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Machine Learning for Stock Selection Robert J. Yan Charles X. Ling University of Western Ontario, Canada {jyan, cling}@csd.uwo.ca
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Stock Selection Task ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Predictor 1 Predictor 2 Predictor 3 Goal Stock ID Return of week  t -1 Return of week  t -2 Volume ratio of  t -2/ t -1 Return of  week  t
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Prototype Ranking ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 1: Finding Prototypes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],prototypes prototype  neighborhood samples
Analysis??? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 2: Predicting Test Data ,[object Object],[object Object]
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Testing PR ,[object Object],[object Object]
Results of Experiment 1 Average Return (1978-2004) Risk (std) (1978-2004)
Experiment 2: Comparison to Cooper’s method ,[object Object],[object Object]
Results of Experiment 2  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Results Portfolio Performance 1978-1993 1994-2004 PR CP PR CP 10-stock Ave. Return (%) 1.69 0.89 1.37 0.81 STD (%) 3.30 2.80 6.20 5.10 Sharpe Ratio 0.51 0.32 0.22 0.16 20-stock Ave. Return (%) 1.35 0.80 1.32 0.81 STD (%) 2.60 2.10 5.10 4.30 Sharpe Ratio 0.52 0.38 0.26 0.19 30-stock Ave. Return (%) 1.14 0.67 1.16 0.77 STD (%) 2.20 1.80 4.60 3.50 Sharpe Ratio 0.52 0.37 0.27 0.22
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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slide->title; ?>

  • 1. Machine Learning for Stock Selection Robert J. Yan Charles X. Ling University of Western Ontario, Canada {jyan, cling}@csd.uwo.ca
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  • 16. Results of Experiment 1 Average Return (1978-2004) Risk (std) (1978-2004)
  • 17.
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  • 19. Results Portfolio Performance 1978-1993 1994-2004 PR CP PR CP 10-stock Ave. Return (%) 1.69 0.89 1.37 0.81 STD (%) 3.30 2.80 6.20 5.10 Sharpe Ratio 0.51 0.32 0.22 0.16 20-stock Ave. Return (%) 1.35 0.80 1.32 0.81 STD (%) 2.60 2.10 5.10 4.30 Sharpe Ratio 0.52 0.38 0.26 0.19 30-stock Ave. Return (%) 1.14 0.67 1.16 0.77 STD (%) 2.20 1.80 4.60 3.50 Sharpe Ratio 0.52 0.37 0.27 0.22
  • 20.
  • 21.