International Federation of Robotics, Gudrun Litzenberger
General Secretary
International Federation of Robotics IFR Germany
Email: gl@ifr.org
https://ifr.org/
[Skolkovo Robotics V] Overview of the Modern Robotics Market
1. 21 April 2017, Moscow
Overview of the Modern Robotics Market
2. International Federation of Robotics
Representing the global robotics industry
• Robotics turnover 2015: $35 billion
• More than 50 members:
• National robot associations
• R&D institutes
• Robot suppliers
• Integrators
• Sponsor of the annual
International Symposium
on Robotics (ISR)
• Co-sponsor of the IERA
Award
• Primary resource for
world-wide data on use
of robotics – IFR
Statistical Department
3. Overview of the Modern Robotics Market
• Industrial Robot Market
• Customers
• Important Markets
• Trends
• Service Robot Market
• Companies
• Domestic and Personal Service Robots
• Professional Service Robots
• Trends
4. Record sales of industrial robots
About 290,000 industrial robots installed, 14% more than 2015
113
60
121
166 159
178
221
254
290
322
363
414
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017** 2018** 2019**
'000ofunits
Estimated annual worldwide supply of industrial robots
2008-2016* and 2017-2018**
* preliminary results
Source: IFR Statistical Department
+14%
+13% on average per year
5. Main customers: automotive and electronics
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000
NOT SPECIFIED BY
INDUSTRIES
OTHERS
PHARMACEUTICALS AND
COSMETICS
FOOD
RUBBER AND PLASTICS
METAL
ELECTRICAL/
ELECTRONICS
AUTOMOTIVE
units
Estimated worldwide annual supply of industrial robots
at year-end by industries 2013 - 2015
2015 2014 2013
Source: IFR World Robotics 2016
6. Top 10 robot markets 2015
About 85% of the global supply
3,474
3,766
5,466
6,657
7,200
20,105
27,504
35,023
38,285
68,556
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000
CANADA
SPAIN
MEXICO
ITALY
TAIWAN
GERMANY
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
REP. OF KOREA
CHINA
units
Estimated worldwide annual supply of industrial robots
at year-end 10 main markets 2015
Source: IFR Statistical Department
7. Degree of robotization
Comparable low robot density in the largest market
49
531
305
176
301
190
160
33
150 136
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
China Republic
of Korea
Japan USA Germany Taiwan Italy Mexico Spain Canada
units
Robot density in the 10 biggest robot markets 2015
Source: IFR Statistical Department
Number of installed robots
per 10,000 employees in the
manufacturing industry
8. China 2019: 40% of the global installations
Almost 90,000 industrial robots installed in 2016, 31% more than in 2015
15 23 23
37
57
69
90
110
130
160
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017** 2018** 2019**
'000ofunits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robots
in the China 2010-2019**
Source: IFR Statistical Department
* preliminary results
**forecast
+31%
+21% on average per year
9. Rep. of Korea: continued increase
Forecast 2016: about 40,000 industrial robots, about 5% more than 2015
24
26
19
21
25
38
40
42
44
46
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019*
'000ofunits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robots
in Korea 2010-2019*
Source: IFR Statistical Department
+5% on average per year
*forecast
10. Japan: back to records
Forecast 2016: about 40,000 industrial robots, about 5% more than 2015
22
28 29
25
29
35
38 39
41
43
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019*
'000ofunits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robots
in Japan 2010-2019*
Source: IFR Statistical Department
+5% on average per year
+8%
*forecast
11. North America: new peak in 2016
Almost 40,000 industrial robots installed, 9% more than 2015
14
21
22 24
26 28
40 40
43
46
2
4
4
5
5
9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017** 2018** 2019**
'000ofunits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robots
in North America 2010-2019**
USA Canada/Mexico
Source: IFR Statistical Department
+5% on average per year
+9%
*preliminary result
**forecast
12. Continued increase in main Western EU markets
Germany 2015: more than 20,000 units
23
32
30 30
34
35
37
39
42
46
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019*
'000ofunits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robots
in main Western European countries* 2010-2019**
Source: IFR Statistical Department
+5-10%% on average per year
*Germany, Italy, Spain, France, UK
13. Emerging Eastern European markets
Substantial increase in 2016
2.511
4.734
3.969
5.061
4.643
5.976
7.550
8.500
9.800
11.300
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019*
'000ofunits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robots
in Central/Eastern European countries 2010-2019*
Source: IFR Statistical Department
+14% on average per year
*forecast
+25%
14. Czech Republic and Poland on top
High potential in Russia
253
615
296
1313
555
692
1337
344
339
283
343
534
1,267
1,533
464
187
332
488
517
1795
2193
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
OTHER EASTERN
EUROPE
RUSSIAN FEDERATION
BALKAN COUNTRIES
SLOVAKIA
HUNGARY
POLAND
CZECH REPUBLIC
units
Estimated worldwide annual supply of industrial robots
at year-end Eastern European countries 2013- 2015
2015 2014 2013
Source: IFR Statistical Department
15. Continued need to optimize manufacturing
• Increasing demand for consumer
goods
• Decreasing life cycles
• Mass customization
• Competitive prices
• New Materials
• High quality
• Sustainability
Source: Schunk
16. Automation is driving productivity growth
• The Boston Consulting Group argues that wider adoption of robots will
boost output per worker by up to 30 percent over the medium term.
• An OECD study found companies that employ technology innovations
effectively are up to 10 times more productive than those that do not.
17. Advanced Robotics
• Learning robots
• Connected robots – robots in the
cloud
• Collaborative robots
• Mobile robots
• Easy-to-use robots
Key enablers of Smart Manufacturing
Source: ABB
18. 2019: 2.6 million robots in operation
About 31,500 industrial robots installed, 15% more than 2015
1,035 1,021 1,059
1,153
1,235
1,332
1,472
1,632
1,824
2,029
2,284
2,589
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017** 2018** 2019**
'000ofunits
Estimated worldwide operational stock of industrial robots
2008-2019*
*forecast
Source: IFR Statistical Department
+12% on average per year
19. Service Robots on the rise
Service Robot Market
• Companies
• Domestic and Personal Service Robots
• Professional Service Robots
• Trends Source: Hangzhou Favor Robot Technology
Source: Lely
Source: Fraunhofer IPA
20. More than 600 service robot suppliers identified
Almost 30% are start ups
0
50
100
150
200
250
US/Canada
Japan
China
Korea
RestofAsia
Germany
France
CH
UK
Spain
Italy
Russia
RestofEur
numberofcompanies
Service robot companies end of 2015
Established Start Ups
Source: IFR Statistical Department
21. Service robots for personal and domestic use
Main categories:
Vacuum and floor cleaning
Lawn-mowing robots
Entertainment and leisure robots
Robots for elderly and
handicap assistance
Source: Kärcher (Vacuum cleaning)
Source: Ezrobot
Source: Aisoy Robotics S.L
22. 2016-2019: at least 31 million new household robots
And 11 million entertainment and leisure robots
30.8
11.0
3.7
1.7
3.3 1.3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Household robots Entertainment and leisure robots
millionunits
Service robots for personal/domestic use.
Units sales 2014 and 2015, and forecast 2016-2019
2016-2019 2015 2014 Source: IFR Statistical Department
23. 2016-2019: 333,000 professional service robots
Logistic systems: the most dynamic development
175.0
74.8
34.6
19.0 11.2
6.4
12.7 11.0
5.8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Logistic Defence Field
'000ofunits
Service robots for professional use.
Units sales 2014 and 2015, and forecast 2016-2019 main applications
2016-2019 2015 2014 Source: IFR Statistical Department
24. AGVs in non manufacturing sectors:
• E-commerce companies automate their
business
• AGVs have entered hospitals and other public
areas
AGVs in manufacturing
• support human-robot collaboration
• flexible manufacturing
• important tool for Industry 4.0
Logistic systems: AGVs will be all around
Source: Magazino
Source: KUKA
25. 2016-2019: Strong increase in most applications
11.7
8.2
7.5
6.6 6.5
3.6
2.8
0.6
1.3
0.7
0.4 0.2 0.3
0.6
0.3 1.2
0.5
0.3 0.1 0.3
0.6
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Cleaning Medical Mobile platforms Exoskeletons Public relation Inspection Construction
'000ofunits
Service robots for professional use.
Units sales 2014 and 2015, and forecast 2016-2019 continued
2016-2019 2015 2014 Source: IFR Statistical Department
26. Trends in the service robot market
Exoskeletons on the rise
• Rehabilitation, support
• Ergonomic support for reducing
loads
Medical systems on the rise
• Diagnostic systems
• Robot assisted surgery or therapy
• Rehabilitation systems
Source: Lockheed Martin
Source: Rewalk
Source: BA Systemes
27. Global robot market between 2016 and 2019
• 1.4 million industrial robots will be installed in the factories to
increase productivity
• 333,000 service robots for professional use will be sold to non-
manufacuring and to manufacturing sectors
and
• 42 million service robots for personal and domestic use
(consumer robots) will be used in our private life