Social Data
Social
Actions
(Click,
Share,
Search)
Social Channel
Breakdown
Geograp
hy
Offline Data
Offline
Purchase
Data
Household
Income
Demographic
Information
Comprehensive Insights
Utilizing the ShareThis network of over 2.8 million sites, each page annotated with
keywords, categories and sentiments, advertisers can leverage ST proprietary
social & 3rd party demographic data to better understand consumers social
behaviors (share, click, search) and insights into their offline habits and
demographic profile (age, HHI, gender)
Social insights
Social insights
Social insights
ShareThis knowledge center
13%
MOBILE
10
USER ONLINE LIFE IS FRAGMENTED
ACROSS DEVICES
Relative Time Spent On Various Devices
Source: Google Study 2013
11
A MULTI-DEVICE SOLUTION
PERPETUATES FRAGMENTATION
SEGMENTING AUDIENCES
BY DEVICE
DELIVERING DISJOINTED
MESSAGES
NOT LEVERAGING
OPTIMIZATION OPTIONS
VIA DEVICE OR VERTICAL
12
SHARETHIS’ TRUE CROSS DEVICE TARGETING
Provides Advertisers With A Unified View Of The User Leveraging Its Proven
Social Solutions And The New ShareThis Id
Analyzing over 1B social signals and
3rd party data, ShareThis developed
the ShareThis ID to provide
advertisers with a UNIFIED VIEW of
users across PC, tablet and mobile.
The ShareThis ID identifies your
audience segment on any device.
SOCIAL
INTEREST:
Sports, Auto
& Tech
PURCHASED
A 2010 Prius
MALE
18-35
LIVES
In San
Francisco
UNIFIED VIEW
13
Modeling and Prediction
USER-CENTRIC
Deliver Ads at the optimal
times
BETTER
PERFORMANCE
Leverage optimization
opportunities
OPTIMAL TIME
Target Users Who Likely
Convert
DON’T WASTE IMP.
14
LIVE TEST ON INSURANCE CAMPAIGN
TESTED FOR TWO MONTHS AND MEASURED THE PERFORMANCE BY DFA.
The CPA test for the Insurance campaign showed 58% improvement on eCPA and 57% on
conversion rate (CVR).
57%
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
24-Aug
25-Aug
26-Aug
27-Aug
28-Aug
29-Aug
30-Aug
31-Aug
1-Sep
2-Sep
3-Sep
4-Sep
5-Sep
6-Sep
7-Sep
8-Sep
9-Sep
10-Sep
11-Sep
12-Sep
13-Sep
14-Sep
15-Sep
16-Sep
17-Sep
18-Sep
19-Sep
20-Sep
21-Sep
22-Sep
23-Sep
24-Sep
25-Sep
26-Sep
27-Sep
28-Sep
15
iPhone & “Bendgate” Activity
Phone Category in the last 35 days was greatly impacted by the recent iPhone 6 release, and
the most social activity within this time period pertained to “Bendgate” on 9/25
25 MM SOCIAL
ACTIONS
16 MM UNIQUE
USERS
620K SOCIAL
ACTIONS/DAY
Real Time Conversations on iPone (Last 30+ Days)
Announcement
Speculation
iPhone 6s
Announcement
iPhone 6 Release
and product reviews
“Bendgate” activity
AD
16
SHARETHIS REAL-TIME ACTIVATION
:
:
:
:
iIphone 6 Review
I’m in the market for an new
Phone. . Any thoughts on the
iPhone 6?
Hurricane
Earthquake
Zombie
Apocalypse
ARTICLE CONSUMPTION
ARTICLE SHARE
MESSAGE DELIVERY
Questions for Real Time Marketing
• What message is trending?
• What is the velocity of the message?
• How to predict the message consumption
volume at a given time?
• What is the expected life time value of the
message?
Data
• 31 days of ShareThis event logs
• 11m unique URLs
• 27 categories
– Auto, Health, Food/Drink, Games, Entertainment,
etc.
The Shape of a Message
Message Pattern 1 by Day
Message Pattern 2 by Day
Message Pattern 3 by Day
Parameters for Message Life
life span
Time 2 peak
Half life
Parameters for Message Shape
• Speed of the message
– Time to peak
– Message half-life
• Size of the message
– Peak volume
– Volume at given time point
• Life time span
URL life span
20% of URLs
live for 1 day
URL time to peak volume
~60% of URLs
Reach peak volume
within 1 day
~80% of URLs
reach peak volume
within 11 day
URL half life
~40% of URLs
reach half life
within 1 day
~80% of URLs
reach half life
within 14 day
URL volume over 30 days
82% of URLs have
<= 100 page views
15% of URLs have
<= 1,000 page views
Family
Tv & video
Music & audio
Business
Crime_&_justice
Vertical differences
life span
Time 2 peak
Half life
Compared to the network network
• Among top 5 categories with the most URLs
• Each URL generates the least PVs – 80% less
• Fewer URLs live more than 14 days - 33% fewer
• Fewer URLs have 100+ PVs over 30 days - 55% fewer
The Most Ephemeral
Pets
Compare with the network average
• Among top 5 categories with the most URLs
• Each URL generates less PVs – 34% less
• Fewer URLs live more than 14 days - 46% fewer
• Fewer URLs have 100+ PVs over 30 days - 38% fewer
The Most Ephemeral
Runner Up
Law, Crime & Gov
Compared with the network average
• Less than 1% URLs
• Each URL generates the most PVs – 88% more
• More URLs live more than 14 days – 46% more
• More URLs have 100+ PVs over 30 days - 25% more
The Most Sticky
Games
Compared with the network average
• Less than 4% URLs
• Each URL generates the most PVs – 97% more
• More URLs live more than 14 days – 39% more
• More URLs have 100+ PVs over 30 days - 19% more
The Most Sticky
Runner Up
Food & Drink
Summary
• Monitoring real time conversations requires understanding of
message consumption.
– Most messages have a short life span
– Different verticals have different decay rates
• Implications for publishers
– Generate messages continuously
– Produce message at the speed of the vertical
– Recommend content based on velocity
• Implications for brands
– Conversation capture in real-time
– Continuous conversation monitoring
– Continuous message generation
Next steps
• Identify trending conversations based on
shapes of messages
• Predict expected volume of a message at any
given time
• Leverage social media to spread message
We’re Hiring!
THANK YOU!
Yan Qu| yqu@sharethis.com
36

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DataScienceInnovation_ShareThis

  • 1. The Science of Messaging 1 Dr Yan Qu VP Data Science, ShareThis February 12, 2015
  • 2. Outline • ShareThis business • Data science initiatives at ShareThis • Case study on science of messaging
  • 3. 3 120 SOCIAL CHANNELS 95% OF ONLINE AUDIENCE ShareThis Sharing Solutions ShareThis is the largest sharing platform reaching 211 million people over 120 social channels on 2.8 MM sites. That’s 95% of the web! 2.8MM PUBLISHERS
  • 4. YOUR AD We power sharing on 2.8 MM websites and see over 1.4B social interactions per month like this: AUDIENCE IDENTIFICATION DELIVERY HOW SHARETHIS WORKS 4 Jessica reads an article about budget bedroom ideas & decides to share it to her Facebook page using the ShareThis widget! This is Jessica! She’s busy chatting and browsing the web… ShareThis observes the share and can then target Jessica and her friends with advertising messages tailored to their interests All social actions are then cataloged and segmented to build out custom audience profiles based on social sharing behaviors. YOU R AD
  • 5. ShareThis Enhanced Data Capabilities 5 ShareThis Social Data Social Actions (Click, Share, Search) Social Channel Breakdown Geograp hy Offline Data Offline Purchase Data Household Income Demographic Information Comprehensive Insights Utilizing the ShareThis network of over 2.8 million sites, each page annotated with keywords, categories and sentiments, advertisers can leverage ST proprietary social & 3rd party demographic data to better understand consumers social behaviors (share, click, search) and insights into their offline habits and demographic profile (age, HHI, gender)
  • 10. 13% MOBILE 10 USER ONLINE LIFE IS FRAGMENTED ACROSS DEVICES Relative Time Spent On Various Devices Source: Google Study 2013
  • 11. 11 A MULTI-DEVICE SOLUTION PERPETUATES FRAGMENTATION SEGMENTING AUDIENCES BY DEVICE DELIVERING DISJOINTED MESSAGES NOT LEVERAGING OPTIMIZATION OPTIONS VIA DEVICE OR VERTICAL
  • 12. 12 SHARETHIS’ TRUE CROSS DEVICE TARGETING Provides Advertisers With A Unified View Of The User Leveraging Its Proven Social Solutions And The New ShareThis Id Analyzing over 1B social signals and 3rd party data, ShareThis developed the ShareThis ID to provide advertisers with a UNIFIED VIEW of users across PC, tablet and mobile. The ShareThis ID identifies your audience segment on any device. SOCIAL INTEREST: Sports, Auto & Tech PURCHASED A 2010 Prius MALE 18-35 LIVES In San Francisco UNIFIED VIEW
  • 13. 13 Modeling and Prediction USER-CENTRIC Deliver Ads at the optimal times BETTER PERFORMANCE Leverage optimization opportunities OPTIMAL TIME Target Users Who Likely Convert DON’T WASTE IMP.
  • 14. 14 LIVE TEST ON INSURANCE CAMPAIGN TESTED FOR TWO MONTHS AND MEASURED THE PERFORMANCE BY DFA. The CPA test for the Insurance campaign showed 58% improvement on eCPA and 57% on conversion rate (CVR). 57%
  • 15. 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000 24-Aug 25-Aug 26-Aug 27-Aug 28-Aug 29-Aug 30-Aug 31-Aug 1-Sep 2-Sep 3-Sep 4-Sep 5-Sep 6-Sep 7-Sep 8-Sep 9-Sep 10-Sep 11-Sep 12-Sep 13-Sep 14-Sep 15-Sep 16-Sep 17-Sep 18-Sep 19-Sep 20-Sep 21-Sep 22-Sep 23-Sep 24-Sep 25-Sep 26-Sep 27-Sep 28-Sep 15 iPhone & “Bendgate” Activity Phone Category in the last 35 days was greatly impacted by the recent iPhone 6 release, and the most social activity within this time period pertained to “Bendgate” on 9/25 25 MM SOCIAL ACTIONS 16 MM UNIQUE USERS 620K SOCIAL ACTIONS/DAY Real Time Conversations on iPone (Last 30+ Days) Announcement Speculation iPhone 6s Announcement iPhone 6 Release and product reviews “Bendgate” activity
  • 16. AD 16 SHARETHIS REAL-TIME ACTIVATION : : : : iIphone 6 Review I’m in the market for an new Phone. . Any thoughts on the iPhone 6? Hurricane Earthquake Zombie Apocalypse ARTICLE CONSUMPTION ARTICLE SHARE MESSAGE DELIVERY
  • 17. Questions for Real Time Marketing • What message is trending? • What is the velocity of the message? • How to predict the message consumption volume at a given time? • What is the expected life time value of the message?
  • 18. Data • 31 days of ShareThis event logs • 11m unique URLs • 27 categories – Auto, Health, Food/Drink, Games, Entertainment, etc.
  • 19. The Shape of a Message
  • 23. Parameters for Message Life life span Time 2 peak Half life
  • 24. Parameters for Message Shape • Speed of the message – Time to peak – Message half-life • Size of the message – Peak volume – Volume at given time point • Life time span
  • 25. URL life span 20% of URLs live for 1 day
  • 26. URL time to peak volume ~60% of URLs Reach peak volume within 1 day ~80% of URLs reach peak volume within 11 day
  • 27. URL half life ~40% of URLs reach half life within 1 day ~80% of URLs reach half life within 14 day
  • 28. URL volume over 30 days 82% of URLs have <= 100 page views 15% of URLs have <= 1,000 page views Family Tv & video Music & audio Business Crime_&_justice
  • 30. Compared to the network network • Among top 5 categories with the most URLs • Each URL generates the least PVs – 80% less • Fewer URLs live more than 14 days - 33% fewer • Fewer URLs have 100+ PVs over 30 days - 55% fewer The Most Ephemeral Pets
  • 31. Compare with the network average • Among top 5 categories with the most URLs • Each URL generates less PVs – 34% less • Fewer URLs live more than 14 days - 46% fewer • Fewer URLs have 100+ PVs over 30 days - 38% fewer The Most Ephemeral Runner Up Law, Crime & Gov
  • 32. Compared with the network average • Less than 1% URLs • Each URL generates the most PVs – 88% more • More URLs live more than 14 days – 46% more • More URLs have 100+ PVs over 30 days - 25% more The Most Sticky Games
  • 33. Compared with the network average • Less than 4% URLs • Each URL generates the most PVs – 97% more • More URLs live more than 14 days – 39% more • More URLs have 100+ PVs over 30 days - 19% more The Most Sticky Runner Up Food & Drink
  • 34. Summary • Monitoring real time conversations requires understanding of message consumption. – Most messages have a short life span – Different verticals have different decay rates • Implications for publishers – Generate messages continuously – Produce message at the speed of the vertical – Recommend content based on velocity • Implications for brands – Conversation capture in real-time – Continuous conversation monitoring – Continuous message generation
  • 35. Next steps • Identify trending conversations based on shapes of messages • Predict expected volume of a message at any given time • Leverage social media to spread message
  • 36. We’re Hiring! THANK YOU! Yan Qu| yqu@sharethis.com 36

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Use of keywords for pulling out insights