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The Augmented Reality Developer
   Delivering at The Peak of Unrealistic Expectation


              Sid Gabriel Hubbard
   March 10th 2010, PariSoma San Francisco
Augmented Reality & The Developer




Delivering at Gartner's "Peak of Unrealistic Expectations"
Gartner's Hype Cycle




 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vOhiZ37aaww
What is Augmented Reality?




   "Augmented Reality "AR" for short is infiltrating every medium
we use to communicate. It uses sophisticated display techniques
involving cellphone cameras or webcams. If a device has a camera
and a processor, then it's AR capable. In the war for consumer
attention, AR is the new weapon of choice"

          http://www.splendora.com/gina039s_five_things_friday_22610/recognizr
Many Kinds of AR




    http://ARDevMob.com/
Many Loud & Respectable Voices Talking




          http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vOhiZ37aaww
Developers:
      The Industry Expects You To Deliver A Revolution




         http://arconf.com/

AR represents a brand new media type and a new type of
user interfaces; the significance of which is on with par   Gartner Research expects AR to be used by more
with the the first hypertext web browser or the             than 30% of the mobile workforce by 2014.
introduction of the digital cellular phone. 




                              We're going to build all of that?
Developers: Imagine a client or manager
           asking for a quote on this project spec:




    http://siliconangle.com/blog/2010/01/22/why-the-world-needs-the-an-augmented-reality-conference-and-why-we’re-hosting-it/




All Your Base Are Be                                                                                     To Us
http://arconf.com/

AR represents a brand new media type and a new type of
user interfaces; the significance of which is on with par               Gartner Research expects AR to be used by more
with the the first hypertext web browser or the                         than 30% of the mobile workforce by 2014.
introduction of the digital cellular phone. 




         http://siliconangle.com/blog/2010/01/22/why-the-world-needs-the-an-augmented-reality-conference-and-why-we’re-hosting-it/
Contention Worth Mentioning

                                                          Gartner Research expects AR to be used by more
                                                          than 30% of the mobile workforce by 2014.




Thomas Bittman does a good job of explaining Gartner Research:


       A Rant – My Integrity as an Analyst
       http://blogs.gartner.com/thomas_bittman/2009/10/08/a-rant-my-integrity-as-an-analyst/
The Industry is "Talking"

"The event could be a disaster, or it could
be a lot of fun. Or both. But I'll be there in
June, so keep your browser tuned to this
blog to find out more."


             -Daniel Terdiman, CNET 1/19/2010
                           http://news.cnet.com/8301-13772_3-10437508-52.html
"Talking" Distinctions



nothing ventured, nothing gained
     but ventured on what?

   risk calculated on reality?
    risk calculated on hype?
"We're raising money to hire a team..."

  "We can build the team out as the
    product ramps up in use..."

"The idea has momentum and we have
           a secret sauce..."
Loser Talk.
Winner Talk
    "We're getting things done
      with very little money"

"We're going to see how long we can
   make it without hiring people"

        "Everyone does it,
   we just do it really really well."
Developers: Listen for this when
              you are considering a new client

         Loser Talk.                          Winner Talk


  "We're raising money to           "We're getting things done with
      hire a team..."                      very little money"

 "We can build the team out as    "We're going to see how long we can
the product ramps up in use..."      make it without hiring people"


"The idea has momentum and we             "Everyone does it,
     have a secret sauce..."         we just do it really really well."
Where is AR?




http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vOhiZ37aaww
Augmented Reality is Heading To
The Peak of Inflated Expectations This Year




  Image from: http://adverlab.blogspot.com/2009/08/hype-cycle-2009-augmented-reality-3d-tv.html
          Gartner: http://www.gartner.com/DisplayDocument?id=1085912#document_history
Why Would I Learn The
Unrealistically Hard Stuff?
                                        I can avoid that



                 What's in it for me?
Demand = Premium $

  of course,. but..
Turn it Around: What is the unrealistic expectation that
     could inspire an industry to go over that hill?




       Image from: http://adverlab.blogspot.com/2009/08/hype-cycle-2009-augmented-reality-3d-tv.html
               Gartner: http://www.gartner.com/DisplayDocument?id=1085912#document_history
Complete Freedom
From The Desktop Metaphor
Complete Freedom
From The Desktop Metaphor
        (by 2013)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ergonomics
Unrealistic Expectation?
Watch It Happen
This Happened Today




http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vOhiZ37aaww
This is why we are here tonight
             http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P51w0UI-xkY




   we're not quite there yet, but we can begin
modeling interfaces and building simple prototypes
Peter Kaptein's Contribution




http://flashworks.wordpress.com/2009/08/19/minority-report-interface-using-flash-and-flar-toolkit/
Interactive Lab
  Special Thanks To

        PariSoma
       FLAR Toolkit
        Squidder
      FLARManager
            &
 Peter Kaptein
 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P51w0UI-xkY
FREE THE HUMANS
END THE DESKTOP


 JOIN The ARDevMob

   http://meetup.com/augmentedreality
        http://twitter.com/ardevmob
            http://ardevmob.com
Train, Compete And Win The Future In The ARDevMob Spring 2010 Open Developer Challenge




Compete, Teach or Sponsor: RSVP at http://meetup.com/augmentedreality

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Augmented Reality and The Developer

  • 1. The Augmented Reality Developer Delivering at The Peak of Unrealistic Expectation Sid Gabriel Hubbard March 10th 2010, PariSoma San Francisco
  • 2. Augmented Reality & The Developer Delivering at Gartner's "Peak of Unrealistic Expectations"
  • 3. Gartner's Hype Cycle http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vOhiZ37aaww
  • 4. What is Augmented Reality? "Augmented Reality "AR" for short is infiltrating every medium we use to communicate. It uses sophisticated display techniques involving cellphone cameras or webcams. If a device has a camera and a processor, then it's AR capable. In the war for consumer attention, AR is the new weapon of choice" http://www.splendora.com/gina039s_five_things_friday_22610/recognizr
  • 5. Many Kinds of AR http://ARDevMob.com/
  • 6. Many Loud & Respectable Voices Talking http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vOhiZ37aaww
  • 7. Developers: The Industry Expects You To Deliver A Revolution http://arconf.com/ AR represents a brand new media type and a new type of user interfaces; the significance of which is on with par Gartner Research expects AR to be used by more with the the first hypertext web browser or the than 30% of the mobile workforce by 2014. introduction of the digital cellular phone.  We're going to build all of that?
  • 8. Developers: Imagine a client or manager asking for a quote on this project spec: http://siliconangle.com/blog/2010/01/22/why-the-world-needs-the-an-augmented-reality-conference-and-why-we’re-hosting-it/ All Your Base Are Be To Us
  • 9. http://arconf.com/ AR represents a brand new media type and a new type of user interfaces; the significance of which is on with par Gartner Research expects AR to be used by more with the the first hypertext web browser or the than 30% of the mobile workforce by 2014. introduction of the digital cellular phone.  http://siliconangle.com/blog/2010/01/22/why-the-world-needs-the-an-augmented-reality-conference-and-why-we’re-hosting-it/
  • 10. Contention Worth Mentioning Gartner Research expects AR to be used by more than 30% of the mobile workforce by 2014. Thomas Bittman does a good job of explaining Gartner Research: A Rant – My Integrity as an Analyst http://blogs.gartner.com/thomas_bittman/2009/10/08/a-rant-my-integrity-as-an-analyst/
  • 11. The Industry is "Talking" "The event could be a disaster, or it could be a lot of fun. Or both. But I'll be there in June, so keep your browser tuned to this blog to find out more." -Daniel Terdiman, CNET 1/19/2010 http://news.cnet.com/8301-13772_3-10437508-52.html
  • 12. "Talking" Distinctions nothing ventured, nothing gained but ventured on what? risk calculated on reality? risk calculated on hype?
  • 13. "We're raising money to hire a team..." "We can build the team out as the product ramps up in use..." "The idea has momentum and we have a secret sauce..."
  • 15. Winner Talk "We're getting things done with very little money" "We're going to see how long we can make it without hiring people" "Everyone does it, we just do it really really well."
  • 16. Developers: Listen for this when you are considering a new client Loser Talk. Winner Talk "We're raising money to "We're getting things done with hire a team..." very little money" "We can build the team out as "We're going to see how long we can the product ramps up in use..." make it without hiring people" "The idea has momentum and we "Everyone does it, have a secret sauce..." we just do it really really well."
  • 18. Augmented Reality is Heading To The Peak of Inflated Expectations This Year Image from: http://adverlab.blogspot.com/2009/08/hype-cycle-2009-augmented-reality-3d-tv.html Gartner: http://www.gartner.com/DisplayDocument?id=1085912#document_history
  • 19. Why Would I Learn The Unrealistically Hard Stuff? I can avoid that What's in it for me?
  • 20. Demand = Premium $ of course,. but..
  • 21. Turn it Around: What is the unrealistic expectation that could inspire an industry to go over that hill? Image from: http://adverlab.blogspot.com/2009/08/hype-cycle-2009-augmented-reality-3d-tv.html Gartner: http://www.gartner.com/DisplayDocument?id=1085912#document_history
  • 22. Complete Freedom From The Desktop Metaphor
  • 23. Complete Freedom From The Desktop Metaphor (by 2013)
  • 28. This is why we are here tonight http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P51w0UI-xkY we're not quite there yet, but we can begin modeling interfaces and building simple prototypes
  • 30. Interactive Lab Special Thanks To PariSoma FLAR Toolkit Squidder FLARManager & Peter Kaptein http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P51w0UI-xkY
  • 31. FREE THE HUMANS END THE DESKTOP JOIN The ARDevMob http://meetup.com/augmentedreality http://twitter.com/ardevmob http://ardevmob.com
  • 32. Train, Compete And Win The Future In The ARDevMob Spring 2010 Open Developer Challenge Compete, Teach or Sponsor: RSVP at http://meetup.com/augmentedreality