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Similaire à Low cvp+infrastructure+roadmap liquid+fuels+report (20)
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Low cvp+infrastructure+roadmap liquid+fuels+report
- 5. 5
Background-a‘TransportInfrastructureroadmap’isneededto
complementexistingvehicleandfuelroadmaps
Source:AutoCouncilandLowCVP
Vehicleroadmaps
Transportfuelroadmaps
Source:AutoCouncilandElementEnergyfortheLowCVP
Inthecontextoftheexpectedtransitiontolowercarbonpowertrains
andfuels,theAutoCouncilvehicleroadmapshaveproventobea
usefultooltofocusresearch,fundingandpolicy,bringingintoone
placetheindustry’sviewsonfuturetechnologyoptions,deployment
stepsandcorrespondingpolicydrivers.
Tocomplementthesepowertraintechnologiesroadmaps,the
LowCVPcommissionedaRoadTransportFuelsRoadmapin2013-14,
whichalsoprovedsuccessfulinbringingclaritytothefueloptions
availableandmappingtheenablingmilestones.
ThisInfrastructureroadmapisthe‘missingpiece’thatwillsupport
newpowertrainsandnewfuels.Thisroadmapisallthemore
necessaryastheneedsandbarriersfordeploymentofelectric,
hydrogenandgasrefuellingstationsdiffersignificantlyand
refuelling/recharginginfrastructureisakeyenablerforlowemission
vehicles.
TheobjectivesoftheInfrastructureRoadmapareto:
−Assesstheinfrastructureneedsandbarriersfordeploymentof
electric,hydrogenandgasrefuellingstationsto2050,including
impactonupstreamdistribution,aswellastoconsider
‘conventional’liquidfuels
−Makerecommendationsfordeliveryofinfrastructure
deployment,bothatnationalandlocalgovernmentlevel.
Source:ElementEnergy
- 6. 6
TheInfrastructureRoadmapcoversprivateandpublicinfrastructure,
forallmainroadvehiclesandbothcurrentandfuturefuels
Depotbasedrefuellingforfleetoperatorsandreturntobase
operators
Homerechargingforprivateand(some)commercialvehicles
Publicforecourtrefuelling/recharging
Refuellinginfrastructuretypes
Fuels/energyvectorsconsidered
Zerotailpipeemissionfuels:electricityandhydrogen
‘Conventional’liquidfuels:gasoline(E5toE20,inlinewith
theTransportFuelsRoadmap),diesel,LPG/bio-propane
Methane:CompressedNaturalGas(CNG),LiquefiedNG(LNG)
andbiomethane
Niche/futurefuels:methanol,liquidairandahighbioethanol
blend(E85)
TheUK’slegallybindingtargettoreducetotalGHGemissionsbyatleast80%(relativeto1990levels)by2050,
andtransportcontributestoc.25%ofUKtotalGHGemissions;
EUlevelregulations(gCO2/km,AirQualitytargetsandEUROspec),Directives(RenewableEnergy,FuelQuality,
CleanPowerforTransport)andTransportWhitePaper
Driversforchangeinthetransportenergysystem
Vehicletypes
Source:ElementEnergy
- 7. 7
ThedevelopmentoftheInfrastructureRoadmapbenefittedfrominput
fromawiderangeofstakeholders,manyconsultedthroughworkshops
Developuptakescenarios
for%salesofelectricand
ICEvehicles
InputintoElementEnergy
fleetmodel
Outputnumbersof
vehiclesinthefleetand
MJusedperenergyvector
ICEvehicles:diesel,petrol,LPG,gasvehicles
Electricvehicles:Battery(BEV),Plug-inHybrid(PHEV),
Range-Extended(RE-EV)andhydrogenfuelcell(FCEV)
Niche/futurefuelsconsidered:E85,methanol,liquidair
PrepareInfrastructure
Roadmap
Reviewexistingliterature
onrefuellingand
upstreaminfrastructure
Industryconsultation
withLowCVPFuels
workinggroup
ReviewbySteering
Committee
Preparedraftreport
Completefinalreport
Hoststakeholder
workshops
Fourdedicatedfuelworkshopswereconducted
Workshopthemes:electricity,liquidfuels,methane,hydrogen
38attendeesincluded:Infrastructuremanufacturers,installers,
operators,DNOs,energycompanies,fuelsuppliers,OEM/vehicle
suppliers,endusers,localgovernment/regulator
Reportpreparation
Externalinput
Source:ElementEnergy
vkt:vehiclekmtravelled
Seefullreportsfor
furtherdetailsoffuel
uptakescenarios
Scrappagerate,stockandmileageinputsbasedonDfTdata/projections:c.40%increaseinstockand
vktby2050(39millionvehicles,740billionvkt);VehicleefficiencybasedonCommitteeonClimate
Changemodelling
- 11. 11
Public
forecourts
TheextensivenationalinfrastructuresupportingtheUK’sliquid
transportfueldemandcanbedividedintothreestreams
Crudeoil
refineries
Coastalrefinedoil
importterminals
Distribution
51%viapipeline
15%viarail
34%bysea
CrudeoilRefinedproducts
e.g.petrol,diesel,biofuel
InlandterminalsLong-termstorage
Bioethanolblending
Private
depots
Distribution
>95%viaroad
<5%viapipeline
UpstreamMidstreamDownstream
10million
tonnes/year
30million
tonnes/year
Totaldelivered
petroleumin
2011:
Relative%
shareof
consumption:
Total:c.50
Total:20-30Total:6
19992002200520082011
Petrol
Diesel
Source:DUKES(2014),DECC(2014),UKPIA(2015),RicardoAEA(2011)
Mt=milliontonnes
Non-transport
demand
2011:
50%diesel,
50%petrol
2011:
>95%diesel,
<5%petrol
Includesdomesticheating
c.4Mt/year),feedstockfor
chemicalplants(3-4Mt),
lubricatingoilsandgrease(0.5
Mt)andothernon-energy
productsincludingbitumen,
whitespirtandcoke(c.2Mt)
Over70%oftotal
inlandpetroleum
deliveriesarefor
transportdemand
20112005199920022008
- 13. 13
Generally,FAMEisblendedatrefineriesandimportterminalsand
ethanolblendedatdistributionterminalracks
1DECCRTFOBiofuelStatistics(2014).Sources:Ecofys(2013),ElementEnergy(2014)
FAME=fattyacidmethylesters,UCO=usedcookingoil
CommercialbiofuelproductionplantsUKbiofuelproductionandconsumptioncapacity
TheUKhasc.20dedicatedbiofuelproductionplants(total
productioncapacityisc.1,500millionlitres/year)
In2014,themajorityofFAMEwasderivedfromUCOand
tallow(adheringtoREDsustainabilitycriteria)butapotential
UCOsupplyshortagecouldoccurasglobalmarketsrecognise
UCOasacosteffectiveandlowcarbonfeedstock
In2014,domesticfeedstocksupplied20%ofUKbiodieseland
bioethanolconsumption;theremaining80%wasimported1
‘Drop-in’biofuelisunlikelytobeavailableinlargequantities
untilpost-2020duetolowtechnologyreadinessand
investmentuncertainty
Biodieselplant:
Large(>5millionL/year):
Small(<5millionL/year):
Bioethanolplant:
17biodieselplants
3bioethanolplants
Biodiesel
Bioethanol
Biodiesel
millionLitresmillionLitres
Bioethanol
0
500
1,000
1,500
2014201020082012
UKconsumptionUKproductioncapacity
Biofuel
0
500
1,000
1,500
2014200820102012
- 19. 19
Despiteanextensiveinfrastructurenetwork,demandforLPGhas
fallenfollowingtheexpiryofincentivesforvehicleconversion
LPGtransportdemandrelativetototalUKsupply
Between2001-2006,LPGconsumptionfortransportrose
duetoattractivefueldutyincentivesandavehicle
conversiongrantscheme
Thegrantschemeexpiredin2006andthefuelduty
differentialbetweenLPGandotherfuelshasdiminished
In2013,90,000tonnesofLPG(4%oftotalUKLPGsupply)
wassuppliedtothetransportsector,markinga31%
declineintransportdemandsince2006
SOURCE:DUKES“Petroleumproducts:commoditybalances”(3.2-3.4),DECC“EnergyconsumptionintheUK”
(Chapter2),industryinput.FLT=Forklifttruck
LPGtransportinfrastructureintheUK
LPGismostcommonlyusedbypassengercars,
vansandforklifttrucks(FLTs)
Over1,400publicsellingpointsintheUK
currentlyhaveLPGdispensers
Inaddition,over2,000privatedepotsinclude
LPGrefuellingfacilitiesforFLTs–anestimated
30%ofFLTsintheUKrunonLPG
ThecurrentLPGdistributionsupplychainisa
commercialactivity,requiringnosupport
LPGpublicforecourt:
LPG
0
1
2
3
4
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
201320102001
LPGtransport
demand(Mt)
TotalLPG
supply(Mt)
20042007
-31%
TotalLPGsupply(leftaxis)
LPGtransportdemand(rightaxis)
Note,DECC’stransportconsumptionfiguresdonotaccountforallbunkered
LPGforforklifts–industryisworkingwithDECCtoimprovethisdataset
- 26. 26
AlthoughblendshigherthanB7arenotexpectedatforecourts,private
depotscanadopthigherblends
202020302050
Estimateofdemandbasedonshareofbuses,trucksandvansrefuellingthroughbunkeredsupplyatdepot–doesnotincludethedemand
fromNonRoadMobileMachinery1BasedontheLowCVPEEFuelRoadmapandAutoCouncilEnergyroadmap
Depots
2
3
7
8
2050(CCC
targetscenario)
2050(moderate
scenario)
20302020
Diesel
Depotfleetsareincreasinglyutilisingpublicforecourtfacilitieswithfuelcardsinsteadofdepotfacilities
Thisshiftinoperationisdrivenbytheeliminationofmany,oftencumbersome,responsibilitiesassociated
withthemanagementofbunkeredfuelatdepots(e.g.mitigationofleakagestoavoidenvironmentaldamage,
theftprevention,generalmaintenance)
Demandfromfleetsthroughfuelcardseffectivelymaintainmanytrunkroadforecourtsbyprovidinga‘base
load’andassociatedspending(e.g.atthekiosk).Afurthermoveawayfromdepotrefuellingtofuelcards
couldsupportforecourts,however,thisbenefitislikelytobeoutweighedbytheoveralldecreaseinfleetfuel
demand
WhileblendshigherthanB7arenotexpectedatforecourts1,captivefleetsmightchoosetoadopthigher
blendswhichcanbedeliveredtodepotsbyroadtanker,e.g.C.120busesarealreadyrunningonB20in
London
Totalfuel
demand
(Mt/year)
Expectedissuesintheshort,mediumandlong-term
‘CCCTarget’
uptake
scenario
- 27. 27
Underanambitiousconversionprogramforcars/vans,theLPGpublic
networkwouldhavetoincreasesignificantly
EstimateofdemanddoesnotincludethedemandfromNonRoadMachinery.Source:EEforUKPLG(2013)1-Drivenfor
examplebyincentivesrecognisingitsairqualitybenefits2-seewww.uklpg.org/shop/codes-of-practice/
Networktosupportincreaseddemand
147146
280130
808498
0
100
200
300
400
20402050
80
277
98
2
2020
148
364
20302015
Heavyvehicles
LightvehiclesThousandtonnes/year
1,800
3,000
2,000
1,400
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
2015204020202030
Assuminganincreasedinaveragethroughputthroughmore
frequentdeliveries
LPGdemandprojectionasperdescribedinslide19.
Assumesheavyvehicleswouldrefuelatdepot
UndertheLPGuptakescenario1,demandforLPG
atpublicforecourtcouldincreasetoc.280ktby
2030,fromunder100kttoday
Todeliverthisdemand,thenetworkofpublicLPG
sellingpointswouldneedtoincreasefrom1,400
toc.3,000.Thesemightbemainlynon-forecourt
installationsastheyarecheaperandquickerto
commission(CodeofPracticesinplace2butfewer
restrictionsthanaforecourtintegrateddispenser)
NewinvestmenttodeploynewLPGsellingpoints
willbeentirelymarketdrivenbutwillalsorequire
commitmentsignalfromUKgovernmentforuse
ofLPGintransport
BiopropaneisexpectedtoentertheUKmarketin
theshorttermhowever,asarenewable‘drop-in’
fuelforconventionalLPG,itwillnotrequireany
infrastructureupgrade
TrucksandNonRoadMobileMachineries(forklifts,
refrigerationunits,etc.)refuelindepots–there
arenoparticularinfrastructurechallengesfora
transitionto/increaseuseofbunkeredLPG
LPG
CorrespondingpublicLPGsellingpoints
ForecastedLPGtransportfueldemand
- 31. 31
1ProductionofBio-methanol,TechnologyBrief(2013)
Source:EnergyCarriersforPowertrains,ERTRAC2014,EuroCare(2015)
Productionofmethanolismainlyfromfossil
fuelsbutitcanbemadefromrenewable
sources
Methanolismainlyproducedfromfossilfuels
suchasnaturalgasorcoal
Bio-methanolisproducedfromrenewable
resourcese.g.agriculturalwaste,wood
CanalsobemadefromcapturedCO2
Whenproducedfromfossilfuels,costsare
comparabletopetrolanddieselonanenergy
basiswhilebio-methanolcostsare1.5-4times
higher1
Methanolisusedasafeedstockforvarious
productsandcanalsobeusedintransport
Chemicalfeedstockfore.g.plastics,syntheticfibres
andpaints
Intransport,itisusedinvariousways:
−Directlyasafuelorblendedwithpetrol
−ConvertedtoDME,adieselreplacement
−ConvertedtoMTBE,ablendcomponentofpetrol
−Aspartofthebiodieselproductionprocess
Methanolfuelcellsarebeingdeveloped,thoughmain
industryfocusisonpurehydrogensystems
SAFETY
Blendsofpetrolandmethanolhaveanincreasedvapourpressure
Methanolisrelativelylowintrinsictoxicitybutitismetabolisedintohighlytoxiccompounds(e.g.formaldehyde
andformicacid);ingestionofc.50mlcancausedeathifnottreated
FinlandtriedtosecureanEU-widebanontheuseofmethanolinmultipleproducts(e.g.windscreenwasherfluid)
buttherequesthasbeenrejected
Offerssimilarfiresafetychallengestoethanol
Moredifficulttoignitethanpetrol,burnsslowerandwithacooler,invisibleflame
Methanol
Methanolisproducedfromnaturalgas,coalorbiomassandcanbe
usedasapetrolblend,neatortoproduceMTBEandbiodiesel
- 33. 33
Methanoliscorrosivetomanymaterialsbutis
compatiblewithstainlesssteel,carbonsteeland
methanol-compatiblefiberglass
Forstorageatretailservicestations,new
undergroundtankstoragemaybenecessary
Existingtankscanbeconvertedbythorough
cleaningand,wherenecessarytheuseofa
methanol-compatibleliner
Pumpsandpipingusedtomovemethanolfrom
thestoragetanktothedispensermustbemadeof
methanol-compatiblematerials
Dispensersusedforpetroleumfuelstypically
includeelementsthataremethanolincompatible
(aluminium,brass,elastomers)sospecially
developeddispensersmustbeusedtoavoidleaks
Conventionalnozzlesdesignedformethanolare
available,asisaspill-freenozzledevelopedbythe
MethanolFuelCellAlliance
Transportationofmethanolwouldbemainlybytruckandadaptation
ofrefuellinginfrastructurewouldrequireinvestment
Source:UseofMethanolasaTransportationFuel,TheMethanolInstitute,2007
1Methanolenergycontent=20MJ/kg(lowercalorificvalue),TotalHGVenergydemandin2050=264PJ
Transportation
Methanoltypicallyshippedbyrailwaytankcar,
bargeandtrucktanker
IntheUSsomeissentbypipeline(oververyshort
distances)
Therearedifficultieswithusingpipelinesusually
usedforotherpetroleumproductsforshipping
methanol
−Degradationbyminglingwithotherproducts
−Methanolwillremovewater/residuesinthe
pipeline
−Pipelinescanbeconvertedbycleaning,though
theremaybematerialcompatibilityissues
Assuming5%oftotalHGVenergydemandby2050,
0.6milliontonnesofmethanolcouldbeconsumed
intheUK1
Forecourtstorageanddistribution
Methanol
- 34. 34
Liquidairenginetechnologycouldoffersignificantbenefits,
particularlyinrefrigerationoftrucksandtrailers
1DearmanEngineCompany.TRU:TransportRefrigerationUnit
Source:LiquidAirontheHighway,LiquidAirEnergyNetwork,2014
Variousliquidairenginetechnologieshavebeenproposed,ofwhichtheDearmanengineisthemostmature
TheDearmanengineusestherapidexpansionofliquidairasitcomesincontactwithawarmheat
exchangefluidtopowerapistonengine
Thiscanbeusedinthreeconfigurations:
OtherenginesusingliquidairhavebeenproposedincludingtheRicardosplitcycleliquidnitrogenengine
andtheEpiQairrotaryliquidairengine
Refrigeration
RefrigerationinvansandsmalltrucksisprovidedbythemainICE,whileformostlargertrucksandtrailersitis
providedbyanauxiliaryICE
Mostrefrigeratedtrucksandtrailersusereddieselauxiliaryengines,whoseemissionsarecurrently
unregulatedanduntreated,andcanaccountforover80%ofNOxandPMemissionsdespiteaccountingfor
only20%oftheoverallfuelconsumption
Usingliquidnitrogen(N2(l))evaporationforrefrigerationisbeingtrialledin6vehiclesintheUK(1000
worldwide),thoughthisrequiresancillarypowerfromthemainengine,increasingitsdieselconsumption
TheuseofaDearmanliquidairenginewouldofferimprovedefficiencyoverN2(l)evaporationasitwould
producebothcoolingandshaftpower
Aprototypeiscurrentlyintestingandsmallseriesproductionisduetobeginin20161
Onitsown,drawingheatfromthe
environment(suitableforshort
range,lowpowerrequirement
vehiclessuchasfork-lifttrucks)
Asaheathybrid,usingexcess
heatfromanICE(suitablefor
buses,coaches,lorries,urban
deliveryvehicles)
Forrefrigerationina‘powerand
cooling’configuration(TRUfor
vans,lorries,trailers,shipping
containers)
Liquidair
- 38. 38
Infrastructuregrowth
entirelymarketdriven
Operatorstrialnichefuelwith
smallnumbersoffleetvehicles
Keyfindingsfromtrialsinform
futureoperatorinvestment
Withapredicteddemanddecreaseforliquidfuels,forecourtsmay
havetointegratenewfuelsand/orreceivesupportincertainlocations
Continuedslowrateofclosuresfromc.8,600stations
Increasedcoexistenceofmulti-fuel
infrastructuretomaximiseutilisation
Public
forecourts
Growingproportionofbunkereddemand
willshifttoutiliseforecourtswithfuelcards
Private
depots
20152050202020302025
Supportmeasuresforsomeareasmightbeneededtomaintainnetwork
c.£250m-£600minvestmentrequiredfor
upgradesandcapacityinstallations
Trialintegrationofmultiple
fuelinfrastructures
Dashedlinesrepresent
highuncertainty
Majormilestone
/enabler
c.2,000c.1,400c.3,000
Nichefuels
Diesel
Integration
E20forecourt
investment
Coverage
PotentialtransitiontoE20would
requireupgradestoexistingforecourts
Dependentonfeasibilityof
multi-fuelintegration
and/orspecificsupport
mechanisms
Publicselling
points
LPG
Depotinfrastructurefullycommercial–growthtofollowdemand
Cars
Vans
HDVs
Thousandvehicles
Projectionsarebasedonpolicy-
leduptakescenariospresented
onpage21
Uptakescenariosinformed
quantificationofinfrastructure
requirements
Liquidfuelvehiclestock
6,000-
31,000
1,000-
5,000
360
32,000
4,300
700
32,000
4,300
700
30,000
4,000
700
By2050carsaremostlyRE-EVs/PHEVs
50-80%
decreasein
fuel
demandon
2015levels
Infrastructureroadmap
2050202020302025
c.2,000
- 43. 43
References
−AEAforDfT,Modes3study,2011
−BPStatisticalEnergyReview,2014
−BrombergandCheng,MethanolasanalternativetransportationfuelintheUS,2010
−DearmanEngineCompanywebsite,2015
−DECC,EnergyconsumptionintheUK,2014
−DfT,RoadlengthsinGreatBritain,2013
−DfT,RTFOBiofuelStatistics,2014
−DUKESChapter3/4/5,2015
−Ecofys,UKBiofuelIndustryoverview,2013
−ElementEnergyforBirminghamCityCouncil,ACityBluePrintforLowCarbonFuelRefuellingInfrastructure,2015
−ElementEnergyforDfT,Ultralowemissionvanstudy,2012
−ElementEnergyforLowCVP,ScenariosfortheimplementationofthetransportelementoftheREDto2020,2013
−ElementEnergy,OptionsandrecommendationstomeettheREDtransporttarget,2014
−ERTRAC,EnergyCarriersforPowertrains,2014
−ETI,AnaffordabletransitiontosustainableandsecureenergyforlightvehiclesintheUK,2013
−EuropeanParliamentandCouncil,Directive2009/30/EC,2009
−IEA-ETSAPandIRENA,ProductionofBio-methanol,TechnologyBrief,2013
−JRC,WTTanalysisoffutureautomotivefuelsandpowertrainsintheEuropeancontext,2014
−LiquidAirEnergyNetwork,LiquidAirontheHighway,2014
−MethanolInstituteBlog,2014
−RicardoAEA,AssessmentoftheexistingUKinfrastructurecapacityandvehiclefleetcapabilityfortheuseofbiofuels,2011
−UKPIA,StatisticalReview,2014
- 47. 47
Overviewofthepowertrainoptionsconsideredandkeysources
CarsandvansBusesHGVsNRMM
HGV=HeavyGoodsVehicles,NRMM=NonRoadMobileMachinery
ICE:petrol,diesel,
LPG,(gas),(H2in
earlyyears)
EVs:BatteryEVs,
plug-inhybridEVs,
fuelcell(FCEVs)
TheCarbonPlan
andthe
Committeeon
ClimateChange’s
recommendations
H2MobilityPhase
1report,2013
Historictrendsfor
petrol/dieselsplit
ICE:diesel,
(bio)methane
EVs:BEV,PH/RE,
FCEV
(Liquidairfor
cooling/hybrid
power)
Currentand
announced
commercial
availability,policy
drivers
Alternative
Powertrainfor
Urbanbuses,2012
CCC–4thCarbon
BudgetReview
ICE:diesel,
(bio)methane,
(methanol)
EVs-inlighter
segmentsonly
Currentand
announced
commercial
availability
DfTHGVTask
Force
TSB-DfTLow
CarbonTruckTrial
CCC–4thCarbon
BudgetReview
ICE:diesel,LPG,
(gas),Liquidairfor
refrigerationunits
(Batteriesand
FuelCells–in
some
applications)
Dataonfuelusage
ofNRMMis
sparse
Morequalitative
approach
suggested
Parenthesesindicatesthepowertrain/fueloptionisexpectedtostaynicheinthe2050horizon RELEVANT
POWERTRAINS /FUELS
KEY SOURCES / INDICATORS
- 51. 51
Source:ElementEnergy,DfTStatisticsTableVEH0601,LowCVPLowCarbonEmissionBusMarketMonitoring(Jan2015),CCC,
4thCarbonbudget,20131-AlternativePowertrainforUrbanbusesstudy(2012)
30%
10%
60%
Singledeckbus/coach
Doubledeckbus/coach
Minibus
UKbusfleet,c.165,000vehicles:
UKlowemissionbuses(allsingleordoubledeck,
nomini-buses)
274
12785
18
2014
1,787
FCEV
BatteryEV
Biomethane
Micro-hybrid
Hybrid
ScenarioCurrentUKbusmarket
Werampedupthealternativefuelmarketsharefrom
2030,inlinewiththeEuropeanstudy1thatsuggeststhat
theTCOofbatteryandFCe-citybuseswillbecome
comparableandcompetitivewithdieselandCNGbusesby
20301
Weassume90%uptakeforZeroEmissionVehiclesby2050
Thisislowerthatthe100%FCEVsassumedintheCCC
projections,toreflectthefactthatdoubledeckerbuses
(andbusesinhighlyruralareas)mightrequiregas
0%
92%
60%
80%
10%
40%
5%
15%
15%5%
2020
100%
2050
50%
20402030
2%
10%
10%
4%
Newbusessalesscenario:
‘Diesel’referstoablendofB7
anddrop-inrenewablediesel,
aspertheFuelsRoadmapDiesel,includeshybridBEV
FCEV(Bio)methane
Buseshavemanypowertrainoptionsbutoverallsmallfuelusesowe
usedonlyonescenario,wherealltechnologiesseehighsales
- 52. 52
Source:ElementEnergy,DfTStatistics,BirminghamCityBlueprintforlowcarbonfuelsrefuellinginfrastructure,EEfor
BirminghamCityCouncil(2015),LowEmissionHGVTaskForce(2014),HMRC(2014),CCC,4thCarbonbudget,2013
29%32%
39%
>31tGVW-articulated
>8tto31tGVW-mostlyrigid
>3.5tto8tGVW-rigid
UKHGVfleet,c.460,000vehicles:
UKlowemissiontrucks-estimates
<100
c.1,000
2014
Methane
BatteryEV
94%79%
0%
45%
20%
5%5%
20%
10%1%
2050
0%1%10%
40%
20%15%
2020
1%
2040
100%
10%
25%
2030
Newtrucksalesscenario:
Gastrucksallover18tGVW,mostly
dualfuel(dieselandmethane)
Electrictrucksallunder18tGVW
FCEVlighttrucksatearlydemostage
‘Diesel’referstoablend
ofB7anddrop-in
renewablediesel,asper
theFuelsRoadmap
Diesel,includeshybrid
Methane
BEV
FCEV
DieselLPGdualfuel
ScenarioCurrentUKHeavyGoodsVehiclemarket
WetomodelledaHighAlternativeFuelUptakecasewhere
bothpureelectricandgastrucksreachasignificantsales
levelsintheirrespectivemarkets(lightandheavytrucks)
FCEVsalsocapturealargeshareofthemarket,asperthe
CCC’svisionoftheroleofhydrogen
ForHeavyGoodsVehicles,wetestedahighuptakeofbothelectric
(batteryandfuelcell)andgastrucks
- 53. 53
Non-RoadMobileMachinerytypicallyrefuelsinprivatedepots/premises
butthecaseofLPG,liquidairandhydrogenwereconsidered
Source:ElementEnergyanalysisbased,onDfTstatisticsrequestedinJan2015andNon-RoadMobileMachineryUsage,
LifeandCorrectionFactorsAEAforDt(2004),industryinputforLPGuseinforklift
10%
7%
23%
17%
42%
Forklifts
Otheroff-roads
Agriculturaltractors
RefrigerationunitsonHGVs
Portablegeneratorsets
Otheroff-roads:TelescopicHandlers,BackhoeLoaders,Excavators,Cranes,Bulldozers,Compressorsetc.
UKNRMMfleetforindustry,constructionand
agriculture,c.700,000unitsin2014:
(CouldtransitiontoLPG,BatteryandFuelCellpacksforsomeuses)
LPG,couldtransitiontoLiquidAir
UseofLPG(alreadyusedbyc.30%offorklifts)andbatteries
couldincrease,couldtransitiontohydrogen
(Limitedoptions,possibly(bio)methaneorhighblendbiodiesel)
Scenario
(LPG,limitedalternativefueloptions)
Beyondtheblendingofrenewabledrop-indieselindiesel,
optionsforcleanerfuelsare:
Wetoconsidered(qualitatively,consideringthe
lackofdisaggregateddataonfueluse)the
infrastructureimpactsof:
−AtransitiontoLiquidAirforHGV
refrigerationunits
−AnincreaseinLPG,batteryandhydrogenuse
forforklifts
- 54. 54
Appendix–Therearebroadlytwotypesofrefuellinginfrastructure
forliquidfuelsintheUK
Source:ElementEnergy,DfTModes3study(2011)
Largefleetoperatorsincludingpublic
transportoperators,hauliers,logistics
companies,forkliftoperatorstendtooperate
designatedrefuellingdepotssuitedtotheir
‘returntobase’operations
Suchfacilitiestendtobeprivateand
exclusivelyserviceasinglevehicletype
Mostbusesandheavygoodvehiclesrefuel
indepots–shareofdieselsuppliedthrough
depot:
90%forbuses,40%forcoaches
80%articulatedtrucks,45%rigidtrucks
Refuellingatprivatedepots:c.25%fuelsalesRefuellingatpublicforecourts:c.75%fuelsales
Generally,publicvehiclerefuelling(passenger
cars,vans,motorbikes,scooters)isfacilitatedby
oneoftheUK’sc.8,600forecourts
Refuellingforecourtsarepublicallyaccessible
andaregenerallyownedandoperatedbylarge
oilcompanies(e.g.Shell,BP,Esso,etc.),
independentretailersandsupermarketchains