Nils Wollny: The Extra Hour
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Autonomous vehicles are at the top of the hype cycle right now – which means we’re five to 10 years from the plateau of productivity. Full autonomous driving may not happen until 2030, and there are plenty of ethical and legal challenges to be overcome. *Talk at NEXT 15*
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Nils Wollny: The Extra Hour
- 2. Hype Cycle 2015 Source: Gartner 2015 Autonomous Vehicles time expectations Peak of Inflated Expectations
- 3. Source: Gartner 2015 time expectations Autonomous Vehicles Peak of Inflated Expectations Hype Cycle 2015
- 4. The road to „robots“ Driver only Assistance systems Partly autonomous Highly autonomous Fully autonomous Driver less today 2020 2030 2040since 1958 „Cruise Control“
- 5. The road to „robots“ since 1958 „Cruise Control“ today 2020 2030 2040 Driver only Assistance systems Partly autonomous Highly autonomous Fully autonomous Driver- less
- 8. „Shelley“ - Pikes Peak 2010
- 9. „James“ - Nevada 2012
- 10. „Bobby“ - Hockenheim 2014
- 11. „Jack“ - Las Vegas 2015
- 12. „Robby“ - Sonoma 2015
- 13. More safety >90% of all accidents are caused by human error.
- 14. More efficiency Self-driving cars will use space and energy in a more efficient way.
- 15. More flexibility Mobility grids of self-driving cars will reduce waiting times for taxis.
- 16. More comfort Piloted driving will reduce the passengers stress level significantly.
- 17. More fun Piloted driving feels like a rollercoaster ride.
- 18. Today we spend 1hour per day operating a car
- 22. Leisure & Relaxation: 45% Source: Audi Research
- 23. Work: 30% Source: Audi Research
- 27. The extra hour Daily increase of media consumption by >10%work in progress
- 28. Transportation is next on the disruptors list
- 29. The extra hour Transportation is next on the disruptors list
- 31. drive sleep
- 32. drive sleep
- 33. The extra hour Moreover: work in progress
- 34. >95% of the day cars remain unused
- 35. The extra hour Our cars will do other things
- 36. Piloted driving will become the heartbeat of our future economy
- 37. The extra hour Piloted driving will become the heartbeat of our future economy
- 38. PILOTED DRIVING
- 51. MORE FUN PILOTED DRIVING MORE EFFICIENCY MORE SAFETY MORE COMFORT MORE TIME MORE FLEXIBILITY PUBLIC SECTOR TRAVEL INDUSTRY AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY TRANSPORT/ LOGISTICS RETAIL INDUSTRY PRODUCTION AFTER- MARKET USER BENEFIT AFFECTED INDUSTRY EXPECTED CHANGE FINANCE/ INSURANCE
- 52. PILOTED DRIVING MORE EFFICIENCY MORE SAFETY MORE COMFORT MORE TIME PUBLIC SECTOR TRAVEL INDUSTRY AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY TRANSPORT/ LOGISTICS RETAIL INDUSTRY RENTALS/ MOBILITY DELIVERY SERVICES REMOVER TAXIS PRODUCTION AFTER- MARKET USER BENEFIT AFFECTED INDUSTRY EXPECTED CHANGE MORE FUN MORE FLEXIBILITY FINANCE/ INSURANCE
- 53. PILOTED DRIVING MORE EFFICIENCY MORE SAFETY MORE COMFORT MORE TIME NURSING HOMES PUBLIC SECTOR TRAVEL INDUSTRY AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY TRANSPORT/ LOGISTICS RETAIL INDUSTRY RENTALS/ MOBILITY DELIVERY SERVICES REMOVER TAXIS PRODUCTION AFTER- MARKET INSURANCES FINANCING HEALTH USER BENEFIT AFFECTED INDUSTRY EXPECTED CHANGE MORE FUN MORE FLEXIBILITY FINANCE/ INSURANCE
- 54. PILOTED DRIVING MORE EFFICIENCY MORE SAFETY MORE COMFORT MORE TIME NURSING HOMES PUBLIC TRANSPORT ENERGY SUPPLY INFRA- STRUCTURE PUBLIC SECTOR TRAVEL INDUSTRY AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY TRANSPORT/ LOGISTICS RETAIL INDUSTRY RENTALS/ MOBILITY DELIVERY SERVICES REMOVER TAXIS PRODUCTION AFTER- MARKET INSURANCES FINANCING HEALTH USER BENEFIT AFFECTED INDUSTRY EXPECTED CHANGE MORE FUN MORE FLEXIBILITY FINANCE/ INSURANCE
- 55. PILOTED DRIVING MORE EFFICIENCY MORE SAFETY MORE COMFORT MORE TIME NURSING HOMES PUBLIC TRANSPORT ENERGY SUPPLY INFRA- STRUCTURE PUBLIC SECTOR TRAVEL INDUSTRY AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY TRANSPORT/ LOGISTICS RETAIL INDUSTRY SHOPPING RENTALS/ MOBILITY DELIVERY SERVICES DOMESTIC FLIGHTS BUSINESS HOTELS REAL ESTATE MEDIAREMOVER TAXIS PRODUCTION AFTER- MARKET INSURANCES FINANCING HEALTH USER BENEFIT AFFECTED INDUSTRY EXPECTED CHANGE MORE FUN MORE FLEXIBILITY FINANCE/ INSURANCE
- 57. How we will live