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Wisconsin’s BadgerCare Plus Coverage Expansion:  Early Evaluation Results Presentation to Academy Health ARM June 30, 2009 Thomas DeLeire, PhD Collaborators:  Alison Bergum, Donna Friedsam, Lindsey Leininger, Thomas R.Oliver University of Wisconsin-Madison
Proposed Path to  Near Universal Coverage ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BadgerCare Plus (BC+) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Phase I: “All Kids” Marketing and Coverage of Parents
 
 
 
Crowd-Out Provisions Altered ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Changes in Crowd-Out Enforcement ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Enrollment Efforts Leading Up to the February 2008 Launch ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Phase I Evaluation Plan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Data Sources ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key Income Cutoffs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Populations Examined ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Enrollment: Children
Child Enrollment by FPL Dec-07 Sep-08 Change % of change All 337,817 379,825 42,008 100% <150 317,502 327,375 9,873 24% 150-200 19,157 37,447 18,290 44% 200-300 829 12,480 11,651 28% 300+ 196 2,520 2,324 6%
Child Enrollment by Urban/Rural Dec-07 Sep-08 Change % of change All 337,817 379,825 42,008 100% Urban 220,465 248,607 28,142 67% Rural 117,352 131,218 13,866 33%
Change in Enrollment per Uninsured Population: Children   Change in Enrollment (DHS) Uninsured (CPS) Ratio All  42,008  72,674  58% <150  9,873  32,433  30% 150-200  18,290  8,772  209% 200-300  11,651  16,061  73% 300+  2,324  15,408  15% Urban  28,142  53,165  53% Rural  13,866  19,509  71%
Enrollments Relative to Population Estimates: Children   Child All <150 150-200 200-300 300+ Urban Rural Dec-07 24% 84% 19% 0.3% 0.0% 21% 36% Sep-08 27% 87% 38% 5% 0.4% 23% 40% Change 3% 3% 19% 4% 0.4% 3% 4%
Enrollment: Parents
Parent Enrollment by FPL         Dec-07 Sep-08 Change % of change All 178,163 209,332 31,169 100% <150 167,551 182,591 15,040 48% 150-200 10,093 22,284 12,191 39% 200+ 389 4,457 4,068 13%
Parent Enrollment by Urban/Rural   Dec-07 Sep-08 Change % of change All 178,163 209,332 31,169 100% Urban 116,713 137,413 20,700 66% Rural 61,450 71,919 10,469 34%
Change in Enrollment per Uninsured Population: Parents   Change in Enrollment (DHS) Uninsured (CPS) Ratio All  31,169  187,394  17% <150  15,040  81,100  19% 150-200  12,191  22,980  53% 200-300  4,068  83,315  5% Urban  20,700  145,255  14% Rural  10,469  42,139  25%
Enrollments Relative to Population Estimates: Parents Parents/Caretakers All <150 150-200 200+ Urban Rural Dec-07 9% 52% 10% 0% 7% 14% Sep-08 11% 57% 21% 0% 9% 17% Change 2% 5% 12% 0% 1% 2%
Who Are the Auto-Converts? All Kids Parents Auto-enrolled in Feb. 2008 41,156  17,181  23,975  Of these, what % had a family member enrolled in Jan 08? Any family member 92% 87% 96% Parent/Spouse 26% 41% 15% Sibling/Child 80% 61% 94% Previously Enrolled (2007) 62% 71% 56%
Exit Rates
Churning: 3 Months Churning = % of enrollees in a given month who exit and re-enter the program within a 3 month window
Churning: 6 Months Churning = % of enrollees in a given month who exit and re-enter the program within a 6 month window
Summary of Preliminary Findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Next Steps:  Estimate Crowd-Out ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lessons for Reformers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Qualitative Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Qualitative Analysis: Early findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Challenges & Rewards of  State-Specific Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Contact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Wisconsin’s BadgerCare Plus Coverage Expansion: Early Evaluation Results

  • 1. Wisconsin’s BadgerCare Plus Coverage Expansion: Early Evaluation Results Presentation to Academy Health ARM June 30, 2009 Thomas DeLeire, PhD Collaborators: Alison Bergum, Donna Friedsam, Lindsey Leininger, Thomas R.Oliver University of Wisconsin-Madison
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Phase I: “All Kids” Marketing and Coverage of Parents
  • 5.  
  • 6.  
  • 7.  
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 16. Child Enrollment by FPL Dec-07 Sep-08 Change % of change All 337,817 379,825 42,008 100% <150 317,502 327,375 9,873 24% 150-200 19,157 37,447 18,290 44% 200-300 829 12,480 11,651 28% 300+ 196 2,520 2,324 6%
  • 17. Child Enrollment by Urban/Rural Dec-07 Sep-08 Change % of change All 337,817 379,825 42,008 100% Urban 220,465 248,607 28,142 67% Rural 117,352 131,218 13,866 33%
  • 18. Change in Enrollment per Uninsured Population: Children   Change in Enrollment (DHS) Uninsured (CPS) Ratio All 42,008 72,674 58% <150 9,873 32,433 30% 150-200 18,290 8,772 209% 200-300 11,651 16,061 73% 300+ 2,324 15,408 15% Urban 28,142 53,165 53% Rural 13,866 19,509 71%
  • 19. Enrollments Relative to Population Estimates: Children   Child All <150 150-200 200-300 300+ Urban Rural Dec-07 24% 84% 19% 0.3% 0.0% 21% 36% Sep-08 27% 87% 38% 5% 0.4% 23% 40% Change 3% 3% 19% 4% 0.4% 3% 4%
  • 21. Parent Enrollment by FPL         Dec-07 Sep-08 Change % of change All 178,163 209,332 31,169 100% <150 167,551 182,591 15,040 48% 150-200 10,093 22,284 12,191 39% 200+ 389 4,457 4,068 13%
  • 22. Parent Enrollment by Urban/Rural   Dec-07 Sep-08 Change % of change All 178,163 209,332 31,169 100% Urban 116,713 137,413 20,700 66% Rural 61,450 71,919 10,469 34%
  • 23. Change in Enrollment per Uninsured Population: Parents   Change in Enrollment (DHS) Uninsured (CPS) Ratio All 31,169 187,394 17% <150 15,040 81,100 19% 150-200 12,191 22,980 53% 200-300 4,068 83,315 5% Urban 20,700 145,255 14% Rural 10,469 42,139 25%
  • 24. Enrollments Relative to Population Estimates: Parents Parents/Caretakers All <150 150-200 200+ Urban Rural Dec-07 9% 52% 10% 0% 7% 14% Sep-08 11% 57% 21% 0% 9% 17% Change 2% 5% 12% 0% 1% 2%
  • 25. Who Are the Auto-Converts? All Kids Parents Auto-enrolled in Feb. 2008 41,156 17,181 23,975 Of these, what % had a family member enrolled in Jan 08? Any family member 92% 87% 96% Parent/Spouse 26% 41% 15% Sibling/Child 80% 61% 94% Previously Enrolled (2007) 62% 71% 56%
  • 27. Churning: 3 Months Churning = % of enrollees in a given month who exit and re-enter the program within a 3 month window
  • 28. Churning: 6 Months Churning = % of enrollees in a given month who exit and re-enter the program within a 6 month window
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Goals: 1. Incremental; 2. Preserve employer-sponsored coverage system already in place; 3. Achieve 98% coverage in Wisconsin; Mention that I’m going to be talking about Phase I only, Phase II is happening right now, with existing general/County assistance enrollees converted into program on January 1 and new enrollees on June 1 st. Phase III is on hold, depending on what happens at the national level. This effort represents the most comprehensive reform of Wisconsin’s MA program since its creation in 1965.
  2. Mention: Phase I—Care for All Kids, not actually just for kids!!! Also their caretaker relatives and parents/too!
  3. Before BC+; Medicaid/BadgerCare/Healthy Start—had to determine which program eligible for
  4. One measure of take-up. Note that these are likely over-estimates, as those with non-group coverage are eligible as well
  5. A second measure of take-up