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Failed Breakout: Seller
Continuously Stepping
Down
CMCSA
Vincent Celentano
2/13/13
1.   SMB TRAINING is NOT a Broker Dealer. SMB Training engages in trader education and training. SMB
     TRAINING offers a number of products and services, both electronical (over the internet through
     smbtraining.com) and in person. Through smbtraining.com, SMB TRAINING offers the “Virtual Trading Floor”, a
     community through which independent traders (subscribers), as well as T3 Trading Group, LLC traders, observe
     a virtual trading floor environment (as described below) for educational purposes. SMB TRAINING also offers
     web-based, interactive training courses on demand.
2.   T3 Trading Group, LLC is a Registered SEC Broker-Dealer and Member of the CBOE Stock Exchange (CBSX
     www.CBOE.com). All Trading conducted by SMB Training is done through T3 Trading Group, LLC.
3.   The seminars given by SMB TRAINING are for educational purposes only. This information neither is, nor
     should be construed, as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. You shall be fully
     responsible for any investment decision you make, and such decisions will be based solely on your evaluation of
     your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
4.   This material is being provided to you for educational purposes only. No information presented constitutes a
     recommendation by SMB TRAINING or its affiliates to buy, sell or hold any security, financial product or
     instrument discussed therein or to engage in any specific investment strategy. The content neither is, nor should
     be construed as, an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy, sell, or hold any securities. You are fully
     responsible for any investment decisions you make. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation
     of your financial circumstances. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation of your financial
     circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance and liquidity needs.
5.   SMB Training and SMB Capital Management, LLC are separate but affiliated companies.
6.   No relevant positions
7.   Please note: Hypothetical computer simulated performance results are believed to be accurately presented.
     However, they are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without any
     notice. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual
     performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since, also, the trades have not actually
     been executed; the results may have been under or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market
     factors such as liquidity, slippage and commissions. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to
     the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any portfolio
     will, or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. All investments and trades carry risks.”
Big Picture
The SPY trended down from 152.60-151.60
Intraday Fundamentals
Comcast (CMCSA) will pay $16.7B for GE's 49% stake in NBC Universal,
Q4 EPS of $0.56 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $15.94B (+6% Y/Y) misses by
  $20M. Raises dividend by 20%. Plans to buy back $2B in stock in 2013.
Declares $0.195/share quarterly dividend, 20% increase from prior dividend of
  $0.1625


ATR: 0.77
ADV: 11.2M
SF%: 1.05%
CMCSA was at multi year highs
41.50 was the last real
support level in the after
hours yesterday
Reading the Tape
It was very important to read the tape in this
   stock. CMCSA made a double top against
   yesterays after hours high in the premarket
   and then drove down. It then proceeded to
   hold below this 50c level and never lift by a
   cent. This is a good place to begin short
   position.
Initially got short here when      Took some risk off when broke 20c
      there was a seller at 50c          by a cent then bought back. Re
      that would never lift.             shorted when the offer was now
      Scalped some at 30c                being held at 32c. Shorted more
                                         when 20c broke.

                                                       Flat into steep
                                                       downmove and pattern
                                                       seemed to change.
                                                                                Re shorted when
Started loading up                                                              there was a new
when the seller at                                                              65c seller. Shorted
50c seemed to now                                                               3 lots against this
be present at 40c.
Had most of the
position against
40c. Got stopped
out of some when        Covered half in front
broke above but         of 41.00 but then           Reshorted 2 lots
immediately                                                                  Covered risk at previous
                        readded when it             when made new
reshorted when                                                               low at 45c, some at soft
                        began to hold below         low, covered for
there was still                                                              gap fill at 30c, and the rest
                        41.00 now. Short            momo at 45c and
selling at 50c.                                                              in steep downmove around
                        more again for momo         then stopped out
                                                                             15c
                        below 90c                   of other above 60c
Trade Review
This stock really couldn't have traded any
  cleaner. There was a very clear seller during
  the entire move and gave great opportunities
  to manage your risk against. Did a good job
  sticking with it and setting alerts at the proper
  areas to look for follow throug.

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Cmcsa playbook 2 13 13

  • 1. Failed Breakout: Seller Continuously Stepping Down CMCSA Vincent Celentano 2/13/13
  • 2. 1. SMB TRAINING is NOT a Broker Dealer. SMB Training engages in trader education and training. SMB TRAINING offers a number of products and services, both electronical (over the internet through smbtraining.com) and in person. Through smbtraining.com, SMB TRAINING offers the “Virtual Trading Floor”, a community through which independent traders (subscribers), as well as T3 Trading Group, LLC traders, observe a virtual trading floor environment (as described below) for educational purposes. SMB TRAINING also offers web-based, interactive training courses on demand. 2. T3 Trading Group, LLC is a Registered SEC Broker-Dealer and Member of the CBOE Stock Exchange (CBSX www.CBOE.com). All Trading conducted by SMB Training is done through T3 Trading Group, LLC. 3. The seminars given by SMB TRAINING are for educational purposes only. This information neither is, nor should be construed, as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. You shall be fully responsible for any investment decision you make, and such decisions will be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. 4. This material is being provided to you for educational purposes only. No information presented constitutes a recommendation by SMB TRAINING or its affiliates to buy, sell or hold any security, financial product or instrument discussed therein or to engage in any specific investment strategy. The content neither is, nor should be construed as, an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy, sell, or hold any securities. You are fully responsible for any investment decisions you make. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance and liquidity needs. 5. SMB Training and SMB Capital Management, LLC are separate but affiliated companies. 6. No relevant positions 7. Please note: Hypothetical computer simulated performance results are believed to be accurately presented. However, they are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without any notice. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since, also, the trades have not actually been executed; the results may have been under or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as liquidity, slippage and commissions. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any portfolio will, or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. All investments and trades carry risks.”
  • 3. Big Picture The SPY trended down from 152.60-151.60
  • 4.
  • 5. Intraday Fundamentals Comcast (CMCSA) will pay $16.7B for GE's 49% stake in NBC Universal, Q4 EPS of $0.56 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $15.94B (+6% Y/Y) misses by $20M. Raises dividend by 20%. Plans to buy back $2B in stock in 2013. Declares $0.195/share quarterly dividend, 20% increase from prior dividend of $0.1625 ATR: 0.77 ADV: 11.2M SF%: 1.05%
  • 6. CMCSA was at multi year highs
  • 7.
  • 8. 41.50 was the last real support level in the after hours yesterday
  • 9. Reading the Tape It was very important to read the tape in this stock. CMCSA made a double top against yesterays after hours high in the premarket and then drove down. It then proceeded to hold below this 50c level and never lift by a cent. This is a good place to begin short position.
  • 10. Initially got short here when Took some risk off when broke 20c there was a seller at 50c by a cent then bought back. Re that would never lift. shorted when the offer was now Scalped some at 30c being held at 32c. Shorted more when 20c broke. Flat into steep downmove and pattern seemed to change. Re shorted when Started loading up there was a new when the seller at 65c seller. Shorted 50c seemed to now 3 lots against this be present at 40c. Had most of the position against 40c. Got stopped out of some when Covered half in front broke above but of 41.00 but then Reshorted 2 lots immediately Covered risk at previous readded when it when made new reshorted when low at 45c, some at soft began to hold below low, covered for there was still gap fill at 30c, and the rest 41.00 now. Short momo at 45c and selling at 50c. in steep downmove around more again for momo then stopped out 15c below 90c of other above 60c
  • 11. Trade Review This stock really couldn't have traded any cleaner. There was a very clear seller during the entire move and gave great opportunities to manage your risk against. Did a good job sticking with it and setting alerts at the proper areas to look for follow throug.