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«Digital Bosphorus»

The State of Turkish eCommerce 2013

             Sina Afra
Turkey continues to be an attractive market for eCommerce
                                                                         Market Size
                                                                             36 M
          Internet Penetration                                          Internet Users                                                  Quality
                                                                                                                                  Ranked #9
            47% - Ranked #11                                                                                                  Market Attractiveness


                                                                         10 M
                                                                    Online Shoppers

                        (I)                                     (II)                                    (III)                                 (IV)
Driving            Credit Card                               Excellent                             High Mobile                          Viral Paradise
Forces              El Dorado                                Logistics                            Internet Usage

                  #2 in Europe                               Next day                           62% YOY Growth                          Ave age 28,
                  in credit card                             delivery is                          in 3G Subs                          Top-10 in Social
                   penetration                               standard                                                                    Networks
                  Turkey is more                          Turkey is more                          Turkey is more                        Turkey is more
                   US than EU                              EU than US                             Korea than EU                         Japan than EU


                                       CAGR: 35.5% since 2008 & Forecasted to be 16.8% until 2016

           Source: Euromonitor, http://internetworldstats.com, Internation Telecommunication Union, Planet Retail, World Bank, World Economic Forum; A.T. Kearney analysis,
                                                                   Euromonitor, http://www.bkm.com.tr, http://www.slideshare.net/kleinerperkins/kpcb-internet-trends-2012
                                                                                 2
Internet Penetration:
With 36M, Turkey is in the Top 20 for Number of Internet Users...




   ... and ranks #11 in Internet Penetration
                                                                    Source: http://internetworldstats.com/

                                           3
Market Attractiveness:
Turkey is ranked #9 in A.T. Kearney’s 2012 E-Commerce Index




                                                  0 = low                0 = poor               0 = no digital       0 = undeveloped
                                                  attractiveness         infrastructure         laws                 retail market
                                                  100 = high             100 = developed        100 = strong         100 = developed
                                                  attractiveness         infrastructure         digital laws         retail market




                       Source: Euromonitor, Internation Telecommunication Union, Planet Retail, World Bank, World Economic Forum; A.T. Kearney analysis

                                                          4
Driving Forces I:
Credit Cards and POS Terminals are Everywhere




              Source ECB, BKM Online Strategy & Economic Analysis Unit - (Turkey), Finarket.ru – (Russia), IFC Mobile Money Scobing - Country Report 2011: Brazil,
                          Reserve Bank of India, http://www.gaoresearch.com/POS/pos.php, http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2012/tables/12s1187.pdf
                                                                    5
Driving Forces II:
Turkey has an Excellent B2C Logistics Infrastructure




                                                       Source: http://www.utikad.org.tr/haberler/?id=8473
                                           6
Driving Forces III:
Turkey is ready for the Mobile Revolution in 2013




 * Represents ten European countries                ***88% mobile penetration – 66M users
 **37 M useres own 3G capable devices


         Steve Wozniak: Turkcell 3G is faster than 4G networks in US

                         Source : Turkcell; http://www.gencbusiness.com/gbp-haberleri/2046_cepten-internete-girenlerin-say%C4%B1s%C4%B1-artarken.html;Sureyya Ciliv ---
                 http://www.dld-conference.com/news/dld-events-related/dld-bosporus-one-night-in-istanbul_aid_3380.html;http://en.teknoblog.com/communication/steve-
                                                                                7
                                                 wozniak-turkcell-3g-is-faster than-4g-networks-in-us.html;http://www.slideshare.net/kleinerperkins/kpcb-internet-trends-2012
In Turkey, banks are leading the way, and there is much potential for the rest…




                     Source: Evolution of M-Commerce – Fatih Isbecer, http://mobilike.com/wp-content/uploads/downloads/2012/11/madreport_Q3_2012.pdf
                                                             8
Driving Forces IV:
Turkish Internet Users Love Social Media




  Turkey ranks 7th for Facebook users                                 Turkey ranks 11th for Twitter users



                                 Source: http://semiocast.com/publications/2012_01_31_Brazil_becomes_2nd_country_on_Twitter_superseds_Japan,
                                                                                        Socialbakers, http://www.appappeal.com/maps/facebook
                                                    9
Driving Forces IV:
Turkish Internet Users Love Social Media




  Turkey ranks 14th for YouTube users                          Turkey ranks 20th for Pinterest users

                                    Source: Pinterest http://www.appappeal.com/maps/pinterest, http://www.appappeal.com/maps/youtube
                                                10
Growth:
Turkish eCommerce has Enormous Potential

                                                                                If TR were to reach
                                        Turkey Now                                                                              Turkey F2016
                                                                                    EU averages


 Internet                                      36 M                                      48 M                                          42 M
 Penetration                                   47 %                                     63.5 %                                         53 %


 E-commerce                                      10 M                                      31 M                                         16 M
 Users
                                                 28 %                                       87 %                                       36 %

 Online Spending
                                            182 EUR                                     567 EUR                                      209 EUR
 per Internet User




                   Source: http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/newslog/CategoryView,category,e-shopping.aspx, http://mashable.com/2011/02/28/forrester-online-sales-europe,
             http://www.tuik.gov.tr, http://www.iabeurope.eu/news/4269m-europeans-online-across-28-markets-%E2%80%A6-from-belgium-to-bulgaria-uk-to-ukraine---
                                                                       11        europeans-are-more-connected-than-ever before.aspx; http://internetworldstats.com,
Turkey’s Online Retail Growth is 2x the Global Average with 35.5% CAGR




     Turkey’s Online Retailing is forecasted to grow by 16.8% annually until 2016.



           Source: BKM; http://blog.euromonitor.com/2012/08/turkeys-e-commerce-sector-boosted-by-economic-growth-and-young-populace.html
                                                           12
B2C Online Spending was 15 Bn TL in 2012




                                           Soucre: BKM
                                    13
Share of Online Retail to Total Retail by Country




                                                    1,200



Source(s)
Turkey http://www.deloitte.com/assets/Dcom-Turkey/Local%20Assets/Documents/turkey_tr_cb_retailsectorupdate_040612.pdf, http://blog.euromonitor.com/2012/08/turkeys-e-commerce-sector-boosted-by-economic-growth-and-young-populace.html
USA http://mashable.com/2012/02/27/ecommerce-327-billion-2016-study/
UK http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/datasets-and tables/index.html?pageSize=50&sortBy=none&sortDirection=none&newquery=retail&content-type=Reference+table&content-type=Dataset; http://www.bis.gov.uk/policies/business-sectors/retail,
http://www.sas.com/offices/europe/uk/downloads/press/sas-verdict-retail2012.pdf, 1 http://www.retailresearch.org/onlineretailing.php
Russia http://www.slideshare.net/YandexBusDev/ecommerce-jan2013
Brazil http://www.thomaswhite.com/explore-the-world/bric-spotlight/brazil-retail.aspx,
http://blog.shop.org/2012/01/16/brazil-and-china-emerging-online-retail-powerhouses/
India http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/indian-retail-sector-outlook-in-2012-stable-fitch/155599/on, http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/India's%20Food%20Retail%20Sector%20Growing_New%20Delhi_India_4-24-2012.pdf,Forrester Research
Online Retail Forecast, 2011 to 2016 (Asia Pacific)




                                                                                                                        14
Most Visited Websites in Turkey – Domains & eCommerce




                                       Source: comScore 09/01/2013 – Avg. Unique Visitors Sep’12 – Nov’12
                                  15
Interesting Facts about Turkey’s Shopper Profile - I


                                              40%                   50%
                                              of shoppers prefer    of shoppers aggressively
                                              luxury items          bargain when they shop


 This ratio
 decreases with                                                    42%            of shoppers like
 social status                                                                    to try new
                                                                                  brands and shop
                                                                                  for new items

   40%                 44%              30%
  of shoppers are
  willing to pay a
   premium for
                      of shoppers
                     look for items
                                      of shoppers go
                                          for the
                                                                   31%    of shoppers consider
   their favorite       on sale.      cheapest item                       fashionability of an item
       brands.
                                                                          as a major criterion in
                                                                          their purchase decision.

                                                                         Source: 2012, İpsos KMG-Türkiye’yi Anlama Kılavuzu
                                                            16
Interesting Facts about Turkey’s Shopper Profile - II


10% of 14-35                                                            17% of 14-35
year old women are                                                      year old men are
taller than 1.70                                                        taller than 1.80 m



             1.70 m                                                1.80 m


                                                                     35% of men
        31%                          47%        of women
        of women                            consult others
                                            while shopping


wear shoe size   38                                                   wear shoe size                42
                                                             Source: 2012, İpsos KMG-Türkiye’yi Anlama Kılavuzu
                                       17

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Digital Bosphorus - The State of Turkish eCommerce 2013 - Sina Afra

  • 1. «Digital Bosphorus» The State of Turkish eCommerce 2013 Sina Afra
  • 2. Turkey continues to be an attractive market for eCommerce Market Size 36 M Internet Penetration Internet Users Quality Ranked #9 47% - Ranked #11 Market Attractiveness 10 M Online Shoppers (I) (II) (III) (IV) Driving Credit Card Excellent High Mobile Viral Paradise Forces El Dorado Logistics Internet Usage #2 in Europe Next day 62% YOY Growth Ave age 28, in credit card delivery is in 3G Subs Top-10 in Social penetration standard Networks Turkey is more Turkey is more Turkey is more Turkey is more US than EU EU than US Korea than EU Japan than EU CAGR: 35.5% since 2008 & Forecasted to be 16.8% until 2016 Source: Euromonitor, http://internetworldstats.com, Internation Telecommunication Union, Planet Retail, World Bank, World Economic Forum; A.T. Kearney analysis, Euromonitor, http://www.bkm.com.tr, http://www.slideshare.net/kleinerperkins/kpcb-internet-trends-2012 2
  • 3. Internet Penetration: With 36M, Turkey is in the Top 20 for Number of Internet Users... ... and ranks #11 in Internet Penetration Source: http://internetworldstats.com/ 3
  • 4. Market Attractiveness: Turkey is ranked #9 in A.T. Kearney’s 2012 E-Commerce Index 0 = low 0 = poor 0 = no digital 0 = undeveloped attractiveness infrastructure laws retail market 100 = high 100 = developed 100 = strong 100 = developed attractiveness infrastructure digital laws retail market Source: Euromonitor, Internation Telecommunication Union, Planet Retail, World Bank, World Economic Forum; A.T. Kearney analysis 4
  • 5. Driving Forces I: Credit Cards and POS Terminals are Everywhere Source ECB, BKM Online Strategy & Economic Analysis Unit - (Turkey), Finarket.ru – (Russia), IFC Mobile Money Scobing - Country Report 2011: Brazil, Reserve Bank of India, http://www.gaoresearch.com/POS/pos.php, http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2012/tables/12s1187.pdf 5
  • 6. Driving Forces II: Turkey has an Excellent B2C Logistics Infrastructure Source: http://www.utikad.org.tr/haberler/?id=8473 6
  • 7. Driving Forces III: Turkey is ready for the Mobile Revolution in 2013 * Represents ten European countries ***88% mobile penetration – 66M users **37 M useres own 3G capable devices Steve Wozniak: Turkcell 3G is faster than 4G networks in US Source : Turkcell; http://www.gencbusiness.com/gbp-haberleri/2046_cepten-internete-girenlerin-say%C4%B1s%C4%B1-artarken.html;Sureyya Ciliv --- http://www.dld-conference.com/news/dld-events-related/dld-bosporus-one-night-in-istanbul_aid_3380.html;http://en.teknoblog.com/communication/steve- 7 wozniak-turkcell-3g-is-faster than-4g-networks-in-us.html;http://www.slideshare.net/kleinerperkins/kpcb-internet-trends-2012
  • 8. In Turkey, banks are leading the way, and there is much potential for the rest… Source: Evolution of M-Commerce – Fatih Isbecer, http://mobilike.com/wp-content/uploads/downloads/2012/11/madreport_Q3_2012.pdf 8
  • 9. Driving Forces IV: Turkish Internet Users Love Social Media Turkey ranks 7th for Facebook users Turkey ranks 11th for Twitter users Source: http://semiocast.com/publications/2012_01_31_Brazil_becomes_2nd_country_on_Twitter_superseds_Japan, Socialbakers, http://www.appappeal.com/maps/facebook 9
  • 10. Driving Forces IV: Turkish Internet Users Love Social Media Turkey ranks 14th for YouTube users Turkey ranks 20th for Pinterest users Source: Pinterest http://www.appappeal.com/maps/pinterest, http://www.appappeal.com/maps/youtube 10
  • 11. Growth: Turkish eCommerce has Enormous Potential If TR were to reach Turkey Now Turkey F2016 EU averages Internet 36 M 48 M 42 M Penetration 47 % 63.5 % 53 % E-commerce 10 M 31 M 16 M Users 28 % 87 % 36 % Online Spending 182 EUR 567 EUR 209 EUR per Internet User Source: http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/newslog/CategoryView,category,e-shopping.aspx, http://mashable.com/2011/02/28/forrester-online-sales-europe, http://www.tuik.gov.tr, http://www.iabeurope.eu/news/4269m-europeans-online-across-28-markets-%E2%80%A6-from-belgium-to-bulgaria-uk-to-ukraine--- 11 europeans-are-more-connected-than-ever before.aspx; http://internetworldstats.com,
  • 12. Turkey’s Online Retail Growth is 2x the Global Average with 35.5% CAGR Turkey’s Online Retailing is forecasted to grow by 16.8% annually until 2016. Source: BKM; http://blog.euromonitor.com/2012/08/turkeys-e-commerce-sector-boosted-by-economic-growth-and-young-populace.html 12
  • 13. B2C Online Spending was 15 Bn TL in 2012 Soucre: BKM 13
  • 14. Share of Online Retail to Total Retail by Country 1,200 Source(s) Turkey http://www.deloitte.com/assets/Dcom-Turkey/Local%20Assets/Documents/turkey_tr_cb_retailsectorupdate_040612.pdf, http://blog.euromonitor.com/2012/08/turkeys-e-commerce-sector-boosted-by-economic-growth-and-young-populace.html USA http://mashable.com/2012/02/27/ecommerce-327-billion-2016-study/ UK http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/datasets-and tables/index.html?pageSize=50&sortBy=none&sortDirection=none&newquery=retail&content-type=Reference+table&content-type=Dataset; http://www.bis.gov.uk/policies/business-sectors/retail, http://www.sas.com/offices/europe/uk/downloads/press/sas-verdict-retail2012.pdf, 1 http://www.retailresearch.org/onlineretailing.php Russia http://www.slideshare.net/YandexBusDev/ecommerce-jan2013 Brazil http://www.thomaswhite.com/explore-the-world/bric-spotlight/brazil-retail.aspx, http://blog.shop.org/2012/01/16/brazil-and-china-emerging-online-retail-powerhouses/ India http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/indian-retail-sector-outlook-in-2012-stable-fitch/155599/on, http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/India's%20Food%20Retail%20Sector%20Growing_New%20Delhi_India_4-24-2012.pdf,Forrester Research Online Retail Forecast, 2011 to 2016 (Asia Pacific) 14
  • 15. Most Visited Websites in Turkey – Domains & eCommerce Source: comScore 09/01/2013 – Avg. Unique Visitors Sep’12 – Nov’12 15
  • 16. Interesting Facts about Turkey’s Shopper Profile - I 40% 50% of shoppers prefer of shoppers aggressively luxury items bargain when they shop This ratio decreases with 42% of shoppers like social status to try new brands and shop for new items 40% 44% 30% of shoppers are willing to pay a premium for of shoppers look for items of shoppers go for the 31% of shoppers consider their favorite on sale. cheapest item fashionability of an item brands. as a major criterion in their purchase decision. Source: 2012, İpsos KMG-Türkiye’yi Anlama Kılavuzu 16
  • 17. Interesting Facts about Turkey’s Shopper Profile - II 10% of 14-35 17% of 14-35 year old women are year old men are taller than 1.70 taller than 1.80 m 1.70 m 1.80 m 35% of men 31% 47% of women of women consult others while shopping wear shoe size 38 wear shoe size 42 Source: 2012, İpsos KMG-Türkiye’yi Anlama Kılavuzu 17
  • 18. AT Kearney Top-10 E-Commerce Index Markets 18
  • 19. Disclaimer • This analysis was prepared by markafoni – the leading flash sales and online fashion group in Turkey. Please do not hesitate to share your comments or feedback sina@markafoni.com • Please use the content of this presentation but disclose your source as «The State of the Turkish eCommerce 2013, by Markafoni » 19